8=======>

2022-06-04 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 171 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1801
171 of 171 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.2%
in alpha space · 53.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-32.27%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (171 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092240.000078683-14.70%0.00012814+38.92%1.7554✗3.252.8M2022-07-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8550.741332-13.29%0.862+0.82%0.9584✗2.072.5M2022-07-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6454.1546-10.56%3.75-19.27%0.1537✗0.665.1M2022-07-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.846760.769749-9.09%0.44407-47.56%0.2898✗2.161.2M2022-07-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.51281.3777-8.93%0.82384-45.54%0.2189✓0.764,7612022-07-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8282.5775-8.86%2.168-23.34%0.2167✗1.00124k2022-07-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.282.9943-8.71%2.993-8.75%0.3536✗0.911.3M2022-07-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.029490.026951-8.61%0.02106-28.59%0.0031✓0.64452k2022-07-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.99781.8356-8.12%1.2945-35.20%0.1836✗1.373.1M2022-07-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3711.2599-8.10%1.29-5.91%0.6236✗1.545.0M2022-07-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8812.6514-7.97%3.312+14.96%0.4753✗0.652.1M2022-07-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.290.267779-7.66%0.313+7.93%0.8996✗1.911.3M2022-07-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2951.2032-7.09%1.202-7.18%0.3887✗1.001.3M2022-07-04
GMTGMTEthereum0.9990.931882-6.72%0.887-11.21%0.8577✗2.332.8M2022-07-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.065590.061265-6.59%0.04492-31.51%0.1328✗1.1415k2022-07-04
FLOWFlownative2.4762.3144-6.53%1.605-35.18%0.0237✓1.00724k2022-07-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.193.9492-5.75%3.65-12.89%0.2155✗0.761.2M2022-07-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06230.058787-5.64%0.0442-29.05%0.3831✗1.7152k2022-07-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.023.7947-5.61%3.17-21.14%0.1738✗0.911.1M2022-07-04
STEEMSteemnative0.25960.245051-5.60%0.219-15.64%0.5089✗1.59585k2022-07-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.27852.1536-5.48%1.7975-21.11%0.2143✗1.013.7M2022-07-04
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2171.1511-5.42%0.612-49.71%0.2033✓1.101.2M2022-07-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.27251.2038-5.39%0.93041-26.88%0.2024✗1.186,7502022-07-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05340.050722-5.02%0.047-11.99%0.4846✗1.44593k2022-07-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.053110.050601-4.72%0.04197-20.98%0.2267✗1.064,6802022-07-04
TRXTRONTron0.0803770.076601-4.70%0.067229-16.36%0.2053✗0.861.4M2022-07-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6110.582546-4.66%0.656+7.36%0.8005✗1.757,0732022-07-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.53642.4195-4.61%2.1545-15.06%0.2905✗1.043.1M2022-07-04
PROPropyEthereum0.930.887296-4.59%0.88-5.38%0.3285✗0.86187k2022-07-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15310.146748-4.15%0.0775-49.38%0.2487✓1.003,0542022-07-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.485.2558-4.09%4.52-17.52%0.1597✗0.802.3M2022-07-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0569080.054581-4.09%0.05332-6.30%0.2944✗0.82104k2022-07-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0451.9622-4.05%1.309-35.99%0.3367✗1.90338k2022-07-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.527.2218-3.97%6.13-18.48%0.0340✓0.511.4M2022-07-04
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9630.925892-3.85%0.955-0.83%0.7318✗1.803.4M2022-07-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068250.065653-3.81%0.05111-25.11%0.6175✗2.232.6M2022-07-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8192.7145-3.71%2.6032-7.66%0.7872✗2.1314k2022-07-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.23093.1182-3.49%2.4791-23.27%0.3969✗1.615.6M2022-07-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.09160.088498-3.39%0.0504-44.98%0.0348✗1.53172k2022-07-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3947260.381589-3.33%0.300211-23.94%0.3347✗1.472.5M2022-07-04
DODODODOEthereum0.16760.162029-3.32%0.1287-23.21%0.4136✗1.652.6M2022-07-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.009770.009445-3.32%0.005996-38.63%0.0194✓1.122,4432022-07-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012160.011786-3.07%0.01027-15.54%0.4965✗1.6319.7M2022-07-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.30590.297948-2.60%0.2411-21.18%0.3143✗1.35116k2022-07-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0816670.079546-2.60%0.069304-15.14%0.3427✗1.231.7M2022-07-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.564.4475-2.47%4-12.28%0.2131✗0.82830k2022-07-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6793.5897-2.43%2.858-22.32%0.1324✗0.921.8M2022-07-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.99e-76.84e-7-2.27%3.55e-7-49.27%0.2532✓1.03961k2022-07-04
XMRMoneroMonero189.06184.877-2.21%123.81-34.51%0.0232✗1.092.4M2022-07-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4770.466885-2.12%0.396-16.98%0.3220✗1.2519k2022-07-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.860.842311-2.06%1.0068+17.07%0.8441✗1.71240k2022-07-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1434410.140547-2.02%0.111116-22.54%0.2353✗1.2111.8M2022-07-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028270.0277-2.02%0.021046-25.55%0.1772✗1.1611k2022-07-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.556.4308-1.82%5.33-18.63%0.3967✗1.50414k2022-07-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.581.5521-1.76%1.09-31.01%0.3180✗1.721.6M2022-07-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.31920.313878-1.67%0.1968-38.35%0.0583✗1.35345k2022-07-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.321.2983-1.64%1.05-20.45%0.2591✗1.2150k2022-07-04
XEMNEMnative0.0505770.049807-1.52%0.041725-17.50%0.4213✗1.5437k2022-07-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037910.037333-1.52%0.02829-25.38%0.2876✗1.4521k2022-07-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12980.127899-1.46%0.0983-24.27%0.1199✗0.98295k2022-07-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.042.0106-1.44%1.65-19.12%0.2945✗1.26233k2022-07-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.9810.8224-1.44%9.78-10.93%0.6399✗1.904.6M2022-07-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.93956.1336-1.41%55.633-2.29%0.4004✗1.051.2M2022-07-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.414870.409018-1.41%0.30445-26.62%0.3319✗1.6118k2022-07-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6920.683242-1.27%0.5052-26.99%0.3610✗1.701.1M2022-07-04
KCSKuCoinnative16.77916.59-1.13%9.013-46.28%0.2018✓1.056.9M2022-07-04
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1956.1301-1.05%4.915-20.66%0.6601✗2.2629.0M2022-07-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004680.004633-1.01%0.001687-63.95%0.5138✓1.278,3852022-07-04
HIVEHivenative0.53630.531026-0.98%0.4548-15.20%0.3902✗1.401.4M2022-07-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16060.159022-0.98%0.1242-22.67%0.3608✗1.5676k2022-07-04
SGBSongbirdnative0.03740.037067-0.89%0.0294-21.39%0.1072✓0.32133k2022-07-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.1280.126964-0.81%0.102-20.31%0.3322✗1.41996k2022-07-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51620.512142-0.79%0.4015-22.22%0.3996✗1.65159k2022-07-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6832.6669-0.60%2.839+5.81%0.8673✗2.073.4M2022-07-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60780.604608-0.53%0.7819+28.64%0.8270✗1.463.6M2022-07-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13110.130557-0.41%0.1052-19.76%0.2921✗1.30951k2022-07-04
XECeCashnative0.000048340.000048141-0.41%0.00003971-17.85%0.3687✗1.443.5M2022-07-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,843.1829,747.33-0.32%20,211.35-32.27%0.0032✗1.00674.4M2022-07-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07040.0702-0.28%0.0476-32.39%0.3093✗1.791.9M2022-07-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.44852.4416-0.28%1.8788-23.27%0.2726✗1.3768k2022-07-04
QTUMQtumQtum3.8573.8479-0.24%2.9094-24.57%0.2076✗1.2557k2022-07-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09320.093005-0.21%0.0868-6.87%0.6524✗1.85445k2022-07-04
GTGateEthereum5.40215.3914-0.20%4.0796-24.48%0.0532✓0.583.9M2022-07-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.9621.9454-0.07%15.39-29.92%0.1601✗1.323.1M2022-07-04
XTZTezosTezos1.90761.9063-0.07%1.5347-19.55%0.3011✗1.33928k2022-07-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0159020.015892-0.06%0.016387+3.05%0.3027✗0.70198k2022-07-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08630.086396+0.11%0.0503-41.71%0.2496✗0.75274k2022-07-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.0524+0.23%1.49+41.90%0.7049✓0.92160k2022-07-04
UNIUniswapEthereum5.1195.1368+0.35%5.345+4.41%0.6012✓1.442.6M2022-07-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.4941.4992+0.35%2.074+38.82%0.9718✓1.66932k2022-07-04
CTKShentuOsmosis0.790.792854+0.36%0.807+2.15%0.4907✓1.212.4M2022-07-04
BTTCBTTC0.000001070.000001075+0.43%8.70e-7-18.69%0.1341✓0.897.2M2022-07-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.16460.165341+0.45%0.0979-40.52%0.1365✓1.706.4M2022-07-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28190.283243+0.48%0.2288-18.84%0.3234✓1.38318k2022-07-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9812.9978+0.56%2.339-21.54%0.4125✓1.70271k2022-07-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32110.322944+0.57%0.2667-16.94%0.4233✓1.5835k2022-07-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.38830.390652+0.61%0.3193-17.77%0.3359✓1.3816.6M2022-07-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012740.001282+0.64%0.000991-22.21%0.3804✓1.641.8M2022-07-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6230.628741+0.92%0.52-16.53%0.4412✓1.62170k2022-07-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,803.351,820.44+0.95%1,149.98-36.23%0.0348✗1.09363.3M2022-07-04
AAVEAaveEthereum106.84107.8738+0.97%63.06-40.98%0.1594✓1.798.9M2022-07-04
XVSVenusEthereum4.694.7372+1.01%5+6.61%0.7910✓1.891.7M2022-07-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.99815.0509+1.06%5.7295+14.63%0.2597✓0.34279k2022-07-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020350.020568+1.07%0.02501+22.90%1.1221✓2.3837.4M2022-07-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3131.3272+1.08%0.699-46.76%0.1466✓2.02423k2022-07-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,796.6030,119.84+1.08%20,210.10-32.17%0.0184✗0.9875k2022-07-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.4527.533+1.09%5.545-25.59%0.2905✓1.533.1M2022-07-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004460.004509+1.09%0.00265-40.58%0.0628✗1.202.2M2022-07-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.12240.123755+1.11%0.0947-22.63%0.4018✓1.721.2M2022-07-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34940.353274+1.11%0.2793-20.06%0.3081✓1.397.0M2022-07-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6210.7387+1.12%12.02+13.18%0.8876✓1.99197k2022-07-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.17760.17962+1.14%0.1481-16.61%0.3881✓1.49220k2022-07-04
ADACardanoCardano0.56620.572686+1.15%0.469-17.17%0.4168✓1.5846.8M2022-07-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152220.015407+1.22%0.012271-19.39%0.2374✓1.192.8M2022-07-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027380.027728+1.27%0.01995-27.14%0.0628✓1.01184k2022-07-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.561610.569037+1.32%0.67171+19.60%0.7843✓1.5968k2022-07-04
NANOnanopayBase1.1661.1835+1.50%0.840623-27.90%0.1761✓1.33170k2022-07-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1781.1962+1.54%0.8653-26.54%0.2175✓1.396.3M2022-07-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.370.375837+1.58%0.284-23.24%0.2026✓1.24970k2022-07-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.231.2494+1.58%0.4989-59.44%0.4730✗1.1484k2022-07-04
ZENHorizenBase19.920.2217+1.62%15.02-24.52%0.3445✓1.6581k2022-07-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.053.1019+1.70%2.63-13.77%0.2580✓1.09642k2022-07-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.069050.070264+1.76%0.05624-18.55%0.2557✓1.2318k2022-07-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.380660.387559+1.81%0.4074+7.02%0.5854✓1.37141k2022-07-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.199690.203354+1.83%0.12447-37.67%0.2328✓1.86298k2022-07-04
DASHDashDash58.6659.7527+1.86%44.19-24.67%0.1864✓1.25976k2022-07-04
SCSiacoinnative0.005470.005576+1.94%0.0039-28.70%0.3015✓1.69261k2022-07-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7377.8879+1.95%5.585-27.81%0.3156✓1.709.4M2022-07-04
STXStacksnative0.52810.538743+2.02%0.3939-25.41%0.1403✓1.16165k2022-07-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.360170.367434+2.02%0.25772-28.44%0.2064✓1.44606k2022-07-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00920.00939+2.07%0.00685-25.54%0.1149✓1.10917k2022-07-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12760.130284+2.10%0.1064-16.61%0.2797✓1.2413k2022-07-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.2010.205229+2.10%0.1508-24.98%0.2921✓1.54501k2022-07-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.832.8916+2.18%2.64-6.71%0.7203✓2.08282k2022-07-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03470.035463+2.20%0.0381+9.80%0.6932✓1.59257k2022-07-04
XVGVergenative0.004690.004794+2.21%0.00317-32.41%0.2224✓1.63753k2022-07-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010860.000011101+2.22%0.00001048-3.50%0.4999✓1.43957k2022-07-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8680.888158+2.32%0.636-26.73%0.1194✓1.16566k2022-07-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.4112.7076+2.40%8.5-31.51%0.0924✓1.27551k2022-07-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14070.14408+2.40%0.1186-15.71%0.4651✓1.693.6M2022-07-04
ORCAOrcaSolana0.820.839982+2.44%0.8742+6.61%0.4792✓1.1383k2022-07-04
UMAUMAEthereum3.0913.1668+2.45%2.741-11.32%0.4081✓1.421.5M2022-07-04
COMPCompoundEthereum56.3557.7558+2.49%49.19-12.71%0.4367✓1.5331k2022-07-04
KSMKusamaHydration68.6770.4141+2.54%51.64-24.80%0.2130✓1.341.6M2022-07-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.5921.1153+2.55%14.87-27.78%0.2888✓1.643.0M2022-07-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.731.7755+2.63%1.52-12.14%0.5892✓1.91580k2022-07-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.449.6886+2.63%7.16-24.15%0.2851✓1.5113.8M2022-07-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7511.7974+2.65%1.893+8.11%0.6971✓1.6682k2022-07-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5725.2254+2.67%17.89-27.19%0.2922✓1.6352.5M2022-07-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.011490.011803+2.72%0.00937-18.45%0.2057✓1.121.7M2022-07-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.07450.076536+2.73%0.0556-25.37%0.4221✓1.90146k2022-07-04
MOVRMoonriverBase20.639621.2061+2.74%12.3539-40.14%0.0760✓1.58239k2022-07-04
ZECZcashZcash90.4392.9177+2.75%58.07-35.78%0.0429✓1.324.3M2022-07-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.06630.068128+2.76%0.0606-8.60%0.3482✓1.19398k2022-07-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8460.86939+2.76%0.651-23.05%0.3858✓1.73622k2022-07-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6942.7706+2.84%2.424-10.02%0.3092✓1.1463k2022-07-04
QNTQuantEthereum65.5367.443+2.92%60.53-7.63%0.3501✓1.182.4M2022-07-04
FTTFTXEthereum25.9926.7519+2.93%25.91-0.31%0.3546✓0.999.6M2022-07-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2469.5315+3.09%8.744-5.43%0.4996✓1.5017.0M2022-07-04
SOLSolanaSolana38.9940.2371+3.20%36.69-5.90%0.5126✓1.55114.5M2022-07-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.8612.2512+3.30%19.54+64.76%0.8660✓1.02434k2022-07-04
BANDBandEthereum1.6411.6961+3.36%1.356-17.37%0.4403✓1.70353k2022-07-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash188.78195.3549+3.48%107.98-42.80%0.0996✗1.274.5M2022-07-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4067.6652+3.50%6.427-13.22%0.4047✓1.4927.1M2022-07-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.980251.0165+3.70%0.90515-7.66%0.5752✓1.77855k2022-07-04
DIADIAEthereum0.457670.474709+3.72%0.39145-14.47%0.0582✓0.64190k2022-07-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5010.519795+3.75%0.3928-21.60%0.4275✓1.82683k2022-07-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,564.987,893.88+4.35%6,353.47-16.01%0.2904✓1.303.9M2022-07-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.6866.652+4.67%52.2-18.03%0.2607✓1.3018.9M2022-07-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008470.008896+5.03%0.0067-20.90%0.0415✓0.83180k2022-07-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.1580.170118+7.67%0.1831+15.89%0.6586✓1.501,8812022-07-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.