8=======>

2022-08-17 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0507
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.4%
in alpha space · 89.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30115.3344+0.63%4.9422-6.77%0.0542✗0.14217k2022-09-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19540.195756+0.18%0.155-20.68%0.0021✓1.431,3972022-09-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050730.05081+0.16%0.04256-16.10%0.0588✗0.7216k2022-09-16
PROPropyEthereum0.780.779968-0.00%0.7-10.26%0.0383✓0.42105k2022-09-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.007940.007917-0.29%0.00531-33.12%0.2940✓0.641.6M2022-09-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006750.006714-0.54%0.006297-6.71%0.0095✗0.4555k2022-09-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.259734-0.60%0.119-54.46%0.7785✓0.0165k2022-09-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024860.024682-0.71%0.02106-15.29%0.0119✓0.89310k2022-09-16
DIADIAEthereum0.460510.456405-0.89%0.37431-18.72%0.0494✓0.9170k2022-09-16
NANOnanopayBase0.978230.968257-1.02%0.810979-17.10%0.0545✓0.7577k2022-09-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41880.413112-1.36%0.346-17.38%0.0303✗1.26239k2022-09-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0239350.023596-1.42%0.020411-14.72%0.0120✓0.8113k2022-09-16
TRXTRONTron0.0681260.067092-1.52%0.061288-10.04%0.0102✓0.61182k2022-09-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.006520.006417-1.58%0.005888-9.70%0.0290✗0.703,0362022-09-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.19750.194369-1.59%0.151-23.54%0.0794✓1.051,7922022-09-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.5259.2515-2.10%55.93-7.58%0.1070✗1.0013.5M2022-09-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.409860.400967-2.17%0.32095-21.69%0.0594✓0.9995k2022-09-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004578-2.18%0.00373-20.30%0.0392✓1.01158k2022-09-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.344910.33727-2.22%0.26134-24.23%0.0841✓1.0413k2022-09-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.165842-2.27%0.1558-8.19%0.1133✗1.07616k2022-09-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.48e-7-2.29%8.30e-7-14.43%0.0060✓0.7721k2022-09-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0535190.052286-2.30%0.039113-26.92%0.2085✓0.5033k2022-09-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12090.118066-2.34%0.0959-20.68%0.0915✓0.714,2082022-09-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.041693-2.36%0.0374-12.41%0.0452✗0.9411k2022-09-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17940.175122-2.38%0.15812-11.86%0.2654✗2.236712022-09-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07080.069066-2.45%0.0498-29.66%0.1369✓1.16331k2022-09-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.29522-2.57%0.262-13.53%0.0011✓0.721.0M2022-09-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,298.3022,696.36-2.58%19,713.60-15.39%0.0191✓0.977,5932022-09-16
FISStafiEthereum0.41420.403324-2.63%0.3538-14.58%0.0175✓0.901922022-09-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.21191.1798-2.65%1.003-17.24%0.0181✓0.8855k2022-09-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,341.1722,719.49-2.66%19,801.04-15.17%0.0270✗1.00482.6M2022-09-16
XVGVergenative0.003780.003677-2.73%0.00319-15.61%0.0256✓1.02528k2022-09-16
GTGateEthereum4.84494.709-2.81%4.2657-11.95%0.0214✓0.73882k2022-09-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25350.24638-2.81%0.2047-19.25%0.0189✓1.0183k2022-09-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02990.029032-2.90%0.02271-24.05%0.0320✓1.302,9912022-09-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13810.133927-3.02%0.1457+5.50%0.2550✗1.0441k2022-09-16
XVSVenusEthereum65.8174-3.04%4.36-27.33%0.1386✓0.911.5M2022-09-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07930.076877-3.06%0.0646-18.54%0.0440✓0.79130k2022-09-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10180.098665-3.08%0.0859-15.62%0.0250✓0.9912k2022-09-16
BANDBandEthereum1.5631.5141-3.13%1.237-20.86%0.0083✓1.28529k2022-09-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.96510.934325-3.19%0.7965-17.47%0.0337✗1.182.2M2022-09-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42060.40713-3.20%0.3247-22.80%0.0440✓1.11190k2022-09-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06620.064037-3.27%0.0555-16.16%0.0147✓0.78116k2022-09-16
STXStacksnative0.45670.441651-3.30%0.3492-23.54%0.0515✓1.11808k2022-09-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2170.209849-3.30%0.15442-28.84%0.1253✓1.10696k2022-09-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.17690.171008-3.33%0.1384-21.76%0.0456✓1.01140k2022-09-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14530.14046-3.33%0.1213-16.52%0.0471✓0.614.4M2022-09-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.92257.8908-3.39%52.013-13.20%0.0090✓0.71365k2022-09-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.29130.281384-3.40%0.3024+3.81%0.2248✗0.9381k2022-09-16
KCSKuCoinnative10.2569.8981-3.49%9.137-10.91%0.0795✗0.971.9M2022-09-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077550.074816-3.53%0.0652-15.93%0.0099✓0.789142022-09-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31980.308427-3.56%0.2626-17.89%0.0019✓0.993.6M2022-09-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010860.010473-3.56%0.00835-23.11%0.1046✓0.745.8M2022-09-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.922.8121-3.70%1.92-34.25%0.1854✓1.19269k2022-09-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.10910.105066-3.70%0.0976-10.54%0.0891✗0.99456k2022-09-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.3478-3.73%1.44+2.86%0.0560✗-0.06124k2022-09-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.042259-3.74%0.0352-19.82%0.0271✓0.9576k2022-09-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.20162.1187-3.77%1.7566-20.21%0.0144✓1.0536k2022-09-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018080.017398-3.77%0.01206-33.30%0.2652✓0.62153k2022-09-16
FTTFTXEthereum30.1128.9608-3.82%24.08-20.03%0.0317✓0.939.1M2022-09-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.11151.069-3.82%0.82039-26.19%0.1096✓0.9412k2022-09-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.652840.627853-3.83%0.49675-23.91%0.0184✓1.3147k2022-09-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.4133.282-3.84%2.987-12.48%0.0096✓0.63853k2022-09-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001680.001614-3.93%0.001455-13.39%0.0097✓0.699,5772022-09-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47010.451605-3.93%0.4409-6.21%0.1642✗1.1464k2022-09-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05090.048822-4.08%0.043-15.52%0.0335✓0.98212k2022-09-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6720.644326-4.12%0.489-27.23%0.0789✓1.20130k2022-09-16
DASHDashDash52.8750.6889-4.13%43.69-17.36%0.0104✓0.97548k2022-09-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0151840.014555-4.14%0.012294-19.03%0.0703✓0.602.1M2022-09-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.967770.92758-4.15%0.7411-23.42%0.0699✓0.94623k2022-09-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.870759-4.21%0.928+2.09%0.1390✗0.464.4M2022-09-16
XECeCashnative0.000043330.00004148-4.27%0.00004223-2.54%0.1612✗0.871.9M2022-09-16
XEMNEMnative0.0502950.048124-4.32%0.042068-16.36%0.0129✓0.9043k2022-09-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.922.7931-4.34%1.76-39.73%0.3761✓0.5296k2022-09-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.383270.366587-4.35%0.30013-21.69%0.0561✓0.88435k2022-09-16
KSMKusamaHydration54.7752.3686-4.38%43.86-19.92%0.0104✓1.01595k2022-09-16
XMRMoneroMonero168.3160.7837-4.47%149.19-11.35%0.0822✗0.951.2M2022-09-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045180.043151-4.49%0.03549-21.45%0.0636✓0.802,6002022-09-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2410.229767-4.66%0.1907-20.87%0.0408✓1.38117k2022-09-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54010.514814-4.68%0.4634-14.20%0.0791✗1.12388k2022-09-16
ZENHorizenBase19.0118.119-4.69%14.36-24.46%0.0483✓1.12130k2022-09-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.361.2961-4.70%1.173-13.75%0.0650✗1.002.5M2022-09-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158730.151236-4.72%0.13109-17.41%0.0605✗1.24250k2022-09-16
STEEMSteemnative0.27560.262366-4.80%0.2244-18.58%0.0137✓0.87550k2022-09-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7810.743386-4.82%0.605-22.54%0.0531✓0.93280k2022-09-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6540.622454-4.82%0.418-36.09%0.2023✓1.192,9182022-09-16
SOLSolanaSolana40.5538.5819-4.85%32.23-20.52%0.0164✓1.1981.1M2022-09-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.83127.3187-4.87%119.59-10.64%0.1187✗1.105.1M2022-09-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0801150.076138-4.96%0.060443-24.55%0.0618✓1.031.9M2022-09-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009510.000090378-4.97%0.00030458+220.27%1.3805✗1.01336k2022-09-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.56530.537042-5.00%0.4698-16.89%0.0010✓0.82755k2022-09-16
AAVEAaveEthereum100.1495.0635-5.07%79.37-20.74%0.0713✗1.536.4M2022-09-16
ZECZcashZcash74.2270.4472-5.08%56.74-23.55%0.0349✓1.102.0M2022-09-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12140.11519-5.12%0.1034-14.83%0.0343✓0.87311k2022-09-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.0630.059777-5.12%0.0476-24.44%0.0598✓1.02253k2022-09-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.3023-5.12%8.46-3.31%0.0845✗0.401.8M2022-09-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.312657-5.18%0.38821+17.74%0.3623✗0.89402k2022-09-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5252.3939-5.19%1.988-21.27%0.0084✓1.1864k2022-09-16
UMAUMAEthereum3.2633.0933-5.20%2.56-21.54%0.0526✓0.83719k2022-09-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.732754-5.21%0.616-20.31%0.0184✓0.94344k2022-09-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5150.488101-5.22%0.434-15.73%0.0457✓0.999,8012022-09-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.611.5256-5.24%1.28-20.50%0.0166✓0.97182k2022-09-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.3727.9329-5.25%6.906-17.51%0.0302✓1.0314.4M2022-09-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2181.1537-5.28%0.8768-28.01%0.0707✓1.241.1M2022-09-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34080.322669-5.32%0.2979-12.59%0.0731✗0.938.3M2022-09-16
COMPCompoundEthereum58.3155.1889-5.35%54.06-7.29%0.1826✗1.2420k2022-09-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09832.9321-5.37%3.6957+19.28%0.3142✗0.501.3M2022-09-16
API3Api3Ethereum2.2662.1437-5.40%1.541-31.99%0.1783✓0.92680k2022-09-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.893.6702-5.65%3.874-0.41%0.0853✗0.191.9M2022-09-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.0123.7844-5.67%2.9941-25.37%0.0738✓0.9848k2022-09-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1590.149946-5.69%0.1221-23.21%0.0442✓0.982.1M2022-09-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4762.3346-5.71%1.715-30.74%0.0194✓1.76134k2022-09-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.0617.5971-5.75%7.655-5.04%0.1856✗1.0820.0M2022-09-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1213050.11429-5.78%0.107109-11.70%0.0815✗0.897.8M2022-09-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.073259-5.84%0.0575-26.09%0.0480✓1.181.4M2022-09-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.371.2898-5.86%1.1346-17.18%0.0785✗1.261.1M2022-09-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.1937.7118-5.87%5.824-28.91%0.1471✓0.819.9M2022-09-16
XTZTezosTezos1.88471.7735-5.90%1.5208-19.31%0.0294✓1.11488k2022-09-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.8815.8803-5.92%12.83-23.99%0.0110✓1.231.6M2022-09-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,834.611,725.70-5.94%1,433.73-21.85%0.0330✓1.33534.1M2022-09-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3480820.32733-5.96%0.283015-18.69%0.0269✓1.05916k2022-09-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8040.755865-5.99%0.586-27.11%0.0224✓1.414.6M2022-09-16
ADACardanoCardano0.53860.506163-6.02%0.4748-11.85%0.1053✗1.0343.6M2022-09-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.372.2253-6.11%2.13-10.13%0.1037✗0.90636k2022-09-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8991.783-6.11%1.34-29.44%0.0808✓1.25142k2022-09-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.6304-6.27%4.31-12.75%0.0073✓0.391.1M2022-09-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1443.8833-6.29%3.867-6.68%0.0458✓0.301.5M2022-09-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.41071.3218-6.30%1.2302-12.80%0.0833✗0.941.0M2022-09-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05990.056113-6.32%0.0411-31.39%0.1414✓1.03877k2022-09-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025750.024088-6.45%0.02055-20.19%0.0138✓0.8814.3M2022-09-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.274879-6.50%0.19-35.37%0.1932✓1.07160k2022-09-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.43710.408652-6.51%0.3144-28.07%0.0340✓1.39209k2022-09-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08320.077778-6.52%0.06472-22.21%0.1429✓0.251.0M2022-09-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5053.2759-6.54%2.596-25.93%0.0262✓1.575.2M2022-09-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9665.5739-6.57%11.384+90.81%0.7745✗0.371.2M2022-09-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92612.7336-6.58%1.9192-34.41%0.1547✓1.2113k2022-09-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.903226-6.60%0.6518-32.60%0.0911✓1.43469k2022-09-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.386.8917-6.62%6.185-16.19%0.0510✓0.975.4M2022-09-16
MOVRMoonriverBase14.827213.8413-6.65%11.2265-24.28%0.0526✓0.9553k2022-09-16
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1075.7-6.66%4.665-23.61%0.0229✓1.3611.8M2022-09-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0219640.020499-6.67%0.025951+18.15%0.2685✗0.20233k2022-09-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6430.600091-6.67%0.497-22.71%0.0025✓1.16105k2022-09-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9280.866043-6.68%0.896-3.45%0.2355✗1.221.1M2022-09-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008140.007595-6.69%0.00771-5.28%0.1977✗1.11456k2022-09-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08710.081193-6.78%0.06705-23.02%0.0027✓1.1529k2022-09-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3610.5871-6.80%9.36-17.61%0.0641✓1.14313k2022-09-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.35.8702-6.82%5.78-8.25%0.0471✓0.381.6M2022-09-16
ELAElastosEthereum1.9911.8544-6.86%1.475-25.92%0.0648✓1.00181k2022-09-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.18211.1007-6.89%1.0589-10.42%0.2118✗1.525.6M2022-09-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000014760.000013728-6.99%0.00001157-21.61%0.0127✓0.96827k2022-09-16
BTTCBTTC9.60e-78.93e-7-7.02%8.20e-7-14.58%0.0448✓0.795.3M2022-09-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20421.1194-7.04%–pending––1.1412k2022-09-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8541.7233-7.05%1.38-25.57%0.0380✓1.12170k2022-09-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70661.5855-7.10%1.8924+10.89%0.3747✗1.20598k2022-09-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12260.113678-7.28%0.1057-13.78%0.1095✗1.113.8M2022-09-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.225.7669-7.28%6.26+0.64%0.1418✗0.361.1M2022-09-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09970.092267-7.45%0.1059+6.22%0.2700✗0.80215k2022-09-16
HIVEHivenative0.59610.551111-7.55%0.5573-6.51%0.1668✗0.952.0M2022-09-16
UNIUniswapEthereum7.9617.351-7.66%5.824-26.84%0.0188✓1.3010.3M2022-09-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6823.3942-7.82%4.006+8.80%0.3067✗0.86124k2022-09-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.4217.8945-7.86%16-17.61%0.0003✓0.682.2M2022-09-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0921.006-7.88%0.9744-10.77%0.0705✓0.623.9M2022-09-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.47123.1893-8.12%5.9681+71.93%0.6782✗0.311.8M2022-09-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039360.003615-8.17%0.002807-28.68%0.1226✓0.791.0M2022-09-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6165.154-8.23%5.56-1.00%0.0891✗0.083.4M2022-09-16
QNTQuantEthereum109.91100.8111-8.28%107.74-1.97%0.2024✗0.833.6M2022-09-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.5623.4214-8.37%18.06-29.34%0.0349✓1.3728.7M2022-09-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.7510.7619-8.41%16.596+41.24%0.6189✗1.1312.0M2022-09-16
RARESuperRareEthereum0.24860.227572-8.46%0.1847-25.70%0.0442✓1.00111k2022-09-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015460.001413-8.60%0.001201-22.29%0.0315✓0.791.6M2022-09-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046850.042794-8.66%0.03294-29.69%0.1010✓0.9821k2022-09-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.525.0389-8.72%5.31-3.80%0.1137✗0.372.0M2022-09-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.48.5773-8.75%6.63-29.47%0.0791✓1.08523k2022-09-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37410.340397-9.01%0.2667-28.71%0.0613✓1.11105k2022-09-16
METISMetisEthereum38.7935.273-9.07%24.55-36.71%0.0403✓1.96408k2022-09-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.81143.463-9.14%5.5996+46.92%0.5564✗0.462.0M2022-09-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98420.892845-9.28%0.8516-13.47%0.2082✗1.55244k2022-09-16
FLOWFlownative2.5652.3261-9.31%1.78-30.60%0.0571✓1.281.0M2022-09-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085980.077833-9.48%0.06104-29.01%0.0514✓1.172.4M2022-09-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7414.1747-9.94%14.52-7.75%0.2034✗1.092.6M2022-09-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0019550.001745-10.73%0.001658-15.19%0.1132✓1.00950k2022-09-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.2935.9503-10.77%34.05-15.49%0.1733✗1.3816.5M2022-09-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,164.629,958.94-10.80%8,661.73-22.42%0.0795✓1.336.8M2022-09-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.22220.197849-10.96%0.2101-5.45%0.2004✗0.851.2M2022-09-16
OPTIMOptimism1.3211.1724-11.25%1.112-15.82%0.2640✗1.933.6M2022-09-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.87e-76.09e-7-11.45%5.40e-7-21.44%0.0153✓0.63164k2022-09-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.0935.0878-12.48%16.31-59.32%0.5932✓1.051.8M2022-09-16
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.65773.9531-15.13%4.6927+0.75%0.3360✗1.00140k2022-09-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.