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2022-07-15 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2089
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.19%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.1%
in alpha space · 80.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+16.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000107430.00010076-6.21%0.00010014-6.79%0.3080✓1.95682k2022-08-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.599485-5.59%0.753+18.58%0.0039✓1.503,6872022-08-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7790.75081-3.62%0.874+12.20%0.1347✓1.857.5M2022-08-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.683460.660248-3.40%0.71015+3.91%0.1808✓1.64131k2022-08-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83940.812565-3.20%1.0019+19.36%0.0402✓1.61192k2022-08-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.256677-2.96%0.2996+13.27%0.0627✓1.40439k2022-08-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5316.1242-2.45%39.27+137.57%0.6329✗1.66421k2022-08-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.563.4788-2.28%5.06+42.13%0.2617✗0.73572k2022-08-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.613.5366-2.03%6.354+76.01%0.5021✗0.542.1M2022-08-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8313.758-1.91%4.154+8.43%0.0233✓0.80488k2022-08-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7214.4879-1.58%21.24+44.29%0.2301✗0.981.7M2022-08-14
QNTQuantEthereum104.42102.8609-1.49%118.61+13.59%0.0162✓1.022.6M2022-08-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47310.466404-1.42%0.5344+12.96%0.0350✓1.1052k2022-08-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.5282-1.41%1.5-3.23%0.0582✓0.26485k2022-08-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0360.035503-1.38%0.0428+18.89%0.0076✓1.2695k2022-08-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30132.2726-1.25%3.077+33.71%0.0524✗1.624,8022022-08-14
FISStafiEthereum0.38250.377921-1.20%0.4905+28.24%0.1059✗1.004832022-08-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.093023-1.01%0.08572-8.78%0.2366✓1.00394k2022-08-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174570.172957-0.92%0.1917+9.81%0.3228✓2.758962022-08-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.913.8744-0.91%5.42+38.62%0.2372✗0.64672k2022-08-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.10671.0971-0.87%1.3892+25.53%0.0140✗1.434.2M2022-08-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.01881.0099-0.87%1.2058+18.36%0.0003✓1.144,5462022-08-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.374.3346-0.81%6.12+40.05%0.2457✗0.64555k2022-08-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.812210.805698-0.80%1.207+48.61%0.2678✗0.883642022-08-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.259277-0.66%0.2611+0.04%0.1479✓1.0037k2022-08-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17910.178183-0.51%0.2112+17.92%0.0584✓1.472,7232022-08-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.07316-0.46%0.0721-1.90%0.1712✓1.01181k2022-08-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0362.0273-0.43%2.187+7.42%0.1554✓1.49112k2022-08-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023470.023397-0.31%0.02926+24.67%0.0309✓1.6416.9M2022-08-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5452.5385-0.26%3.821+50.14%0.1397✗1.743.7M2022-08-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.4070.40644-0.14%0.5199+27.74%0.0913✗1.00202k2022-08-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2522.2489-0.14%3.5378+57.10%0.3284✗0.80922k2022-08-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2563.2529-0.10%4.102+25.98%0.1327✗0.642.1M2022-08-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.1893-0.02%2.98-6.58%0.1384✓0.4678k2022-08-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2691.2694+0.03%1.445+13.87%0.0740✗1.312.5M2022-08-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.71e-7+0.14%0.00000101+16.09%0.0071✗1.0033k2022-08-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3960.396671+0.17%0.534+34.85%0.1255✓1.119,9052022-08-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.920.92167+0.18%0.981+6.63%0.2158✗1.80528k2022-08-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.17710.177467+0.21%0.2284+28.97%0.0384✓1.382,2022022-08-14
METISMetisEthereum23.4923.5568+0.28%43.26+84.16%0.4529✓1.00127k2022-08-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.07170.071907+0.29%0.0765+6.69%0.1602✗1.43299k2022-08-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018090.018182+0.51%0.01762-2.60%0.1511✗0.77381k2022-08-14
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2955.5952+0.55%63.04+14.02%0.0881✗1.3829k2022-08-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0208250.020955+0.62%0.025582+22.84%0.0437✓1.011,2172022-08-14
XVSVenusEthereum5.165.193+0.64%6.42+24.42%0.0143✗1.461.2M2022-08-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80140.806721+0.66%1.1212+39.91%0.1711✓1.024.1M2022-08-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074630.075144+0.69%0.08115+8.74%0.0512✗0.831,9712022-08-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060290.060709+0.70%0.0883+46.46%0.1599✓1.3925k2022-08-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.823.8483+0.74%5.932+55.29%0.3358✓0.631.6M2022-08-14
RADRadworksEthereum1.71.7139+0.82%2.55+50.00%0.2246✓1.12117k2022-08-14
HIVEHivenative0.43260.436214+0.84%0.6213+43.62%0.1584✓1.261.2M2022-08-14
DIADIAEthereum0.406450.409908+0.85%0.49265+21.21%0.0666✓0.7654k2022-08-14
UNIUniswapEthereum6.7816.8398+0.87%8.882+30.98%0.0468✓1.385.6M2022-08-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.7342.7587+0.90%3.865+41.37%0.1631✓1.12534k2022-08-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.89880.907583+0.98%1.4588+62.31%0.2825✓1.24838k2022-08-14
OPTIMOptimism0.4830.487757+0.98%1.44+198.14%0.8200✓1.701.2M2022-08-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8136.8869+1.08%8.001+17.44%0.0557✗1.335.5M2022-08-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3332.359+1.12%3.944+69.05%0.3726✓0.9188k2022-08-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0519240.052513+1.13%0.056453+8.72%0.0242✗0.6214k2022-08-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.8361.8585+1.22%2.387+30.01%0.0479✓1.31816k2022-08-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30345.37+1.26%5.1274-3.32%0.0747✗0.18335k2022-08-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2080.210808+1.35%0.225+8.17%0.1775✗1.57964k2022-08-14
FTTFTXEthereum26.7827.1526+1.39%30.84+15.16%0.0182✗0.9410.7M2022-08-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.288960.293136+1.45%0.36752+27.19%0.0165✓1.353,2762022-08-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.388830.394501+1.46%0.44475+14.38%0.0731✗1.25128k2022-08-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1972.2293+1.47%2.773+26.22%0.0020✓1.4247k2022-08-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.766.8612+1.50%8.97+32.69%0.1908✓0.50657k2022-08-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.41.4216+1.54%1.48+5.71%0.1972✗1.53768k2022-08-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43932.477+1.55%3.1608+29.58%0.0888✓1.001.1M2022-08-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0170930.017357+1.55%0.019846+16.11%0.0534✓0.52179k2022-08-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.3675+1.61%3.06+31.33%0.0155✓1.56216k2022-08-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1560.158556+1.64%0.1842+18.08%0.0578✗1.34349k2022-08-14
ELAElastosEthereum1.4841.5089+1.67%2.039+37.40%0.1462✓1.00180k2022-08-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.43353.3395+1.73%62.391+18.99%0.0269✓0.84410k2022-08-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.90110.916912+1.75%1.0962+21.65%0.0464✗1.451.4M2022-08-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.847240.862224+1.77%1.0735+26.71%0.0118✓1.34411k2022-08-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.0589.2214+1.80%11.588+27.93%0.0187✓1.3512.7M2022-08-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067390.006861+1.81%0.00672-0.28%0.1097✗0.5772k2022-08-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.65e-7+1.81%4.26e-7+18.73%0.0139✓1.08392k2022-08-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2061.228+1.82%1.341+11.19%0.0933✗1.171.4M2022-08-14
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6014.685+1.82%6.368+38.40%0.0357✓1.7512.2M2022-08-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026870.027373+1.87%0.03229+20.17%0.0628✗1.471,7332022-08-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.463960.472667+1.88%0.40475-12.76%0.3899✗1.52945k2022-08-14
BANDBandEthereum1.3661.3921+1.91%1.732+26.79%0.0072✓1.46385k2022-08-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.121695+1.92%0.1641+37.44%0.1420✓1.013.9M2022-08-14
SOLSolanaSolana37.3738.1174+2.00%44.89+20.12%0.0418✗1.3383.9M2022-08-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.142771+2.05%0.1716+22.66%0.0103✓1.2593k2022-08-14
XEMNEMnative0.0404450.041294+2.10%0.053806+33.03%0.0864✓1.1515k2022-08-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7690.785171+2.10%0.932+21.20%0.0501✓0.781.3M2022-08-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08630.088125+2.11%0.0854-1.04%0.2273✗1.26171k2022-08-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009190.009387+2.15%0.01037+12.84%0.0596✗1.034.9M2022-08-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.04781.0706+2.17%1.2606+20.30%0.0056✓1.0948k2022-08-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39680.405429+2.17%0.4793+20.79%0.0760✗1.57197k2022-08-14
AAVEAaveEthereum90.4192.3811+2.18%107.44+18.84%0.1097✗1.6810.2M2022-08-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019390.019815+2.19%0.02573+32.70%0.0977✓1.0699k2022-08-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00097060.000992205+2.23%0.001432+47.49%0.1678✓1.281.8M2022-08-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.5932.6542+2.36%3.446+32.90%0.0869✓1.12830k2022-08-14
KSMKusamaHydration54.3755.6962+2.44%58.87+8.28%0.1273✗1.18235k2022-08-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.92251.9706+2.50%3.6932+92.10%0.4934✓0.87845k2022-08-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.76811.8141+2.60%2.3122+30.78%0.0505✓1.2434k2022-08-14
DODODODOEthereum0.14630.150108+2.60%0.171+16.88%0.0722✗1.312.8M2022-08-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04950.050809+2.65%0.067+35.35%0.0660✓1.36837k2022-08-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32750.336241+2.67%0.3642+11.21%0.1033✗1.188.3M2022-08-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.311360.319726+2.69%0.37655+20.94%0.0321✗1.26411k2022-08-14
SCSiacoinnative0.00390.004008+2.77%0.00499+27.95%0.0098✓1.35136k2022-08-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045240.046495+2.78%0.05538+22.41%0.0325✓0.925,7282022-08-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10640.109361+2.78%0.1284+20.68%0.0098✓1.10380k2022-08-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8882140.912966+2.79%1.0568+18.98%0.0116✓1.0268k2022-08-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49540.509532+2.85%0.6094+23.01%0.0078✓1.21491k2022-08-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3216.5034+2.89%8.77+38.74%0.1044✓1.2619.3M2022-08-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1772.2402+2.90%2.808+28.98%0.0361✗1.6984k2022-08-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.10080.10373+2.91%0.1166+15.67%0.0954✗1.37547k2022-08-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3519.9164+2.93%28.19+45.68%0.1087✓1.5425.2M2022-08-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4721+2.94%1.75+22.38%0.0541✗1.47153k2022-08-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,152.706,338.07+3.01%11,226.83+82.47%0.3640✓1.344.2M2022-08-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6670.68737+3.05%0.887+32.98%0.0589✓1.27120k2022-08-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006420.006617+3.07%0.00865+34.74%0.1142✓0.99390k2022-08-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.625.7984+3.17%10.26+82.56%0.3593✓1.36256k2022-08-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.9714.4153+3.19%18.56+32.86%0.0422✓1.361.3M2022-08-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.568.8336+3.20%11.81+37.97%0.1061✓1.19288k2022-08-14
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.98e-7+3.20%0.00000101+16.09%0.0135✓0.855.7M2022-08-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027970.002887+3.22%0.00419+49.80%0.2112✓1.041.2M2022-08-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04090.042227+3.24%0.0472+15.40%0.0981✗1.357,6892022-08-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23020.237774+3.29%0.2693+16.99%0.0704✗1.26167k2022-08-14
MOVRMoonriverBase12.83113.2618+3.36%16.2019+26.27%0.0149✓1.20242k2022-08-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,827.5521,528.12+3.36%24,316.71+16.75%0.0331✓1.00447.1M2022-08-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4511.4998+3.37%1.939+33.63%0.0264✓1.49182k2022-08-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2941580.304347+3.46%0.374117+27.18%0.0107✓1.261.7M2022-08-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27060.280146+3.53%0.3467+28.12%0.0284✓1.193.0M2022-08-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5010.519074+3.61%0.699+39.52%0.0820✓1.3985k2022-08-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09070.09399+3.63%0.1275+40.57%0.1785✓0.82145k2022-08-14
DASHDashDash43.2444.8141+3.64%55.08+27.38%0.0343✓1.11623k2022-08-14
PROPropyEthereum0.810.839827+3.68%0.81+0.00%0.1512✗0.74111k2022-08-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.062970.065302+3.70%0.0817+29.74%0.0357✓1.222.0M2022-08-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.10580.109761+3.74%0.1811+71.17%0.3297✓1.10549k2022-08-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.84.9797+3.74%6.17+28.54%0.1103✓0.67609k2022-08-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.0615.6438+3.88%41.57+176.03%0.7949✓1.181.2M2022-08-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.049965+3.88%0.0541+12.47%0.1135✗1.25257k2022-08-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128940.133941+3.88%0.1773+37.51%0.0302✓1.62155k2022-08-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10810.112311+3.90%0.1308+21.00%0.0012✓0.986,6852022-08-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.009361+3.90%0.00825-8.44%0.2689✗0.921.2M2022-08-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010840.000011273+4.00%0.00001688+55.72%0.2108✓1.251.1M2022-08-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122360.012726+4.00%0.015677+28.12%0.0817✓0.821.2M2022-08-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1074120.111729+4.02%0.125646+16.98%0.0385✓1.017.4M2022-08-14
ADACardanoCardano0.44190.459931+4.08%0.5701+29.01%0.0183✓1.2746.2M2022-08-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12790.13312+4.08%0.1477+15.48%0.1033✗1.3434k2022-08-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.050590.052698+4.17%0.09281+83.46%0.3381✓1.47778k2022-08-14
GTGateEthereum4.00674.1753+4.21%5.0549+26.16%0.0805✓0.711.0M2022-08-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2265.4459+4.21%8.235+57.58%0.2383✓1.131.8M2022-08-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,161.6022,078.03+4.33%24,209.70+14.40%0.0610✗0.9943k2022-08-14
FLOWFlownative1.5461.6131+4.34%2.832+83.18%0.3751✓1.21287k2022-08-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.23760.248007+4.38%0.2868+20.71%0.0251✓1.1060k2022-08-14
XTZTezosTezos1.57431.6434+4.39%1.8226+15.77%0.0942✗1.28555k2022-08-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37650.393021+4.39%0.4837+28.47%0.0010✓1.3382k2022-08-14
XECeCashnative0.000039220.000040945+4.40%0.00004614+17.64%0.0680✗1.211.9M2022-08-14
KCSKuCoinnative9.199.5965+4.42%10.646+15.84%0.0685✗1.112.4M2022-08-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7947.1+4.50%8.955+31.81%0.0414✓1.239.6M2022-08-14
XVGVergenative0.003440.003597+4.57%0.00403+17.15%0.0960✗1.35664k2022-08-14
ZECZcashZcash58.3761.0632+4.61%73.71+26.28%0.0171✓1.331.6M2022-08-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09860.103316+4.78%0.1393+41.28%0.0899✓1.352.5M2022-08-14
TRXTRONTron0.0670240.070231+4.78%0.070349+4.96%0.1248✗0.82433k2022-08-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19830.207803+4.79%0.2555+28.85%0.0203✓1.47117k2022-08-14
ZENHorizenBase16.0316.802+4.82%20.14+25.64%0.0384✓1.4274k2022-08-14
STEEMSteemnative0.20010.209769+4.83%0.2723+36.08%0.0753✓1.20705k2022-08-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.41591.4859+4.94%1.6481+16.40%0.1174✗1.43651k2022-08-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,231.101,292.83+5.01%1,935.85+57.25%0.2186✓1.20326.5M2022-08-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.04950.051986+5.02%0.0703+42.02%0.0730✓1.48102k2022-08-14
XMRMoneroMonero138.94146.0156+5.09%168.04+20.94%0.0353✓1.141.3M2022-08-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.219.6798+5.10%14.53+57.76%0.1805✓1.461.1M2022-08-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05310.055883+5.24%0.0809+52.35%0.2487✓0.78204k2022-08-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.300176+5.32%0.327+14.74%0.0745✗1.03575k2022-08-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6130.647141+5.57%0.7+14.19%0.1583✗1.53112k2022-08-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.7654.8041+5.88%63.17+22.04%0.0394✓1.1715.4M2022-08-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027280.028982+6.24%0.04879+78.85%0.3227✓1.2819k2022-08-14
QTUMQtumQtum2.78182.9617+6.47%4.1906+50.65%0.1770✓1.1026k2022-08-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6530.697645+6.84%0.839+28.48%0.0373✓0.95405k2022-08-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056970.006089+6.89%0.006713+17.84%0.0449✓0.923,0112022-08-14
STXStacksnative0.38290.40949+6.94%0.4917+28.41%0.0131✓1.27405k2022-08-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24030.257252+7.05%0.4118+71.37%0.2936✓1.1433k2022-08-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5770.6201+7.47%1.008+74.70%0.2992✓1.21867k2022-08-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.07114.2116+7.68%139.45+31.47%0.0260✓1.124.3M2022-08-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07640.082585+8.10%0.0995+30.24%0.0047✓1.236,9262022-08-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46710.519501+11.22%0.5947+27.32%0.0389✓1.12294k2022-08-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.