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2022-08-17 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1581
189 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-6.28%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.3%
in alpha space · 82.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.65%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8991.8964-0.14%1.771-6.74%0.0603✓1.25142k2022-08-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.042636-0.15%0.0427+0.00%0.0076✗0.9411k2022-08-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050730.05065-0.16%0.05035-0.75%0.0012✓0.7216k2022-08-18
STXStacksnative0.45670.455939-0.17%0.4453-2.50%0.0163✓1.11808k2022-08-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17940.179039-0.20%0.18133+1.08%0.0273✗2.236712022-08-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.006520.006506-0.21%0.006288-3.56%0.0296✓0.703,0362022-08-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13810.137799-0.22%0.1361-1.45%0.0056✓1.0441k2022-08-18
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.43710.436128-0.22%0.4199-3.94%0.0289✓1.39209k2022-08-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19540.194954-0.23%0.1833-6.19%0.0523✓1.431,3972022-08-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6540.652507-0.23%0.666+1.83%0.0282✗1.192,9182022-08-18
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.68e-7-0.23%9.60e-7-1.03%0.0030✓0.7721k2022-08-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.344910.34411-0.23%0.34084-1.18%0.0028✓1.0413k2022-08-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2181.2151-0.24%1.151-5.50%0.0461✓1.241.1M2022-08-18
COMPCompoundEthereum58.3158.167-0.25%56.05-3.88%0.0290✓1.2420k2022-08-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54010.538772-0.25%0.5295-1.96%0.0101✓1.12388k2022-08-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.409860.408824-0.25%0.3928-4.16%0.0335✓0.9995k2022-08-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.007940.00792-0.25%0.00764-3.78%0.0318✓0.641.6M2022-08-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06620.066031-0.26%0.0629-4.98%0.0435✓0.78116k2022-08-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2170.21642-0.27%0.203-6.45%0.0568✓1.10696k2022-08-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37410.373068-0.28%0.3673-1.82%0.0083✓1.11105k2022-08-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.19750.196955-0.28%0.1857-5.97%0.0520✓1.051,7922022-08-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.0630.062825-0.28%0.058-7.94%0.0732✓1.02253k2022-08-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0239350.023868-0.28%0.023478-1.91%0.0112✓0.8113k2022-08-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42060.419407-0.28%0.3993-5.06%0.0419✓1.11190k2022-08-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.4133.4033-0.28%3.348-1.90%0.0123✓0.63853k2022-08-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12090.120554-0.29%0.1195-1.16%0.0042✓0.714,2082022-08-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.302125-0.29%0.296-2.31%0.0158✓0.721.0M2022-08-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30115.2857-0.29%5.3268+0.48%0.0086✗0.14217k2022-08-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024860.024788-0.29%0.024-3.46%0.0265✓0.89310k2022-08-18
XYMSymbolnative0.0535190.05336-0.30%0.053014-0.94%0.0033✓0.5033k2022-08-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.169181-0.31%0.1565-7.78%0.0709✓1.07616k2022-08-18
XECeCashnative0.000043330.000043195-0.31%0.00004285-1.11%0.0023✓0.871.9M2022-08-18
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08320.082938-0.32%0.08299-0.25%0.0022✓0.251.0M2022-08-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.652840.650762-0.32%0.63604-2.57%0.0143✓1.3147k2022-08-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02990.029803-0.32%0.0286-4.35%0.0327✓1.302,9912022-08-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.92259.7274-0.32%57.502-4.04%0.0334✓0.71365k2022-08-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25350.252675-0.33%0.2486-1.93%0.0097✓1.0183k2022-08-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5252.5167-0.33%2.389-5.39%0.0444✓1.1864k2022-08-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001680.001674-0.33%0.0017+1.19%0.0196✗0.699,5772022-08-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10180.101465-0.33%0.0944-7.27%0.0657✓0.9912k2022-08-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41880.417408-0.33%0.4086-2.44%0.0131✓1.26239k2022-08-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07930.079035-0.33%0.0738-6.94%0.0634✓0.79130k2022-08-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47010.468526-0.33%0.4375-6.93%0.0611✓1.1464k2022-08-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158730.158189-0.34%0.15849-0.15%0.0100✗1.24250k2022-08-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.963663-0.35%0.914-5.48%0.0436✓1.43469k2022-08-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077550.077281-0.35%0.07494-3.37%0.0257✓0.789142022-08-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025750.02566-0.35%0.02349-8.78%0.0826✓0.8814.3M2022-08-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.611.6044-0.35%1.45-9.94%0.0949✓0.97182k2022-08-18
XVGVergenative0.003780.003767-0.35%0.00366-3.17%0.0221✓1.02528k2022-08-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31980.318673-0.35%0.3055-4.47%0.0358✓0.993.6M2022-08-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.922.9097-0.35%2.7-7.53%0.0670✓1.19269k2022-08-18
SOLSolanaSolana40.5540.4064-0.35%39.51-2.56%0.0147✓1.1981.1M2022-08-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05090.050718-0.36%0.0494-2.95%0.0200✓0.98212k2022-08-18
CBKCobakEthereum1.11151.1075-0.36%1.1-1.04%0.0007✓0.9412k2022-08-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14530.144771-0.36%0.1341-7.71%0.0726✓0.614.4M2022-08-18
XEMNEMnative0.0502950.050112-0.36%0.04862-3.33%0.0244✓0.9043k2022-08-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05990.059681-0.37%0.0544-9.18%0.0859✓1.03877k2022-08-18
XVSVenusEthereum65.9781-0.37%6.28+4.67%0.0552✗0.911.5M2022-08-18
BANDBandEthereum1.5631.5573-0.37%1.471-5.89%0.0486✓1.28529k2022-08-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5150.513105-0.37%0.478-7.18%0.0644✓0.999,8012022-08-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.10910.108698-0.37%0.1036-5.04%0.0416✓0.99456k2022-08-18
TRXTRONTron0.0681260.067874-0.37%0.067418-1.04%0.0027✓0.61182k2022-08-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.20162.1934-0.37%2.1323-3.15%0.0214✓1.0536k2022-08-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006750.006725-0.37%0.007064+4.65%0.0521✗0.4555k2022-08-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.770114-0.37%0.731-5.43%0.0460✓0.94344k2022-08-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7810.778073-0.37%0.743-4.87%0.0401✓0.93280k2022-08-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.21191.2074-0.38%1.1895-1.85%0.0092✓0.8855k2022-08-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.56530.563137-0.38%0.5397-4.53%0.0372✓0.82755k2022-08-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.18211.1776-0.38%1.1146-5.71%0.0450✓1.525.6M2022-08-18
GTGateEthereum4.84494.8262-0.39%4.8482+0.07%0.0093✗0.73882k2022-08-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4762.4664-0.39%2.408-2.75%0.0125✓1.76134k2022-08-18
DODODODOEthereum0.1590.158369-0.40%0.1456-8.43%0.0777✓0.982.1M2022-08-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.29130.290135-0.40%0.2892-0.72%0.0028✓0.9381k2022-08-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.361.3545-0.40%1.318-3.09%0.0208✓1.002.5M2022-08-18
DIADIAEthereum0.460510.458649-0.40%0.45212-1.82%0.0084✓0.9170k2022-08-18
OPTIMOptimism1.3211.3156-0.41%1.196-9.46%0.0828✓1.933.6M2022-08-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92612.9142-0.41%2.6889-8.11%0.0726✓1.2113k2022-08-18
SGBSongbirdnative0.02940.02928-0.41%0.0292-0.68%0.0014✓0.6436k2022-08-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2410.240017-0.41%0.2341-2.86%0.0160✓1.38117k2022-08-18
FTTFTXEthereum30.1129.9863-0.41%29.95-0.53%0.0048✗0.939.1M2022-08-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8040.800691-0.41%0.741-7.84%0.0683✓1.414.6M2022-08-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.905238-0.41%0.881-3.08%0.0242✓0.464.4M2022-08-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,341.1723,244.51-0.41%23,189.46-0.65%0.0041✓1.00482.6M2022-08-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.5260.2644-0.42%60-0.86%0.0021✓1.0013.5M2022-08-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.83133.2623-0.42%129.12-3.52%0.0244✓1.105.1M2022-08-18
MOVRMoonriverBase14.827214.7643-0.42%14.4976-2.22%0.0120✓0.9553k2022-08-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6720.669146-0.42%0.642-4.46%0.0336✓1.20130k2022-08-18
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.260185-0.43%0.2612-0.04%0.0040✓0.0165k2022-08-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.3728.3361-0.43%8.083-3.45%0.0241✓1.0314.4M2022-08-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.383270.381604-0.43%0.37197-2.95%0.0199✓0.88435k2022-08-18
KSMKusamaHydration54.7754.5311-0.44%51.69-5.62%0.0469✓1.01595k2022-08-18
ADACardanoCardano0.53860.536248-0.44%0.5121-4.92%0.0394✓1.0343.6M2022-08-18
ZENHorizenBase19.0118.9268-0.44%17.89-5.89%0.0490✓1.12130k2022-08-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.922.9072-0.44%2.85-2.40%0.0165✓0.5296k2022-08-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.3938-0.44%1.44+2.86%0.0322✗-0.06124k2022-08-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12140.120866-0.44%0.1192-1.81%0.0082✓0.87311k2022-08-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.7114-0.44%9.82+12.23%0.1224✗0.401.8M2022-08-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.07080.070484-0.45%0.0683-3.53%0.0239✓1.16331k2022-08-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1213050.120763-0.45%0.115928-4.43%0.0351✓0.897.8M2022-08-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12260.122051-0.45%0.1149-6.28%0.0532✓1.113.8M2022-08-18
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1076.0793-0.45%5.771-5.50%0.0432✓1.3611.8M2022-08-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09970.099248-0.45%0.1138+14.14%0.1421✗0.80215k2022-08-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009510.000094666-0.46%0.00009318-2.02%0.0093✓1.01336k2022-08-18
PROPropyEthereum0.780.776411-0.46%0.77-1.28%0.0055✓0.42105k2022-08-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3480820.346471-0.46%0.334316-3.95%0.0289✓1.05916k2022-08-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.371.3636-0.46%1.3-5.11%0.0396✓1.261.1M2022-08-18
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004658-0.47%0.00465-0.64%0.0048✗1.01158k2022-08-18
DASHDashDash52.8752.621-0.47%50.36-4.75%0.0376✓0.97548k2022-08-18
UNIUniswapEthereum7.9617.9235-0.47%7.574-4.86%0.0366✓1.3010.3M2022-08-18
AAVEAaveEthereum100.1499.6668-0.47%94.86-5.27%0.0395✓1.536.4M2022-08-18
NANOnanopayBase0.978230.973595-0.47%0.990146+1.22%0.0217✗0.7577k2022-08-18
STEEMSteemnative0.27560.274289-0.48%0.2646-3.99%0.0303✓0.87550k2022-08-18
RARESuperRareEthereum0.24860.247416-0.48%0.2303-7.36%0.0652✓1.00111k2022-08-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.1938.1538-0.48%7.478-8.73%0.0812✓0.819.9M2022-08-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.893.8713-0.48%4.414+13.47%0.1324✗0.191.9M2022-08-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.967770.96311-0.48%0.92322-4.60%0.0362✓0.94623k2022-08-18
FISStafiEthereum0.41420.412194-0.48%0.399-3.67%0.0266✓0.901922022-08-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34080.339143-0.49%0.3336-2.11%0.0104✓0.938.3M2022-08-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6430.639838-0.49%0.621-3.42%0.0223✓1.16105k2022-08-18
QNTQuantEthereum109.91109.3647-0.50%108.5-1.28%0.0025✓0.833.6M2022-08-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.96510.960231-0.50%0.9002-6.72%0.0569✓1.182.2M2022-08-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010860.010805-0.51%0.01017-6.35%0.0557✓0.745.8M2022-08-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.5625.4278-0.52%24.19-5.36%0.0410✓1.3728.7M2022-08-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09833.0822-0.52%3.88+25.23%0.2335✗0.501.3M2022-08-18
XTZTezosTezos1.88471.8748-0.52%1.7895-5.05%0.0393✓1.11488k2022-08-18
API3Api3Ethereum2.2662.2541-0.52%2.113-6.75%0.0586✓0.92680k2022-08-18
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.55e-7-0.53%9.60e-7+0.00%0.0104✗0.795.3M2022-08-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045180.044942-0.53%0.0449-0.62%0.0043✓0.802,6002022-08-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.387.3411-0.53%6.869-6.92%0.0602✓0.975.4M2022-08-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039360.003915-0.53%0.003748-4.78%0.0385✓0.791.0M2022-08-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.8816.7909-0.53%16.13-4.44%0.0321✓1.231.6M2022-08-18
METISMetisEthereum38.7938.5849-0.53%38-2.04%0.0025✓1.96408k2022-08-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.0618.0181-0.53%7.645-5.16%0.0406✓1.0820.0M2022-08-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0151840.015103-0.54%0.0147-3.19%0.0231✓0.602.1M2022-08-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1444.1215-0.54%4.646+12.11%0.1218✗0.301.5M2022-08-18
KCSKuCoinnative10.25610.2-0.55%10.11-1.42%0.0025✓0.971.9M2022-08-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0921.086-0.55%1.0066-7.82%0.0719✓0.623.9M2022-08-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08710.086621-0.55%0.08792+0.94%0.0224✗1.1529k2022-08-18
FLOWFlownative2.5652.5509-0.55%2.528-1.44%0.0007✓1.281.0M2022-08-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0801150.079669-0.56%0.074632-6.84%0.0586✓1.031.9M2022-08-18
XMRMoneroMonero168.3167.3556-0.56%160.98-4.35%0.0326✓0.951.2M2022-08-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.36.2646-0.56%6.95+10.32%0.1063✗0.381.6M2022-08-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3611.2955-0.57%11.03-2.90%0.0164✓1.14313k2022-08-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,834.611,824.17-0.57%1,845.90+0.62%0.0205✗1.33534.1M2022-08-18
QTUMQtumQtum4.0123.989-0.57%3.7671-6.10%0.0509✓0.9848k2022-08-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20421.1973-0.57%1.21+0.48%0.0180✗1.1412k2022-08-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.17690.175864-0.59%0.1668-5.71%0.0463✓1.01140k2022-08-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8541.843-0.59%1.817-2.00%0.0069✓1.12170k2022-08-18
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.292258-0.59%0.2898-1.43%0.0015✓1.07160k2022-08-18
HIVEHivenative0.59610.592561-0.59%0.5858-1.73%0.0053✓0.952.0M2022-08-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9280.922461-0.60%0.922-0.65%0.0075✗1.221.1M2022-08-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.47123.4502-0.60%4.0274+16.02%0.1567✗0.311.8M2022-08-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.4219.3022-0.61%19.39-0.15%0.0090✗0.682.2M2022-08-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5053.4837-0.61%3.249-7.30%0.0595✓1.575.2M2022-08-18
ZECZcashZcash74.2273.7684-0.61%70.09-5.56%0.0440✓1.102.0M2022-08-18
UMAUMAEthereum3.2633.2428-0.62%3.137-3.86%0.0278✓0.83719k2022-08-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008140.00809-0.62%0.00782-3.93%0.0266✓1.11456k2022-08-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.327674-0.62%0.33395+1.28%0.0248✗0.89402k2022-08-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.9091-0.63%5.62+13.77%0.1378✗0.391.1M2022-08-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6165.5806-0.63%7.441+32.50%0.2882✗0.083.4M2022-08-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.41071.4017-0.64%1.396-1.04%0.0021✓0.941.0M2022-08-18
RADRadworksEthereum2.372.3549-0.64%2.4+1.27%0.0248✗0.90636k2022-08-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.49.3379-0.66%8.78-6.60%0.0545✓1.08523k2022-08-18
ELAElastosEthereum1.9911.9778-0.66%2.043+2.61%0.0389✗1.00181k2022-08-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000014760.000014661-0.67%0.00001348-8.67%0.0777✓0.96827k2022-08-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0219640.021814-0.68%0.023053+4.96%0.0565✗0.20233k2022-08-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.525.4797-0.73%6.1+10.51%0.1097✗0.372.0M2022-08-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046850.046504-0.74%0.04449-5.04%0.0379✓0.9821k2022-08-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70661.6937-0.76%1.7628+3.29%0.0478✗1.20598k2022-08-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015460.001534-0.77%0.001535-0.67%0.0062✓0.791.6M2022-08-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,298.3023,116.61-0.78%23,152.40-0.63%0.0079✗0.977,5932022-08-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.077174-0.80%0.0761-2.19%0.0063✓1.181.4M2022-08-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085980.085286-0.81%0.07686-10.61%0.0964✓1.172.4M2022-08-18
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0019550.001939-0.82%0.00192-1.79%0.0033✓1.00950k2022-08-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.2939.9476-0.85%39.6-1.71%0.0003✓1.3816.5M2022-08-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6823.6493-0.89%3.641-1.11%0.0033✓0.86124k2022-08-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.7511.6452-0.89%11.446-2.59%0.0099✓1.1312.0M2022-08-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,164.6211,062.96-0.91%10,215.91-8.50%0.0710✓1.336.8M2022-08-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7415.5965-0.91%14.14-10.17%0.0909✓1.092.6M2022-08-18
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.65774.6143-0.93%5.4949+17.97%0.1812✗1.00140k2022-08-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.226.1616-0.94%6.85+10.13%0.1083✗0.361.1M2022-08-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98420.974927-0.94%0.9372-4.78%0.0293✓1.55244k2022-08-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.81143.7754-0.94%4.5519+19.43%0.1900✗0.462.0M2022-08-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018080.017904-0.97%0.01773-1.94%0.0058✓0.62153k2022-08-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9665.9056-1.01%13.257+122.21%0.8110✗0.371.2M2022-08-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.22220.219849-1.06%0.2086-6.12%0.0470✓0.851.2M2022-08-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.0939.6649-1.06%41.14+2.62%0.0434✗1.051.8M2022-08-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.043357-1.24%0.0388-11.62%0.1049✓0.9576k2022-08-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.87e-76.68e-7-2.80%7.18e-7+4.46%0.0761✗0.63164k2022-08-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.