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2022-07-31 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1697
185 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.7%
in alpha space · 54.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062840.006816+8.47%0.005787-7.90%0.0179✓0.909,1592022-08-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01035.3669+7.12%5.3918+7.61%0.0388✓0.21210k2022-08-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.00910.009694+6.53%0.0062-31.87%0.2982✗0.921.6M2022-08-30
PROPropyEthereum0.760.805149+5.94%0.74-2.63%0.0137✓0.6079k2022-08-30
STXStacksnative0.43890.463933+5.70%0.3613-17.68%0.0480✓1.24643k2022-08-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.312690.330134+5.58%0.34582+10.60%0.2362✓1.17398k2022-08-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56270.59371+5.51%0.4471-20.54%0.0988✗1.14350k2022-08-30
ZECZcashZcash64.3967.7755+5.26%59.87-7.02%0.0796✓1.251.5M2022-08-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017510.00184+5.07%0.001486-15.13%0.0478✓1.0216k2022-08-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07160.075116+4.91%0.1115+55.73%0.5287✓0.82148k2022-08-30
NEXONEXOEthereum0.710.744155+4.81%1.019+43.52%0.5123✓1.22776k2022-08-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.15080.157986+4.77%0.1464-2.92%0.1253✓1.2490k2022-08-30
GTGateEthereum4.45154.6555+4.58%4.2549-4.42%0.0281✓0.73920k2022-08-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.0570.059518+4.42%0.0507-11.05%0.0722✓1.43152k2022-08-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.065594+4.28%0.0576-8.43%0.0972✓1.40339k2022-08-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006770.007049+4.12%0.006537-3.44%0.0122✓0.5439k2022-08-30
KCSKuCoinnative10.0510.462+4.10%8.973-10.72%0.0224✓1.082.4M2022-08-30
NANOnanopayBase1.01361.0547+4.05%0.900508-11.16%0.0022✓0.9658k2022-08-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09670.10052+3.95%0.0815-15.72%0.0140✓1.216,7862022-08-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.7662.1043+3.92%53.01-11.30%0.0293✓1.1613.5M2022-08-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3662.4534+3.69%3.795+60.40%0.5854✓0.92105k2022-08-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.17851.2206+3.57%1.0458-11.26%0.0179✓1.0643k2022-08-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14370.148802+3.55%0.1325-7.79%0.0441✓0.993.5M2022-08-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.37143.9351+3.28%114.69-17.71%0.0337✗1.194.2M2022-08-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068140.07031+3.18%0.06142-9.86%0.0511✓1.151.7M2022-08-30
DASHDashDash51.1752.7778+3.14%45.51-11.06%0.0315✓1.11574k2022-08-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06780.069739+2.86%0.0617-9.00%0.0519✓1.07432k2022-08-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.19622.2549+2.68%1.8168-17.27%0.0156✓1.2326k2022-08-30
ZENHorizenBase18.9519.4551+2.67%15.8-16.62%0.0143✓1.37116k2022-08-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,307.4423,906.04+2.57%19,813.17-14.99%0.0254✗1.00414.2M2022-08-30
SGBSongbirdnative0.02620.026863+2.53%0.0249-4.96%0.0075✓0.5143k2022-08-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.343744+2.27%0.2917-13.21%0.0191✓1.137.7M2022-08-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021210.021681+2.22%0.02405+13.39%0.2717✓1.03159k2022-08-30
TRXTRONTron0.0689340.070423+2.16%0.064705-6.13%0.0405✓0.77373k2022-08-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41870.426643+1.90%0.3561-14.95%0.0350✓1.33112k2022-08-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.400650.407817+1.79%0.33647-16.02%0.0042✓1.21113k2022-08-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.048834+1.74%0.036-25.00%0.0883✗1.337,5232022-08-30
XVGVergenative0.003710.003772+1.68%0.00292-21.29%0.0441✗1.31570k2022-08-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6338.7744+1.64%7.008-18.82%0.0233✗1.249.4M2022-08-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.80.813024+1.63%0.519-35.13%0.2066✗1.4980k2022-08-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23390.237665+1.61%0.2211-5.47%0.1687✓1.4897k2022-08-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.111198+1.46%0.0889-18.89%0.0131✓1.30472k2022-08-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31750.321692+1.32%0.2879-9.32%0.0816✓1.193.0M2022-08-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.872.9057+1.25%2.775-3.31%0.1350✓1.11619k2022-08-30
BANDBandEthereum1.6811.7016+1.22%1.233-26.65%0.0867✗1.45327k2022-08-30
BTTCBTTC9.80e-79.92e-7+1.21%8.80e-7-10.20%0.0151✓0.836.1M2022-08-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.976480.987416+1.12%0.77064-21.08%0.0333✗1.32487k2022-08-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30590.309208+1.08%0.3098+1.27%0.1860✓1.1375k2022-08-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24990.25234+0.98%0.2089-16.41%0.0105✓1.2399k2022-08-30
FLOWFlownative1.9241.9421+0.94%2.012+4.57%0.2418✓1.27415k2022-08-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004601+0.89%0.00402-11.84%0.0784✓1.31112k2022-08-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1176240.118648+0.87%0.102411-12.93%0.0142✓0.996.8M2022-08-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.208768+0.85%0.1811-12.51%0.0846✓1.401,1792022-08-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.77e-7+0.76%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0575✓1.0024k2022-08-30
XMRMoneroMonero155.01156.1123+0.71%148.87-3.96%0.1320✓1.101.3M2022-08-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,400.0023,555.83+0.67%19,869.30-15.09%0.0108✗0.9814k2022-08-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.01037+0.58%0.00864-16.20%0.0259✗0.964.7M2022-08-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2140.21479+0.37%0.169-21.03%0.0059✓1.51803k2022-08-30
FTTFTXEthereum30.3930.4706+0.27%26.6-12.47%0.0190✓0.9510.2M2022-08-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030560.03063+0.23%0.02474-19.04%0.0013✓1.311,3342022-08-30
XECeCashnative0.000043840.000043939+0.22%0.00004589+4.68%0.2315✓1.161.9M2022-08-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,679.311,682.76+0.21%1,524.81-9.20%0.1056✓1.26387.0M2022-08-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.096250.096443+0.20%0.08237-14.42%0.1193✗0.241.1M2022-08-30
ADACardanoCardano0.51650.517465+0.19%0.453-12.29%0.0698✓1.2541.9M2022-08-30
DIADIAEthereum0.4620.462856+0.19%0.37644-18.52%0.0795✗0.7863k2022-08-30
STEEMSteemnative0.25630.256506+0.08%0.226-11.82%0.0575✓1.13701k2022-08-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.261262+0.02%0.2608-0.15%0.0001✓0.0128k2022-08-30
XTZTezosTezos1.74081.741+0.01%1.4973-13.99%0.0538✓1.26492k2022-08-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9860.985788-0.02%0.994+0.81%0.1219✗0.701.3M2022-08-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.17961.1587-0.03%51.582-15.69%0.0329✓0.85369k2022-08-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0226140.02259-0.11%0.021461-5.10%0.1072✗0.989,2332022-08-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426660.425996-0.16%0.31982-25.04%0.0607✓1.39592k2022-08-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3420.341294-0.21%0.284-16.96%0.0160✓1.03794k2022-08-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7730.7706-0.31%0.671-13.20%0.0617✗1.23212k2022-08-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031290.003115-0.44%0.002993-4.35%0.1242✗1.01999k2022-08-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13560.134941-0.49%0.1227-9.51%0.1131✗1.2855k2022-08-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.41e-73.39e-7-0.53%0.000001089+218.95%1.3200✗0.95178k2022-08-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05870.058378-0.55%0.0484-17.55%0.0242✗1.30787k2022-08-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.12190.121221-0.56%0.1967+61.36%0.6626✗1.10685k2022-08-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049060.048782-0.57%0.04661-4.99%0.1003✗0.9015k2022-08-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0570680.056731-0.59%0.042966-24.71%0.1805✓0.6022k2022-08-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.26330.26174-0.59%0.2442-7.25%0.1053✗1.0865k2022-08-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7620.757114-0.64%0.652-14.44%0.0105✗0.98360k2022-08-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166050.164984-0.64%0.1352-18.58%0.0517✗1.54207k2022-08-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3081.2986-0.72%0.9513-27.27%0.1096✓1.241.2M2022-08-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12840.127451-0.74%0.097-24.45%0.1123✓0.995,2722022-08-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030290.030055-0.78%0.03529+16.51%0.3617✗1.2414k2022-08-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.323170.320569-0.80%0.29332-9.24%0.1242✗1.3111k2022-08-30
QTUMQtumQtum4.06894.0333-0.87%3.1158-23.42%0.0805✓1.0934k2022-08-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.119572-0.93%0.1027-14.91%0.0206✗1.06352k2022-08-30
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08221.0718-0.96%0.8324-23.08%0.0240✓1.411.4M2022-08-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4640.459424-0.99%0.3341-28.00%0.0799✓1.47273k2022-08-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16740.165741-0.99%0.1389-17.03%0.0259✗1.25475k2022-08-30
AAVEAaveEthereum97.6396.6619-0.99%84.38-13.57%0.1340✗1.6610.2M2022-08-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.667.5786-1.06%6.558-14.39%0.0605✗1.2616.2M2022-08-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62480.617553-1.16%0.5123-18.01%0.0006✓1.15624k2022-08-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.99490.982665-1.23%1.1881+19.42%0.3794✗1.171.2M2022-08-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6140.606241-1.26%0.515-16.12%0.0643✗1.4086k2022-08-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044190.043624-1.28%0.03799-14.03%0.0177✗0.962,3002022-08-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.54221.5223-1.29%1.7301+12.18%0.3632✗1.45589k2022-08-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.23.1575-1.33%2.07-35.31%0.1758✓1.52192k2022-08-30
SOLSolanaSolana42.3841.7766-1.42%31.48-25.72%0.0623✓1.3681.1M2022-08-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.441.4191-1.45%1.0506-27.04%0.0671✓1.441.1M2022-08-30
KSMKusamaHydration63.862.8553-1.48%47.47-25.60%0.0883✓1.18303k2022-08-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011720.000011545-1.50%0.00001218+3.92%0.2536✗1.23951k2022-08-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.358-1.60%1.188-13.91%0.0734✗1.282.4M2022-08-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.7931.7638-1.63%1.823+1.67%0.1369✗0.64206k2022-08-30
FISStafiEthereum0.38580.379298-1.69%–pending––0.941922022-08-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.72362.6776-1.69%3.8429+41.10%0.5199✗0.981.0M2022-08-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.691.6612-1.71%1.32-21.89%0.0073✓1.37114k2022-08-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.0617.7379-1.78%13.86-23.26%0.0276✓1.351.3M2022-08-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03860.037881-1.86%0.0353-8.55%0.1271✗1.2268k2022-08-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.074.9744-1.88%6.03+18.93%0.2914✗0.61668k2022-08-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159540.015645-1.93%0.013148-17.59%0.0302✓0.881.2M2022-08-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5972.5452-2.00%1.89-27.22%0.0126✓1.7592k2022-08-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3884020.38059-2.01%0.298969-23.03%0.0301✓1.301.0M2022-08-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.685450.670439-2.19%0.5402-21.19%0.0296✗1.5188k2022-08-30
XVSVenusEthereum6.386.2333-2.30%4.86-23.82%0.0218✓1.401.0M2022-08-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08840.086299-2.38%0.0625-29.30%0.1316✓1.18146k2022-08-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.00106-2.50%0.001348+24.02%0.4492✗1.281.5M2022-08-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.9481.8982-2.56%1.632-16.22%0.0551✗1.27637k2022-08-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1280.124711-2.57%0.103-19.53%0.0321✗1.382.6M2022-08-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.713.6145-2.57%4.099+10.49%0.2430✗0.721.3M2022-08-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018410.017934-2.59%0.01422-22.76%0.1083✓0.76248k2022-08-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.5211.2202-2.60%10.09-12.41%0.0910✗1.21241k2022-08-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05420.052772-2.63%0.0429-20.85%0.0033✓1.25269k2022-08-30
COMPCompoundEthereum57.0455.5288-2.65%47-17.60%0.0592✗1.3932k2022-08-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.393.2996-2.67%2.07-38.94%0.3865✓0.4981k2022-08-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.1984.083-2.74%12.481+197.31%1.2124✗0.581.2M2022-08-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5650.548874-2.85%0.3252-42.44%0.2955✓1.40234k2022-08-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06690.06496-2.90%0.0579-13.45%0.0406✗0.96229k2022-08-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.18.835-2.91%8.31-8.68%0.0240✓0.531.4M2022-08-30
METISMetisEthereum34.6133.5807-2.97%31.05-10.29%0.2365✗1.94229k2022-08-30
XEMNEMnative0.0494080.047938-2.97%0.043415-12.13%0.0938✗1.1938k2022-08-30
MOVRMoonriverBase14.833514.3717-3.11%12.3167-16.97%0.0367✗1.1870k2022-08-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50440.488683-3.12%0.4301-14.73%0.0543✗1.1245k2022-08-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8113.6919-3.13%3.133-17.79%0.0198✓0.89754k2022-08-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.685.4849-3.43%6.14+8.10%0.2200✗0.66588k2022-08-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.3579.9995-3.45%11.928+15.17%0.3993✗1.3714.4M2022-08-30
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024970.002409-3.52%0.001548-38.01%0.2799✓1.001.9M2022-08-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.77522.6734-3.67%6.0023+116.28%0.9346✗0.77978k2022-08-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00960.009241-3.74%0.00806-16.04%0.0684✗1.26355k2022-08-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.080910.07788-3.74%0.06652-17.79%0.0388✓0.731,0512022-08-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8732.763-3.83%2.049-28.68%0.0679✓1.4247k2022-08-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.2270.218019-3.96%0.1487-34.49%0.1608✓1.371,6972022-08-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.777.4587-4.01%7.98+2.70%0.2890✗1.36256k2022-08-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6793.5314-4.01%4.11+11.72%0.2483✗0.591.6M2022-08-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9811.8995-4.11%1.43-27.81%0.0526✓1.42234k2022-08-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.7522.7359-4.27%19.38-18.40%0.0992✗1.5927.5M2022-08-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.7899.3685-4.30%5.711-41.66%0.3221✓1.062.3M2022-08-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.31791.2604-4.36%1.0635-19.30%0.0738✗1.505.6M2022-08-30
HIVEHivenative0.53010.506626-4.43%0.5489+3.55%0.2681✗1.161.4M2022-08-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.4709-4.48%1.61+4.55%0.1256✗0.22268k2022-08-30
CBKCobakEthereum1.12031.0693-4.55%0.88331-21.16%0.0131✓1.1010k2022-08-30
DODODODOEthereum0.17320.165195-4.62%0.1276-26.33%0.0543✓1.263.4M2022-08-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084020.080135-4.62%0.06327-24.70%0.0072✓1.50768k2022-08-30
APEApeCoinEthereum6.7336.4036-4.89%4.809-28.58%0.0047✓1.7310.6M2022-08-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03972.8837-5.13%5.6189+84.85%0.8120✗0.891.2M2022-08-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.194230.184242-5.14%0.15379-20.82%0.1953✗2.311,2222022-08-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5280.500024-5.30%0.425-19.51%0.0237✓1.1513k2022-08-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.3313.5619-5.36%12.2-14.86%0.1252✗1.421.7M2022-08-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0213810.020223-5.41%0.022785+6.57%0.2030✗0.52167k2022-08-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.5253-5.53%4.47-6.68%0.1029✗0.711.1M2022-08-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.9788.4793-5.55%6.257-30.31%0.1016✓1.256.5M2022-08-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.92120.868006-5.77%0.9633+4.57%0.2494✗0.893.2M2022-08-30
GITCOINGITCOIN3.16882.9857-5.78%2.0768-34.46%0.1091✓1.5611k2022-08-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.899619-5.80%0.6566-31.25%0.0277✓1.77513k2022-08-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.809584-5.97%0.669-22.30%0.0892✗1.725.2M2022-08-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098070.000091986-6.20%0.00015837+61.49%0.8555✗1.92592k2022-08-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.4282-6.25%2.06-20.46%0.0098✓1.07258k2022-08-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.5032.3459-6.28%1.556-37.83%0.1812✓1.41172k2022-08-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08360.078341-6.29%0.07109-14.96%0.1211✗1.3429k2022-08-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5633.3373-6.34%2.977-16.45%0.1664✗1.735.0M2022-08-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.724.4179-6.40%5.751+21.84%0.3533✗0.552.0M2022-08-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034230.032005-6.50%0.02038-40.46%0.2036✓1.5311.5M2022-08-30
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3277.7539-6.88%6.174-25.86%0.0003✓1.408.2M2022-08-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.273509-6.97%0.2461-16.29%0.0774✗1.13303k2022-08-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.533.8911-7.15%32.31-11.48%0.1816✗1.415.4M2022-08-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.755.3307-7.29%5.19-9.74%0.0730✓0.611.1M2022-08-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07920.998763-7.45%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.3724.3955-7.49%22.31-15.40%0.1367✗1.39585k2022-08-30
QNTQuantEthereum102.6194.8557-7.56%95.63-6.80%0.1729✗1.014.2M2022-08-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8750.807834-7.68%0.497-43.20%0.2440✓1.493,1392022-08-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,863.909,989.89-8.05%8,874.58-18.31%0.1075✗1.394.1M2022-08-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.92660.846389-8.66%0.9192-0.80%0.3487✗1.64202k2022-08-30
OPTIMOptimism1.5831.4306-9.63%1.083-31.59%0.0440✓1.981.3M2022-08-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.0718.6732-11.38%17.33-17.75%0.0660✓0.872.2M2022-08-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.