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2022-08-12 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3044
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.69%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.9%
in alpha space · 67.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SUNSun TokenTron0.0068930.006889-0.05%0.006994+1.46%0.0138✗0.723,4592022-08-13
TRXTRONTron0.0704870.070428-0.08%0.069903-0.83%0.0085✓0.61182k2022-08-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.79724.7923-0.10%4.8922+1.98%0.0204✗0.13307k2022-08-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1390.13884-0.11%0.1341-3.53%0.0362✓0.874,5542022-08-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1040.103868-0.13%0.1028-1.15%0.0120✓1.019,1182022-08-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3290.328496-0.15%0.333+1.22%0.0122✗0.851.1M2022-08-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0564110.056324-0.15%0.056988+1.02%0.0108✗0.5233k2022-08-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008380.008367-0.16%0.00828-1.19%0.0115✓0.651.6M2022-08-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05020.050121-0.16%0.0501-0.20%0.0021✓0.9711k2022-08-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001030.000001028-0.16%0.00000101-1.94%0.0193✓0.7721k2022-08-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0723220.072203-0.16%0.072906+0.81%0.0079✗1.031.7M2022-08-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood32.995-0.17%3.03+1.00%0.0107✗0.5296k2022-08-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22240.222014-0.17%0.2195-1.30%0.0138✓1.421,3132022-08-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.65410.635-0.18%10.697+0.40%0.0041✗1.002.0M2022-08-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.20e-73.19e-7-0.19%3.22e-7+0.53%0.0061✗0.68150k2022-08-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053960.053858-0.19%0.05467+1.32%0.0137✗0.7516k2022-08-13
PROPropyEthereum0.830.828339-0.20%0.82-1.20%0.0109✓0.4591k2022-08-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.28781.2852-0.20%1.2916+0.29%0.0034✗0.9456k2022-08-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.466350.465379-0.21%0.46097-1.15%0.0113✓1.03107k2022-08-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.260849-0.21%0.261-0.15%0.0006✓0.0144k2022-08-13
XECeCashnative0.000047840.000047738-0.21%0.0000474-0.92%0.0085✓0.852.0M2022-08-13
NANOnanopayBase1.10831.1058-0.22%1.0828-2.30%0.0224✓0.7963k2022-08-13
UMAUMAEthereum3.2233.2159-0.22%3.746+16.23%0.1511✗0.86587k2022-08-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.70.698446-0.22%0.702+0.29%0.0030✗1.22100k2022-08-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2360.235476-0.22%0.235-0.42%0.0041✓1.23657k2022-08-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.53663.3885-0.23%63.346-0.30%0.0019✓0.72344k2022-08-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017060.001702-0.24%0.001748+2.46%0.0253✗0.809,0932022-08-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.17520.174779-0.24%0.1743-0.51%0.0045✓1.03131k2022-08-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0254660.025405-0.24%0.025853+1.52%0.0161✗0.8413k2022-08-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09190.091679-0.24%0.0916-0.33%0.0023✓0.83127k2022-08-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60740.605883-0.25%0.6153+1.30%0.0135✗1.13332k2022-08-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7410.739131-0.25%0.733-1.08%0.0106✓1.33135k2022-08-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198510.198006-0.25%0.20197+1.74%0.0160✗2.238742022-08-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash143.1142.7335-0.26%144.43+0.93%0.0099✗1.125.1M2022-08-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033630.033543-0.26%0.03326-1.10%0.0107✓1.292,7512022-08-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.29254.2812-0.26%4.2917-0.02%0.0007✓1.0153k2022-08-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087260.08703-0.26%0.08755+0.33%0.0056✗0.231.1M2022-08-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010390.010363-0.26%0.01031-0.77%0.0063✓0.735.5M2022-08-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.30240.301598-0.27%0.291-3.77%0.0375✓1.00108k2022-08-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1264130.126076-0.27%0.126836+0.33%0.0045✗0.927.2M2022-08-13
KSMKusamaHydration61.1460.9753-0.27%61.18+0.07%0.0016✓1.06551k2022-08-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426970.425817-0.27%0.41477-2.86%0.0280✓1.04502k2022-08-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.370960.369953-0.27%0.37115+0.05%0.0014✓1.0913k2022-08-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0131.0102-0.27%0.991-2.17%0.0202✓0.554.2M2022-08-13
DASHDashDash56.1656.0073-0.27%57.07+1.62%0.0171✗0.99544k2022-08-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.15641.1533-0.27%1.1627+0.54%0.0069✗0.723.9M2022-08-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.0660.06582-0.27%0.0672+1.82%0.0189✗1.09207k2022-08-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.591.5857-0.27%1.55-2.52%0.0228✓0.04143k2022-08-13
GTGateEthereum5.0445.0302-0.27%5.1095+1.30%0.0144✗0.72911k2022-08-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.01683.0085-0.27%2.999-0.59%0.0041✓0.541.3M2022-08-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0200890.020034-0.27%0.020481+1.95%0.0218✗0.18223k2022-08-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049530.049391-0.28%0.04922-0.63%0.0049✓0.822,5822022-08-13
XTZTezosTezos1.92491.9193-0.29%1.9104-0.75%0.0066✓1.14467k2022-08-13
FTTFTXEthereum31.2231.1292-0.29%31.33+0.35%0.0049✗0.9310.8M2022-08-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.39812.3909-0.30%2.4159+0.74%0.0085✗1.0838k2022-08-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.182990.182437-0.30%0.18116-1.00%0.0093✓1.32236k2022-08-13
STXStacksnative0.50990.508358-0.30%0.5095-0.08%0.0003✓1.17808k2022-08-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001270.000012661-0.31%0.00001262-0.63%0.0049✓0.98744k2022-08-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06861.0653-0.31%1.0614-0.68%0.0054✓1.02543k2022-08-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47640.474917-0.31%0.462-3.02%0.0298✓1.34242k2022-08-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017810.017755-0.31%0.01788+0.39%0.0058✗0.71159k2022-08-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.91.8941-0.31%1.85-2.63%0.0253✓1.05190k2022-08-13
ZECZcashZcash77.3477.0989-0.31%76.21-1.46%0.0136✓1.172.2M2022-08-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4961.4913-0.31%1.485-0.74%0.0061✓1.082.6M2022-08-13
SCSiacoinnative0.005110.005094-0.32%0.00504-1.37%0.0125✓1.10112k2022-08-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.9562.751-0.32%63.86+1.45%0.0157✗1.0513.7M2022-08-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05690.056718-0.32%0.0554-2.64%0.0253✓1.03254k2022-08-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068320.00681-0.32%0.006824-0.12%0.0012✓0.5053k2022-08-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3341.3297-0.32%1.326-0.60%0.0049✓1.231.1M2022-08-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016280.016227-0.32%0.01624-0.25%0.0004✓0.702.1M2022-08-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25370.252878-0.32%0.2699+6.39%0.0628✗1.37116k2022-08-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,415.1824,335.66-0.33%24,456.49+0.17%0.0033✓1.00472.7M2022-08-13
DIADIAEthereum0.482460.480887-0.33%0.53395+10.67%0.1038✗0.5070k2022-08-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.14671.1429-0.33%1.138-0.76%0.0064✓1.252.3M2022-08-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68511.6795-0.33%1.7029+1.06%0.0117✗1.27540k2022-08-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.136.1096-0.33%6.06-1.14%0.0087✓0.351.0M2022-08-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,153.8024,073.13-0.33%24,547.20+1.63%0.0179✗0.9711k2022-08-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.726560.724117-0.34%0.72052-0.83%0.0073✓1.3659k2022-08-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13040.129958-0.34%0.1296-0.61%0.0042✓0.86350k2022-08-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.36310.361866-0.34%0.3595-0.99%0.0083✓1.033.6M2022-08-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026640.026549-0.34%0.02741+2.89%0.0306✗0.81186k2022-08-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22931.2251-0.34%1.243+1.12%0.0126✗1.1013k2022-08-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36560.36434-0.34%0.3686+0.82%0.0100✗0.988.4M2022-08-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008920.008889-0.35%0.00886-0.67%0.0052✓1.13463k2022-08-13
SOLSolanaSolana45.545.3424-0.35%46.63+2.48%0.0259✗1.2481.1M2022-08-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.23181.2275-0.35%1.2311-0.05%0.0013✓0.9714k2022-08-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021910.002183-0.35%0.002197+0.27%0.0045✗1.001.0M2022-08-13
GITCOINGITCOIN3.23543.2241-0.35%3.2141-0.66%0.0053✓1.3313k2022-08-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6440.641727-0.35%0.6271-2.62%0.0245✓0.83755k2022-08-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9642.9535-0.35%2.902-2.09%0.0205✓1.75143k2022-08-13
XVGVergenative0.003920.003906-0.35%0.00389-0.77%0.0060✓1.11534k2022-08-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9380.93467-0.35%0.917-2.24%0.0208✓0.99280k2022-08-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.12370.123261-0.36%0.1229-0.65%0.0048✓1.08529k2022-08-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55740.555416-0.36%0.5584+0.18%0.0034✓1.1358k2022-08-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.868.8284-0.36%8.81-0.56%0.0024✓0.161.8M2022-08-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5540.552021-0.36%0.558+0.72%0.0091✗1.0015k2022-08-13
ADACardanoCardano0.54070.538768-0.36%0.5598+3.53%0.0365✗1.0942.0M2022-08-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3412.3326-0.36%2.328-0.56%0.0039✓1.15172k2022-08-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1960.195295-0.36%0.1908-2.65%0.0251✓1.10570k2022-08-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.083310.08301-0.36%0.08281-0.60%0.0037✓0.779772022-08-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27870.277695-0.36%0.2745-1.51%0.0133✓1.0191k2022-08-13
XMRMoneroMonero166.92166.3173-0.36%168.13+0.72%0.0091✗1.021.1M2022-08-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.09160.091267-0.36%0.09127-0.36%0.0019✓1.1229k2022-08-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001030.000001026-0.37%0.00000102-0.97%0.0074✓0.785.9M2022-08-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07270.072423-0.38%0.0716-1.51%0.0128✓0.81128k2022-08-13
BANDBandEthereum1.8011.7941-0.38%1.823+1.22%0.0137✗1.34432k2022-08-13
HIVEHivenative0.63480.632366-0.38%0.6334-0.22%0.0001✓1.002.4M2022-08-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15350.152909-0.38%0.1512-1.50%0.0131✓1.0850k2022-08-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1764.1599-0.39%4.099-1.84%0.0152✓0.262.3M2022-08-13
COMPCompoundEthereum65.1264.8677-0.39%65.44+0.49%0.0066✗1.2838k2022-08-13
STEEMSteemnative0.27770.276618-0.39%0.2759-0.65%0.0041✓0.90629k2022-08-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9420.938307-0.39%1.038+10.19%0.0990✗1.201.1M2022-08-13
DODODODOEthereum0.18090.180189-0.39%0.1759-2.76%0.0258✓1.042.7M2022-08-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04450.044325-0.39%0.0442-0.67%0.0046✓1.0476k2022-08-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.5538-0.40%1.54-1.28%0.0111✓1.311.2M2022-08-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.4849.4457-0.40%9.31-1.83%0.0163✓1.0813.2M2022-08-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.253.2368-0.41%3.24-0.31%0.0011✓1.27269k2022-08-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.55310.550834-0.41%0.5216-5.70%0.0568✓1.32232k2022-08-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.9348-0.41%2.867-2.71%0.0254✓1.2059k2022-08-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17450.17378-0.41%0.1717-1.60%0.0132✓0.704.4M2022-08-13
XVSVenusEthereum6.666.6324-0.41%6.65-0.15%0.0008✓1.091.4M2022-08-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.880.876313-0.42%0.872-0.91%0.0065✓0.94377k2022-08-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3883630.386727-0.42%0.387693-0.17%0.0006✓1.10916k2022-08-13
MOVRMoonriverBase17.124117.0514-0.42%17.0389-0.50%0.0025✓1.0359k2022-08-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8754.8543-0.43%4.814-1.25%0.0087✓0.251.1M2022-08-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.392780.391105-0.43%0.3817-2.82%0.0259✓0.90439k2022-08-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1514.1331-0.43%4.086-1.57%0.0120✓0.341.7M2022-08-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0342.0251-0.44%1.994-1.97%0.0175✓1.18220k2022-08-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.24340.242328-0.44%0.2265-6.94%0.0694✓1.101,7402022-08-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4760.473895-0.44%0.4939+3.76%0.0394✗1.16174k2022-08-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.6618.5775-0.44%19.24+3.11%0.0330✗1.231.4M2022-08-13
UNIUniswapEthereum9.219.1692-0.44%8.987-2.42%0.0223✓1.3210.0M2022-08-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08270.082329-0.45%0.0823-0.48%0.0023✓1.131.4M2022-08-13
ELAElastosEthereum2.0752.0657-0.45%2.107+1.54%0.0181✗0.99261k2022-08-13
ZENHorizenBase21.3521.254-0.45%20.82-2.48%0.0226✓1.19118k2022-08-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032620.032473-0.45%0.03126-4.17%0.0398✓1.0213.8M2022-08-13
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0357.0033-0.45%6.66-5.33%0.0526✓1.3811.9M2022-08-13
XEMNEMnative0.0556990.055446-0.45%0.054466-2.21%0.0195✓1.0144k2022-08-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7518.7102-0.47%8.374-4.31%0.0409✓0.896.2M2022-08-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14720.146513-0.47%0.1441-2.11%0.0185✓1.143.8M2022-08-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9830.978328-0.48%0.974-0.92%0.0069✓1.48440k2022-08-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.29560.294185-0.48%0.2886-2.37%0.0208✓0.9570k2022-08-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44490.442768-0.48%0.4375-1.66%0.0139✓1.1295k2022-08-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.06112.0028-0.48%11.906-1.29%0.0102✓1.2214.4M2022-08-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9440.939392-0.49%0.912-3.39%0.0321✓1.474.4M2022-08-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098090.000097611-0.49%0.00009674-1.38%0.0103✓0.78353k2022-08-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.0315.9504-0.50%15.39-3.99%0.0378✓1.212.6M2022-08-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.174.1491-0.50%4.065-2.52%0.0217✓0.741.3M2022-08-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.5769-0.50%2.66+2.70%0.0302✗0.93636k2022-08-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.535.5017-0.51%5.4-2.35%0.0192✓0.312.1M2022-08-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.30940.307801-0.52%0.3084-0.32%0.0001✓1.08203k2022-08-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07330.072913-0.53%0.0714-2.59%0.0229✓1.12877k2022-08-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7920.787819-0.53%0.792+0.00%0.0032✓1.262,9182022-08-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,959.911,949.48-0.53%1,984.75+1.27%0.0157✗1.32522.8M2022-08-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1270.126319-0.54%0.1176-7.40%0.0730✓0.85209k2022-08-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.085.0522-0.55%4.96-2.36%0.0191✓0.411.3M2022-08-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.31093.2928-0.55%3.4228+3.38%0.0381✗0.351.5M2022-08-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.3339.2807-0.56%9.149-1.97%0.0162✓1.1319.3M2022-08-13
AAVEAaveEthereum114.79114.1349-0.57%110.5-3.74%0.0350✓1.577.9M2022-08-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3948.3455-0.58%8.197-2.35%0.0197✓1.065.5M2022-08-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.3529.1702-0.61%29.19-0.55%0.0017✓1.4030.7M2022-08-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.412.3239-0.61%12.18-1.77%0.0137✓1.15313k2022-08-13
QNTQuantEthereum128.24127.451-0.62%126.57-1.30%0.0084✓0.884.0M2022-08-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44433.4227-0.63%3.4312-0.38%0.0017✓0.481.9M2022-08-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.1640.162966-0.63%0.1616-1.46%0.0099✓0.891.1M2022-08-13
METISMetisEthereum49.0748.7552-0.64%47.76-2.67%0.0239✓1.92385k2022-08-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0045230.004494-0.65%0.004633+2.43%0.0291✗0.87994k2022-08-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.07390.073405-0.67%0.0784+6.09%0.0638✗1.22367k2022-08-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1521.0031-0.69%21.34+0.90%0.0147✗0.712.4M2022-08-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015090.001499-0.70%0.001473-2.42%0.0189✓0.871.4M2022-08-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.154.1207-0.71%3.972-4.29%0.0395✓1.625.3M2022-08-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.100470.099759-0.71%0.09698-3.47%0.0304✓1.272.0M2022-08-13
FLOWFlownative2.9452.9232-0.74%2.923-0.75%0.0022✓1.27711k2022-08-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.710.6206-0.74%10.46-2.24%0.0171✓1.10638k2022-08-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5946.5432-0.77%6.38-3.25%0.0255✓0.153.5M2022-08-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,508.5711,419.82-0.77%11,424.48-0.73%0.0018✓1.336.2M2022-08-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.326.2707-0.78%6.12-3.16%0.0249✓0.351.2M2022-08-13
API3Api3Ethereum2.4262.4062-0.81%2.408-0.74%0.0009✓0.98588k2022-08-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42311.4106-0.88%1.4348+0.82%0.0146✗1.446.7M2022-08-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.42591.4133-0.88%1.419-0.48%0.0023✓1.01907k2022-08-13
OPTIMOptimism1.6511.6363-0.89%1.542-6.60%0.0626✓1.923.6M2022-08-13
ORCAOrcaSolana1.02481.0153-0.92%1.0121-1.24%0.0059✓1.60296k2022-08-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative43.4143.0039-0.94%43.58+0.39%0.0110✗1.3816.2M2022-08-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3838.9918-0.99%40.15+1.96%0.0273✗1.181.5M2022-08-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048430.047761-1.38%0.04514-6.79%0.0582✓1.0219k2022-08-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0513.986-1.61%4.135+2.07%0.0353✗0.86102k2022-08-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.