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2022-08-06 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1992
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.9%
in alpha space · 81.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.955.2814+6.70%5.0514+2.05%0.0187✓0.17228k2022-09-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008674+4.00%0.00599-28.18%0.2345✗0.911.6M2022-09-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064590.006642+2.83%0.00635-1.69%0.0285✓0.4944k2022-09-05
SGBSongbirdnative0.02520.025436+0.94%0.0255+1.19%0.0848✓0.5545k2022-09-05
GTGateEthereum4.77754.8063+0.60%4.0071-16.13%0.0705✗0.75908k2022-09-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.57290.575674+0.48%0.4722-17.58%0.0276✗1.15318k2022-09-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.19371.199+0.44%1.0444-12.51%0.0185✓1.0543k2022-09-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.060618+0.36%0.0558-7.62%0.1263✓1.41350k2022-09-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063240.006347+0.36%0.00602-4.80%0.0749✓0.864,5222022-09-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.72e-7+0.21%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0183✓0.7225k2022-09-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.16260.162705+0.06%0.1448-10.95%0.0682✓1.25102k2022-09-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07740.077442+0.05%0.1303+68.35%0.6287✓0.73159k2022-09-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.260915-0.15%0.1628-37.70%0.4698✓0.0131k2022-09-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023020.022958-0.27%0.02235-2.91%0.1233✗1.01159k2022-09-05
ZECZcashZcash67.6567.4493-0.30%63.41-6.27%0.1264✗1.271.7M2022-09-05
KCSKuCoinnative10.50110.4469-0.52%9.414-10.35%0.0595✗1.102.0M2022-09-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21550.214345-0.54%0.1872-13.13%0.0747✗1.421,2762022-09-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,960.9322,827.14-0.58%19,794.58-13.79%0.0058✗1.00427.9M2022-09-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0686410.06816-0.70%0.062695-8.66%0.0914✗1.181.6M2022-09-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.452.4319-0.74%4.075+66.33%0.6487✗0.8992k2022-09-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0232040.023013-0.82%0.020653-10.99%0.0342✗0.9612k2022-09-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.8460.326-0.84%60.36-0.79%0.1738✗1.1713.5M2022-09-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017090.001694-0.88%0.001468-14.10%0.0096✗1.039,0932022-09-05
TRXTRONTron0.069510.068809-1.01%0.062937-9.46%0.0162✗0.71327k2022-09-05
NANOnanopayBase1.04631.0355-1.04%0.898557-14.12%0.0021✓0.9458k2022-09-05
XYMSymbolnative0.054630.054063-1.04%0.041483-24.07%0.1808✓0.5725k2022-09-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7490.741218-1.04%1.044+39.39%0.5238✗1.22963k2022-09-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004622-1.25%0.00402-14.10%0.0549✗1.31112k2022-09-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.06010.059267-1.39%0.0508-15.47%0.0527✗1.39179k2022-09-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.054428-1.45%0.0442-19.97%0.0778✓0.8816k2022-09-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,221.9022,858.78-1.56%19,866.30-14.45%0.0048✓0.9812k2022-09-05
XMRMoneroMonero160.51157.8068-1.68%157.52-1.86%0.1651✗1.121.1M2022-09-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.316260.310828-1.72%0.35+10.67%0.2838✗1.11366k2022-09-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7690.7555-1.76%0.522-32.12%0.1514✓1.47135k2022-09-05
DIADIAEthereum0.472490.46411-1.77%0.38052-19.46%0.0863✓0.7670k2022-09-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.009876-1.83%0.00891-11.43%0.0282✗0.885.2M2022-09-05
XVGVergenative0.00370.003632-1.84%0.00309-16.49%0.0306✗1.30551k2022-09-05
DASHDashDash52.5751.5772-1.89%47.59-9.47%0.0840✗1.11574k2022-09-05
STXStacksnative0.48450.475195-1.92%0.3681-24.02%0.0716✓1.24808k2022-09-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.34138.5231-1.99%125.75-11.03%0.0825✗1.214.7M2022-09-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15840.155033-2.13%0.1447-8.65%0.0738✗0.963.6M2022-09-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.430780.421486-2.16%0.34064-20.92%0.0355✓1.20124k2022-09-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.412090.402914-2.23%0.35378-14.15%0.0740✗1.38507k2022-09-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34110.333453-2.24%0.2822-17.27%0.0062✓1.173.6M2022-09-05
ZENHorizenBase19.2718.8343-2.26%16.1-16.45%0.0456✗1.36118k2022-09-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.27080.264558-2.30%0.2373-12.37%0.0556✗1.1165k2022-09-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12980.126762-2.34%0.1025-21.03%0.0646✓1.004,7012022-09-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33962.2846-2.35%1.8663-20.23%0.0222✓1.2137k2022-09-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.25249-2.36%0.2097-18.91%0.0044✓1.2299k2022-09-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08690.08482-2.39%0.0559-35.67%0.2444✓1.16126k2022-09-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08640.084281-2.45%0.07583-12.23%0.0653✓0.271.1M2022-09-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.42459.9136-2.46%53.71-12.56%0.0153✓0.84321k2022-09-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2230.217476-2.48%0.173-22.42%0.0056✓1.50716k2022-09-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.330489-2.51%0.271-20.06%0.0457✓1.031.1M2022-09-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031370.03058-2.52%0.02511-19.96%0.0053✓1.291,3502022-09-05
FTTFTXEthereum30.3929.6234-2.52%26.62-12.41%0.0346✗0.959.4M2022-09-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.360270.351178-2.52%0.28593-20.63%0.0141✓1.2913k2022-09-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45280.441328-2.53%0.3741-17.38%0.0544✗1.48242k2022-09-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10140.098774-2.59%0.0818-19.33%0.0098✓1.205,6912022-09-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07440.072469-2.60%0.0625-15.99%0.0153✓1.101.1M2022-09-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.28e-7-2.62%8.55e-7+153.78%1.1015✗0.97153k2022-09-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.5248.2947-2.69%7.368-13.56%0.0646✗1.2311.0M2022-09-05
XECeCashnative0.000044740.000043464-2.85%0.00004372-2.28%0.1790✗1.171.9M2022-09-05
PROPropyEthereum0.920.89365-2.86%0.72-21.74%0.1306✓0.5878k2022-09-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34920.339178-2.87%0.3046-12.77%0.0634✗1.158.2M2022-09-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.13.0107-2.88%1.97-36.45%0.3497✓0.50116k2022-09-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13850.134425-2.94%0.1229-11.26%0.0975✗1.2661k2022-09-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,690.811,640.82-2.96%1,618.01-4.31%0.1770✗1.29407.7M2022-09-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17430.168986-3.05%0.1398-19.79%0.0032✓1.26529k2022-09-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23530.228059-3.08%0.209-11.18%0.1308✗1.4789k2022-09-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032410.003137-3.20%0.002935-9.44%0.0821✗1.001.0M2022-09-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.11410.110452-3.20%0.0939-17.70%0.0248✓1.26505k2022-09-05
UMAUMAEthereum3.0342.9359-3.23%2.722-10.28%0.0916✗1.13572k2022-09-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.032.9298-3.31%2.34-22.77%0.0007✓1.52234k2022-09-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169290.163678-3.32%0.13844-18.22%0.0625✗1.55212k2022-09-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1219030.117836-3.34%0.10507-13.81%0.0323✓0.997.0M2022-09-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05050.048777-3.41%0.0367-27.33%0.0927✓1.2910k2022-09-05
MANADecentralandEthereum1.04721.0113-3.43%0.7895-24.61%0.0532✓1.31532k2022-09-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077790.075087-3.47%0.06802-12.56%0.0093✓0.739072022-09-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43530.420048-3.50%0.355-18.45%0.0268✓1.31134k2022-09-05
XEMNEMnative0.0518040.049971-3.54%0.043718-15.61%0.0438✗1.2037k2022-09-05
SOLSolanaSolana40.0738.6485-3.55%32.18-19.69%0.0198✓1.3780.8M2022-09-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12911.0889-3.56%0.8473-24.96%0.0471✓1.371.5M2022-09-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.97582.8678-3.63%4.9518+66.40%0.6910✗0.981.2M2022-09-05
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.34e-7-3.71%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0767✗0.846.1M2022-09-05
STEEMSteemnative0.25780.24823-3.71%0.222-13.89%0.0627✗1.17768k2022-09-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12120.116656-3.75%0.104-14.19%0.0457✗1.08370k2022-09-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8350.803507-3.77%0.663-20.60%0.0120✓1.21241k2022-09-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7947.4916-3.88%7.382-5.29%0.1723✗1.2616.9M2022-09-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04440.04265-3.94%0.0367-17.34%0.0330✓1.2376k2022-09-05
ADACardanoCardano0.51140.49108-3.97%0.4987-2.48%0.1944✗1.2140.5M2022-09-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.469-3.99%1.45-5.23%0.0304✓0.29242k2022-09-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.775363-4.04%0.662-18.07%0.0048✓1.03390k2022-09-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.4459.0635-4.04%6.141-34.98%0.2350✓1.043.3M2022-09-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0158910.015241-4.09%0.013125-17.41%0.0154✓0.902.1M2022-09-05
XVSVenusEthereum6.626.3474-4.12%4.93-25.53%0.0479✓1.381.4M2022-09-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55891.4942-4.15%1.6684+7.02%0.3161✗1.39619k2022-09-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017710.016948-4.30%0.01272-28.18%0.1645✓0.83176k2022-09-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9417.1602-4.35%14.28-20.40%0.0145✓1.341.3M2022-09-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1781.1267-4.35%1.056-10.36%0.0293✓0.632.1M2022-09-05
AAVEAaveEthereum99.0894.7338-4.39%91.3-7.85%0.2097✗1.6610.0M2022-09-05
QTUMQtumQtum4.12753.9449-4.42%3.3484-18.88%0.0035✓1.0853k2022-09-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3534720.337787-4.44%0.298688-15.50%0.0652✗1.271.0M2022-09-05
BANDBandEthereum1.8281.7461-4.48%1.307-28.50%0.0767✓1.43371k2022-09-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0710.067793-4.52%0.0571-19.58%0.0338✓0.93158k2022-09-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6564.4452-4.53%13.008+179.38%1.1560✗0.551.3M2022-09-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.09451.0436-4.65%1.1375+3.93%0.2564✗1.151.0M2022-09-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56690.540351-4.68%0.307-45.85%0.3695✓1.32234k2022-09-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000011383-4.75%0.00001261+5.52%0.2867✗1.24934k2022-09-05
XTZTezosTezos1.87771.7883-4.76%1.546-17.67%0.0444✓1.28530k2022-09-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12780.121682-4.79%0.104-18.62%0.0513✗1.402.9M2022-09-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.4521-4.82%9.21+3.72%0.1568✗0.481.8M2022-09-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6520.620402-4.85%0.5193-20.35%0.0062✓1.16755k2022-09-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.15881.1026-4.85%0.85582-26.15%0.0903✓1.1012k2022-09-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05470.052041-4.86%0.0446-18.46%0.0360✓1.28269k2022-09-05
KSMKusamaHydration66.4163.1365-4.93%51.33-22.71%0.0342✓1.16419k2022-09-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.7362-5.12%1.37-25.14%0.0401✓1.33129k2022-09-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9663.7626-5.13%2.972-25.06%0.1097✓0.85976k2022-09-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008850.008395-5.15%0.00785-11.30%0.1212✗1.27392k2022-09-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032650.030963-5.17%0.03562+9.10%0.3232✗1.2314k2022-09-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06470.061347-5.18%0.0496-23.34%0.0207✓1.29803k2022-09-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.691750.655885-5.18%0.55546-19.70%0.0581✗1.5178k2022-09-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202380.019178-5.24%0.025549+26.24%0.3460✗0.40173k2022-09-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011170.001057-5.31%0.00133+19.14%0.4143✗1.241.3M2022-09-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6982.5544-5.32%1.916-28.98%0.0267✓1.76118k2022-09-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046510.044026-5.34%0.03742-19.54%0.0239✓0.932,3002022-09-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.14620.138339-5.38%0.2073+41.79%0.5643✗1.081.0M2022-09-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.353-5.39%1.17-18.18%0.0426✓1.272.5M2022-09-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.762.6113-5.39%2.117-23.30%0.0034✓1.4447k2022-09-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.428-5.43%1.2398-17.89%0.0681✗1.411.2M2022-09-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.755.4376-5.43%6.64+15.48%0.2874✗0.59878k2022-09-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0413.8164-5.56%4.501+11.38%0.2503✗0.571.9M2022-09-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198360.187141-5.66%0.158-20.35%0.1710✗2.291,1202022-09-05
HIVEHivenative0.58410.550638-5.73%0.5388-7.76%0.1529✗1.182.1M2022-09-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6780.638245-5.86%0.533-21.39%0.0272✓1.4090k2022-09-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.321.2421-5.90%0.9577-27.45%0.0757✓1.241.1M2022-09-05
API3Api3Ethereum2.1191.9935-5.92%1.69-20.25%0.0238✓1.27619k2022-09-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9613.7256-5.94%4.31+8.81%0.2482✗0.691.5M2022-09-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56940.534913-6.06%0.4308-24.34%0.0499✓1.1246k2022-09-05
COMPCompoundEthereum65.0560.9624-6.28%48.36-25.66%0.0224✓1.4138k2022-09-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.6310.8851-6.40%10.8-7.14%0.1716✗1.21290k2022-09-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5490.513383-6.49%–pending––1.1516k2022-09-05
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00292.8072-6.52%2.3084-23.13%0.0358✓1.5613k2022-09-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100020.000093496-6.52%0.00040493+304.85%1.7767✗2.10480k2022-09-05
METISMetisEthereum41.2338.5284-6.55%30.53-25.95%0.0441✓1.87293k2022-09-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.115.7074-6.59%6.72+9.98%0.2628✗0.67754k2022-09-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086090.080409-6.60%0.07261-15.66%0.0988✗1.3529k2022-09-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.812997-6.66%0.676-22.39%0.0743✗1.744.4M2022-09-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2857.7286-6.72%6.734-18.72%0.0448✓1.236.9M2022-09-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21032.9928-6.77%7.3781+129.83%1.0148✗0.761.2M2022-09-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085850.080018-6.79%0.06402-25.43%0.0027✓1.481.1M2022-09-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.6329.9005-6.88%12.633+18.82%0.4452✗1.3613.0M2022-09-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.3334-7.03%2.31-7.97%0.1487✗1.07507k2022-09-05
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2646.7514-7.06%4.75-34.61%0.0972✓1.7111.9M2022-09-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9230.857723-7.07%0.6925-24.97%0.0524✓1.80469k2022-09-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.10841.03-7.07%–pending––1.0413k2022-09-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3662.198-7.10%1.573-33.52%0.1224✓1.43169k2022-09-05
DODODODOEthereum0.18050.167654-7.12%0.1279-29.14%0.0867✓1.243.3M2022-09-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.3130.290445-7.21%0.2337-25.34%0.0546✓1.10300k2022-09-05
FLOWFlownative2.572.3847-7.21%1.919-25.33%0.0291✓1.27466k2022-09-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.034.6619-7.32%4.72-6.16%0.1165✗0.701.3M2022-09-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8020.742464-7.42%0.487-39.28%0.2048✓1.462,7912022-09-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9931.8448-7.43%1.465-26.49%0.0230✓1.40253k2022-09-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44783.1896-7.49%7.2089+109.09%0.9452✗0.871.6M2022-09-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.5835.1461-7.83%6.361+13.94%0.2889✗0.522.6M2022-09-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.37331.2655-7.85%1.1527-16.06%0.1338✗1.536.4M2022-09-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.834.831-7.85%39.67+4.95%0.3410✗1.4213.0M2022-09-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.26450.243533-7.93%0.1562-40.95%0.2503✓1.311,5612022-09-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035250.03245-7.94%0.02134-39.46%0.2037✓1.4513.9M2022-09-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.6424.5165-7.97%19.44-27.03%0.0021✓1.5827.5M2022-09-05
ELAElastosEthereum2.2792.0958-8.04%1.752-23.12%0.0118✓1.13219k2022-09-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002210.002029-8.18%0.001564-29.23%0.1120✓1.001.1M2022-09-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.1834-8.26%5.7+0.88%0.1851✗0.611.5M2022-09-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16681.0674-8.52%0.9784-16.15%0.0403✓0.864.1M2022-09-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2743.8929-8.92%3.005-29.69%0.0003✓1.755.2M2022-09-05
MOVRMoonriverBase18.505916.8427-8.99%12.9054-30.26%0.0989✓1.1353k2022-09-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.9315.391-9.09%14.53-14.18%0.1515✗1.412.6M2022-09-05
UNIUniswapEthereum8.787.9816-9.09%6.576-25.10%0.0128✓1.399.9M2022-09-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.69.6132-9.31%7.53-28.96%0.0352✓1.41358k2022-09-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.7328.6966-9.56%18.31-42.29%0.2433✓1.39949k2022-09-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.893548-9.61%0.8257-16.47%0.1703✗1.68296k2022-09-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43230.390758-9.61%0.3145-27.25%0.0415✓1.1880k2022-09-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,723.9310,582.46-9.74%9,493.61-19.02%0.1067✗1.454.9M2022-09-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6319.5171-9.77%17.32-19.93%0.0031✓0.832.6M2022-09-05
QNTQuantEthereum120.14106.8614-11.05%93.14-22.47%0.0072✓0.974.5M2022-09-05
OPTIMOptimism1.9011.6885-11.18%1.199-36.93%0.0527✓1.953.1M2022-09-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.