8=======>

2022-08-11 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1733
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.02%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.2%
in alpha space · 14.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.96%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.051950.050548-2.70%0.04843-6.78%0.0633✓1.0519k2022-08-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6113.546-1.80%4.051+12.18%0.1165✗0.8698k2022-08-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.0780.076756-1.59%0.0739-5.26%0.0622✓1.25350k2022-08-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.48451.4609-1.59%1.4259-3.95%0.0442✓1.03907k2022-08-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0049510.004881-1.42%0.004523-8.64%0.0936✓0.90994k2022-08-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.30410.300385-1.22%0.2956-2.80%0.0350✓0.9867k2022-08-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative42.0641.6069-1.08%43.41+3.21%0.0157✗1.3815.1M2022-08-12
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.992836-0.98%1.0248+2.20%0.0007✓1.59296k2022-08-12
OPTIMOptimism1.5581.5444-0.87%1.651+5.97%0.0295✗1.923.4M2022-08-12
FLOWFlownative2.9712.9453-0.86%2.945-0.88%0.0250✓1.28686k2022-08-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015210.001508-0.85%0.001509-0.78%0.0162✓0.871.4M2022-08-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35951.3483-0.82%1.4231+4.68%0.0258✗1.456.8M2022-08-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum36.1235.8259-0.81%39.38+9.03%0.0715✗1.191.4M2022-08-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,294.4411,209.80-0.75%11,508.57+1.90%0.0004✓1.336.2M2022-08-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07490.074358-0.72%0.0733-2.14%0.0363✓1.13877k2022-08-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13040.129493-0.70%0.127-2.61%0.0360✓0.85209k2022-08-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.310.2286-0.69%10.7+3.88%0.0231✗1.13592k2022-08-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1420.9941-0.69%21.15+0.05%0.0064✓0.712.4M2022-08-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.25540.253654-0.68%0.2434-4.70%0.0631✓1.121,7402022-08-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0384.0109-0.67%4.15+2.77%0.0026✓1.625.3M2022-08-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.2566.2152-0.65%6.594+5.40%0.0559✗0.173.4M2022-08-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.098330.097695-0.65%0.10047+2.18%0.0032✓1.282.0M2022-08-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.39723.3758-0.63%3.4443+1.39%0.0108✗0.481.9M2022-08-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,153.1024,010.77-0.59%24,153.80+0.00%0.0129✓0.9711k2022-08-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.30780.306015-0.58%0.3094+0.52%0.0101✓1.08232k2022-08-12
QNTQuantEthereum124.47123.7518-0.58%128.24+3.03%0.0185✗0.884.1M2022-08-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.5428.3756-0.58%29.35+2.84%0.0065✗1.4030.8M2022-08-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7690.764632-0.57%0.792+2.99%0.0110✗1.242,7912022-08-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.1868.1414-0.55%8.394+2.54%0.0104✗1.045.5M2022-08-12
XVGVergenative0.003930.003909-0.54%0.00392-0.25%0.0187✓1.11534k2022-08-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.20043.1832-0.54%3.3109+3.45%0.0326✗0.351.5M2022-08-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,881.041,871.11-0.53%1,959.91+4.19%0.0208✗1.31509.7M2022-08-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.386890.38486-0.52%0.39278+1.52%0.0027✓0.91439k2022-08-12
ZENHorizenBase21.6321.5172-0.52%21.35-1.29%0.0311✓1.20124k2022-08-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.84.7751-0.52%5.08+5.83%0.0540✗0.401.3M2022-08-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.000097270.000096767-0.52%0.00009809+0.84%0.0074✓1.08369k2022-08-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.968.9138-0.52%9.333+4.16%0.0241✗1.1219.3M2022-08-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.133.114-0.51%3.25+3.83%0.0178✗1.28269k2022-08-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19490.19392-0.50%0.196+0.56%0.0111✓1.12570k2022-08-12
METISMetisEthereum44.844.5755-0.50%49.07+9.53%0.0590✗1.91385k2022-08-12
AAVEAaveEthereum107.55107.0122-0.50%114.79+6.73%0.0397✗1.578.2M2022-08-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.5671-0.50%2.59+0.39%0.0094✓0.94636k2022-08-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.285.2542-0.49%5.53+4.73%0.0450✗0.322.1M2022-08-12
ELAElastosEthereum2.0892.079-0.48%2.075-0.67%0.0214✓1.00261k2022-08-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.14970.148988-0.48%0.164+9.55%0.0787✗0.891.1M2022-08-12
STEEMSteemnative0.26950.268221-0.47%0.2777+3.04%0.0167✗0.93629k2022-08-12
MOVRMoonriverBase17.087417.0064-0.47%17.1241+0.21%0.0130✓1.0359k2022-08-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.962423-0.47%0.983+1.65%0.0075✓1.47462k2022-08-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.911.901-0.47%1.9-0.52%0.0213✓1.07182k2022-08-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08190.081519-0.46%0.0827+0.98%0.0075✓1.131.4M2022-08-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0051.9957-0.46%2.034+1.45%0.0039✓1.18234k2022-08-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0914.0721-0.46%4.17+1.93%0.0092✗0.751.3M2022-08-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4518.365-0.46%18.66+1.14%0.0082✓1.241.4M2022-08-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9110.906803-0.46%0.942+3.40%0.0148✗1.201.0M2022-08-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027180.027055-0.46%0.02664-1.99%0.0313✓0.82169k2022-08-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.85.7734-0.46%6.32+8.97%0.0838✗0.341.2M2022-08-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.74911.6955-0.46%12.061+2.66%0.0070✗1.2214.7M2022-08-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0444.0256-0.45%4.151+2.65%0.0239✗0.351.6M2022-08-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017870.017789-0.45%0.01781-0.34%0.0125✓0.70167k2022-08-12
API3Api3Ethereum2.1842.1741-0.45%2.426+11.08%0.0904✗0.99588k2022-08-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8890.884987-0.45%0.944+6.19%0.0360✗1.474.4M2022-08-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3761180.374422-0.45%0.388363+3.26%0.0147✗1.12916k2022-08-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.72420.720951-0.45%0.72656+0.33%0.0190✓1.3769k2022-08-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.548529-0.45%0.554+0.54%0.0095✓1.0014k2022-08-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14250.141865-0.45%0.1472+3.30%0.0137✗1.193.7M2022-08-12
SCSiacoinnative0.005170.005147-0.45%0.00511-1.16%0.0290✓1.12112k2022-08-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.615.5311-0.44%16.03+2.76%0.0084✗1.202.6M2022-08-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.811.7485-0.44%12.4+5.08%0.0317✗1.14313k2022-08-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.42850.426632-0.44%0.4449+3.83%0.0204✗1.1190k2022-08-12
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9648.9252-0.43%9.21+2.74%0.0059✗1.3110.0M2022-08-12
HIVEHivenative0.63020.627473-0.43%0.6348+0.73%0.0083✓1.032.4M2022-08-12
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9296.8993-0.43%7.035+1.53%0.0072✓1.3712.8M2022-08-12
XVSVenusEthereum6.616.5819-0.42%6.66+0.76%0.0096✓1.101.5M2022-08-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3478.3121-0.42%8.751+4.84%0.0344✗0.886.0M2022-08-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8492.8372-0.41%2.947+3.44%0.0146✗1.2059k2022-08-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4580.456102-0.41%0.476+3.93%0.0202✗1.16174k2022-08-12
XEMNEMnative0.0530860.052866-0.41%0.055699+4.92%0.0329✗0.9939k2022-08-12
COMPCompoundEthereum63.1162.8491-0.41%65.12+3.18%0.0105✗1.2835k2022-08-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.541.5337-0.41%1.56+1.30%0.0080✓1.291.3M2022-08-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8640.860438-0.41%0.88+1.85%0.0042✗0.94377k2022-08-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.64870.646026-0.41%0.644-0.72%0.0203✓0.88755k2022-08-12
DODODODOEthereum0.17750.176776-0.41%0.1809+1.92%0.0028✓1.042.7M2022-08-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6834.6639-0.41%4.875+4.10%0.0398✗0.231.1M2022-08-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27050.269402-0.41%0.2787+3.03%0.0139✗1.0391k2022-08-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.53890.536713-0.41%0.5531+2.63%0.0043✗1.32245k2022-08-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07180.071509-0.41%0.0727+1.25%0.0009✓0.80137k2022-08-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.043723-0.40%0.0445+1.37%0.0027✓1.0476k2022-08-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022120.002203-0.40%0.002191-0.95%0.0250✓1.001.1M2022-08-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.031610.031484-0.40%0.03262+3.20%0.0156✗1.0213.8M2022-08-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006671-0.40%0.006832+2.00%0.0141✗0.5053k2022-08-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2019.1646-0.40%9.484+3.08%0.0130✗1.0912.9M2022-08-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22551.2207-0.39%1.2293+0.31%0.0143✓1.0913k2022-08-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55220.550085-0.38%0.5574+0.94%0.0089✓1.1458k2022-08-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14740.146836-0.38%0.1535+4.14%0.0230✗1.1050k2022-08-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66431.658-0.38%1.6851+1.25%0.0089✓1.29619k2022-08-12
ZECZcashZcash79.2678.9611-0.38%77.34-2.42%0.0440✓1.202.4M2022-08-12
BTTCBTTC0.000001010.000001006-0.37%0.00000103+1.98%0.0084✗0.776.0M2022-08-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9240.920563-0.37%0.938+1.52%0.0006✓0.99274k2022-08-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.083320.08301-0.37%0.08331-0.01%0.0114✓0.779772022-08-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36130.359968-0.37%0.3656+1.19%0.0036✓0.988.4M2022-08-12
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.7606-0.36%1.801+1.92%0.0033✓1.34416k2022-08-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0344.0194-0.36%4.176+3.52%0.0331✗0.262.3M2022-08-12
GITCOINGITCOIN3.13663.1253-0.36%3.2354+3.15%0.0088✗1.3313k2022-08-12
ADACardanoCardano0.53060.528706-0.36%0.5407+1.90%0.0013✓1.0943.6M2022-08-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.12150.121067-0.36%0.1237+1.81%0.0006✓1.07566k2022-08-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16460.164014-0.36%0.1745+6.01%0.0485✗0.694.4M2022-08-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8752.8648-0.36%2.964+3.10%0.0000✓1.75143k2022-08-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12630.125853-0.35%0.1304+3.25%0.0186✗0.87370k2022-08-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.39382.3854-0.35%2.3981+0.18%0.0159✓1.0938k2022-08-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087080.086774-0.35%0.0916+5.19%0.0324✗1.1229k2022-08-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.578.54-0.35%8.86+3.38%0.0336✗0.161.8M2022-08-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159490.015894-0.35%0.01628+2.08%0.0102✗0.712.1M2022-08-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,944.8623,862.36-0.34%24,415.18+1.96%0.0035✗1.00482.6M2022-08-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.00868-0.34%0.00892+2.41%0.0055✗1.12463k2022-08-12
PROPropyEthereum0.850.847089-0.34%0.83-2.35%0.0288✓0.4491k2022-08-12
DIADIAEthereum0.478140.476518-0.34%0.48246+0.90%0.0027✓0.5070k2022-08-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4561.4512-0.33%1.496+2.75%0.0091✗1.092.6M2022-08-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087460.08717-0.33%0.08726-0.23%0.0035✓0.231.1M2022-08-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3241.3196-0.33%1.334+0.76%0.0132✓1.241.1M2022-08-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3262.3184-0.33%2.341+0.64%0.0127✓1.15177k2022-08-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19520.194568-0.32%0.19851+1.70%0.0235✓2.249582022-08-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.348172-0.32%0.3631+3.95%0.0217✗1.043.6M2022-08-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.8961.6903-0.32%62.95+1.71%0.0002✓1.0513.7M2022-08-12
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12741.1238-0.32%1.1467+1.71%0.0041✓1.252.3M2022-08-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45910.457636-0.32%0.4764+3.77%0.0143✗1.33207k2022-08-12
STXStacksnative0.50320.501601-0.32%0.5099+1.33%0.0065✓1.18892k2022-08-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.915.8914-0.31%6.13+3.72%0.0328✗0.36894k2022-08-12
XMRMoneroMonero160.49159.9886-0.31%166.92+4.01%0.0224✗1.031.1M2022-08-12
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05271.0494-0.31%1.0686+1.51%0.0027✓1.07558k2022-08-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05490.054731-0.31%0.0569+3.64%0.0189✗1.02254k2022-08-12
XTZTezosTezos1.90221.8964-0.31%1.9249+1.19%0.0073✓1.14488k2022-08-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.178090.177549-0.30%0.18299+2.75%0.0047✗1.31236k2022-08-12
CBKCobakEthereum1.17061.1671-0.30%1.2318+5.23%0.0350✗0.9712k2022-08-12
SOLSolanaSolana42.842.6727-0.30%45.5+6.31%0.0399✗1.2581.8M2022-08-12
DASHDashDash55.6155.4467-0.29%56.16+0.99%0.0066✓1.00552k2022-08-12
RARESuperRareEthereum0.29290.292054-0.29%0.3024+3.24%0.0154✗1.00138k2022-08-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.367760.366699-0.29%0.37096+0.87%0.0102✓1.1213k2022-08-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1252830.124922-0.29%0.126413+0.90%0.0061✓0.927.2M2022-08-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012330.000012295-0.29%0.0000127+3.00%0.0136✗0.97827k2022-08-12
FTTFTXEthereum30.5230.4329-0.29%31.22+2.29%0.0075✗0.9210.8M2022-08-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash142.98142.5751-0.28%143.1+0.08%0.0183✓1.135.1M2022-08-12
GTGateEthereum4.93724.9233-0.28%5.044+2.16%0.0104✗0.71911k2022-08-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0249970.024927-0.28%0.025466+1.88%0.0048✗0.8512k2022-08-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.93372.9256-0.28%3.0168+2.83%0.0205✗0.521.3M2022-08-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053440.053293-0.27%0.05396+0.97%0.0023✓0.7617k2022-08-12
KSMKusamaHydration60.9160.7432-0.27%61.14+0.38%0.0141✓1.06551k2022-08-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.740.737975-0.27%0.741+0.14%0.0218✓1.33137k2022-08-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09160.091351-0.27%0.0919+0.33%0.0109✓0.87130k2022-08-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047930.0478-0.27%0.04953+3.34%0.0193✗0.832,5642022-08-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.17010.16964-0.27%0.1752+3.00%0.0115✗1.07124k2022-08-12
QTUMQtumQtum4.21494.2037-0.27%4.2925+1.84%0.0011✓1.0253k2022-08-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.010034-0.26%0.01039+3.28%0.0207✗0.735.6M2022-08-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.92861.7674-0.26%63.536+2.60%0.0142✗0.72330k2022-08-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.1271.1241-0.26%1.1564+2.61%0.0146✗0.704.1M2022-08-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406160.405114-0.26%0.42697+5.12%0.0324✗1.04507k2022-08-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0192550.019205-0.26%0.020089+4.33%0.0421✗0.15223k2022-08-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.27e-73.26e-7-0.25%3.20e-7-1.99%0.0303✓0.66153k2022-08-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6910.689283-0.25%0.7+1.30%0.0085✓1.23100k2022-08-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9930.990565-0.25%1.013+2.01%0.0118✗0.544.2M2022-08-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017030.001699-0.24%0.001706+0.18%0.0115✓0.819,2532022-08-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5164-0.24%1.59+4.61%0.0462✗0.06150k2022-08-12
NANOnanopayBase1.08621.0837-0.23%1.1083+2.03%0.0070✗0.8060k2022-08-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59370.592321-0.23%0.6074+2.31%0.0032✗1.13332k2022-08-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.260696-0.23%0.2614+0.04%0.0024✗0.0144k2022-08-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.06210.061959-0.23%0.066+6.28%0.0418✗1.10197k2022-08-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.46050.459458-0.23%0.46635+1.27%0.0054✓1.04118k2022-08-12
XECeCashnative0.000046440.000046335-0.23%0.00004784+3.01%0.0155✗0.851.9M2022-08-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.25911.2564-0.22%1.2878+2.28%0.0065✗0.9452k2022-08-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031870.0318-0.22%0.03363+5.52%0.0309✗1.291,9722022-08-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0571690.057046-0.22%0.056411-1.33%0.0212✓0.5230k2022-08-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.22752-0.21%0.236+3.51%0.0124✗1.24696k2022-08-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04880.0487-0.21%0.0502+2.87%0.0115✗0.9711k2022-08-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008323-0.20%0.00838+0.48%0.0058✓0.651.6M2022-08-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.932.9242-0.20%3+2.39%0.0155✗0.52102k2022-08-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22260.222161-0.20%0.2224-0.09%0.0268✓1.431,3132022-08-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001020.000001018-0.19%0.00000103+0.98%0.0033✓0.7722k2022-08-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22970.229258-0.19%0.2537+10.45%0.0746✗1.37110k2022-08-12
KCSKuCoinnative10.51210.492-0.19%10.654+1.35%0.0042✓1.002.0M2022-08-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0708820.070761-0.17%0.072322+2.03%0.0018✗1.031.7M2022-08-12
UMAUMAEthereum3.0213.016-0.16%3.223+6.69%0.0497✗0.86587k2022-08-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3210.320535-0.14%0.329+2.49%0.0098✗0.841.2M2022-08-12
TRXTRONTron0.0703710.070272-0.14%0.070487+0.16%0.0086✓0.60186k2022-08-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1340.133884-0.09%0.139+3.73%0.0209✗0.854,5542022-08-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09880.098716-0.09%0.104+5.26%0.0323✗1.029,1182022-08-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.70784.7051-0.06%4.7972+1.90%0.0169✗0.13367k2022-08-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0066180.006615-0.04%0.006893+4.16%0.0273✗0.713,4592022-08-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.