8=======>

2022-08-27 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2003
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.30%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.5%
in alpha space · 78.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.59e-76.62e-7-12.77%5.80e-7-23.56%0.0980✓0.82198k2022-09-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.1734.2875-10.17%15.47-59.47%0.7607✓0.851.7M2022-09-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.22711.8833-10.16%17.596+33.03%0.4124✗0.486.1M2022-09-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.08014.5717-10.01%7.0111+38.01%0.4381✗0.254.6M2022-09-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.2594.7474-9.73%5.8779+11.77%0.2224✗0.215.2M2022-09-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.631.4716-9.72%1.347-17.36%0.0389✓1.2093k2022-09-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10160.091732-9.71%0.0831-18.21%0.0675✓0.76247k2022-09-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1343.7433-9.45%3.71-10.26%0.0313✓0.98245k2022-09-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57530.521911-9.28%0.4284-25.53%0.1638✓0.82625k2022-09-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.5415.9557-9.03%14.93-14.88%0.0373✓0.71965k2022-09-26
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.26553.8821-8.99%5.3321+25.01%0.3586✗1.00158k2022-09-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.37281.2513-8.85%1.2-12.59%0.0035✓0.931.6M2022-09-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.220.200706-8.77%0.258+17.27%0.2848✗0.823.1M2022-09-26
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085470.078279-8.41%0.07321-14.34%0.0643✓0.07613k2022-09-26
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.35320.323527-8.40%0.2916-17.44%0.0573✓1.13152k2022-09-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001264-7.70%0.001052-23.20%0.1510✓0.802.1M2022-09-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.790.729279-7.69%0.8476+7.29%0.2094✗1.43161k2022-09-26
METISMetisEthereum30.0527.7902-7.52%24.4-18.80%0.0524✓1.89327k2022-09-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35690.331067-7.24%0.2991-16.20%0.0559✓1.11175k2022-09-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013390.000124244-7.21%0.0003091+130.84%0.9463✗0.85340k2022-09-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035990.033419-7.14%0.03052-15.20%0.0494✓1.0031k2022-09-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.158812-7.13%0.14586-14.70%0.0406✓1.08434k2022-09-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.73533.4694-7.12%3.8697+3.60%0.1335✗0.593.7M2022-09-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative3330.6544-7.11%28.46-13.76%0.0150✓1.4415.4M2022-09-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.812.8392-6.96%12.5-9.42%0.0240✓1.231.1M2022-09-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.225.7914-6.89%5.99-3.70%0.0513✓0.432.5M2022-09-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.783054-6.78%0.87+3.57%0.1222✗0.414.2M2022-09-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8295.4347-6.76%5.694-2.32%0.0822✗0.8610.1M2022-09-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.056336-6.73%0.0467-22.68%0.1405✓1.14252k2022-09-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.111.9687-6.70%1.78-15.64%0.0501✓1.23281k2022-09-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.78960.738863-6.43%0.7403-6.24%0.0463✓1.082.0M2022-09-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.04880.982169-6.35%1.0038-4.29%0.0569✓0.8551k2022-09-26
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003648-6.23%0.00352-9.51%0.0054✓1.00152k2022-09-26
FLOWFlownative1.8231.7111-6.14%1.662-8.83%0.0257✓1.331.2M2022-09-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014540.001365-6.11%0.001452-0.14%0.0912✗0.729,7092022-09-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2123.9563-6.07%3.902-7.36%0.0015✓0.372.0M2022-09-26
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.17e-7-6.07%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0009✓0.802.4M2022-09-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2968890.27917-5.97%0.26843-9.59%0.0057✓1.09620k2022-09-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7845.4394-5.96%5.677-1.85%0.0589✓0.395.3M2022-09-26
BANDBandEthereum1.2211.1485-5.94%1.212-0.74%0.1048✗1.24518k2022-09-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.16484.858-5.94%4.0724-21.15%0.1707✓0.14138k2022-09-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015180.014292-5.85%0.01097-27.73%0.2369✓0.67165k2022-09-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006740.00635-5.78%0.006497-3.61%0.0409✓0.4458k2022-09-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2155-5.77%1.16-10.08%0.0073✓0.96170k2022-09-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.625096-5.72%0.591-10.86%0.0196✓0.89248k2022-09-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0281.9139-5.63%1.702-16.07%0.0702✓1.1549k2022-09-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064280.060669-5.62%0.06182-3.83%0.0647✗1.122.4M2022-09-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634220.059876-5.59%0.061133-3.61%0.0637✗1.041.7M2022-09-26
NANOnanopayBase0.8828390.83349-5.59%0.767713-13.04%0.0489✓0.8184k2022-09-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.04790.989929-5.53%0.9298-11.27%0.0011✓1.494.7M2022-09-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.550.519663-5.52%0.468-14.91%0.0597✓1.0984k2022-09-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.14190.134104-5.49%0.1286-9.37%0.0002✓1.01166k2022-09-26
KCSKuCoinnative9.1348.6355-5.46%9.117-0.19%0.0931✗0.941.6M2022-09-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6822.5362-5.43%3.028+12.90%0.2045✗0.66650k2022-09-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.6712.5263-5.42%2.376-11.04%0.0260✓0.86749k2022-09-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022610.021395-5.38%0.01857-17.87%0.1104✓0.76444k2022-09-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.4628-5.37%9.07-9.30%0.0064✓1.18439k2022-09-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.8552-5.35%1.585-19.13%0.0865✓1.7294k2022-09-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13220.125158-5.33%0.12443-5.88%0.0440✓1.21210k2022-09-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17310.5783-5.32%13.903+24.43%0.3196✗1.1210.4M2022-09-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.541550.512884-5.29%0.45938-15.17%0.0573✓1.2843k2022-09-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04740.044898-5.28%0.0388-18.14%0.1059✓0.97843k2022-09-26
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19570.18542-5.25%0.1605-17.99%0.1031✓1.00149k2022-09-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.340040.32225-5.23%0.36544+7.47%0.1646✗0.94321k2022-09-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.234.0121-5.15%3.87-8.51%0.0305✓0.142.3M2022-09-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.0419.0155-5.11%17.57-12.33%0.0261✓1.2923.0M2022-09-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0446.6841-5.11%6.559-6.89%0.0233✓1.0213.7M2022-09-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9360.888296-5.10%0.919-1.82%0.0842✗1.221.4M2022-09-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,491.221,415.54-5.07%1,336.61-10.37%0.0019✓1.35597.1M2022-09-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,782.658,337.92-5.06%8,333.34-5.12%0.0558✗1.376.8M2022-09-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.295.0243-5.02%5.18-2.08%0.0478✓0.422.6M2022-09-26
DASHDashDash45.1342.8756-5.00%41.71-7.58%0.0127✓0.98486k2022-09-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10330.098151-4.98%0.1025-0.77%0.0884✗1.093.7M2022-09-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03660.034807-4.90%0.042+14.75%0.2226✗0.8411k2022-09-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06080.057824-4.89%0.0562-7.57%0.0220✓1.23984k2022-09-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06121.0095-4.87%1.0612+0.00%0.1015✗1.25981k2022-09-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.00660.00628-4.85%0.0049-25.76%0.2215✓0.651.1M2022-09-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.336.9758-4.83%6.46-11.87%0.0310✓1.11592k2022-09-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1461.0907-4.82%1.073-6.37%0.0243✓0.992.1M2022-09-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030410.002894-4.82%0.002048-32.65%0.3094✓0.891.1M2022-09-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.510.485453-4.81%0.467-8.43%0.0084✓1.1488k2022-09-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78241.6967-4.81%1.169-34.41%0.3294✓1.051.2M2022-09-26
XVGVergenative0.002920.002782-4.72%0.00324+10.96%0.1950✗1.03520k2022-09-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.185.8882-4.72%6.72+8.74%0.1496✗0.421.9M2022-09-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78791.704-4.69%1.7071-4.52%0.0461✓1.0733k2022-09-26
RADRadworksEthereum2.142.0397-4.69%1.99-7.01%0.0079✓0.79407k2022-09-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45670.435306-4.68%0.4441-2.76%0.0661✗1.12386k2022-09-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14040.133876-4.65%0.1394-0.71%0.0804✗0.97624k2022-09-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0232380.022165-4.62%0.025324+8.98%0.1383✗0.12258k2022-09-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007570.007221-4.61%0.00697-7.93%0.0110✓1.13477k2022-09-26
QNTQuantEthereum94.3890.0676-4.57%120.63+27.81%0.3275✗0.863.4M2022-09-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3036.0152-4.57%6.234-1.09%0.0742✗0.935.2M2022-09-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1055940.100783-4.56%0.113735+7.71%0.1559✗0.857.4M2022-09-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.594.3817-4.54%4.37-4.79%0.0167✓0.471.3M2022-09-26
COMPCompoundEthereum46.0943.9985-4.54%62.82+36.30%0.4073✗1.2412k2022-09-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.393336-4.53%0.394-4.37%0.0424✓0.998,1172022-09-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.68530.654429-4.50%0.6407-6.51%0.0379✓1.44257k2022-09-26
XVSVenusEthereum4.874.6517-4.48%4.8-1.44%0.0666✗0.851.6M2022-09-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22010.21039-4.41%0.1738-21.04%0.1359✓1.34133k2022-09-26
HIVEHivenative0.53350.510077-4.39%0.4933-7.54%0.0031✓0.891.6M2022-09-26
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016060.001536-4.38%0.00153-4.73%0.0365✓0.98538k2022-09-26
FTTFTXEthereum25.824.6724-4.37%24.21-6.16%0.0206✓0.967.4M2022-09-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.96610.92392-4.37%0.8592-11.07%0.0225✓1.22999k2022-09-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28890.276562-4.27%0.3688+27.66%0.3258✗0.927.4M2022-09-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06390.061173-4.27%0.0524-18.00%0.1179✓0.90111k2022-09-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.05090.04874-4.24%0.0407-20.04%0.1395✓0.99252k2022-09-26
XECeCashnative0.000036880.000035327-4.21%0.00004071+10.39%0.1787✗0.901.7M2022-09-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8912.7695-4.20%2.327-19.51%0.1090✓1.583.8M2022-09-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.6194-4.18%1.608-4.85%0.0318✓0.94704k2022-09-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4041.3455-4.17%1.342-4.42%0.0459✗1.18130k2022-09-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00870.008338-4.16%0.00685-21.26%0.1650✓0.776.4M2022-09-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038280.036688-4.16%0.03398-11.23%0.0430✓0.822,8422022-09-26
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.43e-7-4.15%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0321✓0.8117k2022-09-26
MOVRMoonriverBase12.539112.0253-4.10%10.8942-13.12%0.0592✓0.9635k2022-09-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.146183-4.08%0.1414-7.22%0.0115✓1.091,7802022-09-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336220.322678-4.03%0.29942-10.95%0.0344✓0.9852k2022-09-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10150.097446-3.99%0.099-2.46%0.0516✗0.87212k2022-09-26
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.25091-3.94%0.1168-55.28%0.7643✓0.0191k2022-09-26
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7574.5698-3.93%5.514+15.91%0.2443✗1.379.3M2022-09-26
PROPropyEthereum0.750.7205-3.93%0.62-17.33%0.1362✓0.3486k2022-09-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20670.19859-3.92%0.1967-4.84%0.0324✓1.0261k2022-09-26
ZECZcashZcash61.3658.9634-3.91%58.95-3.93%0.0461✗1.131.9M2022-09-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012160.000011694-3.84%0.00001112-8.55%0.0117✓0.94895k2022-09-26
FORTFortaEthereum0.2680.257791-3.81%0.1587-40.78%0.4466✓0.94100k2022-09-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31440.302474-3.79%0.2826-10.11%0.0202✓1.16112k2022-09-26
XEMNEMnative0.0447080.043014-3.79%0.040163-10.17%0.0334✓0.8530k2022-09-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.48.0833-3.77%8.5+1.19%0.0691✗0.462.1M2022-09-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5316.2861-3.75%7.943+21.62%0.2780✗1.0719.3M2022-09-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068190.065657-3.71%0.06223-8.74%0.0199✓0.829142022-09-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08592.0088-3.70%1.7631-15.48%0.0802✓1.2213k2022-09-26
ELAElastosEthereum1.7581.6944-3.62%1.39-20.93%0.1591✓0.94143k2022-09-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10350.099779-3.60%0.0897-13.33%0.0772✓0.713,4822022-09-26
GTGateEthereum4.3764.2208-3.55%4.2373-3.17%0.0355✓0.77798k2022-09-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.3760.362712-3.53%0.3614-3.88%0.0427✗1.1289k2022-09-26
KSMKusamaHydration45.8444.2406-3.49%42.14-8.07%0.0080✓0.99572k2022-09-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11860.114526-3.43%0.1264+6.58%0.1408✗1.0232k2022-09-26
SOLSolanaSolana31.5430.4671-3.40%33.89+7.45%0.1542✗1.1668.8M2022-09-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.282280.272714-3.39%0.24056-14.78%0.0822✓1.0512k2022-09-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778420.752357-3.35%0.70255-9.75%0.0307✓0.92512k2022-09-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.09080.087784-3.32%0.1023+12.67%0.1921✗0.95414k2022-09-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023030.022274-3.28%0.02306+0.13%0.0699✗0.8613.0M2022-09-26
ZENHorizenBase15.214.7011-3.28%14.07-7.43%0.0019✓1.11125k2022-09-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,036.6919,379.60-3.28%19,228.00-4.04%0.0333✗1.00474.0M2022-09-26
XYMSymbolnative0.04540.043934-3.23%0.036747-19.06%0.1572✓0.5230k2022-09-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056180.005437-3.22%0.004988-11.22%0.0587✓0.672,5882022-09-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.055101-3.16%0.0528-7.21%0.0056✓0.9099k2022-09-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.271206-3.14%0.25-10.71%0.0517✓0.72772k2022-09-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16930.164048-3.10%0.1515-10.51%0.0228✓1.382,1742022-09-26
OPTIMOptimism1.0250.993678-3.06%0.923-9.95%0.0020✓1.743.4M2022-09-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12360.119971-2.94%0.1132-8.41%0.0346✓0.573.9M2022-09-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206730.020069-2.92%0.019438-5.97%0.0022✓0.8313k2022-09-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27960.271455-2.91%0.3116+11.44%0.1772✗0.953.3M2022-09-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.26111.9203-2.90%116.33+0.93%0.0853✗1.134.8M2022-09-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131780.0128-2.87%0.011701-11.21%0.0631✓0.651.4M2022-09-26
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0565.8828-2.86%5.924-2.18%0.0612✗1.3210.1M2022-09-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5090.49453-2.84%0.375-26.33%0.2258✓1.242,6092022-09-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.911.5625-2.84%14.86+24.87%0.2976✗1.131.9M2022-09-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6590.640423-2.82%0.56-15.02%0.0851✓1.195.0M2022-09-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.37450.9082-2.80%51.331-1.99%0.0387✗0.74332k2022-09-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08450.082194-2.73%0.0821-2.84%0.0378✗0.9414k2022-09-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.033861-2.70%0.0337-3.16%0.0326✗0.9186k2022-09-26
STXStacksnative0.36380.354326-2.60%0.327-10.12%0.0321✓1.17432k2022-09-26
AAVEAaveEthereum82.1179.9783-2.60%76.28-7.10%0.0166✓1.556.7M2022-09-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024690.024069-2.51%0.02222-10.00%0.0272✓1.283,4352022-09-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9630.93908-2.48%0.9069-5.83%0.0118✓0.563.6M2022-09-26
XMRMoneroMonero145.16141.5622-2.48%145.75+0.41%0.0703✗1.001.2M2022-09-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.236469-2.45%0.2696+11.22%0.1706✗0.9681k2022-09-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04360.042582-2.34%0.0418-4.13%0.0219✓0.98175k2022-09-26
XTZTezosTezos1.46761.4336-2.31%1.475+0.50%0.0740✗1.11336k2022-09-26
ADACardanoCardano0.450.43974-2.28%0.4471-0.64%0.0594✗1.0440.7M2022-09-26
DIADIAEthereum0.367740.359619-2.21%0.38522+4.75%0.1084✗0.9651k2022-09-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0351.8983-2.13%53.45+0.79%0.0704✗0.9913.0M2022-09-26
STEEMSteemnative0.22110.216671-2.00%0.2204-0.32%0.0545✗0.91504k2022-09-26
QTUMQtumQtum3.12693.0644-2.00%2.8439-9.05%0.0331✓1.0127k2022-09-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3827-1.94%1.43+1.42%0.0321✗-0.04115k2022-09-26
CBKCobakEthereum0.864060.847847-1.88%0.78146-9.56%0.0412✓0.9814k2022-09-26
TRXTRONTron0.0629350.061832-1.75%0.059595-5.31%0.0124✓0.59151k2022-09-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.472.4281-1.70%2.84+14.98%0.1777✗0.5189k2022-09-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.641014-1.68%0.625-4.14%0.0136✓0.94266k2022-09-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045180.044486-1.54%0.0407-9.92%0.0605✓0.6916k2022-09-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,933.0019,628.39-1.53%19,140.50-3.98%0.0138✓0.9511k2022-09-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157620.155214-1.53%0.17014+7.94%0.1776✗2.086362022-09-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06750.066484-1.50%0.06071-10.06%0.0415✓1.2028k2022-09-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.329760.326084-1.11%0.48074+45.78%0.4291✗0.99391k2022-09-26
DODODODOEthereum0.12460.123429-0.94%0.1242-0.32%0.0446✗0.931.9M2022-09-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34920.346152-0.87%0.3272-6.30%0.0053✓1.24191k2022-09-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.