8=======>

2022-01-16 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1335
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.16%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
94.2%
in alpha space · 100.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0698980.069702-0.28%0.057499-17.74%0.0293✓0.95525k2022-01-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.977.9458-0.30%5.92-25.72%0.1867✓0.62680k2022-01-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,225.3043,081.86-0.33%36,274.40-16.08%0.0033✓0.9814k2022-01-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.49145.8891-0.41%112.35-23.31%0.0285✓1.3530.1M2022-01-23
NANOnanopayBase3.12013.1044-0.50%2.227-28.62%0.1389✓1.12699k2022-01-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4328.2851-0.51%22.3-21.56%0.1204✓0.68353k2022-01-23
QNTQuantEthereum167.7166.637-0.63%109.75-34.56%0.2602✓0.916.4M2022-01-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.72.6826-0.64%1.82-32.59%0.1629✓1.313.1M2022-01-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash388.33385.7837-0.66%302.74-22.04%0.0706✓1.006.6M2022-01-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum27.6527.4662-0.66%17.17-37.90%0.1513✓1.853.9M2022-01-23
LRCLoopringEthereum1.36431.3548-0.70%0.8591-37.03%0.1316✓1.881.3M2022-01-23
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4891.4784-0.71%1.154-22.50%0.0152✓1.354.1M2022-01-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.7220.5667-0.74%14.05-32.19%0.2526✓0.75841k2022-01-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.13830.137249-0.76%0.1069-22.70%0.0289✓1.282.4M2022-01-23
SOLSolanaSolana147.98146.8089-0.79%99.82-32.54%0.2073✓1.04152.8M2022-01-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0561.0476-0.79%0.731-30.78%0.1957✓0.952.2M2022-01-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.442.4206-0.80%1.7-30.33%0.1773✓1.022.7M2022-01-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.381.3689-0.80%0.85-38.41%0.1936✓1.64538k2022-01-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.110250.109338-0.83%0.08478-23.10%0.0615✓1.1225k2022-01-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,104.3442,732.62-0.86%36,282.47-15.83%0.0087✓1.00636.6M2022-01-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0560.055508-0.88%0.0335-40.18%0.2682✓1.371.5M2022-01-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.78533.7516-0.89%3.5571-6.03%0.0645✓-0.07371k2022-01-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.041140.040773-0.89%0.02905-29.39%0.1857✓0.898.4M2022-01-23
XVGVergenative0.013960.013834-0.90%0.00969-30.59%0.1440✓1.232.0M2022-01-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11240.111362-0.92%0.0783-30.34%0.1594✓1.12269k2022-01-23
ETHEthereumEthereum3,349.463,318.34-0.93%2,541.19-24.13%0.0862✓1.05481.6M2022-01-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV112.64111.5856-0.94%93.79-16.73%0.0118✓0.942.1M2022-01-23
QTUMQtumQtum8.03717.9611-0.95%5.815-27.65%0.0775✓1.37263k2022-01-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.686.6163-0.95%5.02-24.85%0.1626✓0.66524k2022-01-23
XYMSymbolnative0.19510.193223-0.96%0.1617-17.12%0.0603✓0.68489k2022-01-23
SCSiacoinnative0.014130.013991-0.99%0.00983-30.43%0.1836✓0.98641k2022-01-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.91990.910819-0.99%0.5018-45.45%0.4181✓1.032.8M2022-01-23
MOVRMoonriverBase149.9189148.4197-1.00%84.9691-43.32%0.3877✓0.99489k2022-01-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.8267.7474-1.00%6.129-21.68%0.1110✓0.72178k2022-01-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0210660.020854-1.01%0.015019-28.71%0.1133✓1.252.6M2022-01-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3680.364301-1.01%0.278-24.46%0.1406✓0.7544k2022-01-23
DASHDashDash137.39135.9901-1.02%99.58-27.52%0.1099✓1.172.8M2022-01-23
ZECZcashZcash141.5140.0436-1.03%97.58-31.04%0.1498✓1.2310.9M2022-01-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.082840.081985-1.03%0.05508-33.51%0.1529✓1.422.4M2022-01-23
XEMNEMnative0.11980.118553-1.04%0.0976-18.53%0.0191✓1.0253k2022-01-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.1815.0209-1.05%12.97-14.56%0.0302✓0.68916k2022-01-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2731.9249-1.07%25.17-22.00%0.0613✓1.022.9M2022-01-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.58920.582862-1.08%0.4151-29.55%0.1311✓1.2112.2M2022-01-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.32164.2751-1.08%3.1436-27.26%0.0898✓1.264.0M2022-01-23
XVSVenusEthereum14.0513.8977-1.08%8.17-41.85%0.3359✓1.132.9M2022-01-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08570.084769-1.09%0.0576-32.79%0.1447✓1.40990k2022-01-23
XECeCashnative0.00010310.000101976-1.09%0.00007477-27.48%0.1367✓1.016.4M2022-01-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin30.3930.0585-1.09%19.51-35.80%0.2467✓1.0815.1M2022-01-23
DODODODOEthereum0.8070.79806-1.11%0.507-37.17%0.2036✓1.458.0M2022-01-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015060.014891-1.13%0.01032-31.47%0.1446✓1.292.2M2022-01-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052060.051473-1.13%0.0379-27.20%0.1260✓1.0519k2022-01-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16840.166444-1.16%0.1139-32.36%0.1679✓1.234.2M2022-01-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.911.8878-1.16%1.421-25.60%0.0874✓1.142.0M2022-01-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1767160.174613-1.19%0.141702-19.81%0.0213✓1.095.4M2022-01-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.067.9631-1.20%5.85-27.42%0.1813✓0.74682k2022-01-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1614.1108-1.21%3.138-24.59%0.1349✓0.781.1M2022-01-23
COMPCompoundEthereum192.07189.7099-1.23%128.28-33.21%0.1960✓1.13142k2022-01-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.8730.49-1.23%19.45-36.99%0.1942✓1.481.0M2022-01-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.23.1604-1.24%2.41-24.69%0.1048✓0.96918k2022-01-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9284.8669-1.24%3.844-22.00%0.1218✓0.66453k2022-01-23
XLMStellarStellar0.2591240.255904-1.24%0.201066-22.41%0.0639✓1.0324.2M2022-01-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18040.178047-1.30%0.1477-18.13%0.0332✓0.89410k2022-01-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.26980.266277-1.31%0.1855-31.25%0.1358✓1.313.9M2022-01-23
ZENHorizenBase55.1354.4065-1.31%35.77-35.12%0.1768✓1.41642k2022-01-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum80.2979.2273-1.32%54.81-31.73%0.1826✓1.086.3M2022-01-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.32320.318908-1.33%0.2414-25.31%0.0581✓1.282.1M2022-01-23
STORJStorjEthereum1.6631.6408-1.33%1.0945-34.19%0.2530✓0.88462k2022-01-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08050.079425-1.34%0.0613-23.85%0.0743✓1.0719k2022-01-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.6827.3101-1.34%18.82-32.01%0.1455✓1.3260.5M2022-01-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.719.5795-1.34%6.52-32.85%0.3873✓-0.011.4M2022-01-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.05581.0415-1.35%0.76101-27.92%0.0137✓1.74896k2022-01-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0576850.056893-1.37%0.039977-30.70%0.1519✓1.177.5M2022-01-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.34120.336515-1.37%0.2697-20.96%0.0283✗1.453.8M2022-01-23
UMAUMAEthereum8.398.2733-1.39%6.38-23.96%0.0919✓0.974.1M2022-01-23
RADRadworksEthereum8.28.0843-1.41%5.21-36.46%0.2875✓0.881.1M2022-01-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07060.0696-1.42%0.05184-26.57%0.0865✓1.2113.3M2022-01-23
CBKCobakEthereum2.8492.8081-1.44%2.095-26.47%0.1389✓0.8925k2022-01-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.32953.2814-1.44%2.7981-15.96%0.0462✗1.191.9M2022-01-23
KSMKusamaHydration277.6273.577-1.45%191.51-31.01%0.1578✓1.151.4M2022-01-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6597.5472-1.46%6.033-21.23%0.0060✓1.27260k2022-01-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.66130.65159-1.47%0.4546-31.26%0.1239✓1.372.6M2022-01-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.893.8315-1.50%2.945-24.29%0.1413✓0.71526k2022-01-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.395.3089-1.50%3.94-26.90%0.0967✓1.173.3M2022-01-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0288480.028413-1.51%0.022662-21.44%0.0490✓1.035.7M2022-01-23
GTGateEthereum7.06216.9555-1.51%6.1111-13.47%0.0096✓0.813.8M2022-01-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030530.000030068-1.51%0.0000225-26.30%0.0574✓1.351.8M2022-01-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3461.3256-1.52%0.881-34.55%0.1768✓1.342.5M2022-01-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092680.09127-1.52%0.06514-29.72%0.2122✓0.7346k2022-01-23
KCSKuCoinnative21.15620.8336-1.52%15.88-24.94%0.0031✓1.5910.6M2022-01-23
LSKLiskEthereum2.08342.0515-1.53%1.6289-21.81%0.0526✓1.0389k2022-01-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum31.1830.7011-1.54%21.28-31.75%0.1276✓1.3934.3M2022-01-23
XTZTezosTezos4.29144.2255-1.54%3.0753-28.34%0.0853✓1.353.4M2022-01-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.017450.01718-1.55%0.01258-27.91%0.1981✓0.6625k2022-01-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7664990.754158-1.61%0.54463-28.95%0.1365✓1.102.4M2022-01-23
BANDBandEthereum5.685.5885-1.61%3.59-36.80%0.2580✓1.072.2M2022-01-23
MINAMina Protocolnative3.493.4318-1.67%2.44-30.09%0.1587✓1.06808k2022-01-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.5125.0701-1.72%16.67-34.65%0.2139✓1.1374.2M2022-01-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.33740.331532-1.74%0.2245-33.46%0.2130✓1.03397k2022-01-23
XMRMoneroMonero224.12220.188-1.75%156.73-30.07%0.1809✓0.923.1M2022-01-23
UOSUltraEthereum1.311.2868-1.77%0.90224-31.13%0.1759✓1.042.8M2022-01-23
AAVEAaveEthereum242.5238.1707-1.79%158.72-34.55%0.2091✓1.1417.6M2022-01-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5440.534264-1.79%0.331-39.15%0.2584✓1.281.8M2022-01-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.13731.1167-1.81%0.8156-28.29%0.1468✓0.9723.2M2022-01-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.479.2982-1.81%5.9-37.70%0.3347✓0.70995k2022-01-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.7140.701049-1.81%0.5301-25.76%0.0623✓1.263.5M2022-01-23
ADACardanoCardano1.41181.3862-1.82%1.1249-20.32%0.0148✓1.1395.6M2022-01-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5210.3273-1.83%8.96-14.83%0.0120✓0.75808k2022-01-23
FTTFTXEthereum46.4345.5777-1.84%35.99-22.49%0.0528✓1.0622.3M2022-01-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.091.0698-1.85%0.66-39.45%0.1542✓1.911.5M2022-01-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.05431.0338-1.94%0.596-43.47%0.3089✓1.401.5M2022-01-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche92.3490.425-2.07%64.85-29.77%0.1394✓1.12106.0M2022-01-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3033.2314-2.17%2.649-19.80%0.1004✗1.74980k2022-01-23
SUSHISushiEthereum6.976.8175-2.19%4.66-33.14%0.1608✓1.2717.7M2022-01-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.2735.4703-2.20%24.37-32.81%0.0906✓1.652.7M2022-01-23
MANADecentralandEthereum3.12033.0504-2.24%2.1145-32.23%0.1918✓1.015.1M2022-01-23
UNIUniswapEthereum17.8317.4236-2.28%11.43-35.89%0.2008✓1.2812.6M2022-01-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.42991.3967-2.32%0.9895-30.80%0.1497✓1.1330.5M2022-01-23
HIVEHivenative1.31931.2881-2.36%0.839-36.41%0.1923✓1.373.8M2022-01-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.57776.421-2.38%4.4346-32.58%0.1698✓1.16457k2022-01-23
LUNATerraTerra 287.1684.9568-2.53%69.73-20.00%0.1089✗1.787.4M2022-01-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.323.2339-2.59%2.57-22.59%0.0102✓1.273.1M2022-01-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07990.077815-2.61%0.0375-53.07%0.5577✓1.0026.3M2022-01-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,593.6932,706.63-2.64%25,099.20-25.29%0.1481✓0.6824.4M2022-01-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.512.4424-2.69%1.611-35.82%0.2266✓1.102.0M2022-01-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.201110.195432-2.82%0.16077-20.06%0.0748✗1.575,3602022-01-23
CELLCellframeEthereum1.08481.052-3.02%0.8434-22.25%0.0455✓1.02108k2022-01-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.3410.9924-3.07%7.33-35.36%0.3694✓0.212.5M2022-01-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.53811.4908-3.08%1.4593-5.12%0.1275✗0.86988k2022-01-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.823.6998-3.15%2.24-41.36%0.2836✓1.278.5M2022-01-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.134.9678-3.16%3.02-41.13%0.2620✓1.3732.4M2022-01-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.01590.015361-3.39%0.00841-47.11%0.1924✓2.3825.3M2022-01-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.15074.001-3.61%2.9942-27.86%0.1699✓0.702,2572022-01-23
GITCOINGITCOIN11.31410.8981-3.68%7.243-35.98%0.3842✓0.1440k2022-01-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0845150.081391-3.70%0.057846-31.56%0.1692✓1.001.9M2022-01-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.65360.62694-4.08%0.5547-15.13%0.1167✗1.391.0M2022-01-23
IMXImmutableEthereum4.173.9929-4.25%2.49-40.29%0.2303✓1.402.2M2022-01-23
API3Api3Ethereum4.794.5737-4.51%4.37-8.77%0.0951✗0.82471k2022-01-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos43.7141.3614-5.37%34.65-20.73%0.0137✓0.9596.8M2022-01-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum1.03150.96798-6.16%0.609-40.96%0.1646✓1.7343.6M2022-01-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.