8=======>

2022-07-24 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 184 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1571
184 of 184 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+21.59%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.3%
in alpha space · 44.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.67%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (184 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8120.767919-5.43%0.592-27.09%0.1853✓1.564,1662022-08-23
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099510.000094285-5.25%0.00010583+6.35%0.2066✗1.90735k2022-08-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.6119.9558-3.17%41.17+99.76%0.7987✗1.56431k2022-08-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.750.729806-2.69%0.722-3.73%0.0741✗1.775.4M2022-08-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90820.88759-2.27%0.8205-9.66%0.0022✓1.60241k2022-08-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.01060.98773-2.26%0.04351-95.69%3.0756✓0.987,6782022-08-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.1615.8284-2.05%18.01+11.45%0.1743✗0.942.1M2022-08-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.4223.3541-1.98%3.05-10.87%0.0143✓1.693.7M2022-08-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.657260.644984-1.87%0.57919-11.88%0.0327✓1.5794k2022-08-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.37571.3502-1.86%1.1837-13.96%0.0610✓1.484.7M2022-08-23
OPTIMOptimism0.9190.904184-1.61%1.335+45.27%0.4736✗1.761.1M2022-08-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8163.7675-1.27%6.803+78.28%0.6183✗0.572.2M2022-08-23
FORTFortaEthereum0.28580.283011-0.98%0.2756-3.57%0.0342✗1.27343k2022-08-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.514318-0.90%0.444-14.45%0.0897✓1.2011k2022-08-23
CBKCobakEthereum1.05691.0492-0.73%0.94089-10.98%0.0548✓1.137,7462022-08-23
FISStafiEthereum0.44150.438662-0.64%0.301-31.82%0.3234✓1.113902022-08-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06910.068805-0.43%0.07645+10.64%0.1679✗1.3128k2022-08-23
APEApeCoinEthereum6.4436.4209-0.34%5.245-18.59%0.1201✓1.7211.7M2022-08-23
QNTQuantEthereum97.7397.479-0.26%109.96+12.51%0.1688✗1.013.2M2022-08-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.983.9739-0.15%5.38+35.18%0.3403✗0.78597k2022-08-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03590.035877-0.06%0.0382+6.41%0.1222✗1.2476k2022-08-23
GMTGMTEthereum0.970.969745-0.03%0.7906-18.49%0.1179✓1.80601k2022-08-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.19660.196565-0.02%0.1725-12.26%0.0626✓1.421,7562022-08-23
GITCOINGITCOIN2.45392.4555+0.07%2.4359-0.73%0.0673✓1.578,0962022-08-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.481.4831+0.21%1.43-3.38%0.0253✗0.23366k2022-08-23
C98Coin98Ethereum0.48280.485082+0.47%0.41-15.08%0.1157✗1.1041k2022-08-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1522.164+0.56%1.817-15.57%0.1055✗1.45128k2022-08-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.244.2644+0.57%6.39+50.71%0.4350✓0.64694k2022-08-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.5725.7336+0.64%34.36+34.38%0.3507✓1.291.2M2022-08-23
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.263203+0.69%0.2605-0.34%0.0097✗0.0135k2022-08-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026260.026442+0.69%0.02356-10.28%0.0382✗1.6113.7M2022-08-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.573.5969+0.75%3.142-11.99%0.0835✗1.08584k2022-08-23
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.45950.463311+0.83%0.39-15.13%0.1244✗1.00224k2022-08-23
RADRadworksEthereum1.881.8976+0.94%2.3+22.34%0.2450✓1.10157k2022-08-23
UNIUniswapEthereum7.257.3224+1.00%7.109-1.94%0.0358✓1.375.5M2022-08-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018990.019182+1.01%0.01736-8.58%0.0634✗0.76354k2022-08-23
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19610.19809+1.01%0.1727-11.93%0.0694✗1.421,1672022-08-23
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095440.096409+1.02%0.08526-10.67%0.0750✗1.00690k2022-08-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06840.069116+1.05%0.0622-9.06%0.0586✗0.98156k2022-08-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.334.3776+1.10%7.04+62.59%0.5059✓0.64504k2022-08-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.87330.883945+1.22%1.0251+17.38%0.1954✓0.993.5M2022-08-23
COMPCompoundEthereum56.2857.0195+1.31%50.74-9.84%0.0510✗1.3733k2022-08-23
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.513.5562+1.31%2.79-20.51%0.2188✗0.5086k2022-08-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.27172.3019+1.33%5.9126+160.27%0.9822✓0.81941k2022-08-23
XVSVenusEthereum5.345.4118+1.34%5.74+7.49%0.1271✓1.43959k2022-08-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3751.394+1.38%1.242-9.67%0.0531✗1.302.5M2022-08-23
HIVEHivenative0.45870.465191+1.42%0.5572+21.47%0.2408✓1.261.4M2022-08-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.9040.917555+1.50%1.3042+44.27%0.4096✓1.211.2M2022-08-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1623.2104+1.53%5.147+62.78%0.5026✓0.641.6M2022-08-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.8224.1895+1.55%23.51-1.30%0.0467✓1.5727.0M2022-08-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8733.938+1.68%13.538+249.55%1.2651✓0.631.3M2022-08-23
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3371.3596+1.69%1.067-20.19%0.1838✗1.221.3M2022-08-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6056.7174+1.70%6.378-3.44%0.0094✓1.285.0M2022-08-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04260.043336+1.73%0.039-8.45%0.0593✗0.962,0302022-08-23
DIADIAEthereum0.430170.437719+1.75%0.4051-5.83%0.0418✗0.7451k2022-08-23
METISMetisEthereum30.5431.0816+1.77%34.76+13.82%0.1597✓1.00138k2022-08-23
FTTFTXEthereum29.1229.6458+1.81%27.78-4.60%0.0195✗0.9510.6M2022-08-23
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.30e-79.47e-7+1.84%9.00e-7-3.23%0.0032✓1.0025k2022-08-23
XEMNEMnative0.0486820.049588+1.86%0.046576-4.33%0.0054✓1.2019k2022-08-23
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073820.075213+1.89%0.07069-4.24%0.0269✗0.731,8342022-08-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0217870.0222+1.89%0.021625-0.74%0.0214✓1.005,9912022-08-23
KSMKusamaHydration64.7165.96+1.93%49.54-23.44%0.2294✗1.19227k2022-08-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.9810.1749+1.95%12.135+21.59%0.2414✓1.3612.9M2022-08-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.642.6934+2.02%2.153-18.45%0.1404✗1.7587k2022-08-23
API3Api3Ethereum1.7621.799+2.10%1.962+11.35%0.1479✓1.28603k2022-08-23
SOLSolanaSolana40.9441.8119+2.13%35.67-12.87%0.0947✗1.3478.7M2022-08-23
BANDBandEthereum1.5691.6033+2.18%1.373-12.49%0.0859✗1.44317k2022-08-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.017490.017879+2.22%0.02313+32.25%0.2809✓0.49163k2022-08-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.21175.3279+2.23%5.389+3.40%0.0206✓0.19214k2022-08-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.217.5964+2.30%14.66-14.77%0.1170✗1.371.3M2022-08-23
XYMSymbolnative0.0548520.056127+2.32%0.048516-11.55%0.1156✗0.6317k2022-08-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.216.3573+2.37%7.88+26.89%0.2778✓1.32256k2022-08-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.389760.399084+2.39%0.37206-4.54%0.0110✓1.24105k2022-08-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.06450.066065+2.43%0.0652+1.09%0.0543✓1.41325k2022-08-23
MANADecentralandEthereum0.96450.988965+2.54%0.83469-13.46%0.1049✗1.35423k2022-08-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.80e-73.90e-7+2.56%8.22e-7+116.12%0.7932✓1.00234k2022-08-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.23452.2928+2.61%6.0884+172.47%1.0206✓0.92933k2022-08-23
DODODODOEthereum0.15580.159875+2.62%0.1397-10.33%0.0730✗1.292.8M2022-08-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.210.215523+2.63%0.185-11.90%0.0778✗1.56881k2022-08-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.351.3862+2.68%1.2121-10.21%0.0626✗1.50809k2022-08-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.1713.5333+2.76%13.6+3.26%0.0756✓1.481.2M2022-08-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3622.4277+2.78%2.25-4.74%0.0082✓1.4243k2022-08-23
AAVEAaveEthereum90.5393.0931+2.83%89.48-1.16%0.0392✓1.658.3M2022-08-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42290.434973+2.85%0.3844-9.10%0.0503✗1.53208k2022-08-23
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91830.944883+2.89%0.8686-5.41%0.0159✓1.431.3M2022-08-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4642.5354+2.90%4.3642+77.12%0.5908✓1.00863k2022-08-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010620.001093+2.90%0.001591+49.76%0.4376✓1.301.7M2022-08-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.31040.319468+2.92%0.29912-3.63%0.0012✓1.358,9972022-08-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13020.134017+2.93%0.1294-0.61%0.0142✓1.033.1M2022-08-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08640.088938+2.94%0.0678-21.53%0.2111✗1.26188k2022-08-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2633.3596+2.96%5.224+60.10%0.4789✓0.78488k2022-08-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.13411.1683+3.02%1.1311-0.26%0.0199✓1.0945k2022-08-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7790.80256+3.02%0.893+14.63%0.1444✓0.791.1M2022-08-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,980.967,194.59+3.06%9,225.54+32.15%0.3127✓1.344.1M2022-08-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0937.3106+3.07%7.241+2.09%0.0512✓1.2716.7M2022-08-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.452.5258+3.09%2.44-0.41%0.0381✓1.52205k2022-08-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0530.054658+3.13%0.0517-2.45%0.0085✓1.34798k2022-08-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11820.121903+3.13%0.1117-5.50%0.0353✗1.09380k2022-08-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.3540.365139+3.15%0.32919-7.01%0.0449✗1.23398k2022-08-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031150.003217+3.26%0.003625+16.37%0.1698✓1.051.0M2022-08-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008960.009253+3.27%0.00923+3.01%0.0453✓1.004.7M2022-08-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV58.10360.012+3.29%56.254-3.18%0.0248✓0.83383k2022-08-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.04672.1145+3.31%1.9643-4.02%0.0152✓1.2224k2022-08-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067290.006952+3.32%0.006696-0.49%0.0099✓0.5848k2022-08-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15970.165032+3.34%0.1575-1.38%0.0151✓1.29361k2022-08-23
ELAElastosEthereum1.6081.6621+3.36%1.847+14.86%0.1367✓0.65219k2022-08-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020210.020893+3.38%0.02359+16.72%0.1723✓1.06129k2022-08-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6141.6686+3.38%1.57-2.73%0.0091✓1.46217k2022-08-23
ETHEthereumEthereum1,597.721,652.24+3.41%1,665.93+4.27%0.0671✓1.23339.7M2022-08-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.867.0964+3.45%9.49+38.34%0.3148✓0.50670k2022-08-23
UMAUMAEthereum2.8622.9619+3.49%2.977+4.02%0.0584✓1.11621k2022-08-23
SCSiacoinnative0.004280.004429+3.49%0.00408-4.67%0.0179✓1.34115k2022-08-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.19.4188+3.50%10.63+16.81%0.1771✓1.17252k2022-08-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.58080.601506+3.57%0.5139-11.52%0.1001✗1.20642k2022-08-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34060.352767+3.57%0.3076-9.69%0.0809✗1.177.5M2022-08-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047160.048874+3.63%0.04645-1.51%0.0069✓0.9214k2022-08-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.1440.149242+3.64%0.1488+3.33%0.0573✓1.2681k2022-08-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006790.007038+3.65%0.00808+19.00%0.1867✓1.02355k2022-08-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5292.6214+3.65%4.429+75.13%0.5682✓0.91105k2022-08-23
NANOnanopayBase0.9464270.981241+3.68%0.943427-0.32%0.0088✓1.0157k2022-08-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5840.605597+3.70%0.569-2.57%0.0060✓1.4384k2022-08-23
MOVRMoonriverBase13.606514.1101+3.70%13.7842+1.31%0.0344✓1.2182k2022-08-23
STEEMSteemnative0.24090.249929+3.75%0.2343-2.74%0.0078✓1.19628k2022-08-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158710.164757+3.81%0.14275-10.06%0.0676✗1.58176k2022-08-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.10590.10997+3.84%0.1008-4.82%0.0239✓1.32502k2022-08-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12270.12748+3.90%0.1087-11.41%0.1116✗1.006,3742022-08-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011610.000012063+3.90%0.00001332+14.73%0.1591✓1.251.1M2022-08-23
BTTCBTTC9.40e-79.77e-7+3.92%9.10e-7-3.19%0.0312✓0.835.9M2022-08-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0677480.07044+3.97%0.068797+1.55%0.0324✓1.171.8M2022-08-23
FLOWFlownative1.8341.9077+4.02%2.143+16.85%0.1756✓1.24332k2022-08-23
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7470.77722+4.05%0.733-1.87%0.0021✓1.27149k2022-08-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3020.314303+4.07%0.2977-1.42%0.0030✓1.202.7M2022-08-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05030.052362+4.10%0.047-6.56%0.0499✗1.22263k2022-08-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3086010.321287+4.11%0.310587+0.64%0.0257✓1.241.1M2022-08-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.441050.459195+4.11%0.39145-11.25%0.0891✗1.47615k2022-08-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,583.4323,514.04+4.12%21,528.34-4.67%0.0404✗1.00368.3M2022-08-23
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027520.028661+4.15%0.02647-3.82%0.0145✓1.361,3182022-08-23
XVGVergenative0.003680.00384+4.36%0.00324-11.96%0.1056✗1.35577k2022-08-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09060.094652+4.47%0.1015+12.03%0.1086✓0.81148k2022-08-23
PROPropyEthereum0.780.814963+4.48%0.74-5.13%0.0622✗0.7289k2022-08-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.5255+4.49%1.4-4.11%0.0171✓1.44127k2022-08-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.25360.264991+4.49%0.2559+0.91%0.0173✓1.0961k2022-08-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24030.251151+4.52%0.2228-7.28%0.0597✗1.26119k2022-08-23
ADACardanoCardano0.5120.535126+4.52%0.466-8.98%0.0775✗1.2741.5M2022-08-23
DASHDashDash48.9151.129+4.54%48.5-0.84%0.0002✓1.10570k2022-08-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.10850.113461+4.57%0.2505+130.88%0.8451✓1.11617k2022-08-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23480.245672+4.63%0.2192-6.64%0.0424✓1.50106k2022-08-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07220.075566+4.66%0.0673-6.79%0.0661✗1.04226k2022-08-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0142210.014884+4.66%0.01447+1.75%0.0161✓0.931.2M2022-08-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1310.137386+4.87%0.124-5.34%0.0389✓1.3344k2022-08-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,846.4023,966.08+4.90%21,511.10-5.84%0.0612✗0.9820k2022-08-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04390.046059+4.92%0.0408-7.06%0.0558✗1.377,6872022-08-23
XECeCashnative0.000041650.0000437+4.92%0.00003947-5.23%0.0448✓1.191.9M2022-08-23
XTZTezosTezos1.68161.7663+5.04%1.5941-5.20%0.0417✓1.27485k2022-08-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1132070.11897+5.09%0.110676-2.24%0.0242✓1.016.7M2022-08-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.052690.055436+5.21%0.07289+38.34%0.3436✓1.46712k2022-08-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.008960.009432+5.26%0.00708-20.98%0.2430✗0.921.3M2022-08-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3997.7939+5.34%7.635+3.19%0.0387✓1.248.5M2022-08-23
GTGateEthereum4.16274.3878+5.41%4.5224+8.64%0.0642✓0.71919k2022-08-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.855.1141+5.45%7.16+47.63%0.3691✓0.68514k2022-08-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6415.9576+5.61%6.378+13.07%0.1213✓1.111.9M2022-08-23
ZENHorizenBase17.0117.9732+5.66%17.42+2.41%0.0353✓1.39100k2022-08-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10490.111031+5.84%0.1138+8.48%0.0899✓1.362.4M2022-08-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40350.427305+5.90%0.3851-4.56%0.0394✓1.3570k2022-08-23
KCSKuCoinnative9.87310.4578+5.92%9.713-1.62%0.0206✓1.112.1M2022-08-23
XMRMoneroMonero151.27160.2907+5.96%154.81+2.34%0.0189✓1.121.1M2022-08-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.41651.5019+6.03%1.9086+34.74%0.3074✓1.42561k2022-08-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7290.773124+6.05%0.617-15.36%0.1527✗1.5294k2022-08-23
ZECZcashZcash5962.5906+6.09%66.35+12.46%0.1204✓1.301.4M2022-08-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.3761.9269+6.09%57.1-2.18%0.0265✓1.1413.7M2022-08-23
QTUMQtumQtum3.41753.6273+6.14%3.5261+3.18%0.0233✓1.0825k2022-08-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29990.318411+6.17%0.3902+30.11%0.2574✓1.1359k2022-08-23
TRXTRONTron0.0668460.071091+6.35%0.066225-0.93%0.0327✓0.80369k2022-08-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028970.030901+6.67%0.03743+29.20%0.2528✓1.2818k2022-08-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2860.305129+6.69%0.287+0.35%0.0104✓1.06589k2022-08-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.056901+7.36%0.0546+3.02%0.0296✓1.48135k2022-08-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash131.93141.7246+7.42%133.41+1.12%0.0059✓1.144.2M2022-08-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001620.001745+7.69%0.001585-2.16%0.0462✓1.0417k2022-08-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6750.727109+7.72%0.725+7.41%0.0436✓0.97405k2022-08-23
STXStacksnative0.4370.471781+7.96%0.3899-10.78%0.1297✗1.27606k2022-08-23
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6930.7497+8.18%0.973+40.40%0.3197✓1.23729k2022-08-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058640.006416+9.41%0.005889+0.42%0.0417✓0.922,9222022-08-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08450.093007+10.07%0.0914+8.17%0.0414✓1.236,7862022-08-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5290.592955+12.09%0.4933-6.75%0.1294✗1.14340k2022-08-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.