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2022-07-30 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1358
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.34%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
32.6%
in alpha space · 53.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.45%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0331.2132-2.55%26.37-17.67%0.1485✓1.38563k2022-07-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084940.083261-1.98%0.08402-1.08%0.0309✗1.50768k2022-07-31
OPTIMOptimism1.8091.7749-1.88%1.583-12.49%0.0857✓1.971.3M2022-07-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,772.2011,560.39-1.80%10,863.90-7.72%0.0419✓1.394.0M2022-07-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0347.8936-1.75%9.789+21.84%0.2309✗1.082.3M2022-07-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.08973.0399-1.61%3.0397-1.62%0.0129✓0.891.1M2022-07-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0591.0432-1.50%0.986-6.89%0.0462✓0.691.3M2022-07-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3195.2415-1.46%4.72-11.26%0.0968✓0.552.0M2022-07-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.4838.9321-1.39%36.5-7.55%0.0440✓1.412.8M2022-07-31
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1871.1706-1.38%1.0822-8.83%0.0580✓1.401.4M2022-07-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.22930.226201-1.35%0.227-1.00%0.0235✗1.371,5612022-07-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.527-1.13%5.75+2.86%0.0485✗0.62956k2022-07-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.033190.03282-1.12%0.03423+3.13%0.0643✗1.5311.5M2022-07-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010270.010156-1.11%0.0096-6.52%0.0379✓1.26355k2022-07-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11121.0989-1.11%1.0792-2.89%0.0031✓1.0313k2022-07-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.9742-1.06%7.77-3.60%0.0061✓1.36256k2022-07-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.611.4872-0.97%11.52-0.69%0.0206✗1.21241k2022-07-31
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97430.965151-0.94%0.9266-4.90%0.0169✓1.64202k2022-07-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1917.0415-0.86%21.07+22.57%0.2250✗0.882.2M2022-07-31
XVSVenusEthereum6.766.7019-0.86%6.38-5.62%0.0289✓1.391.0M2022-07-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.494-0.79%4.79+5.74%0.0742✗0.71912k2022-07-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8840.877103-0.78%0.861-2.60%0.0066✓1.725.2M2022-07-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0208760.020714-0.78%0.021381+2.42%0.0392✗0.52167k2022-07-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.159.0796-0.77%9.1-0.55%0.0099✗0.531.2M2022-07-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.645.5972-0.76%5.68+0.71%0.0244✗0.66554k2022-07-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2788.2154-0.76%8.978+8.46%0.1070✗1.255.9M2022-07-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.3921-0.74%2.59+7.47%0.0953✗1.08207k2022-07-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5710.566768-0.74%0.565-1.05%0.0174✗1.40234k2022-07-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.1218.9794-0.74%18.06-5.54%0.0300✓1.341.3M2022-07-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83142.8106-0.74%2.7752-1.98%0.0014✓0.77978k2022-07-31
API3Api3Ethereum1.9311.9172-0.72%1.948+0.88%0.0345✗1.27637k2022-07-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.7614.6547-0.71%14.33-2.91%0.0016✓1.421.7M2022-07-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9661.9524-0.69%1.981+0.76%0.0353✗1.42234k2022-07-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13190.131007-0.68%0.128-2.96%0.0032✓1.372.5M2022-07-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3781.3687-0.67%1.38+0.15%0.0268✗1.282.4M2022-07-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.840.834371-0.67%0.875+4.17%0.0693✗1.493,1392022-07-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8162.7974-0.66%3.1688+12.53%0.1476✗1.5711k2022-07-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.29690.294939-0.66%0.294-0.98%0.0134✗1.13309k2022-07-31
QNTQuantEthereum106.35105.6483-0.66%102.61-3.52%0.0144✓1.014.2M2022-07-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156130.015513-0.64%0.015954+2.18%0.0409✗0.881.2M2022-07-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8042.7862-0.63%2.873+2.46%0.0515✗1.4243k2022-07-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7493.7253-0.63%3.679-1.87%0.0039✓0.591.5M2022-07-31
QTUMQtumQtum4.32124.2943-0.62%4.0689-5.84%0.0380✓1.0933k2022-07-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.71372.6971-0.61%2.7236+0.36%0.0240✗0.981.0M2022-07-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016440.001634-0.61%0.001751+6.51%0.0841✗1.0216k2022-07-31
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.727-0.60%8.327-5.16%0.0265✓1.407.7M2022-07-31
MANADecentralandEthereum1.00881.0028-0.60%0.97648-3.21%0.0073✓1.32431k2022-07-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21860.217293-0.60%0.207-5.31%0.0282✓1.391,0652022-07-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6843.6621-0.60%3.71+0.71%0.0236✗0.721.1M2022-07-31
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.432612-0.59%0.3858-11.35%0.1014✓0.902142022-07-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6473.6254-0.59%3.563-2.30%0.0078✗1.734.3M2022-07-31
CBKCobakEthereum1.04951.0434-0.59%1.1203+6.74%0.0872✗1.109,9742022-07-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6270.62335-0.58%0.614-2.07%0.0053✓1.4086k2022-07-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098120.000097551-0.58%0.00009807-0.05%0.0336✗1.94635k2022-07-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7913.7693-0.57%3.811+0.53%0.0240✗0.89754k2022-07-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.081650.08119-0.56%0.0836+2.39%0.0489✗1.3528k2022-07-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.788648-0.55%0.773-2.52%0.0021✓1.23210k2022-07-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8020.797607-0.55%0.8-0.25%0.0248✗1.4980k2022-07-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.5070.504232-0.55%0.5044-0.51%0.0167✗1.1245k2022-07-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3487630.346873-0.54%0.388402+11.37%0.1322✗1.311.0M2022-07-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.192340.191312-0.53%0.19423+0.98%0.0490✗2.321,1512022-07-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166140.165261-0.53%0.16605-0.05%0.0273✗1.55207k2022-07-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0720.071621-0.53%0.0669-7.08%0.0542✓0.96183k2022-07-31
XEMNEMnative0.049120.048862-0.53%0.049408+0.59%0.0285✗1.1935k2022-07-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16840.167522-0.52%0.1674-0.59%0.0175✗1.25446k2022-07-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0221980.022085-0.51%0.022614+1.87%0.0380✗0.989,2332022-07-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.45638-0.51%0.464+1.16%0.0380✗1.47242k2022-07-31
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.170143-0.50%0.1732+1.29%0.0361✗1.263.1M2022-07-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8461-0.49%3.2+11.89%0.1394✗1.52192k2022-07-31
BANDBandEthereum1.7951.7863-0.48%1.681-6.35%0.0397✓1.45316k2022-07-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8237.7855-0.48%7.66-2.08%0.0022✓1.2616.2M2022-07-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.317750.316238-0.48%0.32317+1.71%0.0408✗1.3111k2022-07-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.12670.126099-0.47%0.1219-3.79%0.0179✓1.10617k2022-07-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.511.5029-0.47%1.54+1.99%0.0276✗0.22268k2022-07-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7110.6597-0.47%10.357-3.30%0.0088✓1.3715.0M2022-07-31
NANOnanopayBase1.01461.0098-0.47%1.0136-0.09%0.0178✗0.9658k2022-07-31
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6976.6664-0.46%6.733+0.54%0.0352✗1.7311.0M2022-07-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06710.066794-0.46%0.0678+1.04%0.0306✗1.08351k2022-07-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95050.946178-0.45%0.9212-3.08%0.0137✓0.893.6M2022-07-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43120.429242-0.45%0.4187-2.90%0.0055✓1.33104k2022-07-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.035.0072-0.45%5.07+0.80%0.0214✗0.61605k2022-07-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5050.50273-0.45%0.528+4.55%0.0658✗1.1513k2022-07-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.821.8118-0.45%1.793-1.48%0.0012✓0.64219k2022-07-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3282.3176-0.45%2.503+7.52%0.0976✗1.42169k2022-07-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011930.000011877-0.45%0.00001172-1.76%0.0047✗1.23951k2022-07-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0023420.002332-0.45%0.002497+6.62%0.0832✗1.001.8M2022-07-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.980.975649-0.44%0.9949+1.52%0.0366✗1.171.2M2022-07-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0578340.057578-0.44%0.057068-1.32%0.0001✓0.6022k2022-07-31
HIVEHivenative0.52750.525175-0.44%0.5301+0.49%0.0262✗1.161.4M2022-07-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2524.144-0.44%23.75-2.06%0.0068✗1.6027.5M2022-07-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.58661.5798-0.43%1.5422-2.80%0.0030✓1.44609k2022-07-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6329-0.43%1.69+3.05%0.0544✗1.37114k2022-07-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077850.077514-0.43%0.08091+3.93%0.0536✗0.741,1722022-07-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03850.038337-0.42%0.0386+0.26%0.0246✗1.2268k2022-07-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.088934-0.41%0.0884-1.01%0.0111✗1.18155k2022-07-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05350.053281-0.41%0.0542+1.31%0.0355✗1.26263k2022-07-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.244.2228-0.41%4.198-0.99%0.0027✓0.591.3M2022-07-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.491.484-0.40%1.44-3.36%0.0091✓1.441.1M2022-07-31
DIADIAEthereum0.461420.459579-0.40%0.462+0.13%0.0167✗0.7857k2022-07-31
METISMetisEthereum34.4934.3538-0.40%34.61+0.35%0.0359✗1.95213k2022-07-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009610.009573-0.39%0.01031+7.28%0.0883✗0.974.7M2022-07-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043020.042854-0.39%0.04419+2.72%0.0448✗0.961,9372022-07-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.9760.972227-0.39%0.955-2.15%0.0079✗1.77513k2022-07-31
SOLSolanaSolana43.8443.6753-0.38%42.38-3.33%0.0103✓1.3681.8M2022-07-31
MOVRMoonriverBase14.700814.6469-0.37%14.8335+0.90%0.0299✗1.1870k2022-07-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.676430.673952-0.37%0.68545+1.33%0.0390✗1.5181k2022-07-31
COMPCompoundEthereum58.2358.0182-0.36%57.04-2.04%0.0033✓1.3932k2022-07-31
XTZTezosTezos1.81721.8106-0.36%1.7408-4.20%0.0210✓1.26492k2022-07-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010970.001093-0.36%0.001087-0.94%0.0129✗1.281.5M2022-07-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59140.5893-0.36%0.6248+5.65%0.0754✗1.16624k2022-07-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.57e-7-0.35%9.70e-7+1.04%0.0284✗1.0024k2022-07-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047250.047087-0.35%0.04906+3.83%0.0542✗0.9015k2022-07-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.255617-0.34%0.2633+2.65%0.0453✗1.0863k2022-07-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9498-0.34%2.87-3.04%0.0112✓1.11619k2022-07-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14570.145201-0.34%0.1437-1.37%0.0040✗0.983.5M2022-07-31
KSMKusamaHydration63.162.8845-0.34%63.8+1.11%0.0318✗1.19257k2022-07-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7660.763401-0.34%0.762-0.52%0.0126✗0.99360k2022-07-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05860.058402-0.34%0.0587+0.17%0.0241✗1.30787k2022-07-31
FLOWFlownative1.9231.9165-0.34%1.924+0.05%0.0225✗1.27413k2022-07-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35861.3542-0.32%1.3179-3.00%0.0053✓1.506.4M2022-07-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090580.090289-0.32%0.09625+6.26%0.0679✗0.27985k2022-07-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31650.315498-0.32%0.3175+0.32%0.0236✗1.192.9M2022-07-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3090.308022-0.32%0.342+10.68%0.1198✗1.04766k2022-07-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.60e-73.59e-7-0.31%3.41e-7-5.21%0.0365✓0.95188k2022-07-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02150.021433-0.31%0.02121-1.35%0.0046✗1.03149k2022-07-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018670.018612-0.31%0.01841-1.39%0.0002✓0.76254k2022-07-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.431880.43055-0.31%0.42666-1.21%0.0112✗1.39583k2022-07-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12710.126718-0.30%0.1284+1.02%0.0276✗0.995,2722022-07-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0695750.069367-0.30%0.06814-2.06%0.0011✓1.151.7M2022-07-31
AAVEAaveEthereum95.2694.9804-0.29%97.63+2.49%0.0518✗1.6610.0M2022-07-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6272.6193-0.29%2.597-1.14%0.0171✗1.7692k2022-07-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11790.117557-0.29%0.1207+2.37%0.0419✗1.06337k2022-07-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.10980.10949-0.28%0.1096-0.18%0.0199✗1.30491k2022-07-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.181-0.28%3.39+6.27%0.0709✗0.5077k2022-07-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,608.2024,540.15-0.28%23,400.00-4.91%0.0333✓0.9817k2022-07-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029750.029668-0.28%0.03056+2.72%0.0488✗1.311,3342022-07-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.21541-0.27%0.214-0.93%0.0155✗1.51786k2022-07-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13140.131047-0.27%0.1356+3.20%0.0529✗1.2850k2022-07-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004370.004358-0.27%0.00456+4.35%0.0645✗1.32103k2022-07-31
ZECZcashZcash65.1364.9566-0.27%64.39-1.14%0.0095✗1.251.5M2022-07-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.05570.055552-0.26%0.057+2.33%0.0466✗1.43140k2022-07-31
FTTFTXEthereum31.1131.0285-0.26%30.39-2.31%0.0069✓0.9510.8M2022-07-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029780.029705-0.25%0.03029+1.71%0.0376✗1.2414k2022-07-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.25462.2492-0.24%2.1962-2.59%0.0058✓1.2324k2022-07-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23560.235038-0.24%0.2339-0.72%0.0168✗1.4892k2022-07-31
STEEMSteemnative0.25120.250601-0.24%0.2563+2.03%0.0390✗1.13681k2022-07-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.6862.5327-0.23%61.179-2.39%0.0096✓0.84386k2022-07-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,698.011,694.04-0.23%1,679.31-1.10%0.0096✗1.26387.0M2022-07-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.063951-0.23%0.0629-1.87%0.0038✗1.40339k2022-07-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.570.568697-0.23%0.5627-1.28%0.0060✗1.14350k2022-07-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031720.003165-0.23%0.003129-1.36%0.0034✗1.01999k2022-07-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260606-0.23%0.2612+0.00%0.0024✗0.0129k2022-07-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28810.28746-0.22%0.3059+6.18%0.0788✗1.1475k2022-07-31
XMRMoneroMonero155.85155.5056-0.22%155.01-0.54%0.0129✗1.101.3M2022-07-31
TRXTRONTron0.0690340.068887-0.21%0.068934-0.14%0.0119✗0.77376k2022-07-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1196680.119416-0.21%0.117624-1.71%0.0006✓0.996.8M2022-07-31
XECeCashnative0.000044180.000044087-0.21%0.00004384-0.77%0.0113✗1.161.9M2022-07-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.14191.1396-0.21%1.1785+3.21%0.0492✗1.0643k2022-07-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.405530.404704-0.20%0.40065-1.20%0.0076✗1.21118k2022-07-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24350.243006-0.20%0.2499+2.63%0.0459✗1.23101k2022-07-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069720.006958-0.19%0.00677-2.90%0.0196✓0.5439k2022-07-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3380.33735-0.19%0.3361-0.56%0.0128✗1.137.7M2022-07-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.2128.1965-0.19%8.633+5.13%0.0700✗1.249.4M2022-07-31
STXStacksnative0.43030.4295-0.19%0.4389+2.00%0.0398✗1.25613k2022-07-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,650.1323,607.35-0.18%23,307.44-1.45%0.0018✓1.00427.9M2022-07-31
KCSKuCoinnative10.18310.1651-0.18%10.05-1.31%0.0044✗1.082.6M2022-07-31
ADACardanoCardano0.52670.525777-0.18%0.5165-1.94%0.0004✓1.2543.2M2022-07-31
BTTCBTTC9.40e-79.38e-7-0.17%9.80e-7+4.26%0.0555✗0.836.0M2022-07-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3381.3358-0.17%1.308-2.24%0.0029✓1.241.2M2022-07-31
ZENHorizenBase17.7217.6909-0.16%18.95+6.94%0.0888✗1.37108k2022-07-31
GTGateEthereum4.44444.4373-0.16%4.4515+0.16%0.0138✗0.73947k2022-07-31
SGBSongbirdnative0.02580.025759-0.16%0.0262+1.55%0.0245✗0.5143k2022-07-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.32150.320992-0.16%0.31269-2.74%0.0092✓1.17400k2022-07-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7240.722956-0.14%0.71-1.93%0.0003✓1.22776k2022-07-31
XVGVergenative0.003630.003625-0.14%0.00371+2.20%0.0423✗1.31566k2022-07-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.47145.2634-0.14%139.37-4.19%0.0240✓1.193.9M2022-07-31
DASHDashDash50.7150.6386-0.14%51.17+0.91%0.0266✗1.11574k2022-07-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04520.04514-0.13%0.048+6.19%0.0810✗1.347,5232022-07-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.4760.3903-0.13%59.76-1.17%0.0064✗1.1613.5M2022-07-31
PROPropyEthereum0.750.749142-0.11%0.76+1.33%0.0232✗0.6179k2022-07-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.14780.147633-0.11%0.1508+2.03%0.0394✗1.2488k2022-07-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4672.4643-0.11%2.366-4.09%0.0273✓0.92105k2022-07-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08740.087307-0.11%0.0967+10.64%0.1199✗1.216,3652022-07-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061490.006143-0.10%0.006284+2.19%0.0357✗0.909,1592022-07-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0780.077939-0.08%0.0716-8.21%0.0728✓0.82148k2022-07-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.009003-0.07%0.0091+1.00%0.0241✗0.921.6M2022-07-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05165.0534+0.04%5.0103-0.82%0.0055✗0.21210k2022-07-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.