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2022-07-12 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1597
181 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.39%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.7%
in alpha space · 77.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+24.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009180.000084567-7.88%0.00009727+5.96%0.2627✓1.87744k2022-08-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6080.567556-6.65%0.769+26.48%0.0215✓1.513,2002022-08-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7760.735313-5.24%0.889+14.56%0.2183✓1.898.5M2022-08-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.608110.576342-5.22%0.7242+19.09%0.1263✓1.65120k2022-08-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.24210.230599-4.75%0.3078+27.14%0.0733✗1.00503k2022-08-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.7780.748011-3.85%1.0027+28.88%0.0583✓1.63180k2022-08-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4223.3027-3.49%6.256+82.82%0.5196✗0.552.2M2022-08-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4197-3.42%1.52+3.40%0.0174✓0.24575k2022-08-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.2414.7413-3.27%21.14+38.71%0.1408✗1.021.0M2022-08-11
FISStafiEthereum0.38240.371656-2.81%–pending––1.004832022-08-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.5114.1246-2.66%36.12+148.93%0.5835✗1.65431k2022-08-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095110.092827-2.40%0.08746-8.04%0.2750✓1.00368k2022-08-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03490.034094-2.31%0.0439+25.79%0.0219✓1.27102k2022-08-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.1462.0984-2.22%3.1366+46.16%0.0476✗1.644,8022022-08-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8672.8067-2.10%4.034+40.70%0.2260✗0.632.3M2022-08-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43870.429615-2.07%0.5522+25.87%0.0091✓1.1257k2022-08-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171770.168332-2.00%0.1952+13.64%0.4795✓2.918572022-08-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.25990.255388-1.74%0.2613+0.54%0.1926✓1.0045k2022-08-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.032.9779-1.72%4.8+58.42%0.3227✗0.72612k2022-08-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.36160.35557-1.67%0.5389+49.03%0.2003✗1.00179k2022-08-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022680.022383-1.31%0.03161+39.37%0.0137✓1.6719.6M2022-08-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1680.165853-1.28%0.2226+32.50%0.0389✓1.552,9732022-08-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07110.0702-1.27%0.0718+0.98%0.2010✓1.04117k2022-08-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.322.2907-1.26%4.038+74.05%0.1926✗1.743.4M2022-08-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.463.4169-1.25%5.28+52.60%0.3007✗0.62697k2022-08-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.012.9741-1.19%2.93-2.66%0.1044✓0.4282k2022-08-11
METISMetisEthereum19.7219.5152-1.04%44.8+127.18%0.6156✗1.0093k2022-08-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.921880.912988-0.96%1.1706+26.98%0.0021✓1.142,3312022-08-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.03292.0151-0.87%3.2004+57.43%0.2916✗0.791.0M2022-08-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1581.1486-0.81%1.456+25.73%0.0481✓1.322.8M2022-08-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.8470.840285-0.79%0.967+14.17%0.2498✓1.81610k2022-08-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018190.01805-0.77%0.01787-1.76%0.1814✓0.80405k2022-08-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3730.370738-0.61%0.551+47.72%0.1552✗1.129,6592022-08-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5793.5578-0.59%4.683+30.85%0.1395✗0.631.7M2022-08-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.813.7899-0.53%5.8+52.23%0.2871✗0.64595k2022-08-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.16860.167974-0.37%0.2554+51.48%0.1186✗1.392,7352022-08-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0198240.019755-0.35%0.024997+26.09%0.0178✗1.019372022-08-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7371.7325-0.26%2.326+33.91%0.0273✓1.49115k2022-08-11
RADRadworksEthereum1.61.5985-0.10%2.58+61.25%0.2348✗1.13114k2022-08-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.87530.875263-0.00%1.3595+55.32%0.1426✗1.384.2M2022-08-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.3895.3891+0.00%4.7078-12.64%0.1770✗0.19335k2022-08-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.74840.748797+0.05%1.127+50.59%0.1902✓1.014.5M2022-08-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.61e-73.61e-7+0.06%3.27e-7-9.54%0.3389✗1.10486k2022-08-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.679550.680349+0.12%1.2255+80.35%0.4045✓0.852912022-08-11
OPTIMOptimism0.4510.451598+0.13%1.558+245.45%0.8689✓1.711.4M2022-08-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.282330.282749+0.15%0.36776+30.26%0.0327✗1.373,2622022-08-11
HIVEHivenative0.4150.415699+0.17%0.6302+51.86%0.1411✓1.281.3M2022-08-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0500210.050117+0.19%0.057169+14.29%0.0034✗0.6315k2022-08-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.4451.4483+0.23%2.089+44.57%0.1508✓1.00178k2022-08-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7472.7536+0.24%4.044+47.22%0.2215✓0.76497k2022-08-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.060358+0.26%0.078+29.57%0.0528✗1.44312k2022-08-11
XVSVenusEthereum4.654.6661+0.35%6.61+42.15%0.0331✓1.461.3M2022-08-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0176180.01768+0.35%0.019255+9.29%0.0300✗0.54231k2022-08-11
QNTQuantEthereum80.280.5065+0.38%124.47+55.20%0.2218✓0.992.6M2022-08-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.512.5206+0.42%4.091+62.99%0.2448✓1.11539k2022-08-11
DIADIAEthereum0.369240.370831+0.43%0.47814+29.49%0.0932✓0.7554k2022-08-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2776.3053+0.45%8.186+30.41%0.0266✗1.345.5M2022-08-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13620.136881+0.50%0.1949+43.10%0.0663✓1.33349k2022-08-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009590.009639+0.51%0.01006+4.90%0.1855✗1.065.1M2022-08-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.85370.858265+0.53%1.4845+73.89%0.2792✓1.25444k2022-08-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.204125+0.55%0.228+12.32%0.2258✗1.561.1M2022-08-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.053080.053451+0.70%0.08708+64.05%0.1886✓1.3925k2022-08-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.2052.2206+0.71%3.611+63.76%0.2873✓0.92127k2022-08-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.22342.2407+0.78%2.9337+31.95%0.0536✓1.001.3M2022-08-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.45560.459304+0.81%0.40616-10.85%0.4572✗1.551.2M2022-08-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.48449.9115+0.86%61.928+25.15%0.0352✓0.84434k2022-08-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027130.027388+0.95%0.03187+17.47%0.1925✗1.601,9882022-08-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.122.1407+0.97%3.13+47.64%0.0407✓1.57218k2022-08-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.6771.6933+0.97%2.184+30.23%0.0336✗1.34874k2022-08-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0142.0339+0.99%2.849+41.46%0.0308✓1.4265k2022-08-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.367180.370902+1.01%0.4605+25.42%0.0538✗1.25155k2022-08-11
FTTFTXEthereum23.8724.1136+1.02%30.52+27.86%0.0343✓0.9311.3M2022-08-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37390.377815+1.05%0.4591+22.79%0.1451✗1.58208k2022-08-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.065050.065737+1.06%0.08332+28.09%0.0627✓0.812,1062022-08-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7650.773168+1.07%0.993+29.80%0.0784✓0.801.5M2022-08-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.935.9959+1.11%8.57+44.52%0.2527✓0.49704k2022-08-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.783920.792726+1.12%1.0527+34.29%0.0065✓1.35433k2022-08-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064950.00657+1.16%0.006698+3.13%0.1015✗0.5695k2022-08-11
COMPCompoundEthereum46.7847.328+1.17%63.11+34.91%0.0082✓1.3728k2022-08-11
APEApeCoinEthereum4.2374.288+1.20%6.929+63.54%0.1010✓1.7614.9M2022-08-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.13140.132985+1.21%0.1701+29.45%0.0270✗1.2796k2022-08-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82640.837166+1.30%1.1274+36.42%0.0153✗1.451.6M2022-08-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.10380.105157+1.31%0.1646+58.57%0.2345✓0.994.0M2022-08-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019010.019263+1.33%0.02718+42.98%0.1152✓1.06100k2022-08-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.5382.5725+1.36%3.021+19.03%0.0861✗1.15969k2022-08-11
XEMNEMnative0.0376920.038232+1.43%0.053086+40.84%0.0786✓1.1615k2022-08-11
LSKLiskEthereum0.9915971.0069+1.54%1.2591+26.98%0.0127✓1.1059k2022-08-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08220.08347+1.54%0.0916+11.44%0.1801✗1.27179k2022-08-11
SOLSolanaSolana32.6633.1831+1.60%42.8+31.05%0.0289✗1.3288.2M2022-08-11
BANDBandEthereum1.2261.246+1.63%1.767+44.13%0.0358✓1.46391k2022-08-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0881.106+1.65%1.324+21.69%0.0714✗1.171.6M2022-08-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09990.101631+1.73%0.1263+26.43%0.0203✗1.10388k2022-08-11
UNIUniswapEthereum5.5285.6241+1.74%8.964+62.16%0.1733✓1.365.6M2022-08-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.7927.9313+1.79%11.749+50.78%0.1036✓1.3412.7M2022-08-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.63521.6651+1.83%2.3938+46.40%0.0956✓1.2438k2022-08-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04240.043232+1.96%0.05344+26.04%0.0129✓0.925,7282022-08-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04150.042324+1.98%0.0749+80.48%0.2805✓1.35855k2022-08-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04040.041212+2.01%0.0488+20.79%0.1239✗1.369,2782022-08-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00090210.000920546+2.04%0.001521+68.62%0.2245✓1.292.0M2022-08-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum5.9446.0679+2.08%8.96+50.74%0.1161✓1.2720.2M2022-08-11
KSMKusamaHydration46.8647.8443+2.10%60.91+29.98%0.0101✓1.17270k2022-08-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.46390.473679+2.11%0.6487+39.84%0.0553✓1.20579k2022-08-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29230.298518+2.13%0.3613+23.61%0.0624✗1.188.8M2022-08-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.972.013+2.18%2.875+45.94%0.0095✓1.7084k2022-08-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.121.1457+2.29%1.54+37.50%0.0293✗1.51768k2022-08-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6330.647608+2.31%0.924+45.97%0.0787✓1.28157k2022-08-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0920.094131+2.32%0.1304+41.74%0.1478✓0.83150k2022-08-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.71881.7587+2.32%3.3972+97.65%0.4736✓0.86899k2022-08-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006160.006305+2.35%0.00871+41.40%0.1073✓1.00397k2022-08-11
SCSiacoinnative0.003640.00373+2.46%0.00517+42.03%0.0356✓1.35165k2022-08-11
NANOnanopayBase0.840820.861842+2.50%1.0862+29.18%0.0110✓1.0285k2022-08-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,303.6519,795.73+2.55%23,944.86+24.04%0.0252✓1.00453.1M2022-08-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.7317.1576+2.56%28.54+70.59%0.1813✓1.5225.2M2022-08-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.267610.274582+2.61%0.38689+44.57%0.0736✓1.25445k2022-08-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,437.915,580.43+2.62%11,294.44+107.70%0.4186✓1.334.5M2022-08-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.3445+2.63%1.91+45.80%0.0342✓1.47164k2022-08-11
PROPropyEthereum0.820.841704+2.65%0.85+3.66%0.1294✗0.65121k2022-08-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.747.9485+2.69%11.8+52.45%0.1411✓1.18288k2022-08-11
BTTCBTTC8.00e-78.22e-7+2.70%0.00000101+26.25%0.0264✓0.845.8M2022-08-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0026230.002695+2.73%0.004951+88.75%0.3854✓1.031.3M2022-08-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum12.8313.1832+2.75%18.45+43.80%0.0423✓1.361.4M2022-08-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.145.282+2.76%10.3+100.39%0.3807✓1.33263k2022-08-11
ADACardanoCardano0.41650.428274+2.83%0.5306+27.39%0.0613✗1.2846.2M2022-08-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22210.228437+2.85%0.2705+21.79%0.1072✗1.28201k2022-08-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008770.009021+2.86%0.00834-4.90%0.2792✗0.931.2M2022-08-11
DASHDashDash39.7540.8886+2.86%55.61+39.90%0.0703✓1.10642k2022-08-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25440.261841+2.92%0.3493+37.30%0.0300✓1.203.1M2022-08-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10170.104729+2.98%0.134+31.76%0.0344✓0.987,0862022-08-11
XLMStellarStellar0.100450.103465+3.00%0.125283+24.72%0.0267✓1.018.4M2022-08-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.08270.085188+3.01%0.1215+46.92%0.0638✓1.35576k2022-08-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.09660.099552+3.06%0.1497+54.97%0.1711✓1.10549k2022-08-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.0745.2295+3.06%8.347+64.51%0.2215✓1.142.0M2022-08-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4620.47628+3.09%0.691+49.57%0.0716✓1.4092k2022-08-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0597970.061685+3.16%0.070882+18.54%0.1232✗1.222.2M2022-08-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative13.8214.2613+3.19%42.06+204.34%0.8273✓1.181.4M2022-08-11
DODODODOEthereum0.12270.126633+3.21%0.1775+44.66%0.0625✓1.282.8M2022-08-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2631.3045+3.29%2.005+58.75%0.1131✓1.47173k2022-08-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2721740.281175+3.31%0.376118+38.19%0.0187✓1.262.0M2022-08-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.2736.4813+3.32%9.201+46.68%0.0840✓1.2410.4M2022-08-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04440.045888+3.35%0.0549+23.65%0.0900✗1.25264k2022-08-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36030.372453+3.37%0.458+27.12%0.0842✗1.3594k2022-08-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.011640.012043+3.46%0.015949+37.02%0.1038✓0.821.4M2022-08-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.114450.11845+3.50%0.17809+55.61%0.0608✓1.61169k2022-08-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047150.048807+3.51%0.09833+108.55%0.3819✓1.48793k2022-08-11
FLOWFlownative1.4271.4773+3.52%2.971+108.20%0.4380✓1.21287k2022-08-11
KCSKuCoinnative8.6598.9651+3.53%10.512+21.40%0.0817✗1.123.0M2022-08-11
GTGateEthereum3.78773.923+3.57%4.9372+30.35%0.0779✓0.711.1M2022-08-11
AAVEAaveEthereum68.2470.6863+3.58%107.55+57.61%0.0666✓1.649.9M2022-08-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.230.238341+3.63%0.3041+32.22%0.0037✓1.1162k2022-08-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.264.4153+3.64%5.91+38.73%0.1510✓0.65733k2022-08-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12310.127592+3.65%0.1474+19.74%0.1469✗1.3535k2022-08-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000009890.000010265+3.80%0.00001233+24.67%0.0847✗1.241.3M2022-08-11
XECeCashnative0.000037310.000038729+3.80%0.00004644+24.47%0.0812✗1.222.0M2022-08-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.04830.050158+3.85%0.0819+69.57%0.3234✓0.77204k2022-08-11
STEEMSteemnative0.1990.206801+3.92%0.2695+35.43%0.0024✓1.22701k2022-08-11
XVGVergenative0.003160.003287+4.00%0.00393+24.37%0.1097✗1.34664k2022-08-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.08740.090984+4.10%0.1425+63.04%0.1595✓1.342.5M2022-08-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2590.26966+4.12%0.321+23.94%0.0455✗1.02575k2022-08-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.04690.048857+4.17%0.0621+32.41%0.0813✗1.49109k2022-08-11
ZECZcashZcash51.9254.1005+4.20%79.26+52.66%0.0964✓1.321.7M2022-08-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18120.188817+4.20%0.2297+26.77%0.1224✗1.48142k2022-08-11
MOVRMoonriverBase11.150611.6234+4.24%17.0874+53.24%0.1311✓1.18304k2022-08-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,265.3020,096.57+4.31%24,153.10+25.37%0.0287✓0.9948k2022-08-11
XTZTezosTezos1.43251.4946+4.34%1.9022+32.79%0.0343✓1.28603k2022-08-11
TRXTRONTron0.0645720.067503+4.54%0.070371+8.98%0.1374✗0.83531k2022-08-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5770.603406+4.58%0.74+28.25%0.1288✗1.55139k2022-08-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,037.341,086.12+4.70%1,881.04+81.33%0.2961✓1.17326.5M2022-08-11
ZENHorizenBase14.314.9776+4.74%21.63+51.26%0.0615✓1.4277k2022-08-11
XMRMoneroMonero122.96128.8949+4.83%160.49+30.52%0.0272✓1.141.3M2022-08-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.38.706+4.89%15.6+87.95%0.2684✓1.461.1M2022-08-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.19071.2516+5.12%1.6643+39.77%0.0131✓1.38684k2022-08-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.0260.027346+5.18%0.05195+99.81%0.3640✓1.2923k2022-08-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.2849.7546+5.23%61.89+30.90%0.0350✓1.1817.7M2022-08-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5740.606527+5.67%0.911+58.71%0.1453✓1.21874k2022-08-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056730.006003+5.81%0.006618+16.64%0.1048✗0.943,1492022-08-11
STXStacksnative0.35970.381288+6.00%0.5032+39.89%0.0045✓1.27405k2022-08-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.22590.239719+6.12%0.4285+89.69%0.3348✓1.1433k2022-08-11
QTUMQtumQtum2.59592.7575+6.22%4.2149+62.37%0.1870✓1.1030k2022-08-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash97.19103.7813+6.78%142.98+47.11%0.0804✓1.115.0M2022-08-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07330.078335+6.87%0.0988+34.79%0.0367✓1.256,9982022-08-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5580.596516+6.90%0.864+54.84%0.1703✓0.93412k2022-08-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.43740.484041+10.66%0.5937+35.73%0.0368✓1.12289k2022-08-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.