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2022-08-14 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0589
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-19.59%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.1%
in alpha space · 68.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.104575+5.10%0.0848-14.77%0.0165✓1.039,7202022-09-13
PROPropyEthereum0.810.84068+3.79%0.71-12.35%0.0917✗0.41105k2022-09-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59470.616795+3.72%0.4625-22.23%0.0782✗1.12365k2022-09-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067130.00696+3.68%0.005899-12.12%0.0311✓0.723,2222022-09-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3270.338979+3.66%0.263-19.57%0.1026✗0.811.1M2022-09-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032290.033464+3.64%0.02317-28.24%0.1259✗1.292,9912022-09-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.00852+3.27%0.00563-31.76%0.2940✗0.641.6M2022-09-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.12745.2881+3.13%4.9699-3.07%0.0370✗0.13233k2022-09-13
STXStacksnative0.49170.506518+3.01%0.3497-28.88%0.1592✗1.13808k2022-09-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.267878+2.60%0.1365-47.72%0.6717✗0.0155k2022-09-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001010.000001035+2.51%8.70e-7-13.86%0.0303✗0.7721k2022-09-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.28680.293215+2.24%0.3444+20.08%0.3340✓0.9370k2022-09-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13080.133639+2.17%0.0968-25.99%0.1741✗0.793,9702022-09-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.0871+1.99%0.0594-30.44%0.2164✗0.89130k2022-09-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049420.050317+1.81%0.03648-26.18%0.1698✗0.812,5822022-09-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055380.056241+1.56%0.04273-22.84%0.1387✗0.7316k2022-09-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.983.0205+1.36%1.81-39.26%0.4143✗0.52102k2022-09-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.444750.450709+1.34%0.32139-27.74%0.1493✗1.01109k2022-09-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04720.047794+1.26%0.0403-14.62%0.0099✓0.9711k2022-09-13
TRXTRONTron0.0703490.07118+1.18%0.060682-13.74%0.0462✗0.61192k2022-09-13
ZENHorizenBase20.1420.3561+1.07%14.84-26.32%0.0951✗1.18124k2022-09-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006720.006788+1.01%0.006216-7.50%0.0044✓0.4555k2022-09-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0255820.025833+0.98%0.020191-21.07%0.0887✗0.8413k2022-09-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.1763.6981+0.84%59.1-6.44%0.1207✓1.0513.6M2022-09-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9320.938895+0.74%0.921-1.18%0.0787✓0.524.4M2022-09-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017920.001804+0.68%0.001531-14.56%0.0227✗0.769,0932022-09-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.51.5102+0.68%1.41-6.00%0.0672✗0.01132k2022-09-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,209.7024,318.55+0.45%20,237.10-16.41%0.0029✓0.977,5932022-09-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.45140.061+0.44%117.6-15.67%0.0343✓1.125.1M2022-09-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.07030.070602+0.43%0.0479-31.86%0.1878✗1.07225k2022-09-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19170.192349+0.34%0.16738-12.69%0.2783✓2.236712022-09-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.26061.2647+0.33%1.0027-20.45%0.0612✗0.9256k2022-09-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14770.148174+0.32%0.1963+32.90%0.4852✓1.0946k2022-09-13
DASHDashDash55.0855.2541+0.32%43.77-20.53%0.0498✗0.98574k2022-09-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8390.841628+0.31%0.595-29.08%0.1726✗0.93370k2022-09-13
XEMNEMnative0.0538060.053939+0.25%0.042163-21.64%0.0719✗0.9343k2022-09-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025730.02579+0.23%0.02007-22.00%0.0915✗0.85209k2022-09-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.17160.17199+0.23%0.1392-18.88%0.0194✗1.03131k2022-09-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.701427+0.20%0.52-25.71%0.0581✗1.29137k2022-09-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.28540.285924+0.18%0.1898-33.50%0.2230✗1.00108k2022-09-13
STEEMSteemnative0.27230.272702+0.15%0.2161-20.64%0.0594✗0.93551k2022-09-13
XMRMoneroMonero168.04168.2439+0.12%145.44-13.45%0.0401✓0.991.2M2022-09-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0564530.056475+0.04%0.03987-29.37%0.2538✗0.5136k2022-09-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.081150.081181+0.04%0.06468-20.30%0.0835✗0.778802022-09-13
XTZTezosTezos1.82261.8227+0.01%1.5348-15.79%0.0396✓1.13467k2022-09-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.404750.404419-0.08%0.30966-23.49%0.0869✓0.96479k2022-09-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34670.346247-0.13%0.2679-22.73%0.0659✓1.023.6M2022-09-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.08170.081593-0.13%0.059635-27.01%0.1215✓1.031.8M2022-09-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.19064.1849-0.14%3.0233-27.86%0.1382✓1.0053k2022-09-13
API3Api3Ethereum2.3872.3837-0.14%1.68-29.62%0.1681✓0.97607k2022-09-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.176.1593-0.17%6.47+4.86%0.1123✗0.341.0M2022-09-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.224395-0.27%0.16284-27.63%0.0937✓1.22657k2022-09-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12121.1181-0.28%1.0223-8.82%0.0378✗0.683.9M2022-09-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.053942-0.29%0.0452-16.45%0.0083✗0.99237k2022-09-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.7442-0.33%1.3-25.71%0.0993✓1.04190k2022-09-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1256460.125207-0.35%0.104654-16.71%0.0101✓0.917.2M2022-09-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198460.019776-0.35%0.024692+24.42%0.2544✗0.17230k2022-09-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48370.481814-0.39%0.3308-31.61%0.1650✓1.13190k2022-09-13
GTGateEthereum5.05495.0344-0.40%4.1432-18.04%0.0585✓0.73882k2022-09-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004990.004967-0.45%0.00381-23.65%0.0670✓1.06145k2022-09-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0081.0031-0.49%0.913-9.42%0.1330✗1.221.3M2022-09-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21120.210001-0.57%0.165-21.88%0.0248✗1.421,3132022-09-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017620.017517-0.58%0.01252-28.94%0.2034✓0.71155k2022-09-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.64610.5769-0.65%9.254-13.08%0.0487✗0.982.0M2022-09-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.20581.1974-0.70%0.82473-31.60%0.1920✓0.9712k2022-09-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18420.182894-0.71%0.1444-21.61%0.0306✓1.10586k2022-09-13
ZECZcashZcash73.7173.167-0.74%58.92-20.07%0.0015✓1.152.3M2022-09-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.53440.530285-0.77%0.4014-24.89%0.0667✓1.1359k2022-09-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17730.175904-0.79%0.13476-23.99%0.0273✓1.28243k2022-09-13
XECeCashnative0.000046140.000045772-0.80%0.00004395-4.75%0.1279✗0.902.1M2022-09-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26930.26707-0.83%0.2085-22.58%0.0604✓1.0091k2022-09-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9558.8792-0.85%7.07-21.05%0.0289✓1.0713.7M2022-09-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.39161.8572-0.86%51.566-17.35%0.0459✓0.73354k2022-09-13
NANOnanopayBase1.05681.0473-0.90%0.846269-19.92%0.0694✓0.7777k2022-09-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010370.010273-0.94%0.00851-17.94%0.0321✓0.845.6M2022-09-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64811.6325-0.95%1.9586+18.84%0.4188✗1.27540k2022-09-13
XVGVergenative0.004030.003989-1.03%0.00337-16.38%0.0327✗1.08517k2022-09-13
ADACardanoCardano0.57010.564035-1.06%0.4637-18.66%0.0020✓1.0642.0M2022-09-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.31222.2872-1.08%1.7866-22.73%0.0460✓1.0838k2022-09-13
FTTFTXEthereum30.8430.5043-1.09%25.89-16.05%0.0103✓0.939.8M2022-09-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.367520.363377-1.13%0.26692-27.37%0.1050✓1.0913k2022-09-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.376550.372128-1.17%0.42001+11.54%0.2851✗0.88439k2022-09-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,316.7124,031.16-1.17%20,174.78-17.03%0.0118✓1.00472.7M2022-09-13
UMAUMAEthereum3.4463.4053-1.18%2.618-24.03%0.1012✓0.87640k2022-09-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25550.252299-1.25%0.199-22.11%0.0146✗1.35132k2022-09-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.071196-1.25%0.0572-20.67%0.0631✓0.83119k2022-09-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156770.015475-1.29%0.012152-22.49%0.1209✓0.652.1M2022-09-13
BANDBandEthereum1.7321.7092-1.32%1.244-28.18%0.0700✓1.33460k2022-09-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6990.68943-1.37%0.493-29.47%0.1106✓1.20115k2022-09-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085720.084544-1.37%0.06913-19.35%0.1572✓0.241.1M2022-09-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2071.1904-1.37%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.710150.700225-1.40%0.50798-28.47%0.0720✓1.3349k2022-09-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7732.7341-1.40%2.022-27.08%0.0821✓1.1862k2022-09-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36420.358969-1.44%0.2966-18.56%0.0102✓0.978.3M2022-09-13
ELAElastosEthereum2.0392.0089-1.47%1.553-23.84%0.0712✓1.00189k2022-09-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60940.599504-1.62%0.4865-20.17%0.0666✓0.76784k2022-09-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4214-1.63%1.152-20.28%0.0206✓1.022.6M2022-09-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021020.002066-1.73%0.001519-27.74%0.1207✓1.001.0M2022-09-13
KSMKusamaHydration58.8757.7959-1.82%46.38-21.22%0.0262✓1.04524k2022-09-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16410.161092-1.83%0.1243-24.25%0.1341✓0.674.4M2022-09-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12840.126028-1.85%0.1076-16.20%0.0120✓0.91328k2022-09-13
HIVEHivenative0.62130.609456-1.91%0.5504-11.41%0.0827✗0.992.4M2022-09-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47930.470116-1.92%0.4008-16.38%0.0877✗1.32242k2022-09-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.90e-7-1.98%8.60e-7-14.85%0.0041✓0.785.7M2022-09-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.07650.074942-2.04%0.0496-35.16%0.1850✓1.22350k2022-09-13
DIADIAEthereum0.492650.482465-2.07%0.38116-22.63%0.1481✓0.4770k2022-09-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008650.008465-2.13%0.00796-7.98%0.1478✗1.12463k2022-09-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07351.0504-2.15%0.73147-31.86%0.1757✓1.00574k2022-09-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.16083.0917-2.19%4.1321+30.73%0.3847✗0.511.3M2022-09-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.2358.0457-2.30%5.871-28.71%0.1541✓0.868.3M2022-09-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.978.7597-2.34%8.75-2.45%0.0202✓0.111.8M2022-09-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.041796-2.35%0.0361-15.65%0.0429✗1.0176k2022-09-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08090.078961-2.40%0.059-27.07%0.0775✓1.151.4M2022-09-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.41180.401864-2.41%0.298-27.63%0.0927✓1.10100k2022-09-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1024.0025-2.42%4.142+0.98%0.0788✗0.242.2M2022-09-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5340.520978-2.44%0.434-18.73%0.0050✓1.0014k2022-09-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.9838-2.49%2.03-33.66%0.1472✓1.27244k2022-09-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.09621.0688-2.50%0.8066-26.42%0.0541✓1.222.3M2022-09-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9391.8895-2.55%1.455-24.96%0.0470✓1.15203k2022-09-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11660.113552-2.61%0.0924-20.75%0.0113✓1.04499k2022-09-13
SOLSolanaSolana44.8943.712-2.62%33.01-26.46%0.0545✓1.2178.8M2022-09-13
COMPCompoundEthereum63.0461.3775-2.64%55.83-11.44%0.1436✗1.2835k2022-09-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8740.850799-2.65%0.622-28.83%0.0399✓1.464.4M2022-09-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.22840.222332-2.66%0.1561-31.65%0.1497✓1.091,7402022-09-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.166398-2.69%0.1253-26.73%0.0955✓1.012.6M2022-09-13
XVSVenusEthereum6.426.242-2.77%4.66-27.41%0.0948✓1.061.4M2022-09-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004190.004073-2.79%0.002827-32.53%0.2152✓0.801.0M2022-09-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8653.7571-2.79%3.055-20.96%0.0755✓0.701.1M2022-09-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3411.3019-2.91%0.8796-34.41%0.1618✓1.231.1M2022-09-13
FISStafiEthereum0.49050.476128-2.93%0.35-28.64%0.1485✓0.851382022-09-13
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8828.6206-2.94%6.034-32.06%0.1113✓1.3110.0M2022-09-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1544.0315-2.95%4.082-1.73%0.0738✗0.331.7M2022-09-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51990.504561-2.95%0.3105-40.28%0.2377✓1.33213k2022-09-13
METISMetisEthereum43.2641.9802-2.96%27.9-35.51%0.0441✓1.95385k2022-09-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9810.95166-2.99%0.6606-32.66%0.0927✓1.46407k2022-09-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8082.7213-3.09%1.785-36.43%0.0950✓1.75144k2022-09-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13930.134852-3.19%0.1082-22.33%0.0119✓1.123.9M2022-09-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.481.4327-3.20%1.1703-20.93%0.0397✗1.301.2M2022-09-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3741170.361778-3.30%0.289387-22.65%0.0218✓1.08916k2022-09-13
AAVEAaveEthereum107.44103.8846-3.31%82.97-22.78%0.0670✗1.567.1M2022-09-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.29960.289595-3.34%0.2103-29.81%0.1175✓1.08189k2022-09-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.778.475-3.36%7.025-19.90%0.0193✓1.1119.3M2022-09-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.8111.4019-3.46%9.73-17.61%0.0544✗1.14305k2022-09-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8870.854917-3.62%0.61-31.23%0.1582✓0.96280k2022-09-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.897-3.64%6.12+0.00%0.1011✗0.341.4M2022-09-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12750.122779-3.70%0.1104-13.41%0.0583✗0.88220k2022-09-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08830.085024-3.71%0.0679-23.10%0.0138✓1.1329k2022-09-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9443.7972-3.72%4.212+6.80%0.2651✗0.86124k2022-09-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029260.028164-3.75%0.02043-30.18%0.1341✓1.0014.3M2022-09-13
MOVRMoonriverBase16.201915.5917-3.77%11.9339-26.34%0.0827✓0.9959k2022-09-13
GITCOINGITCOIN3.0772.9577-3.88%2.0329-33.93%0.1252✓1.3413k2022-09-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.425.2053-3.96%5.72+5.54%0.1446✗0.272.0M2022-09-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1872.1001-3.97%1.41-35.53%0.1851✓1.14169k2022-09-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.18110.173859-4.00%0.1934+6.79%0.2664✗0.861.1M2022-09-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.58811.1068-4.15%13.897+19.93%0.4424✗1.1713.2M2022-09-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016880.000016165-4.23%0.00001209-28.38%0.1111✓0.96679k2022-09-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,935.851,853.68-4.24%1,574.71-18.66%0.0843✗1.32522.8M2022-09-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.552.4413-4.26%2.32-9.02%0.1229✗0.93636k2022-09-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.064.8441-4.27%4.5-11.07%0.0007✓0.401.3M2022-09-13
QNTQuantEthereum118.61113.5213-4.29%97.87-17.49%0.0138✓0.873.8M2022-09-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.8815-4.46%14.53+0.00%0.2751✗1.232.6M2022-09-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5617.7274-4.49%13.18-28.99%0.0743✓1.191.6M2022-09-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0670.06395-4.55%0.0441-34.18%0.1677✓1.09877k2022-09-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.45881.3907-4.67%1.2429-14.80%0.0744✗1.001.0M2022-09-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014320.001363-4.78%0.001236-13.64%0.0627✗0.861.5M2022-09-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.092810.088345-4.81%0.05951-35.88%0.1680✓1.222.2M2022-09-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048790.04637-4.96%0.03367-30.99%0.1298✓1.0220k2022-09-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9325.6249-5.18%12.092+103.84%0.8050✗0.211.1M2022-09-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.53783.3471-5.39%7.2349+104.50%0.8323✗0.331.6M2022-09-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.26e-74.03e-7-5.40%6.96e-7+63.55%0.6750✗0.68150k2022-09-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100140.000094681-5.45%0.00035806+257.56%1.5205✗1.02336k2022-09-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.269.6982-5.48%6.97-32.07%0.1223✓1.11638k2022-09-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3546.0048-5.50%6.134-3.46%0.0405✓0.103.5M2022-09-13
FLOWFlownative2.8322.675-5.54%1.864-34.18%0.1232✓1.27754k2022-09-13
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3686.0119-5.59%5.136-19.35%0.0957✗1.3612.8M2022-09-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.69323.4801-5.77%6.58+78.17%0.7217✗0.451.9M2022-09-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.0017.528-5.91%6.4-20.01%0.0286✓1.025.5M2022-09-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7530.7082-5.95%0.449-40.37%0.2254✓1.232,7912022-09-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.1926.4362-6.22%18.87-33.06%0.0800✓1.3830.5M2022-09-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,226.8310,527.84-6.23%9,017.07-19.68%0.0938✗1.336.5M2022-09-13
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00190.935277-6.65%0.8463-15.53%0.1958✗1.58296k2022-09-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.5738.7119-6.88%35.29-15.11%0.1657✗1.3816.5M2022-09-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8213.5528-7.02%2.719-28.84%0.0294✓1.595.3M2022-09-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.2736.4258-7.24%15.2-61.29%0.6666✓1.111.7M2022-09-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.2419.6974-7.26%16.8-20.90%0.0293✓0.702.2M2022-09-13
OPTIMOptimism1.441.3293-7.69%1.182-17.92%0.2405✗1.923.7M2022-09-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38921.2744-8.26%1.0525-24.24%0.0755✓1.436.4M2022-09-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.