8=======>

2022-01-15 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2034
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
86.3%
in alpha space · 94.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.64%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.89630.861549-3.88%0.5482-38.84%0.0908✓1.7538.7M2022-01-22
API3Api3Ethereum5.094.9071-3.59%4.82-5.30%0.1517✗0.82471k2022-01-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.1310.742-3.49%6.96-37.47%0.3973✓0.182.6M2022-01-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.553.4438-2.99%2.08-41.41%0.2461✓1.258.5M2022-01-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.285.1233-2.97%2.89-45.27%0.2841✓1.4032.4M2022-01-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014410.013983-2.96%0.00793-44.97%0.0790✓2.3725.3M2022-01-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07560.073419-2.88%0.0376-50.26%0.4629✓1.0027.0M2022-01-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0870320.084584-2.81%0.054184-37.74%0.2391✓1.002.2M2022-01-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.208480.202878-2.69%0.15638-24.99%0.0676✗1.595,3602022-01-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13694.0271-2.65%2.9642-28.35%0.1504✓0.762,2572022-01-22
GITCOINGITCOIN11.15810.9094-2.23%6.944-37.77%0.4287✓0.1140k2022-01-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.33450.327164-2.19%0.2179-34.86%0.1949✓1.03397k2022-01-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos39.1638.3434-2.09%29.27-25.26%0.0752✓0.9486.7M2022-01-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.63580.622965-2.02%0.5658-11.01%0.1894✗1.38736k2022-01-22
IMXImmutableEthereum3.613.5393-1.96%2.46-31.86%0.0772✓1.392.2M2022-01-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.2235.5116-1.96%23.84-34.18%0.0562✓1.662.7M2022-01-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.469.281-1.89%5.61-40.70%0.3570✓0.711.0M2022-01-22
HIVEHivenative1.32731.3026-1.86%0.7987-39.83%0.2010✓1.403.9M2022-01-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.0892.0507-1.83%1.65-21.01%0.0112✓1.1195k2022-01-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5340.524622-1.76%0.319-40.26%0.2293✓1.301.8M2022-01-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.06181.0435-1.72%0.7106-33.08%0.1754✓1.01108k2022-01-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.6770.665432-1.71%0.4385-35.23%0.1326✓1.382.7M2022-01-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.13980.137464-1.67%0.0799-42.85%0.2780✓1.282.4M2022-01-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.69621.6679-1.66%1.0381-38.80%0.2921✓0.88502k2022-01-22
LUNATerraTerra 287.5586.0976-1.66%62.89-28.17%0.0534✗1.787.4M2022-01-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.343.2852-1.64%2.567-23.14%0.1113✗1.741.1M2022-01-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4582.4188-1.60%1.506-38.73%0.2431✓1.122.0M2022-01-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.1177.9887-1.58%5.8-28.55%0.1778✓0.69188k2022-01-22
SUSHISushiEthereum7.046.9298-1.56%4.42-37.22%0.1839✓1.2917.7M2022-01-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.253.2002-1.53%2.1-35.38%0.1591✓1.273.1M2022-01-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.819.6598-1.53%6.06-38.23%0.4699✓-0.021.5M2022-01-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.8717.7526-1.50%6.424-18.38%0.0810✗1.30260k2022-01-22
RADRadworksEthereum8.398.2668-1.47%5.06-39.69%0.3089✓0.881.1M2022-01-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.99862.9553-1.44%2.0434-31.86%0.1591✓1.025.1M2022-01-22
SCSiacoinnative0.014050.013849-1.43%0.0094-33.10%0.1827✓0.99641k2022-01-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.121.104-1.43%0.64-42.86%0.1509✓1.911.5M2022-01-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.7576.6616-1.41%4.2394-37.26%0.2002✓1.22457k2022-01-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche93.0891.7995-1.38%59.8-35.75%0.1849✓1.18107.5M2022-01-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.37851.3597-1.37%0.9512-31.00%0.1156✓1.1730.5M2022-01-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,487.3633,031.94-1.36%22,897.64-31.62%0.2285✓0.6726.4M2022-01-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05440.053672-1.34%0.0326-40.07%0.2159✓1.371.5M2022-01-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36144.3031-1.34%3.0068-31.06%0.0980✓1.264.1M2022-01-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.98330.970192-1.33%0.4454-54.70%0.5712✓1.012.9M2022-01-22
MINAMina Protocolnative3.53.4537-1.32%2.34-33.14%0.1653✓1.09808k2022-01-22
MOVRMoonriverBase154.3287152.2899-1.32%83.9941-45.57%0.3632✓1.12489k2022-01-22
ZENHorizenBase55.1154.3827-1.32%35.28-35.98%0.1248✓1.49649k2022-01-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.12571.1114-1.27%0.78-30.71%0.1483✓1.0023.2M2022-01-22
BANDBandEthereum5.715.639-1.24%3.49-38.88%0.2520✓1.102.3M2022-01-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.08461.0719-1.17%0.5834-46.21%0.3184✓1.411.5M2022-01-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.381.364-1.16%0.9-34.78%0.0710✓1.67556k2022-01-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.070280.069464-1.16%0.05051-28.13%0.0660✓1.2214.7M2022-01-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.35281.3374-1.14%0.80696-40.35%0.2893✓1.052.9M2022-01-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0289080.02858-1.14%0.020108-30.44%0.1397✓1.035.7M2022-01-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52591.5087-1.12%1.5039-1.44%0.1762✗0.87926k2022-01-22
KCSKuCoinnative20.34420.1239-1.08%15.129-25.63%0.0472✗1.6110.8M2022-01-22
ZECZcashZcash144.36142.8126-1.07%94.59-34.48%0.1441✓1.3010.9M2022-01-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35463.3191-1.06%2.7227-18.84%0.0479✗1.192.3M2022-01-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08690.086059-0.97%0.0543-37.51%0.1725✓1.401.1M2022-01-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.06531.0552-0.95%0.71467-32.91%0.0216✓1.78937k2022-01-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.32480.321727-0.95%0.2331-28.23%0.0581✓1.282.2M2022-01-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.041390.04101-0.92%0.02985-27.88%0.1297✓0.918.4M2022-01-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.8432.8171-0.91%1.979-30.39%0.1670✓0.9025k2022-01-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.34160.338501-0.91%0.2645-22.57%0.0659✗1.523.8M2022-01-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17190.17036-0.90%0.1135-33.97%0.1457✓1.264.2M2022-01-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7577620.751164-0.87%0.518861-31.53%0.1342✓1.142.5M2022-01-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.017030.016882-0.87%0.01275-25.13%0.1305✓0.7324k2022-01-22
GTGateEthereum7.097.0303-0.84%5.6708-20.02%0.0373✓0.863.8M2022-01-22
UMAUMAEthereum8.478.3992-0.84%6.11-27.86%0.1184✓0.974.1M2022-01-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052430.051997-0.83%0.03631-30.75%0.1332✓1.1019k2022-01-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73490.7289-0.82%0.5076-30.93%0.0968✓1.293.7M2022-01-22
FTTFTXEthereum4645.6268-0.81%33.44-27.30%0.0820✓1.1121.8M2022-01-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.047.975-0.81%5.66-29.60%0.1845✓0.77705k2022-01-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5381.5262-0.77%1.161-24.51%0.0083✗1.374.2M2022-01-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0579120.057473-0.76%0.036765-36.52%0.1994✓1.207.5M2022-01-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.26690.264898-0.75%0.1764-33.91%0.1324✓1.333.9M2022-01-22
XVGVergenative0.013880.013777-0.75%0.00935-32.64%0.1326✓1.242.0M2022-01-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.093280.092588-0.74%0.06237-33.14%0.2455✓0.7349k2022-01-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.1925.0034-0.74%15.86-37.04%0.2100✓1.1974.2M2022-01-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76983.7423-0.73%3.6015-4.46%0.0513✓-0.06371k2022-01-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.6130.3952-0.70%18.76-38.71%0.1639✓1.551.0M2022-01-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9444.9112-0.66%3.665-25.87%0.1530✓0.68469k2022-01-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.76.6567-0.65%4.8-28.36%0.1905✓0.66564k2022-01-22
AAVEAaveEthereum238.63237.1177-0.63%147.18-38.32%0.2331✓1.1817.6M2022-01-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum32.5532.3476-0.62%20.54-36.90%0.1633✓1.4134.3M2022-01-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2224.1968-0.60%3.059-27.55%0.1513✓0.801.1M2022-01-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0714.9817-0.59%12.62-16.26%0.0303✓0.681.0M2022-01-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.285.2496-0.58%3.78-28.41%0.0845✓1.183.3M2022-01-22
XMRMoneroMonero218.2216.9483-0.57%152.34-30.18%0.1501✓0.993.1M2022-01-22
DASHDashDash141.33140.5223-0.57%97.07-31.32%0.1221✓1.202.8M2022-01-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030820.000030646-0.56%0.00002053-33.39%0.1220✓1.351.8M2022-01-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.6220.5038-0.56%13.19-36.03%0.2244✓1.05886k2022-01-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18060.179608-0.55%0.1394-22.81%0.0653✓0.91423k2022-01-22
XVSVenusEthereum14.1614.0834-0.54%7.59-46.40%0.3821✓1.143.0M2022-01-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3241.317-0.53%0.87-34.29%0.1354✓1.352.7M2022-01-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.193.1737-0.51%2.33-26.96%0.1056✓0.99918k2022-01-22
LRCLoopringEthereum1.42321.4162-0.49%0.7316-48.59%0.2664✓1.911.3M2022-01-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015030.014962-0.45%0.00998-33.60%0.1343✓1.312.2M2022-01-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08050.080136-0.45%0.0594-26.21%0.0711✓1.1116k2022-01-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.8632.7152-0.44%24.23-26.26%0.0807✓1.062.9M2022-01-22
DODODODOEthereum0.810.80652-0.43%0.496-38.77%0.1792✓1.498.0M2022-01-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080270.079932-0.42%0.04896-39.01%0.1974✓1.422.4M2022-01-22
KSMKusamaHydration289.7288.4876-0.42%190.08-34.39%0.1726✓1.191.4M2022-01-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2590560.258011-0.40%0.19237-25.74%0.0796✓1.0424.9M2022-01-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11410.113651-0.39%0.0732-35.85%0.2088✓1.12296k2022-01-22
SOLSolanaSolana147.78147.2162-0.38%94.78-35.86%0.2078✓1.13164.2M2022-01-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.6610.6195-0.38%8.68-18.57%0.0458✓0.76898k2022-01-22
XTZTezosTezos4.2824.2663-0.37%2.9521-31.06%0.0863✓1.373.8M2022-01-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV112.76112.3546-0.36%89.24-20.86%0.0331✓0.962.2M2022-01-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum75.3575.0837-0.35%50.17-33.42%0.1815✓1.086.2M2022-01-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1845960.183952-0.35%0.133158-27.86%0.0961✓1.105.4M2022-01-22
XEMNEMnative0.11870.118299-0.34%0.0944-20.47%0.0083✓1.0555k2022-01-22
ETHEthereumEthereum3,328.123,317.04-0.33%2,411.90-27.53%0.0977✓1.07533.9M2022-01-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.7928.6989-0.32%21.51-25.29%0.1414✓0.71360k2022-01-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.59480.592971-0.31%0.4163-30.01%0.0845✓1.3112.2M2022-01-22
XYMSymbolnative0.19390.193333-0.29%0.1498-22.74%0.1153✓0.68464k2022-01-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.762.7521-0.29%1.77-35.87%0.1685✓1.323.2M2022-01-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.6427.5618-0.28%18.26-33.94%0.1344✓1.3461.7M2022-01-22
UNIUniswapEthereum16.4916.4441-0.28%11.16-32.32%0.1190✓1.3012.4M2022-01-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.027.998-0.27%5.63-29.80%0.2206✓0.63680k2022-01-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3790.377978-0.27%0.244-35.62%0.2799✓0.7644k2022-01-22
COMPCompoundEthereum192.18191.6766-0.26%120.3-37.40%0.2254✓1.17145k2022-01-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8751.8704-0.24%1.366-27.15%0.0766✓1.152.2M2022-01-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0741.0716-0.22%0.711-33.80%0.2097✓0.972.2M2022-01-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8463.8382-0.20%2.804-27.09%0.1681✓0.71526k2022-01-22
XECeCashnative0.000101090.00010089-0.20%0.00006839-32.35%0.1794✓1.026.5M2022-01-22
QNTQuantEthereum167.6167.3681-0.14%98.78-41.06%0.3350✓0.936.7M2022-01-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,098.2043,052.52-0.11%35,066.43-18.64%0.0011✓1.00679.0M2022-01-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin147.73147.5941-0.09%108.41-26.62%0.0261✓1.3731.1M2022-01-22
ADACardanoCardano1.29221.2912-0.08%1.0713-17.09%0.0505✗1.1595.6M2022-01-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum26.6826.6609-0.07%16.11-39.62%0.1232✓1.853.9M2022-01-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0208210.020807-0.07%0.014961-28.14%0.0754✓1.232.6M2022-01-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,685.8042,703.00+0.04%34,807.70-18.46%0.0016✗0.9814k2022-01-22
QTUMQtumQtum8.30258.3137+0.14%5.5565-33.07%0.1066✗1.44263k2022-01-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin29.6929.7371+0.16%19.01-35.97%0.2236✗1.0915.5M2022-01-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash390.86391.5404+0.17%291.88-25.32%0.0842✗1.027.0M2022-01-22
NANOnanopayBase3.12313.1292+0.20%2.0461-34.48%0.1891✗1.14710k2022-01-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.110240.110471+0.21%0.07873-28.58%0.1037✗1.1425k2022-01-22
TRXTRONTron0.0685480.068828+0.41%0.05675-17.21%0.0051✓0.96537k2022-01-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.4015+0.48%1.62-32.22%0.1751✗1.062.8M2022-01-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.