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2022-08-01 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0444
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.26%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.2%
in alpha space · 74.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
HIVEHivenative0.77450.749945-3.17%0.5942-23.28%0.2184✓1.171.4M2022-08-02
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.1131-2.34%1.0822-5.05%0.0079✓1.65205k2022-08-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.7185-1.58%5.73-1.38%0.0095✓0.61732k2022-08-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.147164-1.50%0.1359-9.04%0.0660✓1.11698k2022-08-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.2361-1.49%3.3336+1.47%0.0407✗0.891.2M2022-08-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.4471-1.27%6.51-0.31%0.0173✗0.621.2M2022-08-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3211,477.69-1.15%10,752.27-7.40%0.0481✓1.404.2M2022-08-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.6779-1.12%8.196-6.61%0.0441✓1.062.4M2022-08-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.075.0145-1.09%5.05-0.39%0.0158✗0.711.2M2022-08-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.036411-1.06%0.03854+4.73%0.0756✗1.5212.6M2022-08-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.219.0003-1.04%21.17+10.26%0.1187✗0.862.2M2022-08-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.16.0379-1.02%6.03-1.15%0.0068✓0.66623k2022-08-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.07969-1.01%0.08648+7.43%0.1002✗1.50773k2022-08-02
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.4974-0.96%1.635+8.13%0.1123✗1.981.7M2022-08-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.342215-0.95%0.34832+0.82%0.0339✗1.3112k2022-08-02
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1878-0.94%1.126-6.10%0.0399✓1.1010k2022-08-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4428.1812-0.91%27.79-2.29%0.0031✓1.39641k2022-08-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.045768-0.89%0.044-4.72%0.0276✓0.962,3002022-08-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0683-0.89%1.0569-1.95%0.0019✓1.0313k2022-08-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000103875-0.87%0.00010013-4.45%0.0128✓1.94592k2022-08-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.765-0.86%9.54-3.15%0.0169✓0.521.7M2022-08-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0707-0.86%1.218+12.78%0.1375✗0.701.5M2022-08-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0234.7257-0.84%36.59+4.48%0.0696✗1.416.9M2022-08-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.069925-0.82%0.0745+5.67%0.0766✗1.08567k2022-08-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.9214-0.80%3.0467+3.45%0.0515✗0.77978k2022-08-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.9028-0.79%3.985+1.30%0.0297✗0.721.4M2022-08-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.824562-0.77%0.816-1.81%0.0078✗1.493,6872022-08-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.142737-0.74%0.1378-4.17%0.0194✓1.2859k2022-08-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.023452-0.72%0.024372+3.18%0.0505✗0.989,6292022-08-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.5793-0.71%3.801+5.44%0.0814✗1.735.0M2022-08-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.041007-0.71%0.0396-4.12%0.0198✓1.2371k2022-08-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.9434-0.71%8.1+1.25%0.0363✗1.37263k2022-08-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.303849-0.67%0.3039-0.65%0.0140✗1.12300k2022-08-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.886-0.67%5.16+4.90%0.0613✗0.552.0M2022-08-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.064377-0.65%0.0595-8.18%0.0611✓1.44154k2022-08-02
QNTQuantEthereum103.46102.7928-0.64%103.43-0.03%0.0186✗1.014.2M2022-08-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.928-0.64%2.716-7.84%0.0576✓1.4349k2022-08-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.083652-0.64%0.08676+3.05%0.0530✗1.3429k2022-08-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1814.0896-0.64%14.94+5.36%0.0759✗1.411.9M2022-08-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.00932-0.63%0.00928-1.07%0.0112✗1.26359k2022-08-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.375-0.63%2.46+2.93%0.0483✗1.07301k2022-08-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7793-0.62%2.8083+0.41%0.0224✗0.981.0M2022-08-02
API3Api3Ethereum2.0222.0095-0.62%1.966-2.77%0.0061✓1.28637k2022-08-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.8252-0.62%3.883+0.88%0.0223✗0.591.7M2022-08-02
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.051131-0.61%0.048695-5.35%0.0342✓1.1938k2022-08-02
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.176516-0.61%0.1716-3.38%0.0128✓1.263.5M2022-08-02
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004751-0.61%0.00462-3.35%0.0118✓1.32112k2022-08-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.842-0.59%2.7482-3.88%0.0143✓1.5612k2022-08-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.8543-0.59%3.951+1.91%0.0357✗0.88754k2022-08-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2387-0.58%1.163-6.66%0.0500✓1.0643k2022-08-02
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.317-0.57%8.248-1.40%0.0089✗1.408.5M2022-08-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0727-0.57%1.0451-3.13%0.0087✓1.411.4M2022-08-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5511-0.57%1.55-0.64%0.0019✓0.22268k2022-08-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.209421-0.56%0.225+6.84%0.0885✗1.361,6972022-08-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.4025-0.56%2.285-5.42%0.0328✓1.41177k2022-08-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.468429-0.55%0.4462-5.27%0.0305✓1.47273k2022-08-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.1888-0.54%11.02-2.04%0.0003✓1.21243k2022-08-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.933886-0.52%0.9732+3.66%0.0523✗0.903.2M2022-08-02
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.6094-0.52%6.638-0.09%0.0256✗1.7311.3M2022-08-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.3451-0.52%9.92-4.61%0.0251✓1.3714.4M2022-08-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.051423-0.52%0.04946-4.31%0.0278✓0.9015k2022-08-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019895-0.51%0.021484+7.43%0.0832✗0.51165k2022-08-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.856583-0.51%0.823-4.41%0.0188✓1.735.0M2022-08-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.707932-0.51%0.65971-7.29%0.0519✓1.5188k2022-08-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011909-0.51%0.00001175-1.84%0.0017✓1.23986k2022-08-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.333292-0.51%0.328-2.09%0.0033✓1.03959k2022-08-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.3421-0.50%4.526+3.71%0.0486✗0.581.2M2022-08-02
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.264371-0.50%0.2502-5.83%0.0412✓1.13768k2022-08-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.275615-0.50%0.2636-4.84%0.0313✓1.0867k2022-08-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.261788-0.50%0.2502-4.90%0.0302✓1.23101k2022-08-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.516427-0.50%0.519+0.00%0.0191✗1.1513k2022-08-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.171155-0.49%0.1596-7.21%0.0545✓1.25491k2022-08-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.163892-0.49%0.1674+1.64%0.0365✗1.2494k2022-08-02
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.484781-0.48%0.45527-6.54%0.0532✓0.7863k2022-08-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.3-0.48%8-4.08%0.0215✓1.246.8M2022-08-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4162-0.48%1.364-4.15%0.0219✓1.272.5M2022-08-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0267-0.47%0.9992-3.13%0.0128✓1.171.1M2022-08-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.03189-0.47%0.03144-1.87%0.0010✓1.2414k2022-08-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8813-0.46%2.017+6.72%0.0872✗1.42234k2022-08-02
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.4803-0.46%6.57+0.92%0.0310✗1.401.1M2022-08-02
KSMKusamaHydration64.2363.9378-0.45%60.95-5.11%0.0333✓1.18354k2022-08-02
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0117-0.45%0.95943-5.60%0.0368✓1.32525k2022-08-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.334493-0.45%0.3198-4.82%0.0304✓1.183.1M2022-08-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.322348-0.45%0.318-1.79%0.0005✓1.1576k2022-08-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.01495-0.45%0.015628+4.07%0.0552✗0.881.6M2022-08-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002418-0.44%0.002266-6.71%0.0527✓1.001.8M2022-08-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.643148-0.44%0.608-5.88%0.0389✓1.4088k2022-08-02
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.1278-0.44%3.9681-4.29%0.0260✓1.0939k2022-08-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7871-0.44%1.796+0.06%0.0128✗0.64189k2022-08-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.3154-0.44%3.18-4.50%0.0357✓0.4994k2022-08-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.8019-0.44%17.22-3.69%0.0167✓1.351.3M2022-08-02
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134315.0683-0.44%14.5774-3.68%0.0187✓1.1868k2022-08-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010166-0.43%0.00965-5.48%0.0402✓0.974.7M2022-08-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001091-0.43%0.001085-1.02%0.0098✗1.291.4M2022-08-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.789639-0.42%0.774-2.40%0.0048✓1.23218k2022-08-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.4904-0.42%22.85-3.14%0.0080✓1.6027.5M2022-08-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.950993-0.42%0.908-4.92%0.0245✓1.77513k2022-08-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.115713-0.42%0.1134-2.41%0.0042✓1.30472k2022-08-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6232-0.42%1.57-3.68%0.0165✓1.37114k2022-08-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.078652-0.42%0.0777-1.62%0.0032✓0.731,1722022-08-02
METISMetisEthereum33.6233.4825-0.41%33.21-1.22%0.0157✗1.94229k2022-08-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.494581-0.41%0.4841-2.52%0.0076✓1.1247k2022-08-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.052986-0.40%0.0531-0.19%0.0175✗1.25269k2022-08-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5684-0.40%1.4894-5.42%0.0340✓1.44589k2022-08-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.164746-0.40%0.1626-1.70%0.0059✗1.54212k2022-08-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.057006-0.40%0.05605-2.07%0.0095✓0.6022k2022-08-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.191742-0.39%0.18917-1.73%0.0150✗2.311,2222022-08-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.5449-0.38%7.179-5.22%0.0342✓1.2616.9M2022-08-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.361425-0.37%0.34061-6.11%0.0434✓1.301.0M2022-08-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.067151-0.37%0.068+0.89%0.0243✗0.96229k2022-08-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.206252-0.36%0.202-2.42%0.0037✓1.401,1792022-08-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.57e-7-0.36%0.00000101+5.21%0.0667✗1.0025k2022-08-02
FLOWFlownative2.0252.0178-0.36%1.874-7.46%0.0583✓1.27415k2022-08-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.060983-0.35%0.0581-5.07%0.0324✓1.30799k2022-08-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.85-0.35%2.72-4.90%0.0280✓1.52192k2022-08-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048132-0.35%0.0463-4.14%0.0223✓1.347,6872022-08-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4151-0.35%1.36-4.23%0.0220✓1.441.1M2022-08-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.12028-0.35%0.1155-4.31%0.0274✓1.07352k2022-08-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.123171-0.35%0.1168-5.50%0.0361✓1.382.8M2022-08-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.092042-0.34%0.08996-2.60%0.0199✓0.241.1M2022-08-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.617477-0.34%0.6132-1.03%0.0073✗1.16642k2022-08-02
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.8137-0.34%1.7139-5.82%0.0411✓1.26492k2022-08-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5562-0.34%2.6+1.36%0.0386✗1.7595k2022-08-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.3017-0.34%1.3359+2.27%0.0444✗1.515.6M2022-08-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.08551-0.34%0.0857-0.12%0.0167✗1.18137k2022-08-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.422481-0.33%0.4029-4.95%0.0311✓1.33127k2022-08-02
XMRMoneroMonero160.69160.1585-0.33%156.99-2.30%0.0063✓1.111.3M2022-08-02
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5896.2634-0.33%93.42-3.27%0.0095✓1.6610.2M2022-08-02
COMPCompoundEthereum58.958.7098-0.32%56.33-4.36%0.0243✓1.3932k2022-08-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017843-0.32%0.01794+0.22%0.0150✗0.78229k2022-08-02
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0153-0.31%1.0235+0.49%0.0199✗0.9660k2022-08-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021493-0.31%0.02154-0.09%0.0149✗1.03159k2022-08-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.15362-0.31%0.1435-6.88%0.0560✓0.993.5M2022-08-02
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.7128-0.30%1.635-4.83%0.0287✓1.45327k2022-08-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9511-0.30%2.934-0.88%0.0079✗1.12619k2022-08-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.220338-0.30%0.212-4.07%0.0200✓1.51821k2022-08-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.769713-0.30%0.744-3.63%0.0218✓0.99377k2022-08-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.418152-0.29%0.39795-5.11%0.0346✓1.21118k2022-08-02
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000045008-0.29%0.00004282-5.14%0.0356✓1.161.9M2022-08-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.538556-0.29%0.5474+1.35%0.0337✗1.41234k2022-08-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003247-0.28%0.003157-3.04%0.0156✓1.021.0M2022-08-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.261076-0.28%0.2618+0.00%0.0029✗0.0128k2022-08-02
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.069781-0.27%0.06831-2.38%0.0117✓0.78373k2022-08-02
SOLSolanaSolana41.6741.5585-0.27%39.81-4.46%0.0263✓1.3681.1M2022-08-02
PROPropyEthereum0.780.777921-0.27%0.76-2.56%0.0159✓0.6179k2022-08-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2622-0.26%2.1689-4.37%0.0269✓1.2329k2022-08-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.411721-0.26%0.3926-4.89%0.0304✓1.39583k2022-08-02
STXStacksnative0.46130.460104-0.26%0.4398-4.66%0.0298✓1.25778k2022-08-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.029932-0.26%0.0314+4.63%0.0639✗1.311,2932022-08-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.341513-0.26%0.3267-4.59%0.0303✓1.147.7M2022-08-02
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.68e-7-0.26%9.70e-7+0.00%0.0128✗0.836.4M2022-08-02
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.6719-0.25%29.4-4.39%0.0306✓0.9510.2M2022-08-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.09486-0.25%0.0936-1.58%0.0014✓1.216,7862022-08-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.125187-0.25%0.1238-1.35%0.0010✓0.994,9522022-08-02
XVGVergenative0.003750.003741-0.24%0.00371-1.07%0.0078✗1.31559k2022-08-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001693-0.24%0.001664-1.94%0.0047✓1.0211k2022-08-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,218.46-0.24%22,989.40-1.22%0.0024✓1.00414.2M2022-08-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.230158-0.24%0.2308+0.04%0.0210✗1.4897k2022-08-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,627.06-0.23%1,631.28+0.03%0.0180✗1.26387.0M2022-08-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.068566-0.23%0.066529-3.19%0.0160✓1.151.7M2022-08-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.29e-7-0.22%3.39e-7+2.97%0.0432✗0.96178k2022-08-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7023,123.46-0.21%23,023.60-0.64%0.0077✗0.9814k2022-08-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67660.5562-0.20%60.953+0.46%0.0169✗0.85345k2022-08-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3205-0.19%1.27-4.01%0.0237✓1.241.2M2022-08-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.118086-0.18%0.115136-2.68%0.0131✓0.996.8M2022-08-02
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.511866-0.18%0.4966-3.16%0.0149✓1.2541.9M2022-08-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.4306-0.18%2.419-0.66%0.0065✗0.92105k2022-08-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.9457-0.17%9.938-0.25%0.0126✗1.082.1M2022-08-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.725749-0.17%0.742+2.06%0.0371✗1.21806k2022-08-02
ZENHorizenBase18.1618.1315-0.16%17.17-5.45%0.0376✓1.37116k2022-08-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.168-0.15%7.928-3.08%0.0146✓1.2410.0M2022-08-02
ZECZcashZcash62.8762.7789-0.14%61.49-2.20%0.0054✓1.251.5M2022-08-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.308684-0.14%0.30205-2.29%0.0074✓1.17398k2022-08-02
GTGateEthereum4.41644.4103-0.14%4.3491-1.52%0.0050✓0.73916k2022-08-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.060117-0.14%0.0612+1.66%0.0351✗1.40339k2022-08-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4759.3928-0.13%58.09-2.32%0.0080✓1.1613.6M2022-08-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006642-0.12%0.006716+0.99%0.0177✗0.5438k2022-08-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.730161-0.11%0.709-3.01%0.0111✓1.4980k2022-08-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.556886-0.09%0.5396-3.19%0.0175✓1.14341k2022-08-02
DASHDashDash49.7549.7098-0.08%48.53-2.45%0.0104✓1.11574k2022-08-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006317-0.06%0.006204-1.84%0.0069✓0.909,1592022-08-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.1884-0.03%5.0698-2.32%0.0206✓0.21210k2022-08-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87137.841-0.02%133.77-2.97%0.0153✓1.194.3M2022-08-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.064097-0.00%0.073+13.88%0.1400✗0.81155k2022-08-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008425+0.06%0.00839-0.36%0.0071✓0.911.6M2022-08-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.