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2022-08-22 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2111
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.78%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
35.3%
in alpha space · 27.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.61%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022530.022621+0.40%0.02356+4.57%0.0354✓0.8713.0M2022-08-23
OPTIMOptimism1.1691.1715+0.22%1.335+14.20%0.1202✓1.723.5M2022-08-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0033.009+0.20%3.05+1.57%0.0040✓1.585.0M2022-08-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5151.5169+0.12%1.57+3.63%0.0273✓1.18147k2022-08-23
APEApeCoinEthereum5.2055.2112+0.12%5.245+0.77%0.0018✗1.3610.1M2022-08-23
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37550.37593+0.11%0.39+3.86%0.0290✓1.28182k2022-08-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7191.7207+0.10%1.817+5.70%0.0472✓1.20121k2022-08-23
METISMetisEthereum32.7632.7836+0.07%34.76+6.11%0.0472✓1.87365k2022-08-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06840.068442+0.06%0.07289+6.56%0.0562✓1.112.4M2022-08-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0833.0841+0.04%3.142+1.91%0.0148✓0.64749k2022-08-23
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9836.9824-0.01%7.109+1.80%0.0101✗1.3010.7M2022-08-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3826.3773-0.07%6.378-0.06%0.0055✓0.935.3M2022-08-23
DODODODOEthereum0.1370.136874-0.09%0.1397+1.97%0.0145✗0.972.1M2022-08-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10510.104992-0.10%0.1087+3.43%0.0304✗0.713,6712022-08-23
IMXImmutableEthereum0.850.848931-0.13%0.8686+2.19%0.0164✗1.082.2M2022-08-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4390.438402-0.14%0.444+1.14%0.0066✗1.008,8922022-08-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38340.38284-0.15%0.3844+0.26%0.0035✓1.25239k2022-08-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5950.594126-0.15%0.592-0.50%0.0111✓1.232,8642022-08-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04610.046031-0.15%0.047+1.95%0.0149✗0.98187k2022-08-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.279567-0.15%0.287+2.50%0.0219✗0.72878k2022-08-23
STXStacksnative0.3870.386401-0.15%0.3899+0.75%0.0020✗1.16492k2022-08-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0962.0927-0.16%2.153+2.72%0.0179✗1.74115k2022-08-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04620.046128-0.16%0.04645+0.54%0.0028✗0.6816k2022-08-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50310.502204-0.18%0.5139+2.15%0.0181✗0.81661k2022-08-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.14060.14034-0.18%0.14275+1.53%0.0095✗1.23243k2022-08-23
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157720.157421-0.19%0.16294+3.31%0.0216✗2.126362022-08-23
QTUMQtumQtum3.47033.4632-0.21%3.5261+1.61%0.0120✗0.9938k2022-08-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8550.853175-0.21%0.893+4.44%0.0431✗0.424.4M2022-08-23
CBKCobakEthereum0.932120.93012-0.21%0.94089+0.94%0.0056✗0.9713k2022-08-23
SOLSolanaSolana35.4335.3536-0.22%35.67+0.68%0.0019✓1.1681.1M2022-08-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82160.819785-0.22%0.8205-0.13%0.0080✓1.47205k2022-08-23
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40220.401308-0.22%0.41+1.94%0.0147✗1.1176k2022-08-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.295310.294651-0.22%0.29912+1.29%0.0087✗1.0413k2022-08-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.550753-0.23%0.569+3.08%0.0257✗1.1395k2022-08-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.361850.361025-0.23%0.37206+2.82%0.0243✗0.9690k2022-08-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.1918.1483-0.23%18.01-0.99%0.0119✓0.711.7M2022-08-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058170.005804-0.23%0.005889+1.23%0.0105✗0.672,6422022-08-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.6713.6383-0.23%13.6-0.51%0.0097✓1.142.2M2022-08-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2814.2463-0.24%14.66+2.66%0.0212✗1.231.3M2022-08-23
FLOWFlownative2.132.125-0.24%2.143+0.61%0.0005✓1.311.2M2022-08-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,930.038,908.41-0.24%9,225.54+3.31%0.0267✗1.367.3M2022-08-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3236.307-0.25%6.378+0.87%0.0060✗0.8510.1M2022-08-23
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.8133-0.26%1.847+1.60%0.0126✗0.96151k2022-08-23
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16490.164467-0.26%0.1727+4.73%0.0407✗1.351,6582022-08-23
DIADIAEthereum0.390680.389651-0.26%0.4051+3.69%0.0332✗0.9470k2022-08-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08910.088859-0.27%0.0914+2.58%0.0223✗0.9711k2022-08-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073130.072927-0.28%0.07645+4.54%0.0400✗1.1929k2022-08-23
COMPCompoundEthereum50.4550.3084-0.28%50.74+0.57%0.0011✓1.2315k2022-08-23
MANADecentralandEthereum0.831610.829269-0.28%0.83469+0.37%0.0009✓0.92524k2022-08-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03641.0335-0.28%1.0251-1.09%0.0115✓0.563.8M2022-08-23
TRXTRONTron0.0656310.065441-0.29%0.066225+0.91%0.0084✗0.58164k2022-08-23
PROPropyEthereum0.710.707933-0.29%0.74+4.23%0.0420✗0.38105k2022-08-23
XYMSymbolnative0.049660.049513-0.30%0.048516-2.30%0.0236✓0.5430k2022-08-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.381.3759-0.30%1.4+1.45%0.0115✗0.96182k2022-08-23
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017460.001741-0.30%0.001746+0.00%0.0024✓0.89766k2022-08-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.25410.253343-0.30%0.2559+0.71%0.0043✗0.9584k2022-08-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,122.2021,056.96-0.31%21,511.10+1.84%0.0156✗0.958,8302022-08-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49050.488929-0.32%0.4933+0.57%0.0021✓1.11419k2022-08-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.006980.006957-0.32%0.00708+1.43%0.0136✗0.641.3M2022-08-23
NANOnanopayBase0.9134550.910491-0.32%0.943427+3.28%0.0307✗0.7977k2022-08-23
STEEMSteemnative0.23270.231944-0.32%0.2343+0.69%0.0046✗0.90528k2022-08-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12140.121001-0.33%0.124+2.14%0.0184✗1.0138k2022-08-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.191.1861-0.33%1.2121+1.86%0.0142✗1.241.0M2022-08-23
MOVRMoonriverBase13.476313.4317-0.33%13.7842+2.28%0.0201✗0.9644k2022-08-23
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.87e-7-0.33%9.00e-7+1.12%0.0095✗0.8218k2022-08-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0213280.021257-0.33%0.021625+1.39%0.0122✗0.8113k2022-08-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04060.040465-0.33%0.0408+0.49%0.0031✓0.8511k2022-08-23
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0531.0495-0.33%1.067+1.33%0.0092✗1.211.1M2022-08-23
XTZTezosTezos1.5891.5837-0.34%1.5941+0.32%0.0001✓1.10494k2022-08-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14930.148792-0.34%0.1575+5.49%0.0510✗0.96614k2022-08-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21830.217537-0.35%0.2228+2.06%0.0178✗1.0072k2022-08-23
XECeCashnative0.000038840.000038701-0.36%0.00003947+1.62%0.0143✗0.881.8M2022-08-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3056220.304518-0.36%0.310587+1.62%0.0132✗1.08805k2022-08-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06850.068252-0.36%0.0678-1.02%0.0122✓0.92121k2022-08-23
GMTGMTEthereum0.7840.781157-0.36%0.7906+0.84%0.0034✓1.43325k2022-08-23
HIVEHivenative0.55350.551492-0.36%0.5572+0.67%0.0049✗0.891.9M2022-08-23
SCSiacoinnative0.00410.004085-0.37%0.00408-0.49%0.0071✓0.99152k2022-08-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11110.11068-0.38%0.1138+2.43%0.0213✗1.073.7M2022-08-23
GITCOINGITCOIN2.41252.4033-0.38%2.4359+0.97%0.0061✗1.2113k2022-08-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022240.022155-0.38%0.02359+6.07%0.0578✗0.81419k2022-08-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1840.183291-0.39%0.185+0.54%0.0028✓1.07608k2022-08-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.09810.097721-0.39%0.1008+2.75%0.0253✗0.94430k2022-08-23
XVSVenusEthereum5.665.638-0.39%5.74+1.41%0.0128✗0.841.6M2022-08-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009290.009254-0.39%0.00923-0.65%0.0072✓0.756.4M2022-08-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7010.69827-0.39%0.725+3.42%0.0320✗0.92322k2022-08-23
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026250.026148-0.39%0.02647+0.84%0.0046✗1.273,2032022-08-23
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.3109-0.39%2.3-0.86%0.0098✓0.83778k2022-08-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.797.7592-0.40%7.88+1.16%0.0087✗1.11638k2022-08-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06550.065238-0.40%0.0673+2.75%0.0237✗1.221.2M2022-08-23
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.86e-7-0.40%9.10e-7+2.25%0.0214✗0.802.7M2022-08-23
ADACardanoCardano0.46150.459642-0.40%0.466+0.98%0.0074✗1.0542.0M2022-08-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.0910.0493-0.40%10.63+5.35%0.0490✗1.18318k2022-08-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.16830.167615-0.41%0.1725+2.50%0.0222✗1.081,7442022-08-23
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260137-0.41%0.2605-0.27%0.0013✓0.0187k2022-08-23
KCSKuCoinnative9.5829.5429-0.41%9.713+1.37%0.0119✗0.951.9M2022-08-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29050.289292-0.42%0.2977+2.48%0.0229✗0.953.5M2022-08-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09951.0949-0.42%1.1837+7.66%0.0690✗1.484.7M2022-08-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.014260.0142-0.42%0.01447+1.47%0.0149✗0.641.6M2022-08-23
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7130.710007-0.42%0.733+2.81%0.0265✗0.88263k2022-08-23
FORTFortaEthereum0.27440.27324-0.42%0.2756+0.44%0.0027✓0.98118k2022-08-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05970.059445-0.43%0.0622+4.19%0.0397✗0.92120k2022-08-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.13821.1333-0.43%1.1311-0.62%0.0071✓0.8655k2022-08-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.29155.0529-0.43%56.254+1.74%0.0171✗0.74330k2022-08-23
ZECZcashZcash65.0964.8093-0.43%66.35+1.94%0.0167✗1.121.9M2022-08-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9181.9096-0.43%1.9643+2.42%0.0218✗1.0636k2022-08-23
BANDBandEthereum1.3471.3411-0.44%1.373+1.93%0.0160✗1.23518k2022-08-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039920.039744-0.44%0.039-2.30%0.0239✓0.822,6252022-08-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.221.2146-0.44%1.242+1.80%0.0163✗0.992.1M2022-08-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0683810.06808-0.44%0.068797+0.61%0.0043✓1.021.9M2022-08-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash122.68122.1398-0.44%133.41+8.75%0.0815✗1.114.9M2022-08-23
UMAUMAEthereum2.8762.8632-0.44%2.977+3.51%0.0339✗0.84749k2022-08-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1094920.109004-0.45%0.110676+1.08%0.0100✗0.867.8M2022-08-23
AAVEAaveEthereum88.5188.1146-0.45%89.48+1.10%0.0060✗1.546.5M2022-08-23
XEMNEMnative0.0456570.045451-0.45%0.046576+2.01%0.0193✗0.8432k2022-08-23
API3Api3Ethereum1.891.8814-0.45%1.962+3.81%0.0364✗0.91718k2022-08-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03441.0297-0.46%0.04351-95.79%3.1708✓1.1112k2022-08-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2170.215996-0.46%0.2192+1.01%0.0065✗1.35111k2022-08-23
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08720.086793-0.47%0.08526-2.22%0.0184✓0.09916k2022-08-23
GTGateEthereum4.56854.5471-0.47%4.5224-1.01%0.0102✓0.78827k2022-08-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.14670.146007-0.47%0.1488+1.43%0.0129✗1.00149k2022-08-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.1816-0.48%2.25+2.65%0.0239✗1.1559k2022-08-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.10795.0834-0.48%5.389+5.50%0.0575✗0.14171k2022-08-23
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.722.7069-0.48%2.79+2.57%0.0272✗0.5093k2022-08-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.5622.4512-0.48%23.51+4.21%0.0382✗1.3024.5M2022-08-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.301733-0.48%0.3076+1.45%0.0137✗0.928.2M2022-08-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,398.2521,294.17-0.49%21,528.34+0.61%0.0049✓1.00469.7M2022-08-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.3982-0.49%2.44+1.24%0.0099✗1.22281k2022-08-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.35070.348981-0.49%0.3902+11.26%0.1047✗1.15110k2022-08-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0457.0097-0.50%7.241+2.78%0.0260✗1.0719.5M2022-08-23
ZENHorizenBase17.0616.9735-0.51%17.42+2.11%0.0193✗1.10125k2022-08-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013160.000013093-0.51%0.00001332+1.22%0.0116✗0.92864k2022-08-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37730.375383-0.51%0.3851+2.07%0.0189✗1.11175k2022-08-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11060.110036-0.51%0.1117+0.99%0.0097✗0.87256k2022-08-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7040.70039-0.51%0.722+2.56%0.0222✗1.354.8M2022-08-23
NEXONEXOEthereum0.90.895374-0.51%0.973+8.11%0.0758✗1.221.2M2022-08-23
DASHDashDash47.2346.9856-0.52%48.5+2.69%0.0258✗0.97493k2022-08-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03720.037007-0.52%0.0382+2.69%0.0261✗0.9381k2022-08-23
XVGVergenative0.003210.003193-0.52%0.00324+0.93%0.0083✗1.03537k2022-08-23
FTTFTXEthereum27.7227.5752-0.52%27.78+0.22%0.0016✓0.968.3M2022-08-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.56970.566697-0.53%0.57919+1.67%0.0140✗1.2945k2022-08-23
KSMKusamaHydration50.5850.3114-0.53%49.54-2.06%0.0215✓1.00560k2022-08-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4017.3606-0.55%7.635+3.16%0.0304✗1.0214.0M2022-08-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05090.050622-0.55%0.0517+1.57%0.0152✗0.97798k2022-08-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6230.619576-0.55%0.617-0.96%0.0108✓1.0996k2022-08-23
LUNATerraTerra 20.000091530.000091019-0.56%0.00010583+15.62%0.1459✗0.81314k2022-08-23
XMRMoneroMonero153.73152.8656-0.56%154.81+0.70%0.0066✗1.001.1M2022-08-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.05330.052998-0.57%0.0546+2.44%0.0237✗1.00253k2022-08-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10.099433-0.57%0.1015+1.50%0.0164✗0.69234k2022-08-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.063727-0.58%0.0652+1.72%0.0159✗1.15282k2022-08-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.321710.319774-0.60%0.32919+2.33%0.0234✗0.92342k2022-08-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0035020.00348-0.62%0.003625+3.51%0.0355✗0.861.1M2022-08-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.2256.8645-0.62%57.1-0.21%0.0019✓1.0013.5M2022-08-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.0911.0205-0.63%12.135+9.42%0.0896✗1.1110.0M2022-08-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017750.017638-0.63%0.01736-2.20%0.0200✓0.68167k2022-08-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12830.127485-0.64%0.1294+0.86%0.0115✗0.564.2M2022-08-23
ETHEthereumEthereum1,624.781,614.21-0.65%1,665.93+2.53%0.0234✗1.33576.1M2022-08-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.649.577-0.65%9.49-1.56%0.0118✓0.442.6M2022-08-23
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.211071-0.67%0.2209+3.95%0.0395✗1.00152k2022-08-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036870.036616-0.69%0.03743+1.52%0.0160✗0.9923k2022-08-23
QNTQuantEthereum107.36106.59-0.72%109.96+2.42%0.0260✗0.853.4M2022-08-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0533.8042-0.72%34.36+0.91%0.0076✗1.4316.0M2022-08-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067980.006748-0.74%0.006696-1.50%0.0104✓0.4557k2022-08-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0235640.02339-0.74%0.02313-1.84%0.0119✓0.12240k2022-08-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.956.8974-0.76%7.16+3.02%0.0350✗0.381.6M2022-08-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014850.001473-0.80%0.001591+7.15%0.0724✗0.781.6M2022-08-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.415.3654-0.82%5.38-0.55%0.0002✓0.411.5M2022-08-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.008369-0.84%0.00808-4.27%0.0421✓1.15477k2022-08-23
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070690.07007-0.88%0.07069+0.00%0.0039✓0.829772022-08-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.036.9679-0.88%7.04+0.14%0.0080✓0.372.4M2022-08-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.92681.9096-0.90%1.9086-0.94%0.0070✓1.07781k2022-08-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35741.345-0.92%1.3042-3.92%0.0365✓0.951.3M2022-08-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana7.1197.0501-0.97%6.803-4.44%0.0376✓0.315.3M2022-08-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.2855.2335-0.97%5.147-2.61%0.0173✓0.102.3M2022-08-23
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.39494.3519-0.98%4.6501+5.81%0.0602✗1.00173k2022-08-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403240.399177-1.01%0.39145-2.92%0.0256✓0.99435k2022-08-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9784.9245-1.08%5.224+4.94%0.0571✗0.331.7M2022-08-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.526.4433-1.18%6.39-1.99%0.0105✓0.373.3M2022-08-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum45.244.6408-1.24%41.17-8.92%0.0864✓0.891.8M2022-08-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.81e-76.72e-7-1.34%8.22e-7+20.67%0.1967✗0.77180k2022-08-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.22280.219658-1.41%0.2505+12.43%0.1264✗0.811.8M2022-08-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.774.6989-1.49%4.429-7.15%0.0651✓0.97139k2022-08-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.61.5732-1.67%1.43-10.63%0.0952✓-0.05105k2022-08-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.41986.3049-1.79%6.0884-5.16%0.0360✓0.173.1M2022-08-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.48424.4027-1.82%4.3642-2.68%0.0121✓0.542.1M2022-08-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017780.001737-2.29%0.001585-10.85%0.0961✓0.729,7092022-08-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.15355.9913-2.64%5.9126-3.91%0.0144✓0.192.1M2022-08-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.60714.2147-2.69%13.538-7.32%0.0515✓0.452.0M2022-08-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.