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2022-07-10 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1486
182 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.7%
in alpha space · 35.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+11.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48250.50892+5.48%0.5918+22.65%0.0333✓1.12252k2022-08-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056630.005939+4.89%0.006485+14.53%0.0126✓0.963,1492022-08-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.77111.602+4.53%134.7+26.16%0.0689✓1.145.7M2022-08-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6220.64506+3.71%0.81+30.23%0.0994✓1.22952k2022-08-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07870.081029+2.96%0.0977+24.14%0.0551✓1.267,1372022-08-09
ZECZcashZcash59.6361.2874+2.78%79.81+33.84%0.1254✓1.321.8M2022-08-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.0953.5261+2.76%59.18+13.61%0.0233✓1.1818.8M2022-08-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6490.663408+2.22%0.716+10.32%0.0883✗1.57214k2022-08-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,768.9021,229.33+2.22%23,209.60+11.75%0.0145✓0.9946k2022-08-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.650971+2.03%0.808+26.65%0.1193✓0.92419k2022-08-09
GTGateEthereum3.91893.9826+1.63%4.7738+21.81%0.1062✓0.711.2M2022-08-09
KCSKuCoinnative9.279.4201+1.62%10.536+13.66%0.0057✓1.123.1M2022-08-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051090.051871+1.53%0.10285+101.31%0.5286✓1.49847k2022-08-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.1315.3328+1.34%36.4+140.58%0.7409✓1.181.7M2022-08-09
XMRMoneroMonero129.44131.1746+1.34%158.78+22.67%0.0702✓1.151.3M2022-08-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,167.681,182.75+1.29%1,703.35+45.87%0.2419✓1.17339.3M2022-08-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.009160.009274+1.24%0.00825-9.93%0.2154✗0.941.2M2022-08-09
QTUMQtumQtum2.94282.9784+1.21%4.0145+36.42%0.1831✓1.1030k2022-08-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.124530.126034+1.21%0.17382+39.58%0.1512✓1.62198k2022-08-09
MOVRMoonriverBase12.042512.1797+1.14%17.0389+41.49%0.2106✓1.19316k2022-08-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4114.5668+1.09%17.58+22.00%0.0447✓1.371.5M2022-08-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.276867+1.05%0.328+19.71%0.0624✓1.02600k2022-08-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067280.006798+1.04%0.006181-8.13%0.1564✗0.5897k2022-08-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25890.261593+1.04%0.4453+72.00%0.4116✓1.1531k2022-08-09
STXStacksnative0.40560.409739+1.02%0.4778+17.80%0.0206✓1.27354k2022-08-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.282550.285434+1.02%0.3489+23.48%0.0676✓1.27464k2022-08-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.120593+1.00%0.1765+47.82%0.2764✓1.004.0M2022-08-09
SCSiacoinnative0.004080.00412+0.99%0.00451+10.54%0.0520✗1.36169k2022-08-09
TRXTRONTron0.0676050.068192+0.87%0.068465+1.27%0.0832✗0.83611k2022-08-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8496.9061+0.83%8.902+29.98%0.1238✓1.2411.3M2022-08-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4845.5291+0.82%8.044+46.68%0.2545✓1.152.2M2022-08-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.053386+0.73%0.0599+13.02%0.0414✗1.49118k2022-08-09
NANOnanopayBase0.8800540.886195+0.70%1.0376+17.91%0.0498✓1.0393k2022-08-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.14970.150555+0.57%0.1548+3.41%0.1056✗1.27102k2022-08-09
DASHDashDash45.1645.4161+0.57%52.97+17.29%0.0393✓1.09739k2022-08-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10470.105264+0.54%0.127+21.30%0.0838✓0.997,0862022-08-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,850.6520,953.40+0.49%23,158.27+11.07%0.0049✗1.00472.7M2022-08-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09890.099383+0.49%0.1336+35.09%0.2106✓0.81157k2022-08-09
FTTFTXEthereum25.8826.0025+0.47%29.88+15.46%0.0412✓0.9311.6M2022-08-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.1916.2169+0.42%8.75+41.33%0.2077✓1.2820.5M2022-08-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.046791+0.41%0.0642+37.77%0.1734✓1.36897k2022-08-09
XVGVergenative0.003380.003392+0.36%0.00368+8.88%0.0607✗1.35664k2022-08-09
PROPropyEthereum0.850.8528+0.33%0.78-8.24%0.1645✗0.72129k2022-08-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.097465+0.27%0.1129+16.15%0.0067✓1.34696k2022-08-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05180.051903+0.20%0.0811+56.56%0.3651✓0.77209k2022-08-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19860.198986+0.19%0.2261+13.85%0.0265✗1.47146k2022-08-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0672080.067322+0.17%0.069028+2.71%0.1016✗1.212.3M2022-08-09
BANDBandEthereum1.4361.4381+0.15%1.767+23.05%0.0537✓1.45428k2022-08-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.06310.063127+0.04%0.0589-6.66%0.2212✗1.45322k2022-08-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006830.006832+0.03%0.00871+27.53%0.1374✓1.00407k2022-08-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49330.493344+0.01%0.6234+26.37%0.1068✓1.21634k2022-08-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125130.012512-0.01%0.015341+22.60%0.1164✗0.831.4M2022-08-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04320.043192-0.02%0.0475+9.95%0.0480✓1.369,9202022-08-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028390.002838-0.03%0.003356+18.21%0.0592✗1.031.3M2022-08-09
FLOWFlownative1.6411.64-0.06%2.997+82.63%0.4775✗1.19297k2022-08-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.4031-0.28%2.89+19.92%0.0190✗1.58236k2022-08-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020120.020055-0.32%0.02632+30.82%0.1598✗1.0798k2022-08-09
AAVEAaveEthereum77.7377.4757-0.33%97.96+26.03%0.0620✗1.648.9M2022-08-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09990.099524-0.38%0.1396+39.74%0.1973✗1.342.8M2022-08-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.152609-0.45%0.1697+10.70%0.0337✓1.33353k2022-08-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4392.4278-0.46%2.539+4.10%0.0521✓0.92148k2022-08-09
ZENHorizenBase17.0216.9366-0.49%19.92+17.04%0.0146✗1.4176k2022-08-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1073790.106849-0.49%0.122043+13.66%0.0266✗1.019.2M2022-08-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.8528-0.53%2.2956+23.24%0.0840✗1.2437k2022-08-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.49.3488-0.54%15.57+65.64%0.3579✗1.451.1M2022-08-09
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8060.801118-0.61%1.018+26.30%0.1547✗0.811.6M2022-08-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.465.4262-0.62%10.31+88.83%0.5012✗1.34264k2022-08-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63775.6021-0.63%5.0218-10.92%0.1290✓0.19291k2022-08-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3125850.310539-0.65%0.344184+10.11%0.0299✓1.262.3M2022-08-09
ADACardanoCardano0.46220.458988-0.69%0.513+10.99%0.0227✓1.2846.7M2022-08-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31060.308169-0.78%0.3452+11.14%0.0109✓1.199.4M2022-08-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.07361.0652-0.78%1.1689+8.87%0.0228✓1.1065k2022-08-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028520.028284-0.83%0.03156+10.66%0.0269✓1.3024k2022-08-09
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7834.7428-0.84%7.024+46.85%0.2055✗1.7816.6M2022-08-09
UMAUMAEthereum2.6152.5917-0.89%2.945+12.62%0.0061✓1.16969k2022-08-09
XECeCashnative0.000040350.000039987-0.90%0.0000434+7.56%0.0467✓1.232.4M2022-08-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,033.035,975.83-0.95%11,188.01+85.45%0.4878✗1.334.5M2022-08-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3591.3456-0.99%2.032+49.52%0.2574✗1.47170k2022-08-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39140.387355-1.03%0.4499+14.95%0.0070✓1.3694k2022-08-09
SOLSolanaSolana36.6936.3104-1.03%40.35+9.98%0.0320✓1.3190.8M2022-08-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.159.0552-1.04%11.36+24.15%0.1041✗1.17307k2022-08-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.80e-73.76e-7-1.06%3.29e-7-13.34%0.2489✓1.11543k2022-08-09
STEEMSteemnative0.23610.233552-1.08%0.2508+6.23%0.0547✓1.20695k2022-08-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.033.986-1.09%5.51+36.72%0.2562✗0.64689k2022-08-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29710.293784-1.12%0.3286+10.60%0.0121✓1.183.0M2022-08-09
MANADecentralandEthereum0.868830.858962-1.14%1.0198+17.37%0.0302✗1.35547k2022-08-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.2550.251937-1.20%0.2601+2.00%0.0855✓1.1262k2022-08-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001010.000996966-1.27%0.001479+46.46%0.2595✗1.292.7M2022-08-09
SGBSongbirdnative0.02890.02853-1.28%0.0249-13.84%0.1848✓0.4664k2022-08-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.742.7019-1.39%4.387+60.11%0.3680✗1.11552k2022-08-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.660685-1.39%0.954+42.39%0.2320✗1.29157k2022-08-09
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.78e-7-1.40%9.70e-7+8.99%0.0121✓0.845.7M2022-08-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.24753.438-1.49%59.719+10.09%0.0231✗0.84488k2022-08-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.92.8567-1.49%3.927+35.41%0.2385✗0.76583k2022-08-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.3151.295-1.52%1.5258+16.03%0.0205✗1.37685k2022-08-09
DODODODOEthereum0.13430.132202-1.56%0.1714+27.62%0.1249✗1.282.8M2022-08-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.10520.103446-1.67%0.1457+38.50%0.2252✗1.12551k2022-08-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5260.516728-1.76%0.67+27.38%0.1140✗1.3999k2022-08-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045660.044847-1.78%0.05077+11.19%0.0265✗0.935,7282022-08-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.266.146-1.82%8.51+35.94%0.2744✗0.49815k2022-08-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.82511.791-1.87%3.2816+79.80%0.5162✗0.85954k2022-08-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10830.106215-1.93%0.1232+13.76%0.0329✗1.10401k2022-08-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1618.7881-1.94%27.43+43.16%0.2188✗1.5227.8M2022-08-09
XTZTezosTezos1.62581.5935-1.99%1.8057+11.07%0.0090✓1.28555k2022-08-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021310.020849-2.16%0.022829+7.13%0.0161✓1.028952022-08-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04670.045681-2.18%0.0538+15.20%0.0333✗1.24264k2022-08-09
KSMKusamaHydration49.9448.8366-2.21%60.26+20.66%0.0867✗1.18333k2022-08-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.484.3794-2.25%5.85+30.58%0.2204✗0.66795k2022-08-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39160.38277-2.25%0.4317+10.24%0.0487✓1.61208k2022-08-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1611.1348-2.26%1.294+11.46%0.0086✓1.171.7M2022-08-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010630.010383-2.32%0.00987-7.15%0.1589✓1.035.5M2022-08-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3012.2474-2.33%2.702+17.43%0.0069✓1.6990k2022-08-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.95220.92984-2.35%1.2926+35.75%0.1841✗1.384.5M2022-08-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2630.256537-2.46%0.2512-4.49%0.1543✓1.27220k2022-08-09
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91270.890004-2.49%1.1074+21.33%0.0662✗1.452.0M2022-08-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.41092.3504-2.51%2.8368+17.67%0.0815✗1.021.3M2022-08-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.304380.29639-2.62%0.35509+16.66%0.0364✗1.372,9402022-08-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.521.4787-2.72%1.71+12.50%0.0087✓1.47284k2022-08-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2366-2.78%1.365+7.31%0.0448✓1.372.9M2022-08-09
DIADIAEthereum0.416580.404832-2.82%0.48156+15.60%0.0969✗0.7355k2022-08-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2392.1748-2.87%2.744+22.55%0.0834✗1.4266k2022-08-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.18052.1178-2.88%3.0659+40.61%0.2868✗0.791.1M2022-08-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3856.1997-2.90%7.825+22.55%0.0908✗1.355.5M2022-08-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0518980.050388-2.91%0.055293+6.54%0.0253✓0.6415k2022-08-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408090.396156-2.92%0.43525+6.66%0.0373✓1.25155k2022-08-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1920.186351-2.94%0.2183+13.70%0.0014✓1.522,7942022-08-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.17450.169348-2.95%0.236+35.24%0.1852✗1.403,2022022-08-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.2806-2.98%1.43+8.33%0.0466✓1.50784k2022-08-09
XVSVenusEthereum5.14.9369-3.20%6.51+27.65%0.1222✗1.471.3M2022-08-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001120.000010839-3.22%0.00001205+7.59%0.0259✓1.261.3M2022-08-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4432.364-3.23%3.812+56.04%0.2932✗1.763.4M2022-08-09
XEMNEMnative0.0404150.039106-3.24%0.049307+22.00%0.1091✗1.1714k2022-08-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7718.4848-3.26%11.389+29.85%0.1543✗1.3313.1M2022-08-09
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.6513-3.43%2.63+53.80%0.3458✗1.14114k2022-08-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786020.758917-3.45%1.1451+45.68%0.3227✗0.842472022-08-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057710.055696-3.49%0.08598+48.99%0.2879✗1.3927k2022-08-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93720.901297-3.83%1.0382+10.78%0.0095✓1.26284k2022-08-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.251385-3.83%0.2613-0.04%0.0663✓1.0046k2022-08-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4170.400983-3.84%0.519+24.46%0.1412✗1.1111k2022-08-09
OPTIMOptimism0.5340.51233-4.06%1.618+203.00%0.9711✗1.701.5M2022-08-09
ELAElastosEthereum1.531.4679-4.06%2.101+37.32%0.2536✗1.00178k2022-08-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09230.088487-4.13%0.0881-4.55%0.1396✓1.29179k2022-08-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026780.02566-4.18%0.03179+18.71%0.0424✓1.642,0362022-08-09
METISMetisEthereum22.0421.1134-4.20%42.65+93.51%0.5982✗1.00126k2022-08-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068420.065535-4.22%0.0825+20.58%0.1450✗0.812,3072022-08-09
FISStafiEthereum0.3550.339243-4.44%–pending––1.005252022-08-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2660.254123-4.46%0.219-17.67%0.3081✓1.521.1M2022-08-09
COMPCompoundEthereum53.3250.9214-4.50%59.24+11.10%0.0037✓1.4127k2022-08-09
HIVEHivenative0.46440.443208-4.56%0.6067+30.64%0.1797✗1.281.2M2022-08-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.480080.457998-4.60%0.40504-15.63%0.2864✓1.561.4M2022-08-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7763.5847-5.07%4.564+20.87%0.1761✗0.621.8M2022-08-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03950.037485-5.10%0.0428+8.35%0.0004✓1.27112k2022-08-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4920.466798-5.12%0.5171+5.10%0.0138✓1.1167k2022-08-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40210.381383-5.15%0.5163+28.40%0.1979✗1.00179k2022-08-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019920.018863-5.30%0.0175-12.15%0.1558✓0.77414k2022-08-09
API3Api3Ethereum1.9011.8001-5.31%1.96+3.10%0.0545✓1.33953k2022-08-09
UNIUniswapEthereum6.2345.8994-5.37%8.439+35.37%0.2162✗1.355.4M2022-08-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174060.016457-5.45%0.020161+15.83%0.1445✗0.56291k2022-08-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.681670.644065-5.52%0.66521-2.41%0.1415✓1.66120k2022-08-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.223.0394-5.61%4.82+49.69%0.3879✗0.70765k2022-08-09
CBKCobakEthereum1.02750.9679-5.80%1.1054+7.58%0.0122✓1.151,9162022-08-09
GITCOINGITCOIN2.38942.2508-5.80%2.8956+21.19%0.0787✗1.654,8022022-08-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15690.147777-5.81%0.1365-13.00%0.2191✓1.3334k2022-08-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.743.5137-6.05%5.26+40.64%0.3387✗0.62755k2022-08-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78420.736075-6.14%1.1027+40.61%0.2959✗1.034.0M2022-08-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.9520.890415-6.47%0.949-0.32%0.1264✓1.81620k2022-08-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07170.067004-6.55%0.0712-0.70%0.0492✓1.05108k2022-08-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.101730.094962-6.65%0.08946-12.06%0.1647✓1.00347k2022-08-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026080.02431-6.79%0.03215+23.27%0.1056✗1.6621.5M2022-08-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.051.9095-6.85%2.337+14.00%0.0476✓1.47114k2022-08-09
QNTQuantEthereum81.4375.8221-6.89%125.81+54.50%0.4021✗0.992.5M2022-08-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9952.7779-7.25%4.013+33.99%0.3016✗0.632.4M2022-08-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.173020.160009-7.52%0.19092+10.35%0.1352✓2.978572022-08-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.5613.4345-7.73%39.35+170.26%0.8989✗1.67463k2022-08-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4533.1596-8.50%6.461+87.11%0.6557✗0.572.2M2022-08-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.4262-8.58%1.53-1.92%0.0464✓0.23575k2022-08-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.7114.2533-9.27%20.57+30.94%0.2590✗1.03501k2022-08-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7060.638675-9.54%0.763+8.07%0.0207✓1.503,2002022-08-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.25020.226304-9.55%0.3038+21.42%0.1895✗1.00436k2022-08-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80390.718726-10.60%0.9531+18.56%0.1105✓1.64160k2022-08-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood4.263.7709-11.48%2.87-32.63%0.3027✓0.2882k2022-08-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8320.731726-12.05%0.856+2.88%0.0427✓1.9010.2M2022-08-09
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110910.000097128-12.43%0.00009678-12.74%0.2108✓1.97766k2022-08-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.