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2022-07-29 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3769
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.59%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.1%
in alpha space · 58.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.56%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0870.087169+0.19%0.0874+0.46%0.0095✓1.216,3652022-07-30
KCSKuCoinnative10.19710.214+0.17%10.183-0.14%0.0031✓1.092.6M2022-07-30
TRXTRONTron0.0692960.069408+0.16%0.069034-0.38%0.0009✓0.79376k2022-07-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062090.006217+0.13%0.006149-0.97%0.0060✗0.897,2112022-07-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07950.079602+0.13%0.078-1.89%0.0156✗0.83148k2022-07-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045856+0.12%0.0452-1.31%0.0068✗1.347,1312022-07-30
NANOnanopayBase0.9929390.994125+0.12%1.0146+2.18%0.0258✓0.9758k2022-07-30
ZECZcashZcash63.563.5719+0.11%65.13+2.57%0.0314✓1.261.5M2022-07-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.315140.315454+0.10%0.3215+2.02%0.0256✓1.17407k2022-07-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0689470.069013+0.10%0.069575+0.91%0.0146✓1.151.7M2022-07-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9665.9709+0.08%8.034+34.66%0.3029✓1.082.1M2022-07-30
PROPropyEthereum0.790.790639+0.08%0.75-5.06%0.0493✗0.6179k2022-07-30
XTZTezosTezos1.70931.7106+0.07%1.8172+6.31%0.0676✓1.25492k2022-07-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.12781.1285+0.07%1.1419+1.26%0.0178✓1.0643k2022-07-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009410.009416+0.07%0.00961+2.13%0.0259✓0.974.7M2022-07-30
MOVRMoonriverBase14.214.2092+0.06%14.7008+3.53%0.0407✓1.1870k2022-07-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.054935+0.06%0.0557+1.46%0.0220✓1.44119k2022-07-30
XECeCashnative0.000044990.000045019+0.06%0.00004418-1.80%0.0122✗1.171.8M2022-07-30
XVGVergenative0.003660.003662+0.06%0.00363-0.82%0.0014✗1.31539k2022-07-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.10810.108164+0.06%0.1098+1.57%0.0224✓1.31491k2022-07-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.06260.062635+0.06%0.0641+2.40%0.0311✓1.40339k2022-07-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.760.760394+0.05%0.793+4.34%0.0490✓1.24205k2022-07-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17315.1758+0.05%5.0516-2.35%0.0231✗0.21210k2022-07-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.251729+0.05%0.2565+1.95%0.0249✓1.0863k2022-07-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6030.603287+0.05%0.627+3.98%0.0465✓1.4084k2022-07-30
FLOWFlownative1.8661.8669+0.05%1.923+3.05%0.0368✓1.27382k2022-07-30
GTGateEthereum4.39224.3942+0.05%4.4444+1.19%0.0155✓0.72986k2022-07-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1310.131047+0.04%0.1271-2.98%0.0250✗0.995,4502022-07-30
DASHDashDash50.6150.6236+0.03%50.71+0.20%0.0080✓1.11594k2022-07-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.215056+0.03%0.216+0.47%0.0129✓1.51786k2022-07-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004390.004391+0.02%0.00437-0.46%0.0027✓1.32103k2022-07-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,784.5023,789.62+0.02%23,650.13-0.56%0.0002✗1.00439.9M2022-07-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029850.029856+0.02%0.02978-0.23%0.0045✓1.2514k2022-07-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.303064+0.02%0.309+1.98%0.0253✓1.04766k2022-07-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.14940.149425+0.02%0.1478-1.07%0.0039✗1.2488k2022-07-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61461.6149+0.02%1.5866-1.73%0.0096✗1.43609k2022-07-30
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7150.715113+0.02%0.724+1.26%0.0192✓1.21806k2022-07-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24430.244333+0.01%0.2435-0.33%0.0035✓1.23101k2022-07-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.163.1603+0.01%3.19+0.95%0.0122✓0.5082k2022-07-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23720.237225+0.01%0.2356-0.67%0.0015✓1.4892k2022-07-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047210.047215+0.01%0.04725+0.08%0.0059✓0.9015k2022-07-30
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.50e-7+0.01%9.40e-7-1.05%0.0059✗0.845.9M2022-07-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011740.00001174+0.00%0.00001193+1.62%0.0230✓1.24951k2022-07-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.429780.429786+0.00%0.43188+0.49%0.0128✓1.39592k2022-07-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.971150.971148-0.00%1.0088+3.88%0.0456✗1.33431k2022-07-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.9682.968-0.00%2.96-0.27%0.0036✗1.11619k2022-07-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3281.328-0.00%1.338+0.75%0.0146✗1.241.2M2022-07-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408430.408418-0.00%0.40553-0.71%0.0002✓1.21118k2022-07-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7710.770978-0.00%0.802+4.02%0.0479✗1.5080k2022-07-30
SOLSolanaSolana41.9441.9386-0.00%43.84+4.53%0.0521✗1.3681.8M2022-07-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05580.055798-0.00%0.0586+5.02%0.0564✗1.30787k2022-07-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1177330.117727-0.01%0.119668+1.64%0.0220✗1.006.8M2022-07-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069910.006991-0.01%0.006972-0.27%0.0004✗0.5339k2022-07-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33680.336776-0.01%0.338+0.36%0.0101✗1.147.7M2022-07-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.7160.7054-0.01%60.47-0.40%0.0027✗1.1613.5M2022-07-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16430.164286-0.01%0.1684+2.50%0.0318✗1.25411k2022-07-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.6598-0.01%1.64-1.20%0.0042✓1.38114k2022-07-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003160.00316-0.01%0.003172+0.38%0.0096✗1.00999k2022-07-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3311780.331137-0.01%0.348763+5.31%0.0592✗1.291.0M2022-07-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3491.3488-0.02%1.378+2.15%0.0286✗1.272.4M2022-07-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11720.117176-0.02%0.1179+0.60%0.0122✗1.07352k2022-07-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150550.015051-0.02%0.015613+3.71%0.0416✗0.881.2M2022-07-30
STXStacksnative0.43040.430296-0.02%0.4303-0.02%0.0071✗1.25606k2022-07-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.008918-0.02%0.00901+1.01%0.0155✗0.911.6M2022-07-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.019090.019085-0.03%0.020876+9.36%0.0925✗0.49165k2022-07-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3090.308909-0.03%0.3165+2.43%0.0310✗1.192.8M2022-07-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29210.292012-0.03%0.2881-1.37%0.0071✓1.1375k2022-07-30
KSMKusamaHydration63.8763.8467-0.04%63.1-1.21%0.0051✓1.18257k2022-07-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0561280.056107-0.04%0.057834+3.04%0.0338✗0.6120k2022-07-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.261395-0.04%0.2612-0.11%0.0007✓0.0130k2022-07-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015070.001506-0.04%0.001644+9.09%0.0932✗1.0116k2022-07-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12980.129739-0.05%0.1314+1.23%0.0200✗1.2849k2022-07-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13520.135132-0.05%0.1457+7.77%0.0809✗0.993.5M2022-07-30
AAVEAaveEthereum95.695.5511-0.05%95.26-0.36%0.0064✗1.6610.0M2022-07-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043230.043207-0.05%0.04302-0.49%0.0011✗0.962,4262022-07-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08870.088646-0.06%0.0893+0.68%0.0141✗1.19155k2022-07-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5372.5354-0.06%2.467-2.76%0.0221✓0.92105k2022-07-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021770.021756-0.06%0.0215-1.24%0.0060✓1.03149k2022-07-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.499-0.06%1.49-0.67%0.0021✗1.441.0M2022-07-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.8711.8698-0.07%1.931+3.21%0.0394✗1.27626k2022-07-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49820.497874-0.07%0.507+1.77%0.0245✗1.1242k2022-07-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7630.762488-0.07%0.766+0.39%0.0102✗0.99360k2022-07-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.20330.203155-0.07%0.2293+12.79%0.1288✗1.371,5612022-07-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56510.56468-0.07%0.57+0.87%0.0158✗1.14350k2022-07-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.59e-7-0.07%9.60e-7+0.00%0.0064✗1.0025k2022-07-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7122.71-0.07%2.627-3.13%0.0211✓1.7692k2022-07-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,827.5023,809.52-0.08%24,608.20+3.28%0.0385✗0.9819k2022-07-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42260.422276-0.08%0.4312+2.04%0.0285✗1.34104k2022-07-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.57e-7-0.08%3.60e-7+0.78%0.0138✗0.94193k2022-07-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.054757-0.08%0.0535-2.37%0.0162✓1.24263k2022-07-30
XMRMoneroMonero160.25160.1165-0.08%155.85-2.75%0.0208✓1.101.3M2022-07-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47250.472104-0.08%0.4587-2.92%0.0205✓1.47220k2022-07-30
APEApeCoinEthereum6.676.6641-0.09%6.697+0.40%0.0145✗1.6911.5M2022-07-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.320010.319716-0.09%0.31775-0.71%0.0013✗1.3111k2022-07-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.1868.1784-0.09%8.212+0.32%0.0112✗1.259.4M2022-07-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010830.001082-0.09%0.001097+1.30%0.0212✗1.291.6M2022-07-30
COMPCompoundEthereum58.6958.6321-0.10%58.23-0.78%0.0010✓1.3928k2022-07-30
ADACardanoCardano0.52220.521636-0.11%0.5267+0.86%0.0167✗1.2543.2M2022-07-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06920.069123-0.11%0.0671-3.03%0.0237✓1.07308k2022-07-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,722.251,720.32-0.11%1,698.01-1.41%0.0059✓1.26387.0M2022-07-30
FISStafiEthereum0.40.399533-0.12%0.4352+8.80%0.0907✗0.922142022-07-30
FTTFTXEthereum31.0931.0532-0.12%31.11+0.06%0.0072✗0.9510.8M2022-07-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5124.4808-0.12%24.25-1.06%0.0004✓1.5927.5M2022-07-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018940.018917-0.12%0.01867-1.43%0.0089✓0.75258k2022-07-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97060.969429-0.12%0.9505-2.07%0.0146✓0.903.9M2022-07-30
STEEMSteemnative0.24760.247295-0.12%0.2512+1.45%0.0221✗1.14643k2022-07-30
ZENHorizenBase18.1318.1076-0.12%17.72-2.26%0.0138✓1.38108k2022-07-30
BANDBandEthereum1.6741.6718-0.13%1.795+7.23%0.0793✗1.45316k2022-07-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09350.093378-0.13%0.09058-3.12%0.0289✓0.26910k2022-07-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021890.021861-0.13%0.022198+1.41%0.0208✗0.989,0542022-07-30
DODODODOEthereum0.17280.172565-0.14%0.171-1.04%0.0020✓1.262.9M2022-07-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.067305-0.14%0.072+6.82%0.0729✗0.96183k2022-07-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.9820.980587-0.14%0.976-0.61%0.0053✗1.76516k2022-07-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077660.077547-0.15%0.07785+0.24%0.0081✗0.741,2712022-07-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.038743-0.15%0.0385-0.77%0.0006✓1.2268k2022-07-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.882601-0.16%1.059+19.80%0.1862✗0.711.3M2022-07-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.2618.2302-0.16%19.12+4.71%0.0553✗1.351.3M2022-07-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17111.1528-0.16%10.71-4.13%0.0328✓1.3715.1M2022-07-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6314.6055-0.17%14.76+0.89%0.0187✗1.451.6M2022-07-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.972.965-0.17%2.86-3.70%0.0274✓1.53192k2022-07-30
DIADIAEthereum0.485590.484757-0.17%0.46142-4.98%0.0449✓0.7855k2022-07-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8877.8732-0.18%7.823-0.81%0.0008✓1.2616.2M2022-07-30
CBKCobakEthereum1.04531.0434-0.18%1.0495+0.41%0.0121✗1.109,6842022-07-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.668590.667385-0.18%0.67643+1.17%0.0221✗1.5279k2022-07-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.9840.982217-0.18%0.98-0.41%0.0044✗1.171.2M2022-07-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3862.3816-0.18%2.328-2.43%0.0147✓1.42169k2022-07-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.28132.2771-0.18%2.2546-1.17%0.0029✓1.2424k2022-07-30
XEMNEMnative0.0497230.049631-0.18%0.04912-1.21%0.0036✓1.1935k2022-07-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash151.84151.558-0.19%145.47-4.20%0.0343✓1.193.9M2022-07-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV65.86965.7459-0.19%62.68-4.84%0.0430✓0.85398k2022-07-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5290.528003-0.19%0.505-4.54%0.0380✓1.1513k2022-07-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12730.127059-0.19%0.1319+3.61%0.0452✗1.372.5M2022-07-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83212.8267-0.19%2.7137-4.18%0.0353✓0.98917k2022-07-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62090.619654-0.20%0.5914-4.75%0.0401✓1.16624k2022-07-30
HIVEHivenative0.53710.53601-0.20%0.5275-1.79%0.0094✓1.161.5M2022-07-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2230.222506-0.22%0.2186-1.97%0.0098✓1.391,0652022-07-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8033.7945-0.22%3.684-3.13%0.0256✓0.70670k2022-07-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.5665-0.23%1.51-3.82%0.0353✓0.24268k2022-07-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.1730.172605-0.23%0.16614-3.97%0.0294✓1.54207k2022-07-30
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0611.0584-0.25%1.187+11.88%0.1227✗1.421.4M2022-07-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.155.1371-0.25%5.03-2.33%0.0176✓0.61587k2022-07-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.8611.8563-0.25%1.82-2.20%0.0162✓0.63223k2022-07-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52130.51997-0.26%0.571+9.53%0.0993✗1.00234k2022-07-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.12920.12885-0.27%0.1267-1.93%0.0106✓1.10617k2022-07-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.034050.033957-0.27%0.02975-12.63%0.1248✓1.311,3182022-07-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18350.182998-0.27%0.19234+4.82%0.0629✗2.321,1272022-07-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.068.0377-0.28%8.278+2.70%0.0366✗1.255.5M2022-07-30
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02553.0171-0.28%2.816-6.92%0.0601✓1.5711k2022-07-30
METISMetisEthereum36.7236.6091-0.30%34.49-6.07%0.0487✓1.93194k2022-07-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.32080.319824-0.30%0.2969-7.45%0.0680✓1.13309k2022-07-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4117.3567-0.31%17.19-1.26%0.0047✓0.882.4M2022-07-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8482.8392-0.31%2.804-1.54%0.0044✓1.4243k2022-07-30
QNTQuantEthereum106.29105.9567-0.31%106.35+0.06%0.0095✗1.024.2M2022-07-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4394.4246-0.32%4.24-4.48%0.0393✓0.591.2M2022-07-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.955.9298-0.34%5.64-5.21%0.0463✓0.66554k2022-07-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8513.8374-0.35%3.791-1.56%0.0072✓0.88754k2022-07-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42951.424-0.38%1.3586-4.96%0.0385✓1.506.1M2022-07-30
QTUMQtumQtum4.664.6418-0.39%4.3212-7.27%0.0654✓1.0932k2022-07-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029960.02984-0.40%0.03319+10.78%0.1151✗1.5311.5M2022-07-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000990.000098595-0.41%0.00009812-0.89%0.0063✗1.96646k2022-07-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.659.6104-0.41%9.15-5.18%0.0461✓0.521.0M2022-07-30
UNIUniswapEthereum9.0859.0474-0.41%8.78-3.36%0.0221✓1.407.0M2022-07-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.088030.08765-0.43%0.08165-7.25%0.0633✓1.3428k2022-07-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5214.5003-0.46%5.319+17.65%0.1702✗0.542.0M2022-07-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.622.6075-0.48%2.41-8.02%0.0727✓1.07175k2022-07-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8613.8424-0.48%3.749-2.90%0.0212✓0.601.5M2022-07-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.694.6672-0.49%4.53-3.41%0.0258✓0.71759k2022-07-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.044.0202-0.49%3.647-9.73%0.0876✓1.743.8M2022-07-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11261.1071-0.49%1.1112-0.12%0.0095✗1.0412k2022-07-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8330.828726-0.51%0.84+0.84%0.0219✗1.482,9182022-07-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0532.0422-0.53%1.966-4.24%0.0299✓1.43220k2022-07-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.545.5095-0.55%5.59+0.90%0.0180✗0.62786k2022-07-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.882746-0.59%0.884-0.45%0.0112✗1.735.2M2022-07-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.96780.961824-0.62%0.9743+0.67%0.0221✗1.63205k2022-07-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95162.929-0.76%2.8314-4.07%0.0295✓0.77941k2022-07-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.5212.4137-0.85%11.6-7.35%0.0609✓1.22241k2022-07-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.079620.078871-0.94%0.08494+6.68%0.0827✗1.50768k2022-07-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011340.01123-0.97%0.01027-9.44%0.0822✓1.26355k2022-07-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,870.2710,760.54-1.01%11,772.20+8.30%0.0977✗1.394.0M2022-07-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.088.9765-1.14%8.06-11.23%0.1000✓1.36256k2022-07-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.4423.1712-1.15%32.03+36.65%0.3316✗1.38534k2022-07-30
XVSVenusEthereum7.647.532-1.41%6.76-11.52%0.1002✓1.401.0M2022-07-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.5339.9345-1.47%39.48-2.59%0.0035✓1.411.3M2022-07-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.3933.3313-1.82%3.0897-8.94%0.0703✓0.891.0M2022-07-30
OPTIMOptimism1.8431.7949-2.61%1.809-1.84%0.0190✓1.971.1M2022-07-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.