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2022-08-04 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2255
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.67%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.6%
in alpha space · 4.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008219-0.02%0.00843+2.55%0.0020✓0.901.6M2022-08-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.545312-0.02%0.5836+7.00%0.0334✗1.14333k2022-08-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34134.197-0.11%141.93+5.65%0.0197✗1.204.6M2022-08-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum54.9944-0.11%4.9519-0.96%0.0139✓0.17219k2022-08-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006138-0.13%0.006334+3.06%0.0057✗0.857,1222022-08-05
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.024858-0.17%0.0252+1.20%0.0031✓0.5540k2022-08-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.138959-0.17%0.1507+8.26%0.0524✗0.953.6M2022-08-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1478-0.20%1.196+3.98%0.0092✗1.0543k2022-08-05
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.2846-0.20%18.43+6.41%0.0222✗1.38116k2022-08-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.155768-0.21%0.164+5.06%0.0142✗1.23107k2022-08-05
STXStacksnative0.47370.472678-0.22%0.4918+3.82%0.0021✓1.24808k2022-08-05
FTTFTXEthereum29.1429.0708-0.24%30.76+5.56%0.0277✗0.9510.0M2022-08-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.003062-0.24%0.003213+4.69%0.0182✗0.991.0M2022-08-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.067191-0.24%0.069799+3.63%0.0025✗1.171.7M2022-08-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.113645-0.24%0.118541+4.06%0.0121✗0.996.9M2022-08-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001653-0.25%0.001677+1.21%0.0168✓1.039,0682022-08-05
DASHDashDash49.449.2752-0.25%52.4+6.07%0.0282✗1.10574k2022-08-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.736025-0.27%0.753+2.03%0.0140✓1.21968k2022-08-05
GTGateEthereum4.554.5378-0.27%4.7375+4.12%0.0204✗0.75920k2022-08-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006681-0.28%0.006749+0.73%0.0055✓0.5140k2022-08-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0928.0693-0.28%8.81+8.87%0.0508✗1.2211.0M2022-08-05
COMPCompoundEthereum5655.8431-0.28%61.31+9.48%0.0512✗1.3935k2022-08-05
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.57e-7-0.28%9.80e-7+2.08%0.0019✓0.846.4M2022-08-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,431.27-0.28%23,205.30+3.16%0.0042✗0.9813k2022-08-05
SOLSolanaSolana38.8238.7093-0.29%40.54+4.43%0.0048✗1.3781.1M2022-08-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26960.0942-0.29%62.05+2.96%0.0067✗0.83321k2022-08-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,556.91-0.30%23,320.81+3.08%0.0030✓1.00427.9M2022-08-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.403116-0.30%0.42676+5.55%0.0209✗1.19107k2022-08-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.594687-0.30%0.6718+12.62%0.0873✗1.14690k2022-08-05
PROPropyEthereum0.740.737741-0.31%0.74+0.00%0.0151✓0.6079k2022-08-05
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.498136-0.31%0.5176+3.58%0.0018✓1.2040.5M2022-08-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.021064-0.31%0.02241+6.06%0.0312✗1.02159k2022-08-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.247718-0.31%0.2612+5.11%0.0159✗1.22101k2022-08-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.059111-0.32%0.061+2.87%0.0108✓1.39172k2022-08-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.47e-7-0.32%9.90e-7+4.21%0.0141✗1.0025k2022-08-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.4072-0.32%2.47+2.28%0.0013✓0.89110k2022-08-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.109246-0.32%0.1139+3.92%0.0037✗1.25505k2022-08-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.048044-0.32%0.0495+2.70%0.0096✓1.307,5232022-08-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,602.94-0.32%1,736.79+8.00%0.0415✗1.28407.7M2022-08-05
XECeCashnative0.000042940.0000428-0.33%0.00004553+6.03%0.0268✗1.161.9M2022-08-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2928-0.33%1.35+4.09%0.0056✗1.241.1M2022-08-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6559.4549-0.33%62.49+4.76%0.0148✗1.1513.6M2022-08-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.054083-0.33%0.055256+1.83%0.0039✗0.5825k2022-08-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.134247-0.34%0.1383+2.67%0.0088✓1.2761k2022-08-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.048933-0.34%0.05101+3.89%0.0147✗0.8915k2022-08-05
XMRMoneroMonero159.25158.6947-0.35%161.87+1.65%0.0138✓1.111.2M2022-08-05
XVGVergenative0.003770.003757-0.35%0.00385+2.12%0.0148✓1.30551k2022-08-05
KCSKuCoinnative10.0359.9998-0.35%10.44+4.04%0.0096✗1.102.0M2022-08-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.334916-0.35%0.3589+6.78%0.0348✗1.138.2M2022-08-05
ZECZcashZcash64.3864.1532-0.35%69.15+7.41%0.0371✗1.251.6M2022-08-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.12644-0.36%0.1296+2.13%0.0055✓1.004,7012022-08-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.0787-0.36%3.17+2.59%0.0142✗0.49109k2022-08-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.225467-0.37%0.2419+6.89%0.0259✗1.4787k2022-08-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.217192-0.37%0.228+4.59%0.0027✓1.51782k2022-08-05
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.251264-0.37%0.2623+4.00%0.0077✗1.16768k2022-08-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.06137-0.37%0.0624+1.30%0.0267✓1.43350k2022-08-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.198754-0.37%0.2201+10.33%0.0596✗1.401,2762022-08-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.159393-0.38%0.17777+11.11%0.0626✗1.53212k2022-08-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.259596-0.39%0.2713+4.11%0.0103✗1.1165k2022-08-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.338897-0.39%0.358859+5.48%0.0187✗1.271.0M2022-08-05
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.5793-0.39%15.3166+4.65%0.0145✗1.1558k2022-08-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.116347-0.39%0.1255+7.45%0.0431✗1.08370k2022-08-05
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.068712-0.39%0.069837+1.24%0.0048✓0.69345k2022-08-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.085077-0.39%0.08643+1.19%0.0076✗0.271.1M2022-08-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.1813-0.39%2.3513+7.37%0.0386✗1.2032k2022-08-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.017511-0.39%0.01819+3.47%0.0131✗0.82193k2022-08-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004522-0.39%0.0047+3.52%0.0011✓1.31112k2022-08-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.5857-0.40%2.752+6.01%0.0092✗1.75109k2022-08-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.066433-0.40%0.0689+3.30%0.0080✗0.94183k2022-08-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.072806-0.40%0.0739+1.09%0.0072✓0.73159k2022-08-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.329257-0.41%0.3403+2.93%0.0024✓1.173.5M2022-08-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.327663-0.41%0.4379+33.10%0.2558✗1.1377k2022-08-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.9698-0.41%3.047+2.18%0.0083✓1.12591k2022-08-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.085051-0.41%0.0907+6.21%0.0294✗1.15126k2022-08-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.076614-0.41%0.07814+1.57%0.0025✓0.739772022-08-05
NANOnanopayBase1.01511.011-0.41%1.0527+3.70%0.0119✗0.9460k2022-08-05
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.455191-0.41%0.47865+4.72%0.0271✗0.7668k2022-08-05
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.4035-0.41%6.65+3.42%0.0044✓1.391.2M2022-08-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009749-0.42%0.0103+5.21%0.0282✗0.885.1M2022-08-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.323-0.42%1.4417+8.51%0.0406✗1.495.6M2022-08-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.2425-0.42%2.333+3.60%0.0026✓1.39172k2022-08-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.022353-0.42%0.023038+2.63%0.0009✓0.9611k2022-08-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.9424-0.43%4.0794+3.04%0.0012✓1.0945k2022-08-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.723906-0.43%0.758+4.26%0.0014✓1.47121k2022-08-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.778671-0.43%0.848+8.44%0.0488✗1.20225k2022-08-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.188063-0.43%0.19602+3.79%0.0287✓2.311,1512022-08-05
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.8171-0.43%1.8665+2.28%0.0116✓1.27530k2022-08-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.31203-0.43%0.32566+3.92%0.0087✗1.12396k2022-08-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.663007-0.44%0.69514+4.39%0.0015✓1.5188k2022-08-05
KSMKusamaHydration61.1260.8531-0.44%63.5+3.89%0.0070✗1.17379k2022-08-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.030246-0.44%0.03111+2.40%0.0113✓1.301,4012022-08-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.331504-0.45%0.337+1.20%0.0150✓1.041.1M2022-08-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.07297-0.45%0.0745+1.64%0.0128✓1.111.1M2022-08-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.4952-0.45%1.6+6.52%0.0253✗1.40594k2022-08-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.119656-0.45%0.131+8.99%0.0490✗1.372.9M2022-08-05
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3495.8977-0.46%103.27+7.19%0.0239✗1.6610.2M2022-08-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.029-0.47%1.0748+3.96%0.0087✗1.151.0M2022-08-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.54e-7-0.47%3.48e-7-2.33%0.0487✓0.99164k2022-08-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.097039-0.47%0.1005+3.08%0.0015✓1.207,1482022-08-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.834.6354-0.47%38.27+9.97%0.0572✗1.4011.4M2022-08-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002179-0.47%0.002227+1.74%0.0084✓1.001.4M2022-08-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.904678-0.48%0.939+3.30%0.0163✓1.76496k2022-08-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.795188-0.48%0.833+4.26%0.0155✗1.02377k2022-08-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.3289-0.48%7.878+6.98%0.0343✗1.2516.9M2022-08-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.5129-0.49%5.7+2.89%0.0154✗0.59873k2022-08-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011792-0.49%0.00001212+2.28%0.0104✓1.25951k2022-08-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.053435-0.49%0.0559+4.10%0.0063✗1.28284k2022-08-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.041892-0.49%0.0451+7.13%0.0366✗1.2376k2022-08-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0928.0516-0.50%8.341+3.08%0.0036✓1.042.5M2022-08-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.782055-0.50%0.824+4.83%0.0081✗1.463,1392022-08-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001083-0.52%0.001125+3.36%0.0006✓1.241.3M2022-08-05
HIVEHivenative0.58130.578269-0.52%0.5908+1.63%0.0145✓1.181.8M2022-08-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.417347-0.52%0.42795+2.00%0.0167✓1.38583k2022-08-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.8099-0.52%3.946+3.03%0.0140✗0.691.5M2022-08-05
XEMNEMnative0.050210.049946-0.53%0.052815+5.19%0.0195✗1.2035k2022-08-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3723.2469-0.53%24.97+6.85%0.0236✗1.5826.1M2022-08-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.436416-0.54%0.4587+4.54%0.0049✓1.48278k2022-08-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.043621-0.54%0.04533+3.35%0.0099✗0.942,0262022-08-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.163298-0.55%0.1787+8.83%0.0525✗1.24518k2022-08-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.413913-0.55%0.438+5.24%0.0167✗1.31127k2022-08-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.9562-0.55%2.025+2.95%0.0082✓1.41266k2022-08-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.98698-0.55%1.0756+8.38%0.0466✗1.30532k2022-08-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.9359-0.55%8.382+5.04%0.0177✗1.227.0M2022-08-05
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.7453-0.56%1.831+4.33%0.0046✓1.43341k2022-08-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.7127-0.56%2.845+4.29%0.0042✓1.4349k2022-08-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.7008-0.56%8.9+1.71%0.0079✗0.491.8M2022-08-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.032128-0.56%0.03358+3.93%0.0068✗1.2314k2022-08-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015506-0.57%0.016324+4.67%0.0243✗0.892.1M2022-08-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.8219-0.58%3.911+1.74%0.0053✓0.581.9M2022-08-05
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.171887-0.59%0.1844+6.65%0.0332✗1.223.5M2022-08-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.085639-0.59%0.0866+0.52%0.0302✓1.3629k2022-08-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.840976-0.59%0.875+3.43%0.0131✓1.744.6M2022-08-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7517.6444-0.60%18.43+3.83%0.0039✓1.311.3M2022-08-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.5566-0.60%5.69+1.79%0.0051✓0.611.4M2022-08-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4612-0.60%1.51+2.72%0.0099✓1.411.2M2022-08-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.216191-0.60%0.2306+6.02%0.0249✗1.311,5612022-08-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.574122-0.60%0.5694-1.42%0.0500✓1.38234k2022-08-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.5881-0.60%4.72+2.25%0.0113✗0.561.4M2022-08-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.6896-0.61%1.77+4.12%0.0065✗1.32122k2022-08-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.062611-0.62%0.0674+6.98%0.0348✗1.28802k2022-08-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4647-0.62%2.51+1.21%0.0144✓1.08507k2022-08-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000098628-0.63%0.00010097+1.73%0.0384✓2.04516k2022-08-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3901-0.63%1.432+2.36%0.0090✓1.282.6M2022-08-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.034748-0.64%0.03628+3.75%0.0006✓1.4413.9M2022-08-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008943-0.64%0.00904+0.44%0.0280✓1.28387k2022-08-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.36049-0.64%0.3677+1.35%0.0198✓1.3013k2022-08-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.9564-0.64%4.154+4.32%0.0227✗0.86922k2022-08-05
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.7623-0.64%8.972+1.73%0.0186✓1.399.9M2022-08-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.020392-0.65%0.020288-1.15%0.0179✓0.42167k2022-08-05
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.3886-0.65%7.573+1.83%0.0279✓1.7313.1M2022-08-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.1056-0.65%1.1532+3.62%0.0086✗1.1111k2022-08-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.2899-0.67%10.966+5.86%0.0225✗1.3513.7M2022-08-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.781-0.67%6.06+4.12%0.0266✗0.68746k2022-08-05
QNTQuantEthereum103.74103.0373-0.68%107.26+3.39%0.0101✗0.994.2M2022-08-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5692-0.69%1.58+0.00%0.0022✓0.30242k2022-08-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,573.79-0.69%12,281.30+15.35%0.1065✗1.424.5M2022-08-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.299885-0.70%0.3054+1.13%0.0156✓1.11300k2022-08-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.7504-0.70%4.061+7.52%0.0267✗1.745.0M2022-08-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9927.7895-0.72%32.59+16.43%0.1182✗1.36946k2022-08-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.7459-0.72%17.22+8.58%0.0468✗1.412.5M2022-08-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.143653-0.72%0.1459+0.83%0.0173✓1.08907k2022-08-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.7948-0.73%5.02+3.93%0.0246✗0.701.3M2022-08-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.080306-0.73%0.08336+3.04%0.0078✓1.49871k2022-08-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.1183-0.74%3.2379+3.07%0.0145✗0.761.1M2022-08-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.8005-0.74%3.073+69.40%0.5154✗0.63206k2022-08-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.553841-0.75%0.57+2.15%0.0060✓1.1414k2022-08-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0710.9837-0.78%12.03+8.67%0.0546✗1.20263k2022-08-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1565.1145-0.81%5.341+3.59%0.0274✗0.532.4M2022-08-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.680438-0.81%0.708+3.21%0.0027✓1.4088k2022-08-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.258973-0.81%0.2615+0.15%0.0094✗0.0129k2022-08-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.2041-0.81%1.159-4.53%0.0579✓0.651.9M2022-08-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.1179-0.83%1.1864+5.24%0.0179✗1.371.4M2022-08-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.0414-0.87%1.0569+0.61%0.0170✓1.0513k2022-08-05
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01921.01-0.90%0.9869-3.17%0.0751✓1.71241k2022-08-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.8901-0.94%3.0096+3.16%0.0108✗0.981.2M2022-08-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.123.0906-0.94%3.17+1.60%0.0207✓1.52211k2022-08-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.3394-0.97%3.4602+2.61%0.0085✓0.891.4M2022-08-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6221.4099-0.97%21.35-1.25%0.0284✓0.842.4M2022-08-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.29.1071-1.01%10.63+15.54%0.1126✗1.39334k2022-08-05
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.1524-1.04%3.1425-1.35%0.0506✓1.5612k2022-08-05
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.1996-1.05%2.195-1.26%0.0406✓1.27626k2022-08-05
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.8936-1.27%1.946+1.46%0.0325✓1.972.8M2022-08-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1697-1.32%1.1895+0.35%0.0096✓0.874.1M2022-08-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.555645-2.12%0.5966+5.09%0.0373✗1.1146k2022-08-05
METISMetisEthereum46.0144.9618-2.28%47.65+3.56%0.0028✓1.82266k2022-08-05
FLOWFlownative2.62.5277-2.78%2.732+5.08%0.0395✗1.26448k2022-08-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.