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2022-08-01 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1231
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.69%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.4%
in alpha space · 62.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.86%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.009117+8.28%0.00619-26.48%0.2508✗0.911.6M2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.5267+6.49%5.8014+11.78%0.0797✓0.21210k2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006692+5.88%0.005668-10.32%0.0318✓0.909,1592022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash62.8766.164+5.24%59.88-4.76%0.0869✓1.251.5M2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.325119+5.18%0.35+13.22%0.2481✓1.17398k2022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.584609+4.88%0.4594-17.58%0.0710✗1.14341k2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.46130.483377+4.79%0.365-20.88%0.0951✗1.25778k2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.41644.6186+4.58%4.3008-2.62%0.0375✓0.73916k2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.099447+4.57%0.0821-13.67%0.0119✓1.216,7862022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.062921+4.52%0.0577-4.15%0.1227✓1.40339k2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.780.813304+4.27%0.73-6.41%0.0178✓0.6179k2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001769+4.26%0.00156-8.07%0.0265✓1.0211k2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.066798+4.21%0.1161+81.12%0.6738✓0.81155k2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.7575+4.20%1.078+48.28%0.5340✓1.21806k2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006922+4.10%0.006495-2.33%0.0167✓0.5438k2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative9.96310.3655+4.04%9.001-9.66%0.0206✓1.082.1M2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4761.6139+3.60%53.84-9.47%0.0376✓1.1613.6M2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2897+3.51%1.0708-14.06%0.0274✓1.0643k2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.756196+3.45%0.528-27.77%0.1368✗1.4980k2022-08-31
DASHDashDash49.7551.4595+3.44%44.55-10.45%0.0209✓1.11574k2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0535+3.43%0.894603-12.16%0.0204✓0.9660k2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase18.1618.7481+3.24%15.53-14.48%0.0161✓1.37116k2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87142.1731+3.12%115.16-16.47%0.0330✗1.194.3M2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.070803+3.03%0.061277-10.83%0.0268✓1.151.7M2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.072541+2.89%0.0622-11.77%0.0067✓1.08567k2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.16942+2.87%0.1445-12.26%0.0263✓1.2494k2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.3885+2.55%7.033-14.02%0.0088✓1.2410.0M2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,779.27+2.17%20,048.26-13.86%0.0215✓1.00414.2M2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021937+1.75%0.02304+6.86%0.2030✓1.03159k2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.86e-7+1.70%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0098✓0.836.4M2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.3061+1.67%1.7939-20.91%0.0669✗1.2329k2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.4757+1.67%3.743+53.72%0.5505✓0.92105k2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.049092+1.64%0.0357-26.09%0.1180✗1.347,6872022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.347506+1.49%0.2885-15.74%0.0160✗1.147.7M2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.070946+1.39%0.063428-9.35%0.0040✓0.78373k2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.156236+1.39%0.1324-14.08%0.0180✗0.993.5M2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.428816+1.16%0.3513-17.13%0.0012✓1.33127k2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.71e-7+1.14%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0394✓1.0025k2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.003750.003786+0.96%0.00335-10.67%0.0728✓1.31559k2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8855+0.89%2.15-24.83%0.0676✗1.52192k2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.232535+0.80%0.2184-5.33%0.1585✓1.4897k2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.065315+0.79%0.0503-22.38%0.0467✗1.44154k2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.422201+0.67%0.33416-20.32%0.0530✗1.21118k2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.20833+0.64%0.1824-11.88%0.0754✓1.401,1792022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.337018+0.30%0.2809-16.40%0.0056✗1.183.1M2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7023,229.40+0.24%19,990.40-13.73%0.0038✗0.9814k2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.00479+0.22%0.00404-15.48%0.0259✓1.32112k2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010231+0.20%0.00858-15.96%0.0320✗0.974.7M2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,634.05+0.20%1,554.00-4.71%0.1371✓1.26387.0M2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.030056+0.15%0.02455-18.19%0.0075✗1.311,2932022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9645+0.15%2.728-7.84%0.0837✓1.12619k2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.118477+0.15%0.104365-11.78%0.0216✓0.996.8M2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.263205+0.04%0.2112-19.73%0.0368✗1.23101k2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0152-0.11%0.77191-24.05%0.0767✓1.32525k2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.334641-0.11%0.282-15.82%0.0173✓1.03959k2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.412324-0.12%0.31794-22.98%0.0519✓1.39583k2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero160.69160.4315-0.16%149.22-7.14%0.0933✗1.111.3M2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67660.5665-0.18%51.915-14.44%0.0280✓0.85345k2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.125229-0.22%0.1003-20.08%0.0743✓0.994,9522022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.7134-0.27%1.275-25.79%0.0792✓1.45327k2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.260987-0.31%0.247-5.65%0.0534✓0.0128k2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.220311-0.31%0.168-23.98%0.0451✓1.51821k2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.322758-0.32%0.3041-6.08%0.1113✗1.1576k2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.28e-7-0.40%9.25e-7+181.07%1.1806✗0.96178k2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.023518-0.43%0.02152-8.89%0.0569✗0.989,6292022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.510511-0.45%0.4458-13.07%0.0509✗1.2541.9M2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.5911-0.52%26.73-13.07%0.0071✗0.9510.2M2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.115568-0.54%0.0899-22.63%0.0573✓1.30472k2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.091799-0.61%0.08149-11.77%0.0828✓0.241.1M2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.056879-0.62%0.043128-24.65%0.1874✓0.6022k2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.767158-0.63%0.663-14.12%0.0013✓0.99377k2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0252.0122-0.63%2.072+2.32%0.2191✗1.27415k2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.164052-0.82%0.13698-17.19%0.0498✗1.54212k2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.263485-0.83%0.2291-13.77%0.0285✗1.13768k2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.014887-0.87%0.013176-12.26%0.0095✗0.881.6M2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000044733-0.90%0.00004452-1.37%0.1683✗1.161.9M2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.051177-0.99%0.04593-11.14%0.0264✗0.9015k2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.481899-1.08%0.3717-23.70%0.1426✓0.7863k2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.784268-1.10%0.663-16.39%0.0160✗1.23218k2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.358648-1.13%0.29809-17.83%0.0087✓1.301.0M2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.341309-1.21%0.31172-9.77%0.1055✗1.3112k2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.273498-1.26%0.2447-11.66%0.0493✗1.0867k2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.141921-1.31%0.1236-14.05%0.0533✗1.2859k2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0647-1.31%0.8327-22.82%0.0350✓1.411.4M2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.4721-1.35%6.628-12.49%0.0687✗1.2616.9M2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5895.2705-1.36%84.85-12.15%0.1321✗1.6610.2M2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6075-1.38%1.31-19.63%0.0001✓1.37114k2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.610999-1.39%0.5054-18.43%0.0174✓1.16642k2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.7946-1.39%1.5108-16.98%0.0162✗1.26492k2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.00321-1.40%0.002994-8.05%0.0822✗1.021.0M2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.118976-1.43%0.1033-14.42%0.0185✗1.07352k2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.463953-1.50%0.3462-26.50%0.0735✓1.47273k2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration64.2363.2421-1.54%47.42-26.17%0.1112✓1.18354k2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.6387-1.56%5.746-34.53%0.2491✓1.062.4M2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana41.6741.0147-1.57%31.5-24.41%0.0612✓1.3681.1M2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.3976-1.57%1.0347-27.13%0.0860✓1.441.1M2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011766-1.70%0.00001208+0.92%0.2103✗1.23986k2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.0735-1.75%3.149-24.05%0.0943✓1.0939k2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.5642-1.77%14.14-20.92%0.0158✓1.351.3M2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.2996-1.77%0.9427-28.75%0.1359✓1.241.2M2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.060089-1.82%0.0484-20.92%0.0217✓1.30799k2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.517-1.87%1.915-25.34%0.0116✓1.7595k2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7407-2.00%4.0516+44.87%0.5366✗0.981.0M2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.2629-2.02%2.03-39.04%0.4013✓0.4994k2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.168487-2.04%0.1395-18.90%0.0024✓1.25491k2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0104-2.04%1.1394+10.46%0.2943✗1.171.1M2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0567-2.16%0.91-15.74%0.0448✓0.701.5M2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.083946-2.16%0.0595-30.65%0.1686✓1.18137k2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5395-2.23%1.7276+9.71%0.3295✗1.44589k2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.120785-2.28%0.1026-16.99%0.0429✗1.382.8M2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7521-2.39%1.818+1.28%0.1323✗0.64189k2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.630289-2.43%0.515-20.28%0.0074✓1.4088k2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.031244-2.48%0.03519+9.83%0.3039✗1.2414k2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040264-2.51%0.0349-15.50%0.0402✗1.2371k2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2510.9665-2.52%10.1-10.22%0.0989✗1.21243k2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017414-2.72%0.01358-24.13%0.1320✓0.78229k2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.05175-2.73%0.044-17.29%0.0244✓1.25269k2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.692116-2.73%0.55118-22.54%0.0020✓1.5188k2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.204833-2.74%0.1531-27.30%0.0884✓1.361,6972022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.3314-2.74%4.86-25.35%0.0556✓1.401.1M2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.3823-2.86%1.205-15.32%0.0524✗1.272.5M2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.076679-2.91%0.06618-16.21%0.0382✓0.731,1722022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.23-3.07%13.005+198.01%1.2100✗0.581.2M2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.481209-3.10%0.439-11.60%0.0753✗1.1247k2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.522571-3.25%0.3203-40.70%0.2788✓1.41234k2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001059-3.35%0.001342+22.42%0.4280✗1.291.4M2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.06514-3.35%0.0574-14.84%0.0165✓0.96229k2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum33.6232.4859-3.37%31.03-7.70%0.2442✗1.94229k2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.00906-3.42%0.00799-14.82%0.0626✗1.26359k2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum58.956.872-3.44%47.14-19.97%0.0200✓1.3932k2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.049667-3.46%0.043941-14.59%0.0545✗1.1938k2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134314.596-3.56%12.38-18.20%0.0108✓1.1868k2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.7937-3.57%4.337+10.24%0.2411✗0.721.4M2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.044512-3.61%0.03845-16.74%0.0030✓0.962,3002022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.077546-3.67%0.06211-22.84%0.0018✓1.50773k2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.14368-3.83%0.2179+45.85%0.5815✗1.11698k2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum2.0221.9437-3.87%1.65-18.40%0.0269✓1.28637k2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.7266-3.88%2.922-24.63%0.1113✓0.88754k2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.4675-3.88%8.84-10.25%0.0096✓0.521.7M2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.812-4.13%1.43-24.34%0.0243✓1.42234k2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.3999.9678-4.15%11.825+13.71%0.3758✗1.3714.4M2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002328-4.16%0.001503-38.12%0.2884✓1.001.8M2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019103-4.47%0.030314+51.59%0.5386✗0.51165k2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.676-4.49%4.449+15.59%0.2795✗0.591.7M2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.8118-4.53%7.8611+166.92%1.1436✗0.77978k2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5922.5074-4.59%19.13-18.91%0.0756✗1.6027.5M2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.15.8191-4.60%6.7+9.84%0.2398✗0.66623k2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.7263-4.64%2.1594-24.47%0.0003✓1.5612k2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.8099-4.65%2.012-31.73%0.1213✓1.4349k2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.3334-4.67%4.761-28.34%0.0271✓1.7311.3M2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.487-4.68%1.52-2.56%0.0542✗0.22268k2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.2449-4.69%1.1463-12.24%0.1420✗1.515.6M2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.6242-4.70%7.66-4.25%0.2086✗1.37263k2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.347.9388-4.81%6.25-25.06%0.0535✓1.246.8M2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.168672-5.03%0.1276-28.15%0.0916✓1.263.5M2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1384-5.07%0.89656-25.23%0.0748✓1.1010k2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.182736-5.07%0.15568-19.13%0.1850✗2.311,2222022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.5105-5.15%6.4+10.15%0.2407✗0.61732k2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.491359-5.33%0.418-19.46%0.0092✓1.1513k2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1813.4-5.50%12.5-11.85%0.1406✗1.411.9M2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.257-5.57%2.13-10.88%0.1017✗1.07301k2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.2772-5.75%1.522-37.00%0.1922✓1.41177k2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.0883-5.99%6.6294+101.80%0.8971✗0.891.2M2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.809334-6.00%0.673-21.84%0.0730✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.897174-6.06%0.6723-29.60%0.0241✓1.77513k2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.7517-6.28%4.79-5.52%0.1139✗0.711.2M2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.078812-6.39%0.07274-13.60%0.1203✗1.3429k2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.877978-6.48%0.9535+1.57%0.2162✗0.903.2M2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0232.6935-6.64%32.41-7.45%0.2018✗1.416.9M2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.3653-6.65%2.959-17.92%0.1293✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.5906-6.68%6.047+22.93%0.3578✗0.552.0M2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000097733-6.73%0.00022156+111.43%1.1083✗1.94592k2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.7732-6.96%0.475-42.84%0.2654✓1.493,6872022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.284388-7.03%0.2325-23.99%0.0337✓1.12300k2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3657.769-7.12%6.142-26.58%0.0259✓1.408.5M2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.034066-7.43%0.02026-44.95%0.2923✓1.5212.6M2022-08-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07790.997689-7.45%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum103.4695.2521-7.93%96.47-6.76%0.1640✗1.014.2M2022-08-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4426.1765-7.96%19.03-33.09%0.1111✓1.39641k2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.535.9684-8.60%5.61-14.09%0.0304✓0.621.2M2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.217.4634-9.04%17.27-10.05%0.1175✗0.862.2M2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3210,557.40-9.08%9,021.07-22.31%0.0511✓1.404.2M2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.3729-9.20%1.129-25.33%0.1003✗1.981.7M2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.77450.699162-9.73%0.5573-28.04%0.0529✓1.171.4M2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0027-12.03%0.9023-20.84%0.1403✗1.65205k2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.