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2022-08-29 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0775
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.3%
in alpha space · 82.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34990.343317-1.88%0.3165-9.55%0.0254✓1.27176k2022-09-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,303.8019,909.17-1.94%19,450.40-4.20%0.0182✓0.9413k2022-09-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.242.1886-2.30%2.43+8.48%0.1267✗0.5097k2022-09-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.056159-2.50%0.0458-20.49%0.1538✓1.14258k2022-09-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17250.168077-2.56%0.1496-13.28%0.0551✓1.392,2552022-09-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7954.3328-2.61%53.28-4.50%0.0240✓0.9912.8M2022-09-28
TRXTRONTron0.0634370.061746-2.67%0.059562-6.11%0.0094✓0.60129k2022-09-28
DIADIAEthereum0.38550.375189-2.67%0.37714-2.17%0.0482✗0.9845k2022-09-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.28365.1386-2.75%4.127-21.89%0.2133✓0.14117k2022-09-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.035467-2.83%0.0335-8.22%0.0156✓0.9486k2022-09-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,286.9719,687.84-2.95%19,412.07-4.31%0.0300✗1.00485.5M2022-09-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0209940.020357-3.03%0.019339-7.88%0.0153✓0.8213k2022-09-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5250.509002-3.05%0.364-30.67%0.2799✓1.262,6092022-09-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.158390.15335-3.18%0.16792+6.02%0.1806✗2.046362022-09-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21020.203386-3.24%0.1934-7.99%0.0054✓1.0260k2022-09-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.51e-7-3.25%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0393✓0.8116k2022-09-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.554010.534465-3.53%0.45604-17.68%0.1014✓1.3039k2022-09-28
AAVEAaveEthereum85.7682.6889-3.58%76.78-10.47%0.0076✓1.516.3M2022-09-28
STEEMSteemnative0.22570.217422-3.67%0.2194-2.79%0.0489✗0.90501k2022-09-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.251746-3.73%0.1182-54.80%0.7556✓0.0191k2022-09-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.335860.32332-3.73%0.4236+26.12%0.3101✗0.91366k2022-09-28
GTGateEthereum4.3974.2303-3.79%4.2574-3.17%0.0402✗0.77765k2022-09-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067420.06484-3.83%0.06144-8.87%0.0182✓0.819142022-09-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.19452.1183-3.83%49.86-8.00%0.0115✓0.74322k2022-09-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066960.006437-3.86%0.006299-5.93%0.0031✓0.4258k2022-09-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1010.09702-3.94%0.0897-11.19%0.0464✓0.732,9872022-09-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9187330.882051-3.99%0.765787-16.65%0.1053✓0.8270k2022-09-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.25660.246155-4.07%0.1541-39.95%0.4283✓0.9185k2022-09-28
CBKCobakEthereum0.875420.839581-4.09%0.78271-10.59%0.0268✓0.9815k2022-09-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058740.005633-4.11%0.005054-13.96%0.0783✓0.682,4852022-09-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.088586-4.13%0.105+13.64%0.2125✗0.97404k2022-09-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13060.125192-4.14%0.1145-12.33%0.0643✓0.573.7M2022-09-28
XVGVergenative0.003010.002882-4.27%0.00332+10.30%0.1867✗1.02498k2022-09-28
FTTFTXEthereum27.3426.1564-4.33%24.09-11.89%0.0393✓0.987.3M2022-09-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.006490.006208-4.35%0.00481-25.89%0.2273✓0.631.1M2022-09-28
SGBSongbirdnative0.0250.02391-4.36%0.0193-22.80%0.1878✓0.6049k2022-09-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1230.11757-4.41%0.1275+3.66%0.1262✗1.0227k2022-09-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04410.042093-4.55%0.0415-5.90%0.0286✓0.97166k2022-09-28
KCSKuCoinnative9.18.6823-4.59%9.227+1.40%0.1032✗0.961.5M2022-09-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004070.003882-4.62%0.00347-14.74%0.0683✓1.00158k2022-09-28
SOLSolanaSolana32.4130.8963-4.67%33.24+2.56%0.1256✗1.1965.9M2022-09-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.05777-4.67%0.0521-14.03%0.0616✓0.9598k2022-09-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3726-4.68%1.41-2.08%0.0243✓-0.06105k2022-09-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0137010.01306-4.68%0.012544-8.44%0.0116✓0.651.3M2022-09-28
ADACardanoCardano0.45050.429388-4.69%0.4362-3.17%0.0591✗0.9837.9M2022-09-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.24840.236696-4.71%0.2644+6.44%0.1529✗0.9679k2022-09-28
XMRMoneroMonero152.71145.4876-4.73%147.27-3.56%0.0556✗0.981.3M2022-09-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.795360.757492-4.76%0.70596-11.24%0.0306✓0.90509k2022-09-28
ZECZcashZcash63.7560.6823-4.81%55.45-13.02%0.0402✓1.131.9M2022-09-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.301060.286554-4.82%0.23749-21.12%0.1419✓1.0412k2022-09-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14470.137705-4.83%0.1396-3.52%0.0589✗1.03535k2022-09-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0444460.042264-4.91%0.036375-18.16%0.1273✓0.5228k2022-09-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023360.022199-4.97%0.01892-19.01%0.1239✓0.82419k2022-09-28
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9834.7351-4.98%5.375+7.87%0.1864✗1.358.8M2022-09-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.34760.330104-5.03%0.3019-13.15%0.0458✓0.9947k2022-09-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10450.099237-5.04%0.0983-5.93%0.0289✓0.87196k2022-09-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022670.021513-5.10%0.02383+5.12%0.1406✗0.8711.8M2022-09-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6720.637654-5.11%0.586-12.80%0.0429✓0.94217k2022-09-28
PROPropyEthereum0.740.701972-5.14%0.64-13.51%0.0778✓0.3384k2022-09-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.1640.155567-5.14%0.1368-16.59%0.0804✓1.091,7282022-09-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.0388-5.17%1.77-17.67%0.0874✓1.23238k2022-09-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2910.27593-5.18%0.2952+1.44%0.1102✗0.973.2M2022-09-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2830.268248-5.21%0.247-12.72%0.0503✓0.73686k2022-09-28
XVSVenusEthereum5.124.8495-5.28%4.86-5.08%0.0403✓0.861.6M2022-09-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048160.045612-5.29%0.04028-16.36%0.0949✓0.6716k2022-09-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025540.024185-5.30%0.02221-13.04%0.0287✓1.283,3752022-09-28
DASHDashDash47.4644.9328-5.32%41.26-13.06%0.0422✓0.98458k2022-09-28
MOVRMoonriverBase12.660211.9855-5.33%10.6211-16.11%0.0780✓0.9733k2022-09-28
DODODODOEthereum0.13110.124082-5.35%0.1246-4.96%0.0476✓0.991.7M2022-09-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037920.035889-5.36%0.03471-8.47%0.0020✓0.802,7072022-09-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08430.079737-5.41%0.0852+1.07%0.1088✗0.9614k2022-09-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.76.3362-5.43%7.79+16.27%0.2536✗1.0718.5M2022-09-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.008425-5.44%0.00663-25.59%0.2057✓0.775.8M2022-09-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.7681.6708-5.50%1.398-20.93%0.1372✓0.93121k2022-09-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07991.0205-5.50%0.9397-12.98%0.0157✓1.514.5M2022-09-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4410.416746-5.50%0.395-10.43%0.0085✓1.028,3142022-09-28
STXStacksnative0.37010.349679-5.52%0.3247-12.27%0.0226✓1.17398k2022-09-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.84121.7391-5.55%1.7033-7.49%0.0276✓1.1031k2022-09-28
XEMNEMnative0.0445650.042068-5.60%0.040173-9.86%0.0087✓0.8530k2022-09-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06370.060115-5.63%0.0534-16.17%0.0782✓0.91105k2022-09-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46070.434544-5.68%0.4454-3.32%0.0745✗1.13364k2022-09-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22190.209272-5.69%0.1721-22.44%0.1383✓1.30133k2022-09-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,551.651,462.75-5.73%1,336.93-13.84%0.0298✓1.36608.4M2022-09-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.61112.7365-5.75%114.17-4.55%0.0633✗1.154.6M2022-09-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01510.014231-5.76%0.01054-30.20%0.2698✓0.69165k2022-09-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.06210.999811-5.87%0.967566-8.90%0.0044✓0.8448k2022-09-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072840.068561-5.87%0.06189-15.03%0.0500✓1.1927k2022-09-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.18232.9921-5.98%2.8623-10.05%0.0006✓1.0226k2022-09-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14532.0161-6.02%1.7586-18.03%0.0840✓1.2013k2022-09-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9870.926795-6.10%0.847-14.18%0.0363✓1.22963k2022-09-28
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016360.001535-6.16%0.001552-5.13%0.0536✓0.97484k2022-09-28
BANDBandEthereum1.2631.1851-6.17%1.218-3.56%0.0803✗1.20471k2022-09-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012480.00001171-6.17%0.00001109-11.14%0.0121✓0.96828k2022-09-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03730.034996-6.18%0.0394+5.63%0.1538✗0.8010k2022-09-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015290.001434-6.23%0.001413-7.59%0.0164✓0.709,4152022-09-28
XTZTezosTezos1.53571.4397-6.25%1.4415-6.13%0.0508✓1.12308k2022-09-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29810.279448-6.26%0.3495+17.24%0.2638✗0.916.9M2022-09-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6840.64116-6.26%0.558-18.42%0.0844✓1.244.6M2022-09-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2216.1312-6.32%14.88-13.59%0.0489✓0.72921k2022-09-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.2435-6.32%4.78+5.52%0.1412✗0.501.1M2022-09-28
ZENHorizenBase16.4415.3947-6.36%13.98-14.96%0.0474✓1.11107k2022-09-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.6184-6.40%1.609-6.94%0.0360✓0.95604k2022-09-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.131.9933-6.42%2.01-5.63%0.0432✓0.79368k2022-09-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.8562.6718-6.45%2.327-18.52%0.0993✓0.88734k2022-09-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052850.285505-6.48%0.266964-12.55%0.0193✓1.08560k2022-09-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.68130.636565-6.57%0.6707-1.56%0.1147✗1.42226k2022-09-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1059180.098961-6.57%0.108139+2.10%0.1253✗0.837.0M2022-09-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3318.0592-6.57%17.25-10.76%0.0123✓1.3222.5M2022-09-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.10211.028-6.72%1.0731-2.63%0.0980✗1.25973k2022-09-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.467.8908-6.73%8.39-0.83%0.0828✗0.492.0M2022-09-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.057546-6.73%0.0574-6.97%0.0525✓1.25851k2022-09-28
KSMKusamaHydration50.1246.732-6.76%44.04-12.13%0.0154✓1.00560k2022-09-28
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.30e-7-6.76%7.80e-7-12.36%0.0273✓0.792.1M2022-09-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33670.313716-6.83%0.2942-12.62%0.0127✓1.17146k2022-09-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6826.2246-6.85%6.046-9.52%0.0107✓0.905.0M2022-09-28
HIVEHivenative0.54610.508651-6.86%0.4862-10.97%0.0069✓0.871.3M2022-09-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04910.045725-6.87%0.0389-20.77%0.1177✓1.00814k2022-09-28
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20190.188007-6.88%0.1572-22.14%0.1349✓1.00133k2022-09-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2763.0496-6.91%2.971-9.31%0.0025✓0.53650k2022-09-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.26281.1754-6.92%1.1856-6.11%0.0486✓0.911.4M2022-09-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1891.1065-6.94%1.048-11.86%0.0108✓0.991.8M2022-09-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.1480.1377-6.96%0.1275-13.85%0.0321✓1.02149k2022-09-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96560.897576-7.04%0.9053-6.24%0.0321✓0.533.6M2022-09-28
COMPCompoundEthereum48.5745.1165-7.11%61.83+27.30%0.3702✗1.2511k2022-09-28
QNTQuantEthereum101.1693.9116-7.17%136.04+34.48%0.4084✗0.863.4M2022-09-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.289.5425-7.17%8.87-13.72%0.0194✓1.22339k2022-09-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2766.737-7.41%6.389-12.19%0.0068✓1.0512.5M2022-09-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0638280.059085-7.43%0.060552-5.13%0.0709✓1.051.6M2022-09-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2663.9476-7.46%3.851-9.73%0.0173✓0.172.3M2022-09-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.43810.5806-7.50%12.988+13.55%0.2553✗1.1410.4M2022-09-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.160889-7.53%0.14439-17.02%0.0619✓1.05363k2022-09-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4951.3819-7.57%1.361-8.96%0.0371✓1.19128k2022-09-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084290.077793-7.71%0.07407-12.12%0.0472✓0.04535k2022-09-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5530.510163-7.75%0.453-18.08%0.0717✓1.0777k2022-09-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0891.9267-7.77%1.709-18.19%0.0689✓1.1646k2022-09-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5270.485792-7.82%0.464-11.95%0.0049✓1.1583k2022-09-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.1315-7.86%6.48-16.28%0.0462✓1.13504k2022-09-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8312.7398-7.88%12.49-9.69%0.0301✓1.13959k2022-09-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139560.128466-7.95%0.12406-11.11%0.0194✓1.23210k2022-09-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9551.798-8.03%1.574-19.49%0.0590✓1.6890k2022-09-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86930.799167-8.07%0.744-14.41%0.0243✓1.071.8M2022-09-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013170.000121043-8.09%0.00027466+108.55%0.8540✗0.79366k2022-09-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032380.002974-8.15%0.002004-38.11%0.3540✓0.931.2M2022-09-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.611.5692-8.18%15.88+26.03%0.3644✗1.081.9M2022-09-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70991.569-8.24%1.1359-33.57%0.2795✓0.991.1M2022-09-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014010.001286-8.24%0.001026-26.79%0.1905✓0.802.1M2022-09-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05250.04817-8.25%0.0402-23.43%0.1366✓1.00248k2022-09-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1773.8322-8.26%3.863-7.52%0.0255✓0.401.9M2022-09-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.360850.330978-8.28%0.3548-1.68%0.1103✗0.92339k2022-09-28
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3395.8117-8.32%6.555+3.41%0.1784✗1.329.9M2022-09-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10630.097411-8.36%0.0988-7.06%0.0624✓1.093.4M2022-09-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6980.638909-8.47%0.594-14.90%0.0341✓0.88234k2022-09-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230850.021109-8.56%0.023761+2.93%0.1230✗0.11262k2022-09-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008530.007796-8.60%0.00704-17.47%0.0528✓1.12477k2022-09-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.314.8522-8.62%5.09-4.14%0.0675✓0.452.3M2022-09-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78240.714021-8.74%0.8512+8.79%0.2401✗1.46161k2022-09-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1025.566-8.78%5.376-11.90%0.0157✓0.434.9M2022-09-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9890.901505-8.85%0.919-7.08%0.0745✓1.251.4M2022-09-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5230.476613-8.87%0.4167-20.33%0.0982✓0.82586k2022-09-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.473.1617-8.88%2.45-29.39%0.1878✓1.533.8M2022-09-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10320.094016-8.90%0.0818-20.74%0.1054✓0.77235k2022-09-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36640.333713-8.92%0.3014-17.74%0.0539✓1.09155k2022-09-28
XECeCashnative0.000049930.000045458-8.96%0.0000413-17.28%0.0577✓0.871.7M2022-09-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.4685-9.07%1.284-20.50%0.0814✓1.2085k2022-09-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,081.728,245.75-9.21%8,208.22-9.62%0.0558✓1.376.5M2022-09-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42380.384666-9.23%0.3496-17.51%0.0444✓1.1689k2022-09-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32230.292138-9.36%0.2673-17.06%0.0409✓1.09112k2022-09-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.295.6971-9.43%6-4.61%0.0721✓0.462.1M2022-09-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.204-9.47%1.14-14.29%0.0123✓0.96142k2022-09-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.0155.4269-9.78%5.856-2.64%0.1145✗0.879.9M2022-09-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036770.0331-9.98%0.03038-17.38%0.0414✓1.0140k2022-09-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.88113.4935-9.99%4.0247+3.70%0.1683✗0.613.3M2022-09-28
FLOWFlownative1.9191.7271-10.00%1.639-14.59%0.0078✓1.361.3M2022-09-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9460.851307-10.01%0.857-9.41%0.0259✓0.444.2M2022-09-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.066510.059825-10.05%0.06091-8.42%0.0669✓1.112.1M2022-09-28
METISMetisEthereum32.4929.1984-10.13%24.14-25.70%0.1065✓1.90288k2022-09-28
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.0528-10.33%0.908-22.66%0.0711✓1.743.3M2022-09-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum3531.318-10.52%16.32-53.37%0.6215✓0.691.5M2022-09-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.385.7083-10.53%6.53+2.35%0.1544✗0.451.7M2022-09-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.5529.9426-10.75%27.63-17.65%0.0143✓1.5013.5M2022-09-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2033.7131-11.66%3.749-10.80%0.0533✓0.99245k2022-09-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.21590.189855-12.06%0.2407+11.49%0.2734✗0.823.1M2022-09-28
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.684.0851-12.71%5.4772+17.03%0.3373✗1.00150k2022-09-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.77785.0028-13.41%5.7785+0.01%0.1533✗0.215.2M2022-09-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.77711.0067-13.86%18.227+42.65%0.5267✗0.507.6M2022-09-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.07745.1538-15.20%6.8966+13.48%0.3034✗0.275.2M2022-09-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.65e-77.32e-7-15.36%5.90e-7-31.81%0.1777✓0.87930k2022-09-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.