8=======>

2022-07-10 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1536
181 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.60%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.6%
in alpha space · 79.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+11.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110910.000102758-7.35%0.00009678-12.74%0.2671✓1.97766k2022-08-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7060.664426-5.89%0.763+8.07%0.0189✓1.503,2002022-08-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8320.797519-4.14%0.856+2.88%0.1288✓1.9010.2M2022-08-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.25020.240362-3.93%0.3038+21.42%0.1293✗1.00436k2022-08-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood4.264.119-3.31%2.87-32.63%0.3910✓0.2882k2022-08-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.681670.659186-3.30%0.66521-2.41%0.1648✓1.66120k2022-08-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80390.780571-2.90%0.9531+18.56%0.0280✓1.64160k2022-08-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4533.359-2.72%6.461+87.11%0.5945✗0.572.2M2022-08-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5232-2.36%1.53-1.92%0.0194✓0.23575k2022-08-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.7115.3569-2.25%20.57+30.94%0.1845✗1.03501k2022-08-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03950.038787-1.81%0.0428+8.35%0.0345✓1.27112k2022-08-09
GITCOINGITCOIN2.38942.3463-1.80%2.8956+21.19%0.0371✗1.654,8022022-08-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.173020.169957-1.77%0.19092+10.35%0.1955✓2.978572022-08-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4920.483805-1.67%0.5171+5.10%0.0496✓1.1167k2022-08-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.5614.3181-1.66%39.35+170.26%0.8352✗1.67463k2022-08-09
CBKCobakEthereum1.02751.0133-1.38%1.1054+7.58%0.0336✓1.151,9162022-08-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9952.9545-1.35%4.013+33.99%0.2399✗0.632.4M2022-08-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026080.025766-1.20%0.03215+23.27%0.0475✗1.6621.5M2022-08-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.223.1814-1.20%4.82+49.69%0.3423✗0.70765k2022-08-09
FISStafiEthereum0.3550.350827-1.18%–pending––1.005252022-08-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.052.0291-1.02%2.337+14.00%0.0132✓1.47114k2022-08-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.101730.100706-1.01%0.08946-12.06%0.2234✓1.00347k2022-08-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.259543-0.71%0.2613-0.04%0.0982✓1.0046k2022-08-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.743.7145-0.68%5.26+40.64%0.2831✗0.62755k2022-08-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.18052.168-0.57%3.0659+40.61%0.2633✗0.791.1M2022-08-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1920.190966-0.54%0.2183+13.70%0.0259✓1.522,7942022-08-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021310.021202-0.51%0.022829+7.13%0.0329✓1.028952022-08-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786020.782346-0.47%1.1451+45.68%0.2923✗0.842472022-08-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2661-0.46%1.365+7.31%0.0683✓1.372.9M2022-08-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.9520.949208-0.29%0.949-0.32%0.1904✓1.81620k2022-08-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07170.071502-0.28%0.0712-0.70%0.1142✓1.05108k2022-08-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.034.0191-0.27%5.51+36.72%0.2479✗0.64689k2022-08-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40210.401101-0.25%0.5163+28.40%0.1475✗1.00179k2022-08-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019920.019878-0.21%0.0175-12.15%0.2082✓0.77414k2022-08-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7763.772-0.11%4.564+20.87%0.1251✗0.621.8M2022-08-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4432.4443+0.05%3.812+56.04%0.2599✓1.763.4M2022-08-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4170.417285+0.07%0.519+24.46%0.1014✓1.1111k2022-08-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63775.6432+0.10%5.0218-10.92%0.1363✗0.19291k2022-08-09
OPTIMOptimism0.5340.535203+0.23%1.618+203.00%0.9275✓1.701.5M2022-08-09
COMPCompoundEthereum53.3253.5233+0.38%59.24+11.10%0.0461✗1.4127k2022-08-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78420.787329+0.40%1.1027+40.61%0.2286✓1.034.0M2022-08-09
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.7179+0.46%2.63+53.80%0.3063✓1.14114k2022-08-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.304380.305838+0.48%0.35509+16.66%0.0050✓1.372,9402022-08-09
METISMetisEthereum22.0422.146+0.48%42.65+93.51%0.5504✓1.00126k2022-08-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93720.941738+0.48%1.0382+10.78%0.0343✗1.26284k2022-08-09
XVSVenusEthereum5.15.1248+0.49%6.51+27.65%0.0849✓1.471.3M2022-08-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.95220.956945+0.50%1.2926+35.75%0.1553✓1.384.5M2022-08-09
DIADIAEthereum0.416580.418884+0.55%0.48156+15.60%0.0628✓0.7355k2022-08-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2660.267548+0.58%0.219-17.67%0.3596✗1.521.1M2022-08-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.06310.063489+0.62%0.0589-6.66%0.2269✗1.45322k2022-08-09
HIVEHivenative0.46440.467416+0.65%0.6067+30.64%0.1265✓1.281.2M2022-08-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.17450.175728+0.70%0.236+35.24%0.1482✓1.403,2022022-08-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.742.7595+0.71%4.387+60.11%0.3469✓1.11552k2022-08-09
QNTQuantEthereum81.4382.1011+0.82%125.81+54.50%0.3225✓0.992.5M2022-08-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.15457+0.83%0.1697+10.70%0.0465✗1.33353k2022-08-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408090.41155+0.85%0.43525+6.66%0.0754✗1.25155k2022-08-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057710.058208+0.86%0.08598+48.99%0.2438✓1.3927k2022-08-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010630.010727+0.91%0.00987-7.15%0.1915✗1.035.5M2022-08-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0518980.052391+0.95%0.055293+6.54%0.0137✗0.6415k2022-08-09
API3Api3Ethereum1.9011.9193+0.96%1.96+3.10%0.1186✗1.33953k2022-08-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.92.9291+1.00%3.927+35.41%0.2134✓0.76583k2022-08-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174060.017582+1.01%0.020161+15.83%0.0784✓0.56291k2022-08-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.14970.151277+1.05%0.1548+3.41%0.1104✗1.27102k2022-08-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068420.069176+1.10%0.0825+20.58%0.0909✓0.812,3072022-08-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.4371+1.12%2.89+19.92%0.0049✓1.58236k2022-08-09
UNIUniswapEthereum6.2346.3065+1.16%8.439+35.37%0.1495✓1.355.4M2022-08-09
MANADecentralandEthereum0.868830.878959+1.17%1.0198+17.37%0.0072✓1.35547k2022-08-09
BANDBandEthereum1.4361.4531+1.19%1.767+23.05%0.0434✓1.45428k2022-08-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15690.158794+1.21%0.1365-13.00%0.2910✗1.3334k2022-08-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2392.2679+1.29%2.744+22.55%0.0414✓1.4266k2022-08-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.41092.4421+1.29%2.8368+17.67%0.0432✓1.021.3M2022-08-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4392.4708+1.30%2.539+4.10%0.0696✗0.92148k2022-08-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026780.027136+1.33%0.03179+18.71%0.0135✗1.642,0362022-08-09
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7834.8466+1.33%7.024+46.85%0.1838✓1.7816.6M2022-08-09
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8060.816825+1.34%1.018+26.30%0.1353✓0.811.6M2022-08-09
FTTFTXEthereum25.8826.2315+1.36%29.88+15.46%0.0324✓0.9311.6M2022-08-09
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91270.925929+1.45%1.1074+21.33%0.0266✓1.452.0M2022-08-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.266.3532+1.49%8.51+35.94%0.2412✓0.49815k2022-08-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09230.093699+1.52%0.0881-4.55%0.1968✗1.29179k2022-08-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.121218+1.52%0.1765+47.82%0.2712✓1.004.0M2022-08-09
ELAElastosEthereum1.531.5534+1.53%2.101+37.32%0.1970✓1.00178k2022-08-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3856.4852+1.57%7.825+22.55%0.0458✓1.355.5M2022-08-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.8934+1.65%2.2956+23.24%0.0623✓1.2437k2022-08-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.07361.0914+1.66%1.1689+8.87%0.0471✗1.1065k2022-08-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.80e-73.86e-7+1.70%3.29e-7-13.34%0.2764✗1.11543k2022-08-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7718.9256+1.76%11.389+29.85%0.1036✓1.3313.1M2022-08-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3436+1.79%1.43+8.33%0.0946✗1.50784k2022-08-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3012.3421+1.79%2.702+17.43%0.0343✗1.6990k2022-08-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020120.020491+1.84%0.02632+30.82%0.1383✓1.0798k2022-08-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067280.006852+1.85%0.006181-8.13%0.1643✗0.5897k2022-08-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.24755.2587+1.86%59.719+10.09%0.0104✓0.84488k2022-08-09
SOLSolanaSolana36.6937.3843+1.89%40.35+9.98%0.0611✗1.3190.8M2022-08-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001010.001029+1.91%0.001479+46.46%0.2278✓1.292.7M2022-08-09
XEMNEMnative0.0404150.041197+1.93%0.049307+22.00%0.0571✓1.1714k2022-08-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.480080.48939+1.94%0.40504-15.63%0.3527✗1.561.4M2022-08-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2630.268295+2.01%0.2512-4.49%0.1991✗1.27220k2022-08-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1611.1846+2.03%1.294+11.46%0.0344✗1.171.7M2022-08-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39160.399672+2.06%0.4317+10.24%0.0919✗1.61208k2022-08-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10830.110596+2.12%0.1232+13.76%0.0075✓1.10401k2022-08-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045660.046639+2.14%0.05077+11.19%0.0127✓0.935,7282022-08-09
UMAUMAEthereum2.6152.6717+2.17%2.945+12.62%0.0243✗1.16969k2022-08-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.521.5554+2.33%1.71+12.50%0.0593✗1.47284k2022-08-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006830.007+2.49%0.00871+27.53%0.1131✓1.00407k2022-08-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04320.044293+2.53%0.0475+9.95%0.0732✗1.369,9202022-08-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.159.3876+2.60%11.36+24.15%0.0680✓1.17307k2022-08-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29710.304881+2.62%0.3286+10.60%0.0492✗1.183.0M2022-08-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49330.5067+2.72%0.6234+26.37%0.0801✓1.21634k2022-08-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.099882+2.76%0.1129+16.15%0.0178✓1.34696k2022-08-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.1916.3619+2.76%8.75+41.33%0.1846✓1.2820.5M2022-08-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5260.540526+2.76%0.67+27.38%0.0690✓1.3999k2022-08-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.82511.8759+2.78%3.2816+79.80%0.4699✓0.85954k2022-08-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31060.319353+2.82%0.3452+11.14%0.0466✗1.199.4M2022-08-09
BTTCBTTC8.90e-79.15e-7+2.82%9.70e-7+8.99%0.0298✗0.845.7M2022-08-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.465.6149+2.84%10.31+88.83%0.4670✓1.34264k2022-08-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.282550.290609+2.85%0.3489+23.48%0.0496✓1.27464k2022-08-09
SCSiacoinnative0.004080.004197+2.86%0.00451+10.54%0.0704✗1.36169k2022-08-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.689197+2.87%0.954+42.39%0.1898✓1.29157k2022-08-09
NANOnanopayBase0.8800540.905321+2.87%1.0376+17.91%0.0285✓1.0393k2022-08-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1619.7151+2.90%27.43+43.16%0.1706✓1.5227.8M2022-08-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.047961+2.92%0.0642+37.77%0.1487✓1.36897k2022-08-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.10520.10839+3.03%0.1457+38.50%0.1785✓1.12551k2022-08-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,850.6521,485.53+3.04%23,158.27+11.07%0.0300✗1.00472.7M2022-08-09
KSMKusamaHydration49.9451.4679+3.06%60.26+20.66%0.0342✓1.18333k2022-08-09
STEEMSteemnative0.23610.243348+3.07%0.2508+6.23%0.0958✗1.20695k2022-08-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09890.101977+3.11%0.1336+35.09%0.1848✓0.81157k2022-08-09
DASHDashDash45.1646.5911+3.17%52.97+17.29%0.0138✓1.09739k2022-08-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4114.8701+3.19%17.58+22.00%0.0241✓1.371.5M2022-08-09
PROPropyEthereum0.850.877387+3.22%0.78-8.24%0.1929✗0.72129k2022-08-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,033.036,230.28+3.27%11,188.01+85.45%0.4461✓1.334.5M2022-08-09
ADACardanoCardano0.46220.477495+3.31%0.513+10.99%0.0622✗1.2846.7M2022-08-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3125850.322944+3.31%0.344184+10.11%0.0691✗1.262.3M2022-08-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10470.108184+3.33%0.127+21.30%0.0564✓0.997,0862022-08-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.2550.263511+3.34%0.2601+2.00%0.1304✗1.1262k2022-08-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028390.002934+3.35%0.003356+18.21%0.0259✓1.031.3M2022-08-09
FLOWFlownative1.6411.6972+3.43%2.997+82.63%0.4432✓1.19297k2022-08-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001120.000011584+3.43%0.00001205+7.59%0.0924✗1.261.3M2022-08-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0672080.069525+3.45%0.069028+2.71%0.1339✗1.212.3M2022-08-09
AAVEAaveEthereum77.7380.4136+3.45%97.96+26.03%0.0248✓1.648.9M2022-08-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.009160.009483+3.53%0.00825-9.93%0.2377✗0.941.2M2022-08-09
DODODODOEthereum0.13430.139054+3.54%0.1714+27.62%0.0744✓1.282.8M2022-08-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3591.4077+3.58%2.032+49.52%0.2123✓1.47170k2022-08-09
XTZTezosTezos1.62581.6852+3.65%1.8057+11.07%0.0650✗1.28555k2022-08-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.1315.6901+3.70%36.4+140.58%0.7179✓1.181.7M2022-08-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1073790.111363+3.71%0.122043+13.66%0.0148✓1.019.2M2022-08-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39140.406273+3.80%0.4499+14.95%0.0407✗1.3694k2022-08-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051090.053042+3.82%0.10285+101.31%0.5063✓1.49847k2022-08-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4845.6947+3.84%8.044+46.68%0.2250✓1.152.2M2022-08-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125130.013003+3.92%0.015341+22.60%0.0779✓0.831.4M2022-08-09
XECeCashnative0.000040350.000041931+3.92%0.0000434+7.56%0.0942✗1.232.4M2022-08-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8497.129+4.09%8.902+29.98%0.0920✓1.2411.3M2022-08-09
ZENHorizenBase17.0217.7195+4.11%19.92+17.04%0.0305✓1.4176k2022-08-09
GTGateEthereum3.91894.0803+4.12%4.7738+21.81%0.0820✓0.711.2M2022-08-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.484.6652+4.13%5.85+30.58%0.1572✓0.66795k2022-08-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.124530.129681+4.14%0.17382+39.58%0.1227✓1.62198k2022-08-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04670.048633+4.14%0.0538+15.20%0.0294✓1.24264k2022-08-09
ZECZcashZcash59.6362.2121+4.33%79.81+33.84%0.1105✓1.321.8M2022-08-09
XVGVergenative0.003380.003529+4.42%0.00368+8.88%0.1004✗1.35664k2022-08-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09990.104375+4.48%0.1396+39.74%0.1497✓1.342.8M2022-08-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19860.207598+4.53%0.2261+13.85%0.0688✗1.47146k2022-08-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,768.9021,719.78+4.58%23,209.60+11.75%0.0374✓0.9946k2022-08-09
KCSKuCoinnative9.279.695+4.58%10.536+13.66%0.0345✓1.123.1M2022-08-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.055478+4.67%0.0599+13.02%0.0798✗1.49118k2022-08-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.49.8463+4.75%15.57+65.64%0.3061✓1.451.1M2022-08-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.287404+4.89%0.328+19.71%0.0251✓1.02600k2022-08-09
TRXTRONTron0.0676050.070921+4.90%0.068465+1.27%0.1225✗0.83611k2022-08-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,167.681,226.38+5.03%1,703.35+45.87%0.2057✓1.17339.3M2022-08-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05180.054412+5.04%0.0811+56.56%0.3179✓0.77209k2022-08-09
XMRMoneroMonero129.44136.1934+5.22%158.78+22.67%0.0327✓1.151.3M2022-08-09
MOVRMoonriverBase12.042512.6736+5.24%17.0389+41.49%0.1709✓1.19316k2022-08-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.3151.3873+5.50%1.5258+16.03%0.0484✓1.37685k2022-08-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6490.685322+5.60%0.716+10.32%0.1208✗1.57214k2022-08-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.0955.0594+5.70%59.18+13.61%0.0515✓1.1818.8M2022-08-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028520.03015+5.71%0.03156+10.66%0.0907✗1.3024k2022-08-09
STXStacksnative0.40560.429333+5.85%0.4778+17.80%0.0261✓1.27354k2022-08-09
QTUMQtumQtum2.94283.118+5.95%4.0145+36.42%0.1373✓1.1030k2022-08-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25890.274433+6.00%0.4453+72.00%0.3637✓1.1531k2022-08-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056630.006026+6.42%0.006485+14.53%0.0271✓0.963,1492022-08-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6220.664385+6.81%0.81+30.23%0.0699✓1.22952k2022-08-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.683758+7.17%0.808+26.65%0.0702✓0.92419k2022-08-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.77114.8624+7.58%134.7+26.16%0.0401✓1.145.7M2022-08-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07870.084721+7.65%0.0977+24.14%0.0106✓1.267,1372022-08-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48250.539142+11.74%0.5918+22.65%0.0244✓1.12252k2022-08-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.