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2022-07-30 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1859
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.65%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.7%
in alpha space · 48.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.8091.6146-10.75%1.174-35.10%0.0161✓1.971.3M2022-08-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,772.2010,617.22-9.81%9,081.72-22.85%0.0566✓1.394.0M2022-08-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0328.9241-9.70%35+9.27%0.4023✗1.38563k2022-08-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97430.885888-9.07%0.7824-19.70%0.1267✗1.64202k2022-08-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.4836.3235-8.00%33.55-15.02%0.1365✗1.412.8M2022-08-29
QNTQuantEthereum106.3598.166-7.70%101.16-4.88%0.1853✗1.014.2M2022-08-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3194.9105-7.68%6.102+14.72%0.3009✗0.552.0M2022-08-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11121.0261-7.66%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1915.922-7.38%17.22+0.17%0.2130✗0.882.2M2022-08-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.840.779983-7.14%0.525-37.50%0.1674✓1.493,1392022-08-29
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.1536-7.13%6.339-27.80%0.0375✓1.407.7M2022-08-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.29690.276436-6.89%0.2566-13.57%0.0994✗1.13309k2022-08-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.2179-6.66%5.31-5.01%0.1120✗0.62956k2022-08-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6473.4217-6.18%3.47-4.85%0.2789✗1.734.3M2022-08-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.033190.031163-6.11%0.02267-31.70%0.0841✓1.5311.5M2022-08-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098120.000092186-6.05%0.0001317+34.22%0.6541✗1.94635k2022-08-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8840.831909-5.89%0.684-22.62%0.0683✗1.725.2M2022-08-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95050.896834-5.65%0.9656+1.59%0.2109✗0.893.6M2022-08-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.081650.077057-5.63%0.07284-10.79%0.1501✗1.3528k2022-08-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.08972.9193-5.52%5.7778+87.00%0.8195✗0.891.1M2022-08-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.7613.9814-5.27%12.6-14.63%0.1145✗1.421.7M2022-08-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.2832-5.26%2.13-11.62%0.0960✗1.08207k2022-08-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3282.2065-5.22%1.615-30.63%0.0950✓1.42169k2022-08-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.9760.925098-5.22%0.6813-30.19%0.0350✓1.77513k2022-08-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084940.080616-5.09%0.06651-21.70%0.0374✓1.50768k2022-08-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.192340.182629-5.05%0.15839-17.65%0.2133✗2.321,1512022-08-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010270.009775-4.82%0.00853-16.94%0.0569✗1.26355k2022-08-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.6846-4.66%7.74-3.97%0.2158✗1.36256k2022-08-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.327-4.48%4.53+0.00%0.1551✗0.71912k2022-08-29
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6976.4049-4.36%4.983-25.59%0.0149✓1.7311.0M2022-08-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0208760.019975-4.31%0.023085+10.58%0.2239✗0.52167k2022-08-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5050.483432-4.27%0.441-12.67%0.0846✗1.1513k2022-08-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35861.3014-4.21%1.0799-20.51%0.0435✗1.506.4M2022-08-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.22930.219977-4.07%0.164-28.48%0.0841✓1.371,5612022-08-29
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.16409-4.04%0.1311-23.33%0.0319✓1.263.1M2022-08-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2787.9488-3.98%6.682-19.28%0.0182✓1.255.9M2022-08-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8162.7076-3.85%2.1453-23.82%0.0080✓1.5711k2022-08-29
HIVEHivenative0.52750.507251-3.84%0.5461+3.53%0.2515✗1.161.4M2022-08-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0720.069321-3.72%0.0606-15.83%0.0121✓0.96183k2022-08-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.511.454-3.71%1.44-4.64%0.0239✓0.22268k2022-08-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2523.3516-3.70%19.33-20.29%0.0557✗1.6027.5M2022-08-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9661.8977-3.47%1.495-23.96%0.0200✓1.42234k2022-08-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83142.7346-3.42%6.0774+114.64%0.9173✗0.77978k2022-08-29
CBKCobakEthereum1.04951.0138-3.41%0.87542-16.59%0.0220✓1.109,9742022-08-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7493.6274-3.24%4.266+13.79%0.2532✗0.591.5M2022-08-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7110.3681-3.19%11.438+6.80%0.3085✗1.3715.0M2022-08-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8042.7174-3.09%2.089-25.50%0.0446✓1.4243k2022-08-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077850.075536-2.97%0.06742-13.40%0.0007✓0.741,1722022-08-29
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.422311-2.96%–pending––0.902142022-08-29
XVSVenusEthereum6.766.5699-2.81%5.12-24.26%0.0354✓1.391.0M2022-08-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7913.687-2.74%3.276-13.58%0.0182✓0.89754k2022-08-29
XEMNEMnative0.049120.047776-2.74%0.044565-9.27%0.1130✗1.1935k2022-08-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.1218.6149-2.64%13.83-27.67%0.0909✓1.341.3M2022-08-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.5070.493884-2.59%0.4238-16.41%0.0190✓1.1245k2022-08-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13190.128615-2.49%0.1063-19.41%0.0202✓1.372.5M2022-08-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0023420.002287-2.34%0.001636-30.15%0.1816✓1.001.8M2022-08-29
QTUMQtumQtum4.32124.2209-2.32%3.1823-26.36%0.1152✓1.0933k2022-08-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.158.9408-2.29%8.46-7.54%0.0254✗0.531.2M2022-08-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.645.5117-2.27%6.38+13.12%0.2479✗0.66554k2022-08-29
MOVRMoonriverBase14.700814.3689-2.26%12.6602-13.88%0.0541✗1.1870k2022-08-29
COMPCompoundEthereum58.2356.9205-2.25%48.57-16.59%0.0547✗1.3932k2022-08-29
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1871.1604-2.24%0.8693-26.76%0.0733✓1.401.4M2022-08-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.611.3524-2.13%10.28-11.38%0.0868✗1.21241k2022-08-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.244.1528-2.06%12.777+201.34%1.2139✗0.591.3M2022-08-29
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0591.039-1.89%0.946-10.67%0.0128✓0.691.3M2022-08-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.9311.8948-1.88%1.729-10.46%0.1032✗1.27637k2022-08-29
METISMetisEthereum34.4933.8576-1.83%32.49-5.80%0.2584✗1.95213k2022-08-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5710.56074-1.80%0.3367-41.03%0.2946✓1.40234k2022-08-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018670.018338-1.78%0.0151-19.12%0.0779✓0.76254k2022-08-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05350.052574-1.73%0.0441-17.57%0.0172✓1.26263k2022-08-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.676430.66505-1.68%0.55401-18.10%0.0493✗1.5181k2022-08-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6270.616472-1.68%0.527-15.95%0.0578✗1.4086k2022-08-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.087816-1.66%0.0637-28.67%0.1407✓1.18155k2022-08-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6843.6231-1.65%4.177+13.38%0.2531✗0.721.1M2022-08-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6272.5894-1.43%1.955-25.58%0.0117✓1.7692k2022-08-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010970.001082-1.35%0.001401+27.70%0.4550✗1.281.5M2022-08-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.491.4708-1.29%1.1021-26.03%0.0683✓1.441.1M2022-08-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03850.038016-1.26%0.0365-5.19%0.1460✗1.2268k2022-08-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.1557-1.08%2.24-29.78%0.2662✓0.5077k2022-08-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156130.015449-1.05%0.013701-12.25%0.0157✗0.881.2M2022-08-29
SOLSolanaSolana43.8443.3979-1.01%32.41-26.07%0.0838✓1.3681.8M2022-08-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011930.000011812-0.99%0.00001248+4.61%0.2436✗1.23951k2022-08-29
KSMKusamaHydration63.162.4804-0.98%50.12-20.57%0.0386✓1.19257k2022-08-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.980.970613-0.96%1.2628+28.86%0.4423✗1.171.2M2022-08-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.034.9832-0.93%6.29+25.05%0.3268✗0.61605k2022-08-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6261-0.85%1.33-18.90%0.0092✗1.37114k2022-08-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.58661.5733-0.84%1.7099+7.77%0.3047✗1.44609k2022-08-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8237.7775-0.58%6.7-14.36%0.0444✗1.2616.2M2022-08-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.71372.6987-0.55%3.8811+43.02%0.5133✗0.981.0M2022-08-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3781.3708-0.52%1.189-13.72%0.0535✗1.282.4M2022-08-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.12670.126049-0.51%0.2159+70.40%0.7064✗1.10617k2022-08-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16840.167654-0.44%0.1447-14.07%0.0439✗1.25446k2022-08-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.456777-0.42%0.3499-23.72%0.0409✓1.47242k2022-08-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.60e-73.59e-7-0.41%8.65e-7+140.30%1.0264✗0.95188k2022-08-29
AAVEAaveEthereum95.2694.9298-0.35%85.76-9.97%0.1536✗1.6610.0M2022-08-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11790.117508-0.33%0.1045-11.37%0.0458✗1.06337k2022-08-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3381.3345-0.26%0.987-26.23%0.1114✓1.241.2M2022-08-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031720.003167-0.16%0.003238+2.08%0.1774✗1.01999k2022-08-29
XTZTezosTezos1.81721.8146-0.15%1.5357-15.49%0.0259✗1.26492k2022-08-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12710.127016-0.07%0.101-20.54%0.0772✓0.995,2722022-08-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.792642-0.05%0.698-11.98%0.0619✗1.23210k2022-08-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.821.8194-0.03%1.768-2.86%0.0688✗0.64219k2022-08-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7660.766229+0.03%0.672-12.27%0.0200✓0.99360k2022-08-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047250.047265+0.03%0.04816+1.93%0.1569✓0.9015k2022-08-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0348.0382+0.05%6.015-25.13%0.1250✗1.082.3M2022-08-29
BANDBandEthereum1.7951.7969+0.11%1.263-29.64%0.1309✗1.45316k2022-08-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05860.05867+0.12%0.0491-16.21%0.0217✓1.30787k2022-08-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0578340.057933+0.17%0.044446-23.15%0.1730✗0.6022k2022-08-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.317750.318482+0.23%0.30106-5.25%0.1451✓1.3111k2022-08-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21860.219115+0.24%0.1725-21.09%0.0256✗1.391,0652022-08-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166140.16671+0.34%0.13956-16.00%0.0595✓1.55207k2022-08-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,608.2024,697.11+0.36%20,303.80-17.49%0.0456✗0.9817k2022-08-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043020.043214+0.45%0.03792-11.85%0.0171✓0.961,9372022-08-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3487630.350469+0.49%0.305285-12.47%0.0626✓1.311.0M2022-08-29
FTTFTXEthereum31.1131.2748+0.53%27.34-12.12%0.0116✓0.9510.8M2022-08-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.257916+0.55%0.2484-3.16%0.1277✓1.0863k2022-08-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.6863.0411+0.58%54.194-13.54%0.0216✗0.84386k2022-08-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0221980.02233+0.59%0.020994-5.42%0.0884✓0.989,2332022-08-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029780.02996+0.60%0.03677+23.47%0.3950✓1.2414k2022-08-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.431880.434656+0.64%0.33586-22.23%0.0443✗1.39583k2022-08-29
DIADIAEthereum0.461420.464396+0.65%0.3855-16.45%0.0660✗0.7857k2022-08-29
MANADecentralandEthereum1.00881.0155+0.66%0.79536-21.16%0.0420✗1.32431k2022-08-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13140.132306+0.69%0.123-6.39%0.1240✓1.2850k2022-08-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59140.59619+0.81%0.523-11.57%0.0465✓1.16624k2022-08-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.263336+0.82%0.2615+0.11%0.0052✓0.0129k2022-08-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9878+0.94%2.856-3.51%0.1256✓1.11619k2022-08-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,698.011,714.45+0.97%1,551.65-8.62%0.0931✓1.26387.0M2022-08-29
STEEMSteemnative0.25120.253904+1.08%0.2257-10.15%0.0561✓1.13681k2022-08-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029750.030082+1.12%0.02554-14.15%0.0374✓1.311,3342022-08-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.218491+1.15%0.174-19.44%0.0042✓1.51786k2022-08-29
XECeCashnative0.000044180.000044702+1.18%0.00004993+13.01%0.2881✓1.161.9M2022-08-29
ADACardanoCardano0.52670.532994+1.20%0.4505-14.47%0.0233✓1.2543.2M2022-08-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090580.091896+1.45%0.08429-6.94%0.0443✗0.27985k2022-08-29
XMRMoneroMonero155.85158.2237+1.52%152.71-2.01%0.1337✓1.101.3M2022-08-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1196680.121709+1.71%0.105918-11.49%0.0133✓0.996.8M2022-08-29
FLOWFlownative1.9231.9587+1.86%1.919-0.21%0.1748✓1.27413k2022-08-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.78e-7+1.88%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0478✓1.0024k2022-08-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.405530.413293+1.91%0.3476-14.29%0.0123✓1.21118k2022-08-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.9184+2.04%2.15-24.83%0.0718✗1.52192k2022-08-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31650.323152+2.10%0.291-8.06%0.0771✓1.192.9M2022-08-29
SCSiacoinnative0.004370.004462+2.11%0.00407-6.86%0.1099✓1.32103k2022-08-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009610.009816+2.14%0.00891-7.28%0.0516✓0.974.7M2022-08-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3090.315709+2.17%0.283-8.41%0.0501✓1.04766k2022-08-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24350.248997+2.26%0.2102-13.68%0.0194✓1.23101k2022-08-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23560.241157+2.36%0.2219-5.81%0.1444✓1.4892k2022-08-29
BTTCBTTC9.40e-79.62e-7+2.39%8.90e-7-5.32%0.0494✓0.836.0M2022-08-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43120.441683+2.43%0.3664-15.03%0.0167✓1.33104k2022-08-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8020.822337+2.54%0.553-31.05%0.1679✗1.4980k2022-08-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.10980.112673+2.62%0.0924-15.85%0.0007✓1.30491k2022-08-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28810.295649+2.62%0.3223+11.87%0.2607✓1.1475k2022-08-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02150.022066+2.63%0.02336+8.65%0.2155✓1.03149k2022-08-29
XVGVergenative0.003630.003733+2.85%0.00301-17.08%0.0151✓1.31566k2022-08-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.25462.3234+3.05%1.8412-18.34%0.0434✗1.2324k2022-08-29
TRXTRONTron0.0690340.071244+3.20%0.063437-8.11%0.0020✓0.77376k2022-08-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.47150.1462+3.21%119.61-17.78%0.0449✗1.193.9M2022-08-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3380.348878+3.22%0.2981-11.80%0.0161✓1.137.7M2022-08-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14570.150857+3.54%0.1306-10.36%0.0068✓0.983.5M2022-08-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0695750.0721+3.63%0.063828-8.26%0.0539✓1.151.7M2022-08-29
DASHDashDash50.7152.5875+3.70%47.46-6.41%0.0672✓1.11574k2022-08-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04520.046889+3.74%0.0373-17.48%0.0234✓1.347,5232022-08-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,650.1324,537.62+3.75%20,286.97-14.22%0.0368✓1.00427.9M2022-08-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.2128.5253+3.82%7.276-11.40%0.0322✓1.249.4M2022-08-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06710.069981+4.29%0.0617-8.05%0.0390✓1.08351k2022-08-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069720.007272+4.31%0.006696-3.96%0.0000✓0.5439k2022-08-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.4763.1949+4.51%55.79-7.74%0.0527✓1.1613.5M2022-08-29
NANOnanopayBase1.01461.0608+4.56%0.918733-9.44%0.0035✓0.9658k2022-08-29
KCSKuCoinnative10.18310.6645+4.73%9.1-10.64%0.0076✓1.082.6M2022-08-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.14191.1972+4.84%1.0621-6.99%0.0435✓1.0643k2022-08-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4672.5891+4.95%4.203+70.37%0.6255✓0.92105k2022-08-29
ZENHorizenBase17.7218.621+5.08%16.44-7.22%0.0861✓1.37108k2022-08-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.067439+5.21%0.0576-10.14%0.0567✓1.40339k2022-08-29
GTGateEthereum4.44444.6876+5.47%4.397-1.07%0.0476✓0.73947k2022-08-29
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7240.765231+5.69%0.989+36.60%0.4433✓1.22776k2022-08-29
ZECZcashZcash65.1368.8582+5.72%63.75-2.12%0.1153✓1.251.5M2022-08-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0780.082465+5.72%0.1032+32.31%0.3508✓0.82148k2022-08-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.570.603292+5.84%0.4607-19.18%0.0951✗1.14350k2022-08-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.14780.156468+5.86%0.148+0.14%0.1349✓1.2488k2022-08-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.05570.058976+5.88%0.0525-5.75%0.1034✓1.43140k2022-08-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.32150.341544+6.23%0.36085+12.24%0.2342✓1.17400k2022-08-29
STXStacksnative0.43030.458453+6.54%0.3701-13.99%0.0230✓1.25613k2022-08-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08740.093127+6.55%0.0843-3.55%0.0866✓1.216,3652022-08-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016440.001754+6.69%0.001529-7.00%0.0199✓1.0216k2022-08-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05165.3997+6.89%5.2836+4.59%0.0107✓0.21210k2022-08-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.009689+7.54%0.00649-27.97%0.2602✗0.921.6M2022-08-29
PROPropyEthereum0.750.809584+7.94%0.74-1.33%0.0031✓0.6179k2022-08-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061490.00683+11.08%0.005874-4.47%0.0130✓0.909,1592022-08-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.