8=======>

2022-01-15 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0621
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.73%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
91.4%
in alpha space · 100.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.64%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0685480.068386-0.24%0.05675-17.21%0.0086✗0.95537k2022-01-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.027.9935-0.33%5.63-29.80%0.2218✓0.62680k2022-01-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,685.8042,537.15-0.35%34,807.70-18.46%0.0013✓0.9814k2022-01-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum26.6826.563-0.44%16.11-39.62%0.1195✓1.853.9M2022-01-22
NANOnanopayBase3.12313.1042-0.61%2.0461-34.48%0.1854✓1.12710k2022-01-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin147.73146.8355-0.61%108.41-26.62%0.0247✓1.3531.1M2022-01-22
QNTQuantEthereum167.6166.5844-0.61%98.78-41.06%0.3343✓0.916.7M2022-01-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.7928.6098-0.63%21.51-25.29%0.1446✓0.68360k2022-01-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum75.3574.8694-0.64%50.17-33.42%0.1786✓1.086.2M2022-01-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05440.05404-0.66%0.0326-40.07%0.2227✓1.371.5M2022-01-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3741-0.67%1.62-32.22%0.1717✓1.022.8M2022-01-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.762.7406-0.70%1.77-35.87%0.1675✓1.313.2M2022-01-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash390.86388.0547-0.72%291.88-25.32%0.0790✓1.007.0M2022-01-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.6220.4647-0.75%13.19-36.03%0.2856✓0.74886k2022-01-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.381.369-0.79%0.9-34.78%0.0808✓1.64556k2022-01-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.13980.138668-0.81%0.0799-42.85%0.2867✓1.282.4M2022-01-22
SOLSolanaSolana147.78146.5742-0.82%94.78-35.86%0.2224✓1.04164.2M2022-01-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,098.2042,732.13-0.85%35,066.43-18.64%0.0085✓1.00679.0M2022-01-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080270.079568-0.87%0.04896-39.01%0.1928✓1.422.4M2022-01-22
LRCLoopringEthereum1.42321.4107-0.88%0.7316-48.59%0.2680✓1.881.3M2022-01-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.041390.041021-0.89%0.02985-27.88%0.1343✓0.898.4M2022-01-22
XYMSymbolnative0.19390.192152-0.90%0.1498-22.74%0.1081✓0.68464k2022-01-22
ETHEthereumEthereum3,328.123,297.76-0.91%2,411.90-27.53%0.0967✓1.05533.9M2022-01-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.76.638-0.93%4.8-28.36%0.1883✓0.66564k2022-01-22
ADACardanoCardano1.29221.2802-0.93%1.0713-17.09%0.0530✗1.1295.6M2022-01-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0741.064-0.93%0.711-33.80%0.2064✓0.952.2M2022-01-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin29.6929.4131-0.93%19.01-35.97%0.2147✓1.0815.5M2022-01-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76983.7346-0.93%3.6015-4.46%0.0498✓-0.07371k2022-01-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5381.5234-0.95%1.161-24.51%0.0071✓1.354.2M2022-01-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.110240.109181-0.96%0.07873-28.58%0.0961✓1.1225k2022-01-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV112.76111.677-0.96%89.24-20.86%0.0304✓0.942.2M2022-01-22
XVGVergenative0.013880.013745-0.98%0.00935-32.64%0.1315✓1.232.0M2022-01-22
XEMNEMnative0.11870.117529-0.99%0.0944-20.47%0.0094✓1.0255k2022-01-22
SCSiacoinnative0.014050.013908-1.01%0.0094-33.10%0.1891✓0.98641k2022-01-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0714.9174-1.01%12.62-16.26%0.0278✓0.681.0M2022-01-22
MOVRMoonriverBase154.3287152.7373-1.03%83.9941-45.57%0.3940✓0.99489k2022-01-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0208210.020603-1.05%0.014961-28.14%0.0629✓1.252.6M2022-01-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11410.112858-1.09%0.0732-35.85%0.2018✓1.12296k2022-01-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015030.014862-1.11%0.00998-33.60%0.1326✓1.292.2M2022-01-22
XECeCashnative0.000101090.000099952-1.13%0.00006839-32.35%0.1719✓1.016.5M2022-01-22
XVSVenusEthereum14.1613.9989-1.14%7.59-46.40%0.3782✓1.133.0M2022-01-22
COMPCompoundEthereum192.18189.9732-1.15%120.3-37.40%0.2231✓1.13145k2022-01-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36144.3112-1.15%3.0068-31.06%0.0999✓1.264.1M2022-01-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.017030.016833-1.16%0.01275-25.13%0.1422✓0.6624k2022-01-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8751.8533-1.16%1.366-27.15%0.0699✓1.142.2M2022-01-22
DODODODOEthereum0.810.800473-1.18%0.496-38.77%0.1793✓1.458.0M2022-01-22
DASHDashDash141.33139.6665-1.18%97.07-31.32%0.1220✓1.172.8M2022-01-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.59480.587779-1.18%0.4163-30.01%0.0955✓1.2112.2M2022-01-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.047.9444-1.19%5.66-29.60%0.1870✓0.74705k2022-01-22
ZECZcashZcash144.36142.6258-1.20%94.59-34.48%0.1572✓1.2310.9M2022-01-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.193.1514-1.21%2.33-26.96%0.1030✓0.96918k2022-01-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.6130.2396-1.21%18.76-38.71%0.1719✓1.481.0M2022-01-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.1178.0174-1.23%5.8-28.55%0.1757✓0.72188k2022-01-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08690.085832-1.23%0.0543-37.51%0.1683✓1.401.1M2022-01-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.26690.263612-1.23%0.1764-33.91%0.1316✓1.313.9M2022-01-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2590560.255861-1.23%0.19237-25.74%0.0730✓1.0324.9M2022-01-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052430.051777-1.25%0.03631-30.75%0.1391✓1.0519k2022-01-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08050.079497-1.25%0.0594-26.21%0.0703✓1.0716k2022-01-22
ZENHorizenBase55.1154.4194-1.25%35.28-35.98%0.1430✓1.41649k2022-01-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9444.8814-1.27%3.665-25.87%0.1500✓0.66469k2022-01-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18060.178289-1.28%0.1394-22.81%0.0621✓0.89423k2022-01-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.8632.4381-1.28%24.23-26.26%0.0804✓1.022.9M2022-01-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2224.1678-1.28%3.059-27.55%0.1474✓0.791.1M2022-01-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.8432.8062-1.29%1.979-30.39%0.1648✓0.8925k2022-01-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.98330.970281-1.32%0.4454-54.70%0.5647✓1.042.9M2022-01-22
KCSKuCoinnative20.34420.0746-1.32%15.129-25.63%0.0455✗1.5910.8M2022-01-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.070280.06932-1.37%0.05051-28.13%0.0674✓1.2114.7M2022-01-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3241.3058-1.37%0.87-34.29%0.1290✓1.342.7M2022-01-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0579120.057117-1.37%0.036765-36.52%0.1999✓1.177.5M2022-01-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3790.373773-1.38%0.244-35.62%0.2709✓0.7544k2022-01-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.6427.2552-1.39%18.26-33.94%0.1290✓1.3261.7M2022-01-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.285.2063-1.40%3.78-28.41%0.0792✓1.173.3M2022-01-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.34160.336831-1.40%0.2645-22.57%0.0572✗1.453.8M2022-01-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.819.6717-1.41%6.06-38.23%0.4704✓-0.011.5M2022-01-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.32480.320168-1.43%0.2331-28.23%0.0535✓1.282.2M2022-01-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.06531.0501-1.43%0.71467-32.91%0.0253✓1.74937k2022-01-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8463.7909-1.43%2.804-27.09%0.1559✓0.71526k2022-01-22
UMAUMAEthereum8.478.347-1.45%6.11-27.86%0.1108✓0.984.1M2022-01-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0289080.028484-1.47%0.020108-30.44%0.1361✓1.035.7M2022-01-22
UNIUniswapEthereum16.4916.242-1.50%11.16-32.32%0.1119✓1.2812.4M2022-01-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17190.169311-1.51%0.1135-33.97%0.1466✓1.234.2M2022-01-22
XTZTezosTezos4.2824.2156-1.55%2.9521-31.06%0.0780✓1.353.8M2022-01-22
XMRMoneroMonero218.2214.803-1.56%152.34-30.18%0.1535✓0.923.1M2022-01-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.1924.7966-1.56%15.86-37.04%0.2145✓1.1374.2M2022-01-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7577620.745905-1.56%0.518861-31.53%0.1368✓1.102.5M2022-01-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.093280.091815-1.57%0.06237-33.14%0.2369✓0.7349k2022-01-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.0892.0559-1.59%1.65-21.01%0.0067✓1.0395k2022-01-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35463.3005-1.61%2.7227-18.84%0.0535✗1.192.3M2022-01-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030820.000030319-1.63%0.00002053-33.39%0.1112✓1.351.8M2022-01-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.6770.665853-1.65%0.4385-35.23%0.1348✓1.372.7M2022-01-22
BANDBandEthereum5.715.6154-1.66%3.49-38.88%0.2546✓1.072.3M2022-01-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1845960.1815-1.68%0.133158-27.86%0.0847✓1.095.4M2022-01-22
QTUMQtumQtum8.30258.1629-1.68%5.5565-33.07%0.1010✓1.38263k2022-01-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5340.52476-1.73%0.319-40.26%0.2342✓1.281.8M2022-01-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.8717.7336-1.75%6.424-18.38%0.0757✗1.27260k2022-01-22
MINAMina Protocolnative3.53.4382-1.76%2.34-33.14%0.1664✓1.06808k2022-01-22
KSMKusamaHydration289.7284.4993-1.80%190.08-34.39%0.1647✓1.161.4M2022-01-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum32.5531.9634-1.80%20.54-36.90%0.1557✓1.3934.3M2022-01-22
GTGateEthereum7.096.9614-1.81%5.6708-20.02%0.0385✓0.813.8M2022-01-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.12571.1051-1.83%0.78-30.71%0.1482✓0.9723.2M2022-01-22
RADRadworksEthereum8.398.2353-1.84%5.06-39.69%0.3050✓0.881.1M2022-01-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.469.2842-1.86%5.61-40.70%0.3599✓0.701.0M2022-01-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.69621.6646-1.86%1.0381-38.80%0.2900✓0.88502k2022-01-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.33450.328222-1.88%0.2179-34.86%0.1981✓1.03397k2022-01-22
AAVEAaveEthereum238.63234.0573-1.92%147.18-38.32%0.2286✓1.1417.6M2022-01-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.99862.941-1.92%2.0434-31.86%0.1553✓1.015.1M2022-01-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.6610.4474-1.99%8.68-18.57%0.0294✓0.76898k2022-01-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07560.074074-2.02%0.0376-50.26%0.4718✓1.0027.0M2022-01-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.37851.3501-2.06%0.9512-31.00%0.1172✓1.1330.5M2022-01-22
FTTFTXEthereum4645.0473-2.07%33.44-27.30%0.0785✓1.0621.8M2022-01-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.35281.3245-2.09%0.80696-40.35%0.2805✓1.042.9M2022-01-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.121.0958-2.16%0.64-42.86%0.1434✓1.911.5M2022-01-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche93.0891.0268-2.21%59.8-35.75%0.1888✓1.12107.5M2022-01-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.08461.0606-2.21%0.5834-46.21%0.3078✓1.411.5M2022-01-22
SUSHISushiEthereum7.046.884-2.22%4.42-37.22%0.1800✓1.2817.7M2022-01-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.2235.4098-2.24%23.84-34.18%0.0546✓1.652.7M2022-01-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.343.2641-2.27%2.567-23.14%0.1177✗1.741.1M2022-01-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73490.718003-2.30%0.5076-30.93%0.0864✓1.263.7M2022-01-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.553.4665-2.35%2.08-41.41%0.2526✓1.258.5M2022-01-22
IMXImmutableEthereum3.613.5248-2.36%2.46-31.86%0.0731✓1.392.2M2022-01-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014410.014057-2.45%0.00793-44.97%0.0843✓2.3725.3M2022-01-22
HIVEHivenative1.32731.2941-2.50%0.7987-39.83%0.1994✓1.373.9M2022-01-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4582.3965-2.50%1.506-38.73%0.2379✓1.102.0M2022-01-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,487.3632,618.50-2.59%22,897.64-31.62%0.2142✓0.6826.4M2022-01-22
LUNATerraTerra 287.5585.0597-2.84%62.89-28.17%0.0656✗1.787.4M2022-01-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.253.1565-2.88%2.1-35.38%0.1453✓1.273.1M2022-01-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.1310.805-2.92%6.96-37.47%0.3972✓0.212.6M2022-01-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.06181.0301-2.98%0.7106-33.08%0.1625✓1.01108k2022-01-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.7576.5544-3.00%4.2394-37.26%0.1956✓1.16457k2022-01-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.63580.616154-3.09%0.5658-11.01%0.2004✗1.38736k2022-01-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.285.1017-3.38%2.89-45.27%0.2857✓1.3732.4M2022-01-22
GITCOINGITCOIN11.15810.779-3.40%6.944-37.77%0.4107✓0.1440k2022-01-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.208480.201249-3.47%0.15638-24.99%0.0715✗1.575,3602022-01-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52591.4728-3.48%1.5039-1.44%0.1989✗0.86926k2022-01-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13693.9886-3.58%2.9642-28.35%0.1532✓0.702,2572022-01-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos39.1637.6338-3.90%29.27-25.26%0.0571✓0.9486.7M2022-01-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0870320.083544-4.01%0.054184-37.74%0.2268✓1.002.2M2022-01-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.89630.852282-4.91%0.5482-38.84%0.0850✓1.7338.7M2022-01-22
API3Api3Ethereum5.094.7394-6.89%4.82-5.30%0.1865✗0.82471k2022-01-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.