8=======>

2022-06-14 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2137
170 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.31%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.4%
in alpha space · 58.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9260.856406-7.52%0.781-15.66%0.0562✓2.0522.9M2022-07-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000060630.000056327-7.10%0.0000921+51.90%0.6662✗2.411.7M2022-07-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.631.5225-6.60%1.49-8.59%0.0280✓0.69166k2022-07-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2832.1398-6.27%2.2614-0.95%0.1902✗1.8717k2022-07-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1953.0186-5.52%3.458+8.23%0.1736✗0.524.5M2022-07-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4291.3553-5.16%1.226-14.21%0.0091✓1.515.1M2022-07-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6253.4403-5.10%3.698+2.01%0.1225✗0.697.0M2022-07-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.055850.053007-5.09%0.07424+32.93%0.4092✗1.001,8582022-07-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.00320.954812-4.82%0.79254-21.00%0.1284✓0.806242022-07-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.64932.524-4.73%2.3359-11.83%0.0034✓1.123.0M2022-07-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.205967-4.64%0.211-2.31%0.1494✗1.731.2M2022-07-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.45.1574-4.49%5.3999-0.00%0.0665✗0.28235k2022-07-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.12512.0315-4.40%2.125-0.00%0.1118✗0.923.3M2022-07-14
CBKCobakEthereum0.816220.780407-4.39%0.97016+18.86%0.3111✗1.295,7412022-07-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2643.1236-4.30%2.891-11.43%0.0254✓0.724.3M2022-07-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.493.341-4.27%3.14-10.03%0.0059✓0.781.7M2022-07-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.963.7947-4.17%3.64-8.08%0.0007✓0.572.1M2022-07-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.04558-4.04%0.0423-10.95%0.0372✓1.5520k2022-07-14
OPTIMOptimism0.5650.544281-3.67%0.491-13.10%0.0307✓1.006.6M2022-07-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.8162.7147-3.60%2.576-8.52%0.0428✗1.321.1M2022-07-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4020.387786-3.54%0.647+60.95%0.6291✗1.624,1942022-07-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0504490.048732-3.40%0.050899+0.89%0.0958✗0.7259k2022-07-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019190.018593-3.11%0.01788-6.83%0.0109✓0.69646k2022-07-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.461150.447651-2.93%0.45-2.42%0.1496✗2.003.5M2022-07-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.272440.264492-2.92%0.28803+5.72%0.1923✗1.4811k2022-07-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020140.019564-2.86%0.02364+17.38%0.3253✗1.8838.7M2022-07-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03910.037986-2.85%–pending––1.122,9602022-07-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044280.043023-2.84%0.04502+1.67%0.1270✗1.1314k2022-07-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.96552.5546-2.61%52.204-3.26%0.0574✗0.891.2M2022-07-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.81331.7663-2.59%1.7856-1.53%0.0777✗0.923.2M2022-07-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.033.9263-2.57%3.99-0.99%0.0670✗0.701.7M2022-07-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0183670.017899-2.55%0.020526+11.75%0.2272✗1.259,7572022-07-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.536.3677-2.49%6.2-5.05%0.0089✓0.492.0M2022-07-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.690.674431-2.26%0.9309+34.91%0.4273✗1.45198k2022-07-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4412.3863-2.24%2.216-9.22%0.0010✓1.0163k2022-07-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.710.694361-2.20%0.9164+29.07%0.3941✗1.612.9M2022-07-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92351.8816-2.18%1.7704-7.96%0.0375✗1.3668k2022-07-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08960.08766-2.17%0.0862-3.79%0.0894✗1.47381k2022-07-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8830.86407-2.14%1.205+36.47%0.4049✗1.001.6M2022-07-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9091.8687-2.11%2.232+16.92%0.2910✗1.5797k2022-07-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8220.804893-2.08%0.799-2.80%0.0655✗1.011.7M2022-07-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009340.009149-2.05%0.00948+1.50%0.1129✗1.0713.0M2022-07-14
FLOWFlownative1.5951.5625-2.04%1.562-2.07%0.0720✗1.00592k2022-07-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0612.0193-2.02%2.178+5.68%0.1823✗1.47104k2022-07-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.821090.804648-2.00%0.83504+1.70%0.1367✗1.38789k2022-07-14
LSKLiskEthereum0.9630380.94521-1.85%1.0253+6.47%0.1713✗1.2448k2022-07-14
RADRadworksEthereum1.611.5804-1.84%1.65+2.48%0.1328✗1.24270k2022-07-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05590.054896-1.80%0.069+23.43%0.3157✗1.20153k2022-07-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.7511.542-1.77%17.16+46.04%0.5203✗1.71322k2022-07-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9922.9412-1.70%2.795-6.58%0.0121✓0.871.9M2022-07-14
PROPropyEthereum0.930.91491-1.62%0.82-11.83%0.0540✓0.77187k2022-07-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5150.506651-1.62%0.5071-1.53%0.1009✗1.38821k2022-07-14
XVSVenusEthereum4.194.1271-1.50%5.19+23.87%0.3533✗1.721.6M2022-07-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2960.291761-1.43%0.4047+36.72%0.4449✗1.63425k2022-07-14
BANDBandEthereum1.4531.4322-1.43%1.354-6.81%0.0568✗1.56353k2022-07-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.1270.125272-1.36%0.1368+7.72%0.1909✗1.42169k2022-07-14
GTGateEthereum4.44594.3883-1.30%4.0091-9.82%0.0425✓0.662.1M2022-07-14
XEMNEMnative0.0400010.039487-1.28%0.039902-0.25%0.1077✗1.3429k2022-07-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.282.2512-1.26%2.26-0.88%0.1313✗1.76304k2022-07-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.424.3643-1.26%4.43+0.23%0.0668✗0.721.6M2022-07-14
SUSHISushiEthereum10.991272-0.87%1.39+39.00%0.4526✗1.581.1M2022-07-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.292150.289779-0.81%0.38756+32.66%0.3817✗1.26105k2022-07-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.05770.057252-0.78%0.0661+14.56%0.2466✗1.42406k2022-07-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13660.135539-0.78%0.0888-34.99%0.3523✓0.98267k2022-07-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02040.020253-0.72%0.01974-3.24%0.0536✗1.10151k2022-07-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1126380.111852-0.70%0.107137-4.88%0.0355✗1.0910.7M2022-07-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0580.057604-0.68%0.0443-23.62%0.1555✓1.481.7M2022-07-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2509860.249314-0.67%0.290712+15.83%0.2601✗1.472.3M2022-07-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12590.125066-0.66%0.114-9.45%0.0209✓0.993.2M2022-07-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.8541.8418-0.66%2.709+46.12%0.5163✗1.802.9M2022-07-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1771.1693-0.65%2.036+72.98%0.6621✗1.4973k2022-07-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60040.596493-0.65%0.8049+34.06%0.3864✗1.202.8M2022-07-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3380.335869-0.63%0.408+20.71%0.2812✗1.2015k2022-07-14
KCSKuCoinnative11.91411.8427-0.60%9.1-23.62%0.1825✓1.125.3M2022-07-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.050780.050481-0.59%0.04956-2.40%0.0986✗1.621.9M2022-07-14
STEEMSteemnative0.19270.191567-0.59%0.2025+5.09%0.1499✗1.31629k2022-07-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.20160.200479-0.56%0.235+16.57%0.2460✗1.2187k2022-07-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.228.1838-0.44%9.18+11.68%0.2359✗1.672.7M2022-07-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.734.71-0.42%5.72+20.93%0.2986✗1.44405k2022-07-14
FTTFTXEthereum23.9623.8597-0.42%25.89+8.06%0.1478✗0.919.4M2022-07-14
DODODODOEthereum0.13510.13454-0.41%0.1478+9.40%0.1992✗1.454.1M2022-07-14
APEApeCoinEthereum3.6153.6042-0.30%4.685+29.60%0.4004✗1.9117.0M2022-07-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.6330.631389-0.25%0.942+48.82%0.5310✗1.811.8M2022-07-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.009720.009698-0.23%0.00899-7.51%0.0007✓1.061.5M2022-07-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.006560.006545-0.22%0.005687-13.31%0.0633✓1.072,4432022-07-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0124220.0124-0.18%0.012052-2.98%0.0379✗0.922.0M2022-07-14
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.09e-7-0.15%8.60e-7+6.17%0.1256✗0.895.5M2022-07-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26660.266271-0.12%0.2688+0.83%0.1019✗1.286.1M2022-07-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00320.003197-0.10%–pending––1.214,6932022-07-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.792.7881-0.07%2.683-3.84%0.0425✗1.12663k2022-07-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0146580.014648-0.07%0.017379+18.56%0.2125✗0.57443k2022-07-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.351.3494-0.05%1.3201-2.21%0.0700✗1.271.9M2022-07-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09820.098169-0.03%0.1067+8.66%0.1690✗1.18733k2022-07-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.0714.0694-0.00%13.96-0.78%0.0962✗1.442.3M2022-07-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006580.006583+0.05%0.00641-2.58%0.0509✓1.07582k2022-07-14
HIVEHivenative0.35720.357485+0.08%0.4244+18.81%0.2766✓1.451.2M2022-07-14
SCSiacoinnative0.003590.003596+0.17%0.00388+8.08%0.1892✓1.57228k2022-07-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6550.656132+0.17%0.668+1.98%0.1172✓1.37578k2022-07-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.31.3023+0.18%1.442+10.92%0.2276✓1.74231k2022-07-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38150.382247+0.20%0.3837+0.58%0.1148✓1.54160k2022-07-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8302190.832186+0.24%0.88517+6.62%0.1409✓1.09120k2022-07-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15970.160154+0.28%0.1515-5.13%0.0504✓1.46801k2022-07-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4540.455346+0.30%0.501+10.35%0.2012✓1.46116k2022-07-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.77e-73.79e-7+0.33%3.70e-7-1.86%0.0377✓0.831.1M2022-07-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10420.104556+0.34%0.0961-7.77%0.0211✓1.465.4M2022-07-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.318.34+0.36%14.59+75.57%0.6352✓1.05283k2022-07-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006860.006885+0.37%0.006757-1.50%0.0392✓0.80167k2022-07-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,120.2522,229.83+0.50%20,577.02-6.98%0.0049✗1.00602.3M2022-07-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03750.037687+0.50%0.0465+24.00%0.3142✓1.44383k2022-07-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30830.309878+0.51%0.3297+6.94%0.1509✓1.2314.6M2022-07-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.047220.047473+0.54%0.05693+20.56%0.2813✓1.3870k2022-07-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09880.099347+0.55%0.1077+9.01%0.1615✓1.127,2892022-07-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.06090.06124+0.56%0.0496-18.56%0.0970✗1.57141k2022-07-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02910.029264+0.56%0.0362+24.40%0.3104✓1.35247k2022-07-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.7136.7516+0.58%6.27-6.60%0.0201✓1.3039.3M2022-07-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.09510.09565+0.58%0.0919-3.36%0.0705✓1.531.2M2022-07-14
KSMKusamaHydration51.1851.5459+0.71%51.51+0.64%0.0871✓1.211.0M2022-07-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.371990.374683+0.72%0.65046+74.86%0.6637✓1.5563k2022-07-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026370.026565+0.74%0.02709+2.73%0.1206✓1.4018k2022-07-14
XECeCashnative0.000038070.000038362+0.77%0.00003899+2.42%0.1150✓1.373.0M2022-07-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.055550.055979+0.77%0.062392+12.32%0.1986✓1.251.3M2022-07-14
ADACardanoCardano0.48280.486699+0.81%0.4414-8.57%0.0047✓1.4257.0M2022-07-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137930.139068+0.83%0.12964-6.01%0.0491✓1.65260k2022-07-14
DASHDashDash43.4743.8316+0.83%43.62+0.35%0.0778✓1.14837k2022-07-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.068.1317+0.89%8.33+3.35%0.1080✓1.16502k2022-07-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8670.874741+0.89%0.609-29.76%0.2316✗1.80319k2022-07-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.1731.1838+0.92%1.817+54.90%0.5338✓1.46826k2022-07-14
ZENHorizenBase14.6514.7962+1.00%15.41+5.19%0.1449✓1.4465k2022-07-14
ZECZcashZcash64.0664.6995+1.00%57.59-10.10%0.0185✗1.353.6M2022-07-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.11050.111656+1.05%0.0769-30.41%0.2768✗1.334,0262022-07-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.245280.247925+1.08%0.28941+17.99%0.2516✓1.34453k2022-07-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,084.6022,333.70+1.13%20,493.50-7.20%0.0146✗0.9929k2022-07-14
TRXTRONTron0.0555890.05626+1.21%0.066934+20.41%0.2444✓0.98715k2022-07-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.09430.095472+1.24%0.105+11.35%0.1839✓1.23803k2022-07-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19820.200717+1.27%0.2286+15.34%0.2332✓1.43446k2022-07-14
DIADIAEthereum0.397530.402758+1.32%0.40703+2.39%0.0583✓0.66276k2022-07-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4685.5403+1.32%5.354-2.08%0.0633✓1.352.6M2022-07-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008240.000836047+1.46%0.0009545+15.84%0.2337✓1.401.9M2022-07-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7310.742102+1.52%1.168+59.78%0.5541✓1.395.0M2022-07-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3497.468+1.62%6.722-8.53%0.0119✓1.2913.5M2022-07-14
XTZTezosTezos1.45661.4808+1.66%1.5601+7.11%0.1483✓1.33914k2022-07-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.620.630494+1.69%0.7889+27.24%0.3033✓1.0958k2022-07-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.750.76303+1.74%0.611-18.53%0.1401✗1.131.0M2022-07-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.5914.8468+1.76%14.74+1.03%0.0862✓1.292.6M2022-07-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06430.065442+1.78%0.0519-19.28%0.1754✗0.78299k2022-07-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.5585.6578+1.79%6.832+22.92%0.2924✓1.4310.9M2022-07-14
QTUMQtumQtum2.7762.8278+1.87%2.733-1.55%0.0522✓1.1935k2022-07-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002880.002934+1.87%0.002749-4.55%0.0192✓1.172.1M2022-07-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10160.103545+1.91%0.1256+23.62%0.2989✓1.4649k2022-07-14
MOVRMoonriverBase15.191115.4878+1.95%12.3534-18.68%0.1283✗1.35222k2022-07-14
QNTQuantEthereum47.7948.7425+1.99%97.54+104.10%0.7643✓0.982.0M2022-07-14
XMRMoneroMonero118.2120.58+2.01%133.62+13.05%0.1857✓1.151.7M2022-07-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.359+2.18%1.43+7.52%0.1689✓1.63580k2022-07-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.3576.4981+2.22%8.981+41.28%0.4182✓1.3115.2M2022-07-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.5416.915+2.27%19.74+19.35%0.2609✓1.4749.3M2022-07-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.22340.228635+2.34%0.2569+15.00%0.2115✓1.3131k2022-07-14
UNIUniswapEthereum3.8573.9482+2.37%7.013+81.83%0.6707✓1.332.9M2022-07-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.17680.181106+2.44%0.1891+6.96%0.1497✓1.47196k2022-07-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5930.609468+2.78%0.615+3.71%0.0849✓1.05365k2022-07-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.260.267309+2.81%0.284+9.23%0.1408✓1.11847k2022-07-14
SOLSolanaSolana29.5430.4155+2.96%37.12+25.66%0.2992✓1.38107.4M2022-07-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,207.581,243.94+3.01%1,192.70-1.23%0.0380✓1.11363.3M2022-07-14
COMPCompoundEthereum34.2535.2875+3.03%54.97+60.50%0.5491✓1.4627k2022-07-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.130.134037+3.11%0.1866+43.54%0.4138✓1.152,8762022-07-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.820.846154+3.19%0.467-43.05%0.5141✗1.1171k2022-07-14
XVGVergenative0.003030.003129+3.26%0.00349+15.18%0.2151✓1.46628k2022-07-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008190.000008464+3.35%0.0000106+29.43%0.3164✓1.26850k2022-07-14
AAVEAaveEthereum62.1164.2103+3.38%91.22+46.87%0.4719✓1.677.6M2022-07-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,887.885,066.50+3.65%6,010.90+22.98%0.2637✓1.283.7M2022-07-14
STXStacksnative0.34310.357312+4.14%0.3802+10.81%0.1591✓1.34165k2022-07-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin46.148.2001+4.56%51.32+11.32%0.1486✓1.1917.5M2022-07-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash125.88131.8153+4.72%102.99-18.18%0.1606✗1.194.4M2022-07-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.