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2022-08-30 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0398
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.92%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
68.4%
in alpha space · 44.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3122.4204+0.49%19.03-14.70%0.1725✗0.721.5M2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.072.0675-0.12%2.03-1.93%0.0243✓0.5197k2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0360.035926-0.21%0.0357-0.83%0.0157✓0.809,5472022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.495893-0.22%0.475-4.43%0.0574✓1.222,7102022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,869.3019,824.00-0.23%19,990.40+0.61%0.0027✓0.9413k2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95130.949088-0.23%0.9427-0.90%0.0210✓1.21963k2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.58251.4457-0.26%51.915+0.65%0.0002✓0.75322k2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.0970.096743-0.27%0.1003+3.40%0.0276✗0.722,7842022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.65660.65484-0.27%0.6723+2.39%0.0099✗1.39226k2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.8465-0.28%4.86+0.00%0.0073✓0.861.5M2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.208302-0.29%0.2112+1.10%0.0016✓1.0459k2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32520.324238-0.30%0.3203-1.51%0.0260✓1.17138k2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.035195-0.30%0.0349-1.13%0.0193✓0.9287k2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase12.316712.2795-0.30%12.38+0.51%0.0033✓0.9732k2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.08890.088629-0.30%0.0899+1.12%0.0030✓0.95393k2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum4.8094.7943-0.31%4.761-1.00%0.0228✓1.348.7M2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.54020.538538-0.31%0.55118+2.03%0.0077✗1.3237k2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0429660.042831-0.31%0.043128+0.38%0.0008✓0.5228k2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.14823-0.32%0.1531+2.96%0.0193✗1.111,5282022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020380.020315-0.32%0.02026-0.59%0.0126✓0.8411.4M2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066520.066307-0.32%0.06618-0.51%0.0115✓0.829142022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029930.002983-0.32%0.002994+0.03%0.0073✓0.921.1M2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014220.014174-0.32%0.01358-4.50%0.0507✓0.67174k2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153790.153278-0.33%0.15568+1.23%0.0085✓2.046042022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04290.042756-0.34%0.044+2.56%0.0173✗0.97156k2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.00620.006179-0.34%0.00619-0.16%0.0057✓0.631.0M2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum0.883310.880335-0.34%0.89656+1.50%0.0062✗1.0214k2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.649793-0.34%0.663+1.69%0.0087✗0.97207k2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057870.005768-0.34%0.005668-2.05%0.0255✓0.692,3002022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.057404-0.34%0.0577+0.17%0.0082✓1.13258k2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08150.081222-0.34%0.0821+0.74%0.0004✓0.9513k2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0152.8278-0.34%53.84+1.57%0.0074✗0.9812.7M2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.24610.245244-0.35%0.2325-5.53%0.0641✓0.9176k2022-08-31
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.024813-0.35%0.0257+3.21%0.0283✗0.5849k2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5561.5505-0.35%1.522-2.19%0.0325✓1.1877k2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336470.335288-0.35%0.33416-0.69%0.0151✓1.0046k2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana31.4831.3692-0.35%31.5+0.06%0.0096✓1.1665.9M2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.293320.292277-0.36%0.31172+6.27%0.0521✗1.0412k2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.07682.0694-0.36%2.1594+3.98%0.0294✗1.1113k2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001542-0.36%0.001503-2.91%0.0375✓0.98433k2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046610.046443-0.36%0.04593-1.46%0.0195✓0.7116k2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33410.332903-0.36%0.3462+3.62%0.0245✗1.24176k2022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44710.445493-0.36%0.4594+2.75%0.0173✗1.14364k2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4250.423449-0.36%0.418-1.65%0.0250✓1.028,1172022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash59.8759.6509-0.37%59.88+0.02%0.0098✓1.161.7M2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.072.0624-0.37%2.15+3.86%0.0281✗1.14232k2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.06351.0596-0.37%1.1463+7.79%0.0608✗1.514.5M2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.122247-0.37%0.1236+0.73%0.0015✓1.0625k2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.36130.359965-0.37%0.365+1.02%0.0001✓1.17393k2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.319820.318638-0.37%0.31794-0.59%0.0122✓0.85350k2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.4530.451317-0.37%0.4458-1.59%0.0235✓0.9537.8M2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.062.0523-0.37%2.13+3.40%0.0282✗0.76329k2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.102311-0.38%0.1033+0.58%0.0005✓0.86192k2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.2260.225143-0.38%0.2291+1.37%0.0067✗0.91501k2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024740.024646-0.38%0.02455-0.77%0.0190✓1.283,3752022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.69114.2513-0.38%115.16+0.41%0.0055✓1.144.6M2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3819.305-0.39%19.13-1.29%0.0244✓1.3023.0M2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.49731.4915-0.39%1.5108+0.90%0.0004✓1.12296k2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.25494.2383-0.39%4.3008+1.08%0.0055✗0.77775k2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum3.11583.1036-0.39%3.149+1.06%0.0026✓1.0125k2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13890.138357-0.39%0.1395+0.43%0.0037✓1.01510k2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1024110.10201-0.39%0.104365+1.91%0.0132✗0.817.0M2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum95.6395.2549-0.39%96.47+0.88%0.0025✓0.863.5M2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.891.8826-0.39%1.915+1.32%0.0027✓1.6890k2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0214610.021376-0.40%0.02152+0.27%0.0029✓0.8114k2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071090.070806-0.40%0.07274+2.32%0.0132✗1.1726k2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.002920.002908-0.40%0.00335+14.73%0.1297✗1.00486k2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum26.626.4918-0.41%26.73+0.49%0.0025✓0.977.3M2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7115.6877-0.41%5.746+0.61%0.0000✓0.869.5M2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum31.0530.9211-0.42%31.03-0.06%0.0189✓1.90288k2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.127069-0.42%0.1276+0.00%0.0080✓1.031.7M2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0434150.043232-0.42%0.043941+1.21%0.0063✗0.8530k2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06250.062236-0.42%0.0595-4.80%0.0553✓0.87105k2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.666167-0.42%0.673+0.60%0.0039✓1.204.3M2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.050483-0.43%0.0503-0.79%0.0152✓0.98237k2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065370.006509-0.43%0.006495-0.64%0.0071✓0.4258k2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2576.2301-0.43%6.25-0.11%0.0074✓0.905.0M2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum84.3884.0157-0.43%84.85+0.56%0.0081✓1.526.3M2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.376440.374806-0.43%0.3717-1.26%0.0196✓0.9640k2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.76e-7-0.44%8.70e-7-1.14%0.0165✓0.8016k2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131480.013091-0.44%0.013176+0.21%0.0009✓0.631.0M2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.24420.243133-0.44%0.2447+0.20%0.0052✓0.9881k2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.05061.046-0.44%1.0347-1.51%0.0253✓1.23973k2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30980.308424-0.44%0.3041-1.84%0.0267✓1.07111k2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,813.1719,724.69-0.45%20,048.26+1.19%0.0045✓1.00490.8M2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.3141-0.45%1.31-0.76%0.0138✓0.91121k2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1690.168234-0.45%0.168-0.59%0.0130✓0.98340k2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.14640.145736-0.45%0.1445-1.30%0.0207✓1.03138k2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.259604-0.46%0.247-5.29%0.0499✓0.0191k2022-08-31
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19560.194702-0.46%0.201+2.76%0.0200✗1.00121k2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.048177-0.46%0.0484+0.00%0.0071✓0.99796k2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082370.081988-0.46%0.08149-1.07%0.0067✓0.05478k2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001479-0.46%0.00156+4.98%0.0451✗0.699,0932022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.2331.2273-0.47%1.275+3.41%0.0242✗1.19460k2022-08-31
DASHDashDash45.5145.2971-0.47%44.55-2.11%0.0281✓0.97438k2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.66784-0.47%0.663-1.19%0.0175✓0.86228k2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2989690.297561-0.47%0.29809-0.29%0.0111✓1.09549k2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29170.290321-0.47%0.2885-1.10%0.0170✓0.916.5M2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13520.134557-0.48%0.13698+1.32%0.0037✓1.20200k2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase0.9005080.896222-0.48%0.894603-0.66%0.0116✓0.8363k2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum1.6321.6242-0.48%1.65+1.10%0.0048✗0.93579k2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.212.1413-0.48%12.5+2.46%0.0166✗1.061.9M2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.318.2699-0.48%8.84+6.38%0.0610✗0.481.9M2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1030.102501-0.48%0.1026-0.39%0.0117✓1.083.3M2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0492.0391-0.49%2.012-1.81%0.0268✓1.1444k2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.114.09-0.49%4.449+8.25%0.0815✗0.232.3M2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.0831.0777-0.49%1.129+4.25%0.0258✗1.753.2M2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35610.35434-0.49%0.3513-1.35%0.0214✓1.09131k2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22110.220006-0.49%0.2184-1.22%0.0227✓1.31135k2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9772.9622-0.50%2.959-0.60%0.0193✓1.543.8M2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5586.5254-0.50%6.628+1.07%0.0032✓1.0617.7M2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96330.958506-0.50%0.9535-1.02%0.0112✓0.503.6M2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration47.4747.2333-0.50%47.42-0.11%0.0077✓0.99543k2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.4229-0.50%1.43+0.00%0.0088✓1.17123k2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008640.008597-0.50%0.00858-0.69%0.0105✓0.735.6M2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1746.143-0.50%6.142-0.52%0.0156✓1.309.5M2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061420.061111-0.50%0.061277-0.23%0.0098✓1.061.6M2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0086.9728-0.50%7.033+0.36%0.0037✓1.0411.6M2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.19670.195707-0.50%0.2179+10.78%0.0976✗0.843.1M2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase15.815.7201-0.51%15.53-1.71%0.0253✓1.1193k2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum0.770640.766702-0.51%0.77191+0.16%0.0037✓0.88509k2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.131817-0.52%0.1324-0.08%0.0018✓0.533.6M2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39185.364-0.52%5.8014+7.60%0.0773✗0.10115k2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81681.8073-0.52%1.7939-1.26%0.0202✓1.0833k2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.75e-7-0.52%8.80e-7+0.00%0.0041✓0.792.0M2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.18811.1819-0.52%1.1394-4.10%0.0471✓0.891.3M2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003999-0.52%0.00404+0.50%0.0016✓1.00152k2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.7752.7605-0.52%2.728-1.69%0.0222✓0.88706k2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.035.9986-0.52%6.4+6.14%0.0591✗0.482.1M2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.4463-0.53%4.79+7.16%0.0682✗0.531.1M2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7515.7204-0.53%6.047+5.15%0.0500✗0.474.4M2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28790.286366-0.53%0.2809-2.43%0.0307✓0.963.1M2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5190.516233-0.53%0.528+1.73%0.0100✗1.0677k2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,524.811,516.67-0.53%1,554.00+1.91%0.0081✗1.37628.3M2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035290.035101-0.53%0.03519-0.28%0.0095✓1.0240k2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero148.87148.0722-0.54%149.22+0.24%0.0043✓1.021.3M2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.512227-0.54%0.515+0.00%0.0081✓1.1483k2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51230.509522-0.54%0.5054-1.35%0.0171✓0.76579k2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.0910.0343-0.55%10.1+0.10%0.0079✓1.22318k2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063270.062921-0.55%0.06211-1.83%0.0256✓1.072.1M2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.000012112-0.55%0.00001208-0.82%0.0139✓0.95828k2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.282425-0.55%0.282-0.70%0.0100✓0.72686k2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative8.9738.9231-0.56%9.001+0.31%0.0026✓0.961.5M2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.987.9352-0.56%7.66-4.01%0.0481✓1.09462k2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.04581.0399-0.56%1.0708+2.39%0.0190✗0.8748k2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.54890.54577-0.57%0.5573+1.53%0.0108✗0.861.3M2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1812-0.57%1.205+1.43%0.0082✗0.991.7M2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.195.1596-0.59%5.61+8.09%0.0784✗0.442.0M2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum4746.7247-0.59%47.14+0.30%0.0058✓1.2411k2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.3132.1205-0.59%32.41+0.31%0.0088✓1.5012.9M2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0994.0748-0.59%4.337+5.81%0.0569✗0.462.0M2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013480.00134-0.59%0.001342-0.46%0.0080✓0.792.1M2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0647050.064318-0.60%0.063428-1.97%0.0211✓0.61129k2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.740.735519-0.61%0.73-1.35%0.0110✓0.2979k2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18110.179973-0.62%0.1824+0.72%0.0029✓1.382,2912022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8613.772-0.63%14.14+2.02%0.0134✗1.10909k2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,874.588,818.16-0.64%9,021.07+1.65%0.0065✗1.376.2M2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.8231.8113-0.64%1.818-0.27%0.0071✓0.91121k2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037990.037744-0.65%0.03845+1.21%0.0089✗0.812,8422022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7953.7692-0.68%3.743-1.37%0.0186✓0.98252k2022-08-31
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.31864.2893-0.68%4.8276+11.79%0.1064✗1.00147k2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.146.0981-0.68%6.7+9.12%0.0886✗0.471.7M2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0121.9981-0.69%2.072+2.98%0.0204✗1.351.3M2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008060.008003-0.70%0.00799-0.87%0.0149✓1.12477k2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73011.7178-0.71%1.7276-0.14%0.0057✓0.971.2M2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.345820.343327-0.72%0.35+1.21%0.0082✗0.93347k2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83240.826367-0.72%0.8327+0.04%0.0047✓1.041.8M2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227850.022619-0.73%0.030314+33.04%0.2916✗0.10266k2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3317.2026-0.74%17.27-0.35%0.0043✓0.69880k2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.84293.8143-0.74%4.0516+5.43%0.0533✗0.603.8M2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.061193-0.82%0.0622+0.81%0.0013✓1.27908k2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11150.110579-0.83%0.1161+4.13%0.0403✗0.71220k2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05790.057421-0.83%0.0574-0.86%0.0113✓0.9398k2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.92811.8231-0.88%11.825-0.86%0.0130✓1.1110.8M2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1333.1053-0.88%2.922-6.73%0.0669✓0.51650k2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43010.42604-0.94%0.439+2.07%0.0164✗1.1596k2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024050.02382-0.96%0.02304-4.20%0.0428✓0.81459k2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000045421-1.02%0.00004452-2.99%0.0303✓0.871.7M2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9940.983663-1.04%0.91-8.45%0.0824✓0.384.2M2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.593-1.06%1.52-5.59%0.0456✓-0.11116k2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.48112.3474-1.07%13.005+4.20%0.0457✗0.528.9M2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.61895.5549-1.14%6.6294+17.98%0.1744✗0.215.4M2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0191.007-1.18%1.078+5.79%0.0534✗1.251.4M2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.00235.9251-1.29%7.8611+30.97%0.2790✗0.326.5M2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000158370.000154874-2.21%0.00022156+39.90%0.3498✗0.70429k2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana0.91920.898574-2.24%0.9023-1.84%0.0130✓1.45167k2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010890.000001054-3.22%9.25e-7-14.99%0.1398✓0.851.1M2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.