8=======>

2022-06-13 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2369
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
76.7%
in alpha space · 66.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.52%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
APEApeCoinEthereum3.4853.5363+1.47%3.615+3.73%0.0513✓1.9117.0M2022-06-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3010.304937+1.31%0.296-1.66%0.0037✓1.71496k2022-06-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000060430.000061162+1.21%0.00006063+0.33%0.0286✓2.441.8M2022-06-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.5910.597959+1.18%0.633+7.11%0.0847✓1.811.8M2022-06-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.16070.162446+1.09%0.1768+10.02%0.1076✓1.50196k2022-06-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05610.056707+1.08%0.0559-0.36%0.0050✓1.27153k2022-06-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7180.72564+1.06%0.731+1.81%0.0287✓1.405.1M2022-06-14
UMAUMAEthereum1.9972.0174+1.02%2.816+41.01%0.3538✓1.331.1M2022-06-14
FLOWFlownative1.5861.6021+1.01%1.595+0.57%0.0109✓1.00608k2022-06-14
AAVEAaveEthereum59.7460.339+1.00%62.11+3.97%0.0550✓1.707.6M2022-06-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.23961.2512+0.94%1.35+8.91%0.0952✓1.251.7M2022-06-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450730.454909+0.93%0.46115+2.31%0.0439✓1.983.5M2022-06-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.0916.2377+0.92%16.54+2.80%0.0410✓1.4849.3M2022-06-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.018830.019001+0.91%0.0204+8.34%0.0881✓1.12151k2022-06-14
SOLSolanaSolana28.5828.834+0.89%29.54+3.36%0.0454✓1.39104.0M2022-06-14
MOVRMoonriverBase14.648714.7788+0.89%15.1911+3.70%0.0482✓1.35222k2022-06-14
KSMKusamaHydration46.0846.4848+0.88%51.18+11.07%0.1148✓1.221.0M2022-06-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1451.1547+0.84%1.177+2.79%0.0419✓1.4973k2022-06-14
COMPCompoundEthereum35.7336.0277+0.83%34.25-4.14%0.0283✗1.4630k2022-06-14
OPTIMOptimism0.5450.549503+0.83%0.565+3.67%0.0431✓1.006.8M2022-06-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.368.4258+0.79%8.06-3.59%0.0266✗1.16502k2022-06-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.61e-7+0.78%3.77e-7+5.47%0.0588✓0.881.1M2022-06-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,951.674,987.03+0.71%4,887.88-1.29%0.0005✓1.283.6M2022-06-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132590.133514+0.70%0.13793+4.03%0.0577✓1.65260k2022-06-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.148.1953+0.68%8.31+2.09%0.0300✓1.05283k2022-06-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.4956.5384+0.67%6.357-2.12%0.0080✗1.3215.2M2022-06-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2520410.253699+0.66%0.250986-0.42%0.0116✓1.462.3M2022-06-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2981+0.63%1.33+3.10%0.0493✓1.64574k2022-06-14
XVGVergenative0.003030.003049+0.63%0.00303+0.00%0.0159✓1.45628k2022-06-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.4913.5744+0.63%14.07+4.30%0.0580✓1.452.3M2022-06-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.257190.25877+0.61%0.27244+5.93%0.0742✓1.4811k2022-06-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.038.0776+0.59%8.22+2.37%0.0431✓1.682.7M2022-06-14
SUSHISushiEthereum0.970.975653+0.58%1+3.09%0.0489✓1.591.1M2022-06-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3132.3264+0.58%2.6493+14.54%0.1474✓1.143.0M2022-06-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0541720.054482+0.57%0.05555+2.54%0.0384✓1.241.3M2022-06-14
KCSKuCoinnative11.70611.7729+0.57%11.914+1.78%0.0288✓1.105.3M2022-06-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8530.857858+0.57%0.883+3.52%0.0442✓1.001.5M2022-06-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5990.602289+0.55%0.593-1.00%0.0009✓1.08365k2022-06-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,207.821,214.41+0.55%1,207.58-0.02%0.0114✓1.11344.3M2022-06-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin43.4543.6807+0.53%46.1+6.10%0.0721✓1.1917.5M2022-06-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03580.035986+0.52%0.0375+4.75%0.0631✓1.43383k2022-06-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.1491.1548+0.50%1.173+2.09%0.0377✓1.44826k2022-06-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7780.781867+0.50%0.75-3.60%0.0243✗1.131.0M2022-06-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash126.93127.5552+0.49%125.88-0.83%0.0049✓1.194.4M2022-06-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006320.00635+0.48%0.00658+4.11%0.0520✓1.08607k2022-06-14
ZECZcashZcash65.4865.7954+0.48%64.06-2.17%0.0056✗1.383.6M2022-06-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3353.351+0.48%3.625+8.70%0.0903✓0.766.4M2022-06-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8580.862042+0.47%0.867+1.05%0.0337✓1.83319k2022-06-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3295.3539+0.47%5.468+2.61%0.0416✓1.342.5M2022-06-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.414.4661+0.46%14.59+1.32%0.0283✓1.292.6M2022-06-14
RADRadworksEthereum1.521.5269+0.45%1.61+5.92%0.0719✓1.24270k2022-06-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045620.045827+0.45%0.04722+3.51%0.0509✓1.3760k2022-06-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8081.8161+0.45%1.909+5.59%0.0739✓1.5797k2022-06-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026350.026466+0.44%0.02637+0.08%0.0174✓1.3817k2022-06-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4470.448943+0.43%0.454+1.57%0.0337✓1.47116k2022-06-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10660.107062+0.43%0.1042-2.25%0.0048✗1.465.4M2022-06-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1070.107459+0.43%0.1105+3.27%0.0483✓1.334,0262022-06-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0422.0506+0.42%2.061+0.93%0.0276✓1.48126k2022-06-14
SCSiacoinnative0.003590.003605+0.42%0.00359+0.00%0.0195✓1.55213k2022-06-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002850.002862+0.42%0.00288+1.05%0.0239✓1.152.1M2022-06-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.22050.221422+0.42%0.2234+1.32%0.0290✓1.3131k2022-06-14
XTZTezosTezos1.40081.4066+0.42%1.4566+3.98%0.0552✓1.33914k2022-06-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2551.2599+0.39%1.3+3.59%0.0575✓1.71236k2022-06-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3320.333268+0.38%0.338+1.81%0.0322✓1.1915k2022-06-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2560.256974+0.38%0.26+1.56%0.0286✓1.11847k2022-06-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.012810.012858+0.38%0.012422-3.03%0.0205✗0.922.0M2022-06-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008020.00000805+0.37%0.00000819+2.12%0.0366✓1.26850k2022-06-14
STXStacksnative0.3470.348284+0.37%0.3431-1.12%0.0055✓1.34165k2022-06-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3920.39343+0.36%0.402+2.55%0.0462✓1.614,2732022-06-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.1950.195682+0.35%0.1982+1.64%0.0343✓1.41432k2022-06-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008280.000830894+0.35%0.000824-0.48%0.0128✓1.381.8M2022-06-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.9121.9187+0.35%1.854-3.03%0.0068✗1.803.0M2022-06-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.72111.7271+0.35%1.8133+5.36%0.0634✓0.963.2M2022-06-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.19920.199888+0.35%0.2016+1.20%0.0268✓1.2087k2022-06-14
STEEMSteemnative0.18350.184129+0.34%0.1927+5.01%0.0655✓1.31585k2022-06-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.284930.285894+0.34%0.29215+2.53%0.0409✓1.26105k2022-06-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37650.377767+0.34%0.3815+1.33%0.0332✓1.53160k2022-06-14
HIVEHivenative0.35840.359556+0.32%0.3572-0.33%0.0155✓1.451.1M2022-06-14
ZENHorizenBase14.1214.1655+0.32%14.65+3.75%0.0558✓1.4565k2022-06-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.880.882837+0.32%0.82-6.82%0.0569✗1.1168k2022-06-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16110.16161+0.32%0.1597-0.87%0.0102✓1.45805k2022-06-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.13050.130912+0.32%0.13-0.38%0.0112✓1.192,3482022-06-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10130.101604+0.30%0.1016+0.30%0.0221✓1.4549k2022-06-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.60.601779+0.30%0.62+3.33%0.0466✓1.1060k2022-06-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09140.09167+0.30%0.0982+7.44%0.0869✓1.18733k2022-06-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1890.189557+0.29%0.216+14.29%0.1565✓1.701.1M2022-06-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8458840.848322+0.29%0.830219-1.85%0.0032✗1.20120k2022-06-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.065586+0.28%0.0643-1.68%0.0078✗0.79299k2022-06-14
QTUMQtumQtum2.77622.7839+0.28%2.776-0.01%0.0154✓1.1933k2022-06-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4425.4567+0.27%5.558+2.13%0.0402✓1.4310.6M2022-06-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6620.663775+0.27%0.655-1.06%0.0081✓1.40578k2022-06-14
UNIUniswapEthereum3.6623.6718+0.27%3.857+5.32%0.0695✓1.332.7M2022-06-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05080.050935+0.27%0.058+14.17%0.1527✓1.491.6M2022-06-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13350.133853+0.26%0.1366+2.32%0.0352✓0.97258k2022-06-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.371680.372655+0.26%0.37199+0.08%0.0218✓1.5461k2022-06-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0327.0501+0.26%7.349+4.51%0.0614✓1.3013.5M2022-06-14
BANDBandEthereum1.3181.3213+0.25%1.453+10.24%0.1189✓1.56342k2022-06-14
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.12e-7+0.25%8.10e-7+0.00%0.0112✓0.895.5M2022-06-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.05190.052028+0.25%0.0577+11.18%0.1251✓1.41405k2022-06-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.258220.258854+0.25%0.24528-5.01%0.0334✗1.34453k2022-06-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4930.494197+0.24%0.515+4.46%0.0627✓1.40886k2022-06-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum5.9175.9313+0.24%6.713+13.45%0.1439✓1.3237.2M2022-06-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048970.049088+0.24%0.05078+3.70%0.0587✓1.621.9M2022-06-14
DIADIAEthereum0.380090.381001+0.24%0.39753+4.59%0.0527✓0.67271k2022-06-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,471.7022,524.27+0.23%22,084.60-1.72%0.0046✗0.9929k2022-06-14
XMRMoneroMonero132.56132.8672+0.23%118.2-10.83%0.0997✗1.131.7M2022-06-14
DASHDashDash42.5942.6873+0.23%43.47+2.07%0.0356✓1.14837k2022-06-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02910.029165+0.22%0.0291+0.00%0.0185✓1.36247k2022-06-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09910.099321+0.22%0.0988-0.30%0.0117✓1.117,2892022-06-14
CBKCobakEthereum0.809710.811363+0.20%0.81622+0.80%0.0255✓1.285,7412022-06-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.09260.092789+0.20%0.0951+2.70%0.0480✓1.531.2M2022-06-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.1944+0.20%2.28+4.11%0.0652✓1.76294k2022-06-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019670.019709+0.20%0.01919-2.44%0.0162✗0.69646k2022-06-14
QNTQuantEthereum49.6649.757+0.20%47.79-3.77%0.0253✗0.982.0M2022-06-14
XECeCashnative0.000038270.000038344+0.19%0.00003807-0.52%0.0134✓1.343.0M2022-06-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.534.5386+0.19%4.73+4.42%0.0633✓1.44411k2022-06-14
LSKLiskEthereum0.9390690.940825+0.19%0.963038+2.55%0.0422✓1.2448k2022-06-14
XEMNEMnative0.0390060.039075+0.18%0.040001+2.55%0.0439✓1.3431k2022-06-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,460.9722,500.61+0.18%22,120.25-1.52%0.0018✗1.00582.4M2022-06-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0182580.018289+0.17%0.018367+0.60%0.0231✓1.239,7572022-06-14
DODODODOEthereum0.1360.13623+0.17%0.1351-0.66%0.0139✓1.453.8M2022-06-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.544.5471+0.16%4.42-2.64%0.0172✗0.731.6M2022-06-14
XVSVenusEthereum3.883.886+0.15%4.19+7.99%0.1012✓1.691.5M2022-06-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30390.304338+0.14%0.3083+1.45%0.0316✓1.2214.4M2022-06-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.70.700904+0.13%0.71+1.43%0.0377✓1.622.7M2022-06-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.059976+0.13%0.0609+1.67%0.0397✓1.59141k2022-06-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.009050.009061+0.12%0.00972+7.40%0.0864✓1.061.5M2022-06-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003310.003314+0.12%0.0032-3.32%0.0167✗1.194,6932022-06-14
TRXTRONTron0.0637010.063774+0.11%0.055589-12.73%0.1228✗0.95715k2022-06-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1067610.106873+0.10%0.112638+5.50%0.0691✓1.0810.3M2022-06-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.12720.127331+0.10%0.127-0.16%0.0192✓1.42169k2022-06-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08330.083385+0.10%0.0896+7.56%0.0942✓1.46402k2022-06-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9410.941845+0.09%0.926-1.59%0.0141✓2.0312.5M2022-06-14
GTGateEthereum4.24454.2482+0.09%4.4459+4.74%0.0557✓0.672.1M2022-06-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.752.7521+0.08%2.79+1.45%0.0307✓1.11686k2022-06-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.680.680499+0.07%0.69+1.47%0.0361✓1.45198k2022-06-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25740.257588+0.07%0.2666+3.57%0.0538✓1.276.2M2022-06-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08212.0835+0.07%2.283+9.65%0.1200✓1.8715k2022-06-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037240.037261+0.06%0.0391+4.99%0.0649✓1.102,9602022-06-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.09450.094545+0.05%0.0943-0.21%0.0162✓1.23795k2022-06-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.007630.007633+0.03%0.00656-14.02%0.1354✗1.052,4432022-06-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.88461.8853+0.03%1.9235+2.06%0.0408✓1.3558k2022-06-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.0923.093+0.03%2.992-3.23%0.0198✗0.881.8M2022-06-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.796.7916+0.02%6.53-3.83%0.0317✗0.492.0M2022-06-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043290.043297+0.02%0.04428+2.29%0.0396✓1.1214k2022-06-14
ADACardanoCardano0.46360.463634+0.01%0.4828+4.14%0.0621✓1.4152.0M2022-06-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0129610.01296-0.01%0.014658+13.09%0.1310✗0.52375k2022-06-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56490.564824-0.01%0.6004+6.28%0.0793✗1.192.8M2022-06-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.007330.007327-0.03%0.00686-6.41%0.0537✓0.80153k2022-06-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009710.009706-0.04%0.00934-3.81%0.0213✓1.1213.3M2022-06-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2253.2235-0.05%3.264+1.21%0.0239✗0.753.9M2022-06-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.06470.06466-0.06%0.05585-13.68%0.1312✓1.001,7292022-06-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.523.5177-0.07%3.49-0.85%0.0039✗0.771.7M2022-06-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.06892.0674-0.07%2.1251+2.72%0.0423✗0.973.1M2022-06-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.047964-0.07%0.0475-1.04%0.0137✗1.5323k2022-06-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.04261.0416-0.09%1.0032-3.78%0.0255✓0.809702022-06-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.24.196-0.10%4.03-4.05%0.0293✓0.721.7M2022-06-14
FTTFTXEthereum24.5124.4867-0.10%23.96-2.24%0.0078✓0.919.1M2022-06-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.018290.018271-0.10%0.02014+10.11%0.1265✗1.9137.4M2022-06-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4581.4561-0.13%1.429-1.99%0.0040✗1.495.1M2022-06-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4142.4108-0.13%2.441+1.12%0.0277✗1.0063k2022-06-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.7111.6909-0.16%11.75+0.34%0.0310✗1.70284k2022-06-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.828490.827059-0.17%0.82109-0.89%0.0140✗1.39789k2022-06-14
XYMSymbolnative0.04860.048511-0.18%0.050449+3.80%0.0503✗0.7357k2022-06-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV46.67746.5903-0.19%53.965+15.61%0.1606✗0.891.2M2022-06-14
PROPropyEthereum0.90.897826-0.24%0.93+3.33%0.0469✗0.77186k2022-06-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2863.2748-0.34%3.195-2.77%0.0162✓0.564.5M2022-06-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.174.1479-0.53%3.96-5.04%0.0383✓0.531.9M2022-06-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7760.770884-0.66%0.822+5.93%0.0796✗1.011.7M2022-06-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30885.2609-0.90%5.4+1.72%0.0305✗0.29235k2022-06-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.5932-1.05%1.63+1.24%0.0331✗0.67166k2022-06-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1490.145923-2.07%0.1259-15.50%0.1328✓0.973.2M2022-06-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.