8=======>

2022-08-26 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0288
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.2%
in alpha space · 78.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.57e-76.57e-7-13.26%4.79e-7-36.69%0.2550✓0.82192k2022-09-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.74410.252-12.70%18.429+56.92%0.6217✗0.484.8M2022-09-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.78814.1827-12.64%7.7616+62.10%0.6367✗0.254.2M2022-09-25
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30273.7639-12.52%5.704+32.57%0.4891✗1.00169k2022-09-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.08664.5023-11.49%6.5495+28.76%0.3901✗0.215.1M2022-09-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.20770.184407-11.21%0.2555+23.01%0.3860✗0.822.8M2022-09-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2253.7564-11.09%3.81-9.82%0.0862✓0.98269k2022-09-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3933.2591-11.05%15.23-59.27%0.7176✓0.871.8M2022-09-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9130.3053-10.63%28.38-16.31%0.0400✓1.4416.0M2022-09-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036890.03323-9.92%0.02945-20.17%0.0473✓1.0031k2022-09-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.4485-9.79%6.91+14.40%0.2686✗0.422.1M2022-09-25
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.839253-9.56%0.862-7.11%0.0569✓0.414.2M2022-09-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0231980.021011-9.43%0.025743+10.97%0.2119✗0.12250k2022-09-25
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.39830.360941-9.38%0.2949-25.96%0.1205✓1.11152k2022-09-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.693.35-9.21%3.974+7.70%0.2138✗0.593.5M2022-09-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33230.30182-9.17%0.2916-12.25%0.0504✓1.16112k2022-09-25
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80010.727184-9.11%0.8499+6.22%0.2610✗1.43193k2022-09-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,981.548,168.89-9.05%8,084.45-9.99%0.0893✓1.367.3M2022-09-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.091543-9.00%0.0879-12.62%0.0145✓0.75247k2022-09-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.47730.435309-8.80%0.4159-12.86%0.0148✓0.82625k2022-09-25
METISMetisEthereum31.128.3968-8.69%23.75-23.63%0.0405✓1.88348k2022-09-25
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085260.077934-8.59%0.07522-11.78%0.0306✓0.07637k2022-09-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.1798-8.54%1.13-12.40%0.0275✓0.96182k2022-09-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35560.325573-8.44%0.295-17.04%0.0172✓1.11175k2022-09-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72351.5802-8.32%1.163-32.52%0.2303✓1.041.2M2022-09-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.975.478-8.24%6.13+2.68%0.1439✗0.432.5M2022-09-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6321.4987-8.17%1.21-25.86%0.1253✓1.2196k2022-09-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.234.8033-8.16%5.36+2.49%0.1393✗0.402.8M2022-09-25
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063210.058101-8.08%0.06083-3.77%0.1282✗1.122.4M2022-09-25
OPTIMOptimism1.0190.936747-8.07%0.904-11.29%0.0923✗1.743.5M2022-09-25
LUNATerraTerra 20.000123060.000113162-8.04%0.00019608+59.34%0.6131✗0.86340k2022-09-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6715.2224-7.91%5.717+0.81%0.1540✗0.8710.1M2022-09-25
FLOWFlownative1.8511.7048-7.90%1.644-11.18%0.0612✓1.331.2M2022-09-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.04980.045878-7.88%0.0406-18.47%0.0487✓1.00251k2022-09-25
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9250.852387-7.85%0.919-0.65%0.1647✗1.221.4M2022-09-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.55410.6577-7.76%13.976+20.96%0.3534✗1.1210.4M2022-09-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013750.001268-7.76%0.001035-24.67%0.1439✓0.802.0M2022-09-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1243.8047-7.74%3.981-3.47%0.0726✓0.371.9M2022-09-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.539.7205-7.69%9.24-12.25%0.0363✓1.19466k2022-09-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10240.094623-7.60%0.1012-1.17%0.1476✗1.103.9M2022-09-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003120.002883-7.58%0.002104-32.56%0.2497✓0.891.1M2022-09-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.2711.3481-7.51%13.81+12.55%0.2791✗1.131.9M2022-09-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6925.2653-7.50%5.84+2.60%0.1313✗0.385.3M2022-09-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0351.8848-7.38%1.695-16.71%0.0212✓1.1655k2022-09-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.471532-7.36%0.458-10.02%0.0549✓1.1488k2022-09-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.340.315026-7.35%0.38138+12.17%0.2605✗0.95321k2022-09-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0635310.058871-7.34%0.061274-3.55%0.1164✗1.041.9M2022-09-25
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6470.599665-7.32%0.573-11.44%0.0201✓0.89253k2022-09-25
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1545.7056-7.29%5.659-8.04%0.0879✗1.3110.3M2022-09-25
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9421.801-7.26%1.589-18.18%0.0007✓1.72106k2022-09-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6819.194-7.19%17.32-16.25%0.0081✓1.2923.6M2022-09-25
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.08e-7-7.16%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0108✓0.802.4M2022-09-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.312.3501-7.14%12.39-6.84%0.0936✗1.231.2M2022-09-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131480.122097-7.14%0.12204-7.18%0.0894✗1.22210k2022-09-25
RADRadworksEthereum2.252.0896-7.13%2.03-9.78%0.0291✓0.79451k2022-09-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5460.507297-7.09%0.465-14.84%0.0067✓1.0996k2022-09-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1493.8559-7.07%4.058-2.19%0.0612✓0.142.4M2022-09-25
HIVEHivenative0.53430.496956-6.99%0.4965-7.07%0.0640✓0.881.6M2022-09-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1038590.096689-6.90%0.117358+13.00%0.2567✗0.867.8M2022-09-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007650.007126-6.85%0.0069-9.80%0.0504✓1.13503k2022-09-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95920.893869-6.81%0.9007-6.10%0.0487✓0.563.6M2022-09-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170.158612-6.70%0.14748-13.25%0.0067✓1.08464k2022-09-25
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38790.361977-6.68%0.3536-8.84%0.0591✓1.1289k2022-09-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9226.4617-6.65%6.206-10.34%0.0351✓1.0314.0M2022-09-25
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19730.18425-6.61%0.16-18.91%0.0677✓1.00152k2022-09-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06260.058477-6.59%0.055-12.14%0.0284✓1.221.0M2022-09-25
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06850.998195-6.58%1.0388-2.78%0.1315✗1.25981k2022-09-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24891.1668-6.58%1.1659-6.65%0.0681✗0.941.5M2022-09-25
QNTQuantEthereum98.2391.8088-6.54%116.27+18.37%0.2989✗0.853.5M2022-09-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.317.7684-6.52%8.41+1.20%0.1125✗0.452.3M2022-09-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03780.035342-6.50%0.0409+8.20%0.2079✗0.8411k2022-09-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1511.0762-6.50%1.072-6.86%0.0685✗0.992.1M2022-09-25
COMPCompoundEthereum45.9242.9597-6.45%61.45+33.82%0.4488✗1.2414k2022-09-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.133799-6.43%0.129-9.79%0.0379✓1.01190k2022-09-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037830.035396-6.43%0.03412-9.81%0.0233✓0.822,8422022-09-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015860.014842-6.42%0.0107-32.53%0.2782✓0.67171k2022-09-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04720.04422-6.31%0.0373-20.97%0.0984✓0.98843k2022-09-25
GITCOINGITCOIN2.16622.0296-6.31%1.7195-20.62%0.0759✓1.2313k2022-09-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001393-6.25%0.001431-3.70%0.0797✗0.729,9742022-09-25
GMTGMTEthereum0.70530.661307-6.24%0.618-12.38%0.0377✓1.44258k2022-09-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2216.1468-6.23%15.04-12.66%0.0188✓0.711.2M2022-09-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012430.000011656-6.23%0.00001103-11.26%0.0140✓0.94948k2022-09-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2890820.271098-6.22%0.268444-7.14%0.0704✗1.09696k2022-09-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.326.866-6.20%6.34-13.39%0.0019✓1.11638k2022-09-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3861.3001-6.20%1.35-2.60%0.1242✗1.18130k2022-09-25
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77510.727063-6.20%0.7301-5.81%0.0841✗1.092.1M2022-09-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.670.628774-6.15%0.552-17.61%0.0364✓1.285.2M2022-09-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22450.210764-6.12%0.1759-21.65%0.0832✓1.33133k2022-09-25
PROPropyEthereum0.730.686666-5.94%0.65-10.96%0.0291✓0.35105k2022-09-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.2061-5.90%4.61+3.13%0.1257✗0.461.3M2022-09-25
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015660.001474-5.90%0.001554-0.77%0.1254✗0.98558k2022-09-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28310.266394-5.90%0.3884+37.20%0.4450✗0.937.6M2022-09-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06340.059687-5.86%0.0564-11.04%0.0101✓0.91116k2022-09-25
XEMNEMnative0.0438050.041258-5.81%0.039806-9.13%0.0270✓0.8632k2022-09-25
XTZTezosTezos1.48281.3969-5.79%1.4603-1.52%0.1254✗1.10355k2022-09-25
API3Api3Ethereum1.6831.5858-5.77%1.593-5.35%0.0739✗0.95782k2022-09-25
XECeCashnative0.000036680.000034579-5.73%0.0000401+9.32%0.2139✗0.901.7M2022-09-25
XYMSymbolnative0.0454970.0429-5.71%0.037449-17.69%0.0978✓0.5233k2022-09-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.05080.991078-5.69%0.955083-9.11%0.0259✓0.8653k2022-09-25
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95780.903341-5.69%0.8636-9.84%0.0442✓1.221.0M2022-09-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.7485.4253-5.61%5.911+2.84%0.1543✗0.935.2M2022-09-25
KSMKusamaHydration44.5242.0327-5.59%40.47-9.10%0.0351✓0.99610k2022-09-25
SGBSongbirdnative0.02590.024453-5.59%0.0198-23.55%0.1660✓0.6144k2022-09-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05290.994859-5.51%0.8882-15.64%0.0038✓1.494.9M2022-09-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070150.066299-5.49%0.06038-13.93%0.0060✓1.1929k2022-09-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.5736-5.49%2.321-14.76%0.0131✓1.594.0M2022-09-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44910.424685-5.44%0.4357-2.98%0.1079✗1.12400k2022-09-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.16109.9203-5.37%113.48-2.31%0.1152✗1.134.9M2022-09-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023340.022088-5.37%0.01924-17.57%0.0810✓0.78444k2022-09-25
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08570.081207-5.24%0.0811-5.37%0.0674✗0.9414k2022-09-25
UMAUMAEthereum2.72.5586-5.24%2.367-12.33%0.0149✓0.86749k2022-09-25
QTUMQtumQtum3.12052.9593-5.17%2.7901-10.59%0.0153✓1.0128k2022-09-25
STXStacksnative0.36120.342584-5.15%0.3268-9.52%0.0385✓1.17450k2022-09-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10290.0976-5.15%0.0987-4.08%0.0751✗0.87238k2022-09-25
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.250989-5.11%0.1614-38.98%0.3726✓0.94106k2022-09-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.26008-5.08%0.25-8.76%0.0141✓0.73826k2022-09-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.628385-5.08%0.601-9.21%0.0245✓0.94304k2022-09-25
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.409258-5.04%0.397-7.89%0.0421✓0.998,3142022-09-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.162.0517-5.01%1.74-19.44%0.0741✓1.24299k2022-09-25
XVSVenusEthereum5.134.8741-4.99%4.7-8.38%0.0266✓0.861.6M2022-09-25
ELAElastosEthereum1.7731.6846-4.98%1.389-21.66%0.1236✓0.94145k2022-09-25
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02460.023377-4.97%0.02108-14.31%0.0094✓1.283,4352022-09-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77411.6866-4.93%1.7094-3.64%0.0928✗1.0838k2022-09-25
MOVRMoonriverBase12.120111.5236-4.92%10.7033-11.69%0.0030✓0.9639k2022-09-25
BANDBandEthereum1.2231.1632-4.89%1.22-0.25%0.1385✗1.24534k2022-09-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.280990.267405-4.83%0.24186-13.93%0.0234✓1.0512k2022-09-25
CBKCobakEthereum0.867510.825653-4.82%0.79361-8.52%0.0323✓0.9813k2022-09-25
ZENHorizenBase15.5214.7753-4.80%13.77-11.28%0.0114✓1.12130k2022-09-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5046.1926-4.79%7.869+20.99%0.3181✗1.0719.5M2022-09-25
ETHEthereumEthereum1,508.021,436.13-4.77%1,294.63-14.15%0.0051✓1.34608.4M2022-09-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12070.115005-4.72%0.1275+5.63%0.1783✗1.0233k2022-09-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021860.02083-4.71%0.02274+4.03%0.1499✗0.8513.4M2022-09-25
ADACardanoCardano0.43170.41147-4.69%0.4463+3.38%0.1578✗1.0440.7M2022-09-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27920.266171-4.67%0.2739-1.90%0.0987✗0.963.4M2022-09-25
KCSKuCoinnative9.2328.8042-4.63%8.909-3.50%0.0817✗0.951.8M2022-09-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008087-4.63%0.00683-19.46%0.1121✓0.776.4M2022-09-25
DASHDashDash44.342.2802-4.56%41.11-7.20%0.0439✓0.98504k2022-09-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6812.5591-4.55%3.035+13.20%0.2192✗0.66653k2022-09-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.04134-4.53%0.0412-4.85%0.0688✗0.98180k2022-09-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.24330.232328-4.51%0.2691+10.60%0.2173✗0.9683k2022-09-25
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.249351-4.50%0.1178-54.88%0.7493✓0.0191k2022-09-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066650.006367-4.47%0.006393-4.08%0.0361✓0.4457k2022-09-25
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7744.5623-4.43%5.722+19.86%0.3268✗1.379.8M2022-09-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336050.321534-4.32%0.30082-10.48%0.0053✓0.9870k2022-09-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13960.133578-4.31%0.138-1.15%0.1046✗0.98638k2022-09-25
DODODODOEthereum0.12730.12181-4.31%0.1222-4.01%0.0742✗0.971.9M2022-09-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013330.012759-4.29%0.011757-11.80%0.0348✓0.641.4M2022-09-25
XMRMoneroMonero142.81136.6984-4.28%141.32-1.04%0.1070✗1.001.2M2022-09-25
ZECZcashZcash61.158.5366-4.20%56.19-8.04%0.0422✓1.132.0M2022-09-25
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.492.3856-4.19%1.97-20.88%0.1539✓0.5193k2022-09-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.006570.006295-4.19%0.00478-27.25%0.2278✓0.651.2M2022-09-25
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778130.74581-4.15%0.69888-10.18%0.0024✓0.92523k2022-09-25
SOLSolanaSolana31.7430.4234-4.15%32.33+1.86%0.1457✗1.1670.1M2022-09-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044580.042732-4.15%0.04104-7.94%0.0106✓0.7016k2022-09-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10120.097017-4.13%0.0892-11.86%0.0315✓0.723,6712022-09-25
AVTAventusEthereum1.361.3049-4.05%1.43+5.15%0.0887✗-0.04124k2022-09-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.055091-4.02%0.0543-5.40%0.0519✗0.90104k2022-09-25
GTGateEthereum4.37994.2064-3.96%4.2146-3.77%0.0584✗0.77827k2022-09-25
XVGVergenative0.003030.002913-3.88%0.00325+7.26%0.1854✗1.03537k2022-09-25
STEEMSteemnative0.22130.212787-3.85%0.2183-1.36%0.0924✗0.91528k2022-09-25
SCSiacoinnative0.003910.003763-3.75%0.00353-9.72%0.0090✓1.00158k2022-09-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20820.200396-3.75%0.1962-5.76%0.0536✗1.0266k2022-09-25
FTTFTXEthereum25.9725.0063-3.71%23.5-9.51%0.0081✓0.967.5M2022-09-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.08870.085437-3.68%0.1073+20.97%0.2978✗0.95430k2022-09-25
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066250.063875-3.59%0.06309-4.77%0.0477✗0.829142022-09-25
NANOnanopayBase0.88010.848622-3.58%0.784151-10.90%0.0196✓0.8184k2022-09-25
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.29e-7-3.58%7.80e-7-9.30%0.0013✓0.8217k2022-09-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.14750.356-3.43%48.082-7.80%0.0085✓0.75340k2022-09-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055380.00535-3.40%0.004975-10.17%0.0233✓0.672,6192022-09-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.150928-3.38%0.1352-13.44%0.0304✓1.091,8902022-09-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.05990.05789-3.36%0.0464-22.54%0.1375✓1.14258k2022-09-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331610.320517-3.35%0.4743+43.03%0.4647✗0.99418k2022-09-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12460.120448-3.33%0.1109-11.00%0.0404✓0.584.1M2022-09-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.020051-3.26%0.019355-6.61%0.0256✓0.8313k2022-09-25
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7280.0396-3.24%73.64-10.98%0.0303✓1.556.7M2022-09-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03580.034651-3.21%0.0331-7.54%0.0228✓0.9386k2022-09-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.538601-3.20%0.45533-18.17%0.0736✓1.2945k2022-09-25
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.154180.149297-3.17%0.16721+8.45%0.2662✗2.086042022-09-25
TRXTRONTron0.0615520.059665-3.07%0.0597-3.01%0.0440✗0.59151k2022-09-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,587.8019,958.04-3.06%18,700.00-9.17%0.0043✓0.9513k2022-09-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14944.9988-2.93%4.0999-20.38%0.1880✓0.14158k2022-09-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,240.7219,658.77-2.88%18,808.61-7.08%0.0292✗1.00485.5M2022-09-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.7151.5762-2.15%52.55-0.30%0.0916✗0.9913.1M2022-09-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33970.332829-2.02%0.3346-1.50%0.0964✗1.24191k2022-09-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5170.50722-1.89%0.376-27.27%0.2091✓1.232,6092022-09-25
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16190.158846-1.89%0.1575-2.72%0.0928✗1.382,1742022-09-25
DIADIAEthereum0.368280.366071-0.60%0.37615+2.14%0.0980✗0.9753k2022-09-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.