8=======>

2022-07-08 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1228
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.46%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.1%
in alpha space · 81.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+7.39%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110050.000102651-6.72%0.00009956-9.53%0.1689✓1.94785k2022-08-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7060.665711-5.71%0.811+14.87%0.0909✗1.493,2002022-08-07
FORTFortaEthereum0.23590.226767-3.87%0.308+30.56%0.2349✗1.00544k2022-08-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8450.814523-3.61%0.871+3.08%0.0690✓1.9114.0M2022-08-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.744740.718863-3.47%0.68843-7.56%0.1615✓1.66108k2022-08-07
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83330.805086-3.39%0.9885+18.62%0.0887✗1.63148k2022-08-07
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.199870.19444-2.72%0.19598-1.95%0.0634✓1.008572022-08-07
GITCOINGITCOIN2.57732.5114-2.56%3.0557+18.56%0.0790✗1.644,8022022-08-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4313.3446-2.52%6.829+99.04%0.6720✗0.592.3M2022-08-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.3215.9127-2.50%22.19+35.97%0.2594✗1.02457k2022-08-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4883-2.08%1.57+3.29%0.0323✗0.30614k2022-08-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.4515.1358-2.03%32.48+110.23%0.6447✗1.67463k2022-08-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.162.1228-1.72%2.37+9.72%0.0051✓1.47117k2022-08-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.895410.881187-1.59%1.1124+24.23%0.1718✗0.862472022-08-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03920.038599-1.53%0.0441+12.50%0.0428✗1.27134k2022-08-07
C98Coin98Ethereum0.51070.503148-1.48%0.5887+15.27%0.0789✗1.1081k2022-08-07
CBKCobakEthereum0.992190.980413-1.19%1.1657+17.48%0.0900✗1.171,6262022-08-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0052.9747-1.01%4.147+38.00%0.2872✗0.632.8M2022-08-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07650.075747-0.98%0.0735-3.92%0.1077✓1.0994k2022-08-07
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.872.8436-0.92%3.12+8.71%0.0214✗1.0082k2022-08-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.23.1762-0.74%5.07+58.44%0.4181✗0.69780k2022-08-07
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.097930.097267-0.68%0.08532-12.88%0.2024✓1.00340k2022-08-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.15192.1427-0.43%3.2183+49.56%0.3475✗0.831.3M2022-08-07
GMTGMTEthereum0.9990.99529-0.37%0.931-6.81%0.1962✓1.81664k2022-08-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3131.3083-0.36%1.425+8.53%0.0124✓1.373.1M2022-08-07
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.26071-0.34%0.2614-0.08%0.0687✓1.0062k2022-08-07
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18780.187178-0.33%0.2146+14.27%0.0654✗1.002,7942022-08-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0214980.021437-0.29%0.023491+9.27%0.0177✗1.048342022-08-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02390.023835-0.27%0.03436+43.77%0.2452✗1.6919.6M2022-08-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.773.7629-0.19%5.65+49.87%0.3619✗0.63833k2022-08-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.094.0835-0.16%5.77+41.08%0.2998✗0.64727k2022-08-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.75.6917-0.15%4.899-14.05%0.1649✓0.21291k2022-08-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062630.062647+0.03%0.08386+33.90%0.1931✓1.3828k2022-08-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020680.020692+0.06%0.01788-13.54%0.2002✗0.76414k2022-08-07
FISStafiEthereum0.29550.295826+0.11%0.3904+32.12%0.2061✓1.005582022-08-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7543.7585+0.12%4.685+24.80%0.1738✓0.651.9M2022-08-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.431350.432055+0.16%0.4338+0.57%0.0851✗1.25155k2022-08-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4130.413753+0.18%0.551+33.41%0.2076✓1.1111k2022-08-07
OPTIMOptimism0.5650.566403+0.25%1.912+238.41%1.0954✓1.701.5M2022-08-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5032.5104+0.30%4.08+63.00%0.3599✓1.763.4M2022-08-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.17930.179835+0.30%0.2551+42.28%0.2524✓1.363,2022022-08-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.06630.066499+0.30%0.0605-8.75%0.1984✗1.46325k2022-08-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2950.295941+0.32%0.225-23.73%0.3848✗1.551.1M2022-08-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.01011.0139+0.37%1.4024+38.84%0.2254✓1.394.5M2022-08-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94560.949563+0.42%1.0439+10.40%0.0058✓1.25252k2022-08-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.592.6017+0.45%3.06+18.15%0.0498✓1.58265k2022-08-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.77540.779391+0.51%1.1663+50.41%0.3283✓1.054.5M2022-08-07
XVSVenusEthereum5.165.1879+0.54%6.84+32.56%0.1700✓1.491.4M2022-08-07
RADRadworksEthereum1.71.7093+0.54%2.48+45.88%0.2902✓1.15121k2022-08-07
HIVEHivenative0.48780.490672+0.59%0.5991+22.82%0.1084✓1.281.1M2022-08-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.306690.308526+0.60%0.35815+16.78%0.0511✓1.372,7752022-08-07
API3Api3Ethereum2.0112.0234+0.62%2.089+3.88%0.0643✗1.351.1M2022-08-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4372.4529+0.65%2.458+0.86%0.0636✗0.92148k2022-08-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.882.8991+0.66%4.012+39.31%0.2458✓1.11567k2022-08-07
XYMSymbolnative0.05210.052513+0.79%0.055055+5.67%0.0010✓0.6517k2022-08-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1550.156291+0.83%0.1758+13.42%0.0223✓1.34355k2022-08-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3752.3959+0.88%2.798+17.81%0.0546✓1.4167k2022-08-07
METISMetisEthereum22.4822.6954+0.96%44.22+96.71%0.5957✓1.0093k2022-08-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010890.010996+0.97%0.01046-3.95%0.1257✗1.065.6M2022-08-07
BANDBandEthereum1.4191.4328+0.98%1.809+27.48%0.1294✓1.45453k2022-08-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.14630.147882+1.08%0.1618+10.59%0.0017✓1.29105k2022-08-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9557.031+1.09%8.249+18.61%0.0640✓1.345.5M2022-08-07
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.071240.072027+1.10%0.07969+11.86%0.0442✓0.802,5182022-08-07
MANADecentralandEthereum0.89610.906173+1.12%1.0596+18.24%0.0600✓1.35557k2022-08-07
FTTFTXEthereum27.3627.6736+1.15%30.67+12.10%0.0358✓0.9412.2M2022-08-07
DIADIAEthereum0.401380.406277+1.22%0.47524+18.40%0.1060✓0.7155k2022-08-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8782.9133+1.23%4.058+41.00%0.2761✓0.78649k2022-08-07
IMXImmutableEthereum0.96670.978573+1.23%1.1387+17.79%0.0460✓1.482.1M2022-08-07
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8490.859749+1.27%1.111+30.86%0.1980✓0.821.7M2022-08-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022180.022476+1.33%0.04057+82.91%0.5139✓1.0896k2022-08-07
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028820.029214+1.37%0.03172+10.06%0.0110✓1.002,0362022-08-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.89131.92+1.52%2.3326+23.34%0.1054✓1.2550k2022-08-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.10821.1254+1.55%1.2162+9.75%0.0012✓1.1065k2022-08-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09570.097202+1.57%0.0893-6.69%0.1785✗1.31179k2022-08-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0164790.016739+1.58%0.019873+20.60%0.1318✓0.56339k2022-08-07
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9515.0297+1.59%7.208+45.59%0.2333✓1.7716.6M2022-08-07
QNTQuantEthereum73.1574.3362+1.62%126.46+72.88%0.4615✓0.982.3M2022-08-07
COMPCompoundEthereum47.247.9727+1.64%63.85+35.28%0.1848✓1.4227k2022-08-07
XEMNEMnative0.04160.042291+1.66%0.051551+23.92%0.1143✓1.1714k2022-08-07
UNIUniswapEthereum5.7915.8887+1.69%8.784+51.68%0.3034✓1.355.2M2022-08-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.41932.4602+1.69%2.9884+23.52%0.1194✓1.051.4M2022-08-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12050.122603+1.75%0.1588+31.78%0.1878✓0.994.0M2022-08-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046860.047681+1.75%0.05378+14.77%0.0529✓0.956,4892022-08-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.520030.529264+1.78%0.42719-17.85%0.3266✗1.581.6M2022-08-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.176.2834+1.84%8.94+44.89%0.3173✓0.49878k2022-08-07
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.221.2424+1.84%1.319+8.11%0.0232✗1.161.8M2022-08-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41740.425089+1.84%0.466+11.64%0.0242✗1.63208k2022-08-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.83557.8864+1.85%61.878+8.87%0.0068✓0.84559k2022-08-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069940.007126+1.88%0.006331-9.48%0.1614✗0.61105k2022-08-07
ELAElastosEthereum1.5321.5622+1.97%2.183+42.49%0.2633✓1.00178k2022-08-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9799.1592+2.01%11.374+26.67%0.1205✓1.3515.0M2022-08-07
SOLSolanaSolana38.138.9114+2.13%40.62+6.61%0.0511✗1.3290.8M2022-08-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00096340.0009842+2.16%0.001193+23.81%0.0989✓1.312.6M2022-08-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1080.110357+2.18%0.1264+17.04%0.0570✓1.10388k2022-08-07
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2522.3045+2.33%2.792+23.98%0.0723✓1.6897k2022-08-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04480.045848+2.34%0.0512+14.29%0.0117✓1.3810k2022-08-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.96e-74.06e-7+2.36%3.42e-7-13.64%0.2488✗1.10583k2022-08-07
UMAUMAEthereum2.6352.6984+2.41%3.033+15.10%0.0326✓1.181.0M2022-08-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.521.5569+2.43%1.81+19.08%0.0455✓1.47338k2022-08-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.655.7929+2.53%10.03+77.52%0.4545✓1.32300k2022-08-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006860.007042+2.66%0.00906+32.07%0.1803✓1.00412k2022-08-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10960.112533+2.68%0.1294+18.07%0.0680✓1.006,6852022-08-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.293330.301204+2.68%0.31695+8.05%0.0402✗1.28465k2022-08-07
NANOnanopayBase0.8953130.919394+2.69%1.0549+17.82%0.0629✓1.05100k2022-08-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5340.548878+2.79%0.682+27.72%0.1179✓1.3999k2022-08-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3536.5349+2.86%8.34+31.28%0.1523✓1.2823.0M2022-08-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51750.532319+2.86%0.6639+28.29%0.1332✓1.23642k2022-08-07
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6920.71204+2.90%0.858+23.99%0.0926✓1.32175k2022-08-07
BTTCBTTC9.00e-79.26e-7+2.94%9.70e-7+7.78%0.0150✓0.855.7M2022-08-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.069.3277+2.95%11.74+29.58%0.1467✓1.17331k2022-08-07
SCSiacoinnative0.0040.004119+2.98%0.00471+17.75%0.0362✓1.37167k2022-08-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23150.238514+3.03%0.2595+12.10%0.0079✓1.29220k2022-08-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13350.137559+3.04%0.1374+2.92%0.0986✗1.3732k2022-08-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.80931.8651+3.08%3.4736+91.99%0.5624✓0.83986k2022-08-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.09290.095833+3.16%0.1192+28.31%0.1206✓1.37724k2022-08-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28020.289061+3.16%0.3431+22.45%0.0857✓1.203.0M2022-08-07
DASHDashDash45.6547.1011+3.18%53.35+16.87%0.0463✓1.10698k2022-08-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31440.324461+3.20%0.3559+13.20%0.0078✓1.199.4M2022-08-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0688720.071106+3.24%0.06896+0.13%0.1173✗1.212.2M2022-08-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.720.3398+3.25%27.9+41.62%0.2078✓1.5229.4M2022-08-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04730.04884+3.26%0.0643+35.94%0.1781✓1.36950k2022-08-07
SUSHISushiEthereum1.161.1982+3.29%1.5+29.31%0.1168✓1.51755k2022-08-07
KSMKusamaHydration51.5553.2477+3.29%65.42+26.91%0.1215✓1.18413k2022-08-07
STEEMSteemnative0.22490.232341+3.31%0.2595+15.38%0.0260✓1.19682k2022-08-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3170810.327646+3.33%0.354473+11.79%0.0116✓1.272.3M2022-08-07
DODODODOEthereum0.1370.141566+3.33%0.1819+32.77%0.1596✓1.282.8M2022-08-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.8315.3277+3.36%18.49+24.68%0.0905✓1.361.5M2022-08-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.10080.104196+3.37%0.1513+50.10%0.2923✓1.13551k2022-08-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,582.2022,309.84+3.37%23,177.39+7.39%0.0332✓1.00493.8M2022-08-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,296.146,509.76+3.39%11,438.54+81.68%0.4696✓1.324.5M2022-08-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.260401+3.50%0.2711+7.75%0.0414✗1.1565k2022-08-07
ADACardanoCardano0.46570.482059+3.51%0.5277+13.31%0.0014✓1.2951.5M2022-08-07
XLMStellarStellar0.11320.117185+3.52%0.123873+9.43%0.0168✓1.019.3M2022-08-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011190.000011586+3.53%0.00001202+7.42%0.0531✗1.261.2M2022-08-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4011.4506+3.54%1.998+42.61%0.2145✓1.48170k2022-08-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.009140.009467+3.58%0.00837-8.42%0.1913✗0.951.2M2022-08-07
PROPropyEthereum0.830.860056+3.62%0.84+1.20%0.0747✗0.72143k2022-08-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04910.050879+3.62%0.0544+10.79%0.0210✓1.23260k2022-08-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09330.096758+3.71%0.109+16.83%0.0623✓0.80176k2022-08-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.735.9453+3.76%8.792+53.44%0.3080✓1.172.3M2022-08-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.5616.1453+3.76%37.71+142.35%0.7641✓1.181.8M2022-08-07
FLOWFlownative1.6341.6955+3.76%2.624+60.59%0.3515✓1.19297k2022-08-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40140.416944+3.87%0.4806+19.73%0.0439✓1.3895k2022-08-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130520.013563+3.91%0.015952+22.22%0.1030✓0.831.4M2022-08-07
XECeCashnative0.000041360.000043016+4.00%0.00004532+9.57%0.0366✓1.252.5M2022-08-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027320.002844+4.10%0.003423+25.29%0.1111✓1.041.4M2022-08-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.0910.5105+4.17%16.88+67.29%0.3705✓1.451.1M2022-08-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.050870.053025+4.24%0.10727+110.87%0.5987✓1.49902k2022-08-07
ZENHorizenBase16.617.3051+4.25%19.17+15.48%0.0011✓1.4272k2022-08-07
XTZTezosTezos1.52791.593+4.26%1.888+23.57%0.0792✓1.27603k2022-08-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.544.7346+4.29%6.04+33.04%0.1967✓0.66862k2022-08-07
AAVEAaveEthereum71.7274.8131+4.31%101.31+41.26%0.1861✓1.648.2M2022-08-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128540.134143+4.36%0.17735+37.97%0.1633✓1.63186k2022-08-07
GTGateEthereum3.92994.1031+4.41%4.7602+21.13%0.0972✓0.721.2M2022-08-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0417.3553+4.46%8.657+22.95%0.0740✓1.2512.5M2022-08-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,763.7022,737.42+4.47%23,110.70+6.19%0.0543✗0.9951k2022-08-07
XVGVergenative0.003370.003525+4.59%0.00374+10.98%0.0387✓1.37709k2022-08-07
TRXTRONTron0.0689970.07225+4.71%0.069658+0.96%0.0965✗0.84531k2022-08-07
ZECZcashZcash59.4362.2891+4.81%70.26+18.22%0.0249✓1.341.8M2022-08-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.297811+4.86%0.339+19.37%0.0562✓1.03663k2022-08-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19810.207834+4.91%0.2392+20.75%0.0345✓1.49151k2022-08-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09930.104257+4.99%0.1283+29.20%0.1117✓1.342.8M2022-08-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.05390.056615+5.04%0.0606+12.43%0.0387✓1.50131k2022-08-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029010.030501+5.14%0.03302+13.82%0.0138✓1.3123k2022-08-07
STXStacksnative0.40640.427882+5.29%0.4907+20.74%0.0463✓1.27339k2022-08-07
KCSKuCoinnative9.1449.6372+5.39%10.602+15.94%0.0162✓1.113.1M2022-08-07
ETHEthereumEthereum1,213.191,280.08+5.51%1,700.42+40.16%0.2006✓1.17342.2M2022-08-07
MOVRMoonriverBase12.440313.1366+5.60%18.2973+47.08%0.2454✓1.21316k2022-08-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05330.05629+5.61%0.0794+48.97%0.2883✓0.78213k2022-08-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.725442+5.75%0.759+10.64%0.0681✗1.59222k2022-08-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37791.4574+5.77%1.5748+14.29%0.0174✓1.33727k2022-08-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.26010.275148+5.79%0.4693+80.43%0.4503✓1.1730k2022-08-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059340.006288+5.96%0.006475+9.12%0.0414✓0.993,2372022-08-07
QTUMQtumQtum2.94373.1197+5.98%4.0919+39.01%0.1920✓1.1132k2022-08-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.3154.4385+6.10%61.12+19.12%0.0319✓1.1818.8M2022-08-07
XMRMoneroMonero125.24133.0757+6.26%164.87+31.64%0.1325✓1.151.3M2022-08-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6870.730621+6.35%0.807+17.47%0.0336✓0.92412k2022-08-07
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6420.68633+6.91%0.751+16.98%0.0036✓1.21893k2022-08-07
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0810.087426+7.93%0.1047+29.26%0.0906✓1.267,2862022-08-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash108.45117.1683+8.04%140.98+30.00%0.1040✓1.145.7M2022-08-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49790.558015+12.07%0.5927+19.04%0.0202✓1.13232k2022-08-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.