8=======>

2022-06-11 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1431
170 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-12.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.6%
in alpha space · 34.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-29.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000009320.000010004+7.34%0.00001031+10.62%0.5598✓1.50850k2022-07-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062370.066746+7.02%0.05481-12.12%0.2783✓1.3544k2022-07-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2970.316777+6.66%0.265-10.77%0.2763✓1.29890k2022-07-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.1355.591+6.64%48.67-6.64%0.3454✓1.3517.5M2022-07-11
STXStacksnative0.46760.498611+6.63%0.3748-19.85%0.2090✓1.40165k2022-07-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.12880.137247+6.56%0.1604+24.53%0.7457✓1.671,7522022-07-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash156.57166.5641+6.38%99.04-36.74%0.0667✗1.284.4M2022-07-11
DIADIAEthereum0.437270.464723+6.28%0.37405-14.46%0.0274✓0.69249k2022-07-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.5719+6.21%1.43-3.38%0.6163✓2.01575k2022-07-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6940.734127+5.78%0.591-14.84%0.2197✓1.24365k2022-07-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11080.117197+5.77%0.0995-10.20%0.3009✓1.327,6092022-07-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.06260.066163+5.69%0.048-23.32%0.4250✓2.11142k2022-07-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0367.4355+5.68%6.036-14.21%0.3466✓1.5732.1M2022-07-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.038.4723+5.51%6.521-18.79%0.2939✓1.5713.5M2022-07-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,353.676,695.76+5.38%5,496.41-13.49%0.2731✓1.333.7M2022-07-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.11.159+5.36%0.4529-58.83%0.5203✗1.1968k2022-07-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031830.033488+5.21%0.02635-17.22%0.3184✓1.5817k2022-07-11
XVGVergenative0.003750.003945+5.20%0.00322-14.13%0.3809✓1.65645k2022-07-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03290.034606+5.19%0.0357+8.51%0.6248✓1.68247k2022-07-11
MOVRMoonriverBase17.821718.7421+5.16%11.5955-34.94%0.0863✓1.60222k2022-07-11
UNIUniswapEthereum4.3794.6+5.05%5.561+26.99%0.7285✓1.532.6M2022-07-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.0661.1197+5.04%0.6-43.71%0.1298✓2.13339k2022-07-11
XTZTezosTezos1.79481.8853+5.04%1.5716-12.44%0.3188✓1.42914k2022-07-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.9666.2664+5.04%6.277+5.21%0.6334✓1.7910.6M2022-07-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.10450.109741+5.02%0.1063+1.72%0.5033✓1.52795k2022-07-11
SOLSolanaSolana33.9135.6022+4.99%33.41-1.47%0.5183✓1.65104.0M2022-07-11
KSMKusamaHydration57.0159.8214+4.93%46.66-18.15%0.2337✓1.371.1M2022-07-11
ADACardanoCardano0.55350.580782+4.93%0.4344-21.52%0.2986✓1.6749.8M2022-07-11
QNTQuantEthereum5557.6915+4.89%79.01+43.65%0.7496✓1.232.0M2022-07-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12320.12918+4.85%0.0915-25.73%0.2971✓1.825.6M2022-07-11
AAVEAaveEthereum77.0280.7559+4.85%69.82-9.35%0.5206✓1.897.4M2022-07-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.10880.113956+4.74%0.0873-19.76%0.3711✓1.811.1M2022-07-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13320.139499+4.73%0.1336+0.30%0.5177✓1.5951k2022-07-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0131590.013778+4.71%0.01796+36.48%0.5680✓0.86291k2022-07-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.36173.5194+4.69%2.7005-19.67%0.2082✓1.3433k2022-07-11
COMPCompoundEthereum45.2847.3901+4.66%48.56+7.24%0.5912✓1.6130k2022-07-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44080.46129+4.65%0.3946-10.48%0.4852✓1.82159k2022-07-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.557.9+4.64%8.163+8.12%0.5850✓1.5615.2M2022-07-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5350.559158+4.52%0.478-10.65%0.4502✓1.72116k2022-07-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.632.7469+4.44%2.22-15.59%0.5257✓2.09294k2022-07-11
XECeCashnative0.000045240.000047242+4.43%0.00003797-16.07%0.3400✓1.583.0M2022-07-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.269537+4.23%0.2357-8.86%0.3893✓1.48384k2022-07-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.740.771237+4.22%0.766+3.51%0.4174✓1.2063k2022-07-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3862.4854+4.17%2.068-13.33%0.4405✓1.77166k2022-07-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008190.00853+4.15%0.006528-20.29%0.0446✓0.88164k2022-07-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30040.312825+4.14%0.2664-11.32%0.3672✓1.496.2M2022-07-11
XVSVenusEthereum4.464.6436+4.12%4.81+7.85%0.7478✓2.021.5M2022-07-11
DASHDashDash48.9550.9622+4.11%41.49-15.24%0.2683✓1.34837k2022-07-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004480.004664+4.11%0.00377-15.85%0.4155✓1.78228k2022-07-11
NANOnanopayBase11.0401+4.01%0.843157-15.68%0.2836✓1.40122k2022-07-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.2916.9408+3.99%13.47-17.31%0.3851✓1.742.4M2022-07-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163330.16984+3.99%0.11902-27.13%0.3131✓1.89276k2022-07-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7772.8855+3.91%2.404-13.43%0.2094✓1.1172k2022-07-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11590.120426+3.91%0.1111-4.14%0.5498✓1.793.2M2022-07-11
BANDBandEthereum1.7721.8382+3.73%1.322-25.40%0.2983✓1.78342k2022-07-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25440.263884+3.73%0.1918-24.61%0.1692✓1.38196k2022-07-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.21950.227624+3.70%0.1396-36.40%0.0652✓1.57696k2022-07-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3940.408545+3.69%0.3856-2.13%0.6250✓1.93567k2022-07-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,531.091,587.17+3.66%1,095.56-28.45%0.0294✓1.13340.5M2022-07-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.720.746026+3.61%0.645-10.42%0.5047✓1.84578k2022-07-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024020.024856+3.48%0.01941-19.19%0.1365✓1.09154k2022-07-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.010460.01082+3.44%0.00882-15.68%0.2163✓1.191.5M2022-07-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.4091.4573+3.43%1.708+21.22%0.7751✓1.7576k2022-07-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.332970.344352+3.42%0.37405+12.34%0.6129✓1.50105k2022-07-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.5582.6454+3.42%2.472-3.36%0.4471✓1.461.2M2022-07-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81640.844238+3.41%0.80461-1.44%0.6213✓1.90789k2022-07-11
HIVEHivenative0.48540.501888+3.40%0.4351-10.36%0.3858✓1.501.2M2022-07-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131570.013602+3.38%0.011753-10.67%0.2953✓1.252.0M2022-07-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.017810.018412+3.38%0.02269+27.40%1.1036✓2.5332.1M2022-07-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.8920.5593+3.37%17.31-12.97%0.4413✓1.7447.8M2022-07-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08430.087125+3.35%0.0501-40.57%0.3042✗0.71274k2022-07-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11140.115081+3.30%0.1014-8.98%0.3621✓1.38781k2022-07-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003620.003739+3.28%0.002667-26.33%0.1090✓1.272.1M2022-07-11
ZENHorizenBase16.517.0386+3.26%15.04-8.85%0.4943✓1.7565k2022-07-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.21.2389+3.24%1.52+26.67%0.5763✓1.05153k2022-07-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06870.070891+3.19%0.061-11.21%0.3464✓1.41396k2022-07-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.25240.260251+3.11%0.2354-6.74%0.3675✓1.32103k2022-07-11
ZECZcashZcash79.5882.0356+3.09%55.65-30.07%0.1255✓1.453.6M2022-07-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1252130.129009+3.03%0.101391-19.03%0.1854✓1.2110.3M2022-07-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007790.008025+3.01%0.00649-16.69%0.2097✓1.19625k2022-07-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.2310.5378+3.01%8.25-19.35%0.2148✓1.30508k2022-07-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative18.2318.7658+2.94%14.2-22.11%0.2117✓1.392.6M2022-07-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.471610.485455+2.94%0.64473+36.71%0.8942✓1.7363k2022-07-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum10.2910.5904+2.92%14.74+43.25%0.7179✓1.10283k2022-07-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.0986.2746+2.90%5.193-14.84%0.3818✓1.622.5M2022-07-11
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.77e-7+2.82%8.70e-7-8.42%0.2114✓0.935.7M2022-07-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25990.267221+2.82%0.2436-6.27%0.4558✓1.5531k2022-07-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,488.7029,286.41+2.80%19,940.90-30.00%0.0408✗0.9729k2022-07-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.322320.331005+2.69%0.28158-12.64%0.3785✓1.53455k2022-07-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003910.004012+2.60%–pending––1.365,7382022-07-11
XEMNEMnative0.04460.045727+2.53%0.037876-15.08%0.3817✓1.6132k2022-07-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6240.63969+2.51%0.848+35.90%0.7909✓1.442.9M2022-07-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.89954.2197+2.50%50.206-5.09%0.2927✓1.051.1M2022-07-11
DODODODOEthereum0.1480.15158+2.42%0.1241-16.15%0.4163✓1.752.9M2022-07-11
XMRMoneroMonero166.23170.2443+2.41%126.93-23.64%0.1135✓1.151.9M2022-07-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.27572.3274+2.27%1.7052-25.07%0.2244✓1.5258k2022-07-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.3051.3344+2.26%1.76+34.87%0.9034✓1.77826k2022-07-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5410.552826+2.19%0.4671-13.66%0.4737✓1.82886k2022-07-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35040.357474+2.02%0.2967-15.33%0.3268✓1.4514.6M2022-07-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.743.8149+2.00%2.6-30.48%0.0042✓1.10717k2022-07-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7630.777579+1.91%0.771+1.05%0.4372✓1.261.7M2022-07-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0245910.025055+1.89%0.020243-17.68%0.2156✓1.2110k2022-07-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05780.058869+1.85%0.0428-25.95%0.3401✓1.871.7M2022-07-11
RADRadworksEthereum1.91.934+1.79%1.7-10.53%0.3447✓1.34268k2022-07-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010130.00103+1.71%0.000943-6.91%0.5242✓1.741.8M2022-07-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08830.089678+1.56%0.0852-3.51%0.6297✓1.93422k2022-07-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.21.2186+1.55%1.15-4.17%0.5760✓1.801.2M2022-07-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.3332.3685+1.52%2.307-1.11%0.6991✓2.053.0M2022-07-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,388.6328,820.04+1.52%19,942.43-29.75%0.0151✗1.00582.4M2022-07-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.4727.8809+1.50%24.98-9.06%0.2441✓1.009.1M2022-07-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.14261.1595+1.48%1.0046-12.07%0.3269✓1.3348k2022-07-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.16110.163473+1.47%0.1357-15.77%0.3762✓1.59176k2022-07-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.350940.355486+1.30%0.28338-19.25%0.3296✓1.5815k2022-07-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.996.0541+1.07%5.35-10.68%0.4396✓1.60411k2022-07-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0697290.070411+0.98%0.061727-11.48%0.3272✓1.301.3M2022-07-11
KCSKuCoinnative15.0215.1481+0.85%8.867-40.97%0.1525✗1.085.8M2022-07-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.29.2773+0.84%8.54-7.17%0.6448✓2.062.8M2022-07-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0460.046357+0.78%0.0453-1.52%0.5155✓1.52403k2022-07-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.009180.00924+0.65%0.005543-39.62%0.1106✗1.132,4432022-07-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07360.074006+0.55%0.0724-1.63%0.4419✓1.31153k2022-07-11
GTGateEthereum5.28735.3124+0.47%3.8933-26.37%0.1019✗0.592.5M2022-07-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.592.5962+0.24%2.206-14.83%0.5951✓2.1513k2022-07-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.463.466+0.17%2.795-19.22%0.1469✓1.031.8M2022-07-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.9080.908961+0.11%0.8869-2.32%0.5003✓1.495.1M2022-07-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.075.0743+0.09%4.37-13.81%0.1501✓0.851.6M2022-07-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.13550.135416-0.06%0.075-44.65%0.0284✗1.754,0262022-07-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.790.787184-0.36%0.8592+8.76%0.7172✗1.78209k2022-07-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.16080.160197-0.38%0.0934-41.92%0.1820✓1.01277k2022-07-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.50035.4794-0.38%5.4011-1.80%0.0982✗0.32243k2022-07-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4140.411966-0.49%0.383-7.49%0.3925✗1.3214k2022-07-11
TRXTRONTron0.0757580.075381-0.50%0.064581-14.75%0.1726✗0.93682k2022-07-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047310.04702-0.61%–pending––1.113,6542022-07-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5971.5866-0.65%1.294-18.97%0.4764✗1.93242k2022-07-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021210.021057-0.72%0.01796-15.32%0.0730✗0.66608k2022-07-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.164.1297-0.73%3.6-13.46%0.1490✗0.811.9M2022-07-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.2516.1143-0.84%14.46-11.02%0.5886✗1.97252k2022-07-11
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0881.0782-0.90%0.604-44.49%0.1957✓1.091.0M2022-07-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.93.861-1.00%3.07-21.28%0.1174✗0.981.7M2022-07-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.574.517-1.16%3.87-15.32%0.1579✗0.881.3M2022-07-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0523860.051723-1.27%0.051002-2.64%0.2809✗0.8459k2022-07-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.594230.585891-1.40%0.44498-25.12%0.5198✗2.253.1M2022-07-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010270.010119-1.47%0.00974-5.16%0.5581✗1.6913.6M2022-07-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7940.782219-1.48%0.8569+7.92%0.7865✗1.972.7M2022-07-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1623.1108-1.62%2.941-6.99%0.2744✗0.942.9M2022-07-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.057640.056635-1.74%0.04664-19.08%0.5645✗2.151.9M2022-07-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.05270.051755-1.79%0.04319-18.05%0.2363✗1.1815k2022-07-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.197.0538-1.89%5.94-17.39%0.0540✗0.642.0M2022-07-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3992.3529-1.92%2.0822-13.21%0.2666✗1.103.5M2022-07-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.68452.6231-2.29%2.2902-14.69%0.3754✗1.453.2M2022-07-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.0710.069366-2.30%0.06703-5.59%0.3189✗1.001,7292022-07-11
PROPropyEthereum0.920.898822-2.30%0.83-9.78%0.2031✗0.80183k2022-07-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.0931.0677-2.31%0.96692-11.54%0.3465✗1.266,0082022-07-11
STEEMSteemnative0.24050.234449-2.52%0.2128-11.52%0.4302✗1.49585k2022-07-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3321520.323642-2.56%0.283224-14.73%0.4183✗1.562.3M2022-07-11
OPTIMOptimism0.7610.737674-3.07%0.482-36.66%0.0724✓1.007.8M2022-07-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.213815-3.25%0.228+3.17%0.8119✗2.121.1M2022-07-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3713.2605-3.28%3.714+10.18%0.3965✗0.754.1M2022-07-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05090.049025-3.68%0.0398-21.81%0.4635✗1.9023k2022-07-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5330.511639-4.01%0.633+18.76%0.8407✗1.784,3562022-07-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.03071.9488-4.03%1.7564-13.51%0.2763✗1.083.5M2022-07-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64541.579-4.04%1.2351-24.94%0.2337✗1.361.9M2022-07-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0731.0278-4.21%1.094+1.96%0.4155✗1.001.3M2022-07-11
FLOWFlownative2.0561.9648-4.43%1.508-26.65%0.0885✗1.00608k2022-07-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.7980.754977-5.39%0.831+4.14%0.9015✗2.281.9M2022-07-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22051.1514-5.66%0.69-43.47%0.2316✓0.791,0842022-07-11
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7364.4436-6.17%4.34-8.36%0.7672✗2.2417.0M2022-07-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7141.6019-6.54%1.191-30.51%0.2892✗1.665.0M2022-07-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4222.2613-6.64%2.024-16.43%0.5277✗1.8199k2022-07-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.073.799-6.66%3.567-12.36%0.1982✗0.746.4M2022-07-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.17e-72.92e-7-7.92%3.68e-7+16.06%0.6212✗1.10961k2022-07-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2171.1184-8.10%0.779-35.99%0.4363✗2.268.8M2022-07-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.00006950.000061123-12.05%0.0001049+50.94%1.7399✗3.402.1M2022-07-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.