8=======>

2022-07-21 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1745
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.14%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.6%
in alpha space · 35.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8770.832952-5.02%0.569-35.12%0.2403✓1.556,1452022-08-20
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010370.000099119-4.42%0.00008807-15.07%0.0593✗1.95735k2022-08-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.2518.5978-3.39%18.41-4.36%0.0766✗0.952.0M2022-08-20
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93910.916259-2.43%0.8612-8.30%0.0834✗1.60214k2022-08-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05341.0322-2.01%1.06+0.63%0.1140✗0.961,6652022-08-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40311.385-1.29%0.9995-28.76%0.1916✓1.484.7M2022-08-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.760.750511-1.25%0.722-5.00%0.1219✗1.765.8M2022-08-20
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5590.552705-1.13%0.463-17.17%0.0698✓1.1811k2022-08-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2833.2476-1.08%2.746-16.36%0.0146✓1.683.8M2022-08-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8383.797-1.07%6.408+66.96%0.5744✗0.562.2M2022-08-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5916.4313-0.96%41.66+151.12%1.0716✗1.55431k2022-08-20
STORJStorjEthereum0.670.663675-0.94%0.56747-15.30%0.0148✓1.56104k2022-08-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.21810.216198-0.87%0.1683-22.83%0.1228✓1.402,0152022-08-20
CBKCobakEthereum1.07551.0704-0.47%0.94144-12.47%0.0260✓1.127,2992022-08-20
FORTFortaEthereum0.30090.300063-0.28%0.2676-11.07%0.0028✗1.29395k2022-08-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4222.4196-0.10%1.596-34.10%0.2854✓1.44132k2022-08-20
OPTIMOptimism0.7770.776719-0.04%1.131+45.56%0.5384✗1.791.1M2022-08-20
FISStafiEthereum0.44510.445658+0.13%0.3666-17.64%0.1042✗1.004752022-08-20
QNTQuantEthereum102.84103.0064+0.16%104.84+1.94%0.1091✓1.002.7M2022-08-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03690.036963+0.17%0.0394+6.78%0.1762✓1.2385k2022-08-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.943.9498+0.25%5.07+28.68%0.3194✓0.77597k2022-08-20
APEApeCoinEthereum6.4226.4442+0.35%5.036-21.58%0.0878✗1.7411.7M2022-08-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.3426.447+0.41%32.83+24.64%0.3325✓1.281.2M2022-08-20
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5369+0.45%1.39-9.15%0.0790✗0.24419k2022-08-20
GITCOINGITCOIN2.48132.4944+0.53%2.314-6.74%0.0672✓1.567,1792022-08-20
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.180440.181567+0.62%0.15686-13.07%0.0780✓2.461,0532022-08-20
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49590.500011+0.83%0.4104-17.24%0.0974✗1.1049k2022-08-20
GMTGMTEthereum0.9941.0023+0.83%0.799-19.62%0.0625✗1.80561k2022-08-20
RADRadworksEthereum1.871.8869+0.91%2.41+28.88%0.3448✓1.10150k2022-08-20
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19790.200092+1.11%0.1673-15.46%0.0506✗1.412,4852022-08-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025980.026268+1.11%0.02152-17.17%0.0525✗1.6114.2M2022-08-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.4108+1.17%6.33+45.18%0.4191✓0.64579k2022-08-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0690.069913+1.32%0.0602-12.75%0.0600✗0.98183k2022-08-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.974.0227+1.33%5.82+46.60%0.4265✓0.63723k2022-08-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2233.2699+1.46%3.057-5.15%0.0312✓1.08562k2022-08-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.064080.065032+1.49%0.07704+20.22%0.2893✓1.3225k2022-08-20
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9482.9922+1.50%2.096-28.90%0.1976✗1.7484k2022-08-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019070.019369+1.57%0.0177-7.18%0.0220✗0.75354k2022-08-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94510.960103+1.59%1.3649+44.42%0.4616✓1.211.2M2022-08-20
UNIUniswapEthereum7.2227.3385+1.61%7.004-3.02%0.0766✓1.355.7M2022-08-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.83190.84544+1.63%1.0652+28.04%0.3213✓0.993.5M2022-08-20
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.265591+1.64%0.2613+0.00%0.0747✓1.0048k2022-08-20
XVSVenusEthereum5.465.5502+1.65%5.88+7.69%0.1863✓1.411.1M2022-08-20
COMPCompoundEthereum58.0859.0558+1.68%49.23-15.24%0.0574✗1.3733k2022-08-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.31142.3503+1.68%4.3606+88.66%0.6908✓0.80947k2022-08-20
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3821.4065+1.78%1.04-24.75%0.1906✗1.221.6M2022-08-20
FTTFTXEthereum29.4830.017+1.82%26.69-9.46%0.0311✗0.9510.6M2022-08-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.04711.2487+1.83%10.236-7.34%0.0288✓1.3513.0M2022-08-20
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.46280.471321+1.84%0.3838-17.07%0.1144✗1.00258k2022-08-20
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.072940.074319+1.89%0.06888-5.57%0.0092✓0.731,5492022-08-20
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.095786+1.93%0.09157-2.55%0.0460✓1.00626k2022-08-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4741.5026+1.94%1.22-17.23%0.0902✗1.302.8M2022-08-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.0125.5236+2.05%22.3-10.84%0.0076✓1.5727.5M2022-08-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9254.0092+2.15%10.894+177.55%1.0561✓0.621.4M2022-08-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0222810.022766+2.17%0.02156-3.24%0.0355✓0.991,5692022-08-20
DIADIAEthereum0.431230.440647+2.18%0.39983-7.28%0.0304✗0.7351k2022-08-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.38785.5065+2.20%5.0769-5.77%0.0635✗0.19274k2022-08-20
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.243.3117+2.21%2.74-15.43%0.1455✗0.4886k2022-08-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2233.296+2.27%5.051+56.72%0.4838✓0.631.7M2022-08-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.06790.069479+2.33%0.0617-9.13%0.0080✓1.39316k2022-08-20
METISMetisEthereum33.0533.8397+2.39%32.45-1.82%0.0491✓1.00131k2022-08-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5272.5889+2.45%2.152-14.84%0.0569✗1.4143k2022-08-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.97.0695+2.46%6.305-8.62%0.0013✓1.275.2M2022-08-20
HIVEHivenative0.47010.481776+2.48%0.5428+15.46%0.2330✓1.251.3M2022-08-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13950.143019+2.52%0.1226-12.11%0.0608✗1.023.3M2022-08-20
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.40e-79.64e-7+2.54%8.80e-7-6.38%0.0000✓1.0026k2022-08-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.401070.411275+2.54%0.35603-11.23%0.0325✗1.23123k2022-08-20
API3Api3Ethereum1.831.8766+2.55%1.86+1.64%0.1068✓1.27626k2022-08-20
XEMNEMnative0.0490110.050265+2.56%0.045083-8.01%0.0003✓1.2018k2022-08-20
SOLSolanaSolana43.144.2575+2.69%35.29-18.12%0.1049✗1.3381.1M2022-08-20
MANADecentralandEthereum0.940430.966329+2.75%0.83183-11.55%0.0271✓1.35423k2022-08-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174540.017945+2.81%0.022499+28.90%0.2703✓0.48167k2022-08-20
LSKLiskEthereum1.1281.1598+2.81%1.0708-5.07%0.0188✓1.0845k2022-08-20
BORABORAKlay Token0.320190.329354+2.86%0.29724-7.17%0.0196✓1.347,0062022-08-20
BANDBandEthereum1.5171.5619+2.96%1.299-14.37%0.0530✗1.44382k2022-08-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.221375+2.97%0.181-15.81%0.0605✗1.55881k2022-08-20
IMXImmutableEthereum0.98441.0139+3.00%0.8617-12.46%0.0330✗1.421.4M2022-08-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001110.001144+3.06%0.001507+35.72%0.3930✓1.291.7M2022-08-20
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4635+3.06%1.17-17.61%0.0890✗1.48910k2022-08-20
XYMSymbolnative0.054150.055819+3.08%0.049123-9.28%0.0712✗0.6214k2022-08-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.216.4019+3.09%8.12+30.76%0.3574✓1.31263k2022-08-20
DODODODOEthereum0.15230.157134+3.17%0.131-13.99%0.0644✗1.292.8M2022-08-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021080.02175+3.18%0.02244+6.45%0.1275✓1.06127k2022-08-20
MOVRMoonriverBase14.89715.3735+3.20%13.7071-7.99%0.0062✓1.19165k2022-08-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.22592.2974+3.21%5.6922+155.73%0.9891✓0.90890k2022-08-20
AAVEAaveEthereum95.3598.4281+3.23%82.79-13.17%0.0241✓1.6410.8M2022-08-20
KSMKusamaHydration61.1863.1746+3.26%48.54-20.66%0.1540✗1.20231k2022-08-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6150.635239+3.29%0.557-9.43%0.0020✓1.4284k2022-08-20
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7850.810917+3.30%0.843+7.39%0.1094✓0.781.1M2022-08-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42160.435862+3.38%0.3699-12.26%0.0252✓1.53208k2022-08-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6461.7022+3.42%1.525-7.35%0.0224✓1.45203k2022-08-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3343.4499+3.48%4.487+34.58%0.3327✓0.77488k2022-08-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09040.093545+3.48%0.0659-27.10%0.2372✗1.24202k2022-08-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.52252.6104+3.48%3.4859+38.19%0.3790✓0.991.1M2022-08-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016150.016714+3.49%0.014688-9.05%0.0455✗0.921.2M2022-08-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12970.134235+3.50%0.1064-17.96%0.1432✗0.985,8712022-08-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05560.057575+3.55%0.0503-9.53%0.0136✓1.33802k2022-08-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069070.007153+3.56%0.006855-0.75%0.0108✓0.5950k2022-08-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.5683+3.56%2.36-4.84%0.0529✓1.51205k2022-08-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.9913.4532+3.57%12.68-2.39%0.0748✓1.471.1M2022-08-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.787.0262+3.63%8.89+31.12%0.2799✓0.49670k2022-08-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12080.125195+3.64%0.1097-9.19%0.0335✓1.08398k2022-08-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,719.996,967.77+3.69%8,539.61+27.08%0.3247✓1.334.2M2022-08-20
SCSiacoinnative0.004360.004521+3.69%0.00415-4.82%0.0361✓1.34122k2022-08-20
NANOnanopayBase0.9532040.98843+3.70%0.896517-5.95%0.0055✓1.0159k2022-08-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9957.2609+3.80%6.902-1.33%0.0643✓1.2617.9M2022-08-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.080759+3.80%0.0668-14.14%0.0959✗1.03209k2022-08-20
ELAElastosEthereum1.6041.6653+3.82%1.857+15.77%0.2000✓1.00182k2022-08-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6872.7926+3.93%3.919+45.85%0.4206✓0.90105k2022-08-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34940.363196+3.95%0.3003-14.05%0.0840✗1.178.0M2022-08-20
UOSUltraEthereum0.345310.359005+3.97%0.30514-11.63%0.0500✗1.24411k2022-08-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.71e-7+3.97%7.06e-7+98.06%0.7354✓1.00244k2022-08-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.7816.4073+3.98%14.13-10.46%0.0248✓1.371.3M2022-08-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.91951.9963+4.00%1.8646-2.86%0.0433✓1.2326k2022-08-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16610.172812+4.04%0.1493-10.11%0.0296✓1.28354k2022-08-20
UMAUMAEthereum2.7142.8245+4.07%2.824+4.05%0.1003✓1.10621k2022-08-20
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.02844+4.10%0.02642-3.29%0.0505✓1.361,3802022-08-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030470.003172+4.11%0.003393+11.36%0.1625✓1.051.1M2022-08-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009260.009645+4.16%0.00924-0.22%0.0464✓0.984.9M2022-08-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.84359.2105+4.16%53.04-6.69%0.0342✓0.83387k2022-08-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0699520.072877+4.18%0.069428-0.75%0.0609✓1.202.0M2022-08-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047830.04985+4.22%0.04516-5.58%0.0157✓0.919,2922022-08-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3213450.335048+4.26%0.301686-6.12%0.0070✓1.231.3M2022-08-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.14540.1516+4.26%0.147+1.10%0.0823✓1.2487k2022-08-20
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.60e-7+4.33%8.70e-7-5.43%0.0231✓0.836.2M2022-08-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00680.007097+4.37%0.00725+6.62%0.1128✓1.01376k2022-08-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.239.6353+4.39%10.01+8.45%0.1446✓1.17282k2022-08-20
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.681,645.22+4.41%1,575.76+0.01%0.0687✓1.23326.5M2022-08-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.10750.112289+4.45%0.0956-11.07%0.0409✓1.32526k2022-08-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011990.000012525+4.46%0.00001291+7.67%0.1442✓1.251.3M2022-08-20
FLOWFlownative1.8771.9611+4.48%2.124+13.16%0.1930✓1.24332k2022-08-20
STEEMSteemnative0.24890.260111+4.50%0.2331-6.35%0.0028✓1.17733k2022-08-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29940.313274+4.63%0.2842-5.08%0.0109✓1.192.8M2022-08-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.5696+4.64%1.34-10.67%0.0272✓1.44134k2022-08-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52960.554435+4.69%0.5172-2.34%0.0401✓1.20470k2022-08-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24480.256416+4.75%0.2207-9.84%0.0365✓1.25129k2022-08-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,153.9624,253.62+4.75%21,139.23-8.70%0.0464✗1.00398.7M2022-08-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.464420.486631+4.78%0.37019-20.29%0.1401✗1.47733k2022-08-20
XVGVergenative0.003730.003913+4.89%0.00328-12.06%0.0542✗1.34612k2022-08-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05020.052668+4.92%0.0458-8.76%0.0302✓1.20282k2022-08-20
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7340.770116+4.92%0.708-3.54%0.0313✓1.27139k2022-08-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139750.146702+4.97%0.13909-0.47%0.0921✓1.60155k2022-08-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.11020.115744+5.03%0.1832+66.24%0.5597✓1.10560k2022-08-20
DASHDashDash48.1750.6085+5.06%45.75-5.02%0.0015✓1.09606k2022-08-20
PROPropyEthereum0.780.819569+5.07%0.73-6.41%0.0515✗0.71107k2022-08-20
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.055850.058684+5.07%0.06829+22.27%0.2848✓1.46773k2022-08-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.264621+5.18%0.2549+1.31%0.0615✓1.0961k2022-08-20
XTZTezosTezos1.68111.7689+5.22%1.5629-7.03%0.0087✓1.26494k2022-08-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.141952+5.23%0.1223-9.34%0.0290✓1.3244k2022-08-20
ADACardanoCardano0.49960.525836+5.25%0.4513-9.67%0.0372✓1.2743.9M2022-08-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08590.090554+5.42%0.1034+20.37%0.2046✓0.79157k2022-08-20
XECeCashnative0.000040990.000043259+5.53%0.00003899-4.88%0.0041✓1.191.9M2022-08-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.046983+5.58%0.0403-9.44%0.0308✓1.357,6872022-08-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,097.6024,405.63+5.66%21,129.20-8.52%0.0552✗0.9826k2022-08-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.895.1691+5.71%6.52+33.33%0.2930✓0.67574k2022-08-20
XLMStellarStellar0.1135920.120155+5.78%0.109019-4.03%0.0060✓1.007.2M2022-08-20
GTGateEthereum4.12464.3699+5.95%4.4355+7.54%0.0790✓0.70930k2022-08-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.009230.009788+6.05%0.00713-22.75%0.2338✗0.911.3M2022-08-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22850.242566+6.16%0.239+4.60%0.1196✓1.48117k2022-08-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5317.9959+6.17%7.228-4.02%0.0111✓1.239.0M2022-08-20
TRXTRONTron0.0680150.072242+6.21%0.065857-3.17%0.0205✓0.79369k2022-08-20
ZECZcashZcash61.8665.7207+6.24%62.92+1.71%0.0748✓1.301.5M2022-08-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43060.457576+6.26%0.3713-13.77%0.0869✗1.34104k2022-08-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6215.9762+6.32%6.249+11.17%0.1451✓1.101.9M2022-08-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.0361.8397+6.57%54.1-6.77%0.0305✓1.1314.6M2022-08-20
ZENHorizenBase17.0118.1337+6.61%15.84-6.88%0.0087✓1.39100k2022-08-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.46941.567+6.64%1.7871+21.62%0.2608✓1.42651k2022-08-20
XMRMoneroMonero151.18161.2241+6.64%149.22-1.30%0.0241✓1.111.3M2022-08-20
KCSKuCoinnative10.16210.8374+6.65%9.372-7.77%0.0442✓1.112.2M2022-08-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1070.114175+6.71%0.1029-3.83%0.0202✓1.362.5M2022-08-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7290.781351+7.18%0.611-16.19%0.1073✗1.52108k2022-08-20
QTUMQtumQtum3.10443.3293+7.24%3.3461+7.78%0.1041✓1.0926k2022-08-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2990.321665+7.58%0.29-3.01%0.0077✓1.05673k2022-08-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030040.032328+7.62%0.03745+24.67%0.2629✓1.2722k2022-08-20
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27860.299881+7.64%0.3105+11.45%0.1372✓1.1342k2022-08-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.05420.058347+7.65%0.0523-3.51%0.0248✓1.47119k2022-08-20
STXStacksnative0.43060.463991+7.75%0.3896-9.52%0.0594✓1.27414k2022-08-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6880.74762+8.67%0.676-1.74%0.0125✓0.97434k2022-08-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash123.12133.9484+8.79%114.78-6.77%0.0510✓1.144.0M2022-08-20
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7070.773577+9.42%0.869+22.91%0.2286✓1.23807k2022-08-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.005960.00655+9.91%0.005866-1.57%0.0271✓0.913,1552022-08-20
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08580.094835+10.53%0.0849-1.05%0.0011✓1.236,9982022-08-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.51490.581194+12.88%0.4742-7.90%0.0998✓1.14333k2022-08-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.