8=======>

2022-07-25 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1887
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.94%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.6%
in alpha space · 58.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.078678+0.23%0.0763-2.80%0.0277✗1.236,7862022-07-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047940.048045+0.22%0.04905+2.32%0.0243✓1.46712k2022-07-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056290.005638+0.16%0.005867+4.24%0.0421✓0.912,9222022-07-26
ZECZcashZcash54.254.2856+0.16%55.75+2.86%0.0297✓1.281.4M2022-07-26
FLOWFlownative1.6271.6289+0.12%1.596-1.91%0.0174✗1.26332k2022-07-26
KCSKuCoinnative9.469.4709+0.12%9.664+2.16%0.0229✓1.112.1M2022-07-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.04760.047654+0.11%0.0477+0.21%0.0046✓1.48119k2022-07-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061930.061992+0.10%0.062568+1.03%0.0121✓1.151.8M2022-07-26
XECeCashnative0.000038290.000038325+0.09%0.0000392+2.38%0.0255✓1.191.9M2022-07-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30961.3108+0.09%1.3512+3.18%0.0339✓1.46561k2022-07-26
XTZTezosTezos1.50841.5097+0.09%1.5561+3.16%0.0334✓1.28492k2022-07-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.09280.092876+0.08%0.0949+2.26%0.0248✓1.34502k2022-07-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.3711+0.08%1.39+1.46%0.0172✓1.44127k2022-07-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6230.623476+0.08%0.636+2.09%0.0222✓0.97387k2022-07-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04140.041427+0.07%0.0406-1.93%0.0169✗1.357,5232022-07-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11450.114575+0.07%0.1126-1.66%0.0149✗1.015,8712022-07-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2385.2414+0.06%5.321+1.58%0.0178✓1.111.9M2022-07-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09570.095762+0.06%0.0972+1.57%0.0183✓1.372.4M2022-07-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2814470.281603+0.06%0.289449+2.84%0.0306✓1.301.1M2022-07-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.530.53028+0.05%0.553+4.34%0.0454✓1.4384k2022-07-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.23210.232221+0.05%0.2369+2.07%0.0226✓1.1161k2022-07-26
NANOnanopayBase0.9137150.91418+0.05%0.897047-1.82%0.0165✗0.9851k2022-07-26
TRXTRONTron0.0636630.063692+0.05%0.065339+2.63%0.0275✓0.80373k2022-07-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2982.299+0.04%2.315+0.74%0.0094✓1.00863k2022-07-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6740.674285+0.04%0.662-1.78%0.0153✗1.25149k2022-07-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.2507+0.03%2.26+0.44%0.0078✓1.52205k2022-07-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008430.008433+0.03%0.00868+2.97%0.0313✓0.994.5M2022-07-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.6292.6298+0.03%2.595-1.29%0.0106✗1.12619k2022-07-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.026757+0.03%0.02683+0.30%0.0058✓1.2718k2022-07-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6630.663164+0.02%0.651-1.81%0.0148✗1.5179k2022-07-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.13160.13163+0.02%0.1344+2.13%0.0239✓1.2681k2022-07-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.873470.873644+0.02%0.87877+0.61%0.0092✓1.36423k2022-07-26
GTGateEthereum3.96963.9704+0.02%4.0166+1.18%0.0133✓0.72919k2022-07-26
MOVRMoonriverBase12.677312.6791+0.01%12.1905-3.84%0.0364✗1.2078k2022-07-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.448.4408+0.01%8.28-1.90%0.0164✗1.16243k2022-07-26
SOLSolanaSolana36.6436.6426+0.01%36.29-0.96%0.0064✗1.3680.3M2022-07-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48880.488831+0.01%0.4887-0.02%0.0025✓1.15350k2022-07-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.05261.0527+0.01%1.0569+0.40%0.0067✓1.1045k2022-07-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.0590.059002+0.00%0.0586-0.68%0.0033✗1.43328k2022-07-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82490.824912+0.00%0.8158-1.10%0.0076✗1.441.4M2022-07-26
STXStacksnative0.40070.400705+0.00%0.3948-1.47%0.0117✗1.28606k2022-07-26
DASHDashDash44.8844.8788-0.00%43.99-1.98%0.0173✓1.11498k2022-07-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,313.4121,310.93-0.01%21,261.57-0.24%0.0001✓1.00374.5M2022-07-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.3590.358955-0.01%0.36615+1.99%0.0228✗1.23113k2022-07-26
SCSiacoinnative0.003970.003969-0.01%0.00396-0.25%0.0009✗1.34106k2022-07-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.047593-0.02%0.0466-2.10%0.0178✓1.34787k2022-07-26
ZENHorizenBase15.2515.2474-0.02%15.17-0.52%0.0017✓1.3997k2022-07-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1772.1766-0.02%2.204+1.24%0.0160✗1.4237k2022-07-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.03118.0072-0.02%118.94+0.77%0.0107✗1.164.2M2022-07-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08550.085483-0.02%0.0831-2.81%0.0262✓0.84148k2022-07-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22210.222053-0.02%0.2245+1.08%0.0140✗1.26119k2022-07-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.1740.173952-0.03%0.185+6.32%0.0651✗1.431,7562022-07-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14720.147157-0.03%0.1487+1.02%0.0136✗1.28379k2022-07-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.140170.140123-0.03%0.1444+3.02%0.0339✗1.58176k2022-07-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025710.025701-0.03%0.02802+8.98%0.0897✗1.351,3002022-07-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013450.013445-0.03%0.014189+5.49%0.0561✗0.911.2M2022-07-26
AAVEAaveEthereum81.481.3714-0.04%81.26-0.17%0.0027✗1.668.1M2022-07-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.048083-0.04%0.0473-1.66%0.0135✓1.22263k2022-07-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3515.3445-0.04%15.15-1.30%0.0094✓1.381.3M2022-07-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0254.0002-0.04%53.9-0.22%0.0009✗1.1513.6M2022-07-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36240.362265-0.04%0.3668+1.21%0.0157✗1.3670k2022-07-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21570.21562-0.04%0.2085-3.34%0.0299✓1.4999k2022-07-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1059880.105948-0.04%0.105578-0.39%0.0010✓1.016.7M2022-07-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010690.000010686-0.04%0.00001087+1.68%0.0202✗1.261.1M2022-07-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1930.19292-0.04%0.197+2.07%0.0247✗1.55881k2022-07-26
XVGVergenative0.003450.003449-0.04%0.00342-0.87%0.0050✓1.34566k2022-07-26
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.80e-7-0.04%8.70e-7-1.14%0.0090✓0.845.9M2022-07-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.4216.4181-0.04%6.344-1.20%0.0085✓1.2816.7M2022-07-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2810.280871-0.05%0.276-1.78%0.0149✓1.05673k2022-07-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044030.044009-0.05%0.04431+0.64%0.0091✗0.9315k2022-07-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7576.7537-0.05%6.782+0.37%0.0072✗1.248.6M2022-07-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006550.006547-0.05%0.00629-3.97%0.0375✓1.01355k2022-07-26
DODODODOEthereum0.14170.141626-0.05%0.1428+0.78%0.0114✗1.292.8M2022-07-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.10140.101346-0.05%0.1035+2.07%0.0237✗1.11617k2022-07-26
BANDBandEthereum1.41.3993-0.05%1.408+0.57%0.0098✗1.45317k2022-07-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.5961.5952-0.05%1.581-0.94%0.0058✓1.29606k2022-07-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2011.2004-0.05%1.183-1.50%0.0115✓1.241.3M2022-07-26
COMPCompoundEthereum50.2450.2126-0.05%48.14-4.18%0.0388✓1.3832k2022-07-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27480.27465-0.05%0.2763+0.55%0.0089✗1.202.7M2022-07-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9738.9677-0.06%9.227+2.83%0.0318✗1.3713.0M2022-07-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014790.001478-0.06%0.001432-3.18%0.0291✓1.0620k2022-07-26
PROPropyEthereum0.790.789492-0.06%0.76-3.80%0.0364✓0.6983k2022-07-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.1354.094-0.07%54.585+0.84%0.0111✗0.84369k2022-07-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83871.8373-0.07%1.8627+1.31%0.0167✗1.2324k2022-07-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11940.119313-0.07%0.1195+0.08%0.0048✗1.3447k2022-07-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,440.751,439.67-0.08%1,449.63+0.62%0.0099✗1.24344.6M2022-07-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3662.3642-0.08%2.329-1.56%0.0108✓1.7587k2022-07-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.019355-0.08%0.01989+2.68%0.0298✗1.06129k2022-07-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27570.275486-0.08%0.2798+1.49%0.0183✗1.1465k2022-07-26
QTUMQtumQtum3.28363.281-0.08%3.6881+12.32%0.1196✗1.0725k2022-07-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52560.52519-0.08%0.5372+2.21%0.0255✗1.20642k2022-07-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.008450.008443-0.08%0.00837-0.95%0.0064✓0.931.3M2022-07-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08625.082-0.08%5.0946+0.17%0.0029✗0.19214k2022-07-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406710.406357-0.09%0.40399-0.67%0.0023✓1.47602k2022-07-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.064142-0.09%0.0653+1.71%0.0205✗1.08239k2022-07-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2481.2469-0.09%1.272+1.92%0.0232✗1.322.4M2022-07-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31160.311313-0.09%0.311-0.19%0.0019✗1.187.5M2022-07-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9341.9321-0.10%2.077+7.39%0.0758✗1.45132k2022-07-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10780.107695-0.10%0.1076-0.19%0.0018✗1.09380k2022-07-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18420.184018-0.10%0.1802-2.17%0.0175✓1.411,0652022-07-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.764.7552-0.10%4.9+2.94%0.0316✗0.66514k2022-07-26
XMRMoneroMonero144.12143.9749-0.10%151.3+4.98%0.0523✗1.111.1M2022-07-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08160.081518-0.10%0.0788-3.43%0.0309✓1.22172k2022-07-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6810.680288-0.10%0.649-4.70%0.0441✓1.21758k2022-07-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12320.12307-0.11%0.1205-2.19%0.0186✓1.013.1M2022-07-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.9120.8879-0.11%20.71-0.96%0.0047✓1.6027.0M2022-07-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5451.5433-0.11%1.521-1.55%0.0110✓1.45212k2022-07-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.83960.838657-0.11%0.8489+1.11%0.0151✗1.211.2M2022-07-26
XYMSymbolnative0.0534050.053344-0.11%0.052442-1.80%0.0156✓0.6218k2022-07-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43540.434895-0.12%0.4351-0.07%0.0032✗1.1241k2022-07-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06050.060427-0.12%0.0621+2.64%0.0297✗0.98156k2022-07-26
KSMKusamaHydration58.4958.418-0.12%58.13-0.62%0.0020✓1.20227k2022-07-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.293060.292698-0.12%0.29285-0.07%0.0038✗1.349,2162022-07-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.344430.343999-0.13%0.31739-7.85%0.0776✓1.20400k2022-07-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26452.2617-0.13%2.2693+0.21%0.0072✗1.579,0562022-07-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.000988858-0.13%0.0009725-1.78%0.0135✓1.311.7M2022-07-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,619.2021,591.90-0.13%21,133.30-2.25%0.0191✓0.9820k2022-07-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.003095-0.13%0.003004-3.07%0.0274✓1.011.0M2022-07-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.3582-0.13%1.27-6.62%0.0636✓1.45856k2022-07-26
APEApeCoinEthereum5.9965.9878-0.14%5.758-3.97%0.0349✓1.7211.9M2022-07-26
FTTFTXEthereum27.0126.973-0.14%27.07+0.22%0.0059✗0.9510.6M2022-07-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.264.2541-0.14%4.36+2.35%0.0261✗0.62504k2022-07-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.946.9303-0.14%7.17+3.31%0.0352✗0.48670k2022-07-26
ADACardanoCardano0.47490.474232-0.14%0.4683-1.39%0.0095✓1.2741.4M2022-07-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7813.7755-0.15%3.751-0.79%0.0050✓0.621.2M2022-07-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039941-0.15%0.0394-1.50%0.0112✓0.992,0302022-07-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066890.006679-0.15%0.006894+3.06%0.0330✗0.5546k2022-07-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2283.2232-0.15%3.261+1.02%0.0135✗0.77488k2022-07-26
XVSVenusEthereum5.085.0725-0.15%4.98-1.97%0.0149✓1.43947k2022-07-26
METISMetisEthereum27.3727.3295-0.15%27.76+1.42%0.0181✗1.00151k2022-07-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2036.1938-0.15%6.587+6.19%0.0647✗1.285.3M2022-07-26
ELAElastosEthereum1.5571.5545-0.16%1.545-0.77%0.0045✓0.64223k2022-07-26
DIADIAEthereum0.404070.403398-0.17%0.39822-1.45%0.0111✓0.7551k2022-07-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.1312.1273-0.17%2.1128-0.85%0.0047✓0.90971k2022-07-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.965.9497-0.17%5.9-1.01%0.0052✓1.31248k2022-07-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4172.4128-0.18%2.301-4.80%0.0452✓0.92105k2022-07-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.24392.2399-0.18%2.1986-2.02%0.0167✓0.79895k2022-07-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.5112.4876-0.18%12.8+2.32%0.0283✗1.461.2M2022-07-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.0710.070872-0.18%0.06869-3.25%0.0295✓0.731,6422022-07-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,273.726,261.81-0.19%6,861.88+9.37%0.0948✗1.354.0M2022-07-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0204790.02044-0.19%0.020152-1.60%0.0117✓1.006,1832022-07-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03370.033634-0.19%0.0331-1.78%0.0130✓1.2472k2022-07-26
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.98e-7-0.20%8.70e-7-3.33%0.0295✓1.0025k2022-07-26
FISStafiEthereum0.37020.369464-0.20%0.4578+23.66%0.2175✗1.273902022-07-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.2035-0.20%3.17-1.25%0.0092✓0.5382k2022-07-26
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.26045-0.21%0.2618+0.31%0.0052✗0.0135k2022-07-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0913.0842-0.22%3.178+2.81%0.0315✗0.631.5M2022-07-26
XEMNEMnative0.0447030.044605-0.22%0.044503-0.45%0.0006✓1.2021k2022-07-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024480.024425-0.22%0.02507+2.41%0.0299✗1.6013.4M2022-07-26
STEEMSteemnative0.23090.230385-0.22%0.2335+1.13%0.0164✗1.21701k2022-07-26
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.420.418982-0.24%0.4225+0.60%0.0108✗1.00234k2022-07-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017920.017876-0.25%0.01741-2.85%0.0245✓0.77354k2022-07-26
CBKCobakEthereum0.985390.982969-0.25%0.96464-2.11%0.0161✓1.138,4242022-07-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.9150.912736-0.25%0.901-1.53%0.0086✓1.79591k2022-07-26
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093290.09304-0.27%0.0904-3.10%0.0264✓1.00706k2022-07-26
QNTQuantEthereum87.8787.6317-0.27%92.96+5.79%0.0615✗1.023.2M2022-07-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.56e-7-0.27%3.43e-7-4.08%0.0365✓0.99234k2022-07-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42880.427581-0.28%0.4154-3.12%0.0253✓1.50208k2022-07-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0187260.01867-0.30%0.018606-0.64%0.0023✓0.48163k2022-07-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9682.959-0.30%2.97+0.07%0.0078✗1.693.7M2022-07-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.90170.898945-0.31%0.9495+5.30%0.0570✗0.943.5M2022-07-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.16990.169378-0.31%0.16244-4.39%0.0358✓2.451,1272022-07-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.4056-0.31%1.4-0.71%0.0034✓0.23319k2022-07-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.067820.067605-0.32%0.0658-2.98%0.0239✓1.2928k2022-07-26
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0477.0243-0.32%6.655-5.56%0.0507✓1.355.6M2022-07-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7980.79537-0.33%0.851+6.64%0.0694✗0.751.1M2022-07-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17631.1721-0.35%1.1686-0.65%0.0006✓1.484.9M2022-07-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.597970.595805-0.36%0.60729+1.56%0.0229✗1.5686k2022-07-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7053.6915-0.37%3.691-0.38%0.0012✓0.552.1M2022-07-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5040.502098-0.38%0.472-6.35%0.0589✓1.1811k2022-07-26
FORTFortaEthereum0.27410.273048-0.38%0.2901+5.84%0.0635✗1.21335k2022-07-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.2523.1538-0.41%25.16+8.22%0.0862✗1.291.3M2022-07-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6930.689956-0.44%0.678-2.16%0.0132✓1.765.3M2022-07-26
OPTIMOptimism0.7940.790474-0.44%0.826+4.03%0.0483✗1.781.1M2022-07-26
RADRadworksEthereum1.881.8712-0.47%2.65+40.96%0.3506✗1.08157k2022-07-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.953570.948589-0.52%0.90441-5.16%0.0453✓0.998,9622022-07-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.084.0576-0.55%4.03-1.23%0.0050✓0.75597k2022-07-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82580.820939-0.59%0.8122-1.65%0.0068✓1.61214k2022-07-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092210.000091625-0.63%0.00009206-0.16%0.0094✗1.90735k2022-07-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7890.783962-0.64%0.752-4.69%0.0379✓1.544,1662022-07-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.334.2999-0.70%4.61+6.47%0.0711✗0.60694k2022-07-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.7817.6556-0.70%16.1-9.45%0.0901✓0.882.1M2022-07-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5520.3936-0.76%21.78+5.99%0.0695✗1.53440k2022-07-26
HIVEHivenative0.5190.51399-0.97%0.5006-3.55%0.0235✓1.191.4M2022-07-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.0154.8833-2.63%3.911-22.01%0.2197✓0.96584k2022-07-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.