8=======>

2022-07-22 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0822
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.67%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.1%
in alpha space · 53.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.96980.860101-11.31%0.8569-11.64%0.0805✓1.59241k2022-08-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4815.9537-8.73%18.97+8.52%0.2240✗0.962.1M2022-08-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7880.723181-8.23%0.611-22.46%0.0864✓1.555,0122022-08-21
QNTQuantEthereum100.7692.5541-8.14%110.77+9.93%0.2328✗1.003.2M2022-08-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.28030.25758-8.11%0.2705-3.50%0.1176✗1.30365k2022-08-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100250.000092851-7.38%0.00009038-9.85%0.0755✓1.94735k2022-08-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.7715.6113-6.91%44.36+164.52%1.1262✗1.55431k2022-08-21
OPTIMOptimism0.8370.781458-6.64%1.176+40.50%0.5022✗1.771.1M2022-08-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7420.695-6.33%0.722-2.70%0.1315✗1.765.8M2022-08-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.683.4491-6.27%6.594+79.18%0.6779✗0.562.2M2022-08-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.43361.3467-6.06%1.0248-28.52%0.1952✓1.474.7M2022-08-21
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.182290.171252-6.06%0.16409-9.98%0.0872✗2.451,0922022-08-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.01740.955811-6.05%1.0512+3.32%0.1459✗0.963,1532022-08-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2542.1259-5.68%1.724-23.51%0.1334✓1.44132k2022-08-21
UNIUniswapEthereum6.896.5015-5.64%7.211+4.66%0.1753✗1.365.7M2022-08-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072670.068583-5.62%0.07522+3.51%0.1613✗1.3027k2022-08-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.9450.892545-5.55%0.804-14.92%0.0090✓1.80594k2022-08-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5080.480302-5.45%0.47-7.48%0.0410✓1.1911k2022-08-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.87420.826604-5.44%1.0779+23.30%0.3176✗0.993.5M2022-08-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative24.923.6138-5.17%33.76+35.58%0.4252✗1.281.2M2022-08-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4574-4.75%1.38-9.80%0.0421✓0.24398k2022-08-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.983.7932-4.69%5.94+49.25%0.4816✗0.63713k2022-08-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.793.6134-4.66%5.04+32.98%0.3734✗0.77597k2022-08-21
CBKCobakEthereum1.07871.0296-4.55%0.96387-10.64%0.0066✓1.127,2992022-08-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0142.879-4.48%3.111+3.22%0.1668✗1.693.8M2022-08-21
KSMKusamaHydration66.5363.627-4.36%50.64-23.88%0.1652✓1.19231k2022-08-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.6410.1758-4.36%10.644+0.04%0.1166✗1.3513.0M2022-08-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06950.06658-4.20%0.0597-14.10%0.0572✓0.98164k2022-08-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.6322.663-4.09%22.97-2.79%0.0964✗1.5728.4M2022-08-21
RADRadworksEthereum1.81.7298-3.90%2.38+32.22%0.3773✗1.10150k2022-08-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1293.0094-3.82%5.101+63.02%0.5609✗0.631.7M2022-08-21
DODODODOEthereum0.15340.1477-3.72%0.1393-9.19%0.0095✓1.292.8M2022-08-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0163550.015749-3.71%0.014659-10.37%0.0232✓0.921.2M2022-08-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.071940.069305-3.66%0.07057-1.90%0.0569✗0.731,5492022-08-21
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1915.9672-3.62%5.19-16.17%0.0472✓1.7411.7M2022-08-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026010.0251-3.50%0.02263-13.00%0.0184✓1.6114.2M2022-08-21
METISMetisEthereum30.4429.3959-3.43%34.76+14.19%0.2205✗1.00133k2022-08-21
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4750.460241-3.11%0.4286-9.77%0.0129✓1.1049k2022-08-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.40852.3353-3.04%2.478+2.89%0.1420✗1.568,0962022-08-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.167120.162055-3.03%0.14385-13.92%0.0358✓1.58156k2022-08-21
XEMNEMnative0.0473750.045957-2.99%0.046233-2.41%0.0695✗1.2018k2022-08-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.1811.8264-2.90%13.18+8.21%0.1865✗1.481.1M2022-08-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.44390.43108-2.89%0.3841-13.47%0.0625✓1.00257k2022-08-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.183.0887-2.87%2.76-13.21%0.0870✓0.4886k2022-08-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6872.611-2.83%2.17-19.24%0.0926✓1.7587k2022-08-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3261.2888-2.81%1.072-19.16%0.1193✓1.231.6M2022-08-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0175660.017077-2.78%0.023427+33.37%0.3417✗0.48165k2022-08-21
HIVEHivenative0.45740.44482-2.75%0.5638+23.26%0.3032✗1.251.4M2022-08-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018840.01833-2.71%0.01736-7.86%0.0148✓0.75354k2022-08-21
COMPCompoundEthereum55.954.4306-2.63%50.91-8.93%0.0056✓1.3734k2022-08-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03590.034972-2.59%0.0377+5.01%0.1404✗1.2385k2022-08-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.7771.7328-2.49%1.914+7.71%0.1667✗1.27619k2022-08-21
FISStafiEthereum0.36910.360298-2.38%0.3715+0.65%0.0942✗1.203902022-08-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.18870.184234-2.37%0.1768-6.31%0.0336✗1.411,8912022-08-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5930.57899-2.36%0.572-3.54%0.0631✗1.4285k2022-08-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.883.7885-2.36%12.738+228.30%1.2454✗0.621.4M2022-08-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.649230.634109-2.33%0.58884-9.30%0.0083✓1.5699k2022-08-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089660.087588-2.31%0.09106+1.56%0.0918✗1.00664k2022-08-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.28932.2387-2.21%5.9198+158.59%1.0197✗0.89890k2022-08-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.362.3093-2.15%2.229-5.55%0.0391✗1.4143k2022-08-21
ELAElastosEthereum1.6811.6458-2.09%1.876+11.60%0.1644✗0.63190k2022-08-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011720.000011481-2.04%0.00001348+15.02%0.2267✗1.251.2M2022-08-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.84.7089-1.90%6.56+36.67%0.3669✗0.67554k2022-08-21
XVSVenusEthereum5.375.2692-1.88%5.91+10.06%0.1894✗1.411.0M2022-08-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4786.3603-1.82%6.459-0.29%0.0828✗1.275.0M2022-08-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5511.5239-1.75%1.562+0.71%0.1018✗1.46203k2022-08-21
MOVRMoonriverBase13.716213.4793-1.73%14.1071+2.85%0.1089✗1.20126k2022-08-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0733.0215-1.67%3.174+3.29%0.1066✗1.09562k2022-08-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027150.026704-1.64%0.0271-0.18%0.0867✗1.361,3482022-08-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.445260.438203-1.58%0.37078-16.73%0.0895✓1.47673k2022-08-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3951.3735-1.54%1.243-10.90%0.0310✓1.302.8M2022-08-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.90760.894245-1.47%1.3019+43.44%0.4395✗1.211.2M2022-08-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08470.08346-1.46%0.0696-17.83%0.1157✓1.25202k2022-08-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.30972.2779-1.38%4.9686+115.12%0.8220✗0.80947k2022-08-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11750.115888-1.37%0.1115-5.11%0.0187✗1.08417k2022-08-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.49832.4642-1.36%3.6812+47.35%0.4535✗0.981.0M2022-08-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04910.04846-1.30%0.0473-3.67%0.0394✗1.20282k2022-08-21
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.2582-1.22%0.2611-0.11%0.0119✓0.0145k2022-08-21
AAVEAaveEthereum89.4288.3483-1.20%85.89-3.95%0.0585✗1.6410.2M2022-08-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,573.616,495.63-1.19%8,749.39+33.10%0.3683✗1.334.2M2022-08-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3044-1.18%1.21-8.33%0.0034✓1.48910k2022-08-21
XTZTezosTezos1.6381.6203-1.08%1.6327-0.32%0.0745✗1.26492k2022-08-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.086.0207-0.97%8.2+34.87%0.3784✗1.31263k2022-08-21
XYMSymbolnative0.0540820.053571-0.94%0.051048-5.61%0.0154✓0.6215k2022-08-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.4465-0.93%1.39-4.79%0.0362✗1.44131k2022-08-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4031.3901-0.92%1.7908+27.64%0.3285✗1.42647k2022-08-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40070.397417-0.82%0.3918-2.22%0.0666✗1.53208k2022-08-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07360.07306-0.73%0.0675-8.29%0.0244✓1.03209k2022-08-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030520.00303-0.73%0.003742+22.61%0.2664✗1.041.0M2022-08-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2653.2417-0.71%4.479+37.18%0.3639✗0.77488k2022-08-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18910.187866-0.65%0.1759-6.98%0.0090✗1.411,8832022-08-21
SOLSolanaSolana40.5540.2923-0.64%36.48-10.04%0.0286✓1.3481.1M2022-08-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010730.001066-0.62%0.001518+41.48%0.4216✗1.291.7M2022-08-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.313850.31202-0.58%0.30199-3.78%0.0383✗1.347,0062022-08-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.45e-7-0.54%9.30e-7-2.11%0.0370✗1.0028k2022-08-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.58360.580865-0.47%0.5133-12.05%0.0606✓1.19559k2022-08-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.720.717547-0.34%0.728+1.11%0.0815✗1.27139k2022-08-21
DIADIAEthereum0.422140.421177-0.23%0.41334-2.08%0.0201✗0.7351k2022-08-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.92870.926743-0.21%0.8737-5.92%0.0166✗1.431.4M2022-08-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.210.209608-0.19%0.187-10.95%0.0323✓1.55881k2022-08-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.596.5807-0.14%8.93+35.51%0.3313✗0.49670k2022-08-21
FTTFTXEthereum28.9128.871-0.13%27.72-4.12%0.0095✗0.9511.0M2022-08-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13070.130529-0.13%0.1243-4.90%0.0209✗1.3244k2022-08-21
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.19e-7-0.13%9.00e-7-2.17%0.0229✗0.825.8M2022-08-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33780.337667-0.04%0.3062-9.35%0.0361✓1.177.8M2022-08-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05390.053887-0.02%0.0514-4.64%0.0233✗1.33802k2022-08-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.8657.8828+0.04%54.958-5.02%0.0080✗0.83387k2022-08-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046910.046952+0.09%0.04674-0.36%0.0438✓0.9111k2022-08-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.274.275+0.12%6.35+48.71%0.4294✓0.64555k2022-08-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218160.021843+0.12%0.02191+0.43%0.0553✓0.991,7072022-08-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020130.020172+0.21%0.02257+12.12%0.1684✓1.06123k2022-08-21
MANADecentralandEthereum0.933860.935868+0.21%0.85255-8.71%0.0220✗1.35423k2022-08-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.386540.387372+0.22%0.37086-4.06%0.0215✓1.23123k2022-08-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,535.841,539.23+0.22%1,617.84+5.34%0.1148✓1.23339.7M2022-08-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11860.118912+0.26%0.109-8.09%0.0349✗0.996,5322022-08-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.160.160437+0.27%0.1556-2.75%0.0373✓1.28356k2022-08-21
FLOWFlownative1.8421.8473+0.29%2.163+17.43%0.2234✓1.24345k2022-08-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.02542.0319+0.32%1.9484-3.80%0.0225✓1.2226k2022-08-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40430.406085+0.44%0.3848-4.82%0.0173✓1.3496k2022-08-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.58e-7+0.45%7.12e-7+99.85%0.7406✓1.00239k2022-08-21
XECeCashnative0.000041720.000041907+0.45%0.00003955-5.20%0.0047✓1.181.9M2022-08-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.7866.8171+0.46%7.08+4.33%0.1047✓1.2617.9M2022-08-21
STEEMSteemnative0.24380.244931+0.46%0.2375-2.58%0.0312✓1.17703k2022-08-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.10580.106316+0.49%0.1872+76.94%0.6243✓1.11591k2022-08-21
XVGVergenative0.003670.003688+0.49%0.00326-11.17%0.0525✗1.34586k2022-08-21
UMAUMAEthereum2.642.6549+0.56%2.914+10.38%0.1515✓1.10621k2022-08-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028760.028949+0.66%0.03818+32.75%0.3442✓1.2720k2022-08-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30080.30289+0.69%0.2949-1.96%0.0360✓1.192.8M2022-08-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3107570.313043+0.74%0.308829-0.62%0.0515✓1.231.3M2022-08-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.25560.257546+0.76%0.2628+2.82%0.0775✓1.0861k2022-08-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.338870.341464+0.77%0.32001-5.57%0.0005✓1.24404k2022-08-21
XMRMoneroMonero149150.4146+0.95%154.56+3.73%0.0861✓1.111.3M2022-08-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10380.104869+1.03%0.108+4.05%0.1015✓1.362.5M2022-08-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1120290.113214+1.06%0.110977-0.94%0.0330✓1.007.1M2022-08-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.939.0267+1.08%10.41+16.57%0.2045✓1.17265k2022-08-21
QTUMQtumQtum3.24843.284+1.10%3.4692+6.80%0.1121✓1.0826k2022-08-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.1091.1215+1.12%1.0912-1.61%0.0299✓1.0845k2022-08-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13680.138407+1.17%0.1381+0.95%0.0519✓1.023.3M2022-08-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2250.227666+1.18%0.2298+2.13%0.0874✓1.48115k2022-08-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3615.5436+1.20%14.47-5.79%0.0008✓1.371.3M2022-08-21
ADACardanoCardano0.4830.488781+1.20%0.4624-4.27%0.0118✓1.2743.2M2022-08-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23990.242795+1.21%0.224-6.63%0.0147✗1.25119k2022-08-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.10410.105417+1.27%0.1011-2.88%0.0279✓1.32513k2022-08-21
BANDBandEthereum1.4991.5186+1.31%1.352-9.81%0.0400✗1.44374k2022-08-21
SCSiacoinnative0.004250.004306+1.31%0.00421-0.94%0.0482✓1.34122k2022-08-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008970.009088+1.32%0.00945+5.35%0.0909✓0.984.9M2022-08-21
NANOnanopayBase0.9651780.978998+1.43%0.927762-3.88%0.0004✓1.0159k2022-08-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04310.043738+1.48%0.0412-4.41%0.0115✓1.357,6872022-08-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0675960.068634+1.54%0.069279+2.49%0.0730✓1.201.9M2022-08-21
DASHDashDash48.3949.1409+1.55%46.8-3.29%0.0088✓1.09606k2022-08-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,716.1023,133.32+1.84%21,631.30-4.78%0.0155✓0.9824k2022-08-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2920.297492+1.88%0.288-1.37%0.0233✓1.05725k2022-08-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,687.6823,155.16+2.06%21,518.62-5.15%0.0204✗1.00398.7M2022-08-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7720.788315+2.11%0.876+13.47%0.1465✓0.781.2M2022-08-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.40735.5223+2.13%5.1185-5.34%0.0657✗0.19226k2022-08-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7170.732321+2.14%0.636-11.30%0.0606✗1.52108k2022-08-21
TRXTRONTron0.067070.068538+2.19%0.065924-1.71%0.0030✓0.79364k2022-08-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041660.042581+2.21%0.0402-3.50%0.0064✓0.973,2692022-08-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006590.006741+2.30%0.00947+43.70%0.3931✓1.01365k2022-08-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053760.05503+2.36%0.06849+27.40%0.2962✓1.46749k2022-08-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4892.5479+2.37%5.094+104.66%0.7406✓0.9093k2022-08-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.06420.065795+2.48%0.0654+1.87%0.0678✓1.40322k2022-08-21
STXStacksnative0.42730.43796+2.49%0.395-7.56%0.0363✗1.26414k2022-08-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2957.4809+2.55%7.434+1.91%0.0589✓1.238.7M2022-08-21
ZENHorizenBase16.9317.366+2.58%16.73-1.18%0.0361✓1.39105k2022-08-21
KCSKuCoinnative10.15310.4242+2.67%9.628-5.17%0.0208✓1.112.3M2022-08-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067040.006891+2.80%0.006771+1.00%0.0134✓0.5950k2022-08-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0880.090694+3.06%0.1006+14.32%0.1452✓0.78153k2022-08-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.0957.8382+3.12%55.68-0.73%0.0220✓1.1314.3M2022-08-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25990.268172+3.18%0.3366+29.51%0.2870✓1.1347k2022-08-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4855.6603+3.20%6.413+16.92%0.1832✓1.101.9M2022-08-21
PROPropyEthereum0.790.816832+3.40%0.73-7.59%0.0752✗0.70100k2022-08-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.42.4816+3.40%2.48+3.33%0.0793✓1.51216k2022-08-21
GTGateEthereum4.10524.2453+3.41%4.5693+11.31%0.1107✓0.70930k2022-08-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6610.683988+3.48%0.7+5.90%0.0745✓0.97419k2022-08-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.05210.053984+3.62%0.054+3.65%0.0783✓1.47135k2022-08-21
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7010.729383+4.05%0.919+31.10%0.2962✓1.23807k2022-08-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash123.29128.376+4.13%119.67-2.94%0.0102✓1.134.0M2022-08-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.008980.009375+4.40%0.00718-20.04%0.2184✗0.911.4M2022-08-21
ZECZcashZcash59.962.5335+4.40%64.62+7.88%0.1016✓1.301.5M2022-08-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.14030.147123+4.86%0.1499+6.84%0.0845✓1.2487k2022-08-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08220.086657+5.42%0.0898+9.25%0.1006✓1.237,1912022-08-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49760.526211+5.75%0.4896-1.61%0.0119✓1.14333k2022-08-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059630.006375+6.90%0.005915-0.81%0.0266✓0.913,1552022-08-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015220.001633+7.29%0.001501-1.38%0.0295✓1.0317k2022-08-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.