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2022-07-29 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2403
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.5%
in alpha space · 47.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062090.006908+11.26%0.005519-11.11%0.0507✓0.897,2112022-08-28
PROPropyEthereum0.790.849832+7.57%0.73-7.59%0.0334✓0.6179k2022-08-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.00959+7.51%0.00642-28.03%0.2225✗0.911.6M2022-08-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0870.093402+7.36%0.0792-8.97%0.0727✓1.216,3652022-08-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.315140.338216+7.32%0.36389+15.47%0.3018✓1.17407k2022-08-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9666.3625+6.65%5.639-5.48%0.0913✓1.082.1M2022-08-28
STXStacksnative0.43040.458524+6.53%0.3529-18.01%0.0173✓1.25606k2022-08-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7150.761153+6.45%0.916+28.11%0.4221✓1.21806k2022-08-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06260.06658+6.36%0.0582-7.03%0.1401✓1.40339k2022-08-28
ZECZcashZcash63.567.4851+6.28%61.17-3.67%0.1493✓1.261.5M2022-08-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14940.158717+6.24%0.1396-6.56%0.1151✓1.2488k2022-08-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.058286+6.17%0.0493-10.20%0.1150✓1.44119k2022-08-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56510.59877+5.96%0.4349-23.04%0.0969✗1.14350k2022-08-28
GTGateEthereum4.39224.6507+5.89%4.3228-1.58%0.0686✓0.72986k2022-08-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015070.001595+5.81%0.001503-0.27%0.1383✓1.0116k2022-08-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17315.4715+5.77%5.175+0.04%0.0151✓0.21210k2022-08-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07950.084061+5.74%0.0981+23.40%0.3165✓0.83148k2022-08-28
KCSKuCoinnative10.19710.7033+4.96%8.816-13.54%0.0186✓1.092.6M2022-08-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.12781.1832+4.92%1.0384-7.92%0.0780✓1.0643k2022-08-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5372.6576+4.75%4.106+61.84%0.6157✓0.92105k2022-08-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13520.141484+4.65%0.1202-11.09%0.0317✓0.993.5M2022-08-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.7163.4273+4.48%53.38-12.07%0.0542✓1.1613.5M2022-08-28
ZENHorizenBase18.1318.9304+4.42%14.8-18.37%0.0238✓1.38108k2022-08-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069910.007297+4.37%0.006708-4.05%0.0202✓0.5339k2022-08-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9929391.0359+4.32%0.862501-13.14%0.0064✓0.9758k2022-08-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.1868.5346+4.26%6.861-16.19%0.0262✓1.259.4M2022-08-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,784.5024,776.57+4.17%19,554.03-17.79%0.0409✗1.00439.9M2022-08-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06920.071947+3.97%0.0604-12.72%0.0341✓1.07308k2022-08-28
DASHDashDash50.6152.494+3.72%44.14-12.78%0.0448✓1.11594k2022-08-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33680.348962+3.61%0.2823-16.18%0.0105✓1.147.7M2022-08-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7710.797884+3.49%0.525-31.91%0.1251✗1.5080k2022-08-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.04739+3.47%0.0357-22.05%0.0210✓1.347,1312022-08-28
TRXTRONTron0.0692960.071687+3.45%0.061392-11.41%0.0009✓0.79376k2022-08-28
SGBSongbirdnative0.02610.026987+3.40%0.025-4.21%0.0236✓0.5143k2022-08-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0689470.071192+3.26%0.06175-10.44%0.0827✓1.151.7M2022-08-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021770.022459+3.17%0.02214+1.70%0.1881✓1.03149k2022-08-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.10810.111485+3.13%0.0854-21.00%0.0106✓1.31491k2022-08-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.312007+2.97%0.275-9.24%0.0774✓1.04766k2022-08-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42260.434791+2.88%0.34-19.55%0.0161✓1.34104k2022-08-28
XVGVergenative0.003660.003764+2.83%0.00289-21.04%0.0078✓1.31539k2022-08-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3090.316977+2.58%0.2731-11.62%0.0833✓1.192.8M2022-08-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29210.299498+2.53%0.3044+4.21%0.2384✓1.1375k2022-08-28
FLOWFlownative1.8661.912+2.47%1.692-9.32%0.1273✓1.27382k2022-08-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009410.009641+2.45%0.00848-9.88%0.0619✓0.974.7M2022-08-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24430.250181+2.41%0.2024-17.15%0.0288✓1.23101k2022-08-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.905199+2.40%0.84-4.98%0.0634✓0.711.3M2022-08-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.28132.3355+2.38%1.7152-24.81%0.0660✗1.2424k2022-08-28
BANDBandEthereum1.6741.7126+2.30%1.192-28.79%0.0787✗1.45316k2022-08-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23720.242656+2.30%0.2134-10.03%0.1612✓1.4892k2022-08-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.82e-7+2.30%8.60e-7-10.42%0.0631✓1.0025k2022-08-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004390.004489+2.27%0.00393-10.48%0.1247✓1.32103k2022-08-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash151.84155.2022+2.21%112.59-25.85%0.0880✗1.193.9M2022-08-28
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.71e-7+2.19%8.50e-7-10.53%0.0308✓0.845.9M2022-08-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1177330.120296+2.18%0.102736-12.74%0.0372✓1.006.8M2022-08-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.256632+2.00%0.2362-6.12%0.1282✓1.0863k2022-08-28
ADACardanoCardano0.52220.531392+1.76%0.4291-17.83%0.0311✓1.2543.2M2022-08-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09350.0951+1.71%0.08638-7.61%0.0444✗0.26910k2022-08-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,827.5024,218.96+1.64%19,646.40-17.55%0.0176✗0.9819k2022-08-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3311780.336549+1.62%0.291277-12.05%0.1091✓1.291.0M2022-08-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.971150.98629+1.56%0.74832-22.94%0.0164✗1.33431k2022-08-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043230.043882+1.51%0.03732-13.67%0.0256✓0.962,4262022-08-28
STEEMSteemnative0.24760.251302+1.50%0.2183-11.83%0.0825✓1.14643k2022-08-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.265329+1.46%0.261-0.19%0.0142✓0.0130k2022-08-28
XECeCashnative0.000044990.000045644+1.45%0.00004676+3.93%0.2526✓1.171.8M2022-08-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408430.414114+1.39%0.32806-19.68%0.0048✓1.21118k2022-08-28
XTZTezosTezos1.70931.732+1.33%1.426-16.57%0.0513✓1.25492k2022-08-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05580.056481+1.22%0.0455-18.46%0.0387✓1.30787k2022-08-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12980.131376+1.21%0.1184-8.78%0.1475✓1.2849k2022-08-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,722.251,742.60+1.18%1,426.63-17.16%0.0465✓1.26387.0M2022-08-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029850.030199+1.17%0.03552+18.99%0.4063✓1.2514k2022-08-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021890.022146+1.17%0.020386-6.87%0.1091✓0.989,0542022-08-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.429780.434737+1.15%0.31363-27.03%0.0535✗1.39592k2022-08-28
XMRMoneroMonero160.25161.9815+1.08%146.4-8.64%0.1136✓1.101.3M2022-08-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.217029+0.94%0.164-23.72%0.0155✓1.51786k2022-08-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.760.7668+0.89%0.645-15.13%0.0695✓1.24205k2022-08-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0561280.056588+0.82%0.044396-20.90%0.1240✗0.6120k2022-08-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.9682.9891+0.71%2.607-12.16%0.0809✓1.11619k2022-08-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.972.9899+0.67%1.95-34.34%0.1287✗1.53192k2022-08-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.320010.321571+0.49%0.29294-8.46%0.1638✓1.3111k2022-08-28
FTTFTXEthereum31.0931.2383+0.48%25.35-18.46%0.0221✗0.9510.8M2022-08-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.59e-7+0.41%7.78e-7+117.71%0.9583✓0.94193k2022-08-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7630.765506+0.33%0.631-17.30%0.0002✓0.99360k2022-08-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047210.047351+0.30%0.04418-6.42%0.1072✓0.9015k2022-08-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11720.117364+0.14%0.1013-13.57%0.0614✓1.07352k2022-08-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV65.86965.9407+0.11%51.793-21.37%0.0756✗0.85398k2022-08-28
SOLSolanaSolana41.9441.9637+0.06%30.45-27.40%0.0540✗1.3681.8M2022-08-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16430.164383+0.05%0.1337-18.62%0.0390✓1.25411k2022-08-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.8611.8616+0.03%1.733-6.88%0.0517✓0.63223k2022-08-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003160.00316-0.02%0.002987-5.47%0.1406✗1.00999k2022-08-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150550.015047-0.05%0.013002-13.64%0.0271✗0.881.2M2022-08-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3491.3479-0.08%1.129-16.31%0.0709✗1.272.4M2022-08-28
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0611.0595-0.15%0.7744-27.01%0.0357✓1.421.4M2022-08-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2230.222469-0.24%0.1592-28.61%0.0620✓1.391,0652022-08-28
AAVEAaveEthereum95.695.3462-0.27%78.57-17.81%0.1318✗1.6610.0M2022-08-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3281.3242-0.29%0.9332-29.73%0.1070✓1.241.2M2022-08-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010830.001079-0.36%0.001346+24.25%0.4727✗1.291.6M2022-08-28
DIADIAEthereum0.485590.483739-0.38%0.36304-25.24%0.1350✓0.7855k2022-08-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.163.1421-0.57%2.33-26.27%0.2012✓0.5082k2022-08-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8877.8408-0.59%6.251-20.74%0.0205✗1.2616.2M2022-08-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1310.13008-0.70%0.0996-23.97%0.0729✓0.995,4502022-08-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011740.000011652-0.75%0.00001177+0.26%0.2523✗1.24951k2022-08-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62090.615768-0.83%0.4996-19.54%0.0189✗1.16624k2022-08-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.12920.128127-0.83%0.2102+62.69%0.7111✗1.10617k2022-08-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83212.8065-0.90%3.6555+29.07%0.4557✗0.98917k2022-08-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.1730.171425-0.91%0.13172-23.86%0.0384✗1.54207k2022-08-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.20330.201399-0.93%0.1381-32.07%0.1093✓1.371,5612022-08-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52130.516192-0.98%0.32-38.62%0.2823✓1.00234k2022-08-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47250.467507-1.06%0.3261-30.98%0.0718✓1.47220k2022-08-28
KSMKusamaHydration63.8763.1671-1.10%45.4-28.92%0.0984✓1.18257k2022-08-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4825-1.17%1.0043-33.05%0.1079✓1.441.0M2022-08-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.6403-1.19%1.23-25.90%0.0180✓1.38114k2022-08-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6030.59577-1.20%0.488-19.07%0.0746✗1.4084k2022-08-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61461.5948-1.22%1.6656+3.16%0.3228✗1.43609k2022-08-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08870.087553-1.29%0.0619-30.21%0.1131✓1.19155k2022-08-28
MOVRMoonriverBase14.214.0095-1.34%12.062-15.06%0.0816✗1.1870k2022-08-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.155.08-1.36%5.87+13.98%0.2643✗0.61587k2022-08-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7122.6751-1.36%1.828-32.60%0.0369✓1.7692k2022-08-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.8711.845-1.39%1.6-14.48%0.1065✗1.27626k2022-08-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.038257-1.40%0.0345-11.08%0.1354✗1.2268k2022-08-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.668590.659122-1.42%0.52437-21.57%0.0684✗1.5279k2022-08-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018940.018656-1.50%0.01478-21.96%0.0852✓0.75258k2022-08-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12730.125365-1.52%0.0992-22.07%0.0350✗1.372.5M2022-08-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.9840.968632-1.56%1.201+22.05%0.4445✗1.171.2M2022-08-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8033.7341-1.81%3.998+5.13%0.2062✗0.70670k2022-08-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.2617.921-1.86%13.16-27.93%0.0435✓1.351.3M2022-08-28
FISStafiEthereum0.40.392458-1.89%–pending––0.922142022-08-28
METISMetisEthereum36.7236.0003-1.96%29.26-20.32%0.1714✗1.93194k2022-08-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49820.488041-2.04%0.3673-26.27%0.0645✓1.1242k2022-08-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.034050.033354-2.04%0.0242-28.93%0.0643✓1.311,3182022-08-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.053649-2.10%0.0419-23.54%0.0051✓1.24263k2022-08-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8513.7649-2.24%3.876+0.65%0.2016✗0.88754k2022-08-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.019090.01866-2.25%0.022963+20.29%0.3040✗0.49165k2022-08-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4394.3359-2.32%12.382+178.94%1.1639✗0.591.2M2022-08-28
COMPCompoundEthereum58.6957.1879-2.56%43.85-25.29%0.0060✓1.3928k2022-08-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.065666-2.57%0.0554-17.80%0.0177✓0.96183k2022-08-28
XEMNEMnative0.0497230.048408-2.65%0.042995-13.53%0.1140✗1.1935k2022-08-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077660.075596-2.66%0.06712-13.57%0.0253✓0.741,2712022-08-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.659.376-2.84%8.09-16.17%0.0449✓0.521.0M2022-08-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8482.7593-3.11%1.944-31.74%0.0713✓1.4243k2022-08-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.955.7638-3.13%6.04+1.51%0.1769✗0.66554k2022-08-28
CBKCobakEthereum1.04531.0119-3.20%0.84626-19.04%0.0370✗1.109,6842022-08-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8613.7275-3.46%4.096+6.09%0.2108✗0.601.5M2022-08-28
HIVEHivenative0.53710.518031-3.55%0.5282-1.66%0.2463✗1.161.5M2022-08-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.067.7715-3.58%6.275-22.15%0.0317✓1.255.5M2022-08-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5123.627-3.60%18.53-24.40%0.0694✗1.5927.5M2022-08-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17110.7512-3.76%10.559-5.48%0.2497✗1.3715.1M2022-08-28
DODODODOEthereum0.17280.165918-3.98%0.1182-31.60%0.0918✓1.262.9M2022-08-28
APEApeCoinEthereum6.676.4019-4.02%4.649-30.30%0.0107✓1.6911.5M2022-08-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.5057-4.10%1.39-11.46%0.0320✓0.24268k2022-08-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95162.8293-4.14%5.4352+84.14%0.8043✗0.77941k2022-08-28
QTUMQtumQtum4.664.4662-4.16%2.9825-36.00%0.1894✓1.0932k2022-08-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.079620.0762-4.30%0.06229-21.77%0.0929✗1.50768k2022-08-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0531.9648-4.30%1.36-33.76%0.0878✓1.43220k2022-08-28
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02552.8857-4.62%2.0034-33.78%0.0569✓1.5711k2022-08-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.5211.9344-4.68%9.51-24.04%0.0110✓1.22241k2022-08-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5290.504162-4.70%0.412-22.12%0.0226✓1.1513k2022-08-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42951.3612-4.77%0.9934-30.51%0.0213✓1.506.1M2022-08-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18350.174729-4.78%0.15977-12.93%0.3649✗2.321,1272022-08-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029960.028519-4.81%0.02162-27.84%0.0229✓1.5311.5M2022-08-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6313.9052-4.95%11.33-22.56%0.0788✗1.451.6M2022-08-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.9820.932559-5.03%0.6463-34.19%0.0225✓1.76516k2022-08-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3862.264-5.11%1.511-36.67%0.1269✓1.42169k2022-08-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.694.4438-5.25%4.34-7.46%0.1161✗0.71759k2022-08-28
XVSVenusEthereum7.647.2321-5.34%4.82-36.91%0.1325✓1.401.0M2022-08-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97060.917679-5.45%0.9334-3.83%0.1927✗0.903.9M2022-08-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000990.000093133-5.93%0.0001251+26.36%0.6799✗1.96646k2022-08-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.622.462-6.03%2.08-20.61%0.0419✓1.07175k2022-08-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5214.2476-6.05%5.809+28.49%0.4196✗0.542.0M2022-08-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.834246-6.05%0.645-27.36%0.0806✗1.735.2M2022-08-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.088030.082459-6.33%0.06897-21.65%0.0829✗1.3428k2022-08-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.545.1772-6.55%5.16-6.86%0.1175✗0.62786k2022-08-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.4421.7727-7.11%37.2+58.70%0.8065✗1.38534k2022-08-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011340.010527-7.17%0.00825-27.25%0.0032✓1.26355k2022-08-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.043.7466-7.26%2.966-26.58%0.1063✗1.743.8M2022-08-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8330.772015-7.32%0.489-41.30%0.1663✓1.482,9182022-08-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.32080.297286-7.33%0.2638-17.77%0.1014✗1.13309k2022-08-28
UNIUniswapEthereum9.0858.4177-7.35%5.739-36.83%0.1091✓1.407.0M2022-08-28
QNTQuantEthereum106.2998.3124-7.51%92.31-13.15%0.1358✗1.024.2M2022-08-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4116.0792-7.64%16.67-4.25%0.2077✗0.882.4M2022-08-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11261.027-7.70%–pending––1.0412k2022-08-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.088.3495-8.05%7.2-20.70%0.1185✗1.36256k2022-08-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.3933.1054-8.48%5.5537+63.68%0.7550✗0.891.0M2022-08-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,870.279,924.84-8.70%8,473.37-22.05%0.1133✗1.394.0M2022-08-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.5336.9695-8.78%30.93-23.69%0.0980✗1.411.3M2022-08-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.96780.879382-9.14%0.7842-18.97%0.2050✗1.63205k2022-08-28
OPTIMOptimism1.8431.6208-12.06%1.054-42.81%0.0441✓1.971.1M2022-08-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.