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2022-01-03 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3358
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.31%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.9%
in alpha space · 97.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,018.2045,893.25-0.27%41,624.60-9.55%0.0047✗0.9710k2022-01-10
TRXTRONTron0.0769880.076757-0.30%0.063485-17.54%0.0926✓0.93552k2022-01-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.898.8605-0.33%7.57-14.85%0.0947✓0.60869k2022-01-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.562.5511-0.35%2.07-19.14%0.1022✓1.024.0M2022-01-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin148.43147.7851-0.43%126.52-14.76%0.0158✓1.3338.3M2022-01-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.0834.8825-0.56%28.14-19.78%0.1063✓1.0322.7M2022-01-10
QNTQuantEthereum178.99177.9813-0.56%166.33-7.07%0.0307✗0.948.7M2022-01-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV122.18121.4735-0.58%105.99-13.25%0.0380✓0.943.2M2022-01-10
ADACardanoCardano1.31861.3098-0.67%1.1235-14.80%0.0414✓1.0798.5M2022-01-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.6431.4252-0.68%27.36-13.53%0.0706✓0.65385k2022-01-10
NANOnanopayBase3.57923.5537-0.71%2.8841-19.42%0.0988✓1.05754k2022-01-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash434.61431.4734-0.72%363.56-16.35%0.0670✓0.999.1M2022-01-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0220530.021893-0.73%0.018158-17.66%0.0589✓1.222.4M2022-01-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1701030.16882-0.75%0.143133-15.86%0.0505✓1.094.7M2022-01-10
SOLSolanaSolana170.13168.8398-0.76%135.89-20.13%0.1152✓0.97217.0M2022-01-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6821.6688-0.79%1.327-21.11%0.0877✓1.356.0M2022-01-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,459.5646,070.09-0.84%41,824.07-9.98%0.0084✗1.00727.0M2022-01-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.217.1481-0.86%6.41-11.10%0.0422✓0.64861k2022-01-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.121060.119968-0.90%0.09834-18.77%0.0851✓1.0826k2022-01-10
XYMSymbolnative0.20580.203934-0.91%0.1815-11.81%0.0529✓0.61428k2022-01-10
DASHDashDash139.05137.6661-1.00%148.17+6.56%0.2030✗1.231.9M2022-01-10
ETHEthereumEthereum3,766.043,728.36-1.00%3,083.51-18.12%0.0832✓1.02654.8M2022-01-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.1815.0252-1.02%14.26-6.06%0.0187✗0.681.2M2022-01-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1525.0988-1.03%4.513-12.40%0.0601✓0.59598k2022-01-10
XEMNEMnative0.1270.125685-1.04%0.1116-12.13%0.0076✓1.06115k2022-01-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4140.409634-1.05%0.343-17.15%0.1017✓0.7241k2022-01-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.090080.089124-1.06%0.07934-11.92%0.0366✗1.453.0M2022-01-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.62794.578-1.08%3.8683-16.41%0.0327✓1.295.0M2022-01-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.241.2265-1.09%1.031-16.85%0.0766✓0.922.5M2022-01-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19840.196173-1.12%0.1739-12.35%0.0275✓0.89527k2022-01-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.7234.324-1.14%28.48-17.97%0.0818✓1.003.9M2022-01-10
XVSVenusEthereum15.5215.3385-1.17%13.18-15.08%0.0315✓1.143.5M2022-01-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.253.212-1.17%2.73-16.00%0.0270✓1.293.0M2022-01-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.79143.7452-1.22%3.7419-1.31%0.0126✓-0.11374k2022-01-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.68.4923-1.25%7.61-11.51%0.0330✓0.73773k2022-01-10
ZECZcashZcash150.55148.6441-1.27%141.24-6.18%0.0827✗1.2710.3M2022-01-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum94.3893.1581-1.29%68.4-27.53%0.2072✓0.976.3M2022-01-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0860.084867-1.32%0.0707-17.79%0.0738✓1.0420k2022-01-10
GTGateEthereum6.43926.3541-1.32%6.1496-4.50%0.0496✗0.783.9M2022-01-10
FTTFTXEthereum40.2239.6882-1.32%38.11-5.25%0.0651✗1.0119.4M2022-01-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3168.206-1.32%6.4-23.04%0.1200✓1.22354k2022-01-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.724.3687-1.34%20.09-18.66%0.1198✓0.701.3M2022-01-10
COMPCompoundEthereum222.2219.1877-1.36%182.25-17.98%0.0676✓1.11210k2022-01-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11773.0742-1.40%2.8409-8.88%0.0471✗1.203.1M2022-01-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.056590.055793-1.41%0.0467-17.48%0.0679✓1.0515k2022-01-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20520.202295-1.42%0.1582-22.90%0.1193✓1.204.8M2022-01-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.721.6951-1.45%1.34-22.09%0.0578✓1.691.0M2022-01-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.65820.648518-1.47%0.5425-17.58%0.0534✓1.1911.4M2022-01-10
XMRMoneroMonero231.81228.3982-1.47%182.5-21.27%0.1262✓0.933.2M2022-01-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.433.3793-1.48%3.13-8.75%0.0258✗0.97995k2022-01-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1524.0901-1.49%3.579-13.80%0.0637✓0.66483k2022-01-10
DODODODOEthereum0.9040.890431-1.50%0.704-22.12%0.0844✓1.438.1M2022-01-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.020230.019918-1.54%0.0154-23.88%0.1970✓0.5736k2022-01-10
QTUMQtumQtum9.20529.0612-1.56%7.2356-21.40%0.0831✓1.35273k2022-01-10
SCSiacoinnative0.015730.015484-1.57%0.01297-17.55%0.0777✓0.95817k2022-01-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum36.4135.8396-1.57%28.01-23.07%0.0929✓1.461.1M2022-01-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.4369.2878-1.57%7.507-20.44%0.1451✓0.64302k2022-01-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6161.5905-1.58%1.188-26.49%0.1568✓1.283.4M2022-01-10
XECeCashnative0.000116480.000114626-1.59%0.00009039-22.40%0.1352✓0.977.4M2022-01-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot30.0929.6056-1.61%23.72-21.17%0.0892✓1.2672.5M2022-01-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.7223.3336-1.63%27.98+17.96%0.3129✗1.2569.2M2022-01-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2652.2281-1.63%1.785-21.19%0.1050✓1.112.7M2022-01-10
XVGVergenative0.017310.017019-1.68%0.01312-24.21%0.1352✓1.192.2M2022-01-10
XLMStellarStellar0.2902880.285359-1.70%0.253061-12.82%0.0141✓1.0124.9M2022-01-10
BANDBandEthereum5.565.465-1.71%5.04-9.35%0.0401✗1.152.1M2022-01-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06360.062506-1.72%0.081082+27.49%0.4019✗1.357.5M2022-01-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7774.6946-1.73%4.203-12.02%0.0322✓0.751.2M2022-01-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.2828.7722-1.73%34.29+17.11%0.3209✗1.3824.2M2022-01-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10040.098656-1.74%0.0794-20.92%0.0728✓1.371.6M2022-01-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.30050.295229-1.75%0.251-16.47%0.0272✓1.294.6M2022-01-10
UNIUniswapEthereum18.4718.1384-1.80%15.11-18.19%0.0506✓1.2614.1M2022-01-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.37210.365416-1.80%0.299-19.65%0.0668✓1.273.4M2022-01-10
KSMKusamaHydration289.65284.4009-1.81%242.17-16.39%0.0466✓1.091.3M2022-01-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017360.017042-1.83%0.01401-19.30%0.0630✓1.262.2M2022-01-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13520.132664-1.88%0.108-20.12%0.0930✓1.07310k2022-01-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.18286.0659-1.89%5.1021-17.48%0.0533✓1.14577k2022-01-10
MOVRMoonriverBase191.896188.2182-1.92%155.6792-18.87%0.0832✓1.01574k2022-01-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70480.691285-1.92%0.6318-10.36%0.0408✗1.245.3M2022-01-10
MINAMina Protocolnative3.573.5006-1.94%3.2-10.36%0.0209✗1.05626k2022-01-10
STORJStorjEthereum1.85211.8158-1.96%1.5156-18.17%0.0958✓0.81689k2022-01-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5611.3314-1.98%9.5-17.82%0.1927✓-0.162.3M2022-01-10
AAVEAaveEthereum267.25261.918-2.00%199.9-25.20%0.1558✓1.0912.6M2022-01-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.38880.380989-2.01%0.3129-19.52%0.0478✓1.423.4M2022-01-10
XTZTezosTezos4.81564.7178-2.03%4.0324-16.26%0.0186✓1.324.9M2022-01-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07310.071605-2.05%0.0556-23.94%0.1060✓1.401.7M2022-01-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.1970.192962-2.05%0.1409-28.48%0.1899✓1.192.4M2022-01-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.08550.083746-2.05%0.06891-19.40%0.0688✓1.2020.9M2022-01-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033070.000032388-2.06%0.0000267-19.26%0.0622✓1.251.7M2022-01-10
KCSKuCoinnative22.36321.9019-2.06%19.007-15.01%0.0277✗1.6114.1M2022-01-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.6054.5086-2.09%3.7258-19.09%0.1245✓0.6318k2022-01-10
ZENHorizenBase63.4462.1077-2.10%53.33-15.94%0.0036✓1.42837k2022-01-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5110.2885-2.11%9.84-6.37%0.0339✗0.751.3M2022-01-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39481.3651-2.13%1.3749-1.43%0.1209✗1.08926k2022-01-10
SUSHISushiEthereum8.518.3257-2.17%6.56-22.91%0.1023✓1.2917.7M2022-01-10
UMAUMAEthereum9.279.0673-2.19%8.37-9.71%0.0374✗1.123.9M2022-01-10
LSKLiskEthereum2.35452.3025-2.21%2.0021-14.97%0.0302✓1.04100k2022-01-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum39.2338.33-2.29%25.38-35.30%0.2233✓1.805.7M2022-01-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.69420.678264-2.30%0.55-20.77%0.0710✓1.322.9M2022-01-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.38421.3517-2.35%1.1115-19.70%0.0998✓0.9121.2M2022-01-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.24371.2131-2.46%1.0287-17.29%0.0178✓1.401.9M2022-01-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.141.1119-2.46%0.94-17.54%0.0629✓1.001.9M2022-01-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.052480.051141-2.55%0.04207-19.84%0.1032✓0.888.2M2022-01-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4673.3783-2.56%2.704-22.01%0.0549✓1.601.9M2022-01-10
API3Api3Ethereum4.134.0237-2.57%3.57-13.56%0.0145✓1.001.0M2022-01-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.50621.4664-2.64%0.9491-36.99%0.3444✓0.864.5M2022-01-10
IMXImmutableEthereum4.574.4492-2.64%3.79-17.07%0.0553✓1.002.5M2022-01-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.30191.2671-2.67%0.99938-23.24%0.0565✓1.721.3M2022-01-10
LRCLoopringEthereum2.04561.9907-2.68%1.468-28.24%0.1096✓1.851.5M2022-01-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.940260.914735-2.71%0.689086-26.71%0.1708✓1.072.8M2022-01-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338370.032895-2.78%0.027645-18.30%0.0660✓1.037.8M2022-01-10
RADRadworksEthereum11.2910.9737-2.80%7.85-30.47%0.2464✓0.841.2M2022-01-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche108.09105.0336-2.83%84.46-21.86%0.1072✓1.05119.6M2022-01-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.640.621894-2.83%0.497-22.34%0.0938✓1.242.2M2022-01-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.3740.363284-2.87%0.3128-16.36%0.0451✓0.99293k2022-01-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.174.0502-2.87%3.13-24.94%0.1526✓1.003.4M2022-01-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.199410.193592-2.92%0.17081-14.34%0.0372✗1.556,5192022-01-10
LUNATerraTerra 288.9286.3175-2.93%69.46-21.88%0.1122✓1.005.3M2022-01-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110920.107618-2.98%0.08602-22.45%0.1560✓0.6555k2022-01-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7962.7059-3.22%2.167-22.50%0.1163✓1.011.9M2022-01-10
UOSUltraEthereum1.53941.4897-3.23%1.1319-26.47%0.1747✓0.953.7M2022-01-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.79491.7347-3.35%1.3624-24.10%0.1291✓1.0730.0M2022-01-10
CELLCellframeEthereum1.00250.968422-3.40%0.8077-19.43%0.0764✓1.00146k2022-01-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.8112.367-3.46%8.92-30.37%0.2641✓0.601.3M2022-01-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum7.196.9377-3.51%4.88-32.13%0.2334✓1.133.3M2022-01-10
CBKCobakEthereum3.3813.2582-3.63%2.717-19.64%0.0934✓0.8441k2022-01-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.893.7471-3.67%3.48-10.54%0.0651✗1.3211.2M2022-01-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum38,753.9337,308.11-3.73%32,010.24-17.40%0.0884✓0.6215.7M2022-01-10
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25063.1268-3.81%2.818-13.31%0.0050✓0.945.9M2022-01-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.12350.118751-3.85%0.0772-37.49%0.3255✓1.0035.9M2022-01-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.7213.1594-4.09%10.7-22.01%0.2028✓0.043.7M2022-01-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.536.2599-4.14%4.32-33.84%0.2316✓1.3329.3M2022-01-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022160.021227-4.21%0.01395-37.05%0.3147✓1.0029.0M2022-01-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.8439.9843-4.44%33.37-20.24%0.0080✓1.642.8M2022-01-10
HIVEHivenative1.63031.5576-4.46%1.2679-22.23%0.0631✓1.365.5M2022-01-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos39.2937.4877-4.59%37.83-3.72%0.1043✗0.9143.4M2022-01-10
GITCOINGITCOIN13.61212.9506-4.86%10.645-21.80%0.1977✓-0.0298k2022-01-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.84130.800117-4.90%0.6017-28.48%0.1073✓1.6931.9M2022-01-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.640.604247-5.59%0.6249-2.36%0.1799✗1.39650k2022-01-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.