8=======>

2022-08-01 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1339
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.96%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.3%
in alpha space · 28.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.86%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4426.9029-5.40%19.03-33.09%0.1384✓1.39641k2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.790247-4.90%0.475-42.84%0.2872✓1.493,6872022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000099694-4.86%0.00022156+111.43%1.0885✗1.94592k2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0883-4.52%0.9023-20.84%0.0584✗1.65205k2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.4467-4.32%1.129-25.33%0.0479✗1.981.7M2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.218.4714-3.79%17.27-10.05%0.0614✗0.862.2M2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0234.0656-2.73%32.41-7.45%0.1607✗1.416.9M2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.5156-2.48%2.959-17.92%0.0856✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.37-2.45%5.61-14.09%0.0347✓0.621.2M2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.77450.756939-2.27%0.5573-28.04%0.1323✓1.171.4M2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.2133-2.19%6.6294+101.80%0.8574✗0.891.2M2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.2783-2.13%1.1463-12.24%0.1156✗1.515.6M2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3211,373.07-2.05%9,021.07-22.31%0.0233✓1.404.2M2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.8254-1.90%6.047+22.93%0.3080✗0.552.0M2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.08275-1.71%0.07274-13.60%0.0716✗1.3429k2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.846872-1.64%0.673-21.84%0.0276✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0604-1.63%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.036239-1.53%0.02026-44.95%0.3541✓1.5212.6M2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.9993-1.40%4.79-5.52%0.0631✗0.711.2M2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum103.46102.1744-1.24%96.47-6.76%0.0938✗1.014.2M2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.3617-1.19%2.13-10.88%0.0564✗1.07301k2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.5769-1.01%4.761-28.34%0.0648✓1.7311.3M2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.7559-0.93%6.4+10.15%0.1971✗0.61732k2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.514469-0.87%0.418-19.46%0.0368✓1.1513k2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.8354-0.82%2.1594-24.47%0.0390✓1.5612k2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.947477-0.79%0.6723-29.60%0.0787✓1.77513k2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.303517-0.78%0.2325-23.99%0.0988✓1.12300k2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.3977-0.76%1.522-37.00%0.2438✓1.41177k2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.707722-0.54%0.55118-22.54%0.0243✓1.5188k2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.9328-0.42%7.8611+166.92%1.1015✗0.77978k2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.554-0.39%1.52-2.56%0.0102✗0.22268k2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.197-0.18%0.89656-25.23%0.1250✓1.1010k2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.3325-0.09%6.25-25.06%0.1019✓1.246.8M2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.8752-0.05%2.922-24.63%0.1504✓0.88754k2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.041282-0.04%0.0349-15.50%0.0152✗1.2371k2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.210579-0.01%0.1531-27.30%0.1161✓1.361,6972022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.540428+0.06%0.3203-40.70%0.3124✗1.41234k2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.5279+0.28%4.86-25.35%0.0862✗1.401.1M2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0357+0.40%1.1394+10.46%0.2696✓1.171.1M2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.8988+0.50%8.84-10.25%0.0350✗0.521.7M2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.4076+0.51%6.142-26.58%0.1049✗1.408.5M2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.018001+0.57%0.01358-24.13%0.1652✗0.78229k2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum88.0467+0.58%7.66-4.25%0.1547✓1.37263k2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.067884+0.72%0.0574-14.84%0.0248✗0.96229k2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.32e-7+0.80%9.25e-7+181.07%1.1686✓0.96178k2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum58.959.3888+0.83%47.14-19.97%0.0234✗1.3932k2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.972+0.85%2.012-31.73%0.1774✗1.4349k2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.8821+0.86%4.449+15.59%0.2250✓0.591.7M2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.500939+0.87%0.439-11.60%0.0351✓1.1247k2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.009472+0.98%0.00799-14.82%0.0181✓1.26359k2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.194472+1.02%0.15568-19.13%0.1228✓2.311,2222022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.093342+1.06%0.08149-11.77%0.0994✗0.241.1M2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.081378+1.09%0.06211-22.84%0.0464✗1.50773k2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.264674+1.10%0.247-5.65%0.0675✗0.0128k2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.8531+1.12%19.13-18.91%0.0175✓1.6027.5M2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.4134+1.13%13.005+198.01%1.1676✓0.581.2M2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.492793+1.16%0.3717-23.70%0.1649✗0.7863k2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1814.367+1.32%12.5-11.85%0.0709✓1.411.9M2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum33.6234.0768+1.36%31.03-7.70%0.1964✓1.94229k2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.9163+1.39%1.43-24.34%0.0802✗1.42234k2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4429+1.40%1.205-15.32%0.0094✓1.272.5M2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001112+1.42%0.001342+22.42%0.3799✓1.291.4M2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.952581+1.47%0.9535+1.57%0.1346✓0.903.2M2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.4171+1.49%10.1-10.22%0.0586✓1.21243k2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.5542+1.49%11.825+13.71%0.3186✓1.3714.4M2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.9936+1.52%4.337+10.24%0.1897✓0.721.4M2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.9135+1.57%5.746-34.53%0.2804✗1.062.4M2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002468+1.59%0.001503-38.12%0.3466✗1.001.8M2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.052306+1.67%0.043941-14.59%0.0027✓1.1938k2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.151899+1.67%0.2179+45.85%0.5259✓1.11698k2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.080357+1.74%0.06618-16.21%0.0850✗0.731,1722022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3463+1.76%0.9427-28.75%0.1712✗1.241.2M2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.047021+1.82%0.03845-16.74%0.0579✗0.962,3002022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4459+1.83%1.0347-27.13%0.1200✗1.441.1M2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.180868+1.84%0.1276-28.15%0.1615✗1.263.5M2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.062351+1.88%0.0484-20.92%0.0587✗1.30799k2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.175259+1.89%0.1395-18.90%0.0418✗1.25491k2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8818.2316+1.97%14.14-20.92%0.0531✗1.351.3M2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum2.0222.0627+2.01%1.65-18.40%0.0326✗1.28637k2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana41.6742.514+2.03%31.5-24.41%0.0971✗1.3681.1M2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.480687+2.06%0.3462-26.50%0.1089✗1.47273k2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134315.4496+2.08%12.38-18.20%0.0460✗1.1868k2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.02042+2.11%0.030314+51.59%0.4719✓0.51165k2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.755+2.16%1.275-25.79%0.1032✗1.45327k2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0252.0687+2.16%2.072+2.32%0.1914✓1.27415k2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5898.6775+2.17%84.85-12.15%0.0970✓1.6610.2M2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.1046+2.27%0.91-15.74%0.0892✗0.701.5M2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.157632+2.29%0.1324-14.08%0.0269✗0.993.5M2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.024163+2.30%0.02152-8.89%0.0299✓0.989,6292022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.1039+2.31%0.8327-22.82%0.0710✗1.411.4M2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum30.7531.4845+2.39%26.73-13.07%0.0217✓0.9510.2M2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.8386+2.43%1.818+1.28%0.0841✓0.64189k2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.6283+2.47%1.915-25.34%0.0548✗1.7595k2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.354059+2.48%0.31172-9.77%0.0688✓1.3112k2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.212215+2.52%0.1824-11.88%0.0569✓1.401,1792022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.4163+2.59%2.03-39.04%0.4473✗0.4994k2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.8704+2.63%4.0516+44.87%0.4903✓0.981.0M2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0438+2.70%0.77191-24.05%0.1044✗1.32525k2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.372635+2.72%0.29809-17.83%0.0295✗1.301.0M2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.86e-7+2.73%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0238✓1.0025k2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.43096+2.76%0.33416-20.32%0.0736✗1.21118k2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004917+2.88%0.00404-15.48%0.0003✓1.32112k2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.9424+2.88%2.15-24.83%0.0872✗1.52192k2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.637525+2.89%0.5054-18.43%0.0599✗1.16642k2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,678.40+2.92%1,554.00-4.71%0.1104✓1.26387.0M2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration64.2366.1116+2.93%47.42-26.17%0.1555✗1.18354k2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.058933+2.97%0.043128-24.65%0.2229✗0.6022k2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.11965+2.97%0.0899-22.63%0.0920✗1.30472k2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010517+3.01%0.00858-15.96%0.0596✗0.974.7M2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.022237+3.14%0.02304+6.86%0.1894✓1.03159k2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.963.0531+3.15%2.728-7.84%0.0542✓1.12619k2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.8153+3.19%6.628-12.49%0.0238✓1.2616.9M2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003362+3.24%0.002994-8.05%0.0361✓1.021.0M2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.124649+3.27%0.1033-14.42%0.0281✓1.07352k2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.088619+3.29%0.0595-30.65%0.2227✗1.18137k2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.16.3023+3.32%6.7+9.84%0.1601✓0.66623k2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.066226+3.32%0.1161+81.12%0.6824✓0.81155k2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.062267+3.43%0.0577-4.15%0.1331✓1.40339k2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.055037+3.45%0.044-17.29%0.0372✗1.25269k2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67662.7772+3.46%51.915-14.44%0.0639✗0.85345k2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.228719+3.49%0.168-23.98%0.0825✗1.51821k2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.821226+3.56%0.663-16.39%0.0301✓1.23218k2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.669349+3.61%0.515-20.28%0.0528✗1.4088k2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.053585+3.67%0.04593-11.14%0.0196✓0.9015k2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.171501+3.68%0.13698-17.19%0.0054✓1.54212k2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.275654+3.75%0.2291-13.77%0.0167✓1.13768k2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.033253+3.79%0.03519+9.83%0.2416✓1.2414k2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.3555+3.85%1.7939-20.91%0.0881✗1.2329k2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7024,079.95+3.92%19,990.40-13.73%0.0398✗0.9814k2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.28788+3.93%0.2447-11.66%0.0019✓1.0867k2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2959+4.01%1.0708-14.06%0.0322✓1.0643k2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000046951+4.01%0.00004452-1.37%0.1200✓1.161.9M2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8624,220.81+4.07%20,048.26-13.86%0.0399✓1.00414.2M2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.128661+4.09%0.1026-16.99%0.0203✓1.382.8M2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0606+4.14%0.894603-12.16%0.0272✓0.9660k2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.349968+4.16%0.2809-16.40%0.0433✗1.183.1M2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.015642+4.16%0.013176-12.26%0.0400✓0.881.6M2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.003750.003906+4.17%0.00335-10.67%0.0415✓1.31559k2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000012472+4.19%0.00001208+0.92%0.1521✓1.23986k2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.5372+4.20%3.743+53.72%0.5260✓0.92105k2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.240454+4.23%0.2184-5.33%0.1250✓1.4897k2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.171742+4.28%0.1445-12.26%0.0126✓1.2494k2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.274478+4.32%0.2112-19.73%0.0787✗1.23101k2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.150131+4.40%0.1236-14.05%0.0029✓1.2859k2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.322949+4.47%0.35+13.22%0.2548✓1.17398k2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.357801+4.50%0.2885-15.74%0.0452✗1.147.7M2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.131156+4.51%0.1003-20.08%0.1205✗0.994,9522022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.071855+4.56%0.061277-10.83%0.0121✓1.151.7M2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC9.70e-70.000001014+4.58%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0182✓0.836.4M2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.9037+4.60%1.5108-16.98%0.0428✓1.26492k2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.4304+4.63%5.8014+11.78%0.0972✓0.21210k2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.7074+4.75%1.31-19.63%0.0604✗1.37114k2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.6507+4.82%1.7276+9.71%0.2598✓1.44589k2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero160.69168.6172+4.93%149.22-7.14%0.0436✓1.111.3M2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.538663+5.04%0.4458-13.07%0.0027✓1.2541.9M2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006987+5.06%0.006495-2.33%0.0075✓0.5438k2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.3569+5.08%3.149-24.05%0.1615✗1.0939k2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.43399+5.13%0.31794-22.98%0.1031✗1.39583k2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.0508+5.18%0.0357-26.09%0.1522✗1.347,6872022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001786+5.27%0.00156-8.07%0.0169✓1.0211k2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase18.1619.123+5.30%15.53-14.48%0.0037✓1.37116k2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.41644.6554+5.41%4.3008-2.62%0.0296✓0.73916k2022-08-31
DASHDashDash49.7552.4704+5.47%44.55-10.45%0.0014✓1.11574k2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.124843+5.53%0.104365-11.78%0.0307✓0.996.8M2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.780.823223+5.54%0.73-6.41%0.0299✓0.6179k2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.6465+5.70%7.033-14.02%0.0215✓1.2410.0M2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.342318+5.72%0.3041-6.08%0.0525✓1.1576k2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative9.96310.5547+5.94%9.001-9.66%0.0025✓1.082.1M2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.068676+5.98%0.0503-22.38%0.0969✗1.44154k2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.031816+6.02%0.02455-18.19%0.0644✗1.311,2932022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.819504+6.15%0.663-14.12%0.0647✗0.99377k2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.355689+6.18%0.282-15.82%0.0783✗1.03959k2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash62.8766.7642+6.19%59.88-4.76%0.0779✓1.251.5M2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4763.2007+6.27%53.84-9.47%0.0122✓1.1613.6M2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.77696+6.29%0.528-27.77%0.1639✗1.4980k2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.074469+6.43%0.063428-9.35%0.0445✓0.78373k2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.451503+6.51%0.3513-17.13%0.0528✓1.33127k2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.075142+6.58%0.0622-11.77%0.0285✓1.08567k2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87147.5275+7.00%115.16-16.47%0.0699✗1.194.3M2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.009039+7.36%0.00619-26.48%0.2423✗0.911.6M2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.783331+7.75%1.078+48.28%0.5004✓1.21806k2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.46130.499026+8.18%0.365-20.88%0.1269✗1.25778k2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006887+8.95%0.005668-10.32%0.0605✓0.909,1592022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.103919+9.27%0.0821-13.67%0.0559✓1.216,7862022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.621163+11.44%0.4594-17.58%0.1316✗1.14341k2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.