8=======>

2022-08-31 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1287
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.60%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.3%
in alpha space · 80.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DIADIAEthereum0.37170.366049-1.52%0.38467+3.49%0.0797✗0.9540k2022-09-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,990.4019,684.28-1.53%19,846.80-0.72%0.0379✗0.9415k2022-09-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.031.9981-1.57%2.31+13.79%0.1610✗0.5193k2022-09-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34620.340667-1.60%0.321-7.28%0.0201✓1.25176k2022-09-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8452.8779-1.79%53.48-0.67%0.0422✗0.9812.6M2022-09-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0318.6859-1.81%16.37-13.98%0.1101✓0.701.6M2022-09-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4750.466287-1.83%0.346-27.16%0.2604✓1.202,7102022-09-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03490.034107-2.27%0.0337-3.44%0.0168✓0.9186k2022-09-30
TRXTRONTron0.0634280.061878-2.44%0.061037-3.77%0.0055✓0.61142k2022-09-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.05770.056245-2.52%0.0455-21.14%0.1763✓1.13258k2022-09-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,048.2619,533.45-2.57%19,426.11-3.10%0.0260✓1.00504.7M2022-09-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.225748-2.90%0.1432-38.41%0.4268✓0.9076k2022-09-30
AAVEAaveEthereum84.8582.3818-2.91%74.57-12.12%0.0517✓1.526.2M2022-09-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2470.239765-2.93%0.1171-52.59%0.7166✓-0.0091k2022-09-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155680.151065-2.96%0.16779+7.78%0.1691✗2.035722022-09-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.44e-7-3.03%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0407✓0.7916k2022-09-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21120.204695-3.08%0.1931-8.57%0.0259✓1.0358k2022-09-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021520.020826-3.22%0.01929-10.36%0.0511✓0.8113k2022-09-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.91550.2079-3.29%48.976-5.66%0.0014✓0.74302k2022-09-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.176396-3.29%0.1525-16.39%0.1021✓1.382,2912022-09-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.317940.307397-3.32%0.40262+26.63%0.2953✗0.81340k2022-09-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.551180.532577-3.38%0.44894-18.55%0.1294✓1.3135k2022-09-30
GTGateEthereum4.30084.1552-3.39%4.2716-0.68%0.0521✗0.77798k2022-09-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056680.005473-3.44%0.005197-8.32%0.0301✓0.692,1952022-09-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064950.006271-3.45%0.006298-3.03%0.0173✓0.4158k2022-09-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80145.5978-3.51%4.1679-28.16%0.2917✓0.10115k2022-09-30
STEEMSteemnative0.22910.220899-3.58%0.2181-4.80%0.0157✓0.90489k2022-09-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10030.096702-3.59%0.0911-9.17%0.0370✓0.722,5272022-09-30
NANOnanopayBase0.8946030.862362-3.60%0.770263-13.90%0.0867✓0.8360k2022-09-30
FTTFTXEthereum26.7325.7632-3.62%24.25-9.28%0.0299✓0.977.3M2022-09-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.08990.086628-3.64%0.1076+19.69%0.2469✗0.95381k2022-09-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.055311-3.64%0.0514-10.45%0.0441✓0.9398k2022-09-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131760.012693-3.66%0.011753-10.80%0.0571✓0.63932k2022-09-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.006190.005962-3.68%0.00487-21.32%0.1822✓0.641.0M2022-09-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020260.019506-3.72%0.02279+12.49%0.1817✗0.8311.1M2022-09-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004040.003884-3.86%0.00347-14.11%0.0815✓0.99144k2022-09-30
ZECZcashZcash59.8857.5581-3.88%55.65-7.06%0.0028✓1.161.7M2022-09-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066180.063609-3.89%0.0629-4.96%0.0162✓0.877702022-09-30
XMRMoneroMonero149.22143.2649-3.99%147.45-1.19%0.0609✗1.021.3M2022-09-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13240.127075-4.02%0.1183-10.65%0.0551✓0.523.5M2022-09-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.771910.740739-4.04%0.69854-9.50%0.0310✓0.88509k2022-09-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.15310.146784-4.13%0.1386-9.47%0.0222✓1.121,5282022-09-30
ADACardanoCardano0.44580.427243-4.16%0.4348-2.47%0.0470✗0.9437.1M2022-09-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12360.118413-4.20%0.1259+1.86%0.0942✗1.0423k2022-09-30
SOLSolanaSolana31.530.1661-4.23%33.26+5.59%0.1343✗1.1665.9M2022-09-30
CBKCobakEthereum0.896560.858529-4.24%0.78889-12.01%0.0528✓1.0113k2022-09-30
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7614.5589-4.24%5.408+13.59%0.2129✗1.348.5M2022-09-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.24470.234255-4.27%0.2604+6.42%0.1355✗0.9475k2022-09-30
KCSKuCoinnative9.0018.6137-4.30%9.167+1.84%0.0922✗0.951.4M2022-09-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.399956-4.32%0.472+12.92%0.1977✗1.027,9102022-09-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0440.042096-4.33%0.0427-2.95%0.0445✗0.96147k2022-09-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013580.012987-4.37%0.0098-27.84%0.2605✓0.67201k2022-09-30
DASHDashDash44.5542.601-4.37%41.94-5.86%0.0148✓0.97438k2022-09-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024550.023473-4.39%0.02333-4.97%0.0342✓1.283,4352022-09-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023040.022018-4.44%0.01866-19.01%0.1401✓0.81459k2022-09-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045930.043883-4.46%0.04057-11.67%0.0560✓0.7115k2022-09-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334160.31922-4.47%0.30317-9.27%0.0204✓0.9945k2022-09-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28090.268294-4.49%0.2876+2.39%0.0994✗0.953.1M2022-09-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05950.056798-4.54%0.0647+8.74%0.1575✗0.87101k2022-09-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13950.133133-4.56%0.1421+1.86%0.0970✗1.01509k2022-09-30
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.121681-4.64%0.1271-0.39%0.0762✗1.031.7M2022-09-30
SGBSongbirdnative0.02570.024505-4.65%0.0199-22.57%0.1900✓0.5849k2022-09-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0431280.041119-4.66%0.037509-13.03%0.0756✓0.5227k2022-09-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.098419-4.73%0.0987-4.45%0.0299✓0.86188k2022-09-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79391.7073-4.83%1.7056-4.92%0.0331✓1.0830k2022-09-30
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.6244-4.85%4.78-1.65%0.0598✗0.851.5M2022-09-30
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015030.00143-4.87%0.001547+2.93%0.1093✗0.97424k2022-09-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6630.630527-4.90%0.576-13.12%0.0597✓0.98207k2022-09-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.311720.296289-4.95%0.23673-24.06%0.1914✓1.0512k2022-09-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6286.2991-4.96%7.586+14.45%0.2191✗1.0517.4M2022-09-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.267836-5.02%0.251-10.99%0.0421✓0.72668k2022-09-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.16109.335-5.06%120.1+4.29%0.1299✗1.144.6M2022-09-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,554.001,475.10-5.08%1,328.95-14.48%0.0609✓1.38660.9M2022-09-30
MOVRMoonriverBase12.3811.7491-5.10%11.1383-10.03%0.0229✓0.9730k2022-09-30
PROPropyEthereum0.730.692293-5.17%0.62-15.07%0.1011✓0.2979k2022-09-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.036459-5.18%0.03783-1.61%0.0624✗0.812,7072022-09-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.0375-5.23%1.82-15.35%0.0768✓1.14217k2022-09-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94270.89317-5.25%0.8437-10.50%0.0189✓1.21912k2022-09-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072740.068901-5.28%0.0606-16.69%0.0917✓1.1626k2022-09-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008580.008126-5.29%0.00657-23.43%0.1898✓0.725.5M2022-09-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45940.435015-5.31%0.4309-6.20%0.0265✓1.14383k2022-09-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9222.7666-5.32%3.081+5.44%0.1234✗0.50650k2022-09-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4392-5.32%1.44-5.26%0.0034✓-0.13128k2022-09-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.077725-5.33%0.082-0.12%0.0831✗0.9411k2022-09-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.255.9167-5.33%6.071-2.86%0.0527✓0.864.9M2022-09-30
XEMNEMnative0.0439410.041585-5.36%0.040717-7.34%0.0056✓0.8529k2022-09-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21840.206598-5.40%0.1725-21.02%0.1393✓1.30135k2022-09-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.7282.5802-5.42%2.336-14.37%0.0719✓0.87706k2022-09-30
QNTQuantEthereum96.4791.2204-5.44%141.89+47.08%0.4688✗0.863.5M2022-09-30
STXStacksnative0.3650.34509-5.45%0.3244-11.12%0.0253✓1.16384k2022-09-30
QTUMQtumQtum3.1492.9766-5.47%2.8524-9.42%0.0108✓1.0125k2022-09-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012080.000011418-5.48%0.00001131-6.37%0.0204✓0.95776k2022-09-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9592.7966-5.49%2.377-19.67%0.1141✓1.543.7M2022-09-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.03470.977783-5.50%1.1027+6.57%0.1587✗1.22996k2022-09-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.033698-5.61%0.0377+5.60%0.1370✗0.799,5472022-09-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28850.272267-5.63%0.3535+22.53%0.2895✗0.906.0M2022-09-30
ZENHorizenBase15.5314.6524-5.65%14.11-9.14%0.0027✓1.11107k2022-09-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.651.5556-5.72%1.64-0.61%0.0821✗0.93579k2022-09-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6730.634371-5.74%0.593-11.89%0.0294✓1.214.1M2022-09-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32030.30189-5.75%0.288-10.08%0.0104✓1.17138k2022-09-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0091-5.77%0.953-11.00%0.0300✓0.8644k2022-09-30
KSMKusamaHydration47.4244.6811-5.78%42.06-11.30%0.0293✓0.99522k2022-09-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.14631.0799-5.79%0.917-20.00%0.1152✓1.534.5M2022-09-30
XVGVergenative0.003350.003156-5.80%0.00328-2.09%0.0704✗1.01486k2022-09-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1317.9994-5.91%17.2-10.09%0.0046✓1.2922.5M2022-09-30
XTZTezosTezos1.51081.4213-5.93%1.4221-5.87%0.0360✓1.12296k2022-09-30
GITCOINGITCOIN2.15942.0311-5.94%1.8009-16.60%0.0851✓1.1213k2022-09-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.298090.280233-5.99%0.267208-10.36%0.0133✓1.09547k2022-09-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.3428-6.10%1.475+3.15%0.1307✗1.17116k2022-09-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1043650.097951-6.15%0.114648+9.85%0.1829✗0.817.0M2022-09-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.7056-6.18%1.485-18.32%0.1098✓0.91121k2022-09-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13941.0688-6.19%1.194+4.79%0.1385✗0.881.3M2022-09-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.045372-6.26%0.0392-19.01%0.1149✓0.99781k2022-09-30
BANDBandEthereum1.2751.1948-6.29%1.227-3.76%0.0640✓1.19460k2022-09-30
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.24e-7-6.33%7.70e-7-12.50%0.0431✓0.791.9M2022-09-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2716.1748-6.34%14.8-14.30%0.0671✓0.69818k2022-09-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.13528-6.38%0.1275-11.76%0.0270✓1.02130k2022-09-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001560.001459-6.45%0.001435-8.01%0.0051✓0.709,0932022-09-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.327403-6.46%0.33003-5.71%0.0375✓0.94347k2022-09-30
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2010.187955-6.49%0.1637-18.56%0.1066✓1.00116k2022-09-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95350.891453-6.51%0.8963-6.00%0.0210✓0.493.6M2022-09-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.131.9909-6.53%2-6.10%0.0285✓0.76287k2022-09-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.19.4274-6.66%9-10.89%0.0078✓1.22313k2022-09-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06220.058041-6.69%0.0576-7.40%0.0326✓1.28908k2022-09-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.67230.627281-6.70%0.6408-4.69%0.0651✓1.39226k2022-09-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0336.5617-6.70%6.322-10.11%0.0046✓1.0410.9M2022-09-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136980.127771-6.72%0.12823-6.39%0.0413✓1.20190k2022-09-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.492419-6.74%0.444-15.91%0.0705✓1.0576k2022-09-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007990.007446-6.80%0.00692-13.39%0.0380✓1.12477k2022-09-30
HIVEHivenative0.55730.519287-6.82%0.4837-13.21%0.0445✓0.841.1M2022-09-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0612770.057067-6.87%0.061628+0.57%0.1102✗1.061.5M2022-09-30
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83270.775163-6.91%0.7579-8.98%0.0102✓1.041.7M2022-09-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029940.002787-6.91%0.001987-33.63%0.3094✓0.921.1M2022-09-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2051.1206-7.01%1.056-12.37%0.0281✓0.991.6M2022-09-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.511.6232-7.01%16.08+28.64%0.3579✗1.061.9M2022-09-30
COMPCompoundEthereum47.1443.8072-7.07%61.22+29.87%0.3741✗1.259,8512022-09-30
XECeCashnative0.000044520.000041341-7.14%0.00004111-7.66%0.0216✓0.861.7M2022-09-30
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1425.7018-7.17%6.467+5.29%0.1670✗1.308.9M2022-09-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.2017-7.22%8.52-3.62%0.0535✓0.491.9M2022-09-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.667.1049-7.25%6.46-15.67%0.0610✓1.08430k2022-09-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1680.15573-7.30%0.14624-12.95%0.0323✓0.97324k2022-09-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.477153-7.35%0.453-12.04%0.0160✓1.1483k2022-09-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.081490.075498-7.35%0.07392-9.29%0.0196✓0.05451k2022-09-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0121.8631-7.40%1.701-15.46%0.0553✓1.1342k2022-09-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.82510.9397-7.49%13.03+10.19%0.2099✗1.1111.4M2022-09-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.612427-7.63%0.589-11.16%0.0118✓0.86228k2022-09-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.05030.046462-7.63%0.0405-19.48%0.1066✓0.97217k2022-09-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4494.1068-7.69%3.848-13.51%0.0574✓0.242.3M2022-09-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35130.324237-7.70%0.2956-15.86%0.0586✓1.07116k2022-09-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013420.001238-7.70%0.001016-24.30%0.1734✓0.792.1M2022-09-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10260.094686-7.71%0.0987-3.80%0.0753✓1.073.1M2022-09-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50540.465866-7.82%0.4164-17.61%0.0885✓0.75544k2022-09-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.4126-7.88%4.68-2.30%0.0756✓0.531.1M2022-09-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30410.279957-7.94%0.2602-14.44%0.0394✓1.07107k2022-09-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.910.836077-8.12%0.865-4.95%0.0457✓0.374.0M2022-09-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72761.5865-8.16%1.1834-31.50%0.2628✓0.961.2M2022-09-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9151.7569-8.26%1.591-16.92%0.0462✓1.6883k2022-09-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1412.9407-8.48%12.57-11.10%0.0057✓1.10909k2022-09-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0475.5305-8.54%5.44-10.04%0.0015✓0.484.4M2022-09-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5221.3902-8.66%1.257-17.41%0.0637✓1.1870k2022-09-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062110.056653-8.79%0.0611-1.63%0.1093✗1.072.0M2022-09-30
METISMetisEthereum31.0328.3028-8.79%24.07-22.43%0.1022✓1.90288k2022-09-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3373.9553-8.80%3.882-10.49%0.0036✓0.482.0M2022-09-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035190.032088-8.81%0.03032-13.84%0.0250✓1.0140k2022-09-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,021.078,215.22-8.93%8,121.81-9.97%0.0320✓1.386.0M2022-09-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4390.399579-8.98%0.3611-17.74%0.0649✓1.15100k2022-09-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.1909-9.09%1.16-11.45%0.0024✓0.91111k2022-09-30
OPTIMOptimism1.1291.0236-9.34%0.911-19.31%0.0625✓1.713.2M2022-09-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7465.1996-9.51%5.682-1.11%0.1158✗0.869.1M2022-09-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.615.0743-9.55%5.08-9.45%0.0155✓0.452.0M2022-09-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4129.1841-9.95%27.75-14.38%0.0029✓1.5112.7M2022-09-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.45.7623-9.96%6.03-5.78%0.0610✓0.502.1M2022-09-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.05163.644-10.06%3.8918-3.94%0.0847✓0.604.2M2022-09-30
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0780.968206-10.18%0.923-14.38%0.0081✓1.261.5M2022-09-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7433.361-10.21%3.842+2.64%0.1642✗0.97259k2022-09-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11610.104024-10.40%0.0758-34.71%0.2935✓0.73216k2022-09-30
FLOWFlownative2.0721.8476-10.83%1.686-18.63%0.0489✓1.351.3M2022-09-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90230.801341-11.19%0.8477-6.05%0.1020✓1.45167k2022-09-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.75.9306-11.48%6.53-2.54%0.1115✓0.481.7M2022-09-30
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.82764.2254-12.47%5.85+21.18%0.3569✗1.00150k2022-09-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.21790.19068-12.49%0.2353+7.99%0.2368✗0.843.1M2022-09-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0303140.025948-14.40%0.02996-1.17%0.1478✓0.13280k2022-09-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00511.0581-14.97%17.233+32.51%0.4601✗0.529.7M2022-09-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.000221560.00018836-14.98%0.00030441+37.39%0.5035✗0.74429k2022-09-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.25e-77.85e-7-15.21%5.44e-7-41.20%0.3400✓0.831.3M2022-09-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.62945.5779-15.86%5.6941-14.11%0.0278✓0.235.4M2022-09-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.86116.4593-17.83%6.6182-15.81%0.0355✓0.367.0M2022-09-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.