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2022-07-28 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1770
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.68%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.3%
in alpha space · 43.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.4481.2981-10.35%1.025-29.21%0.1071✓1.971.1M2022-08-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.8336.7889-9.90%33-19.18%0.1394✗1.421.3M2022-08-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97640.884358-9.43%0.79-19.09%0.1724✗1.64209k2022-08-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1353.8027-8.04%2.891-30.08%0.0305✓1.753.8M2022-08-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011460.010547-7.97%0.00757-33.94%0.1104✓1.27352k2022-08-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11731.0284-7.96%–pending––1.0312k2022-08-27
UNIUniswapEthereum9.2758.5455-7.86%6.056-34.71%0.0985✓1.416.7M2022-08-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4316.1011-7.62%17.54+0.63%0.2381✗0.882.4M2022-08-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8460.78181-7.59%0.509-39.83%0.1677✓1.503,1392022-08-27
QNTQuantEthereum103.7896.3405-7.17%94.38-9.06%0.1563✗1.014.1M2022-08-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.792.5944-7.01%2.14-23.30%0.0044✓1.08175k2022-08-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.227.6579-6.84%7.33-10.83%0.1938✗1.36256k2022-08-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.29510.27503-6.80%0.268-9.18%0.1719✗1.13323k2022-08-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084060.07893-6.10%0.0675-19.70%0.0766✗1.3428k2022-08-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100260.000094155-6.09%0.0001339+33.55%0.6920✗1.95662k2022-08-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8450.793552-6.09%0.659-22.01%0.1169✗1.745.2M2022-08-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.5617.4608-5.92%38.17+105.66%1.0246✗1.39534k2022-08-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.274.9588-5.90%5.29+0.38%0.1733✗0.62786k2022-08-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.54481.4538-5.89%1.0479-32.17%0.0641✓1.515.6M2022-08-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,140.608,627.50-5.61%8,782.65-3.92%0.2585✗1.384.0M2022-08-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9780.924168-5.50%0.963-1.53%0.2003✗0.913.9M2022-08-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.114.2891-5.37%11.9-21.19%0.0639✗1.421.5M2022-08-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1163.8963-5.34%5.784+40.52%0.4911✗0.552.0M2022-08-27
GMTGMTEthereum1.0120.958364-5.30%0.6853-32.28%0.0268✓1.77551k2022-08-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4072.2799-5.28%1.63-32.28%0.0860✓1.43160k2022-08-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183560.1743-5.04%0.15762-14.13%0.3038✗2.321,1272022-08-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0111.4409-4.74%10-16.74%0.0778✗1.22241k2022-08-27
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9246.6027-4.64%4.757-31.30%0.0355✓1.6811.5M2022-08-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5112-4.35%1.41-10.76%0.0238✓0.26283k2022-08-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.84362.7284-4.05%2.0859-26.65%0.0077✓1.5810k2022-08-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0209380.020098-4.01%0.023238+10.98%0.2336✗0.51165k2022-08-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.34.134-3.86%4.59+6.74%0.2300✗0.72685k2022-08-27
HIVEHivenative0.55270.532068-3.73%0.5335-3.47%0.2057✗1.161.5M2022-08-27
QTUMQtumQtum4.48454.3181-3.71%3.1269-30.27%0.1308✓1.1028k2022-08-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.50.481497-3.70%0.412-17.60%0.0437✗1.1413k2022-08-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2323.4257-3.32%20.04-17.29%0.1232✗1.6027.5M2022-08-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02730.026405-3.28%0.02303-15.64%0.1325✗1.5411.5M2022-08-27
DODODODOEthereum0.16380.158455-3.26%0.1246-23.93%0.0171✓1.282.8M2022-08-27
CBKCobakEthereum1.0441.01-3.26%0.86406-17.24%0.0372✗1.119,1202022-08-27
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.421648-3.11%–pending––0.912142022-08-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.85810.5252-3.06%11.173+2.90%0.2990✗1.3714.4M2022-08-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7832.6996-3.00%2.028-27.13%0.0349✓1.4443k2022-08-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.072110.07004-2.87%0.06428-10.86%0.1788✗1.52768k2022-08-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.075340.073286-2.73%0.06819-9.49%0.0562✗0.741,3772022-08-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8531.8031-2.69%1.404-24.23%0.0006✓1.44217k2022-08-27
XEMNEMnative0.0492890.048056-2.50%0.044708-9.29%0.1342✗1.1832k2022-08-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3573.2764-2.40%4.23+26.01%0.3603✗0.601.5M2022-08-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8582.7904-2.37%1.96-31.42%0.0471✓1.7692k2022-08-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7243.6393-2.27%2.682-27.98%0.1520✓0.88754k2022-08-27
COMPCompoundEthereum57.9756.7167-2.16%46.09-20.49%0.0350✗1.3932k2022-08-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2657.1172-2.03%6.303-13.24%0.0990✗1.265.5M2022-08-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49940.489372-2.01%0.376-24.71%0.0680✓1.1242k2022-08-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06550.064248-1.91%0.0569-13.13%0.0457✗0.96183k2022-08-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.8576-1.80%8.4-6.87%0.0401✗0.53918k2022-08-27
KSMKusamaHydration65.4464.2623-1.80%45.84-29.95%0.1300✓1.19244k2022-08-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.571.5427-1.74%1.0612-32.41%0.1208✓1.451.0M2022-08-27
METISMetisEthereum36.335.6823-1.70%30.05-17.22%0.1656✗1.94181k2022-08-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.03806-1.65%0.0348-10.08%0.1249✗1.2368k2022-08-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6120.601907-1.65%0.51-16.67%0.0804✗1.4184k2022-08-27
MOVRMoonriverBase14.286314.0566-1.61%12.5391-12.23%0.0937✗1.1970k2022-08-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.671380.660626-1.60%0.54155-19.34%0.0673✗1.5379k2022-08-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94160.928015-1.44%1.3728+45.79%0.5974✗1.181.2M2022-08-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05240.051649-1.43%0.0436-16.79%0.0400✗1.20263k2022-08-27
AAVEAaveEthereum100.4199.0077-1.40%82.11-18.23%0.1038✗1.679.0M2022-08-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018830.018576-1.35%0.01518-19.38%0.0694✓0.76263k2022-08-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3571.3404-1.22%0.9661-28.81%0.1113✓1.241.2M2022-08-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9913.9438-1.18%13.227+231.42%1.3143✗0.601.1M2022-08-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.8281.8078-1.10%1.69-7.55%0.1569✗1.29626k2022-08-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.365.3025-1.07%6.18+15.30%0.2695✗0.67514k2022-08-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46540.460498-1.05%0.3492-24.97%0.0192✓1.48220k2022-08-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011726-1.05%0.00001216+2.62%0.2534✗1.25986k2022-08-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.32022.2962-1.03%5.259+126.66%0.9858✗0.90979k2022-08-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.2369-1.01%2.47-24.46%0.1833✓0.5082k2022-08-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1817.0371-0.83%13.8-19.67%0.0281✗1.371.3M2022-08-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08460.083933-0.79%0.0639-24.47%0.0639✓1.20155k2022-08-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.5776-0.78%1.29-18.87%0.0400✗1.38114k2022-08-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0154290.015316-0.73%0.013178-14.59%0.0054✓0.891.2M2022-08-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42952.415-0.60%5.0801+109.10%0.8799✗0.78884k2022-08-27
XVSVenusEthereum5.65.5723-0.50%4.87-13.04%0.1113✗1.41959k2022-08-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3741.3684-0.41%1.146-16.59%0.0470✗1.292.4M2022-08-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21920.218631-0.26%0.1693-22.76%0.0131✓1.391,1792022-08-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.48290.481923-0.20%0.3532-26.86%0.1365✓1.00224k2022-08-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.19860.198201-0.20%0.1524-23.26%0.0237✓1.371,5612022-08-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010980.001096-0.16%0.00137+24.77%0.4491✗1.301.6M2022-08-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4983.4931-0.14%4.212+20.41%0.3101✗0.71497k2022-08-27
SOLSolanaSolana42.9342.8871-0.10%31.54-26.53%0.0685✓1.3781.8M2022-08-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.51.4997-0.02%1.7824+18.83%0.4222✗1.43561k2022-08-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030570.030572+0.01%0.02469-19.23%0.0142✓1.311,3002022-08-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.12070.120851+0.12%0.22+82.27%0.7929✓1.11617k2022-08-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160010.160213+0.13%0.1322-17.38%0.0773✓1.55205k2022-08-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1170.117151+0.13%0.1015-13.25%0.0436✓1.07357k2022-08-27
BANDBandEthereum1.7561.7591+0.18%1.221-30.47%0.1114✗1.46316k2022-08-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047440.047535+0.20%0.04518-4.76%0.1073✓0.9115k2022-08-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16450.164999+0.30%0.1404-14.65%0.0582✓1.26411k2022-08-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031070.003119+0.39%0.003041-2.12%0.1488✓1.001.0M2022-08-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.776335+0.43%0.652-15.65%0.0004✓1.00360k2022-08-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50212.5158+0.55%3.7353+49.29%0.5668✓0.98863k2022-08-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0550410.055386+0.63%0.0454-17.52%0.0920✗0.6120k2022-08-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.1363.5401+0.65%52.374-17.04%0.0448✗0.85386k2022-08-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11480.115607+0.70%0.1033-10.02%0.1287✓1.382.5M2022-08-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.317510.31977+0.71%0.28228-11.10%0.1043✓1.3111k2022-08-27
FTTFTXEthereum30.2430.4669+0.75%25.8-14.68%0.0001✓0.9510.8M2022-08-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.7091.722+0.76%1.758+2.87%0.1336✓0.65223k2022-08-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.774.8072+0.78%6.22+30.40%0.3657✓0.62587k2022-08-27
XMRMoneroMonero162.51163.8169+0.80%145.16-10.68%0.0703✓1.101.3M2022-08-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.67e-7+0.87%7.59e-7+108.75%0.8940✓0.96195k2022-08-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.980390.989327+0.91%0.77842-20.60%0.0060✓1.34399k2022-08-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7530.760265+0.96%0.663-11.95%0.0802✓1.25178k2022-08-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.8642.8918+0.97%2.671-6.74%0.1130✓1.10597k2022-08-27
DIADIAEthereum0.446410.450845+0.99%0.36774-17.62%0.0686✗0.7853k2022-08-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029930.030233+1.01%0.03599+20.25%0.3927✓1.2514k2022-08-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57640.582328+1.03%0.5753-0.19%0.1917✓1.17624k2022-08-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,725.191,743.01+1.03%1,491.22-13.56%0.0634✓1.26383.0M2022-08-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.30992.3341+1.04%1.7879-22.60%0.0494✗1.2524k2022-08-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash155.69157.4416+1.13%115.26-25.97%0.1039✗1.193.9M2022-08-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.227.3038+1.16%6.531-9.54%0.1091✓1.2716.2M2022-08-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218760.022131+1.16%0.020673-5.50%0.1034✓0.988,3682022-08-27
XTZTezosTezos1.71661.7374+1.21%1.4676-14.51%0.0505✓1.26492k2022-08-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.425470.430712+1.23%0.32976-22.50%0.0209✗1.41592k2022-08-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.218727+1.26%0.171-20.83%0.0170✓1.51786k2022-08-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13060.13229+1.29%0.1186-9.19%0.1166✓1.3049k2022-08-27
STEEMSteemnative0.25050.253776+1.31%0.2211-11.74%0.0643✓1.16643k2022-08-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30140.305355+1.31%0.3144+4.31%0.2288✓1.1575k2022-08-27
XECeCashnative0.000044280.000044894+1.39%0.00003688-16.71%0.0082✓1.181.7M2022-08-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12160.12333+1.42%0.1035-14.88%0.0016✓1.005,8712022-08-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408860.415255+1.56%0.33622-17.77%0.0019✓1.22118k2022-08-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.95280.967794+1.57%0.7896-17.13%0.0455✓1.431.4M2022-08-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094340.0959+1.65%0.08547-9.40%0.0695✗0.26859k2022-08-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3309680.336499+1.67%0.296889-10.30%0.0994✓1.291.0M2022-08-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.872.918+1.67%2.11-26.48%0.0563✗1.54192k2022-08-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.055646+1.73%0.0474-13.35%0.0680✓1.31765k2022-08-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043190.043943+1.74%0.03828-11.37%0.0308✓0.971,9372022-08-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,875.3024,305.29+1.80%19,933.00-16.51%0.0277✗0.9819k2022-08-27
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.67e-7+1.81%8.70e-7-8.42%0.0399✓0.845.9M2022-08-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.900378+1.85%0.84-4.98%0.0549✓0.711.2M2022-08-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2620.267124+1.96%0.2612-0.31%0.0205✗0.0131k2022-08-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.25470.25983+2.01%0.2424-4.83%0.1198✓1.0963k2022-08-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4310.440197+2.13%0.3569-17.19%0.0259✓1.35104k2022-08-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.81e-7+2.15%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0660✓1.0024k2022-08-27
ADACardanoCardano0.51290.524309+2.22%0.45-12.26%0.0658✓1.2543.2M2022-08-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31360.320664+2.25%0.2796-10.84%0.0709✓1.192.7M2022-08-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24060.246121+2.29%0.2201-8.52%0.1480✓1.4999k2022-08-27
SCSiacoinnative0.004420.004523+2.33%0.00389-11.99%0.0799✓1.32106k2022-08-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1166880.11952+2.43%0.105594-9.51%0.0502✓1.006.8M2022-08-27
XVGVergenative0.003690.003783+2.52%0.00292-20.87%0.0303✗1.31505k2022-08-27
DASHDashDash52.4853.8339+2.58%45.13-14.01%0.0190✓1.12594k2022-08-27
FLOWFlownative1.8761.9253+2.63%1.823-2.83%0.1674✓1.27413k2022-08-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.009475+2.65%0.0087-5.74%0.0834✓0.974.7M2022-08-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24420.250857+2.73%0.2067-15.36%0.0220✓1.24110k2022-08-27
ZENHorizenBase18.4618.9918+2.88%15.2-17.66%0.0181✓1.38100k2022-08-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3040.313039+2.97%0.28-7.89%0.0699✓1.04681k2022-08-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691040.071177+3.00%0.063422-8.22%0.0854✓1.151.7M2022-08-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33630.34682+3.13%0.2889-14.09%0.0172✓1.157.7M2022-08-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.1060.109347+3.16%0.0908-14.34%0.0433✓1.32491k2022-08-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020990.021664+3.21%0.02261+7.72%0.2224✓1.03136k2022-08-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.4365.4748+3.22%53.03-16.40%0.0086✓1.1613.5M2022-08-27
TRXTRONTron0.0697620.072202+3.50%0.062935-9.79%0.0002✓0.79376k2022-08-27
NANOnanopayBase0.9965431.0327+3.63%0.882839-11.41%0.0135✓0.9857k2022-08-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07010.072704+3.71%0.0608-13.27%0.0069✓1.07299k2022-08-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04430.045949+3.72%0.0366-17.38%0.0062✓1.347,1312022-08-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6342.7374+3.92%4.134+56.95%0.5735✓0.93105k2022-08-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13590.141344+4.01%0.1236-9.05%0.0416✓1.013.2M2022-08-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.13561.1815+4.04%1.0488-7.64%0.0681✓1.0743k2022-08-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,851.7024,822.88+4.07%20,036.69-15.99%0.0399✗1.00429.5M2022-08-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7490.780445+4.20%0.55-26.57%0.0876✗1.5180k2022-08-27
KCSKuCoinnative10.34310.8243+4.65%9.134-11.69%0.0207✓1.092.4M2022-08-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32295.5764+4.76%5.1648-2.97%0.0405✓0.21214k2022-08-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069010.007231+4.78%0.00674-2.33%0.0232✓0.5440k2022-08-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.8568.2421+4.91%7.044-10.34%0.0621✓1.269.4M2022-08-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.325690.343562+5.49%0.34004+4.41%0.1945✓1.18407k2022-08-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08360.088415+5.76%0.1016+21.53%0.2828✓0.83155k2022-08-27
ZECZcashZcash63.6467.3665+5.86%61.36-3.58%0.1288✓1.271.5M2022-08-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.066714+6.06%0.0604-3.97%0.1455✓1.41337k2022-08-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7230.767264+6.12%0.936+29.46%0.4089✓1.21806k2022-08-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.936.2951+6.16%5.829-1.70%0.1153✓1.102.0M2022-08-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54660.580564+6.21%0.4567-16.45%0.0417✓1.14350k2022-08-27
GTGateEthereum4.29644.5662+6.28%4.376+1.85%0.0835✓0.72968k2022-08-27
STXStacksnative0.43440.461701+6.28%0.3638-16.25%0.0191✓1.26606k2022-08-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.14980.159292+6.34%0.1419-5.27%0.1018✓1.2587k2022-08-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.056689+6.56%0.0509-4.32%0.1462✓1.46109k2022-08-27
PROPropyEthereum0.80.854312+6.79%0.75-6.25%0.0233✓0.6179k2022-08-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015240.001629+6.90%0.001454-4.59%0.0631✓1.0120k2022-08-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.008950.00961+7.37%0.0066-26.26%0.2158✗0.921.6M2022-08-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.091314+7.56%0.0845-0.47%0.1339✓1.216,3652022-08-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061790.006865+11.11%0.005618-9.08%0.0460✓0.894,8812022-08-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.