8=======>

2022-08-28 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0630
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.34%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.4%
in alpha space · 72.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.44%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.43524.6474-14.49%7.27+33.76%0.4534✗0.244.6M2022-09-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.78e-76.67e-7-14.25%5.76e-7-25.97%0.1261✓0.85542k2022-09-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38210.7031-13.56%19.147+54.64%0.5940✗0.506.1M2022-09-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.55374.824-13.14%6.0413+8.78%0.2299✗0.205.2M2022-09-27
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38863.8505-12.26%5.3063+20.91%0.3454✗1.00147k2022-09-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.21020.185653-11.68%0.2491+18.51%0.3143✗0.822.9M2022-09-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1063.6423-11.29%3.782-7.89%0.0623✓1.00245k2022-09-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.233.1566-10.87%15.57-58.15%0.7384✓0.711.6M2022-09-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.4124-10.39%6.63+9.77%0.2137✗0.441.9M2022-09-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8763.4955-9.82%3.006-22.45%0.1361✓0.60650k2022-09-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035520.032113-9.59%0.03021-14.95%0.0362✓1.0131k2022-09-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.9327.9705-9.57%28.13-9.05%0.0424✓1.4914.6M2022-09-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.65553.3065-9.55%3.9539+8.16%0.1935✗0.593.7M2022-09-27
XECeCashnative0.000046760.000042471-9.17%0.00004062-13.13%0.0234✓0.861.7M2022-09-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0229630.020871-9.11%0.024971+8.74%0.1820✗0.11262k2022-09-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49960.454958-8.94%0.4143-17.07%0.0732✓0.83625k2022-09-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086380.078697-8.89%0.072-16.65%0.0875✓0.06598k2022-09-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78420.71516-8.80%0.8472+8.03%0.2059✗1.48161k2022-09-27
OPTIMOptimism1.0540.962003-8.73%0.92-12.71%0.0019✓1.733.3M2022-09-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.1237-8.64%1.16-5.69%0.0551✓0.95154k2022-09-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008250.007542-8.58%0.00694-15.88%0.0555✓1.12477k2022-09-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.363890.332653-8.58%0.35615-2.13%0.0915✗0.94321k2022-09-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.164.7188-8.55%5.2+0.78%0.1080✗0.442.5M2022-09-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.3698-8.52%6.11+4.09%0.1400✗0.442.1M2022-09-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09810.089796-8.46%0.0835-14.88%0.0539✓0.76247k2022-09-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.8095.3201-8.42%5.627-3.13%0.0665✓0.425.3M2022-09-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6395.1688-8.34%5.733+1.67%0.1248✗0.8610.1M2022-09-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062290.057226-8.13%0.06045-2.95%0.0821✓1.112.2M2022-09-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.00012510.000114962-8.10%0.00027842+122.56%0.9036✗0.77352k2022-09-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66561.531-8.08%1.1492-31.00%0.2625✓0.991.2M2022-09-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,473.377,796.22-7.99%8,301.22-2.03%0.0964✗1.366.5M2022-09-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.001238-7.98%0.001031-23.39%0.1636✓0.802.1M2022-09-27
METISMetisEthereum29.2626.9341-7.95%23.74-18.87%0.0798✓1.88304k2022-09-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9160.843425-7.92%0.919+0.33%0.1164✗1.241.4M2022-09-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9983.6829-7.88%3.933-1.63%0.0752✓0.392.0M2022-09-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.04930.045472-7.76%0.0403-18.26%0.0962✓1.00249k2022-09-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.340.313632-7.76%0.294-13.53%0.0381✓1.07170k2022-09-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.775181-7.72%0.866+3.10%0.1208✗0.404.2M2022-09-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30440.281209-7.62%0.2725-10.48%0.0048✓1.08112k2022-09-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131720.12178-7.55%0.12298-6.64%0.0402✓1.23210k2022-09-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09920.091764-7.50%0.0991-0.10%0.1037✗1.093.6M2022-09-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5111.3997-7.37%1.336-11.58%0.0171✓1.2088k2022-09-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6450.597857-7.31%0.59-8.53%0.0081✓0.86242k2022-09-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0963.7983-7.27%3.918-4.35%0.0349✓0.162.3M2022-09-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9441.8052-7.14%1.693-12.91%0.0359✓1.1547k2022-09-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061750.057356-7.12%0.060554-1.94%0.0802✗1.051.7M2022-09-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029870.002775-7.10%0.002037-31.80%0.2866✓0.911.1M2022-09-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1612.2344-7.03%12.37-6.00%0.0389✓1.131.0M2022-09-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5250.488486-6.96%0.461-12.19%0.0317✓1.0678k2022-09-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8281.7009-6.95%1.576-13.79%0.0350✓1.6890k2022-09-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4880.454208-6.92%0.461-5.53%0.0431✓1.1486k2022-09-27
HIVEHivenative0.52820.492031-6.85%0.4891-7.40%0.0155✓0.871.3M2022-09-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1291.0526-6.76%1.049-7.09%0.0208✓0.981.9M2022-09-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.36730.342505-6.75%0.3504-4.60%0.0505✓1.1289k2022-09-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1027360.095802-6.75%0.110129+7.20%0.1599✗0.837.1M2022-09-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1640.152989-6.71%0.14453-11.87%0.0306✓1.07399k2022-09-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93340.870744-6.71%0.903-3.26%0.0495✓0.533.6M2022-09-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.26.7169-6.71%6.45-10.42%0.0130✓1.12534k2022-09-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06040.056352-6.70%0.0569-5.79%0.0406✓1.26908k2022-09-27
BTTCBTTC8.50e-77.93e-7-6.70%7.70e-7-9.41%0.0103✓0.782.3M2022-09-27
FLOWFlownative1.6921.5787-6.70%1.656-2.13%0.0809✗1.341.2M2022-09-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8616.4028-6.68%6.368-7.19%0.0203✓1.0413.1M2022-09-27
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19030.177764-6.59%0.1568-17.60%0.1008✓1.00146k2022-09-27
UNIUniswapEthereum5.7395.361-6.59%6.366+10.93%0.2040✗1.3010.0M2022-09-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.5599.8636-6.59%13.486+27.72%0.3406✗1.1310.4M2022-09-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.081.9432-6.58%1.99-4.33%0.0434✓0.79384k2022-09-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015030.001404-6.57%0.001442-4.06%0.0439✓0.709,7092022-09-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.097.562-6.53%8.66+7.05%0.1474✗0.482.1M2022-09-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3310.6017-6.43%15.33+35.30%0.3949✗1.061.9M2022-09-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2755.8722-6.42%6.109-2.65%0.0616✓0.895.2M2022-09-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.724724-6.41%0.744-3.93%0.0520✓1.041.9M2022-09-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.2011.1245-6.37%1.1857-1.27%0.0753✗0.901.5M2022-09-27
COMPCompoundEthereum43.8541.1016-6.27%62.04+41.48%0.4421✗1.2312k2022-09-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.13960.130854-6.26%0.1281-8.24%0.0037✓1.01149k2022-09-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9662.7807-6.25%2.263-23.70%0.1693✓1.493.8M2022-09-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.518.916-6.25%8.89-6.52%0.0268✓1.20386k2022-09-27
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015870.001488-6.21%0.001575-0.76%0.0802✗0.96538k2022-09-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.361.2762-6.17%1.34-1.47%0.0777✗1.17128k2022-09-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2912770.273446-6.12%0.266297-8.58%0.0002✓1.08593k2022-09-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.5317.3964-6.12%17.29-6.69%0.0264✓1.3222.5M2022-09-27
GMTGMTEthereum0.64630.607224-6.05%0.6935+7.30%0.1677✗1.41242k2022-09-27
QNTQuantEthereum92.3186.7348-6.04%133.5+44.62%0.4519✗0.843.3M2022-09-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.344.0787-6.02%4.55+4.84%0.1215✗0.491.3M2022-09-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.033555-6.01%0.0413+15.69%0.2272✗0.7911k2022-09-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28230.265358-6.00%0.3524+24.83%0.3059✗0.907.1M2022-09-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.03840.97646-5.97%0.976767-5.94%0.0212✓0.8550k2022-09-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014780.013907-5.91%0.0108-26.93%0.2359✓0.69165k2022-09-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04550.042829-5.87%0.0385-15.38%0.0823✓0.98843k2022-09-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011770.00001109-5.78%0.00001112-5.52%0.0261✓0.95886k2022-09-27
PROPropyEthereum0.730.688305-5.71%0.64-12.33%0.0645✓0.3384k2022-09-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037320.035197-5.69%0.03407-8.71%0.0126✓0.812,7072022-09-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.320.301822-5.68%0.292-8.75%0.0044✓1.16146k2022-09-27
KSMKusamaHydration45.442.8223-5.68%42.54-6.30%0.0175✓0.98560k2022-09-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6715.7301-5.64%14.91-10.56%0.0357✓0.72952k2022-09-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.00430.947693-5.64%1.0698+6.52%0.1518✗1.24973k2022-09-27
XTZTezosTezos1.4261.3461-5.60%1.4449+1.33%0.0982✗1.11319k2022-09-27
XEMNEMnative0.0429950.040591-5.59%0.040084-6.77%0.0083✓0.8529k2022-09-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21340.20152-5.57%0.1721-19.35%0.1257✓1.30133k2022-09-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6450.609271-5.54%0.558-13.49%0.0577✓1.224.8M2022-09-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.43490.410966-5.50%0.4494+3.33%0.1170✗1.12364k2022-09-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.93320.881845-5.50%0.8448-9.47%0.0129✓1.22972k2022-09-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068970.065175-5.50%0.06055-12.21%0.0443✓1.1927k2022-09-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.6072.4651-5.44%2.357-9.59%0.0236✓0.86734k2022-09-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06190.058534-5.44%0.0526-15.02%0.0845✓0.91107k2022-09-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0443960.042005-5.38%0.036288-18.26%0.1334✓0.5228k2022-09-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.260333-5.33%0.248-9.82%0.0305✓0.73710k2022-09-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.00341.8978-5.27%1.7779-11.26%0.0357✓1.2013k2022-09-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.292940.277571-5.25%0.23778-18.83%0.1290✓1.0412k2022-09-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008036-5.23%0.00679-19.93%0.1497✓0.766.2M2022-09-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.39054-5.21%0.391-5.10%0.0262✓1.018,1172022-09-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.7331.6434-5.17%1.419-18.12%0.1236✓0.94137k2022-09-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.59106.8467-5.10%114.29+1.51%0.0956✗1.144.7M2022-09-27
STXStacksnative0.35290.334984-5.08%0.3301-6.46%0.0141✓1.17410k2022-09-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.26380.250418-5.07%0.1576-40.26%0.4401✓0.9394k2022-09-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.61.5189-5.07%1.591-0.56%0.0695✗0.94623k2022-09-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.096184-5.05%0.0992-2.07%0.0524✗0.87200k2022-09-27
XVSVenusEthereum4.824.5804-4.97%4.71-2.28%0.0490✓0.861.6M2022-09-27
MOVRMoonriverBase12.06211.4631-4.97%10.547-12.56%0.0595✓0.9735k2022-09-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07920.075269-4.96%0.0807+1.89%0.0932✗0.9614k2022-09-27
QTUMQtumQtum2.98252.8364-4.90%2.8649-3.94%0.0349✓1.0126k2022-09-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02420.023019-4.88%0.02148-11.24%0.0377✓1.283,4352022-09-27
BANDBandEthereum1.1921.134-4.87%1.209+1.43%0.0936✗1.20491k2022-09-27
ZENHorizenBase14.814.0843-4.84%14.09-4.80%0.0273✓1.09119k2022-09-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044180.042045-4.83%0.0402-9.01%0.0290✓0.6416k2022-09-27
DASHDashDash44.1442.0406-4.76%41.55-5.87%0.0121✓0.97466k2022-09-27
XMRMoneroMonero146.4139.4956-4.72%144.38-1.38%0.0586✗0.981.2M2022-09-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067080.006393-4.70%0.00614-8.47%0.0298✓0.4358k2022-09-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99340.946824-4.69%0.9137-8.02%0.0015✓1.514.6M2022-09-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11840.112905-4.64%0.1299+9.71%0.1655✗1.0230k2022-09-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.328060.312894-4.62%0.29745-9.33%0.0264✓0.9850k2022-09-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,426.631,360.88-4.61%1,327.92-6.92%0.0088✓1.35597.1M2022-09-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.71521.6364-4.59%1.7097-0.32%0.0706✗1.0931k2022-09-27
ZECZcashZcash61.1758.3654-4.58%57.07-6.70%0.0055✓1.131.9M2022-09-27
KCSKuCoinnative8.8168.4135-4.57%9.026+2.38%0.0941✗0.961.5M2022-09-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.006420.006128-4.55%0.00484-24.61%0.2203✓0.631.1M2022-09-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.249235-4.51%0.1169-55.21%0.7569✓0.0191k2022-09-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27310.260818-4.50%0.3066+12.27%0.1854✗0.963.2M2022-09-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022140.021154-4.45%0.01892-14.54%0.0917✓0.81419k2022-09-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021620.02066-4.44%0.02234+3.33%0.0995✗0.8612.4M2022-09-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04190.04004-4.44%0.0413-1.43%0.0549✗0.97175k2022-09-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6310.603031-4.43%0.608-3.65%0.0312✓0.93235k2022-09-27
ADACardanoCardano0.42910.410216-4.40%0.4412+2.82%0.0971✗0.9939.2M2022-09-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3292-4.38%1.43+2.88%0.0713✗-0.07105k2022-09-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.095258-4.36%0.0887-10.94%0.0533✓0.733,2112022-09-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.23620.225951-4.34%0.2646+12.02%0.1814✗0.9579k2022-09-27
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6494.4482-4.32%5.412+16.41%0.2292✗1.348.9M2022-09-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2515.9865-4.23%8.054+28.84%0.3228✗1.0619.0M2022-09-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130020.012454-4.21%0.011651-10.39%0.0509✓0.641.3M2022-09-27
SOLSolanaSolana30.4529.1747-4.19%32.68+7.32%0.1426✗1.1867.0M2022-09-27
CBKCobakEthereum0.846260.81137-4.12%0.78247-7.54%0.0120✓0.9814k2022-09-27
GTGateEthereum4.32284.1487-4.03%4.2532-1.61%0.0439✗0.77775k2022-09-27
XVGVergenative0.002890.002774-4.01%0.00325+12.46%0.1835✗1.02508k2022-09-27
SCSiacoinnative0.003930.003773-3.99%0.00349-11.20%0.0535✓0.99158k2022-09-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067120.064451-3.98%0.06124-8.76%0.0310✓0.829142022-09-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05540.053198-3.97%0.0523-5.60%0.0058✓0.9399k2022-09-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13370.128387-3.97%0.1392+4.11%0.1059✗1.02553k2022-09-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.332.2376-3.97%2.85+22.32%0.2547✗0.5293k2022-09-27
DODODODOEthereum0.11820.113544-3.94%0.1241+4.99%0.1125✗0.961.8M2022-09-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055190.005304-3.91%0.004977-9.82%0.0469✓0.672,5882022-09-27
NANOnanopayBase0.8625010.830053-3.76%0.760511-11.82%0.0676✓0.8177k2022-09-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.159770.153771-3.75%0.16684+4.43%0.1327✗2.076362022-09-27
STEEMSteemnative0.21830.210108-3.75%0.2234+2.34%0.0837✗0.90528k2022-09-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum1.951.877-3.75%1.77-9.23%0.0286✓1.22255k2022-09-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.748320.720535-3.71%0.69457-7.18%0.0146✓0.89509k2022-09-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.28e-7-3.69%7.90e-7-8.14%0.0273✓0.8116k2022-09-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.08540.082291-3.64%0.104+21.78%0.2577✗0.96409k2022-09-27
FTTFTXEthereum25.3524.4469-3.56%23.63-6.79%0.0102✓0.967.3M2022-09-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20240.195292-3.51%0.1944-3.95%0.0206✓1.0261k2022-09-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.79349.9816-3.50%49.802-3.84%0.0146✓0.74328k2022-09-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0203860.019708-3.32%0.019414-4.77%0.0051✓0.8213k2022-09-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.1755.004-3.30%4.1377-20.04%0.1869✓0.13119k2022-09-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.313630.303436-3.25%0.43112+37.46%0.3733✗0.90378k2022-09-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12020.116466-3.11%0.1135-5.57%0.0123✓0.553.8M2022-09-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.524370.508573-3.01%0.46109-12.07%0.0660✓1.3041k2022-09-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.05820.056447-3.01%0.0467-19.76%0.1610✓1.16252k2022-09-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,554.0319,001.94-2.82%19,077.57-2.44%0.0286✗1.00474.0M2022-09-27
TRXTRONTron0.0613920.059708-2.74%0.059413-3.22%0.0099✓0.60142k2022-09-27
AAVEAaveEthereum78.5776.4431-2.71%76.6-2.51%0.0390✗1.506.5M2022-09-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03450.033638-2.50%0.0336-2.61%0.0219✓0.9386k2022-09-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.3852.0709-2.45%52.67-1.33%0.0357✗0.9812.8M2022-09-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.477326-2.39%0.355-27.40%0.2652✓1.252,6092022-09-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.13810.135034-2.22%0.1365-1.16%0.0365✗1.041,7802022-09-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.15920.15597-2.03%0.1477-7.22%0.0204✓1.382,2552022-09-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,646.4019,379.80-1.36%19,015.60-3.21%0.0042✓0.9411k2022-09-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.32610.321763-1.33%0.318-2.48%0.0194✗1.26176k2022-09-27
DIADIAEthereum0.363040.358625-1.22%0.3775+3.98%0.0751✗0.9745k2022-09-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.