2022-01-04 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2677

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+9.14%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

84.8%

in alpha space · 94.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-6.68%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.48	2.4745	-0.22%	2.15	-13.31%	0.0702	✓	1.02	4.0M	2022-01-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.76	8.7321	-0.32%	8	-8.68%	0.0463	✓	0.60	828k	2022-01-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,006.00	45,846.21	-0.35%	42,770.20	-7.03%	0.0023	✓	0.97	10k	2022-01-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.075989	0.075716	-0.36%	0.064934	-14.55%	0.0896	✓	0.93	556k	2022-01-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	146.44	145.7893	-0.44%	131.67	-10.09%	0.0100	✓	1.33	36.7M	2022-01-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		120.8	120.0194	-0.65%	110.22	-8.76%	0.0205	✓	0.94	3.2M	2022-01-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	179.48	178.2747	-0.67%	169.57	-5.52%	0.0145	✗	0.93	8.3M	2022-01-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3092	1.2996	-0.74%	1.1879	-9.27%	0.0162	✓	1.06	97.2M	2022-01-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	427.38	424.193	-0.75%	369.84	-13.46%	0.0685	✓	0.99	9.0M	2022-01-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.27	31.0223	-0.79%	28.42	-9.11%	0.0429	✓	0.65	385k	2022-01-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	167.72	166.3488	-0.82%	140.27	-16.37%	0.1034	✓	0.97	211.5M	2022-01-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.168474	0.167052	-0.84%	0.153722	-8.76%	0.0079	✓	1.09	4.6M	2022-01-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11972	0.118686	-0.86%	0.10496	-12.33%	0.0481	✓	1.08	26k	2022-01-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.678	1.6635	-0.87%	1.398	-16.69%	0.0809	✓	1.34	5.7M	2022-01-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022317	0.022119	-0.89%	0.018697	-16.22%	0.0840	✓	1.22	2.4M	2022-01-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	45,814.61	45,408.79	-0.89%	42,753.44	-6.68%	0.0089	✓	1.00	727.0M	2022-01-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.16	7.0939	-0.92%	6.78	-5.31%	0.0014	✓	0.63	801k	2022-01-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	36.13	35.7812	-0.97%	28.89	-20.04%	0.1430	✓	1.03	22.7M	2022-01-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1252	0.123984	-0.97%	0.1145	-8.55%	0.0064	✓	1.06	115k	2022-01-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.7143	3.677	-1.00%	3.0312	-18.39%	0.1212	✓	1.04	798k	2022-01-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.507	4.4612	-1.02%	4.1768	-7.33%	0.0234	✗	1.29	4.7M	2022-01-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	134.69	133.2949	-1.04%	141.85	+5.32%	0.1475	✗	1.23	1.9M	2022-01-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.409	0.40473	-1.04%	0.361	-11.74%	0.0645	✓	0.72	39k	2022-01-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.223	1.2097	-1.09%	1.045	-14.55%	0.0826	✓	0.92	2.4M	2022-01-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.107	5.0512	-1.09%	4.814	-5.74%	0.0073	✓	0.59	549k	2022-01-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08927	0.088288	-1.10%	0.07976	-10.65%	0.0011	✓	1.45	2.9M	2022-01-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.04	14.874	-1.10%	14.78	-1.73%	0.0404	✗	0.68	1.1M	2022-01-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.11	33.7281	-1.12%	29.69	-12.96%	0.0585	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-01-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.64	1.6214	-1.13%	1.36	-17.07%	0.0590	✓	1.69	964k	2022-01-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,785.00	3,741.98	-1.14%	3,240.83	-14.38%	0.0737	✓	1.01	619.8M	2022-01-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.9939	8.8915	-1.14%	7.521	-16.38%	0.0740	✓	1.35	268k	2022-01-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2101	0.207686	-1.15%	0.2062	-1.86%	0.0344	✗	0.60	441k	2022-01-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1957	0.193448	-1.15%	0.1778	-9.15%	0.0231	✓	0.89	506k	2022-01-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	92.88	91.8104	-1.15%	72.75	-21.67%	0.1658	✓	0.97	6.3M	2022-01-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.02	23.7426	-1.15%	20.39	-15.11%	0.1039	✓	0.70	1.2M	2022-01-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7795	3.735	-1.18%	3.7323	-1.25%	0.0084	✓	-0.11	364k	2022-01-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011292	0.000111583	-1.18%	0.00009356	-17.14%	0.1087	✓	0.98	7.2M	2022-01-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	28.69	28.3404	-1.22%	25.55	-10.94%	0.0163	✓	1.26	71.0M	2022-01-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.43	23.1427	-1.23%	26.6	+13.53%	0.2256	✗	1.25	69.2M	2022-01-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05513	0.054454	-1.23%	0.04765	-13.57%	0.0610	✓	1.05	15k	2022-01-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.873	0.861729	-1.29%	0.747	-14.43%	0.0437	✓	1.43	8.1M	2022-01-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	222.22	219.3508	-1.29%	193.01	-13.14%	0.0631	✓	0.94	3.2M	2022-01-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	223.02	220.119	-1.30%	188.96	-15.27%	0.0759	✓	1.11	211k	2022-01-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.228	2.1985	-1.33%	1.86	-16.52%	0.0904	✓	1.11	2.5M	2022-01-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0856	0.084456	-1.34%	0.076	-11.21%	0.0340	✓	1.03	18k	2022-01-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.5	8.386	-1.34%	8.1	-4.71%	0.0157	✗	0.73	773k	2022-01-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01973	0.019464	-1.35%	0.01644	-16.68%	0.1290	✓	0.58	35k	2022-01-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4901	6.4001	-1.39%	6.4129	-1.19%	0.0561	✗	0.78	3.9M	2022-01-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.239	8.1245	-1.39%	7.094	-13.90%	0.0511	✓	1.22	336k	2022-01-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01547	0.015252	-1.41%	0.0135	-12.73%	0.0566	✓	0.95	783k	2022-01-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0903	3.0468	-1.41%	3.1857	+3.09%	0.1272	✗	1.20	2.9M	2022-01-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1995	0.196671	-1.42%	0.1605	-19.55%	0.1199	✓	1.21	4.8M	2022-01-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	251.96	248.363	-1.43%	213.29	-15.35%	0.0766	✓	1.09	14.7M	2022-01-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	147.34	145.1931	-1.46%	141.38	-4.05%	0.0615	✗	1.27	10.1M	2022-01-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.92	15.6842	-1.48%	13.71	-13.88%	0.0559	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-01-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01721	0.016955	-1.48%	0.01386	-19.47%	0.1194	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-01-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.279308	0.27514	-1.49%	0.263177	-5.78%	0.0255	✗	1.01	24.9M	2022-01-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	35.83	35.2831	-1.53%	29.43	-17.86%	0.0804	✓	1.46	1.1M	2022-01-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.36	9.2165	-1.53%	8.221	-12.17%	0.0697	✓	0.64	299k	2022-01-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.39	3.3378	-1.54%	3.2	-5.60%	0.0252	✗	0.97	995k	2022-01-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0991	0.097548	-1.57%	0.0824	-16.85%	0.0738	✓	1.37	1.5M	2022-01-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.673	4.5977	-1.61%	4.382	-6.23%	0.0036	✓	0.75	1.1M	2022-01-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.112	4.0451	-1.63%	3.818	-7.15%	0.0119	✓	0.66	483k	2022-01-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.21	17.9115	-1.64%	15.98	-12.25%	0.0272	✓	1.26	14.1M	2022-01-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.35	40.6707	-1.64%	39.78	-3.80%	0.0471	✗	1.00	19.4M	2022-01-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0695	0.06833	-1.68%	0.0574	-17.41%	0.0774	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-01-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.7918	1.7615	-1.69%	1.5924	-11.12%	0.0448	✓	0.81	668k	2022-01-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.0617	5.9589	-1.70%	5.328	-12.10%	0.0332	✓	1.14	553k	2022-01-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0623	0.061232	-1.71%	0.064925	+4.21%	0.1519	✗	1.35	7.4M	2022-01-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1324	0.130095	-1.74%	0.1102	-16.77%	0.0917	✓	1.07	304k	2022-01-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6784	0.666506	-1.75%	0.5691	-16.11%	0.0760	✓	1.19	11.4M	2022-01-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	185.4543	182.1987	-1.76%	165.565	-10.72%	0.0255	✓	1.02	574k	2022-01-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08388	0.082402	-1.76%	0.07076	-15.64%	0.0692	✓	1.20	20.9M	2022-01-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.42	3.3595	-1.77%	2.8	-18.13%	0.0936	✓	1.28	3.0M	2022-01-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3673	0.360635	-1.81%	0.3101	-15.57%	0.0630	✓	1.27	3.0M	2022-01-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.15	3.0908	-1.88%	2.765	-12.22%	0.0528	✓	0.85	41k	2022-01-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3025	0.296808	-1.88%	0.2641	-12.69%	0.0280	✓	1.28	4.6M	2022-01-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6945	0.681378	-1.89%	0.6511	-6.25%	0.0405	✗	1.24	5.2M	2022-01-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3427	1.3172	-1.90%	1.3709	+2.10%	0.1150	✗	1.09	922k	2022-01-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1943	0.190594	-1.91%	0.1471	-24.29%	0.1772	✓	1.18	2.1M	2022-01-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.646	1.6145	-1.91%	1.273	-22.66%	0.1491	✓	1.28	3.4M	2022-01-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.66	5.5516	-1.92%	5.14	-9.19%	0.0023	✓	1.15	2.1M	2022-01-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.2788	1.2538	-1.95%	1.141	-10.78%	0.0307	✓	0.92	21.2M	2022-01-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.888431	0.870809	-1.98%	0.718632	-19.11%	0.1177	✓	1.08	2.8M	2022-01-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.51	11.2809	-1.99%	9.73	-15.46%	0.1587	✓	-0.16	2.2M	2022-01-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.046	21.6066	-1.99%	19.378	-12.10%	0.0026	✓	1.61	13.6M	2022-01-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3398	2.2923	-2.03%	2.1025	-10.14%	0.0144	✓	1.04	100k	2022-01-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	6.6	6.4652	-2.04%	5.08	-23.03%	0.1626	✓	1.13	3.3M	2022-01-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003245	0.000031782	-2.06%	0.00002762	-14.88%	0.0542	✓	1.25	1.7M	2022-01-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04929	0.048249	-2.11%	0.04184	-15.11%	0.0815	✓	0.88	8.2M	2022-01-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.03	8.8374	-2.13%	8.65	-4.21%	0.0559	✗	1.12	3.9M	2022-01-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	296.29	289.9611	-2.14%	260.77	-11.99%	0.0313	✓	1.08	1.3M	2022-01-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.56	10.3341	-2.14%	10.19	-3.50%	0.0374	✗	0.74	1.2M	2022-01-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	8.07	7.8958	-2.16%	6.99	-13.38%	0.0321	✓	1.30	18.2M	2022-01-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033406	0.032664	-2.22%	0.029265	-12.40%	0.0388	✓	1.03	7.3M	2022-01-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	38.67	37.8079	-2.23%	26.75	-30.82%	0.2217	✓	1.80	5.4M	2022-01-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3934	0.384602	-2.24%	0.3363	-14.51%	0.0363	✓	1.42	3.4M	2022-01-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.2829	1.2534	-2.30%	1.0548	-17.79%	0.0535	✓	1.72	1.2M	2022-01-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.1872	1.1596	-2.32%	1.025	-13.66%	0.0264	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-01-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	64.42	62.9038	-2.35%	56.11	-12.90%	0.0167	✓	1.41	807k	2022-01-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.363	3.2826	-2.39%	3.766	+11.98%	0.2475	✗	1.59	1.8M	2022-01-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	5.039	4.9182	-2.40%	4.1752	-17.14%	0.0733	✓	1.31	4.9M	2022-01-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.72	4.6062	-2.41%	3.8424	-18.59%	0.1380	✓	0.63	17k	2022-01-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.89	3.7949	-2.44%	2.93	-24.68%	0.1895	✓	1.00	3.3M	2022-01-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3574	0.348638	-2.45%	0.3228	-9.68%	0.0079	✓	1.00	293k	2022-01-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.4484	1.4128	-2.46%	0.9389	-35.18%	0.3487	✓	0.87	4.4M	2022-01-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01947	0.018991	-2.46%	0.01475	-24.24%	0.1664	✓	1.25	2.2M	2022-01-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.15	1.1215	-2.48%	0.96	-16.52%	0.0863	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-01-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	103.3	100.6691	-2.55%	89.66	-13.20%	0.0426	✓	1.06	115.7M	2022-01-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.1	3.9945	-2.57%	3.54	-13.66%	0.0516	✓	1.00	967k	2022-01-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.71	3.6121	-2.64%	3.45	-7.01%	0.0265	✓	1.05	626k	2022-01-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.6714	1.6266	-2.68%	1.4467	-13.44%	0.0427	✓	1.08	30.0M	2022-01-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7133	0.694045	-2.70%	0.5799	-18.70%	0.0888	✓	1.31	2.8M	2022-01-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	84.56	82.2524	-2.73%	73.57	-13.00%	0.0424	✓	1.00	6.3M	2022-01-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	36,282.47	35,266.25	-2.80%	32,768.96	-9.68%	0.0303	✓	0.62	17.3M	2022-01-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11	0.106889	-2.83%	0.09134	-16.96%	0.1125	✓	0.65	55k	2022-01-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0651	2.0067	-2.83%	1.4915	-27.78%	0.1685	✓	1.85	1.4M	2022-01-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.27	10.951	-2.83%	8.01	-28.93%	0.2545	✓	0.84	1.2M	2022-01-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.4602	1.4188	-2.84%	1.2365	-15.32%	0.0713	✓	0.96	3.6M	2022-01-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.74	4.6034	-2.88%	3.61	-23.84%	0.1739	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-01-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20404	0.198055	-2.93%	0.17303	-15.20%	0.0286	✓	1.54	6,446	2022-01-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.693	2.6139	-2.94%	2.311	-14.18%	0.0533	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-01-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.662	0.641613	-3.08%	0.516	-22.05%	0.1325	✓	1.23	2.2M	2022-01-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	33.82	32.7649	-3.12%	34.45	+1.86%	0.1445	✗	1.36	24.2M	2022-01-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.08	5.8829	-3.24%	4.61	-24.18%	0.1516	✓	1.33	29.4M	2022-01-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.29	11.8884	-3.27%	9.67	-21.32%	0.1650	✓	0.60	1.2M	2022-01-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1192	0.115293	-3.28%	0.077	-35.40%	0.3345	✓	1.00	33.0M	2022-01-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.1744	3.0681	-3.35%	2.9312	-7.66%	0.0198	✓	0.95	5.7M	2022-01-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0351	0.998492	-3.54%	0.8921	-13.82%	0.0435	✓	1.00	145k	2022-01-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.92	3.7701	-3.83%	3.57	-8.93%	0.0361	✓	1.31	10.7M	2022-01-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02111	0.020275	-3.95%	0.01458	-30.93%	0.2606	✓	1.00	28.5M	2022-01-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.5925	1.5294	-3.96%	1.3102	-17.73%	0.0607	✓	1.36	5.2M	2022-01-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	42.83	40.8436	-4.64%	36.84	-13.99%	0.0102	✓	1.64	2.8M	2022-01-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8381	0.798111	-4.77%	0.6826	-18.55%	0.0393	✓	1.69	33.4M	2022-01-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6206	0.588476	-5.18%	0.6261	+0.89%	0.1583	✗	1.39	650k	2022-01-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	42.05	39.8122	-5.32%	38.71	-7.94%	0.0340	✓	0.90	43.4M	2022-01-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	15.7	14.7527	-6.03%	11.23	-28.47%	0.2713	✓	0.02	3.9M	2022-01-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		15.672	14.6049	-6.81%	11.203	-28.52%	0.2674	✓	-0.03	86k	2022-01-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.