2022-01-26 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1120

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+16.23%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

46.9%

in alpha space · 42.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.22%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.8	0.808242	+1.03%	1.36	+70.00%	0.5168	✓	1.59	538k	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.63	98.5867	+0.98%	113.54	+16.30%	0.1389	✓	1.03	7.5M	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	78.4855	78.9739	+0.62%	73.5972	-6.23%	0.0732	✗	1.22	445k	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13	13.0699	+0.54%	13.76	+5.85%	0.0492	✓	1.01	841k	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.62	49.8859	+0.54%	49.12	-1.01%	0.0182	✗	1.21	7.8M	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.92	7.9624	+0.54%	7.83	-1.14%	0.0197	✗	1.31	3.0M	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.02	17.0922	+0.42%	18.01	+5.82%	0.0482	✓	1.81	4.0M	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	89.84	90.1901	+0.39%	98.35	+9.47%	0.0837	✓	1.32	7.8M	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.13	6.151	+0.34%	6.53	+6.53%	0.0593	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	107	107.3118	+0.29%	108.36	+1.27%	0.0067	✓	1.34	35.8M	2022-02-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4593	0.460623	+0.29%	0.37	-19.44%	0.2225	✗	1.53	2.2M	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.24	15.2803	+0.26%	15.79	+3.61%	0.0301	✓	1.21	84.2M	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0491	0.049223	+0.25%	0.05325	+8.45%	0.0752	✓	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5942	5.6055	+0.20%	6.025	+7.70%	0.0690	✓	1.42	229k	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.62	5.6306	+0.19%	6.02	+7.12%	0.0651	✓	0.78	531k	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.18	92.3086	+0.14%	101.99	+10.64%	0.0971	✓	1.19	164.2M	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0078	0.00781	+0.13%	0.00607	-22.18%	0.2574	✗	2.40	21.3M	2022-02-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.91	1.9116	+0.08%	1.9	-0.52%	0.0093	✗	1.46	5.2M	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.056164	0.056202	+0.07%	0.058639	+4.41%	0.0403	✓	0.95	491k	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	20.41	20.4225	+0.06%	23.57	+15.48%	0.1417	✓	0.74	377k	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.05	5.0521	+0.04%	5.22	+3.37%	0.0305	✓	0.98	1.1M	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00956	0.009556	-0.04%	0.00983	+2.82%	0.0259	✗	1.06	630k	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5576	0.557127	-0.08%	0.6281	+12.64%	0.1165	✗	1.53	1.4M	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	289.23	288.898	-0.11%	278	-3.88%	0.0408	✓	1.04	8.5M	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0799	0.079798	-0.13%	0.0794	-0.63%	0.0078	✓	1.24	342k	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0991	0.098956	-0.15%	0.11	+11.00%	0.1025	✗	1.49	1.9M	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	146.64	146.3774	-0.18%	151.26	+3.15%	0.0298	✗	1.34	14.8M	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4503	0.449457	-0.19%	0.4277	-5.02%	0.0527	✓	1.38	2.6M	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.246524	-0.19%	0.25	+1.21%	0.0118	✗	0.96	70k	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.62	36.5437	-0.21%	38.13	+4.12%	0.0390	✗	1.57	626k	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1727	0.172326	-0.22%	0.1803	+4.40%	0.0421	✗	1.38	4.1M	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.051	6.0368	-0.23%	5.754	-4.91%	0.0498	✓	0.81	156k	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,316.90	36,224.45	-0.25%	37,883.40	+4.31%	0.0425	✗	1.01	53k	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.501	0.49968	-0.26%	0.465	-7.19%	0.0754	✓	1.56	6.4M	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.068	1.065	-0.28%	1.1125	+4.17%	0.0414	✗	0.99	402k	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.91	4.8956	-0.29%	5.04	+2.65%	0.0274	✗	0.72	457k	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.1607	2.1542	-0.30%	2.537	+17.41%	0.1611	✗	1.08	3.1M	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.44	3.4296	-0.30%	3.37	-2.03%	0.0203	✓	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.746	0.743723	-0.31%	0.719	-3.62%	0.0363	✓	1.11	2.0M	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01218	0.012142	-0.31%	0.0126	+3.45%	0.0350	✗	0.89	19k	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.322	0.320996	-0.31%	0.316	-1.86%	0.0189	✓	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03832	0.0382	-0.31%	0.03913	+2.11%	0.0215	✗	1.12	30k	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.7244	-0.32%	1.87	+8.09%	0.0780	✗	1.36	2.9M	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.16	92.8546	-0.33%	93.05	-0.12%	0.0005	✓	1.18	3.1M	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.856	0.853098	-0.34%	0.883	+3.15%	0.0314	✗	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007183	0.000071574	-0.36%	0.00007582	+5.55%	0.0551	✗	1.11	5.9M	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.87	5.8487	-0.36%	5.49	-6.47%	0.0657	✓	1.06	2.6M	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0472	0.047028	-0.36%	0.0418	-11.44%	0.1208	✓	1.33	9.9M	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.00978	0.009744	-0.37%	0.00978	+0.00%	0.0007	✓	1.32	1.7M	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.1	24.0108	-0.37%	26.55	+10.17%	0.0968	✗	1.66	2.7M	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.91	18.8399	-0.37%	20.09	+6.24%	0.0608	✗	1.55	871k	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.115	0.114563	-0.38%	0.1348	+17.22%	0.1605	✗	0.95	349k	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.68	5.6584	-0.38%	6.05	+6.51%	0.0650	✗	0.84	561k	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.63	1.6237	-0.39%	1.63	+0.00%	0.0011	✓	1.26	2.3M	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0743	3.0618	-0.41%	3.1357	+2.00%	0.0213	✗	1.12	3.7M	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.64	5.6165	-0.42%	5.77	+2.30%	0.0249	✗	0.94	990k	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.58	10.5302	-0.47%	10.53	-0.47%	0.0030	✓	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	165.32	164.5342	-0.48%	162.31	-1.82%	0.0163	✓	1.19	1.3M	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,465.00	2,453.06	-0.48%	2,682.66	+8.83%	0.0870	✗	1.11	569.1M	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02988	0.029731	-0.50%	0.02927	-2.04%	0.0177	✓	0.93	9.2M	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01035	0.010296	-0.52%	0.00952	-8.02%	0.0812	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.34	24.2136	-0.52%	26.29	+8.01%	0.0799	✗	1.08	4.1M	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002111	0.000020993	-0.56%	0.00002064	-2.23%	0.0201	✓	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020906	0.020781	-0.60%	0.020246	-3.16%	0.0286	✓	1.13	3.4M	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4047	0.402274	-0.60%	0.4048	+0.02%	0.0034	✓	1.28	11.7M	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014587	0.014498	-0.61%	0.014783	+1.34%	0.0168	✗	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.235	0.233553	-0.62%	0.2314	-1.53%	0.0120	✓	1.23	1.9M	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.086	2.0729	-0.63%	2.235	+7.14%	0.0728	✗	1.10	23k	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125.05	124.2622	-0.63%	121.22	-3.06%	0.0277	✓	1.29	80k	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.31	2.2951	-0.64%	2.46	+6.49%	0.0667	✗	1.18	667k	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3802	2.3646	-0.66%	2.1064	-11.51%	0.1185	✓	1.29	841k	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.982	6.9361	-0.66%	7.564	+8.34%	0.0861	✗	0.26	38k	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.038	3.0178	-0.67%	3.166	+4.21%	0.0460	✗	0.87	993k	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2561	0.254364	-0.68%	0.2783	+8.67%	0.0865	✗	1.53	4.3M	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2242	0.22268	-0.68%	0.278	+24.00%	0.2194	✗	1.11	469k	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.034	0.033767	-0.69%	0.034	+0.00%	0.0036	✓	1.47	927k	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.05	17.9208	-0.72%	18.76	+3.93%	0.0427	✗	1.39	58.4M	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.665171	-0.72%	0.64	-4.48%	0.0428	✓	1.89	1.2M	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.63	12.5388	-0.72%	14.09	+11.56%	0.1151	✗	0.68	801k	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.03	6.9791	-0.72%	7.54	+7.25%	0.0766	✗	0.30	2.2M	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08331	0.082703	-0.73%	0.08941	+7.32%	0.0753	✗	1.18	45k	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90.62	89.9571	-0.73%	90	-0.68%	0.0017	✓	0.95	1.7M	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.28	19.1355	-0.75%	20.19	+4.72%	0.0510	✗	1.18	14.0M	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.87	2.8484	-0.75%	3.11	+8.36%	0.0848	✗	1.38	27.8M	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.876	5.8312	-0.76%	5.883	+0.12%	0.0066	✓	0.98	320k	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.530813	0.5267	-0.77%	0.5718	+7.72%	0.0794	✗	1.23	3.4M	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.167	16.0406	-0.78%	17.776	+9.95%	0.0993	✗	1.53	10.9M	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.3	2.2817	-0.80%	2.18	-5.22%	0.0491	✓	1.56	2.6M	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.788	3.7577	-0.80%	3.998	+5.54%	0.0602	✗	0.79	396k	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,840.63	36,544.85	-0.80%	36,923.39	+0.22%	0.0081	✓	1.00	734.4M	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8025	0.796054	-0.80%	0.8404	+4.72%	0.0517	✗	1.10	20.8M	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9233	0.915813	-0.81%	0.9235	+0.02%	0.0058	✓	1.16	38.4M	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0784	1.0696	-0.81%	1.0268	-4.78%	0.0434	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.401	1.3896	-0.82%	1.589	+13.42%	0.1315	✗	1.18	1.8M	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.86	19.6968	-0.82%	21.59	+8.71%	0.0889	✗	1.26	34.9M	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.6906	2.6683	-0.83%	3.0352	+12.81%	0.1265	✗	1.02	1.9M	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5015	0.497327	-0.83%	0.5398	+7.64%	0.0789	✗	1.35	2.9M	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.32	2.3005	-0.84%	2.41	+3.88%	0.0442	✗	1.02	800k	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	148.42	147.1533	-0.85%	145.08	-2.25%	0.0164	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2234	4.1866	-0.87%	4.6307	+9.64%	0.0981	✗	1.21	403k	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.0977	0.096822	-0.90%	0.1015	+3.89%	0.0448	✗	1.05	43k	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	65.89	65.2962	-0.90%	67.87	+3.01%	0.0357	✗	1.31	92.3M	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.041779	0.041398	-0.91%	0.035872	-14.14%	0.1461	✓	1.26	10.8M	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9426	2.9157	-0.91%	3.7524	+27.52%	0.2492	✗	1.37	2.6M	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.26	4.221	-0.92%	4.09	-3.99%	0.0346	✓	1.36	13.0M	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1184	0.11731	-0.92%	0.1092	-7.77%	0.0746	✓	1.32	4.1M	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.594	3.5596	-0.96%	4.1355	+15.07%	0.1500	✗	-0.01	375k	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6506	1.6343	-0.99%	1.6005	-3.04%	0.0234	✓	1.11	93k	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.196933	0.194934	-1.02%	0.193151	-1.92%	0.0115	✓	1.05	27.5M	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.552	1.5361	-1.03%	1.696	+9.28%	0.0961	✗	1.30	1.8M	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.80993	0.801371	-1.06%	0.81012	+0.02%	0.0069	✓	1.78	698k	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.541	2.5129	-1.11%	2.582	+1.61%	0.0237	✗	1.52	1.0M	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143059	0.141465	-1.11%	0.137104	-4.16%	0.0336	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1625	0.160659	-1.13%	0.1756	+8.06%	0.0875	✗	0.65	570k	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	36.48	36.052	-1.17%	42.9	+17.60%	0.1712	✗	1.20	33.0M	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.887	2.8523	-1.20%	3.03	+4.95%	0.0586	✗	0.79	478k	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.333	1.3168	-1.22%	1.279	-4.05%	0.0319	✓	1.27	3.6M	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06885	0.068008	-1.22%	0.07379	+7.18%	0.0798	✗	0.79	60k	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8673	0.856434	-1.25%	0.9455	+9.02%	0.0956	✗	1.50	3.5M	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,190.20	23,881.82	-1.27%	23,029.36	-4.80%	0.0384	✓	0.93	20.9M	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0618	0.061	-1.29%	0.0643	+4.05%	0.0502	✗	1.12	21k	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0283	1.0142	-1.37%	1.0423	+1.36%	0.0244	✗	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3615	6.2722	-1.40%	6.8016	+6.92%	0.0789	✗	0.94	4.3M	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0645	0.063539	-1.49%	0.0599	-7.13%	0.0623	✓	1.47	605k	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0439	0.043244	-1.49%	0.0786	+79.04%	0.5930	✗	2.02	22.4M	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.8665	2.8215	-1.57%	3.3042	+15.27%	0.1560	✗	0.86	4,332	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	58.8	57.8736	-1.58%	47.6	-19.05%	0.1994	✓	1.75	8.6M	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.86	8.7177	-1.61%	9.36	+5.64%	0.0694	✗	0.74	744k	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8612	0.846956	-1.65%	0.8666	+0.63%	0.0195	✗	1.51	107k	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16532	0.162566	-1.67%	0.19118	+15.64%	0.1586	✗	1.57	16k	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5301	0.520581	-1.80%	0.5361	+1.13%	0.0268	✗	1.16	2.1M	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0722	1.0519	-1.89%	0.8664	-19.19%	0.1984	✓	1.98	1.2M	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.63	4.5375	-2.00%	5.33	+15.12%	0.1581	✗	1.26	3.1M	2022-02-02
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.052469	0.051417	-2.00%	0.037204	-29.09%	0.3258	✓	1.00	363k	2022-02-02
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05048	0.049452	-2.04%	0.04359	-13.65%	0.1284	✓	1.00	9.1M	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.78	3.6923	-2.32%	3.4	-10.05%	0.0830	✓	0.23	493k	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	32.35	31.5171	-2.57%	26.33	-18.61%	0.1824	✓	1.15	125.9M	2022-02-02
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2547	1.222	-2.61%	1.24	-1.17%	0.0124	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-02-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6029	0.584804	-3.00%	0.4666	-22.61%	0.2300	✓	1.88	52.0M	2022-02-02
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.48	2.4035	-3.08%	2.12	-14.52%	0.1278	✓	1.00	4.3M	2022-02-02
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.333	7.1	-3.18%	5.081	-30.71%	0.3368	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3	2.8936	-3.55%	3.03	+1.00%	0.0426	✗	1.56	2.2M	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7265	1.6622	-3.73%	1.8613	+7.81%	0.1114	✗	0.80	2.4M	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.