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2022-05-31 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0016
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-9.66%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.8%
in alpha space · 42.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-37.12%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WOOWOOEthereum0.17390.188439+8.36%0.1604-7.76%0.5164✓1.461,8582022-06-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008640.009231+6.84%0.00649-24.88%0.0179✓0.80176k2022-06-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,056.168,527.56+5.85%5,412.37-32.82%0.1544✓1.313.9M2022-06-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.3271.8071+5.10%53.81-21.24%0.3043✓1.2819.8M2022-06-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.4127.7573+5.10%16.97-35.74%0.2251✓1.5553.9M2022-06-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.587.9286+4.60%6.277-17.19%0.4396✓1.4522.3M2022-06-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.6913.2271+4.23%24.58+93.70%1.0690✓0.97461k2022-06-30
DIADIAEthereum0.46820.487763+4.18%0.38065-18.70%0.0458✓0.63165k2022-06-30
ZECZcashZcash93.2897.1025+4.10%54.45-41.63%0.0412✓1.344.6M2022-06-30
SOLSolanaSolana45.7547.6162+4.08%33.74-26.25%0.3510✓1.50112.7M2022-06-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.8613.3678+3.95%9.34-27.37%0.2391✓1.29584k2022-06-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.3210.7262+3.94%7.567-26.68%0.3319✓1.4718.3M2022-06-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash204.51212.513+3.91%103.29-49.49%0.1473✗1.244.6M2022-06-30
MANADecentralandEthereum1.08581.1263+3.73%0.88224-18.75%0.5504✓1.711.1M2022-06-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9590.994578+3.71%0.614-35.97%0.2822✓1.65741k2022-06-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.08270.08572+3.65%0.0543-34.34%0.4064✓1.86159k2022-06-30
QNTQuantEthereum70.9373.4856+3.60%53.74-24.24%0.2187✓1.152.6M2022-06-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13140.135936+3.45%0.1033-21.39%0.2899✓1.2214k2022-06-30
FTTFTXEthereum28.9429.9308+3.42%24.59-15.03%0.2683✓1.0010.5M2022-06-30
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.8672+3.22%1.307-27.75%0.4030✓1.64418k2022-06-30
UMAUMAEthereum3.2893.3947+3.22%2.505-23.84%0.3169✓1.342.0M2022-06-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.012560.012949+3.10%0.01026-18.31%0.2770✓1.101.9M2022-06-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.580.597841+3.08%0.4366-24.72%0.5103✓1.78763k2022-06-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001170.000012048+2.97%0.00001031-11.88%0.4944✓1.401.0M2022-06-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9493.0362+2.96%2.44-17.26%0.2825✓1.0872k2022-06-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.38880.400264+2.95%0.26841-30.96%0.2773✓1.46713k2022-06-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.870.895607+2.94%0.7357-15.44%0.3234✓1.1291k2022-06-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.17440.179527+2.94%0.1336-23.39%0.3962✓1.49260k2022-06-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147830.015201+2.83%0.014621-1.10%0.3043✓0.74198k2022-06-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.3410.6258+2.76%7.064-31.68%0.2692✓1.4614.2M2022-06-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.401960.412971+2.74%0.39274-2.29%0.5860✓1.37147k2022-06-30
MOVRMoonriverBase22.977523.5769+2.61%10.8325-52.86%0.0398✗1.59247k2022-06-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.07080.072631+2.59%0.0594-16.10%0.3604✓1.21406k2022-06-30
COMPCompoundEthereum63.6765.2969+2.56%44.78-29.67%0.3281✓1.5231k2022-06-30
NANOnanopayBase1.20081.231+2.52%0.820243-31.69%0.2124✓1.33174k2022-06-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15040.15411+2.47%0.1123-25.33%0.4566✓1.674.7M2022-06-30
STXStacksnative0.570.583894+2.44%0.4077-28.47%0.1732✓1.15203k2022-06-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.21010.215215+2.43%0.16-23.85%0.4234✓1.55489k2022-06-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0752.1251+2.42%1.364-34.27%0.3176✓1.6492k2022-06-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009850.010076+2.30%0.00659-33.10%0.0856✓1.10943k2022-06-30
SCSiacoinnative0.005650.00578+2.29%0.00369-34.69%0.3214✓1.66317k2022-06-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.331.3601+2.26%0.4912-63.07%0.4956✗1.1399k2022-06-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.16340.167052+2.23%0.0955-41.55%0.1990✓1.636.6M2022-06-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004480.004578+2.18%0.00275-38.62%0.0369✓1.182.1M2022-06-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.278.4477+2.15%5.35-35.31%0.2914✓1.618.1M2022-06-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35280.360349+2.14%0.2695-23.61%0.3439✓1.377.9M2022-06-30
KSMKusamaHydration79.881.5048+2.14%48.28-39.50%0.0883✓1.321.6M2022-06-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9680.987444+2.01%0.694-28.31%0.1956✓1.18487k2022-06-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.081.1013+1.97%1.43+32.41%0.6105✓0.75172k2022-06-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074050.075507+1.97%0.05766-22.13%0.2772✓1.1817k2022-06-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03810.038834+1.93%0.0407+6.82%0.7586✓1.53276k2022-06-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.589760.600895+1.89%0.69972+18.64%0.8911✓1.5964k2022-06-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.088.2281+1.83%5.397-33.21%0.2672✓1.483.8M2022-06-30
XVGVergenative0.005320.005417+1.83%0.0028-47.37%0.0601✓1.55793k2022-06-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,940.591,975.34+1.79%1,070.08-44.86%0.1074✗1.09407.6M2022-06-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,746.0032,285.44+1.70%19,842.30-37.50%0.0347✗0.9778k2022-06-30
DASHDashDash64.565.5853+1.68%42.23-34.53%0.1339✓1.241.0M2022-06-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.31815.4044+1.62%5.8041+9.14%0.2125✓0.30285k2022-06-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3910.397234+1.59%0.276-29.41%0.1886✓1.191.0M2022-06-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0173680.017635+1.54%0.012442-28.36%0.1885✓1.163.1M2022-06-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.343.3895+1.48%2.69-19.46%0.2548✓1.05663k2022-06-30
ZENHorizenBase22.2722.5921+1.45%13.07-41.31%0.2216✓1.6691k2022-06-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3671.3864+1.42%0.619-54.72%0.0616✓1.87467k2022-06-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6960.705782+1.41%0.509-26.87%0.4105✓1.59204k2022-06-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001330.001348+1.36%0.0009529-28.35%0.4222✓1.662.0M2022-06-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.41080.416246+1.33%0.3146-23.42%0.3414✓1.3418.0M2022-06-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.27410.277724+1.32%0.2277-16.93%0.4337✓1.36100k2022-06-30
XVSVenusEthereum5.015.0759+1.32%4.83-3.59%0.8095✓1.851.8M2022-06-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.17960.181902+1.28%0.1152-35.86%0.0483✗0.88335k2022-06-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029520.029889+1.25%0.01937-34.38%0.0293✓1.00188k2022-06-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28160.285073+1.23%0.2417-14.17%0.4596✓1.35311k2022-06-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07120.072002+1.13%0.0476-33.15%0.3963✓1.752.0M2022-06-30
BTTCBTTC0.000001130.000001142+1.10%8.10e-7-28.32%0.0658✓0.887.6M2022-06-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.072.091+1.02%1.64-20.77%0.6138✓1.85580k2022-06-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.1343.165+0.99%2.318-26.04%0.4517✓1.64271k2022-06-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum23.8624.0894+0.96%14.58-38.89%0.2312✓1.583.1M2022-06-30
AAVEAaveEthereum112.72113.7808+0.94%57.07-49.37%0.1233✓1.758.9M2022-06-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.1220.123122+0.92%0.0975-20.08%0.4070✓1.38985k2022-06-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08920.089967+0.86%0.0504-43.50%0.2267✗0.76252k2022-06-30
GTGateEthereum5.66275.7071+0.78%4.12-27.24%0.0726✗0.554.1M2022-06-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.7411.8302+0.77%10.64-9.37%0.8071✓1.97226k2022-06-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.13410.134922+0.61%0.0941-29.83%0.4265✓1.701.3M2022-06-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3841.3924+0.61%0.6867-50.38%0.0574✗1.406.8M2022-06-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.229770.231072+0.57%0.12317-46.39%0.1994✓1.79298k2022-06-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15630.157051+0.48%0.1138-27.19%0.4279✓1.6289k2022-06-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3193.3337+0.44%2.814-15.22%0.2835✓0.981.6M2022-06-30
QTUMQtumQtum4.17884.1967+0.43%2.8145-32.65%0.1698✓1.2358k2022-06-30
APEApeCoinEthereum6.7736.8015+0.42%4.633-31.60%0.6804✓2.2936.0M2022-06-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023090.023185+0.41%0.0234+1.34%1.0834✓2.3230.9M2022-06-30
ADACardanoCardano0.62630.628559+0.36%0.4598-26.58%0.3895✓1.5144.7M2022-06-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10590.10621+0.29%0.0962-9.16%0.7372✓1.80492k2022-06-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,784.0531,866.32+0.26%19,985.62-37.12%0.0026✗1.00708.0M2022-06-30
XEMNEMnative0.0531360.053256+0.23%0.038113-28.27%0.3673✓1.5142k2022-06-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.7323.7745+0.19%15-36.79%0.1435✓1.303.7M2022-06-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038750.038793+0.11%0.02755-28.90%0.3223✓1.4332k2022-06-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.821.8208+0.04%1.718-5.60%0.7154✓1.671.4M2022-06-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8940.89418+0.02%0.802-10.29%0.4340✓1.172.4M2022-06-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.72082.7208+0.00%1.8399-32.38%0.2302✓1.3485k2022-06-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37850.378166-0.09%0.2383-37.04%0.2680✗1.5740k2022-06-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.26354.195-0.13%55.681+2.61%0.5123✗1.051.2M2022-06-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.29621.2943-0.15%1.0841-16.37%0.3746✗1.1950k2022-06-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13860.138387-0.15%0.1043-24.75%0.3047✗1.271.0M2022-06-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67050.668841-0.25%0.8013+19.51%0.8353✗1.414.1M2022-06-30
UNIUniswapEthereum5.695.6749-0.27%5.002-12.09%0.5292✗1.412.8M2022-06-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.3476-0.28%3.84-11.93%0.2171✗0.74835k2022-06-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004780.004765-0.32%0.001972-58.74%0.3210✓1.219,4522022-06-30
XTZTezosTezos2.08552.0769-0.41%1.4212-31.85%0.2384✗1.331.0M2022-06-30
XECeCashnative0.000050710.000050478-0.46%0.00003829-24.49%0.3761✗1.414.2M2022-06-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5030.500184-0.56%0.358-28.83%0.2584✗1.2822k2022-06-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32790.325509-0.73%0.1848-43.64%0.0683✗1.37420k2022-06-30
HIVEHivenative0.55650.5518-0.84%0.5229-6.04%0.5775✗1.361.3M2022-06-30
SGBSongbirdnative0.03920.038859-0.87%0.0288-26.53%0.1598✓0.30129k2022-06-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.56410.557926-1.09%0.3858-31.61%0.3777✗1.61208k2022-06-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.04e-76.94e-7-1.39%3.39e-7-51.88%0.3146✓0.871.2M2022-06-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.8511.6825-1.41%8.59-27.51%0.5028✗1.755.7M2022-06-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0289880.028544-1.53%0.019845-31.54%0.1636✗1.1413k2022-06-30
XLMStellarStellar0.15060.148193-1.60%0.112307-25.43%0.2718✗1.1810.7M2022-06-30
XMRMoneroMonero198194.6634-1.69%113-42.93%0.0188✓1.132.5M2022-06-30
KCSKuCoinnative17.91817.6149-1.69%9.908-44.70%0.0962✓1.036.6M2022-06-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08970.088108-1.77%0.0515-42.59%0.1778✗1.54166k2022-06-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0858220.084279-1.80%0.066425-22.60%0.3244✗1.212.1M2022-06-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.463.3952-1.87%2.96-14.45%0.7740✗1.96324k2022-06-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.450730.442072-1.92%0.31308-30.54%0.4160✗1.6419k2022-06-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.275.1672-1.95%4.4-16.51%0.1878✗0.752.6M2022-06-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023220.022739-2.07%0.01842-20.67%0.0524✗0.57582k2022-06-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.32652.2763-2.16%2.0595-11.48%0.3880✗1.052.8M2022-06-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.197.034-2.17%5.14-28.51%0.3583✗1.45509k2022-06-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.050940.049791-2.26%0.03921-23.03%0.2504✗1.054,6802022-06-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2953.2141-2.45%2.4283-26.30%0.4876✗1.666.1M2022-06-30
DODODODOEthereum0.16780.163665-2.46%0.1167-30.45%0.4525✗1.702.6M2022-06-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.282.2231-2.50%1.67-26.75%0.2785✗1.22275k2022-06-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.633.5372-2.56%3.03-16.53%0.2673✗0.91843k2022-06-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.1233.0427-2.57%2.286-26.80%0.6416✗2.004.0M2022-06-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.980.952197-2.84%1.0386+5.98%0.8629✗1.67316k2022-06-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01350.013081-3.10%0.00942-30.22%0.4090✗1.5921.6M2022-06-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.467.2219-3.19%5.96-20.11%0.0040✓0.411.3M2022-06-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.1172.0482-3.25%1.244-41.24%0.3831✗1.90452k2022-06-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.010230.009877-3.45%0.005634-44.92%0.0476✓1.114,2982022-06-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0597690.057699-3.46%0.0515-13.83%0.2583✗0.80119k2022-06-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.871.8042-3.52%0.99-47.06%0.1663✗1.652.0M2022-06-30
CBKCobakEthereum1.22961.1822-3.86%0.90923-26.06%0.2852✗1.187,1582022-06-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.3032.2137-3.88%3.01+30.70%0.7614✗0.98852k2022-06-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4204070.403817-3.95%0.328856-21.78%0.4778✗1.473.0M2022-06-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.17110.164173-4.05%0.0741-56.69%0.3316✓1.003,4622022-06-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.24452.1418-4.57%1.7334-22.77%0.2350✗0.963.6M2022-06-30
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1021.0507-4.66%1.0022-9.06%0.7683✗1.764.2M2022-06-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.05970.056864-4.75%0.04413-26.08%0.2940✗1.1815k2022-06-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.5332.4118-4.78%3.391+33.87%0.6662✗0.701.4M2022-06-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.153.9513-4.79%3.6-13.25%0.2439✗0.731.0M2022-06-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05580.053082-4.87%0.0457-18.10%0.5077✗1.42801k2022-06-30
TRXTRONTron0.0843860.080272-4.87%0.06474-23.28%0.1849✗0.861.5M2022-06-30
PROPropyEthereum1.061.0044-5.24%0.88-16.98%0.2547✗0.83203k2022-06-30
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2871.219-5.29%0.582-54.78%0.2258✓1.111.5M2022-06-30
FLOWFlownative2.7172.5695-5.43%1.508-44.50%0.0690✓1.00879k2022-06-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.07910.074783-5.46%0.04875-38.37%0.6131✗2.242.9M2022-06-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.8670.817801-5.67%0.5039-41.88%0.2670✗1.621.7M2022-06-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7040.66284-5.85%0.714+1.42%0.8520✗1.6810k2022-06-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06520.061054-6.36%0.0445-31.75%0.4688✗1.6967k2022-06-30
GMTGMTEthereum1.1811.1047-6.46%0.843-28.62%0.8243✗2.363.3M2022-06-30
STEEMSteemnative0.270.252193-6.60%0.2177-19.37%0.6209✗1.66710k2022-06-30
GITCOINGITCOIN3.473.1886-8.11%2.8072-19.10%0.8030✗2.0116k2022-06-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.3082-8.19%1.259-11.65%0.6734✗1.536.3M2022-06-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.21742.0293-8.48%1.2628-43.05%0.1495✗1.344.9M2022-06-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.6471.5035-8.71%0.71839-56.38%0.3559✓0.824,8222022-06-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.81580.743813-8.82%0.47167-42.18%0.4735✗2.00397k2022-06-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2223.831-9.26%3.518-16.67%0.1686✗0.554.1M2022-06-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain32.6867-10.44%1.861-37.97%0.0968✓1.00138k2022-06-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3360.298739-11.09%0.258-23.21%0.6855✗1.791.3M2022-06-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8590.736806-14.23%0.851-0.93%1.1363✗2.142.0M2022-06-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.000114820.000093456-18.61%0.00011307-1.52%1.6093✗3.064.9M2022-06-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.