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2022-08-11 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0588
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-17.11%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.0%
in alpha space · 70.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.926917-7.56%0.902-10.04%0.1333✗1.59296k2022-09-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35951.2576-7.50%1.2446-8.45%0.1353✗1.456.8M2022-09-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.051950.048275-7.07%0.0382-26.47%0.1279✓1.0519k2022-09-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1419.7017-6.80%17.96-15.04%0.0210✓0.712.4M2022-09-10
OPTIMOptimism1.5581.4529-6.75%1.387-10.98%0.1465✗1.923.4M2022-09-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum36.1233.8232-6.36%17.47-51.63%0.5411✓1.191.4M2022-09-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative42.0639.4176-6.28%39.23-6.73%0.1337✗1.3815.1M2022-09-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0383.7861-6.24%3.024-25.11%0.0616✓1.625.3M2022-09-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7690.721056-6.23%0.516-32.90%0.2096✓1.242,7912022-09-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000097270.00009149-5.94%0.0004348+347.00%1.6674✗1.08369k2022-09-10
FLOWFlownative2.9712.7987-5.80%2.11-28.98%0.1535✓1.28686k2022-09-10
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9296.5527-5.43%5.052-27.09%0.1219✓1.3712.8M2022-09-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,294.4410,684.89-5.40%10,440.99-7.56%0.1111✗1.336.2M2022-09-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.20043.028-5.39%7.4153+131.70%0.9305✗0.351.5M2022-09-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.5427.0053-5.38%20.45-28.35%0.1367✓1.4030.8M2022-09-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.1867.7497-5.33%7.129-12.91%0.0209✓1.045.5M2022-09-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.39723.2191-5.24%6.9782+105.41%0.8218✗0.481.9M2022-09-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.2565.9341-5.14%6.021-3.76%0.0315✓0.173.4M2022-09-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.48451.4106-4.98%1.325-10.74%0.0408✓1.03907k2022-09-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.39.7935-4.92%7.78-24.47%0.1163✓1.13592k2022-09-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015210.001448-4.80%0.001381-9.22%0.0402✓0.871.4M2022-09-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.30780.293229-4.73%0.2299-25.31%0.1342✓1.08232k2022-09-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07490.071357-4.73%0.051-31.91%0.2220✓1.13877k2022-09-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.4621-4.57%2.61+1.16%0.1532✗0.94636k2022-09-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.84.5845-4.49%4.63-3.54%0.0506✗0.401.3M2022-09-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4517.6244-4.48%14.72-20.22%0.0552✓1.241.4M2022-09-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.285.0453-4.45%5.41+2.46%0.1017✗0.322.1M2022-09-10
GITCOINGITCOIN3.13663.0044-4.21%2.3273-25.80%0.1215✓1.3313k2022-09-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.098330.094227-4.17%0.06588-33.00%0.2295✓1.282.0M2022-09-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13040.125124-4.05%0.1274-2.30%0.1039✗0.85209k2022-09-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.614.969-4.04%15.57-0.19%0.1598✗1.202.6M2022-09-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0049510.004752-4.02%0.002911-41.20%0.3996✓0.90994k2022-09-10
MOVRMoonriverBase17.087416.4191-3.91%13.4676-21.18%0.0950✓1.0359k2022-09-10
QNTQuantEthereum124.47119.6215-3.90%105.47-15.26%0.0372✓0.884.1M2022-09-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.25540.245482-3.88%0.1625-36.37%0.2997✓1.121,7402022-09-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.930154-3.81%0.7491-22.53%0.0680✓1.47462k2022-09-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.811.3515-3.80%10.95-7.20%0.0791✗1.14313k2022-09-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.85.592-3.59%6.46+11.38%0.1790✗0.341.2M2022-09-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.541.4853-3.55%1.3351-13.31%0.0231✓1.291.3M2022-09-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.53161-3.52%0.516-6.35%0.0706✗1.0014k2022-09-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.031610.030505-3.50%0.02305-27.08%0.1775✓1.0213.8M2022-09-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.74911.3642-3.28%15.995+36.14%0.4646✗1.2214.7M2022-09-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0443.9119-3.27%4.296+6.23%0.1288✗0.351.6M2022-09-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8890.860301-3.23%0.68-23.51%0.0873✓1.474.4M2022-09-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0913.9635-3.12%3.272-20.02%0.1162✓0.751.3M2022-09-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087080.084385-3.09%0.07598-12.75%0.0077✓1.1229k2022-09-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,881.041,822.98-3.09%1,774.69-5.65%0.1054✗1.31509.7M2022-09-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9240.895577-3.08%0.686-25.76%0.1665✓0.99274k2022-09-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3761180.364605-3.06%0.312676-16.87%0.0407✓1.12916k2022-09-10
XVSVenusEthereum6.616.4077-3.06%5.11-22.69%0.1155✓1.101.5M2022-09-10
DODODODOEthereum0.17750.172144-3.02%0.1336-24.73%0.1486✓1.042.7M2022-09-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6834.5421-3.01%12.214+160.82%1.0125✗0.231.1M2022-09-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0051.9449-3.00%1.514-24.49%0.1318✓1.18234k2022-09-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14250.13825-2.98%0.1173-17.68%0.0443✓1.193.7M2022-09-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.042621-2.91%0.0394-10.25%0.0264✓1.0476k2022-09-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.968.7012-2.89%7.906-11.76%0.0173✓1.1219.3M2022-09-10
COMPCompoundEthereum63.1161.3067-2.86%53.06-15.92%0.0153✓1.2835k2022-09-10
METISMetisEthereum44.843.5216-2.85%32.55-27.34%0.0986✓1.91385k2022-09-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3241.2869-2.80%0.9875-25.42%0.1402✓1.241.1M2022-09-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.53890.524099-2.75%0.3401-36.89%0.2991✓1.32245k2022-09-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.27e-73.18e-7-2.66%6.85e-7+109.73%0.8336✗0.66153k2022-09-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.578.3452-2.62%9.02+5.25%0.0942✗0.161.8M2022-09-10
AAVEAaveEthereum107.55104.7846-2.57%92.74-13.77%0.0355✗1.578.2M2022-09-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.64870.632059-2.57%0.5249-19.08%0.0970✓0.88755k2022-09-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3262.2678-2.50%1.615-30.57%0.2237✓1.15177k2022-09-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.12150.118469-2.49%0.0989-18.60%0.0723✓1.07566k2022-09-10
DIADIAEthereum0.478140.466312-2.47%0.40366-15.58%0.0939✓0.5070k2022-09-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6113.5221-2.46%4.569+26.53%0.3463✗0.8698k2022-09-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55220.538843-2.42%0.4434-19.70%0.0805✓1.1458k2022-09-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.14970.146264-2.30%0.2016+34.67%0.4102✗0.891.1M2022-09-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8752.8091-2.29%2.048-28.77%0.1398✓1.75143k2022-09-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9648.7635-2.24%6.674-25.55%0.1401✓1.3110.0M2022-09-10
HIVEHivenative0.63020.616489-2.18%0.5779-8.30%0.0386✗1.032.4M2022-09-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.0780.076309-2.17%0.0508-34.87%0.2815✓1.25350k2022-09-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.008523-2.15%0.00786-9.76%0.0316✗1.12463k2022-09-10
KSMKusamaHydration60.9159.6593-2.05%52.32-14.10%0.0244✓1.06551k2022-09-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0343.9517-2.04%4.354+7.93%0.1233✗0.262.3M2022-09-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.133.0677-1.99%2.34-25.24%0.1419✓1.28269k2022-09-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45910.450067-1.97%0.4204-8.43%0.0658✗1.33207k2022-09-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8492.7939-1.93%2.224-21.94%0.1069✓1.2059k2022-09-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22551.2019-1.93%–pending––1.0913k2022-09-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12741.1058-1.92%0.8719-22.66%0.1121✓1.252.3M2022-09-10
ELAElastosEthereum2.0892.0492-1.91%1.661-20.49%0.1091✓1.00261k2022-09-10
SOLSolanaSolana42.842.0055-1.86%35.07-18.06%0.0550✓1.2581.8M2022-09-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07180.070484-1.83%0.0598-16.71%0.0835✓0.80137k2022-09-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12630.124132-1.72%0.1145-9.34%0.0068✓0.87370k2022-09-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4561.4312-1.70%1.222-16.07%0.0479✓1.092.6M2022-09-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.72420.712021-1.68%0.55641-23.17%0.1082✓1.3769k2022-09-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3478.2103-1.64%6.359-23.82%0.1672✓0.886.0M2022-09-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022120.002176-1.62%0.001548-30.02%0.2400✓1.001.1M2022-09-10
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.94e-7-1.60%9.30e-7-7.92%0.0111✓0.776.0M2022-09-10
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05271.0361-1.58%0.8137-22.70%0.1337✓1.07558k2022-09-10
NANOnanopayBase1.08621.0697-1.52%0.938309-13.62%0.0509✓0.8060k2022-09-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.93372.8906-1.47%4.573+55.88%0.5113✗0.521.3M2022-09-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08190.080748-1.41%0.067-18.19%0.0733✓1.131.4M2022-09-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027180.026803-1.39%0.02106-22.52%0.1590✓0.82169k2022-09-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159490.01573-1.38%0.013066-18.08%0.1141✓0.712.1M2022-09-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.367760.362821-1.34%0.29035-21.05%0.1100✓1.1213k2022-09-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36130.356539-1.32%0.3223-10.79%0.0018✓0.988.4M2022-09-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087460.08632-1.30%0.07197-17.71%0.1582✓0.231.1M2022-09-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.42850.422989-1.29%0.314-26.72%0.1864✓1.1190k2022-09-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017870.017648-1.24%0.01306-26.92%0.2304✓0.70167k2022-09-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.009936-1.23%0.00938-6.76%0.0161✗0.735.6M2022-09-10
SCSiacoinnative0.005170.005109-1.17%0.00413-20.12%0.0999✓1.12112k2022-09-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19490.192634-1.16%0.1533-21.34%0.1159✓1.12570k2022-09-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.17061.157-1.16%0.85018-27.37%0.2100✓0.9712k2022-09-10
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.7475-1.11%1.372-22.35%0.1075✓1.34416k2022-09-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.911.8906-1.01%1.49-21.99%0.1305✓1.07182k2022-09-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.178090.176305-1.00%0.14372-19.30%0.0723✓1.31236k2022-09-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6910.684287-0.97%0.552-20.12%0.0907✓1.23100k2022-09-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.39382.3714-0.94%1.9389-19.01%0.0916✓1.0938k2022-09-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66431.6491-0.91%2.0477+23.04%0.3465✗1.29619k2022-09-10
ZECZcashZcash79.2678.5589-0.88%65.33-17.58%0.0638✓1.202.4M2022-09-10
XECeCashnative0.000046440.00004604-0.86%0.00004456-4.05%0.0525✗0.851.9M2022-09-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16460.163223-0.84%0.1391-15.49%0.0902✓0.694.4M2022-09-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05490.054469-0.78%0.0479-12.75%0.0254✓1.02254k2022-09-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.915.8652-0.76%6.62+12.01%0.1569✗0.36894k2022-09-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.386890.383966-0.76%0.46503+20.20%0.2832✗0.91439k2022-09-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,944.8623,766.73-0.74%21,651.52-9.58%0.0075✗1.00482.6M2022-09-10
XVGVergenative0.003930.003901-0.74%0.00322-18.07%0.0800✓1.11534k2022-09-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22260.221225-0.62%0.1861-16.40%0.0287✓1.431,3132022-09-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2019.1452-0.61%7.777-15.48%0.0520✓1.0912.9M2022-09-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0571690.056897-0.47%0.042535-25.60%0.2388✓0.5230k2022-09-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19520.194341-0.44%0.17129-12.25%0.0993✗2.249582022-09-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4580.456085-0.42%0.3665-19.98%0.1024✓1.16174k2022-09-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.740.736939-0.41%0.568-23.24%0.1263✓1.33137k2022-09-10
KCSKuCoinnative10.51210.4693-0.41%9.776-7.00%0.0326✗1.002.0M2022-09-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.1271.1227-0.38%1.0341-8.24%0.0112✓0.704.1M2022-09-10
ADACardanoCardano0.53060.52882-0.34%0.5124-3.43%0.0777✗1.0943.6M2022-09-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.227242-0.33%0.17959-21.23%0.1103✓1.24696k2022-09-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27050.269702-0.30%0.2208-18.37%0.0965✓1.0391k2022-09-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1252830.125035-0.20%0.114707-8.44%0.0067✗0.927.2M2022-09-10
FTTFTXEthereum30.5230.461-0.19%27.69-9.27%0.0023✓0.9210.8M2022-09-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.92861.8207-0.17%55.236-10.81%0.0397✓0.72330k2022-09-10
XTZTezosTezos1.90221.8992-0.16%1.6664-12.40%0.0158✓1.14488k2022-09-10
RARESuperRareEthereum0.29290.292495-0.14%0.21-28.30%0.2307✓1.00138k2022-09-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406160.405682-0.12%0.3323-18.18%0.0952✓1.04507k2022-09-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8640.86324-0.09%0.657-23.96%0.1784✓0.94377k2022-09-10
XEMNEMnative0.0530860.053045-0.08%0.045736-13.85%0.0485✓0.9939k2022-09-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22970.229585-0.05%0.2116-7.88%0.0566✗1.37110k2022-09-10
UMAUMAEthereum3.0213.0196-0.05%2.807-7.08%0.0133✗0.86587k2022-09-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.30410.304052-0.02%0.2818-7.33%0.0222✗0.9867k2022-09-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.349448+0.04%0.2949-15.57%0.0649✗1.043.6M2022-09-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.932.9313+0.05%1.89-35.49%0.3867✗0.52102k2022-09-10
GTGateEthereum4.93724.9413+0.08%4.324-12.42%0.0619✗0.71911k2022-09-10
ZENHorizenBase21.6321.6609+0.14%16.85-22.10%0.1303✗1.20124k2022-09-10
API3Api3Ethereum2.1842.1878+0.17%1.789-18.09%0.1019✗0.99588k2022-09-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0249970.025052+0.22%0.021575-13.69%0.0634✗0.8512k2022-09-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14740.147738+0.23%0.1738+17.91%0.2730✓1.1050k2022-09-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.083320.083517+0.24%0.06911-17.05%0.1115✗0.779772022-09-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09160.09191+0.34%0.0658-28.17%0.2468✗0.87130k2022-09-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0192550.019334+0.41%0.024191+25.63%0.2390✓0.15223k2022-09-10
STEEMSteemnative0.26950.270634+0.42%0.2293-14.92%0.0725✗0.93629k2022-09-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012330.000012384+0.44%0.00001328+7.70%0.1675✓0.97827k2022-09-10
DASHDashDash55.6155.867+0.46%48.77-12.30%0.0353✗1.00552k2022-09-10
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9930.997959+0.50%1.028+3.52%0.0844✓0.544.2M2022-09-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.25911.2677+0.68%1.0696-15.05%0.0752✗0.9452k2022-09-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash142.98143.9899+0.71%132.64-7.23%0.0314✓1.135.1M2022-09-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04880.049148+0.71%0.0379-22.34%0.1623✗0.9711k2022-09-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047930.048283+0.74%0.03978-17.00%0.1098✗0.832,5642022-09-10
XMRMoneroMonero160.49161.6876+0.75%157.51-1.86%0.0773✓1.031.1M2022-09-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,153.1024,338.75+0.77%21,732.50-10.02%0.0157✗0.9711k2022-09-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5319+0.78%1.43-5.92%0.0625✗0.06150k2022-09-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006757+0.88%0.006228-7.02%0.0314✗0.5053k2022-09-10
QTUMQtumQtum4.21494.2535+0.92%3.3754-19.92%0.1287✗1.0253k2022-09-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0708820.071562+0.96%0.064731-8.68%0.0033✓1.031.7M2022-09-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9110.921847+1.19%0.978+7.35%0.1795✓1.201.0M2022-09-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.46050.466011+1.20%0.35407-23.11%0.1697✗1.04118k2022-09-10
TRXTRONTron0.0703710.071277+1.29%0.064586-8.22%0.0384✗0.60186k2022-09-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.8962.7053+1.32%63.32+2.31%0.1153✓1.0513.7M2022-09-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1340.136118+1.58%0.1036-22.69%0.1872✗0.854,5542022-09-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.17010.172817+1.60%0.1491-12.35%0.0400✗1.07124k2022-09-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017030.001731+1.64%0.001601-5.99%0.0031✓0.819,2532022-09-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.06210.063125+1.65%0.0522-15.94%0.0793✗1.10197k2022-09-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001020.000001038+1.75%9.10e-7-10.78%0.0538✗0.7722k2022-09-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.265903+1.76%0.1307-49.98%0.7089✗0.0144k2022-09-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053440.054447+1.88%0.04614-13.66%0.0891✗0.7617k2022-09-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008549+2.51%0.00593-28.90%0.3006✗0.651.6M2022-09-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031870.032784+2.87%0.02547-20.08%0.1227✗1.291,9722022-09-10
PROPropyEthereum0.850.87477+2.91%0.73-14.12%0.1371✗0.4491k2022-09-10
STXStacksnative0.50320.518332+3.01%0.3846-23.57%0.1800✗1.18892k2022-09-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3210.331919+3.40%0.284-11.53%0.0718✗0.841.2M2022-09-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0066180.006886+4.06%0.0063-4.79%0.0172✓0.713,4592022-09-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59370.618982+4.26%0.5059-14.79%0.0884✗1.13332k2022-09-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.70784.9178+4.46%4.9455+5.05%0.0183✓0.13367k2022-09-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09880.103895+5.16%0.0995+0.71%0.0597✓1.029,1182022-09-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.