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2022-08-02 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0799
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.38%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.0%
in alpha space · 54.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.72%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.6351.6163-1.14%1.993+21.90%0.2237✗1.982.1M2022-08-03
ORCAOrcaSolana1.08221.0705-1.08%1.0027-7.35%0.0534✓1.67211k2022-08-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2181.2066-0.93%1.125-7.64%0.0652✓0.681.7M2022-08-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1720.9728-0.93%21.98+3.83%0.0530✗0.852.2M2022-08-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.5936.2559-0.91%36.06-1.45%0.0046✓1.397.8M2022-08-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.4556-0.84%6.43-1.23%0.0005✓0.621.3M2022-08-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.7927.5779-0.76%27.64-0.54%0.0122✗1.38721k2022-08-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.038540.038269-0.70%0.03749-2.72%0.0100✓1.4713.4M2022-08-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.33363.3103-0.70%3.3577+0.72%0.0206✗0.891.3M2022-08-03
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.086480.085933-0.63%0.08121-6.09%0.0459✓1.48778k2022-08-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.165.1287-0.61%4.981-3.47%0.0253✓0.542.2M2022-08-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,752.2710,690.81-0.57%10,725.04-0.25%0.0133✗1.414.4M2022-08-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.735.6997-0.53%5.82+1.57%0.0252✗0.60809k2022-08-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8160.811723-0.52%0.78-4.41%0.0292✓1.484,1662022-08-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0243720.024247-0.51%0.023056-5.40%0.0434✓0.9710k2022-08-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8013.7815-0.51%3.71-2.39%0.0067✓1.735.0M2022-08-03
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100130.000099619-0.51%0.00009997-0.16%0.0172✗1.91552k2022-08-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.04673.0315-0.50%3.2654+7.18%0.0799✗0.771.0M2022-08-03
HIVEHivenative0.59420.591305-0.49%0.596+0.30%0.0163✗1.171.5M2022-08-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0172.0073-0.48%2.024+0.35%0.0185✗1.42247k2022-08-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.33591.3295-0.48%1.334-0.14%0.0139✗1.466.4M2022-08-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.055.0267-0.46%5.08+0.59%0.0156✗0.711.3M2022-08-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.1968.1603-0.44%8.087-1.33%0.0014✓1.062.4M2022-08-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.18.0673-0.40%10.73+32.47%0.2951✗1.37297k2022-08-03
QNTQuantEthereum103.43103.0172-0.40%105.18+1.69%0.0280✗1.004.2M2022-08-03
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54740.545241-0.39%0.5411-1.15%0.0024✓1.40234k2022-08-03
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.4505-0.39%2.47+0.41%0.0156✗1.07327k2022-08-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.544-0.39%1.52-1.94%0.0140✓0.24250k2022-08-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086760.086426-0.39%0.08771+1.09%0.0245✗1.3629k2022-08-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9513.9362-0.38%3.905-1.16%0.0016✓0.89922k2022-08-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.13590.135402-0.37%0.1338-1.55%0.0040✓1.10712k2022-08-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8230.820095-0.35%0.816-0.85%0.0074✗1.734.8M2022-08-03
ELAElastosEthereum1.7961.79-0.34%1.799+0.17%0.0096✗0.64189k2022-08-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5264.511-0.33%4.478-1.06%0.0032✓0.581.3M2022-08-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8833.8705-0.32%3.826-1.47%0.0074✓0.581.9M2022-08-03
XVSVenusEthereum6.576.5489-0.32%6.43-2.13%0.0083✓1.391.2M2022-08-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05691.0535-0.32%1.0372-1.87%0.0082✓1.0313k2022-08-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.2250.224282-0.32%0.207-8.00%0.0706✓1.331,6972022-08-03
FORTFortaEthereum0.30390.302934-0.32%0.3183+4.74%0.0575✗1.12300k2022-08-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.9414.8947-0.30%16.44+10.04%0.1090✗1.432.0M2022-08-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.549.5115-0.30%9.55+0.10%0.0077✗0.521.7M2022-08-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.036.0123-0.29%5.99-0.66%0.0015✓0.73689k2022-08-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0214840.021422-0.29%0.019949-7.14%0.0678✓0.48165k2022-08-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07450.074289-0.28%0.0773+3.76%0.0475✗1.08679k2022-08-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9853.9737-0.28%3.978-0.18%0.0061✗0.711.5M2022-08-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.348320.347343-0.28%0.34922+0.26%0.0148✗1.3113k2022-08-03
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.51755-0.28%0.517-0.39%0.0072✗1.1513k2022-08-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03960.039491-0.27%0.0413+4.29%0.0536✗1.2474k2022-08-03
CBKCobakEthereum1.1261.1229-0.27%1.1056-1.81%0.0076✓1.1011k2022-08-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009280.009255-0.27%0.00868-6.47%0.0551✓1.26375k2022-08-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016640.00166-0.27%0.001704+2.40%0.0338✗1.029,4962022-08-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017940.017893-0.26%0.01768-1.45%0.0060✓0.83207k2022-08-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.659710.657993-0.26%0.64899-1.62%0.0030✓1.5188k2022-08-03
GMTGMTEthereum0.9080.905669-0.26%0.905-0.33%0.0121✗1.79513k2022-08-03
UNIUniswapEthereum8.2488.2269-0.26%8.907+7.99%0.0893✗1.389.2M2022-08-03
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.189170.188701-0.25%0.18804-0.60%0.0131✗2.311,2222022-08-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0680.067832-0.25%0.0682+0.29%0.0122✗0.95229k2022-08-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum87.9808-0.24%7.861-1.74%0.0063✓1.236.9M2022-08-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.99920.996992-0.22%1.0178+1.86%0.0289✗1.151.1M2022-08-03
METISMetisEthereum33.2133.1389-0.21%35.3+6.29%0.0771✗1.94229k2022-08-03
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022660.002261-0.21%0.002255-0.49%0.0044✗1.001.6M2022-08-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010850.001083-0.21%0.001087+0.16%0.0126✗1.251.4M2022-08-03
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7420.740446-0.21%0.744+0.27%0.0134✗1.20806k2022-08-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97320.971162-0.21%1.0343+6.28%0.0693✗0.883.6M2022-08-03
XEMNEMnative0.0486950.048595-0.21%0.049291+1.22%0.0228✗1.1937k2022-08-03
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089960.089775-0.21%0.08801-2.17%0.0180✓0.261.1M2022-08-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2852.2803-0.20%2.246-1.71%0.0051✓1.40185k2022-08-03
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.07770.077543-0.20%0.07828+0.75%0.0147✗0.731,0512022-08-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13780.137523-0.20%0.1349-2.10%0.0101✓1.2761k2022-08-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7162.7106-0.20%2.695-0.77%0.0044✗1.4250k2022-08-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.9986-0.19%10.82-1.81%0.0077✓1.20250k2022-08-03
API3Api3Ethereum1.9661.9622-0.19%1.997+1.58%0.0267✗1.28637k2022-08-03
STEEMSteemnative0.25020.249726-0.19%0.2495-0.28%0.0071✗1.11768k2022-08-03
GITCOINGITCOIN2.74822.743-0.19%2.7381-0.37%0.0094✗1.5612k2022-08-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.39e-73.38e-7-0.18%3.49e-7+2.95%0.0379✗0.97178k2022-08-03
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001010.000001008-0.18%9.80e-7-2.97%0.0212✓1.0025k2022-08-03
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6386.6266-0.17%7.168+7.98%0.0909✗1.7311.9M2022-08-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61320.612182-0.17%0.6036-1.57%0.0059✓1.14664k2022-08-03
DODODODOEthereum0.17160.171319-0.16%0.1708-0.47%0.0058✗1.233.5M2022-08-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3180.317481-0.16%0.3182+0.06%0.0104✗1.1477k2022-08-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,023.6022,986.15-0.16%22,844.10-0.78%0.0008✓0.9814k2022-08-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0440.04393-0.16%0.04345-1.25%0.0042✓0.952,3002022-08-03
DIADIAEthereum0.455270.454567-0.15%0.46564+2.28%0.0297✗0.7863k2022-08-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.04511.0435-0.15%1.0834+3.66%0.0475✗1.391.4M2022-08-03
XMRMoneroMonero156.99156.748-0.15%157.11+0.08%0.0102✗1.101.3M2022-08-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.8522.8148-0.15%23.04+0.83%0.0212✗1.5827.5M2022-08-03
ETHEthereumEthereum1,631.281,628.77-0.15%1,618.82-0.76%0.0029✗1.26396.1M2022-08-03
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.62.596-0.15%2.672+2.77%0.0414✗1.7595k2022-08-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.16740.16715-0.15%0.1552-7.29%0.0653✓1.23101k2022-08-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4192.4155-0.15%2.475+2.32%0.0309✗0.91104k2022-08-03
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.261422-0.14%0.2612-0.23%0.0008✓0.0128k2022-08-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3641.362-0.14%1.359-0.37%0.0069✗1.272.5M2022-08-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14350.143299-0.14%0.1448+0.91%0.0173✗0.963.5M2022-08-03
C98Coin98Ethereum0.48410.483432-0.14%0.4744-2.00%0.0108✓1.1247k2022-08-03
BANDBandEthereum1.6351.6328-0.13%1.689+3.30%0.0441✗1.44337k2022-08-03
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03140.031358-0.13%0.0308-1.91%0.0086✓1.301,2932022-08-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156280.015607-0.13%0.015785+1.00%0.0176✗0.882.1M2022-08-03
ADACardanoCardano0.49660.49596-0.13%0.5009+0.87%0.0187✗1.2241.9M2022-08-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021540.021512-0.13%0.0213-1.11%0.0026✓1.01159k2022-08-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.327595-0.12%0.332+1.22%0.0208✗1.031.1M2022-08-03
COMPCompoundEthereum56.3356.2609-0.12%55.76-1.01%0.0010✓1.3833k2022-08-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.929.9079-0.12%10.165+2.47%0.0353✗1.3614.4M2022-08-03
FISStafiEthereum0.3810.38054-0.12%–pending––0.941722022-08-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.16892.1664-0.12%2.1759+0.32%0.0131✗1.2132k2022-08-03
FTTFTXEthereum29.429.3662-0.12%29.1-1.02%0.0022✓0.9610.8M2022-08-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05810.058036-0.11%0.0585+0.69%0.0172✗1.28799k2022-08-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08570.085609-0.11%0.0861+0.47%0.0140✗1.15132k2022-08-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31980.319466-0.10%0.32+0.06%0.0101✗1.173.3M2022-08-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031440.031407-0.10%0.03127-0.54%0.0044✗1.2314k2022-08-03
ZENHorizenBase17.1717.1526-0.10%17.15-0.12%0.0096✗1.36116k2022-08-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40290.402501-0.10%0.4022-0.17%0.0087✗1.31127k2022-08-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23080.230575-0.10%0.2311+0.13%0.0128✗1.4797k2022-08-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.95360.894-0.10%60.311-1.05%0.0036✓0.83344k2022-08-03
AAVEAaveEthereum93.4293.3297-0.10%94.97+1.66%0.0293✗1.6510.2M2022-08-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011750.000011739-0.10%0.00001183+0.68%0.0166✗1.23986k2022-08-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.2217.2039-0.09%17.17-0.29%0.0075✗1.321.3M2022-08-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.16260.162451-0.09%0.16304+0.27%0.0146✗1.53212k2022-08-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11550.115396-0.09%0.116+0.43%0.0129✗1.08370k2022-08-03
STXStacksnative0.43980.439407-0.09%0.4663+6.03%0.0683✗1.24808k2022-08-03
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.183.1772-0.09%3.17-0.31%0.0013✗0.4994k2022-08-03
SCSiacoinnative0.004620.004616-0.09%0.00456-1.30%0.0028✓1.31112k2022-08-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05310.053055-0.09%0.0546+2.82%0.0378✗1.26269k2022-08-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15960.159465-0.08%0.1588-0.50%0.0047✗1.24508k2022-08-03
MOVRMoonriverBase14.577414.5653-0.08%14.6221+0.31%0.0122✗1.1668k2022-08-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.9287.9216-0.08%8.003+0.95%0.0190✗1.2310.4M2022-08-03
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.271.269-0.08%1.259-0.87%0.0010✗1.241.2M2022-08-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.80832.8061-0.08%2.8485+1.43%0.0220✗0.971.1M2022-08-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.340610.340343-0.08%0.335893-1.38%0.0040✓1.271.1M2022-08-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.11340.113315-0.07%0.1109-2.20%0.0124✓1.27491k2022-08-03
XYMSymbolnative0.056050.056008-0.07%0.055731-0.57%0.0007✓0.5922k2022-08-03
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.69e-7-0.07%9.60e-7-1.03%0.0037✓0.836.6M2022-08-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031570.003155-0.07%0.003141-0.51%0.0028✗1.001.0M2022-08-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.53960.539241-0.07%0.5453+1.06%0.0193✗1.13335k2022-08-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25020.250041-0.06%0.2461-1.64%0.0071✓1.23110k2022-08-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.05950.059462-0.06%0.0583-2.02%0.0097✓1.40161k2022-08-03
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.3591-0.06%1.43+5.15%0.0610✗1.421.1M2022-08-03
QTUMQtumQtum3.96813.9657-0.06%3.8986-1.75%0.0093✓1.0845k2022-08-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049460.04943-0.06%0.04834-2.26%0.0159✓0.9015k2022-08-03
XVGVergenative0.003710.003708-0.06%0.00373+0.54%0.0152✗1.30559k2022-08-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.326516-0.06%0.3267+0.00%0.0087✗1.148.0M2022-08-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.743588-0.06%0.767+3.09%0.0380✗0.97377k2022-08-03
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2020.2019-0.05%0.1999-1.04%0.0001✓1.401,1742022-08-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.722.7187-0.05%2.81+3.31%0.0439✗1.52198k2022-08-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,989.4022,978.38-0.05%22,825.00-0.72%0.0005✓1.00414.2M2022-08-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.06120.061172-0.05%0.0587-4.08%0.0311✓1.42350k2022-08-03
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7740.773643-0.05%0.79+2.07%0.0296✗1.21218k2022-08-03
KSMKusamaHydration60.9560.9221-0.05%61.31+0.59%0.0148✗1.17372k2022-08-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44620.446005-0.04%0.4399-1.41%0.0032✓1.47278k2022-08-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.1631.1625-0.04%1.1385-2.11%0.0133✓1.0643k2022-08-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.77133.7122-0.04%133.7-0.05%0.0084✗1.194.3M2022-08-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.26360.263487-0.04%0.2598-1.44%0.0064✓1.0767k2022-08-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11680.11675-0.04%0.118+1.03%0.0205✗1.382.8M2022-08-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1797.1761-0.04%7.285+1.48%0.0241✗1.2618.3M2022-08-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.0958.0684-0.04%57.78-0.53%0.0033✗1.1513.7M2022-08-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1151360.115094-0.04%0.114184-0.83%0.0008✓0.996.9M2022-08-03
FLOWFlownative1.8741.8733-0.04%1.84-1.81%0.0088✓1.28430k2022-08-03
SOLSolanaSolana39.8139.7965-0.03%38.55-3.17%0.0221✓1.3681.1M2022-08-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067160.006714-0.03%0.006698-0.27%0.0014✗0.5338k2022-08-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009650.009647-0.03%0.00976+1.14%0.0183✗0.935.0M2022-08-03
UMAUMAEthereum2.9342.9333-0.02%2.964+1.02%0.0184✗1.12619k2022-08-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.008390.008388-0.02%0.00819-2.38%0.0174✓0.901.6M2022-08-03
MANADecentralandEthereum0.959430.959234-0.02%0.96+0.06%0.0102✗1.31532k2022-08-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2120.211963-0.02%0.213+0.47%0.0157✗1.51821k2022-08-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.39260.392544-0.01%0.40592+3.39%0.0435✗1.39583k2022-08-03
GTGateEthereum4.34914.3487-0.01%4.5094+3.69%0.0415✗0.73920k2022-08-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6080.607965-0.01%0.633+4.11%0.0504✗1.3988k2022-08-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.397950.397935-0.00%0.39422-0.94%0.0008✓1.19118k2022-08-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.571.57+0.00%1.6+1.91%0.0285✓1.33115k2022-08-03
NANOnanopayBase1.02351.0236+0.00%1.0243+0.08%0.0076✓0.9558k2022-08-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0730.073003+0.00%0.062-15.07%0.1580✗0.75159k2022-08-03
DASHDashDash48.5348.5328+0.01%48.77+0.49%0.0127✓1.10574k2022-08-03
XTZTezosTezos1.71391.714+0.01%1.7204+0.38%0.0127✓1.26510k2022-08-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.302050.302074+0.01%0.30931+2.40%0.0319✓1.14398k2022-08-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7090.70909+0.01%0.686-3.24%0.0225✗1.4797k2022-08-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.48941.4896+0.02%1.4589-2.05%0.0105✗1.44675k2022-08-03
PROPropyEthereum0.760.760163+0.02%0.74-2.63%0.0227✗0.5883k2022-08-03
XECeCashnative0.000042820.000042833+0.03%0.00004244-0.89%0.0010✗1.151.9M2022-08-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04630.046315+0.03%0.0458-1.08%0.0016✗1.338,6502022-08-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06985.0718+0.04%5.0151-1.08%0.0097✗0.21214k2022-08-03
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09360.093643+0.05%0.0972+3.85%0.0459✓1.206,7862022-08-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062040.006207+0.05%0.006208+0.06%0.0064✓0.879,1592022-08-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12380.123875+0.06%0.1288+4.04%0.0461✓0.994,9522022-08-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0665290.066574+0.07%0.0662-0.49%0.0026✓1.151.7M2022-08-03
TRXTRONTron0.068310.068365+0.08%0.067799-0.75%0.0031✗0.73369k2022-08-03
ZECZcashZcash61.4961.5441+0.09%61.85+0.59%0.0138✓1.231.6M2022-08-03
KCSKuCoinnative9.9389.9482+0.10%10.028+0.91%0.0158✓1.092.0M2022-08-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.