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2022-08-03 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1633
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-6.99%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.5%
in alpha space · 32.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.874-5.97%1.234-38.08%0.1529✓1.972.4M2022-09-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.735015-5.77%0.479-38.59%0.2326✓1.453,6872022-09-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6426.059-5.72%19.34-30.03%0.1157✓1.36773k2022-09-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9820.7665-5.52%17.08-22.29%0.0813✓0.852.2M2022-09-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.00009451-5.46%0.00024148+141.55%1.2120✗2.04536k2022-09-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.7310.2717-4.27%7.59-29.26%0.1167✓1.38334k2022-09-02
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.963058-3.95%0.889-11.34%0.1506✗1.72211k2022-09-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0634.6407-3.94%32.45-10.01%0.1234✗1.409.4M2022-09-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.5785-3.55%3.028-18.38%0.0670✗1.745.0M2022-09-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.2872-3.51%1.0939-18.00%0.0385✗1.506.4M2022-09-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.2471-3.29%7.5477+124.79%0.9629✗0.891.3M2022-09-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.2264-3.17%5.99-6.84%0.0433✗0.611.4M2022-09-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.1779-2.68%7.9584+143.72%1.0204✗0.761.1M2022-09-02
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1686.9779-2.65%4.706-34.35%0.1608✓1.7312.2M2022-09-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.9457-2.64%4.95-2.56%0.0951✗0.701.3M2022-09-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.8515-2.60%6.365+27.79%0.3425✗0.532.2M2022-09-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.085469-2.56%0.07182-18.12%0.0094✓1.3629k2022-09-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.036597-2.38%0.02024-46.01%0.3988✓1.4413.9M2022-09-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.4119-2.35%2.25-8.91%0.0755✗1.08398k2022-09-02
QNTQuantEthereum105.18102.7585-2.30%92.78-11.79%0.0309✗0.994.2M2022-09-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.797351-2.29%0.668-18.14%0.0568✗1.744.8M2022-09-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.0410,494.84-2.15%10,076.20-6.05%0.1508✗1.424.4M2022-09-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.506497-2.03%0.423-18.18%0.0258✓1.1513k2022-09-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.887369-1.95%0.6722-25.72%0.0400✓1.77513k2022-09-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.685-1.94%2.2074-19.38%0.0143✓1.5612k2022-09-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.312458-1.84%0.2313-27.33%0.1515✓1.11294k2022-09-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.637634-1.75%0.53972-16.84%0.0364✗1.5188k2022-09-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03721.0201-1.65%–pending––1.0513k2022-09-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.7269-1.60%6.91+18.73%0.2672✗0.59873k2022-09-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4416.2023-1.45%13.76-16.30%0.0256✗1.412.3M2022-09-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.44e-7-1.34%8.64e-7+147.55%1.0527✗0.99170k2022-09-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.2169-1.30%1.534-31.70%0.1821✓1.38177k2022-09-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.8594-1.17%2.96-24.20%0.1501✓0.86922k2022-09-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.535246-1.08%0.3186-41.12%0.3303✓1.40222k2022-09-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040873-1.03%0.035-15.25%0.0097✓1.2376k2022-09-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.7907-0.89%6.292-19.96%0.0495✓1.227.0M2022-09-02
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.8435-0.71%6.406-28.08%0.1356✓1.399.8M2022-09-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.471577-0.59%0.436-8.09%0.0723✗1.1246k2022-09-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.205897-0.53%0.1524-26.38%0.1254✓1.311,6972022-09-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.559.5008-0.51%9.58+0.31%0.0736✗0.491.7M2022-09-02
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.1011-0.41%0.87122-21.20%0.0854✓1.1111k2022-09-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5138-0.41%1.48-2.63%0.0183✗0.30221k2022-09-02
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.4064-0.37%4.86-24.42%0.0895✓1.391.2M2022-09-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.8134-0.33%4.612+20.54%0.2691✗0.591.9M2022-09-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.087743-0.30%0.0801-8.99%0.0560✓0.261.1M2022-09-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.017627-0.30%0.01324-25.11%0.1753✓0.82207k2022-09-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.9716-0.16%4.42+11.11%0.2003✗0.691.5M2022-09-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.068105-0.14%0.0568-16.72%0.0552✓0.94229k2022-09-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01781.0167-0.11%1.1047+8.54%0.2374✗1.151.1M2022-09-02
HIVEHivenative0.5960.595628-0.06%0.5541-7.03%0.0868✗1.181.5M2022-09-02
METISMetisEthereum35.335.2876-0.04%31.7-10.20%0.1508✗1.92251k2022-09-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0423.0379-0.01%18.87-18.10%0.0131✗1.5827.5M2022-09-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3591+0.00%1.181-13.10%0.0314✓1.282.5M2022-09-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.4791+0.02%14.875+232.18%1.2762✓0.561.3M2022-09-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0242.0247+0.04%1.488-26.48%0.1183✗1.41255k2022-09-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.081272+0.08%0.06497-20.00%0.0239✗1.49786k2022-09-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.002258+0.15%0.001603-28.91%0.2083✗1.001.5M2022-09-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.6802+0.31%1.899-28.93%0.1090✗1.75109k2022-09-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.00109+0.31%0.001355+24.69%0.3842✓1.241.3M2022-09-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.188644+0.32%0.15905-15.42%0.1404✓2.311,1512022-09-02
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.467281+0.35%0.3771-19.01%0.1116✗0.7668k2022-09-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.8645+0.41%10.18-5.91%0.0961✓1.20259k2022-09-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.262418+0.47%0.1972-24.50%0.2842✗0.0129k2022-09-02
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.697+0.48%1.31-22.44%0.0666✗1.43341k2022-09-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.159591+0.50%0.1381-13.04%0.0223✓1.24508k2022-09-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.16510.2179+0.52%12.614+24.09%0.3928✓1.3514.4M2022-09-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.078719+0.56%0.0671-14.28%0.0613✗0.731,0202022-09-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4383+0.58%1.1131-22.16%0.0668✗1.411.1M2022-09-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008732+0.60%0.00814-6.22%0.1017✓1.28375k2022-09-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03431.041+0.65%0.9679-6.42%0.0450✓0.883.9M2022-09-02
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.171951+0.67%0.1232-27.87%0.1693✗1.223.5M2022-09-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.058902+0.69%0.0486-16.92%0.0196✗1.28799k2022-09-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.2683+0.74%0.93-26.13%0.1431✗1.241.2M2022-09-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.7156+0.77%2.034-24.53%0.0969✗1.4349k2022-09-02
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7656.1955+0.78%45.81-17.84%0.0174✗1.3934k2022-09-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.062611+0.99%0.1196+92.90%0.7462✓0.74159k2022-09-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.8387+1.02%2.19-22.06%0.0555✗1.52198k2022-09-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.8177+1.04%1.76-2.17%0.0532✓0.64189k2022-09-02
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.049827+1.09%0.044071-10.59%0.0382✓1.2035k2022-09-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1717.3579+1.09%14.03-18.29%0.0371✗1.311.3M2022-09-02
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622114.8024+1.23%12.8342-12.23%0.0118✓1.1563k2022-09-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.0969+1.24%0.829-23.48%0.0954✗1.371.4M2022-09-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.1397+1.30%1.008-10.40%0.0351✗0.651.8M2022-09-02
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9796.2881+1.39%88.39-6.93%0.1370✓1.6610.2M2022-09-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.9972.0251+1.41%1.701-14.82%0.0035✓1.27626k2022-09-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.8903+1.47%5.1574+81.06%0.7110✓0.981.2M2022-09-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.354541+1.52%0.29376-15.88%0.0124✓1.3113k2022-09-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.044141+1.59%0.03809-12.34%0.0210✗0.942,3002022-09-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.446993+1.61%0.3489-20.69%0.0492✗1.48278k2022-09-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.020284+1.68%0.025779+29.22%0.2965✓0.42165k2022-09-02
FLOWFlownative1.841.8714+1.71%1.965+6.79%0.2205✓1.28430k2022-09-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.023471+1.80%0.020785-9.85%0.0080✓0.9611k2022-09-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.9643.0182+1.83%2.743-7.46%0.0542✓1.11597k2022-09-02
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004644+1.84%0.00396-13.16%0.0164✓1.31112k2022-09-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.2286+1.85%1.98-37.54%0.4226✗0.49102k2022-09-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,648.75+1.85%1,575.69-2.66%0.1263✓1.28404.0M2022-09-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.147495+1.86%0.1352-6.63%0.0403✓0.953.6M2022-09-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0878.24+1.89%5.831-27.90%0.2054✗1.042.4M2022-09-02
KSMKusamaHydration61.3162.4926+1.93%47.83-21.99%0.1097✗1.17379k2022-09-02
SOLSolanaSolana38.5539.2957+1.93%31.24-18.96%0.0456✗1.3781.8M2022-09-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021726+2.00%0.02248+5.54%0.1707✓1.02159k2022-09-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.342698+2.03%0.292616-12.88%0.0127✓1.271.1M2022-09-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-71.00e-6+2.04%8.90e-7-9.18%0.0180✓1.0025k2022-09-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.806453+2.08%0.657-16.84%0.0435✗1.20225k2022-09-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31161.5673+2.08%53.741-10.89%0.0238✗0.83330k2022-09-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.996.1161+2.11%7.11+18.70%0.2418✓0.68725k2022-09-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.056913+2.12%0.043204-22.48%0.1976✗0.5824k2022-09-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.402582+2.12%0.33413-15.24%0.0262✗1.19118k2022-09-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.616409+2.12%0.4979-17.51%0.0602✗1.14690k2022-09-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.059958+2.14%0.0558-4.94%0.1200✓1.43350k2022-09-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.087987+2.19%0.057-33.80%0.2795✗1.15128k2022-09-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.055799+2.20%0.0438-19.78%0.0701✗1.28284k2022-09-02
NANOnanopayBase1.02431.0474+2.26%0.876412-14.44%0.0521✗0.9460k2022-09-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.136846+2.28%0.2187+63.45%0.6148✓1.09779k2022-09-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.009984+2.29%0.00875-10.35%0.0135✓0.885.0M2022-09-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.118689+2.32%0.1007-13.19%0.0200✓1.07370k2022-09-02
FTTFTXEthereum29.129.7759+2.32%26.31-9.59%0.0038✓0.9510.8M2022-09-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.4545+2.33%6.93-4.87%0.0952✓1.2518.3M2022-09-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.113488+2.33%0.0931-16.05%0.0296✗1.25505k2022-09-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.982661+2.36%0.77622-19.14%0.0612✗1.30532k2022-09-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.236572+2.37%0.2219-3.98%0.1336✓1.4789k2022-09-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.016175+2.47%0.01333-15.55%0.0731✗0.892.1M2022-09-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.218358+2.52%0.168-21.13%0.0588✗1.51786k2022-09-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.167144+2.52%0.13722-15.84%0.0091✓1.53212k2022-09-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.003221+2.54%0.002989-4.84%0.0581✓0.991.0M2022-09-02
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.255947+2.58%0.2233-10.50%0.0202✓1.17768k2022-09-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.205134+2.62%0.1768-11.56%0.0392✓1.401,1742022-09-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.2332+2.63%1.788-17.83%0.0609✗1.2032k2022-09-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.032113+2.70%0.03437+9.91%0.2338✓1.2314k2022-09-02
XVGVergenative0.003730.003833+2.77%0.00313-16.09%0.0286✗1.29551k2022-09-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.651194+2.87%0.508-19.75%0.0602✗1.4088k2022-09-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000012191+3.05%0.00001218+2.96%0.1667✓1.25986k2022-09-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.049837+3.10%0.04476-7.41%0.0118✓0.8915k2022-09-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.132909+3.19%0.1-22.36%0.1506✗1.004,9522022-09-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.268276+3.26%0.2409-7.27%0.0425✓1.1265k2022-09-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.319436+3.27%0.34352+11.06%0.2242✓1.13398k2022-09-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.121868+3.28%0.103-12.71%0.0162✓1.372.9M2022-09-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0023,580.24+3.31%19,953.74-12.58%0.0326✓1.00427.9M2022-09-02
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.92e-7+3.31%8.90e-7-7.29%0.0043✓0.846.4M2022-09-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.6548+3.42%1.31-18.13%0.0561✗1.32122k2022-09-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.139595+3.48%0.1218-9.71%0.0344✓1.2761k2022-09-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1023,639.98+3.48%20,019.30-12.37%0.0345✗0.9814k2022-09-02
XECeCashnative0.000042440.000043922+3.49%0.00004622+8.91%0.2064✓1.161.9M2022-09-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.5616+3.50%3.82+54.34%0.5195✓0.89110k2022-09-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.338218+3.53%0.3024-7.44%0.0393✓1.138.1M2022-09-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.25484+3.55%0.2088-15.16%0.0349✗1.22110k2022-09-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.331621+3.63%0.281-12.19%0.0089✓1.173.5M2022-09-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.160839+3.63%0.141-9.15%0.0338✓1.23102k2022-09-02
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.519134+3.64%0.4544-9.28%0.0284✓1.2041.9M2022-09-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.1802+3.66%1.0393-8.71%0.0141✓1.0547k2022-09-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.420997+3.71%0.35346-12.92%0.0107✓1.38583k2022-09-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.001769+3.80%0.001528-10.33%0.0076✓1.039,4962022-09-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.047603+3.94%0.0367-19.87%0.0851✗1.309,0132022-09-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.080499+4.14%0.0619-19.92%0.1141✗1.11952k2022-09-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.06897+4.18%0.061662-6.86%0.0455✓1.171.7M2022-09-02
KCSKuCoinnative10.02810.4569+4.28%9.161-8.65%0.0162✓1.102.0M2022-09-02
DASHDashDash48.7750.8669+4.30%45.69-6.32%0.0400✓1.10574k2022-09-02
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.7948+4.33%1.4907-13.35%0.0152✓1.27530k2022-09-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.419889+4.40%0.3535-12.11%0.0048✓1.32127k2022-09-02
XMRMoneroMonero157.11164.0353+4.41%153.67-2.19%0.0831✓1.101.2M2022-09-02
GTGateEthereum4.50944.7084+4.41%4.2655-5.41%0.0015✓0.75920k2022-09-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006997+4.47%0.006468-3.43%0.0094✓0.5239k2022-09-02
ZENHorizenBase17.1517.9203+4.49%15.53-9.45%0.0413✓1.37116k2022-09-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.5251+4.54%1.798+23.24%0.3526✓1.40675k2022-09-02
QTUMQtumQtum3.89864.0817+4.70%3.1377-19.52%0.1171✗1.0945k2022-09-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.333152+4.70%0.3031-4.75%0.0572✓1.1377k2022-09-02
PROPropyEthereum0.740.774907+4.72%0.72-2.70%0.0064✓0.5983k2022-09-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.119594+4.74%0.104596-8.40%0.0009✓0.997.0M2022-09-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0038.3872+4.80%7.3-8.78%0.0252✓1.2211.0M2022-09-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.804105+4.84%0.713-7.04%0.0164✓1.02377k2022-09-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.348148+4.86%0.27-18.67%0.1147✗1.041.1M2022-09-02
ZECZcashZcash61.8564.8864+4.91%60.36-2.41%0.0958✓1.251.5M2022-09-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.032329+4.96%0.0246-20.13%0.0982✗1.301,3502022-09-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01515.2783+5.25%5.402+7.71%0.0463✓0.17219k2022-09-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7860.8574+5.33%61.02+5.61%0.1579✓1.1513.7M2022-09-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.061536+5.55%0.0499-14.41%0.0225✓1.39167k2022-09-02
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.071581+5.58%0.062628-7.63%0.0415✓0.69364k2022-09-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.724311+5.58%0.538-21.57%0.0991✗1.47106k2022-09-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7141.9785+6.19%116.4-12.94%0.0376✓1.204.5M2022-09-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.006607+6.43%0.005767-7.11%0.0230✓0.848,9962022-09-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.103466+6.45%0.0821-15.53%0.0694✗1.206,5342022-09-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.008718+6.45%0.00602-26.50%0.2491✗0.901.6M2022-09-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.792067+6.46%1.084+45.70%0.4773✓1.22895k2022-09-02
STXStacksnative0.46630.497557+6.70%0.3635-22.05%0.1472✗1.24892k2022-09-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.594898+9.10%0.466-14.54%0.0916✗1.14335k2022-09-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.