8=======>

2022-06-17 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1791
171 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.91%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.9%
in alpha space · 50.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.68%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.560.605696+8.16%0.4787-14.52%0.2548✗1.1771k2022-07-17
AAVEAaveEthereum57.3160.2975+5.21%88.27+54.02%0.3531✓1.687.6M2022-07-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6970.729667+4.69%0.621-10.90%0.1900✗1.73303k2022-07-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6460.675872+4.62%0.602-6.81%0.1354✗1.18977k2022-07-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.490.510974+4.28%0.8755+78.67%0.5187✓1.1956k2022-07-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,085.761,130.65+4.13%1,338.20+23.25%0.1497✓1.13386.3M2022-07-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0029040.003021+4.03%–pending––1.104,6932022-07-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.36126.1674+3.96%109.99-9.37%0.1575✗1.214.5M2022-07-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.16440.170671+3.81%0.2071+25.97%0.1688✓1.48191k2022-07-17
SCSiacoinnative0.003540.003662+3.45%0.00394+11.30%0.0476✓1.53239k2022-07-17
XVGVergenative0.002910.00301+3.42%0.00353+21.31%0.1350✓1.47645k2022-07-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.660.682314+3.38%1.0786+63.42%0.4348✓1.394.6M2022-07-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.5549.1356+3.33%55.74+17.22%0.1060✓1.2117.5M2022-07-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060550.006234+2.95%0.005648-6.73%0.1165✗1.062,5622022-07-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,789.564,930.50+2.94%6,069.87+26.73%0.1862✓1.303.6M2022-07-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07990.082233+2.92%0.0796-0.38%0.0557✗1.394,6642022-07-17
MOVRMoonriverBase11.624911.9552+2.84%13.2428+13.92%0.0802✓1.32194k2022-07-17
XMRMoneroMonero114.16117.3706+2.81%135.99+19.12%0.1282✓1.141.7M2022-07-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.3714.7723+2.80%19.22+33.75%0.2417✓1.292.1M2022-07-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2910.29896+2.74%0.3946+35.60%0.2516✓1.56376k2022-07-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007770.000798017+2.70%0.0009901+27.43%0.1927✓1.382.0M2022-07-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,447.8620,972.97+2.57%20,791.74+1.68%0.0254✗1.00582.4M2022-07-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,457.0020,978.01+2.55%21,043.20+2.87%0.0134✓0.9929k2022-07-17
COMPCompoundEthereum32.8333.6274+2.43%54.86+67.10%0.4649✓1.4726k2022-07-17
ZENHorizenBase14.0814.4191+2.41%16.55+17.54%0.1133✓1.4755k2022-07-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.038.2127+2.28%14.48+80.32%0.5501✓1.02267k2022-07-17
QNTQuantEthereum46.5647.5545+2.14%98.86+112.33%0.7150✓1.011.9M2022-07-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.590.60236+2.09%0.644+9.15%0.0496✓1.03365k2022-07-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.263340.268358+1.91%0.32185+22.22%0.1604✓1.28453k2022-07-17
APEApeCoinEthereum3.7413.8114+1.88%4.969+32.83%0.2337✓1.8915.8M2022-07-17
ZECZcashZcash62.5263.6866+1.87%59.43-4.94%0.0917✗1.353.3M2022-07-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.7151.7459+1.80%2.653+54.69%0.3895✓1.732.4M2022-07-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8414.0742+1.69%14.51+4.84%0.0062✓1.462.2M2022-07-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14860.1511+1.68%0.1663+11.91%0.0717✓1.45917k2022-07-17
DIADIAEthereum0.385560.391786+1.61%0.43709+13.36%0.0979✓0.69256k2022-07-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.40e-7+1.61%3.57e-7+6.90%0.0361✓0.88951k2022-07-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.727.8355+1.50%9.05+17.23%0.1242✓1.19468k2022-07-17
STXStacksnative0.38170.387288+1.46%0.3859+1.10%0.0258✗1.33195k2022-07-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03570.036219+1.45%0.0496+38.94%0.2909✓1.41364k2022-07-17
NANOnanopayBase0.8083990.820067+1.44%0.90356+11.77%0.0783✓1.12119k2022-07-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069450.00704+1.37%0.006838-1.54%0.0418✗0.76167k2022-07-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2660.269579+1.35%0.282+6.02%0.0271✓1.08847k2022-07-17
QTUMQtumQtum2.7442.7747+1.12%2.9505+7.53%0.0416✓1.1939k2022-07-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047790.048264+0.99%0.05194+8.68%0.0467✓1.601.6M2022-07-17
FLOWFlownative1.3921.4055+0.97%1.564+12.36%0.0902✓1.00541k2022-07-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002750.002776+0.96%0.002791+1.49%0.0137✗1.132.1M2022-07-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.008970.009056+0.95%0.00892-0.56%0.0326✗1.051.4M2022-07-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.090038+0.94%0.1027+15.13%0.1064✓1.511.1M2022-07-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12140.12248+0.89%0.1168-3.79%0.0642✗1.003.3M2022-07-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2831.2944+0.89%1.537+19.80%0.1456✓1.57223k2022-07-17
KCSKuCoinnative11.09611.1907+0.85%9.07-18.26%0.2282✗1.085.0M2022-07-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23780.239728+0.81%0.2537+6.69%0.0357✓1.2631k2022-07-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128620.129649+0.80%0.13279+3.24%0.0028✓1.60246k2022-07-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3335.3755+0.80%5.689+6.68%0.0345✓1.332.5M2022-07-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.640.644987+0.78%0.9377+46.52%0.3499✓1.46182k2022-07-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche15.9816.1023+0.77%20.62+29.04%0.2229✓1.4649.3M2022-07-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.784.8146+0.72%5.95+24.48%0.1892✓1.35400k2022-07-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05860.058963+0.62%0.054-7.85%0.1011✗0.79313k2022-07-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3566.3937+0.59%6.345-0.17%0.0297✗1.3241.5M2022-07-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0568770.057167+0.51%0.062984+10.74%0.0758✓1.271.3M2022-07-17
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.3788+0.50%1.382+0.73%0.0238✗1.56407k2022-07-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.1310.131621+0.47%0.1386+5.80%0.0286✓1.38166k2022-07-17
DASHDashDash43.5343.7266+0.45%45.92+5.49%0.0301✓1.13810k2022-07-17
GTGateEthereum3.95983.9773+0.44%4.0915+3.33%0.0168✓0.691.7M2022-07-17
TRXTRONTron0.05980.060043+0.41%0.067437+12.77%0.0997✓0.98887k2022-07-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.14920.149747+0.37%0.1784+19.57%0.1547✓1.223,2772022-07-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2678790.268839+0.36%0.294596+9.97%0.0680✓1.412.4M2022-07-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1661.1698+0.33%2.018+73.07%0.5204✓1.4979k2022-07-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.06130.061498+0.32%0.071+15.82%0.1177✓1.56409k2022-07-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.3736.3867+0.21%8.915+39.89%0.3112✓1.3413.7M2022-07-17
SOLSolanaSolana30.6930.7131+0.08%38.63+25.87%0.2058✓1.41109.1M2022-07-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4375.4403+0.06%7.225+32.89%0.2600✓1.4211.1M2022-07-17
UNIUniswapEthereum3.9313.9314+0.01%6.943+76.62%0.5461✓1.363.3M2022-07-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.011.01+0.00%1.4+38.61%0.3000✓1.591.1M2022-07-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02820.028173-0.09%0.0363+28.72%0.2313✗1.33197k2022-07-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21320.212982-0.10%0.2316+8.63%0.0604✗1.41462k2022-07-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120480.012032-0.14%0.012404+2.95%0.0159✗0.872.0M2022-07-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2697.2571-0.16%6.919-4.81%0.0702✓1.3513.8M2022-07-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11180.111592-0.19%0.126+12.70%0.0977✗1.4250k2022-07-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86111.8568-0.23%1.8014-3.21%0.0527✓1.3455k2022-07-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006710.006691-0.28%0.00645-3.87%0.0540✓1.03540k2022-07-17
FTTFTXEthereum24.3524.2736-0.31%27.61+13.39%0.1134✗0.929.9M2022-07-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008160.000008132-0.35%0.0000107+31.13%0.2536✗1.25813k2022-07-17
XTZTezosTezos1.38791.383-0.35%1.5731+13.34%0.1067✗1.32914k2022-07-17
KSMKusamaHydration48.9748.792-0.36%54.43+11.15%0.0885✗1.25986k2022-07-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.712.6994-0.39%3.268+20.59%0.1724✗1.12663k2022-07-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6110.608438-0.42%0.667+9.17%0.0688✗1.38531k2022-07-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09240.091991-0.44%0.1105+19.59%0.1638✗1.17686k2022-07-17
XECeCashnative0.000037960.000037792-0.44%0.00004004+5.48%0.0355✗1.332.8M2022-07-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02040.020305-0.47%0.02009-1.52%0.0287✓1.08137k2022-07-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2660.264758-0.47%0.273+2.63%0.0094✗1.285.1M2022-07-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4410.43893-0.47%0.497+12.70%0.1001✗1.45108k2022-07-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3760.374224-0.47%0.3774+0.37%0.0165✓1.50146k2022-07-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09840.097868-0.54%0.0979-0.51%0.0241✓1.475.0M2022-07-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0520.051673-0.63%0.0505-2.88%0.0473✓1.461.7M2022-07-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7271.7149-0.70%2.164+25.30%0.2062✗1.5992k2022-07-17
RADRadworksEthereum1.551.5387-0.73%1.71+10.32%0.0857✗1.19270k2022-07-17
LSKLiskEthereum0.987830.980512-0.74%1.0511+6.40%0.0496✗1.1949k2022-07-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.838280.832033-0.75%0.83755-0.09%0.0166✓1.39725k2022-07-17
STEEMSteemnative0.20110.199596-0.75%0.2123+5.57%0.0409✗1.25656k2022-07-17
DODODODOEthereum0.12440.123464-0.75%0.1532+23.15%0.1920✗1.434.4M2022-07-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.248.1683-0.87%9.37+13.71%0.1092✗1.682.4M2022-07-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5050.500523-0.89%0.5072+0.44%0.0089✓1.33767k2022-07-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.09430.093433-0.92%0.1055+11.88%0.1009✗1.24803k2022-07-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.3377-0.95%2.52+6.78%0.0475✗1.66311k2022-07-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04010.039709-0.98%–pending––1.102,9602022-07-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.293090.290114-1.02%0.28874-1.48%0.0297✓1.5012k2022-07-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.22070.218407-1.04%0.2371+7.43%0.0626✗1.17100k2022-07-17
BTTCBTTC7.60e-77.52e-7-1.07%9.00e-7+18.42%0.1651✗0.885.3M2022-07-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3850.380686-1.12%0.64+66.23%0.4934✗1.563,5232022-07-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.05680.056154-1.14%0.0507-10.74%0.1286✓1.59142k2022-07-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.026437-1.17%0.02736+2.28%0.0114✓1.3719k2022-07-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3460.341355-1.34%0.511+47.69%0.3842✗1.1616k2022-07-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.0554.9862-1.36%5.2307+3.48%0.0438✗0.24226k2022-07-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.310.305676-1.39%0.3365+8.55%0.0753✗1.2414.4M2022-07-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0197880.019508-1.42%0.021277+7.52%0.0667✗1.208,7652022-07-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045990.045308-1.48%0.06269+36.31%0.3023✗1.3470k2022-07-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009130.008988-1.55%0.0091-0.33%0.0039✓0.9711.3M2022-07-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04620.04547-1.58%0.0416-9.96%0.1148✓1.5516k2022-07-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.850350.836376-1.64%0.78631-7.53%0.0755✓0.828792022-07-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10660.104837-1.65%0.1096+2.81%0.0265✗1.085,8092022-07-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.7411.7116-1.69%2.043+17.35%0.1619✗0.912.8M2022-07-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7590.746083-1.70%0.9124+20.21%0.1748✗1.583.3M2022-07-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7610.748042-1.70%0.777+2.10%0.0222✗0.941.7M2022-07-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.2761.2542-1.71%1.778+39.34%0.3238✗1.51891k2022-07-17
ADACardanoCardano0.48680.478392-1.73%0.4477-8.03%0.0898✓1.4171.0M2022-07-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13040.128047-1.80%0.0943-27.68%0.3228✓1.01255k2022-07-17
XVSVenusEthereum4.164.0836-1.84%5.15+23.80%0.2040✗1.681.6M2022-07-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8570.841052-1.86%1.182+37.92%0.3236✗1.001.5M2022-07-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4132.3656-1.97%2.355-2.40%0.0212✓1.0075k2022-07-17
HIVEHivenative0.36270.355496-1.99%0.4404+21.42%0.1904✗1.431.1M2022-07-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.2838-2.00%1.46+11.45%0.1016✗1.62596k2022-07-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.472670.462387-2.18%0.66332+40.33%0.3374✗1.4163k2022-07-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.922.8538-2.27%3.223+10.38%0.1073✗0.861.8M2022-07-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046570.045504-2.29%0.04502-3.33%0.0278✓1.0315k2022-07-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.963.8685-2.31%4.32+9.09%0.0987✗0.701.5M2022-07-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.43253.1603-2.34%53.662-1.41%0.0054✓0.891.2M2022-07-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37691.3447-2.34%1.3548-1.61%0.0138✓1.281.5M2022-07-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.6160.600865-2.46%0.896+45.45%0.3699✗1.781.6M2022-07-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1118030.108887-2.61%0.106625-4.63%0.0392✓1.0911.1M2022-07-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.080.077905-2.62%0.0857+7.13%0.0718✗1.41334k2022-07-17
CBKCobakEthereum0.870460.847482-2.64%0.9894+13.66%0.1341✗1.246,0082022-07-17
XEMNEMnative0.0398990.038799-2.76%0.040555+1.64%0.0223✓1.3226k2022-07-17
PROPropyEthereum0.90.875096-2.77%0.81-10.00%0.0898✓0.75186k2022-07-17
UMAUMAEthereum2.6492.574-2.83%2.624-0.94%0.0017✓1.251.1M2022-07-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0381.9803-2.83%2.171+6.53%0.0665✗1.5288k2022-07-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06150.059726-2.89%0.0706+14.80%0.1474✗1.19147k2022-07-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.0110.675-3.04%17.39+57.95%0.4599✗1.68322k2022-07-17
OPTIMOptimism0.5180.501647-3.16%0.582+12.36%0.1319✗1.006.4M2022-07-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.123.0181-3.27%3.47+11.22%0.1262✗0.801.5M2022-07-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.256.0422-3.32%6.82+9.12%0.1125✗0.512.0M2022-07-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.338270.326936-3.35%0.38262+13.11%0.1356✗1.30105k2022-07-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017770.017155-3.46%0.01857+4.50%0.0676✗0.70608k2022-07-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43362.348-3.52%2.5042+2.90%0.0461✗1.102.9M2022-07-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.14592.0678-3.64%2.2375+4.27%0.0638✗0.903.1M2022-07-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.113.9555-3.76%4.78+16.30%0.1771✗0.731.4M2022-07-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0504990.048549-3.86%0.051428+1.84%0.0462✗0.6965k2022-07-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.056120.053797-4.14%0.0772+37.56%0.3445✗1.001,5532022-07-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000058530.000055688-4.86%0.0001015+73.42%0.5642✗2.171.6M2022-07-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0153930.014607-5.10%0.017915+16.38%0.1941✗0.60469k2022-07-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021960.020816-5.21%0.02299+4.69%0.0672✗1.9340.1M2022-07-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.683.4787-5.47%3.91+6.25%0.1068✗0.611.9M2022-07-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.41652.2672-6.18%2.5474+5.42%0.0871✗1.7717k2022-07-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.240.225064-6.22%0.203-15.42%0.1304✓1.631.2M2022-07-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.341.2539-6.43%1.244-7.16%0.0330✓1.504.9M2022-07-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6193.3712-6.85%3.872+6.99%0.1271✗0.686.3M2022-07-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.553520.515249-6.91%0.44441-19.71%0.1780✓1.803.6M2022-07-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8492.65-6.99%3.597+26.25%0.2962✗0.564.3M2022-07-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72370.667213-7.81%0.8024+10.87%0.1647✗1.192.8M2022-07-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.3602-8.71%1.64+10.07%0.1757✗0.69166k2022-07-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49930.455709-8.73%0.4817-3.52%0.0388✓1.00161k2022-07-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1332.8576-8.79%3.087-1.47%0.0652✓0.724.9M2022-07-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.75853-14.58%0.776-12.61%0.0111✓2.0329.5M2022-07-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.