2022-01-19 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0027

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-1.17%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

91.4%

in alpha space · 97.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-11.60%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	22.14	22.2447	+0.47%	17.02	-23.13%	0.0373	✗	1.87	3.9M	2022-01-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	136.2	136.0907	-0.08%	107	-21.44%	0.0737	✓	1.35	31.1M	2022-01-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	135.59	135.3621	-0.17%	97.63	-28.00%	0.2112	✓	0.94	6.7M	2022-01-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.17	1.1672	-0.24%	0.8	-31.62%	0.1716	✓	1.67	556k	2022-01-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.069192	0.068994	-0.29%	0.056164	-18.83%	0.0890	✓	0.95	489k	2022-01-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.67	7.6467	-0.30%	5.62	-26.73%	0.2297	✓	0.63	660k	2022-01-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1191	0.118691	-0.34%	0.0991	-16.79%	0.0211	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-01-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.09	2.0825	-0.36%	1.63	-22.01%	0.1126	✓	1.07	2.7M	2022-01-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.7592	0.756351	-0.38%	0.4593	-39.50%	0.3697	✓	1.05	2.5M	2022-01-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.81	26.7011	-0.41%	20.41	-23.87%	0.1812	✓	0.71	353k	2022-01-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	71.82	71.5029	-0.44%	49.62	-30.91%	0.2321	✓	1.08	6.4M	2022-01-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	120.5322	119.9829	-0.46%	78.4855	-34.88%	0.2852	✓	1.13	489k	2022-01-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.1835	1.1781	-0.46%	1.0722	-9.40%	0.1415	✗	1.91	1.3M	2022-01-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.294	1.2877	-0.48%	1.333	+3.01%	0.2037	✗	1.37	3.8M	2022-01-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01895	0.018853	-0.51%	0.014587	-23.02%	0.1053	✓	1.23	2.7M	2022-01-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.4032	7.3648	-0.52%	5.5942	-24.44%	0.0969	✓	1.44	263k	2022-01-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10044	0.099916	-0.52%	0.08331	-17.05%	0.0408	✓	1.14	31k	2022-01-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0127	0.012633	-0.53%	0.00956	-24.72%	0.1553	✓	1.00	641k	2022-01-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1012	0.10063	-0.56%	0.0799	-21.05%	0.0918	✓	1.13	240k	2022-01-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07218	0.071756	-0.59%	0.0491	-31.98%	0.2033	✓	1.43	2.3M	2022-01-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	19.03	18.9171	-0.59%	13	-31.69%	0.2445	✓	1.06	841k	2022-01-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.47	2.4553	-0.60%	1.73	-29.96%	0.1870	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	135.33	134.5096	-0.61%	92.18	-31.89%	0.2374	✓	1.14	147.7M	2022-01-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.96	0.954142	-0.61%	0.746	-22.29%	0.1255	✓	0.98	2.1M	2022-01-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.701	0.696578	-0.63%	0.501	-28.53%	0.1457	✓	1.49	8.0M	2022-01-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	369.1	366.7546	-0.64%	289.23	-21.64%	0.1120	✓	1.02	6.6M	2022-01-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.462	1.4526	-0.64%	1.068	-26.95%	0.1978	✓	0.89	423k	2022-01-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03718	0.036936	-0.66%	0.02988	-19.63%	0.0994	✓	0.91	8.4M	2022-01-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04692	0.046612	-0.66%	0.03832	-18.33%	0.0607	✓	1.10	23k	2022-01-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	125.87	125.0303	-0.67%	89.84	-28.62%	0.1708	✓	1.30	9.5M	2022-01-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.01267	0.012584	-0.68%	0.00978	-22.81%	0.0984	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-01-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009227	0.000091636	-0.69%	0.00007183	-22.15%	0.1181	✓	1.02	6.5M	2022-01-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0486	0.048252	-0.72%	0.034	-30.04%	0.1815	✓	1.37	1.3M	2022-01-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,085.27	3,062.29	-0.74%	2,465.00	-20.10%	0.0844	✓	1.08	485.8M	2022-01-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,724.00	41,408.98	-0.76%	36,316.90	-12.96%	0.0094	✓	0.99	16k	2022-01-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5784	0.573912	-0.78%	0.4503	-22.15%	0.0714	✓	1.39	2.7M	2022-01-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4	3.9689	-0.78%	3.0743	-23.14%	0.1001	✓	1.26	4.0M	2022-01-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1786	0.177195	-0.79%	0.1625	-9.01%	0.0025	✓	0.68	573k	2022-01-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	8.35	8.2839	-0.79%	6.13	-26.59%	0.3024	✓	-0.01	1.3M	2022-01-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.01	6.9523	-0.82%	5.05	-27.96%	0.2105	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-01-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0774	0.076737	-0.86%	0.0645	-16.67%	0.0013	✓	1.40	949k	2022-01-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,674.27	41,314.93	-0.86%	36,840.63	-11.60%	0.0087	✗	1.00	636.6M	2022-01-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01585	0.015712	-0.87%	0.01218	-23.15%	0.1626	✓	0.75	22k	2022-01-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6546	3.6227	-0.87%	3.594	-1.66%	0.0157	✓	-0.06	371k	2022-01-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5244	0.519736	-0.89%	0.4047	-22.83%	0.0888	✓	1.31	11.3M	2022-01-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	49.93	49.4727	-0.92%	36.62	-26.66%	0.1165	✓	1.49	636k	2022-01-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	210.15	208.2196	-0.92%	146.64	-30.22%	0.2019	✓	1.21	17.6M	2022-01-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	126.8	125.6152	-0.93%	93.16	-26.53%	0.1516	✓	1.19	2.8M	2022-01-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	21.56	21.3581	-0.94%	15.24	-29.31%	0.1893	✓	1.20	72.8M	2022-01-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.1126	0.111535	-0.95%	0.0977	-13.23%	0.0021	✓	1.06	41k	2022-01-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	27.59	27.3279	-0.95%	19.28	-30.12%	0.2144	✓	1.09	14.5M	2022-01-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.95676	0.947607	-0.96%	0.80993	-15.35%	0.0634	✗	1.79	866k	2022-01-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.161705	0.160157	-0.96%	0.143059	-11.53%	0.0224	✗	1.10	6.4M	2022-01-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24.06	23.8296	-0.96%	18.05	-24.98%	0.1107	✓	1.36	58.5M	2022-01-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2463	0.243941	-0.96%	0.1727	-29.88%	0.1802	✓	1.34	4.0M	2022-01-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	26.13	25.8791	-0.96%	18.91	-27.63%	0.1222	✓	1.55	1.0M	2022-01-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.623	2.5977	-0.96%	2.086	-20.47%	0.1076	✓	0.91	25k	2022-01-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.36	6.2986	-0.97%	4.91	-22.80%	0.1677	✓	0.66	524k	2022-01-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.91	2.8817	-0.97%	2.32	-20.27%	0.0945	✓	0.99	855k	2022-01-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01394	0.013803	-0.98%	0.01035	-25.75%	0.1263	✓	1.31	2.1M	2022-01-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.709	1.692	-0.99%	1.401	-18.02%	0.0458	✓	1.16	1.9M	2022-01-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	12.52	12.3952	-1.00%	7.92	-36.74%	0.3069	✓	1.14	2.7M	2022-01-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.272	7.1976	-1.02%	6.051	-16.79%	0.0876	✓	0.70	170k	2022-01-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.4917	-1.03%	5.68	-24.97%	0.1822	✓	0.77	638k	2022-01-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0761	0.075312	-1.04%	0.0618	-18.79%	0.0625	✓	1.10	21k	2022-01-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.151	0.14942	-1.05%	0.1184	-21.59%	0.0770	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002726	0.000026971	-1.06%	0.00002111	-22.56%	0.0780	✓	1.35	1.7M	2022-01-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0555	3.023	-1.06%	2.3802	-22.10%	0.0995	✓	1.13	665k	2022-01-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.85	14.6921	-1.06%	12.63	-14.95%	0.0675	✓	0.68	862k	2022-01-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	243.71	241.1122	-1.07%	165.32	-32.17%	0.2303	✓	1.19	1.3M	2022-01-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.349	0.34527	-1.07%	0.247	-29.23%	0.2381	✓	0.79	51k	2022-01-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.051115	0.050567	-1.07%	0.041779	-18.26%	0.0425	✓	1.20	8.4M	2022-01-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.7346	2.7051	-1.08%	2.1607	-20.98%	0.0969	✓	1.04	4.5M	2022-01-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.12	14.9571	-1.08%	10.58	-30.03%	0.1839	✓	1.32	12.4M	2022-01-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.951	19.7327	-1.09%	16.167	-18.97%	0.0009	✓	1.61	10.6M	2022-01-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		109.45	108.2509	-1.10%	90.62	-17.20%	0.0604	✓	0.95	1.8M	2022-01-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2983	0.294991	-1.11%	0.2242	-24.84%	0.1469	✓	1.03	397k	2022-01-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3366	1.3217	-1.12%	1.0784	-19.32%	0.0647	✓	1.13	99.0M	2022-01-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2982	0.294836	-1.13%	0.235	-21.19%	0.0683	✓	1.29	2.0M	2022-01-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.956	3.9113	-1.13%	3.038	-23.21%	0.1546	✓	0.80	1.1M	2022-01-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.009	6.9298	-1.13%	5.876	-16.16%	0.0055	✓	1.29	271k	2022-01-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1421	3.1059	-1.15%	2.6906	-14.37%	0.0017	✓	1.18	2.1M	2022-01-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.91	4.8527	-1.17%	3.44	-29.94%	0.2073	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-01-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.026624	0.026304	-1.20%	0.020906	-21.48%	0.1029	✓	1.03	4.4M	2022-01-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.222	1.2072	-1.21%	0.856	-29.95%	0.1750	✓	1.37	2.4M	2022-01-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1693	1.155	-1.22%	1.0283	-12.06%	0.0147	✗	1.06	2.4M	2022-01-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	172.8	170.6879	-1.22%	125.05	-27.63%	0.1667	✓	1.17	95k	2022-01-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	26.53	26.2055	-1.22%	19.86	-25.14%	0.1018	✓	1.42	34.3M	2022-01-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.684968	0.67656	-1.23%	0.530813	-22.51%	0.1005	✓	1.15	2.3M	2022-01-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.469	0.463236	-1.23%	0.322	-31.34%	0.2019	✓	1.31	1.8M	2022-01-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.245567	0.242512	-1.24%	0.196933	-19.80%	0.0803	✓	1.04	23.9M	2022-01-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	201.62	199.1023	-1.25%	148.42	-26.39%	0.1721	✓	0.99	2.9M	2022-01-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0853	0.08423	-1.25%	0.06885	-19.28%	0.1111	✓	0.73	55k	2022-01-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1712	0.16902	-1.27%	0.115	-32.83%	0.2724	✓	0.91	380k	2022-01-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.793	4.7315	-1.28%	3.788	-20.97%	0.1394	✓	0.67	457k	2022-01-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.27	30.8686	-1.28%	24.34	-22.16%	0.1050	✓	1.08	3.2M	2022-01-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.93	0.917925	-1.30%	0.67	-27.96%	0.0784	✓	1.92	1.4M	2022-01-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.8849	3.8342	-1.30%	2.9426	-24.26%	0.0946	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-01-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.4486	5.3762	-1.33%	4.2234	-22.49%	0.0901	✓	1.23	446k	2022-01-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.9	4.833	-1.37%	4.63	-5.51%	0.1046	✗	1.20	3.2M	2022-01-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.43	8.3129	-1.39%	5.64	-33.10%	0.2983	✓	0.73	995k	2022-01-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.627	3.576	-1.41%	2.887	-20.40%	0.1266	✓	0.71	523k	2022-01-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0492	1.0337	-1.48%	0.8025	-23.51%	0.1312	✓	0.99	23.2M	2022-01-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0509	2.02	-1.51%	1.6506	-19.52%	0.0647	✓	1.11	89k	2022-01-26
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0575	0.056627	-1.52%	0.0439	-23.65%	0.1313	✓	1.00	24.3M	2022-01-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.9271	0.912985	-1.52%	0.5576	-39.86%	0.3203	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01172	0.011538	-1.56%	0.0078	-33.45%	0.0909	✓	2.44	23.2M	2022-01-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.1	6.9882	-1.57%	6.3615	-10.40%	0.0118	✓	0.86	4.3M	2022-01-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	32.43	31.9168	-1.58%	24.1	-25.69%	0.0754	✓	1.67	2.7M	2022-01-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.1	3.049	-1.65%	2.3	-25.81%	0.1281	✓	1.25	2.7M	2022-01-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	82.64	81.2723	-1.66%	65.89	-20.27%	0.0627	✓	1.19	92.3M	2022-01-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.39	3.3336	-1.66%	2.31	-31.86%	0.2328	✓	1.09	808k	2022-01-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6838	0.672186	-1.70%	0.5015	-26.66%	0.1352	✓	1.28	3.3M	2022-01-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.366	0.359751	-1.71%	0.2561	-30.03%	0.1548	✓	1.50	4.1M	2022-01-26
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1386	1.1191	-1.71%	0.8673	-23.83%	0.0816	✓	1.41	3.7M	2022-01-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.2659	1.2432	-1.79%	0.9233	-27.06%	0.1516	✓	1.18	30.5M	2022-01-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.22	10.0356	-1.80%	8.86	-13.31%	0.0322	✓	0.75	808k	2022-01-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.05	5.9351	-1.90%	4.26	-29.59%	0.1719	✓	1.30	17.7M	2022-01-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.219	2.1768	-1.90%	1.552	-30.06%	0.1989	✓	1.13	1.9M	2022-01-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.26	8.1025	-1.91%	5.87	-28.93%	0.2040	✓	0.96	4.1M	2022-01-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.33	3.2649	-1.96%	1.91	-42.64%	0.3774	✓	1.29	8.5M	2022-01-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.56	3.4903	-1.96%	3	-15.73%	0.0280	✗	1.45	2.2M	2022-01-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.19	4.1067	-1.99%	2.87	-31.50%	0.1842	✓	1.41	32.4M	2022-01-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.67	45.7033	-2.07%	36.48	-21.83%	0.0889	✓	1.11	24.3M	2022-01-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.282	3.214	-2.07%	2.541	-22.58%	0.0224	✓	1.72	1.2M	2022-01-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5701	0.558136	-2.10%	0.5301	-7.02%	0.1202	✗	1.39	1.5M	2022-01-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.21	9.9804	-2.25%	7.03	-31.15%	0.3302	✓	0.16	2.8M	2022-01-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	81.27	79.3743	-2.33%	58.8	-27.65%	0.0704	✓	1.86	7.7M	2022-01-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,142.29	31,387.46	-2.35%	24,190.20	-24.74%	0.1763	✓	0.68	21.5M	2022-01-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19913	0.194234	-2.46%	0.16532	-16.98%	0.0320	✗	1.57	6,519	2022-01-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.274	10.0207	-2.47%	6.982	-32.04%	0.3492	✓	0.10	40k	2022-01-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0457	1.0181	-2.64%	0.8612	-17.64%	0.0360	✓	1.07	108k	2022-01-26
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07162	0.06966	-2.74%	0.0472	-34.10%	0.2397	✓	1.21	12.4M	2022-01-26
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.07511	0.072898	-2.95%	0.052469	-30.14%	0.2056	✓	1.00	719k	2022-01-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.537	1.4901	-3.05%	1.7265	+12.33%	0.2509	✗	0.84	1.2M	2022-01-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.35	4.2023	-3.39%	3.78	-13.10%	0.0147	✓	0.98	471k	2022-01-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.9939	3.8564	-3.44%	2.8665	-28.23%	0.2042	✓	0.75	2,257	2022-01-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	37.07	35.7545	-3.55%	32.35	-12.73%	0.0196	✓	0.97	98.5M	2022-01-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8466	0.810697	-4.24%	0.6029	-28.79%	0.0768	✓	1.78	46.2M	2022-01-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.