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2022-08-18 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0447
189 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.40%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.7%
in alpha space · 93.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7711.7705-0.03%1.661-6.21%0.0711✗1.26142k2022-08-19
OPTIMOptimism1.1961.1951-0.07%1.222+2.17%0.2288✗1.933.6M2022-08-19
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.41990.419339-0.13%0.3796-9.60%0.0498✗1.39203k2022-08-19
STXStacksnative0.44530.444674-0.14%0.3909-12.22%0.0100✓1.11628k2022-08-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050350.050269-0.16%0.04452-11.58%0.0441✓0.7216k2022-08-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023490.023452-0.16%0.0224-4.64%0.0566✗0.9613.9M2022-08-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.18570.185364-0.18%0.1767-4.85%0.0661✗1.061,7402022-08-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.202624-0.19%0.186-8.37%0.0309✗1.09657k2022-08-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39930.398553-0.19%0.3724-6.74%0.0519✗1.12176k2022-08-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36730.366612-0.19%0.3103-15.52%0.0472✓1.12105k2022-08-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.042618-0.19%0.0398-6.79%0.0312✗0.9311k2022-08-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1511.1487-0.20%1.045-9.21%0.0381✗1.241.1M2022-08-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.0580.057886-0.20%0.0532-8.28%0.0251✗1.02253k2022-08-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.39280.391998-0.20%0.36149-7.97%0.0255✗1.0090k2022-08-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18330.18292-0.21%0.1722-6.06%0.0931✗1.431,3972022-08-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062880.006275-0.21%0.005861-6.79%0.0069✗0.703,0362022-08-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15650.156173-0.21%0.1513-3.32%0.0821✗1.06586k2022-08-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.007640.007624-0.22%0.00703-7.98%0.0129✓0.641.4M2022-08-19
COMPCompoundEthereum56.0555.9289-0.22%49.91-10.95%0.0194✗1.2517k2022-08-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06290.06276-0.22%0.0562-10.65%0.0120✓0.92112k2022-08-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.451.4467-0.23%1.32-8.97%0.0129✗0.98182k2022-08-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05440.05427-0.24%0.051-6.25%0.0474✗1.02877k2022-08-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.340840.340016-0.24%0.29333-13.94%0.0355✓1.0513k2022-08-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0240.023941-0.24%0.02251-6.21%0.0338✗0.89369k2022-08-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4780.476834-0.24%0.429-10.25%0.0003✓0.999,5622022-08-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.72.6933-0.25%2.3-14.81%0.0305✓1.19259k2022-08-19
ZENHorizenBase17.8917.8455-0.25%16.17-9.61%0.0214✗1.12130k2022-08-19
DODODODOEthereum0.14560.145235-0.25%0.1293-11.20%0.0123✓0.972.0M2022-08-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09440.094157-0.26%0.0848-10.17%0.0005✓0.9712k2022-08-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07380.073609-0.26%0.0618-16.26%0.0855✓0.83130k2022-08-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.52950.528116-0.26%0.4754-10.22%0.0155✗1.13376k2022-08-19
BANDBandEthereum1.4711.4671-0.27%1.325-9.93%0.0350✗1.28518k2022-08-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02860.028522-0.27%0.02581-9.76%0.0392✗1.302,9402022-08-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13410.133728-0.28%0.1279-4.62%0.0197✗0.604.1M2022-08-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.50257.3408-0.28%51.302-10.78%0.0362✓0.70354k2022-08-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234780.023412-0.28%0.021066-10.27%0.0188✓0.8112k2022-08-19
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.57e-7-0.29%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0130✓0.7720k2022-08-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.11461.1114-0.29%1.0504-5.76%0.1098✗1.555.0M2022-08-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13610.135707-0.29%0.1221-10.29%0.0057✗1.0441k2022-08-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.295145-0.29%0.272-8.11%0.0053✓0.71972k2022-08-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.10360.103298-0.29%0.0975-5.89%0.0474✗0.98430k2022-08-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.3483.3382-0.29%3-10.39%0.0433✓0.59853k2022-08-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11950.119149-0.29%0.1065-10.88%0.0386✓0.694,2082022-08-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.9140.911314-0.29%0.776-15.10%0.0092✓1.42433k2022-08-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3892.3819-0.30%2.151-9.96%0.0239✗1.1862k2022-08-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32685.311-0.30%5.2071-2.25%0.0053✓0.14204k2022-08-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30550.304591-0.30%0.2828-7.43%0.0309✗0.983.6M2022-08-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43750.436197-0.30%0.4043-7.59%0.0467✗1.1564k2022-08-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074940.074714-0.30%0.06643-11.36%0.0343✓0.788802022-08-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04940.049249-0.31%0.0447-9.51%0.0065✗0.97207k2022-08-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53970.53805-0.31%0.4967-7.97%0.0077✗0.82750k2022-08-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.636040.634079-0.31%0.5697-10.43%0.0340✗1.3246k2022-08-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7430.740674-0.31%0.708-4.71%0.0539✗0.92274k2022-08-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.4787.4546-0.31%6.466-13.53%0.0552✓0.819.9M2022-08-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24860.247813-0.32%0.2209-11.14%0.0066✓1.0177k2022-08-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7310.728654-0.32%0.678-7.25%0.0297✗0.95333k2022-08-19
TRXTRONTron0.0674180.0672-0.32%0.063977-5.10%0.0162✗0.61179k2022-08-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0530140.052842-0.32%0.04825-8.99%0.0375✓0.5030k2022-08-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.13232.1253-0.33%1.8825-11.72%0.0086✓1.0533k2022-08-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6660.663802-0.33%0.574-13.81%0.0159✓1.212,9182022-08-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7410.738518-0.33%0.676-8.77%0.0632✗1.424.6M2022-08-19
ADACardanoCardano0.51210.510385-0.33%0.4497-12.19%0.0161✓1.0342.0M2022-08-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010170.010136-0.34%0.00905-11.01%0.0363✓0.725.8M2022-08-19
FISStafiEthereum0.3990.397656-0.34%0.3599-9.80%0.0026✓0.911922022-08-19
SOLSolanaSolana39.5139.3763-0.34%35.82-9.34%0.0328✗1.1975.2M2022-08-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.16680.166234-0.34%0.1502-9.95%0.0087✗1.03140k2022-08-19
STEEMSteemnative0.26460.26369-0.34%0.2304-12.93%0.0412✓0.88550k2022-08-19
XECeCashnative0.000042850.000042703-0.34%0.00003843-10.32%0.0123✓0.871.9M2022-08-19
XEMNEMnative0.048620.048452-0.35%0.045265-6.90%0.0272✗0.8937k2022-08-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.18951.1854-0.35%1.068-10.21%0.0103✓0.8855k2022-08-19
CBKCobakEthereum1.11.0961-0.35%0.94175-14.38%0.0504✓0.9512k2022-08-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1159280.115517-0.35%0.108067-6.78%0.0287✗0.897.5M2022-08-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40860.407127-0.36%0.36-11.89%0.0123✗1.26223k2022-08-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68892.6792-0.36%2.3044-14.30%0.0225✓1.2013k2022-08-19
DIADIAEthereum0.452120.450473-0.36%0.38673-14.46%0.0571✓0.8970k2022-08-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash129.12128.6493-0.36%114.49-11.33%0.0018✓1.115.1M2022-08-19
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082990.082684-0.37%0.08741+5.33%0.0822✗0.25959k2022-08-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.76713.7532-0.37%3.3477-11.13%0.0099✓0.9848k2022-08-19
XVGVergenative0.003660.003646-0.37%0.0032-12.57%0.0210✓1.02508k2022-08-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.181330.180653-0.37%0.16055-11.46%0.1212✗2.236712022-08-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0746320.074353-0.37%0.067937-8.97%0.0201✗1.031.9M2022-08-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4082.399-0.38%2.112-12.29%0.0608✗1.76132k2022-08-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.90020.896814-0.38%0.879-2.36%0.1060✗1.182.2M2022-08-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11490.114464-0.38%0.1055-8.18%0.0366✗1.103.7M2022-08-19
UNIUniswapEthereum7.5747.5452-0.38%6.895-8.96%0.0502✗1.3110.3M2022-08-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.03865-0.39%0.0347-10.57%0.0067✓0.9476k2022-08-19
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7715.7486-0.39%5.106-11.52%0.0273✗1.3611.8M2022-08-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00170.001693-0.39%0.001479-13.00%0.0633✓0.679,7092022-08-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8696.8423-0.39%6.409-6.70%0.0379✗0.975.3M2022-08-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.06830.068033-0.39%0.0635-7.03%0.0554✗1.16329k2022-08-19
XMRMoneroMonero160.98160.3487-0.39%142.31-11.60%0.0145✓0.981.2M2022-08-19
METISMetisEthereum3837.8505-0.39%32.4-14.74%0.0546✗1.96391k2022-08-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6420.63946-0.40%0.609-5.14%0.0789✗1.19114k2022-08-19
DASHDashDash50.3650.1599-0.40%44.86-10.92%0.0077✓0.97521k2022-08-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3181.3127-0.40%1.206-8.50%0.0223✗1.002.4M2022-08-19
SGBSongbirdnative0.02920.029083-0.40%0.0264-9.59%0.0305✓0.6236k2022-08-19
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8810.877473-0.40%0.847-3.86%0.0130✗0.454.4M2022-08-19
KSMKusamaHydration51.6951.4824-0.40%48.63-5.92%0.0511✗1.01543k2022-08-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin6059.7584-0.40%54.02-9.97%0.0058✗1.0013.1M2022-08-19
AAVEAaveEthereum94.8694.4767-0.40%83.37-12.11%0.0400✗1.546.4M2022-08-19
XTZTezosTezos1.78951.7823-0.40%1.5782-11.81%0.0012✓1.12470k2022-08-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0838.05-0.41%7.303-9.65%0.0126✗1.0314.0M2022-08-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3343160.332949-0.41%0.302298-9.58%0.0212✗1.10884k2022-08-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2493.2356-0.41%2.801-13.79%0.0244✗1.575.2M2022-08-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00661.0025-0.41%1.0221+1.54%0.0846✗0.613.9M2022-08-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11920.118702-0.42%0.1085-8.98%0.0019✓0.86300k2022-08-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23410.233122-0.42%0.2125-9.23%0.0557✗1.38110k2022-08-19
FTTFTXEthereum29.9529.8247-0.42%26.41-11.82%0.0223✓0.938.9M2022-08-19
MOVRMoonriverBase14.497614.4368-0.42%12.9755-10.50%0.0050✓0.9551k2022-08-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.28920.287973-0.42%0.2516-13.00%0.0365✓0.9281k2022-08-19
PROPropyEthereum0.770.76673-0.42%0.74-3.90%0.0080✗0.4186k2022-08-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158490.157814-0.43%0.13844-12.65%0.0005✓1.23250k2022-08-19
API3Api3Ethereum2.1132.104-0.43%1.914-9.42%0.0036✓0.92680k2022-08-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,189.4623,090.29-0.43%20,834.94-10.15%0.0043✓1.00472.7M2022-08-19
GTGateEthereum4.84824.8274-0.43%4.373-9.80%0.0195✓0.74847k2022-08-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.371970.370376-0.43%0.33831-9.05%0.0279✗1.11426k2022-08-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.31.2944-0.43%1.18-9.23%0.0419✗1.261.1M2022-08-19
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260067-0.43%0.2612+0.00%0.0057✗0.0174k2022-08-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.923220.919202-0.44%0.84451-8.53%0.0155✗0.94574k2022-08-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.000093180.000092765-0.45%0.00008591-7.80%0.0300✗1.00336k2022-08-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6210.6182-0.45%0.562-9.50%0.0287✗1.1695k2022-08-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0037480.003731-0.45%0.003321-11.39%0.0312✓0.801.0M2022-08-19
UMAUMAEthereum3.1373.1227-0.45%2.82-10.11%0.0136✓0.83719k2022-08-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013480.000013418-0.46%0.00001317-2.30%0.0851✗0.97827k2022-08-19
ZECZcashZcash70.0969.764-0.47%62.23-11.21%0.0061✗1.122.0M2022-08-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.1924.0767-0.47%22.44-7.23%0.0761✗1.3725.9M2022-08-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33360.332031-0.47%0.303-9.17%0.0079✗0.938.2M2022-08-19
QNTQuantEthereum108.5107.9853-0.47%99.28-8.50%0.0042✓0.823.4M2022-08-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.6457.6087-0.47%6.899-9.76%0.0177✗1.0820.0M2022-08-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.01470.014629-0.48%0.01381-6.05%0.0068✗0.602.1M2022-08-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8171.8082-0.48%1.506-17.12%0.0608✓1.14150k2022-08-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.433-0.49%1.38-4.17%0.0460✓-0.08115k2022-08-19
SCSiacoinnative0.004650.004627-0.49%0.00412-11.40%0.0088✓1.00152k2022-08-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1414.0704-0.49%12.8-9.48%0.0246✗1.112.6M2022-08-19
NANOnanopayBase0.9901460.985264-0.49%0.884025-10.72%0.0279✓0.7577k2022-08-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.1316.0505-0.49%14.23-11.78%0.0112✗1.231.5M2022-08-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0310.9745-0.50%9.77-11.42%0.0096✗1.18305k2022-08-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017730.017639-0.51%0.01707-3.72%0.0350✗0.63153k2022-08-19
KCSKuCoinnative10.1110.0569-0.53%9.359-7.43%0.0334✗0.981.9M2022-08-19
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.55e-7-0.53%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0084✓0.794.6M2022-08-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.788.7332-0.53%7.67-12.64%0.0138✓1.08523k2022-08-19
FORTFortaEthereum0.28980.288245-0.54%0.2715-6.31%0.0547✗1.07151k2022-08-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087920.087443-0.54%0.07429-15.50%0.0414✓1.1429k2022-08-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04490.044655-0.55%0.03963-11.74%0.0331✓0.812,5822022-08-19
XVSVenusEthereum6.286.2456-0.55%5.8-7.64%0.0178✗0.861.6M2022-08-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,152.4023,025.10-0.55%21,334.30-7.85%0.0279✗0.977,5932022-08-19
RARESuperRareEthereum0.23030.22902-0.56%0.2054-10.81%0.0018✓1.00111k2022-08-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07610.075677-0.56%0.0657-13.67%0.0144✓1.191.4M2022-08-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.076860.076432-0.56%0.07173-6.67%0.0610✗1.162.3M2022-08-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007820.007776-0.56%0.00743-4.99%0.0748✗1.12420k2022-08-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3961.3879-0.58%1.2326-11.70%0.0175✓0.951.0M2022-08-19
HIVEHivenative0.58580.582373-0.59%0.5569-4.93%0.0566✗0.951.9M2022-08-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,845.901,835.10-0.59%1,608.72-12.85%0.0110✗1.33528.6M2022-08-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,215.9110,155.66-0.59%8,613.21-15.69%0.0217✓1.346.8M2022-08-19
FLOWFlownative2.5282.513-0.59%2.121-16.10%0.0331✓1.281.0M2022-08-19
RADRadworksEthereum2.42.3856-0.60%2.29-4.58%0.0539✗0.89726k2022-08-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.211.2026-0.61%1.1177-7.63%0.0498✗1.1512k2022-08-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.044490.044217-0.61%0.0386-13.24%0.0311✓0.9821k2022-08-19
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.001920.001908-0.62%0.001717-10.57%0.0016✓1.00901k2022-08-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9220.916163-0.63%0.834-9.54%0.0373✗1.231.0M2022-08-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6413.6174-0.65%3.13-14.03%0.0540✓0.85127k2022-08-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.333950.331686-0.68%0.29551-11.51%0.0212✓0.88383k2022-08-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.20860.207185-0.68%0.1961-5.99%0.0359✗0.851.2M2022-08-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.3919.2567-0.69%17.46-9.95%0.0263✓0.672.2M2022-08-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93720.930522-0.71%0.8698-7.19%0.0989✗1.55244k2022-08-19
ELAElastosEthereum2.0432.0281-0.73%1.87-8.47%0.0250✗0.99170k2022-08-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.639.3097-0.73%32.98-16.72%0.0273✓1.3916.0M2022-08-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070640.007012-0.74%0.006691-5.28%0.0028✓0.4655k2022-08-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.44611.3598-0.75%10.759-6.00%0.0689✗1.1511.4M2022-08-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015350.001524-0.75%0.001441-6.18%0.0288✗0.791.6M2022-08-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230530.02287-0.79%0.025967+12.64%0.1522✗0.24232k2022-08-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.112708-0.96%0.1096-3.69%0.0546✗0.77215k2022-08-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.76281.7458-0.96%1.7825+1.12%0.1503✗1.21598k2022-08-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.1440.7369-0.98%41.75+1.48%0.1342✗1.021.8M2022-08-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.852.8221-0.98%2.75-3.51%0.0300✗0.5296k2022-08-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.956.8538-1.38%6.87-1.15%0.0448✗0.401.8M2022-08-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.856.749-1.47%7.02+2.48%0.0810✗0.391.1M2022-08-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6464.5765-1.50%4.701+1.18%0.0623✗0.331.5M2022-08-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.829.6681-1.55%9.57-2.55%0.0361✗0.431.9M2022-08-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.16.0023-1.60%6.23+2.13%0.0790✗0.392.6M2022-08-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4144.3414-1.65%4.972+12.64%0.1556✗0.192.1M2022-08-19
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.49495.3926-1.86%4.0954-25.47%0.1681✓1.00169k2022-08-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.625.5102-1.95%5.39-4.09%0.0203✗0.401.1M2022-08-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.02743.9447-2.05%5.0422+25.20%0.2833✗0.352.0M2022-08-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.883.788-2.37%3.7255-3.98%0.0405✗0.531.3M2022-08-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.55194.4388-2.48%6.7571+48.45%0.4749✗0.512.0M2022-08-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.18e-76.97e-7-2.91%6.08e-7-15.38%0.0685✓0.64164k2022-08-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana7.4417.2204-2.96%6.927-6.91%0.0332✓0.083.9M2022-08-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.25712.655-4.54%13.488+1.74%0.1134✗0.461.3M2022-08-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.