8=======>

2022-08-19 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2237
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.7%
in alpha space · 88.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.80%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.75715.6505-16.38%5.6084-17.00%0.0043✓0.172.1M2022-09-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.48811.4539-15.08%12.26-9.10%0.0985✓0.431.4M2022-09-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.04224.3243-14.24%6.0254+19.50%0.3428✗0.162.1M2022-09-18
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.09543.5405-13.55%4.9458+20.76%0.4047✗1.00171k2022-09-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.7536.6634-12.18%14.09-66.25%0.8903✓0.941.8M2022-09-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0259670.022824-12.10%0.026132+0.64%0.1437✗0.12233k2022-09-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.026.2165-11.45%6.01-14.39%0.0098✓0.341.1M2022-09-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.235.5253-11.31%5.19-16.69%0.0379✓0.352.8M2022-09-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.9276.1703-10.92%5.554-19.82%0.0949✓0.154.4M2022-09-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.08e-75.43e-7-10.63%5.65e-7-6.99%0.0911✓0.73164k2022-09-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.19610.175969-10.27%0.2313+17.95%0.3320✗0.831.3M2022-09-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.876.1679-10.22%5.56-19.07%0.0769✓0.381.8M2022-09-18
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087410.078787-9.86%0.06377-27.04%0.2062✓0.08959k2022-09-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7014.2406-9.79%3.699-21.31%0.1158✓0.301.6M2022-09-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03860.034876-9.65%0.03069-20.49%0.0569✓1.0121k2022-09-18
OPTIMOptimism1.2221.1046-9.61%0.929-23.98%0.0510✓1.733.7M2022-09-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.394.8772-9.51%4.22-21.71%0.1162✓0.401.1M2022-09-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10960.099327-9.37%0.1002-8.58%0.0596✓0.72220k2022-09-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9829.9278-9.25%29.61-10.22%0.0895✓1.4216.5M2022-09-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78251.6196-9.14%1.4393-19.25%0.0408✓1.10598k2022-09-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30442.0952-9.08%1.7772-22.88%0.0797✓1.2113k2022-09-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.9724.5242-9.01%3.731-24.96%0.1867✓0.092.1M2022-09-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.72553.3988-8.77%3.63-2.56%0.1029✗0.531.4M2022-09-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.86980.793802-8.74%0.8499-2.29%0.1732✗1.49224k2022-09-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10550.0963-8.72%0.1-5.21%0.1134✗1.073.7M2022-09-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014410.001316-8.65%0.001075-25.36%0.1475✓0.771.6M2022-09-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11771.0225-8.52%–pending––1.1112k2022-09-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.048742-8.38%0.042-21.05%0.0784✓1.00253k2022-09-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.578.7751-8.31%7.93-17.14%0.0716✓0.422.0M2022-09-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02210.937607-8.27%0.9352-8.50%0.0361✓0.553.9M2022-09-18
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20540.188583-8.19%0.1768-13.92%0.0059✓1.00128k2022-09-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.4420.6138-8.14%16.72-25.49%0.1170✓1.3125.9M2022-09-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1511.9777-8.06%1.808-15.95%0.0082✓1.1660k2022-09-18
HIVEHivenative0.55690.512381-7.99%0.512-8.06%0.0633✓0.911.9M2022-09-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7599.9031-7.96%14.707+36.69%0.4735✗1.1111.4M2022-09-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.811.788-7.91%12.84+0.31%0.1633✗1.102.6M2022-09-18
QNTQuantEthereum99.2891.4328-7.90%104.08+4.83%0.1880✗0.833.4M2022-09-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.181.0867-7.90%1.0284-12.85%0.0306✓1.221.1M2022-09-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033210.003059-7.87%0.002574-22.49%0.1150✓0.821.0M2022-09-18
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017170.001584-7.74%0.001548-9.84%0.0474✓1.00871k2022-09-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40430.373205-7.69%0.3859-4.55%0.1113✗1.1066k2022-09-18
FLOWFlownative2.1211.9579-7.69%1.653-22.07%0.0772✓1.311.0M2022-09-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1121.9498-7.68%1.646-22.06%0.0486✓1.71131k2022-09-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5620.518927-7.66%0.468-16.73%0.0231✓1.1495k2022-09-18
RADRadworksEthereum2.292.1152-7.63%2.09-8.73%0.0477✓0.85798k2022-09-18
UNIUniswapEthereum6.8956.3713-7.59%5.466-20.73%0.0632✓1.2810.7M2022-09-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6090.562792-7.59%0.473-22.33%0.0944✓1.13112k2022-09-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.071730.066321-7.54%0.05724-20.20%0.0683✓1.122.4M2022-09-18
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.05e-7-7.45%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0375✓0.803.6M2022-09-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.2217-7.45%1.17-11.36%0.0237✓0.95182k2022-09-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,613.217,972.95-7.43%8,342.07-3.15%0.1412✗1.367.3M2022-09-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6611.538-7.40%1.197-27.93%0.1664✓1.20133k2022-09-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7080.656422-7.29%0.592-16.38%0.0412✓0.88271k2022-09-18
METISMetisEthereum32.430.0546-7.24%23.19-28.43%0.1278✓1.87391k2022-09-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013170.000012224-7.18%0.00001061-19.44%0.0777✓0.91827k2022-09-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007430.006897-7.17%0.00744+0.13%0.1509✗1.07435k2022-09-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1080670.100333-7.16%0.1072-0.80%0.1275✗0.877.5M2022-09-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.752.5536-7.14%2.25-18.18%0.0916✓0.5096k2022-09-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8340.774525-7.13%0.879+5.40%0.2111✗1.201.0M2022-09-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.132.9075-7.11%3.847+22.91%0.3432✗0.90127k2022-09-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.779.0788-7.07%8.65-11.46%0.0345✓1.18313k2022-09-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2061.1214-7.01%1.065-11.69%0.0175✓0.982.3M2022-09-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49670.461899-7.01%0.4395-11.52%0.0074✓0.81713k2022-09-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31030.288674-6.97%0.2612-15.82%0.0187✓1.15110k2022-09-18
COMPCompoundEthereum49.9146.47-6.89%47.61-4.61%0.1109✗1.2317k2022-09-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.677.1448-6.85%6.16-19.69%0.0705✓1.10592k2022-09-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8470.789171-6.83%0.864+2.01%0.1216✗0.444.4M2022-09-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.629978-6.81%0.552-18.34%0.0356✓1.374.6M2022-09-18
MOVRMoonriverBase12.975512.0948-6.79%11.3049-12.88%0.0007✓0.9548k2022-09-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039630.036963-6.73%0.03461-12.67%0.0065✓0.842,6002022-09-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074290.069307-6.71%0.06225-16.21%0.0246✓1.1829k2022-09-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.047581-6.70%0.037-27.45%0.1822✓0.98827k2022-09-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4095.981-6.68%5.851-8.71%0.0440✓0.945.3M2022-09-18
KSMKusamaHydration48.6345.4092-6.62%39.58-18.61%0.0694✓0.97560k2022-09-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.7760.724794-6.60%0.6036-22.22%0.0826✓1.42433k2022-09-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014790.001382-6.55%0.001429-3.38%0.0839✗0.729,5772022-09-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025810.024129-6.51%0.02202-14.68%0.0022✓1.272,9912022-09-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37240.348496-6.42%0.3025-18.77%0.0656✓1.08176k2022-09-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4616.3453-6.38%15.52-11.11%0.0024✓0.702.0M2022-09-18
XEMNEMnative0.0452650.042399-6.33%0.039656-12.39%0.0054✓0.8735k2022-09-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05040.983921-6.33%0.935-10.99%0.0522✓1.475.6M2022-09-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03980.037285-6.32%0.0363-8.79%0.0372✓0.9111k2022-09-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2313.3321-6.31%12.03-15.46%0.0165✓1.221.4M2022-09-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3022980.283232-6.31%0.266614-11.80%0.0162✓1.09884k2022-09-18
ELAElastosEthereum1.871.7524-6.29%1.531-18.13%0.0674✓0.96156k2022-09-18
CBKCobakEthereum0.941750.883183-6.22%0.78032-17.14%0.0541✓0.9912k2022-09-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21250.199369-6.18%0.1831-13.84%0.0094✓1.34110k2022-09-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6780.636292-6.15%0.572-15.63%0.0413✓0.93333k2022-09-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138440.129976-6.11%0.12379-10.58%0.0378✓1.23250k2022-09-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0450.981169-6.11%0.8289-20.68%0.0833✓1.211.1M2022-09-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.23261.1578-6.07%1.2237-0.72%0.1238✗0.971.0M2022-09-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.844510.793284-6.07%0.70221-16.85%0.0567✓0.93538k2022-09-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06570.061719-6.06%0.0565-14.00%0.0035✓1.201.3M2022-09-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3036.8617-6.04%6.443-11.78%0.0088✓1.0214.0M2022-09-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017070.016043-6.02%0.01153-32.45%0.2870✓0.61153k2022-09-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3030.284845-5.99%0.293-3.30%0.0935✗0.938.2M2022-09-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.9141.7996-5.97%1.433-25.13%0.1635✓0.91657k2022-09-18
FORTFortaEthereum0.27150.255279-5.97%0.1846-32.01%0.2549✓0.98149k2022-09-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.295510.277975-5.93%0.38485+30.23%0.3888✗0.90383k2022-09-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4666.0828-5.93%5.265-18.57%0.0839✓0.8610.1M2022-09-18
XTZTezosTezos1.57821.4848-5.92%1.4386-8.85%0.0478✓1.13494k2022-09-18
QTUMQtumQtum3.34773.1522-5.84%2.8489-14.90%0.0317✓0.9948k2022-09-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.000085910.000080943-5.78%0.00027312+217.91%1.2850✗0.98336k2022-09-18
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37960.357687-5.77%0.299-21.23%0.0886✓1.29197k2022-09-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10850.102249-5.76%0.0991-8.66%0.0293✓0.86274k2022-09-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5061.4198-5.72%1.336-11.29%0.0231✓1.19150k2022-09-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0679370.064056-5.71%0.0573-15.66%0.0396✓1.021.9M2022-09-18
ADACardanoCardano0.44970.424052-5.70%0.4478-0.42%0.1283✗1.0542.0M2022-09-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47540.448842-5.59%0.4415-7.13%0.0617✗1.11386k2022-09-18
XECeCashnative0.000038430.000036302-5.54%0.00003918+1.95%0.1385✗0.881.9M2022-09-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.49108.1596-5.53%111.83-2.32%0.1113✗1.115.0M2022-09-18
XYMSymbolnative0.048250.045618-5.46%0.039181-18.80%0.1147✓0.5330k2022-09-18
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1064.8276-5.45%5.086-0.39%0.1467✗1.3411.8M2022-09-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02240.021179-5.45%0.01917-14.42%0.0374✓0.8813.9M2022-09-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.3052-5.42%1.42+2.90%0.0817✗-0.04115k2022-09-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013810.013074-5.33%0.011882-13.96%0.0537✓0.591.9M2022-09-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.338310.320306-5.32%0.43553+28.74%0.3816✗1.05426k2022-09-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.09750.092317-5.32%0.0912-6.46%0.0545✓0.95430k2022-09-18
XVSVenusEthereum5.85.4919-5.31%4.63-20.17%0.1105✓0.861.6M2022-09-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.822.6706-5.30%2.396-15.04%0.0499✓0.83734k2022-09-18
SOLSolanaSolana35.8233.9279-5.28%31.1-13.18%0.0048✓1.1775.2M2022-09-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.17670.167376-5.28%0.1415-19.92%0.0963✓1.021,7442022-09-18
ZENHorizenBase16.1715.3188-5.26%13.34-17.50%0.0604✓1.11125k2022-09-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2720.257784-5.23%0.254-6.62%0.0356✓0.71878k2022-09-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4290.406721-5.19%0.426-0.70%0.1161✗0.999,8012022-09-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.88251.7853-5.16%1.6754-11.00%0.0112✓1.0636k2022-09-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8996.5433-5.16%7.523+9.04%0.2150✗1.0720.0M2022-09-18
BANDBandEthereum1.3251.2567-5.15%1.165-12.08%0.0123✓1.25491k2022-09-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1860.176452-5.13%0.14138-23.99%0.1466✓1.06657k2022-09-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.293330.278381-5.10%0.25124-14.35%0.0274✓1.0713k2022-09-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8790.834527-5.06%0.7498-14.70%0.0302✓1.092.2M2022-09-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8012.6596-5.05%2.44-12.89%0.0240✓1.565.2M2022-09-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.721,527.62-5.04%1,334.72-17.03%0.0412✓1.33528.6M2022-09-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06180.058689-5.03%0.0619+0.16%0.1165✗0.90130k2022-09-18
DASHDashDash44.8642.603-5.03%40.12-10.57%0.0092✓0.98521k2022-09-18
DODODODOEthereum0.12930.122804-5.02%0.1208-6.57%0.0529✗0.982.0M2022-09-18
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.248217-4.97%0.1131-56.70%0.7854✓0.0181k2022-09-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.56970.541778-4.90%0.4662-18.17%0.0589✓1.3046k2022-09-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17220.163941-4.80%0.1496-13.12%0.0037✓1.351,3132022-09-18
STXStacksnative0.39090.372167-4.79%0.3266-16.45%0.0520✓1.12512k2022-09-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04470.042572-4.76%0.0427-4.47%0.0708✗0.96201k2022-09-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05620.053527-4.76%0.0557-0.89%0.1054✗0.93112k2022-09-18
ZECZcashZcash62.2359.2841-4.73%53.33-14.30%0.0266✓1.132.0M2022-09-18
XMRMoneroMonero142.31135.6404-4.69%140.49-1.28%0.1052✗0.991.2M2022-09-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28280.269563-4.68%0.2517-11.00%0.0010✓0.963.6M2022-09-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.239831-4.68%0.2724+8.27%0.1946✗0.9681k2022-09-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.080839-4.67%0.0811-4.36%0.0716✗0.9712k2022-09-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15130.144321-4.61%0.1381-8.72%0.0264✓1.00586k2022-09-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.15020.143503-4.46%0.129-14.11%0.0343✓1.03149k2022-09-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.0681.0208-4.42%0.954978-10.59%0.0041✓0.8956k2022-09-18
PROPropyEthereum0.740.707746-4.36%0.69-6.76%0.0029✓0.4086k2022-09-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.008657-4.34%0.00752-16.91%0.0889✓0.745.8M2022-09-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.32.2007-4.32%1.79-22.17%0.1216✓1.21259k2022-09-18
STEEMSteemnative0.23040.220489-4.30%0.2197-4.64%0.0607✗0.91550k2022-09-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058610.005611-4.27%0.005544-5.41%0.0371✓0.703,0362022-09-18
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.33e-7-4.27%8.00e-7-8.05%0.0160✓0.8020k2022-09-18
FISStafiEthereum0.35990.344869-4.18%0.3429-4.72%0.0584✗0.911922022-09-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.361490.346505-4.15%0.30461-15.73%0.0600✓0.9890k2022-09-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066910.006416-4.11%0.0063-5.84%0.0144✓0.4657k2022-09-18
KCSKuCoinnative9.3598.975-4.10%8.956-4.31%0.0653✗0.961.9M2022-09-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10650.102207-4.03%0.0931-12.58%0.0424✓0.724,2082022-09-18
FTTFTXEthereum26.4125.3484-4.02%23.45-11.21%0.0109✓0.958.9M2022-09-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12790.122793-3.99%0.1145-10.48%0.0288✓0.584.1M2022-09-18
XVGVergenative0.00320.003073-3.98%0.00322+0.62%0.1203✗1.04508k2022-09-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5740.551284-3.96%0.384-33.10%0.2778✓1.192,9182022-09-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum32.8816-3.95%2.925-2.50%0.0596✗0.63803k2022-09-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.06350.06102-3.91%0.0491-22.68%0.1383✓1.12322k2022-09-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.30249.3694-3.77%48.437-5.58%0.0329✓0.74354k2022-09-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066430.06396-3.72%0.06413-3.46%0.0597✗0.819142022-09-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12210.117583-3.70%0.1267+3.77%0.1477✗1.0439k2022-09-18
AAVEAaveEthereum83.3780.3019-3.68%73.06-12.37%0.0124✓1.526.4M2022-09-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0210660.020298-3.65%0.020014-4.99%0.0441✗0.8312k2022-09-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22090.212862-3.64%0.1954-11.54%0.0137✓1.0277k2022-09-18
GTGateEthereum4.3734.2221-3.45%4.1187-5.82%0.0287✓0.76847k2022-09-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.160550.155022-3.44%0.16044-0.07%0.1842✗2.136672022-09-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.360.348013-3.33%0.3151-12.47%0.0119✓1.24208k2022-09-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,334.3020,656.25-3.18%19,440.70-8.88%0.0066✓0.957,5932022-09-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.007030.006819-3.00%0.00503-28.45%0.2590✓0.641.4M2022-09-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022510.021836-2.99%0.01968-12.57%0.0433✓0.86419k2022-09-18
TRXTRONTron0.0639770.062096-2.94%0.060789-4.98%0.0208✓0.60179k2022-09-18
NANOnanopayBase0.8840250.85844-2.89%0.785842-11.11%0.0338✓0.7777k2022-09-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03470.033702-2.88%0.0332-4.32%0.0522✗0.9576k2022-09-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,834.9420,252.34-2.80%19,417.64-6.80%0.0284✓1.00472.7M2022-09-18
SCSiacoinnative0.004120.004005-2.78%0.00356-13.59%0.0464✓1.01152k2022-09-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.20715.0688-2.66%4.6704-10.31%0.0717✓0.14190k2022-09-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0252.6653-2.51%52.65-2.54%0.0699✗1.0013.1M2022-09-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044520.043617-2.03%0.04034-9.39%0.0247✓0.7616k2022-09-18
DIADIAEthereum0.386730.383023-0.96%0.37245-3.69%0.0384✗0.9470k2022-09-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.